Multiple sclerosis in south Cambridgeshire: incidence and prevalence based on a district register

Incidence and prevalence of multiple sclerosis in Europe: a systematic review

BACKGROUND

Multiple sclerosis (MS) is the most common cause of neurological disability in young adults worldwide and approximately half of those affected are in Europe. The assessment of differential incidence and prevalence across populations can reveal spatial, temporal and demographic patterns which are important for identifying genetic and environmental factors contributing to MS. However, study methodologies vary and the quality of the methods can influence the estimates. This study aimed to systematically review European studies of incidence and prevalence of MS and to provide a quantitative assessment of their methodological quality.

METHODS

A comprehensive literature search was performed to obtain all original population-based studies of MS incidence and prevalence in European populations conducted and published between January 1985 and January 2011. Only peer-reviewed full-text articles published in English or French were included. All abstracts were screened for eligibility and two trained reviewers abstracted the data and graded the quality of each study using a tool specifically designed for this study.

RESULTS

There were 123 studies that met the inclusion criteria. The study estimates were highly heterogeneous, even within regions or countries. Quality was generally higher in the more recent studies, which also tended to use current diagnostic criteria. Prevalence and incidence estimates tended to be higher in the more recent studies and were higher in the Nordic countries and in northern regions of the British Isles. With rare exceptions, prevalence and incidence estimates were higher in women with ratios as high as 3:1. Few studies examined ethnicity. Epidemiological data at the national level was uncommon and there were marked geographical disparities in available data, with large areas of Europe unrepresented and other regions well-represented in the literature. Only 37% of the studies provided standardized estimates.

CONCLUSIONS

Despite the breadth of the literature on the epidemiology of MS in Europe, inter-study comparisons are hampered by the lack of standardization. Further research should focus on regions not yet studied and the evaluation of ethnic differences in MS prevalence and incidence. National-level studies using current diagnostic criteria, validated case definitions and similar age- and sex-standardization would allow better geographical comparisons.

Geomagnetic disturbances may be environmental risk factor for multiple sclerosis: an ecological study of 111 locations in 24 countries

BACKGROUND

We noticed that a hypothesis based on the effect of geomagnetic disturbances (GMD) has the ability to explain special features of multiple sclerosis (MS). Areas around geomagnetic 60 degree latitude (GM60L) experience the greatest amount of GMD. The easiest way to evaluate our hypothesis was to test the association of MS prevalence (MSP) with angular distance to geomagnetic 60 degree latitude (AMAG60) and compare it with the known association of MS with geographical latitude (GL). We did the same with angular distance to geographic 60 degree latitude (AGRAPH60) as a control.

METHODS

English written papers with MSP keywords, done in Europe (EUR), North America (NA) or Australasia (AUS) were retrieved from the PubMed. Geomagnetic coordinates were determined for each location and AMAG60 was calculated as absolute value of numerical difference between its geomagnetic latitude from GM60L. By an ecological study with using meta-regression analyses, the relationship of MSP with GL, AMAG60 and AGRAPH60 were evaluated separately. MSP data were weighted by square root of number of prevalent cases. Models were compared by their adjusted R square (AR2) and standard error of estimate (SEE).

RESULTS

111 MSP data were entered in the study. In each continent, AMAG60 had the best correlation with MSP, the largest AR2 (0.47, 0.42 and 0.84 for EUR, NA and AUS, respectively) and the least SEE. Merging both hemispheres data, AMAG60 explained 56% of MSP variations with the least SEE (R = 0.75, AR2 = 0.56, SEE = 57), while GL explained 17% (R = 0.41, AR2 = 0.17, SEE = 78.5) and AGRAPH60 explained 12% of that variations with the highest SEE (R = 0.35, AR2 = 0.12, SEE = 80.5).

CONCLUSIONS

Our results confirmed that AMAG60 is the best describer of MSP variations and has the strongest association with MSP distribution. They clarified that the well-known latitudinal gradient of MSP may be actually a gradient related to GM60L. Moreover, the location of GM60L can elucidate why MSP has parabolic and linear gradient in the north and south hemisphere, respectively. This preliminary evaluation supported that GMD can be the mysterious environmental risk factor for MS. We believe that this hypothesis deserves to be considered for further validation studies.

Updated assessment of the prevalence, spectrum and case definition of autoimmune disease

Autoimmune diseases are heterogeneous with regard to prevalence, manifestations, and pathogenesis. The classification of autoimmune diseases has varied over time. Here, we have compiled a comprehensive up-to-date list of the autoimmune diseases, and have reviewed published literature to estimate their prevalence. We identified 81 autoimmune diseases. The overall estimated prevalence is 4.5%, with 2.7% for males and 6.4% for females. For specific diseases, prevalence ranges from 1% to <1/10(6). Considering all diseases in the class, the most common mean age-of-onset was 40-50 years. This list of autoimmune diseases has also yielded information about autoantigens. Forty-five autoimmune diseases have been associated with well-defined autoantigens. Of the diseases with known autoantigens, 33.3% had highly repetitive sequences, 35.6% had coiled-coil arrangements and 57.8% were associated with cellular membranes, which means that based on these structural motifs alone, autoantigens do not appear to be a random sample of the human proteome. Finally, we identified 19 autoimmune diseases that phenocopy diseases arising from germline mutations in the corresponding autoantigen. Collectively, our findings lead to a tentative proposal for criteria for assigning autoimmune pathogenesis to a particular disease.

The changing demographic pattern of multiple sclerosis epidemiology

The uneven distribution of multiple sclerosis (MS) across populations can be attributed to differences in genes and the environment and their interaction. Prevalence and incidence surveys could be affected by inaccuracy of diagnosis and ascertainment, and prevalence also depends on survival. These sources of error might play a part in the geographical and temporal variations. Our literature search and meta-regression analyses indicated an almost universal increase in prevalence and incidence of MS over time; they challenge the well accepted theory of a latitudinal gradient of incidence of MS in Europe and North America, while this gradient is still apparent for Australia and New Zealand; and suggest a general, although not ubiquitous, increase in incidence of MS in females. The latter observation should prompt epidemiological studies to focus on changes in lifestyle in females. New insights into gene-environment and gene-gene interactions complicate interpretations of demographic epidemiology and have made obsolete the idea of simple causative associations between genes or the environment and MS.

Factors in the rising prevalence of multiple sclerosis in the north-east of Ireland

BACKGROUND

Northern Ireland is recognized as an area of high risk for multiple sclerosis. The original study of Allison and Millar in 1951 found a prevalence of 51/100,000 and mean annual incidence of 2.74/100,000/year. Subsequent studies in 1961, 1986, and 1996 suggested rising prevalence--80, 138, and 168.2/100,000, respectively.

METHODS

In 2004, we surveyed the North-East of Northern Ireland (population 160,446, area 2030 km(2)) using multiple sources of case ascertainment, all satisfying the Poser criteria for definite or probable multiple sclerosis (MS) or the McDonald criteria.

RESULTS

From a provisional list of 469 cases, 370 (123 males, 247 females) were identified. The prevalence was 230.6 per 100,000 (95% CI 207.0-255.4) with significantly higher prevalence in females (300.8/100,000) than males (157.0/100,000). Direct standardization to the 1961 Northern Ireland population reduced the overall prevalence rate to 200.5/100,000 (95% CI 193.2-208.0), in females to 270.2/100,000 (95% CI 258.8-282.4) and in males to 131.1/100,000 (95% CI 122.8-139.9). In 1996, incidence had risen to 9.3/100,000/year (14 cases in population of 151,000) with a higher incidence in females (10.3/100,000/year) than males (8.3/100,000/year).

CONCLUSIONS

Northern Ireland continues to have a rising prevalence of MS. The increase in incidence suggests a true increase in the disease.

Incidence of multiple sclerosis in the United Kingdom

Existing data on the incidence of multiple sclerosis (MS) in the UK have some limitations. Few studies have reported age- and sex-specific incidence rates of MS, and none of those is based on a large sample of the general population. Further, no published reports have provided age- and sex-specific incidence rates of MS by clinical course from onset. To estimate the age- and sex-specific incidence rate and lifetime risk of multiple sclerosis, we identified all new cases of MS during the period 1993-2000 in the General Practice Research Database, which includes health information on over three million Britons. Based on 642 incident cases, incidence rates of MS adjusted to the world population were 7.2 (95 % CI 6.5, 7.8) in women and 3.1 (95 % CI 2.6, 3.5) in men. The incidence of MS with relapsing-remitting onset was higher in women than in men (incidence rate ratio 2.5, 95% CI 2.1, 3.1), but there were no sex differences for primary-progressive MS (incidence rate ratio 1.1, 95% CI 0.7, 1.8). The estimated lifetime risk from birth of receiving an MS diagnosis was 5.3 per 1,000 in women and 2.3 per 1,000 in men. These results confirm the relatively high incidence of MS in the UK and show marked differences in the sex-specific pattern of MS incidence by clinical course from onset.

Biographical disruption associated with multiple sclerosis: Using propensity scoring to assess the impact

Chronic illness such as multiple sclerosis (MS) is often associated with 'biographical disruption', a concept that is derived from qualitative narrative analyses examining how people make sense of their illness in the context of their lives [Bury, M. (1982). Chronic illness as biographical disruption. Sociology of Health and Illness, 4, 167-182]. This paper attempts to operationalise the idea of disruption to one's life trajectory in quantitative analysis by examining the social, economic and emotional disruption associated with MS. A number of studies have suggested that it impacts negatively on employment, income and sexual relationships; however previous research has been based upon samples of people with MS (pwMS), with a dearth of studies comparing pwMS with the general population. This study reports a systematic comparison of MS and non-MS households to enable the impact of MS to be quantified in terms of household composition and marital status; household income; economic activity; and to determine whether biographical disruptions such as relationship breakdown or unemployment are more or less prevalent among those affected by MS compared to the general population. The MS sample came from randomly selected members of the UK MS Society (n=783) and those accessing the MS Society website (n=133). Data for the general population came from the 2001/02 British General Household Survey (GHS). Cases from the MS Society sample were matched using propensity scoring with cases from the GHS. The results of the matched analysis show that both men and women with MS are significantly less likely to be employed than those in the general population and are significantly more likely to have a 'below average' household income, despite the fact that they are in a higher social class and have higher educational levels than people in the general population. Differences between the MS and GHS samples in terms of marital status become non-significant when socio-demographic variables are controlled for using propensity scoring. This study provides robust evidence on how MS impacts on and disrupts the life of the person with MS and their household in terms of income and employment.

An Overview of Neurological Disorders in Wales

This pragmatic work was undertaken to assist commissioners of health services in Wales in their planning for future provision of services for neurological and neurosurgical patients. A literature search, which was carried out to ascertain the epidemiology of neurological and neurosurgical disorders in Wales, revealed limited epidemiological surveys of patients in Wales, while other literatures although outdated were still relevant. More recent national reports, published by professional bodies and patients' organisations, were also identified. These disorders were also grouped according to their aetiology and symptoms into 13 groups. Using all the available literature, total estimates of annual incidence and point prevalence of these disorders were arrived at. We can conclude that approximately 5.8% of the population in Wales are affected by neurological and neurosurgical disorders that include headaches, traumatic and infectious diseases of the nervous system.

Increased risk for demyelinating diseases in patients with inflammatory bowel disease

BACKGROUND & AIMS

Reports of multiple sclerosis (MS), demyelination, and optic neuritis (ON) associated with anti-tumor necrosis factor alpha therapy resulted in warnings on prescribing instructions for infliximab, etanercept, and adalimumab. However, the underlying relationship between IBD and these neurologic conditions has not been established.

METHODS

We performed a retrospective cohort study and a retrospective cross-sectional study using 1988 to 1997 data from the General Practice Research Database. A total of 7988 Crohn's disease and 12,185 ulcerative colitis patients were matched for age, sex, and primary care practice to 80,666 randomly selected controls. In the cohort study, incident cases of MS, demyelination, and/or ON (MS/D/ON) had to occur at least 1 year after registration with the physician and after the diagnosis of IBD. In the cross-sectional study, the diagnosis of MS/D/ON could either precede or follow the IBD diagnosis.

RESULTS

In the cohort study, the incidence of MS/D/ON was higher in patients with Crohn's disease and ulcerative colitis compared with their matched controls, reaching statistical significance for ulcerative colitis (ulcerative colitis incidence rate ratio [IRR], 2.63; 95% confidence interval, 1.29-5.15; Crohn's disease IRR, 2.12; 95% confidence interval, .94-4.50). In the cross-sectional study, MS/D/ON was more prevalent in patients with Crohn's disease and ulcerative colitis compared with their matched controls (Crohn's disease odds ratio, 1.54; 95% confidence interval, 1.03-2.32; ulcerative colitis odds ratio, 1.75; 95% confidence interval, 1.28-2.39).

CONCLUSIONS

Demyelinating diseases occur more commonly among patients with IBD than among non-IBD patients. Future studies should clarify whether treatment with tumor necrosis factor alpha blockers results in further increased incidence of MS/D/ON among IBD patients.

Epidemiology of multiple sclerosis in Glasgow

STUDY OBJECTIVE

The objectives of the study were to establish the prevalence and incidence of multiple sclerosis in Glasgow and to assess the epidemiological importance of deprivation and ethnicity.

DESIGN

The study was a descriptive cross-sectional study. Multiple sources of ascertainment were used to identify cases.

SETTING AND PATIENTS

The study was carried out in the population of three Local Health Care Cooperatives (LHCCs) in the area of Greater Glasgow NHS Board. The total population was approximately 169,000.

MAIN RESULTS

In total, 245 patients with multiple sclerosis were identified. The mean age of patients was 49.8 years, the female to male ratio was 3.2:1, and the mean duration of disease was 16 years. The overall prevalence was 14.5 per 10,000, and the overall incidence 5.7 per 100,000 per year. Both the prevalence and incidence of multiple sclerosis were higher in the more affluent population. The crude prevalence in the Asian population was 6.3 per 20,000.

CONCLUSIONS

The epidemiology of multiple sclerosis in Glasgow was similar, in most respects, to the epidemiology described in other parts of the U.K. There was evidence for the importance of deprivation as a determinant of both incidence and prevalence of disease. The reasons for the higher incidence and prevalence of multiple sclerosis in less deprived populations are not clear.

Latitudinal variation in the prevalence of multiple sclerosis in Ireland, an effect of genetic diversity

BACKGROUND

Northern Ireland has a high and rising prevalence rate of multiple sclerosis (MS). The most recent survey in 1996 found a rate of 168.7/100 000. Recorded prevalence rates for the south of Ireland, including County Wexford, have been markedly lower and seemed to suggest the existence of a prevalence gradient within the island.

OBJECTIVES

To compare the prevalence of multiple sclerosis in Co. Wexford in the south east of Ireland and Co. Donegal in the north west, and to establish whether a variation in prevalence of MS exists within Ireland.

METHODS

Patients were referred from multiple sources. Review of clinical case records and/or patient examination confirmed the diagnosis.

RESULTS

In Co. Wexford, 126 patients were found to have clinically definite or probable multiple sclerosis with a prevalence rate of 120.7/100 000 (95% confidence intervals (CI) 100.6 to 143.8), which is similar to other areas of similar latitude within the British Isles. In Co. Donegal, 240 people had clinically definite or probable MS with a prevalence rate of 184.6/100 000 (95% CI 162.0 to 209.5). The difference in prevalence rates is statistically significant (Z = 3.94, p = <0.001).

CONCLUSION

There is a latitudinal variation in the prevalence rate of MS between the north and the south of Ireland. The increased prevalence of MS seen in Co. Wexford is likely to represent better case ascertainment and improved diagnostic accuracy rather than an actual increase in prevalence. The north/south variation in prevalence may represent a variation in the genetic predisposition to MS between the background populations of the two counties.

The cognitive ability of an incident cohort of Parkinson's patients in the UK. The CamPaIGN study

We have used multiple sources to identify a population-representative cohort of newly diagnosed patients with parkinsonism and Parkinson's disease in the UK over a 2-year period. All patients have been invited to participate in a detailed clinical assessment either at home or in an outpatient clinic. These assessments have been used to refine clinical diagnoses of parkinsonism using established criteria, and describe some of the phenotypic variability of Parkinson's disease at the time of diagnosis. The crude incidence of Parkinson's disease was 13.6/10(5yr-1) [confidence interval (CI) 11.8-15.6 and of parkinsonism was 20.9/10(5yr-1) (CI 18.7-23.3). Age-standardized to the 1991 European population, the incidence figures become 10.8/10(5yr-1) (CI 9.4-12.4) for Parkinson's disease and 16.6/10(5yr-1) (CI 14.8-18.6) for parkinsonism. Thirty-six per cent of the Parkinson's disease patients had evidence of cognitive impairment based on their performance in the Mini-Mental State Examination, a pattern recognition task, and the Tower of London task. The pattern of cognitive deficits seen among these patients using these and further cognitive tasks suggests that sub-groups of patients based on cognitive ability might be identifiable even in the early stages of disease, which may reflect regional differences in the underlying neuropathological processes.

Trends in prevalence and incidence of multiple sclerosis in Bajo Aragón, Spain

OBJECTIVE

Recent reports provide consistent evidence that Spain is an area of high risk for multiple sclerosis (MS) according to prevalence surveys. However, the studies of incidence are scarce. The objective of the current work is to analyse whether the increased prevalence of MS is accompanied by increasing incidence in the area of Bajo Aragón, northeastern Spain.

METHODS

The data of both prevalence and incidence were retrieved from a prospective register created in 1994 and which included patients with probable or definite MS. Crude and age-standardised rates were calculated from 1994 to 2002 and compared with those found retrospectively in the previous period of 1984-1993.

RESULTS

In January 2003, we found a prevalence rate of 75/100,000 (95% CI: 52-97) whereas it was 35/100,000 (95% CI: 20-50) in 1994. In a period of 9 years, 25 new cases were diagnosed in the area with a mean annual incidence rate of 4.6/100,000 (95% CI: 2.8-6.5; range: 1.6-13.6) in comparison to 17 new cases from 1984 to 1993 with a mean incidence rate of 3/100,000 (95% CI: 1.6-4.5). The standardised ratio of incidences was 1.44 (95% CI: 0.95-2.17) and, therefore, the difference of rates was not significant.

CONCLUSION

We conclude that the increase in prevalence of MS is more likely to be due to improvement on case ascertainment than to increasing incidence. Nonetheless, further prospective incidence studies in larger populations are warranted in Spain to elucidate whether the frequency of this disease is truly increasing.

Incidence and prevalence of multiple sclerosis in Olmsted County, Minnesota, 1985-2000

BACKGROUND

Epidemiologic data for multiple sclerosis (MS) in Olmsted County, MN, have been recorded for almost 100 years and have indicated that the increasing prevalence rate was likely due in part to an increasing incidence rate.

METHODS

All cases of MS diagnosed from 1985 to 2000 were identified using the centralized diagnostic index at the Mayo Clinic and the Rochester Epidemiology Program Project, a shared database of all medical practitioners in the county. Patients were required to have established residency at least 1 year prior to diagnosis of MS. Results were also age- and sex-adjusted to control for shifts in the population structure.

RESULTS

The raw prevalence of MS was determined to be 177 per 100,000 on December 1, 2000, and the raw incidence rate was 7.5 per 100,000 person-years at risk from 1985 to 2000.

CONCLUSIONS

After age and sex adjustment to a common population, these prevalence and incidence rates of MS appear to have been stable rather than increasing over the past 20 years.

The epidemiology of autoimmune diseases

Autoimmune diseases are among the leading causes of death among young and middle-aged women in the United States. Incidence rates vary among the autoimmune diseases, with estimates ranging from less than one newly-diagnosed case of systemic sclerosis to more than 20 cases of adult-onset rheumatoid arthritis per 100,000 person-years. Prevalence rates range from less than 5 per 100,000 (e.g. chronic active hepatitis, uveitis) to more than 500 per 100,000 (Grave disease, rheumatoid arthritis, thyroiditis). At least 85% of thyroiditis, systemic sclerosis, systemic lupus erythematosus, and Sjögren disease patients are female. Although most diseases can occur at any age, some diseases primarily occur in childhood and adolescence (e.g. type 1 diabetes), in the mid-adult years (e.g. myasthenia gravis, multiple sclerosis), or among older adults (e.g. rheumatoid arthritis, primary systemic vasculitis). Ethnic and geographic differences in incidence of specific autoimmune diseases have been documented, but specific groups may be at higher risk for some diseases and lower risk for other diseases. The incidence of type 1 diabetes increased but the rates of rheumatoid arthritis declined over the past 40 years. Thus although there are commonalities, there are also important demographic differences between diseases. Disease-specific research, as well as studies that focus on potentially related diseases, needs to be conducted.

The Danish Multiple Sclerosis Registry: a 50-year follow-up

The Danish Multiple Sclerosis Registry was established in 1948 in continuation with a nationwide survey of the prevalence of Multiple Sclerosis (MS) in Denmark. The register has since collected information on MS patients from all Danish departments of neurology, practising neurologists, MS rehabilitation centres, the National Patient Registry, the Danish MS Society, and departments of neuropathology. The registry is linked with the Danish Central Population Registry. The completeness has been estimated at more than 90%. All cases are reclassified by two neurologists as to diagnosis and year of onset. 12 070 cases with a confirmed diagnosis of MS are kept in the databases. They were prevalent in 1949 or have had onset in the period 1948 - 1993. The registry is continuously updated with new information on registered cases and new cases. The crude average annual incidence rate 1980 - 89 was 4.99/105; the prevalence rate was 112/105 by 1 January 1990. Cross-linking with other registers have enabled analytical prospective epidemiological studies, and the registry has provided population based unbiased samples of patients for a number of clinical studies.

Offspring recurrence rates and clinical characteristics of conjugal multiple sclerosis

BACKGROUND

There has been no previous systematic study of conjugal multiple sclerosis. This study of conjugal pairs with complex traits investigated disease transmissibility and the genetic contribution to frequency and clinical course.

METHODS

We studied 45 conjugal pairs concordant for multiple sclerosis from 58 pairs recorded in a national register of familial disease, 86 offspring of the 45 pairs were individually assessed for clinical evidence of neurological disease; those over age 16 underwent cranial magnetic resonance imaging. Clinical features were compared in 33 pairs in whom neither member had symptoms before they met.

FINDINGS

Of the 86 offspring, five (6%) had clinically definite multiple sclerosis. A further five children had either characteristic imaging abnormalities or clinical symptoms consistent with demyelination, but did not meet the criteria for clinically definite disease. There was no evidence of clinical concordance, clustering at year of onset, or distortion of the expected pattern of age of onset in the second affected spouse from 33 pairs. The crude recurrence in children of conjugal pairs (1 in 17) is significantly higher than previously reported population-based risk for offspring of single affected parents (1 in 200).

INTERPRETATION

Taken with the low prevalence of multiple sclerosis in the spouses of affected individuals, and the lack of concordance for age at onset in these families, the disparity in crude recurrence between children of conjugal pairs and those of single affected parents shows that the recurrence risk in children is determined by genetic factors inherited from both parents.