Sex specificity of kidney markers to assess prognosis in cirrhotic patients with TIPS

Fecal microbial load is a major determinant of gut microbiome variation and a confounder for disease associations

The microbiota in individual habitats differ in both relative composition and absolute abundance. While sequencing approaches determine the relative abundances of taxa and genes, they do not provide information on their absolute abundances. Here, we developed a machine-learning approach to predict fecal microbial loads (microbial cells per gram) solely from relative abundance data. Applying our prediction model to a large-scale metagenomic dataset (n = 34,539), we demonstrated that microbial load is the major determinant of gut microbiome variation and is associated with numerous host factors, including age, diet, and medication. We further found that for several diseases, changes in microbial load, rather than the disease condition itself, more strongly explained alterations in patients' gut microbiome. Adjusting for this effect substantially reduced the statistical significance of the majority of disease-associated species. Our analysis reveals that the fecal microbial load is a major confounder in microbiome studies, highlighting its importance for understanding microbiome variation in health and disease.

Correlation between serum markers and transjugular intrahepatic portosystemic shunt prognosis in patients with cirrhotic ascites

BACKGROUND

Individuals with refractory ascites in the context of liver cirrhosis typically face an adverse prognosis. The transjugular intrahepatic portosystemic shunt (TIPS) is an efficacious intervention, but there is a lack of reliable tools for postoperative prognosis assessment. Previously utilized clinical biochemical markers, such as the serum albumin concentration (Alb), sodium (Na+) concentration, and serum creatinine (Scr), have limited predictive value. Therefore, the quest for novel, specific biomarkers to evaluate the post-TIPS prognosis in patients with liver cirrhosis and refractory ascites holds significant practical importance.

AIM

To investigate the associations between the Child-Pugh score, model for end-stage liver disease (MELD) score, and serum cystatin C (Cys C) level and post-TIPS prognosis in patients with liver cirrhosis and refractory ascites.

METHODS

A retrospective analysis was conducted on 75 patients with liver cirrhosis and refractory ascites who underwent TIPS at our institution from August 2019 to August 2021. These patients were followed up regularly for two years, and the death toll was meticulously documented. The patients were allocated into a survival group (n = 45 patients) or a deceased group (n = 30 patients) based on their prognosis status. The clinical data of the two groups were collected, and Child-Pugh scores and MELD scores were calculated for analysis. Spearman correlation analysis was carried out to evaluate the correlation of prognosis with Child-Pugh grade, MELD score, and Cys C level. Additionally, a multiple-factor analysis utilizing the Cox proportional hazard model was used to identify independent risk factors affecting the post-TIPS prognosis of patients with liver cirrhosis and refractory ascites. The receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC) ascertained the predictive value of the Cys C concentration, Child-Pugh grade, and MELD score for the prognosis of liver cirrhosis with refractory ascites in post-TIPS patients.

RESULTS

During a 2-year follow-up period, among 75 patients with liver cirrhosis and refractory ascites who underwent TIPS treatment, 30 patients (40.00%) passed away. The deceased cohort exhibited heightened aspartate aminotransferase, alanine aminotransferase, total bilirubin, Scr, prothrombin time, Cys C, international normalized ratio, Child-Pugh, and MELD scores compared to those of the survival cohort, while Alb and Na+ levels were attenuated in the deceased group (P < 0.05). Spearman analysis revealed moderate to high positive correlations between prognosis and Child-Pugh score, MELD score, and Cys C level (r = 0.709, 0.749, 0.671, P < 0.05). Multivariate analysis using the Cox proportional hazard model demonstrated that the independent risk factors for post-TIPS prognosis in patients with liver cirrhosis and refractory ascites were Cys C (HR = 3.802; 95%CI: 1.313-11.015), Child-Pugh (HR = 3.030; 95%CI: 1.858-4.943), and MELD (HR = 1.222; 95%CI: 1.073-1.393) scores. ROC analysis confirmed that, compared to those of the classic prognostic models for Child-Pugh and MELD scores, the predictive accuracy of Cys C for post-TIPS prognosis in patients with liver cirrhosis and refractory ascites was slightly lower. This analysis yielded sensitivity and specificity values of 83.33% and 82.22%, respectively. The area under the curve value at this juncture was 0.883, with an optimal cutoff value set at 1.95 mg/L.

CONCLUSION

Monitoring the serum Cys C concentration is valuable for assessing the post-TIPS prognosis in patients with liver cirrhosis and refractory ascites. Predictive models based on serum Cys C levels, as opposed to Scr levels, are more beneficial for evaluating the condition and prognosis of patients with ascites due to cirrhosis.

Association of Cystatin C Level with All-cause Mortality in Patients with Liver Cirrhosis: A Meta-analysis

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVE

Blood cystatin C level has been introduced as a promising biomarker to detect early kidney injury in cirrhotic patients. The purpose of this meta-analysis was to investigate the association of blood cystatin C level with allcause mortality in patients with liver cirrhosis.

METHODS

PubMed, ScienceDirect, and Embase databases were searched from the inception to November 15, 2022. Observational studies evaluating the value of blood cystatin C level in predicting all-cause mortality in patients with ACS were selected. The pooled hazard risk (HR) with 95% confidence intervals (CI) was calculated using a random effect model meta-analysis.

RESULTS

Twelve studies with 1983 cirrhotic patients were identified. The pooled adjusted HR of all-cause mortality was 3.59 (95% CI 2.39-5.39) for the high versus low group of cystatin C level. Stratified analysis by study design, characteristics of patients, geographical region, sample size, and length of follow-up further supported the predictive value elevated cystatin C level.

CONCLUSION

Elevated cystatin C level was an independent predictor of poor survival in patients with liver cirrhosis. Detection of blood cystatin C level may provide important prognostic information in cirrhotic patients.

Novel prognostic biomarkers in decompensated cirrhosis: a systematic review and meta-analysis

BACKGROUND

Patients with decompensated cirrhosis experience high mortality rates. Current prognostic scores, including the model for end-stage liver disease (MELD), may underperform in settings other than in those they were initially developed. Novel biomarkers have been proposed to improve prognostication accuracy and even to predict development of complications.

METHODS

We performed a systematic review and meta-analysis on novel urine and blood biomarkers and their ability to predict 90-day mortality in patients with decompensated cirrhosis. Secondary outcomes included 28-day and 1-year mortality, and development of acute-on-chronic liver failure, acute kidney injury and other complications. To overcome differences in units, temporal changes in assays and reporting heterogeneity, we used the ratio of means (RoM) as measure of association for assessing strength in predicting outcomes. An RoM>1 implies that the mean biomarker level is higher in those that develop the outcome than in those that do not.

RESULTS

Of 6629 unique references, 103 were included, reporting on 29 different biomarkers, with a total of 31 362 biomarker patients. Most studies were prospective cohorts of hospitalised patients (median Child-Pugh-Turcotte score of 9 and MELD score of 18). The pooled 90-day mortality rate was 0.27 (95% CI 0.24 to 0.29). The RoM for predicting 90-day mortality was highest for interleukin 6 (IL-6) (2.56, 95% CI 2.39 to 2.74), followed by urinary neutrophil gelatinase-associated lipocalin (uNGAL) (2.42, 95% CI 2.20 to 2.66) and copeptin (2.33, 95% CI 2.17 to 2.50). These RoMs were all higher than for MELD (1.44, 95% CI 1.42 to 1.46).

CONCLUSION

Novel biomarkers, including IL-6, uNGAL and copeptin, can probably improve prognostication of patients with decompensated cirrhosis compared with MELD alone.

Kidney disease in patients with chronic liver disease: Does sex matter?

Kidney disease in patients with liver disease is serious and increases mortality. Up to 50% of patients hospitalized experience an episode of acute kidney injury. In general, men with liver disease are thought to be at increased risk of kidney disease. However, this association should be considered with caution because most studies use creatinine-based inclusion criteria, which is negatively biased against women. In this review, we synthesize data on sex differences in kidney disease in patients with chronic liver disease in the clinical setting and discuss potential physiologic underpinnings.

North American Practice-Based Recommendations for Transjugular Intrahepatic Portosystemic Shunts in Portal Hypertension

Complications of portal hypertension, including ascites, gastrointestinal bleeding, hepatic hydrothorax, and hepatic encephalopathy, are associated with significant morbidity and mortality. Despite few high-quality randomized controlled trials to guide therapeutic decisions, transjugular intrahepatic portosystemic shunt (TIPS) creation has emerged as a crucial therapeutic option to treat complications of portal hypertension. In North America, the decision to perform TIPS involves gastroenterologists, hepatologists, and interventional radiologists, but TIPS creation is performed by interventional radiologists. This is in contrast to other parts of the world where TIPS creation is performed primarily by hepatologists. Thus, the successful use of TIPS in North America is dependent on a multidisciplinary approach and technical expertise, so as to optimize outcomes. Recently, new procedural techniques, TIPS stent technology, and indications for TIPS have emerged. As a result, practices and outcomes vary greatly across institutions and significant knowledge gaps exist. In this consensus statement, the Advancing Liver Therapeutic Approaches group critically reviews the application of TIPS in the management of portal hypertension. Advancing Liver Therapeutic Approaches convened a multidisciplinary group of North American experts from hepatology, interventional radiology, transplant surgery, nephrology, cardiology, pulmonology, and hematology to critically review existing literature and develop practice-based recommendations for the use of TIPS in patients with any cause of portal hypertension in terms of candidate selection, procedural best practices and, post-TIPS management; and to develop areas of consensus for TIPS indications and the prevention of complications. Finally, future research directions are identified related to TIPS for the management of portal hypertension.

Variceal bleeding has increased mortality compared to nonvariceal bleeding only in males

BACKGROUND

Gastrointestinal bleedings (GIBs) are frequent in cirrhotic patients and lead to high morbidity and mortality. Lately, there have been conflicting reports on the role of and bleeding type [variceal bleeding and nonvariceal bleeding (NVB)]. This study investigated the predictors of mortality in patients with variceal bleeding and NVB with relationship to sex differences.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

A total of 271 patients with suspected upper GIB who underwent endoscopy were included. Patients were followed up at 1 week, 6 months and 1 year after admission. Univariate and multivariate logistic or Cox regression analyses investigated correlations of predictive factors and clinical outcomes. Propensity score matching was performed to control for severity of disease and compare groups for sex and bleeding type.

RESULTS

A total of 42 patients were excluded (cirrhosis or bleeding not confirmed). The remaining patients were classified by bleeding type into patients with variceal bleeding (n = 115) or NVB (n = 156). Males (n = 155) had higher mortality in variceal bleeding than in NVB, while in females (n = 116) mortality was similar in the two bleeding types. This was confirmed after matching in males (n = 116) and females (n = 82). Further independent predictors of mortality in males were model for end-stage liver disease (MELD) at baseline, blood urea nitrogen, alanine aminotransferase, while in females age, leukocytes, MELD, history of ascites and hepatic encephalopathy.

CONCLUSION

This study shows that variceal bleeding has higher mortality in males compared to NVB, while in females the type of GIB does not impact the outcome. This highlights that sex-specific clinical management should be based on bleeding type after endoscopy.

A Review of Specific Biomarkers of Chronic Renal Injury and Their Potential Application in Nonclinical Safety Assessment Studies

A host of novel renal biomarkers have been developed over the past few decades which have enhanced monitoring of renal disease and drug-induced kidney injury in both preclinical studies and in humans. Since chronic kidney disease (CKD) and acute kidney injury (AKI) share similar underlying mechanisms and the tubulointerstitial compartment has a functional role in the progression of CKD, urinary biomarkers of AKI may provide predictive information in chronic renal disease. Numerous studies have explored whether the recent AKI biomarkers could improve upon the standard clinical biomarkers, estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR), and urinary albumin to creatinine ratio, for predicting outcomes in CKD patients. This review is an introduction to alternative assays that can be utilized in chronic (>3 months duration) nonclinical safety studies to provide information on renal dysfunction and to demonstrate specific situations where these assays could be utilized in nonclinical drug development. Novel biomarkers such as symmetrical dimethyl arginine, dickkopf homolog 3, and cystatin C predict chronic renal injury in animals, act as surrogates for GFR, and may predict changes in GFR in patients over time, ultimately providing a bridge from preclinical to clinical renal monitoring.

Nonalcoholic Fatty Liver Disease and Diabetes Mellitus Are Associated With Post-Transjugular Intrahepatic Portosystemic Shunt Renal Dysfunction: An Advancing Liver Therapeutic Approaches Group Study

Transjugular intrahepatic portosystemic shunt (TIPS) is an effective intervention for portal hypertensive complications, but its effect on renal function is not well characterized. Here we describe renal function and characteristics associated with renal dysfunction at 30 days post-TIPS. Adults with cirrhosis who underwent TIPS at 9 hospitals in the United States from 2010 to 2015 were included. We defined "post-TIPS renal dysfunction" as a change in estimated glomerular filtration rate (ΔeGFR) ≤-15 and eGFR ≤ 60 mL/min/1.73 m² or new renal replacement therapy (RRT) at day 30. We identified the characteristics associated with post-TIPS renal dysfunction by logistic regression and evaluated survival using adjusted competing risk regressions. Of the 673 patients, the median age was 57 years, 38% of the patients were female, 26% had diabetes mellitus, and the median MELD-Na was 17. After 30 days post-TIPS, 66 (10%) had renal dysfunction, of which 23 (35%) required new RRT. Patients with post-TIPS renal dysfunction, compared with those with stable renal function, were more likely to have nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD; 33% versus 17%; P = 0.01) and comorbid diabetes mellitus (42% versus 24%; P = 0.001). Multivariate logistic regressions showed NAFLD (odds ratio [OR], 2.04; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.00-4.17; P = 0.05), serum sodium (Na; OR, 1.06 per mEq/L; 95% CI, 1.01-1.12; P = 0.03), and diabetes mellitus (OR, 2.04; 95% CI, 1.16-3.61; P = 0.01) were associated with post-TIPS renal dysfunction. Competing risk regressions showed that those with post-TIPS renal dysfunction were at a higher subhazard of death (subhazard ratio, 1.74; 95% CI, 1.18-2.56; P = 0.01). In this large, multicenter cohort, we found NAFLD, diabetes mellitus, and baseline Na associated with post-TIPS renal dysfunction. This study suggests that patients with NAFLD and diabetes mellitus undergoing TIPS evaluation may require additional attention to cardiac and renal comorbidities before proceeding with the procedure.

Balance between macrophage migration inhibitory factor and sCD74 predicts outcome in patients with acute decompensation of cirrhosis

Background & Aims

Macrophage migration inhibitory factor (MIF) is an inflammatory cytokine and an important regulator of innate immune responses. We hypothesised that serum concentrations of MIF are associated with disease severity and outcome in patients with decompensated cirrhosis and acute-on-chronic liver failure (ACLF).

Methods

Circulating concentrations of MIF and its soluble receptor CD74 (sCD74) were determined in sera from 292 patients with acute decompensation of cirrhosis defined as new onset or worsening of ascites requiring hospitalisation. Of those, 78 (27%) had ACLF. Short-term mortality was assessed 90 days after inclusion.

Results

Although serum concentrations of MIF and sCD74 did not correlate with liver function parameters or ACLF, higher MIF (optimum cut-off >2.3 ng/ml) and lower concentrations of sCD74 (optimum cut-off <66.5 ng/ml) both indicated poorer 90-day transplant-free survival in univariate analyses (unadjusted hazard ratio [HR] 2.01 [1.26-3.22]; p = 0.004 for MIF; HR 0.59 [0.38-0.92]; p = 0.02 for sCD74) and after adjustment in multivariable models. Higher MIF concentrations correlated with surrogates of systemic inflammation (white blood cells, p = 0.005; C-reactive protein, p = 0.05) and were independent of genetic MIF promoter polymorphisms. Assessment of MIF plasma concentrations in portal venous blood and matched blood samples from the right atrium in a second cohort of patients undergoing transjugular intrahepatic portosystemic shunt insertion revealed a transhepatic MIF gradient with higher concentrations in the right atrial blood.

Conclusions

Serum concentrations of MIF and its soluble receptor CD74 predict 90-day transplant-free survival in patients with acute decompensation of cirrhosis. This effect was independent of liver function and genetic predispositions, but rather reflected systemic inflammation. Therefore, MIF and sCD74 represent promising prognostic markers beyond classical scoring systems in patients at risk of ACLF.

Lay summary

Inflammatory processes contribute to the increased risk of death in patients with cirrhosis and ascites. We show that patients with high serum levels of the inflammatory cytokine macrophage migration inhibitory factor (MIF) alongside low levels of its binding receptor sCD74 in blood indicate an increased mortality risk in patients with ascites. The cirrhotic liver is a relevant source of elevated circulating MIF levels.

30 Jahre transjugulärer intrahepatischer portosystemischer Shunt (TIPS) – Rückblick und Perspektive

Der transjuguläre intrahepatische portosystemische Shunt (TIPS) wird seit 30 Jahren in der Therapie der portalen Hypertonie erfolgreich eingesetzt. In nationalen und internationalen Leitlinien ist die Indikation zur TIPS-Anlage bei Varizenblutung und refraktärem Aszites wissenschaftlich gut belegt und klar definiert. Bei seltenen Indikationen wie dem hepatorenalen Syndrom, der Pfortaderthrombose oder dem neoadjuvanten Einsatz fehlt derzeit noch eine eindeutige Studienlage. Eine wichtige Kontraindikation und klinisch bedeutendste Komplikation nach TIPS ist die hepatische Enzephalopathie (HE). Es wird versucht, die Post-TIPS HE mit technischen Weiterentwicklungen der Stents zu reduzieren.

Portal hypertensive gastropathy is associated with iron deficiency anemia

Background and aims

Portal hypertensive gastropathy (PHG) is common in patients with cirrhosis and may cause bleeding. This study systematically explored the independent impact of patient characteristics, portal hypertension and hepatic dysfunction on PHG severity and associated anemia.

Methods

Patients with cirrhosis undergoing endoscopy were included in this retrospective analysis and PHG was endoscopically graded as absent, mild or severe. Clinical and laboratory parameters and hepatic venous pressure gradient (HVPG) were assessed with respect to an association with severity of PHG.

Results

A total of 110 patients (mean age: 57 years, 69% male) with mostly alcoholic liver disease (49%) or viral hepatitis (30%) were included: 15 (13.6%) patients had no PHG, 59 (53.6%) had mild PHG, and 36 (32.7%) had severe PHG. Severe PHG was significantly associated with male sex (83.3% vs. 62.2% in no or mild PHG; p = 0.024) and higher Child-Turcotte-Pugh (CTP) stage (CTP-C: 38.9% vs. 27.0% in no or mild PHG; p = 0.030), while MELD was similar (p = 0.253). Patients with severe PHG had significantly lower hemoglobin values (11.2 ± 0.4 g/dL vs. 12.4 ± 0.2 g/dL; p = 0.008) and a higher prevalence of iron-deficiency anemia (IDA: 48.5% vs. 26.9%; p = 0.032). Interestingly, HVPG was not significantly higher in severe PHG (median 20 mm Hg) vs. mild PHG (19 mm Hg) and no PHG (18 mm Hg; p = 0.252). On multivariate analysis, CTP score (odds ratio, OR: 1.25, 95% confidence interval, CI 1.02–1.53; p = 0.033) was independently associated with severe PHG, while only a trend towards an independent association with IDA was observed (OR: 2.28, 95% CI 0.91–5.72; p = 0.078).

Conclusion

The CTP score but not HVPG or MELD were risk factors for severe PHG. Importantly, anemia and especially IDA are significantly more common in patients with severe PHG.

Electronic supplementary material

The online version of this article (10.1007/s00508-019-01593-w) contains supplementary material, which is available to authorized users.