Prevalence of pancreatic cystic lesions detected by magnetic resonance imaging in the Chinese population

Should All Pancreatic Cystic Lesions with Worrisome or High-Risk Features Be Resected? A Clinical and Radiological Machine Learning Model May Help to Answer

RATIONALE AND OBJECTIVES

According to current guidelines, pancreatic cystic lesions (PCLs) with worrisome or high-risk features may have overtreatment. The purpose of this study was to build a clinical and radiological based machine-learning (ML) model to identify malignant PCLs for surgery among preoperative PCLs with worrisome or high-risk features.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

Clinical and radiological details of 317 pathologically confirmed PCLs with worrisome or high-risk features were retrospectively analyzed and applied to ML models including Support Vector Machine, Logistic Regression (LR), Decision Tree, Bernoulli NB, Gaussian NB, K Nearest Neighbors and Linear Discriminant Analysis. The diagnostic ability for malignancy of the optimal model with the highest diagnostic AUC in the cross-validation procedure was further evaluated in internal (n = 77) and external (n = 50) testing cohorts, and was compared to two published guidelines in internal mucinous cyst cohort.

RESULTS

Ten clinical and radiological feature-based LR model was the optimal model with the highest AUC (0.951) in the cross-validation procedure. In the internal testing cohort, LR model reached an AUC, accuracy, sensitivity, and specificity of 0.927, 0.909, 0.914, and 0.905; in the external testing cohort, LR model reached 0.948, 0.900, 0.963, and 0.826. When compared to the European guidelines and the ACG guidelines, LR model demonstrated significantly better accuracy and specificity in identifying malignancy, while maintaining the same high sensitivity.

CONCLUSION

Clinical- and radiological-based LR model can accurately identify malignant PCLs in patients with worrisome or high-risk features, possessing diagnostic performance better than the European guidelines as well as ACG guidelines.

Global Prevalence of Pancreatic Cystic Lesions in the General Population on Magnetic Resonance Imaging: A Systematic Review and Meta-analysis

BACKGROUND & AIMS

Understanding the burden of pancreatic cystic lesions (PCLs) in the general population is important for clinicians and policymakers. In this systematic review, we sought to estimate the global prevalence of PCLs using magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) and to investigate factors that contribute to its variation.

METHODS

We searched MEDLINE, EMBASE, and Cochrane Central, from database inception through February 2023. We included full-text articles that reported the prevalence of PCLs using MRI in the general population. A proportional meta-analysis was performed, and the prevalence of PCLs was pooled using a random-effects model.

RESULTS

Fifteen studies with 65,607 subjects were identified. The pooled prevalence of PCLs was 16% (95% confidence interval [CI], 13%-18%; I2 = 99%), most of which were under 10 mm. Age-specific prevalence of PCLs increased from 9% (95% CI, 7%-12%) at 50 to 59 years, to 18% (95% CI, 14%-22%) at 60 to 69 years, 26% (95% CI, 20%-33%) at 70 to 79 years, and 38% at 80 years and above (95% CI, 25%-52%). There was no difference in prevalence between sexes. Subgroup analysis showed higher PCL prevalence when imaging findings were confirmed by independent radiologist(s) (25%; 95% CI, 16%-33%) than when chart review alone was used (5%; 95% CI, 4%-7%; P < .01). There was no independent association of PCL prevalence with geographic location (Europe, North America, or Asia), MRI indication (screening vs evaluation of non-pancreatic pathology), enrollment period, sample size, magnet strength (1.5 vs 3 tesla), and MRI sequence (magnetic resonance cholangiopancreatography vs no magnetic resonance cholangiopancreatography).

CONCLUSION

In this systematic review, the global prevalence of PCLs using a highly sensitive noninvasive imaging modality ranged between 13% and 18%.

Increased incidence of indeterminate pancreatic cysts and changes of management pattern: Evidence from nationwide data

BACKGROUND

Pancreatic cysts are common. However, most studies are based on data collected from individual centers. The present study aimed to evaluate the changes of management patterns for pancreatic cystic lesions (PCLs) by analyzing large epidemiologic data.

METHODS

Between January 2007 and December 2018, information regarding pancreatic cystic lesions was acquired from the nationwide Health Insurance Review and Assessment Service database in Korea.

RESULTS

The final number of patients with pancreatic cysts was 165 277 among the total claims for reimbursement of 855 983 associated with PCLs over 12 years. The total number of claims were increased from 19 453 in 2007 to 155 842 in 2018 and the prevalence increased from 0.04% to 0.23%. For 12 years, 2874 (1.7%) had pancreatic cancer and 8212 (5.0%) underwent surgery, and 36 had surgery for twice (total 8248 pancreatectomy). After ruling out claims from the first 3 years of washout period, the incidence increased from 9891 to 24 651 and the crude incidence rate of PCLs expanded from 19.96 per 100 000 to 47.77 per 100 000. Compared to specific neoplasm codes (D136 or D377), the use of pancreatic cyst code (K862) has been remarkably increased and the most common since 2010. The annual number of pancreatectomies increased from 518 to 861 between 2007 and 2012, and decreased to 596 until 2018. The percentage of pancreatic cancer in patients who received pancreatectomy increased from 5.6% in 2007 to 11.7% in 2018.

CONCLUSIONS

The incidence of PCLs is rapidly increasing. Among PCLs, indeterminate cyst is increasing outstandingly. A trend of decreasing in the number of resections and increasing cancer rates among resected cysts may be attributed to the updated international guidelines.

The Role of Magnetic Resonance Imaging (MRI) in the Diagnosis of Pancreatic Cystic Lesions (PCLs)

Pancreatic cystic lesions (PCLs) are a common incidental finding on cross-sectional imaging. Given the high signal to noise and contrast resolution, multi-parametric capability and lack of ionizing radiation, magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) has become the non-invasive method of choice to predict cyst type, risk stratify the presence of neoplasia, and monitor changes during surveillance. In many patients with PCLs, the combination of MRI and the patient's history and demographics will suffice to stratify lesions and guide treatment decisions. In other patients, especially those with worrisome or high-risk features, a multimodal diagnostic approach that includes endoscopic ultrasound (EUS) with fluid analysis, digital pathomics, and/or molecular analysis is often necessary to decide on management options. The application of radiomics and artificial intelligence in MRI may improve the ability to non-invasively stratify PCLs and better guide treatment decisions. This review will summarize the evidence on the evolution of MRI for PCLs, the prevalence of PCLs using MRI, and the MRI features to diagnose specific PCL types and early malignancy. We will also describe topics such as the utility of gadolinium and secretin in MRIs of PCLs, the limitations of MRI for PCLs, and future directions.

Comparative Performance of Endoscopic Ultrasound-Based Techniques in Patients With Pancreatic Cystic Lesions: A Network Meta-Analysis

INTRODUCTION

Evidence on the comparative diagnostic performance of endoscopic ultrasound (EUS)-based techniques for pancreatic cystic lesions (PCLs) is limited. This network meta-analysis comprehensively compared EUS-based techniques for PCL diagnosis.

METHODS

A comprehensive literature search was performed for all comparative studies assessing the accuracy of 2 or more modalities for PCL diagnosis. The primary outcome was the diagnostic efficacy for mucinous PCLs. Secondary outcomes were the diagnostic efficacy for malignant PCLs, diagnostic success rate, and adverse event rate. A network meta-analysis was conducted using the ANOVA model to assess the diagnostic accuracy of each index.

RESULTS

Forty studies comprising 3,641 patients were identified. The network ranking of the superiority index for EUS-guided needle-based confocal laser endomicroscopy (EUS-nCLE) and EUS-guided through-the-needle biopsy (EUS-TTNB) were significantly higher than other techniques for differentiating mucinous PCLs; besides, EUS-TTNB was also the optimal technique in identifying malignant PCLs. The evidence was inadequate for EUS-nCLE diagnosing malignant PCLs and contrast-enhanced harmonic EUS diagnosing both mucinous and malignant PCLs. Glucose showed a high sensitivity but low specificity, and molecular analysis (KRAS, GNAS, and KRAS + GNAS mutations) showed a high specificity but low sensitivity for diagnosing mucinous PCLs. Satisfactory results were not obtained during the evaluation of the efficiency of pancreatic cyst fluid (PCF) biomarkers in detecting malignant PCLs.

DISCUSSION

For centers with relevant expertise and facilities, EUS-TTNB and EUS-nCLE were better choices for the diagnosis of PCLs. Further studies are urgently required for further improving PCF biomarkers and validating the diagnostic performance of the index techniques.

Lower Interobserver Reliability for Nondimensional Intracystic Features Among Abdominal Radiologists for Characterizing Intraductal Papillary Mucinous Neoplasms Using Magnetic Resonance Imaging

OBJECTIVES

Current guidelines recommend magnetic resonance imaging (MRI)/magnetic resonance cholangiopancreatography (MRCP) for risk stratification of intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasms (IPMNs). We assessed the interobserver agreement among radiologists in evaluating and risk stratifying IPMNs.

METHODS

This single-center study evaluated 30 patients with IPMNs who had undergone MRI/MRCP, endoscopic ultrasound, and/or surgical resection. Six abdominal radiologists evaluated the MRI/MRCPs to document multiple parameters. The analysis applied Landis and Koch κ interpretation for categorical variables and intraclass correlation coefficient (r) for continuous variables.

RESULTS

Radiologists demonstrated almost perfect agreement for location (κ = 0.81, 95% confidence interval [CI], 0.74-0.87), size (r = 0.95; 95% CI, 0.89-0.98), and main pancreatic duct diameter (r = 0.98; 95% CI, 0.96-0.99). Substantial agreement was observed for communication with the main pancreatic duct (κ = 0.66; 95% CI, 0.57-0.75) and classification of IPMN subtype (κ = 0.77; 95% CI, 0.67-0.86). Presence of intracystic nodules (κ = 0.31; 95% CI, 0.21-0.42) and wall thickening (κ = 0.09; 95% CI, -0.01 to 0.18) reached only fair and slight agreement, respectively.

CONCLUSIONS

Although MRI/MRCP is excellent in the evaluation of spatial aspects, there is lower reliability for nondimensional characteristics of IPMNs. These data support guideline-recommended complementary evaluation of IPMNs with MRI/MRCP and endoscopic ultrasound.

Stratification Based on Risk Factors at Diagnosis Could Predict Progression in Patients with Pancreatic Cysts

BACKGROUND

Predicting the risk of malignant transformation in pancreatic cyst patients is challenging.

AIM

We retrospectively investigated the risk factors for malignant transformation in pancreatic cyst patients.

METHODS

Patients with pancreatic cysts diagnosed using imaging tests were followed from November 2008 to December 2021. A significant change was defined as the additional development of high-risk stigmata (HRS), worrisome features (WFs), or pancreatic cancer during monitoring.

RESULTS

In total, 479 patients were analyzed, with a median observation period of 50 months. Forty-four patients (9.2%) showed significant changes, and eight (1.7%) developed pancreatic cancer. The univariate analysis showed that the cyst diameter at diagnosis (≥ 14 mm), main pancreatic duct (MPD) diameter at diagnosis (≥ 3 mm), presence of multilocular cysts, and an inconsistent MPD caliber were significant predictive factors for a significant change. One point was assigned for each significant factor. We grouped the patients into three groups: the low-risk group (total score 0), medium-risk group (score 1-2), and high-risk group (score 3-4). The high-risk group had a higher risk of a significant change than the medium- and low-risk groups (age-adjusted HRs for the medium-risk and high-risk groups were 3.0 and 5.2 compared with the low-risk group).

CONCLUSION

Stratification based on risk factors may help predict the development of significant changes in pancreatic cyst patients.

The clinical impact of endoscopic ultrasound-guided fine-needle aspiration on the patients with low-risk pancreatic cystic lesions

Background and aims

Endoscopic ultrasound (EUS) is playing a more and more important role in the management of pancreatic cystic lesion (PCLs). The aim of our study was to evaluate the clinical impact of EUS and EUS guided fine needle aspiration (FNA) on patients with low-risk PCLs.

Materials and methods

Low-risk PCL patients who underwent EUS-FNA in 2 edoscopic centers were retrospectively collected and analyzed. The clinical impact of EUS-FNA on these patients was analyzed and the predictors for significance EUS-FNA (defined by diagnosis and treatment method change, new high-risk feature identified after imaging scans) were analyzed by logistic regression analyses.

Results

From July 2004 to February 2017, 186 patients with low-risk PCLs were included. The study cohort had a mean age of 52.4 ± 15.9 years (range: 19-86 years) with 89 (47.8%) male patients included. The clinical significance of EUS-FNAs was observed in 74 patients (39.8%). The presumed diagnoses of PCLs by imaging were changed in 51 (51/74, 68.9%) patients. Nineteen (19/74, 25.7%) new high-risk features were identified by EUS-FNA, and four patients (4/74, 5.4%) underwent surgery due to suspicious or malignant cytology. Based on multivariate analysis, large cyst size [odds ratio (OR): 1.12, 95% confidence interval (CI): 1.02–1.19, P = 0.033], young age (OR: 0.94, 95% CI: 0.91–0.99, P = 0.041) and BMI over 25 (OR: 3.15, 95% CI: 1.29–7.86, P = 0.013) were independent predictors of clinical significance for EUS-FNA. The optimal age and cyst size to predict significance EUS-FNA was 46.0 years and 2.3cm.

Conclusions

On the basis of a 2-center retrospective study, EUS-FNA was clinically significant in about 40% of low-risk PCLs, especially in young, large cyst size, and overweight patients.

Opportunistic Detection for Pancreatic Cystic Lesions During Chest Multidetector CT Scans for Lung Cancer Screening

Purpose

The purpose of this study was to analyze the prevalence of and risk factors for incidental pancreatic cystic lesions (PCLs) in the Chinese general population. Furthermore, the association between baseline imaging findings and PCL progression was also investigated.

Patients and Methods

A total of 9826 individuals who underwent computed tomography (CT) examinations for lung cancer screening between January 1, 2018 and January 1, 2019 were included in this study. The participants’ CT imaging findings and biochemical biomarker levels were reviewed and analyzed. PCLs detected during the screening were followed up for 12 months. Associations between imaging findings and clinical factors with PCL progression were explored.

Results

PCLs were observed in 172 of the 9826 participants. The crude prevalence of PCLs in total population was 1.75%. In subjects aged >60 years, the prevalence of PCLs was 3.2% (102/3151). The occurrence of PCLs was significantly increased with an increase of age in both men and women (p < 0.001). High-risk PCLsL commonly located in pancreatic head showed extrapancreatic growth, and had high urea levels (p = 0.005, p = 0.015, p = 0.002, respectively) compared with low-risk PCLs. Location in the pancreatic head (odds ratio (OR) = 6.286, 95% confidence interval (CI): 1.842–21.452) and extrapancreatic growth (OR = 4.049, 95% CI: 1.235–13.333) were risk factors for PCL progression.

Conclusion

PCLs are not uncommon in the Chinese general population. Location in the pancreatic head and extrapancreatic growth are the independent predictors of high-risk of PCLs and PCL progression.

Diagnostic Yield of Transabdominal Ultrasonography for Evaluation of Pancreatic Cystic Lesions Compared with Endoscopic Ultrasonography

Detection rates of pancreatic cystic lesions (PCLs) have increased, resulting in greater requirements for regular monitoring using imaging modalities. We aimed to evaluate the capability of ultrasonography (US) for morphological characterization of PCLs as a reference standard using endoscopic ultrasonography (EUS). A retrospective analysis was conducted of 102 PCLs from 92 patients who underwent US immediately prior to EUS between January 2014 and May 2017. The intermodality reliability and agreement of the PCL morphologic findings of the two techniques were analyzed and compared using the intraclass correlation coefficient and κ values. The success rates of US for delineating PCLs in the head, body, and tail of the pancreas were 77.8%, 91.8%, and 70.6%, respectively. The intraclass correlation coefficient for US and the corresponding EUS lesion size showed very good reliability (0.978; p < 0.001). The κ value between modalities was 0.882 for pancreatic duct dilation, indicating good agreement. The κ values for solid components and cystic wall and septal thickening were 0.481 and 0.395, respectively, indicating moderate agreement. US may be useful for monitoring PCL growth and changes in pancreatic duct dilation, but it has limited use in the diagnosis and surveillance of mural nodules or cystic wall thickness changes.

Relationship between pancreatic parenchyma loss and early postoperative hyperglycemia in patients with benign pancreatic diseases

Objective

To evaluate the relationship between pancreatic parenchyma loss and early postoperative hyperglycemia in patients with benign pancreatic diseases.

Methods

A total of 171 patients with benign pancreatic tumors or chronic pancreatitis, whose preoperative fasting blood glucose (FBG) was normal and who underwent partial pancreatectomy were reviewed. The pancreatic volume was measured by CT imaging before and after the operation. According to their different pancreatic resection volume (PRV), 171 patients were divided into five groups: < 30%, 30%–39%, 40%–49%, 50%–59%, and ≥ 60%. The correlation between the PRV and postoperative FBG was investigated. According to the postoperative FBG value, the patients were divided into a hyperglycemia group (HG) and nonhyperglycemia group (non-HG) to explore the best cutoff value of the PRV between the two groups.

Results

There were significant differences in the postoperative FBG among the five groups (PRV < 30%, 30%–39%, 40%–49%, 50%–59%, and ≥ 60%). The PRV was positively correlated with postoperative FBG in the benign tumor group and chronic pancreatitis group (R = 0.727 and 0.651, respectively). ROC curve analysis showed that the best cutoff value of the PRV between the HG (n = 84) and non-HG (n = 87) was 39.95% with an AUC = 0.898; the sensitivity was 89.29%, and the specificity was 82.76%.

Conclusion

There was a linear positive correlation between the postoperative FBG level and PRV. Patients with a PRV ≥ 40% are more likely to develop early postoperative hyperglycemia.

High-Risk Characteristics Associated with Advanced Pancreatic Cystic Lesions: Results from a Retrospective Surgical Cohort

BACKGROUND AND AIM

The management of pancreatic cystic lesions (PCLs) remains controversial. We performed a retrospective study to determine characteristics associated with advanced PCLs (A-PCLs) and whether these characteristics vary in different pathological types of PCLs. The additional diagnostic value of endoscopic ultrasound (EUS) was also evaluated.

METHODS

Patients who underwent surgical resection for an identified PCLs by imaging modalities were included. A logistic regression model was developed to identify significant characteristics for A-PCLs. EUS data was assessed separately.

RESULTS

Three hundred and fifty-three patients were included, and 125 patients (35.4%) were A-PCLs. The presence of main pancreatic duct (MPD) diameter ≥ 10 mm (odds ratio [OR], 11.7; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.53-89.2; P = 0.018), mural nodules ≥ 5 mm (OR, 11.67; 95% CI, 2.3-59.05; P = 0.003), solid components within cysts (OR, 30.87; 95% CI, 7.23-131.7; P < 0.0001) and high serum CA19-9 levels (OR, 1.006; 95% CI, 1.001-1.011; P = 0.02) were independently associated with the presence of A-PCLs. The presence of septa was independently associated with the presence of non-A-PCLs (OR, 0.147; 95% CI, 0.04-0.6; P = 0.008). Males who had a history of tobacco abuse (P < 0.0001) and had a greatly dilated MPD (P < 0.0001) were more common in advanced intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasms (IPMC) patients. Solid pseudopapillary neoplasm (SPT) often occurred in young women (P < 0.0001), mostly asymptomatically (P < 0.0001) and with lower serum CA19-9 levels (P < 0.0001). In the 124 patients who underwent EUS-guided fine-needle aspiration (EUS-FNA), five additional characteristics (4 mural nodules and 1 MPD involvement) were identified by EUS imaging and 17 patients were identified with abnormal cytological results (13 atypical cells and 4 suspicious for malignancy cells) by EUS-FNA.

CONCLUSION

On the basis of a retrospective study with large sample size, the presence of MPD ≥ 10 mm, mural nodules, solid components, and high serum CA19-9 levels were independently associated with the presence of A-PCLs. The high-risk characteristics may vary across different types of A-PCLs. EUS and EUS-FNA could provide additional diagnostic information for PCLs.

Sex Differences in the Exocrine Pancreas and Associated Diseases

Differences in pancreatic anatomy, size, and function exist in men and women. The anatomical differences could contribute to the increase in complications associated with pancreatic surgery in women. Although diagnostic criteria for pancreatitis are the same in men and women, major sex differences in etiology are reported. Alcohol and tobacco predominate in men, whereas idiopathic and obstructive etiologies predominate in women. Circulating levels of estrogens, progesterone, and androgens contribute significantly to overall health outcomes; premenopausal women have lower prevalence of cardiovascular and pancreatic diseases suggesting protective effects of estrogens, whereas androgens promote growth of normal and cancerous cells. Sex chromosomes and gonadal and nongonadal hormones together determine an individual's sex, which is distinct from gender or gender identity. Human pancreatic disease etiology, outcomes, and sex-specific mechanisms are largely unknown. In rodents of both sexes, glucocorticoids and estrogens from the adrenal glands influence pancreatic secretion and acinar cell zymogen granule numbers. Lack of corticotropin-releasing factor receptor 2 function, a G protein-coupled receptor whose expression is regulated by both estrogens and glucocorticoids, causes sex-specific changes in pancreatic histopathology, zymogen granule numbers, and endoplasmic reticulum ultrastructure changes in acute pancreatitis model. Here, we review existing literature on sex differences in the normal exocrine pancreas and mechanisms that operate at homeostasis and diseased states in both sexes. Finally, we review pregnancy-related pancreatic diseases and discuss the effects of sex differences on proposed treatments in pancreatic disease.

Validation of serum tumor biomarkers in predicting advanced cystic mucinous neoplasm of the pancreas

BACKGROUND

Early detection of advanced cystic mucinous neoplasms [(A-cMNs), defined as high-grade dysplasia or malignancy] of the pancreas is of great significance. As a simple and feasible detection method, serum tumor markers (STMs) may be used to predict advanced intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasms (IPMNs) and mucinous cystic neoplasms (MCNs). However, there are few studies on the usefulness of STMs other than carbohydrate antigen (CA) 19-9 for early detection of A-cMNs.

AIM

To study the ability of five STMs-CA19-9, carcinoembryonic antigen (CEA), CA125, CA724, and CA242 to predict A-cMNs and distinguish IPMNs and MCNs.

METHODS

We mainly measured the levels of each STM in patients pathologically diagnosed with cMNs. The mean levels of STMs and the number of A-cMN subjects with a higher STM level than the cutoff were compared respectively to identify the ability of STMs to predict A-cMNs and distinguish MCNs from IPMNs. A receiver operating characteristic curve with the area under curve (AUC) was also created to identify the performance of the five STMs.

RESULTS

A total of 187 patients with cMNs were identified and 72 of them showed A-cMNs. We found that CA19-9 exhibited the highest sensitivity (SE) (54.2%) and accuracy (76.5%) and a moderate ability (AUC = 0.766) to predict A-cMNs. In predicting high-grade dysplasia IPMNs, the SE of CA19-9 decreased to 38.5%. The ability of CEA, CA125, and CA724 to predict A-cMNs was low (AUC = 0.651, 0.583, and 0.618, respectively). The predictive ability of CA242 was not identified. The combination of STMs improved the SE to 62.5%. CA125 may be specific to the diagnosis of advanced MCNs.

CONCLUSION

CA19-9 has a moderate ability, and CEA, CA125, and CA724 have a low ability to predict A-cMNs. The combination of STM testing could improve SE in predicting A-cMNs.

Application of EUS-based techniques in the evaluation of pancreatic cystic neoplasms

Pancreatic cystic neoplasms (PCNs) are being detected increasingly frequently due to the widespread use of high-resolution abdominal imaging modalities. Some subtypes of PCNs have the potential for malignant transformation. Therefore, accurate diagnosis of PCNs is crucial to determine whether surgical resection or surveillance is the best management strategy. However, the current cross-section imaging modalities are not accurate enough to enable definite diagnoses. In the last decade, EUS-based techniques have emerged, aiming to overcome the limitations of standard cross-section imaging modalities. These novel EUS-based techniques were primarily designed to acquire distinct images to make radiological diagnoses, collect cyst fluid to undergo biochemical or molecular analyses, and obtain tissue to conclude the pathological diagnoses. In this article, we present a comprehensive and critical review of these emerging EUS techniques for the diagnosis of PCNs, with emphasis being placed on the advantages, feasibilities, diagnostic performances, and limitations of these novel techniques.

The pathological features and prognoses of intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasm and mucinous cystic neoplasm after surgical resection: a single institution series

BACKGROUND

Intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasms (IPMNs) and mucinous cystic neoplasms (MCNs) represent the tumors with malignant transformation potential. The objective of the study was to verify their pathological characteristics, prognoses, and recurrence factors.

METHODS

Two hundred eighteen IPMNs and 27 MCNs resected at a single institution were included. The demographic, preoperative, histopathological, and follow-up data of the patients were recorded and analyzed. Overall survival (OS) and disease-free survival (DFS) were defined as the interval from the date of initial surgery to death or the last follow-up (OS) and to diagnosis of recurrence or death at follow-up (DFS).

RESULTS

Of the 218 IPMN and 27 MCN patients, 93 (42.7%) and 8 (29.6%) cases were malignant, respectively. IPMNs occurred in older patients compared with MCN patients (median 63 years vs 54 years, P < 0.0001), and MCNs occurred exclusively in females (100%). Of the overall study cohort, the pathological specimens presented peripheral invasion in 37 (15.1%) patients and incisal margin invasion was observed in 46 (18.8%) patients. After a median follow-up of 34 months, 37 (14.9%) patients relapsed. The 5-year OS and DFS rates of IPMNs were 97.5% and 80.6%; and the OS and DFS rates of MCNs were 95.7% and 87.0%, respectively. There were four independent risk factors associated with recurrence: pathological diagnoses with malignancy (odds ratio, OR = 3.65), presence of oncocytic type for IPMN (OR = 1.69), peripheral invasion (OR = 12.87), and incisal margin invasion (OR = 1.99).

CONCLUSIONS

IPMNs and MCNs are indolent tumors with favorable prognoses after surgical resection in terms of their relatively high OS and DFS rate. Patients with malignant pathological-related diagnoses should accept strict tumor surveillance in view of their higher risk of recurrence.

Validation of European evidence-based guidelines and American College of Gastroenterology guidelines as predictors of advanced neoplasia in patients with suspected mucinous pancreatic cystic neoplasms

BACKGROUND AND AIM

The European evidence-based guidelines (EEG) and American College of Gastroenterology Guidelines (ACGG) have been published to guide the management of pancreatic cystic lesions. We aim to evaluate the value of both guidelines in predicting advanced pancreatic cystic lesions (A-PCLs) with preoperatively imaging-suspected cystic mucinous pancreatic neoplasms (cMNs).

METHODS

One hundred ninety-eight patients who underwent resections from 2013 to 2019 for suspected cMNs were retrospectively reviewed. Receiver operating characteristic curves were calculated and compared with measure diagnostic value.

RESULTS

Sixty-two patients were diagnosed with A-PCLs pathologically. Cross-imaging modalities had comparable diagnostic accuracy to endoscopic ultrasound in type classification and A-PCLs prediction. Receiver operating characteristic curve comparison analyses showed that EEG absolute + MCN (EEG^AM ) and EEG relative + MCN (EEG^RM ) having at least one indications criteria were comparable to the ACGG (P = 0.21 and P = 0.45). For the criteria having at least two indications, ACGG was superior to EEG^AM (P = 0.001) but comparable to EEG^RM (P = 0.12). EEG^AM ≥ 1 indication criteria was superior to ≥ 2 indications criteria (P = 0.02). EEG^RM ≥ 1 indication criteria had comparable diagnostic performance with ≥ 2 indications criteria (P = 0.86). ACGG ≥ 2 indications criteria was superior to ≥ 1 indication criteria (P = 0.02).

CONCLUSION

On the basis of cross-imaging evaluations, both sets of guidelines were found to be helpful in identifying A-PCLs in suspected cMNs with comparable performance. EEG^AM  ≥ 1 indication criteria was superior to ≥ 2 indications criteria. ACGG ≥ 2 indications criteria was superior to ≥ 1 indication criteria.

Pancreatic cystic lesions in diabetes mellitus patients

Introduction

According to the literature exocrine pancreatic insufficiency is relatively common among patients with diabetes mellitus (DM). Pseudocysts are the most common cystic lesions and may be formed in the setting of acute or chronic pancreatitis. However, whether DM is involved or not in pancreatic cyst formation is still not well established.

Aim

To investigate the frequency and risk factors of cystic lesions in diabetic patients.

Material and methods

One hundred and sixty-one patients with DM, with no previous history of pancreatic diseases, were prospectively included in the study. Endosonography followed by fine needle aspiration biopsy was then performed.

Results

Finally, 33 of 161 patients (20.5%) were recognized with cystic lesions of the pancreas. Among them 5 patients were classified as cystic neoplasms, and 28 as pseudocysts. In the group of patients with pseudocysts, cystic lesions were significantly more prevalent in individuals with DM lasting less than 3 years. Prevalence of cystic lesions was significantly higher in metformin users in comparison to other diabetic patients (p < 0.05). Cystic lesions were more frequent in patients above 50 years of age (p < 0.05).

Conclusions

The prevalence of cystic lesions in the diabetic population is higher than in the general population. DM seems to play a major role in the process of cyst development, especially in patients without previous history of pancreatitis. Higher prevalence of cystic lesions in early diabetes seems to be the first stage of pancreatic injury. The exact role of diabetes duration and type of treatment should be established.

Progression of pancreatic cystic lesions without any risk features is associated with initial cyst size and obesity

BACKGROUND AND AIM

The clinical significance of incidental pancreatic cystic lesions (PCLs) remains unclear in those that are not accompanied by worrisome features or high-risk stigmata. We aimed to investigate the natural course of PCLs without any risk features and examine the clinical factors associated with their progression.

METHODS

We conducted a retrospective cohort study of 427 patients with PCLs, which were incidentally detected by computed tomography between January 2003 and December 2012. Progression of PCLs without any risk features and the clinical factors associated with their progression were investigated. The length of time to significant growth was also evaluated.

RESULTS

Ninety-four (22.0%) of the 427 patients had asymptomatic PCLs that showed significant growth after a median surveillance period of 5.3 years; approximately 27.7% of the patients showed significant size changes in the first 5 years, while the remaining 72.3% showed significant changes after 5 years. The cumulative rate of patients with significant growth was associated with initial cyst size and high body mass index. In the growth group, additional treatments were required for 12 patients, one of whom developed malignancy. Four patients in the stable group underwent additional treatment and showed no malignant change.

CONCLUSIONS

One-fifth of the asymptomatic PCLs significantly increased in size after a long-term follow-up period, which was associated with initial cyst size and obesity. The size of PCLs mostly increased after 5 years; although the malignancy risk of PCLs was low, it was still a concern.