Hemogram as marker of in-hospital mortality in COVID-19

Meta-analysis of the systemic immune-inflammatory index and in-hospital mortality of COVID-19 patients

Background

The potential significance of immunoinflammatory factors in the prognosis of individuals afflicted with coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) is worthy of examination. The systemic immune-inflammatory index (SII), a recently developed immunoinflammatory metric based on the enumeration of neutrophils, platelets, and lymphocytes in blood samples, holds promise for elucidating this relationship. Consequently, in order to explore any possible correlation between the SII levels at admission and the in-hospital mortality of patients with COVID-19, we undertook a thorough systematic review and meta-analysis.

Methods

In pursuit of accomplishing the aim of this meta-analysis, an extensive search was conducted to seek out pertinent observational studies featuring longitudinal follow-up across PubMed, Cochrane Library, Embase and the Web of Science databases. The I2 statistic was utilized to estimate the extent of heterogeneity and the Cochrane Q test was employed to evaluate heterogeneity between studies. The synthesis of outcomes involved the use of random-effects models, accounting for the possible influence of heterogeneity.

Results

Our analysis included sixteen studies, encompassing 10,007 hospitalized COVID-19 patients. Among them, 1801 patients (18.0 %) succumbed during hospitalization. The pooled results indicated that a high SII at admission was substantially linked to a higher risk of all-cause mortality (risk ratio [RR]: 2.41, 95 % confidence interval: 1.78 to 3.24, p < 0.001; I2 = 86 %). Meta-regression analysis demonstrated a negative correlation between mean SII at baseline and patient mortality in individual studies (coefficients = -0.00023 and -0.030, p < 0.05), effectively explaining the observed heterogeneity. Furthermore, in patients with lower baseline SII (<1300) and a lower risk of mortality (<20 %), we observed a more pronounced association between high SII levels and the risk of all-cause mortality.

Conclusion

The results of our study indicate that a high SII upon admission could potentially function as a prognostic indicator for mortality during hospitalization in patients diagnosed with COVID-19, particularly in individuals categorized as low risk.

Hemograms and serial hemogram-derived ratios in survivors and non-survivors of COVID-19 in Campinas, Brazil

INTRODUCTION

The hemogram and hemogram-derivative ratios (HDRs) are becoming markers of the severity and mortality of COVID-19. We evaluated the hemograms and serial weekly HDRs [neutrophil-lymphocyte ratio (NLR), monocyte-lymphocyte ratio (MLR), platelet-lymphocyte ratio (PLR), neutrophil-platelet ratio (NPR) and systemic immune-inflammatory index (SII)] in the survivors and non-survivors of COVID-19.

METHODS

We retrospectively reviewed the medical notes and serial hemograms of real-time reverse-transcription polymerase chain reaction (RT-PCR)-confirmed COVID-19 adults hospitalized from April 2020 to March 2021 from the time of diagnosis to the 3rd week of diagnosis.

RESULTS

Of the 320 adults, 257 (80.3%) were survivors and had a lower mean age than the non-survivors (57.73 vs. 64.65 years, p < 0.001). At diagnosis, the non-survivors had lower hematocrit (p = 0.021), and lymphocyte (p = 0.002) and basophil (p = 0.049) counts and the hematocrit showed a p-value (Is this what you meant???) of 0.021); higher NLR (p < 0.001), PLR (p = 0.047), NPR (p = 0.022) and SII (p = 0.022). Using general linear models, the survivors and non-survivors showed significant variations with weekly lymphocyte count (p < 0.001), neutrophil count (p = 0.005), NLR (p = 0.009), MLR (p = 0.010) and PLR (p = 0.035). All HDRs remained higher in the non-survivors in the 2nd week and 3rd week of diagnosis and the HDRs were higher in the intubated patients than in the non-intubated patients. The NLR and SII were more efficient predictors of mortality in COVID-19 patients.

CONCLUSIONS

This study shows that serial lymphocyte and neutrophil counts, NLR, PLR, MLR, NPR and SII could serve as good and easily accessible markers of severity and predictors of outcomes in COVID-19 patients and should be used for the monitoring of treatment response.

COVID-19 fatality rates in hospitalized patients: A new systematic review and meta-analysis

BACKGROUND

SARS-COV2 or COVID-19 disease is an infectious illness that emerged for the first time at the end of 2019, in Wuhan, China and rapidly turned out to be an international pandemic with deleterious effects all over the world. In March 2021, A. Macedo et al., has published the first meta-analysis of hospital mortality, so the authors decided to update those data at a time of emergence of new therapies and increasing vaccination rates.

METHODS

As the outcome of interest was the mortality in hospitalized general patients, the authors looked for articles evaluating the clinical characteristics of those patients, consulting PUBMED (The US National Library of Medicine) and EMBASE (Medical database) in an independent selection using predefined terms of search. A meta-analysis random-effect model was estimated using Mantel-Haenszel method. Heterogeneity among studies was tested using Tau2 statistics and Chi2 statistics.

RESULTS

In a first instance 25 articles were included for final analysis with a total of 103,840 patients, but as the goal was to update the anterior data, these studies were analysed together with the 21 studies of the previous meta-analysis, with a total of 114609 patients. The mortality rate of COVID-19 general patients admitted to the hospital was 16% (95% CI 12; 21, I2 =100%).

CONCLUSION

Global hospital mortality of COVID-19 of general patients was 16%, with quite different rates according to the different geographic areas analysed.

Improving prediction of COVID-19 mortality using machine learning in the Spanish SEMI-COVID-19 registry

COVID-19 is responsible for high mortality, but robust machine learning-based predictors of mortality are lacking. To generate a model for predicting mortality in patients hospitalized with COVID-19 using Gradient Boosting Decision Trees (GBDT). The Spanish SEMI-COVID-19 registry includes 24,514 pseudo-anonymized cases of patients hospitalized with COVID-19 from 1 February 2020 to 5 December 2021. This registry was used as a GBDT machine learning model, employing the CatBoost and BorutaShap classifier to select the most relevant indicators and generate a mortality prediction model by risk level, ranging from 0 to 1. The model was validated by separating patients according to admission date, using the period 1 February to 31 December 2020 (first and second waves, pre-vaccination period) for training, and 1 January to 30 November 2021 (vaccination period) for the test group. An ensemble of ten models with different random seeds was constructed, separating 80% of the patients for training and 20% from the end of the training period for cross-validation. The area under the receiver operating characteristics curve (AUC) was used as a performance metric. Clinical and laboratory data from 23,983 patients were analyzed. CatBoost mortality prediction models achieved an AUC performance of 84.76 (standard deviation 0.45) for patients in the test group (potentially vaccinated patients not included in model training) using 16 features. The performance of the 16-parameter GBDT model for predicting COVID-19 hospital mortality, although requiring a relatively large number of predictors, shows a high predictive capacity.

Systemic inflammation index, disease severity, and mortality in patients with COVID-19: a systematic review and meta-analysis

Introduction

An excessive systemic pro-inflammatory state increases the risk of severe disease and mortality in patients with coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19). However, there is uncertainty regarding whether specific biomarkers of inflammation can enhance risk stratification in this group. We conducted a systematic review and meta-analysis to investigate an emerging biomarker of systemic inflammation derived from routine hematological parameters, the systemic inflammation index (SII), in COVID-19 patients with different disease severity and survival status.

Methods

A systematic literature search was conducted in PubMed, Web of Science, and Scopus, between the 1st of December 2019 and the 15th of March 2023. Risk of bias and certainty of evidence were assessed using the Joanna Briggs Institute Critical Appraisal Checklist and the Grades of Recommendation, Assessment, Development and Evaluation, respectively (PROSPERO registration number: CRD42023420517).

Results

In 39 studies, patients with a severe disease or non-survivor status had significantly higher SII values on admission compared to patients with a non-severe disease or survivor status (standard mean difference (SMD)=0.91, 95% CI 0.75 to 1.06, p<0.001; moderate certainty of evidence). The SII was also significantly associated with the risk of severe disease or death in 10 studies reporting odds ratios (1.007, 95% CI 1.001 to 1.014, p=0.032; very low certainty of evidence) and in six studies reporting hazard ratios (1.99, 95% CI 1.01 to 3.92, p=0.047; very low certainty of evidence). Pooled sensitivity, specificity, and area under the curve for severe disease or mortality were 0.71 (95% CI 0.67 to 0.75), 0.71 (95% CI 0.64 to 0.77), and 0.77 (95% CI 0.73 to 0.80), respectively. In meta-regression, significant correlations were observed between the SMD and albumin, lactate dehydrogenase, creatinine, and D-dimer.

Discussion

Our systematic review and meta-analysis has shown that the SII on admission is significantly associated with severe disease and mortality in patients with COVID-19. Therefore, this inflammatory biomarker derived from routine haematological parameters can be helpful for early risk stratification in this group.

Systematic review registration

https://www.crd.york.ac.uk/PROSPERO, identifier CRD42023420517.

How to diagnose COVID-19 in family practice? Usability of complete blood count as a COVID-19 diagnostic tool: a cross-sectional study in Turkey

OBJECTIVE

COVID-19 is currently diagnosed in hospital settings. An easy and practical diagnosis of COVID-19 is needed in primary care. For this purpose, the usability of complete blood count in the diagnosis of COVID-19 was investigated.

DESIGN

Retrospective, cross-sectional study.

SETTING

Single-centre study in a tertiary university hospital in Erzurum, Turkey.

PARTICIPANTS

Between March 2020 and February 2021, patients aged 18-70 years who applied to the hospital and underwent both complete blood count and reverse-transcription-PCR tests for COVID-19 were included and compared. Conditions affecting the test parameters (oncological-haematological conditions, chronic diseases, drug usage) were excluded.

OUTCOME MEASURE

The complete blood count and COVID-19 results of eligible patients identified using diagnostic codes [U07.3 (COVID-19) or Z03.8 (observation for other suspected diseases and conditions)] were investigated.

RESULTS

Of the 978 patients included, 39.4% (n=385) were positive for COVID-19 and 60.6% (n=593) were negative. The mean age was 41.5±14.5 years, and 53.9% (n=527) were male. COVID-19-positive patients were found to have significantly lower leucocyte, neutrophil, lymphocyte, monocyte, basophil, platelet and immature granulocyte (IG) values (p<0.001). Neutrophil/lymphocyte, neutrophil/monocyte and IG/lymphocyte ratios were also found to be significantly decreased (p<0.001). With logistic regression analysis, low lymphocyte count (OR 0.695; 95% CI 0.597 to 0.809) and low red cell distribution width-coefficient of variation (RDW-CV) (OR 0.887; 95% CI 0.818 to 0.962) were significantly associated with COVID-19 positivity. In receiver operating characteristic analysis, the cut-off values of lymphocyte and RDW-CV were 0.745 and 12.35, respectively.

CONCLUSION

Although our study was designed retrospectively and reflects regional data, it is important to determine that low lymphocyte count and RDW-CV can be used in the diagnosis of COVID-19 in primary care.

Hematological ratios in coronavirus disease 2019 patients with and without invasive mechanical ventilation

Patients with the most severe form of coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) often require invasive ventilation. Determining the best moment to intubate a COVID-19 patient is complex decision and can result in important consequences for the patient. Therefore, markers that could aid in clinical decision-making such as hematological indices are highly useful. These markers are easy to calculate, do not generate extra costs for the laboratory, and are readily implemented in routine practice. Thus, this study aimed to investigate differences in the ratios calculated from the hemogram between patients with and without the need for invasive mechanical ventilation (IMV) and a control group. This was an observational retrospective analysis of 212 patients with COVID-19 that were hospitalized between April 1, 2020 and March 31, 2021 who were stratified as IMV (n = 129) or did not require invasive mechanical ventilation (NIMV) (n = 83). A control group of 198 healthy individuals was also included. From the first hemogram of each patient performed after admission, the neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR), the derived NLR (d-NLR), the lymphocyte-to-monocyte ratio, the platelet-to-lymphocyte ratio, the neutrophil-to-platelet ratio (NPR), and the systemic immune-inflammation index (SII) were calculated. All hematological ratios exhibited significant differences between the control group and COVID-19 patients. NLR, d-NLR, SII, and NPR were higher in the IMV group than they were in the NIMV group. The hematological indices addressed in this study demonstrated high potential for use as auxiliaries in clinical decision-making regarding the need for IMV.

Clinical Significance and Diagnostic Utility of NLR, LMR, PLR and SII in the Course of COVID-19: A Literature Review

Nowadays, society is increasingly struggling with infectious diseases that are characterized by severe course and even death. Recently, the whole world has faced the greatest epidemiological threat, which is COVID-19 caused by SARS CoV-2 virus. SARS CoV-2 infection is often accompanied by severe inflammation, which can lead to the development of different complications. Consequently, clinicians need easily interpreted and effective markers of inflammation that can predict the efficacy of the treatment and patient prognosis. Inflammation is associated with changes in many biochemical and hematological parameters, including leukocyte counts and their populations. In COVID-19, changes in leukocytes count populations such as neutrophils, lymphocytes or monocytes are observed. The numerous research confirm that indicators like neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR), lymphocyte-to-monocyte ratio (LMR), platelets-to-lymphocyte ratio (PLR) and systemic inflammatory index (SII) may prove effective in assessment patient prognosis and choosing optimal therapy. Therefore, in this review, we would like to summarize the latest knowledge about the diagnostic utility of systemic inflammatory ratios - NLR, LMR, PLR and SII in patients with COVID-19. We focused on the papers evaluating the diagnostic utility of inflammatory ratios using ROC curve published in the recent 3 years. Identification of biomarkers associated with inflammation would help the selection of patients with severe course of COVID-19 and high risk of death.

Validation of the RIM Score-COVID in the Spanish SEMI-COVID-19 Registry

The significant impact of COVID-19 worldwide has made it necessary to develop tools to identify patients at high risk of severe disease and death. This work aims to validate the RIM Score-COVID in the SEMI-COVID-19 Registry. The RIM Score-COVID is a simple nomogram with high predictive capacity for in-hospital death due to COVID-19 designed using clinical and analytical parameters of patients diagnosed in the first wave of the pandemic. The nomogram uses five variables measured on arrival to the emergency department (ED): age, sex, oxygen saturation, C-reactive protein level, and neutrophil-to-platelet ratio. Validation was performed in the Spanish SEMI-COVID-19 Registry, which included consecutive patients hospitalized with confirmed COVID-19 in Spain. The cohort was divided into three time periods: T1 from February 1 to June 10, 2020 (first wave), T2 from June 11 to December 31, 2020 (second wave, pre-vaccination period), and T3 from January 1 to December 5, 2021 (vaccination period). The model's accuracy in predicting in-hospital COVID-19 mortality was assessed using the area under the receiver operating characteristics curve (AUROC). Clinical and laboratory data from 22,566 patients were analyzed: 15,976 (70.7%) from T1, 4,233 (18.7%) from T2, and 2,357 from T3 (10.4%). AUROC of the RIM Score-COVID in the entire SEMI-COVID-19 Registry was 0.823 (95%CI 0.819-0.827) and was 0.834 (95%CI 0.830-0.839) in T1, 0.792 (95%CI 0.781-0.803) in T2, and 0.799 (95%CI 0.785-0.813) in T3. The RIM Score-COVID is a simple, easy-to-use method for predicting in-hospital COVID-19 mortality that uses parameters measured in most EDs. This tool showed good predictive ability in successive disease waves.

Randomized phase II clinical trial of ruxolitinib plus simvastatin in COVID19 clinical outcome and cytokine evolution

Background

Managing the inflammatory response to SARS-Cov-2 could prevent respiratory insufficiency. Cytokine profiles could identify cases at risk of severe disease.

Methods

We designed a randomized phase II clinical trial to determine whether the combination of ruxolitinib (5 mg twice a day for 7 days followed by 10 mg BID for 7 days) plus simvastatin (40 mg once a day for 14 days), could reduce the incidence of respiratory insufficiency in COVID-19. 48 cytokines were correlated with clinical outcome.

Participants

Patients admitted due to COVID-19 infection with mild disease.

Results

Up to 92 were included. Mean age was 64 ± 17, and 28 (30%) were female. 11 (22%) patients in the control arm and 6 (12%) in the experimental arm reached an OSCI grade of 5 or higher (p = 0.29). Unsupervised analysis of cytokines detected two clusters (CL-1 and CL-2). CL-1 presented a higher risk of clinical deterioration vs CL-2 (13 [33%] vs 2 [6%] cases, p = 0.009) and death (5 [11%] vs 0 cases, p = 0.059). Supervised Machine Learning (ML) analysis led to a model that predicted patient deterioration 48h before occurrence with a 85% accuracy.

Conclusions

Ruxolitinib plus simvastatin did not impact the outcome of COVID-19. Cytokine profiling identified patients at risk of severe COVID-19 and predicted clinical deterioration.

Trial registration

https://clinicaltrials.gov/, identifier NCT04348695.

Identification of Parameters Representative of Immune Dysfunction in Patients with Severe and Fatal COVID-19 Infection: a Systematic Review and Meta-analysis

Abnormal immunological indicators associated with disease severity and mortality in patients with COVID-19 have been reported in several observational studies. However, there are marked heterogeneities in patient characteristics and research methodologies in these studies. We aimed to provide an updated synthesis of the association between immune-related indicators and COVID-19 prognosis. We conducted an electronic search of PubMed, Scopus, Ovid, Willey, Web of Science, Cochrane library, and CNKI for studies reporting immunological and/or immune-related parameters, including hematological, inflammatory, coagulation, and biochemical variables, tested on hospital admission of COVID-19 patients with different severities and outcomes. A total of 145 studies were included in the current meta-analysis, with 26 immunological, 11 hematological, 5 inflammatory, 4 coagulation, and 10 biochemical variables reported. Of them, levels of cytokines, including IL-1β, IL-1Ra, IL-2R, IL-4, IL-6, IL-8, IL-10, IL-18, TNF-α, IFN-γ, IgA, IgG, and CD4⁺ T/CD8⁺ T cell ratio, WBC, neutrophil, platelet, ESR, CRP, ferritin, SAA, D-dimer, FIB, and LDH were significantly increased in severely ill patients or non-survivors. Moreover, non-severely ill patients or survivors presented significantly higher counts of lymphocytes, monocytes, lymphocyte/monocyte ratio, eosinophils, CD3⁺ T,CD4⁺T and CD8⁺T cells, B cells, and NK cells. The currently updated meta-analysis primarily identified a hypercytokinemia profile with the severity and mortality of COVID-19 containing IL-1β, IL-1Ra, IL-2R, IL-4, IL-6, IL-8, IL-10, IL-18, TNF-α, and IFN-γ. Impaired innate and adaptive immune responses, reflected by decreased eosinophils, lymphocytes, monocytes, B cells, NK cells, T cells, and their subtype CD4⁺ and CD8⁺ T cells, and augmented inflammation, coagulation dysfunction, and nonpulmonary organ injury, were marked features of patients with poor prognosis. Therefore, parameters of immune response dysfunction combined with inflammatory, coagulated, or nonpulmonary organ injury indicators may be more sensitive to predict severe patients and those non-survivors.

Platelet-derived immuno-inflammatory indices show best performance in early prediction of COVID-19 progression

Background

Coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID‐19) profoundly affects the immune and hematopoietic systems with various degrees of reactive changes in the blood cell counts. Immuno‐inflammatory indices are considered a simple and effective tool in the prediction of COVID‐19 outcomes. We aimed to evaluate and compare the usefulness of leukocyte and platelet counts‐based immuno‐inflammatory indices on admission to hospital in predicting COVID‐19 progression and mortality.

Methods

A total of 945 patients were enrolled. In addition to blood cell counts, we assessed hemogram‐derived immuno‐inflammatory indices in relation to COVID‐19 progression and death. The indices were tested by analysis of variance, receiver operating characteristic curve analysis, and binomial logistic regressions.

Results

Patients with severe COVID‐19 had significantly higher counts of neutrophils, eosinophils, and large immature cells (LIC), while decreased counts of platelets and monocytes. Lymphopenia was found in all of the patients, but without significant association with the outcomes. Patients with a LIC count ≥0.265 x 0⁹/L had 54.7% more odds of having COVID‐19 progression. In multivariable analyses, platelets/neutrophil‐to‐lymphocyte ratio (P/NLR) and platelets‐to‐neutrophil radio (P/N) were significant independent predictors of COVID‐19 progression and mortality. The odds of a poor outcome were two times higher in cases with P/NLR < 43 x 10⁹/L and P/N < 29 x 10⁹/L.

Conclusion

Indices that include platelet count in combination with neutrophil and/or lymphocyte counts displayed the best discriminatory ability and prognostic value of COVID‐19 outcomes. Additionally, LIC showed promising results in the early identification of severe COVID‐19.

Significance of hemogram‐derived ratios for predicting in‐hospital mortality in COVID‐19: A multicenter study

Background

To address the problem of resource limitation, biomarkers having a potential for mortality prediction are urgently required. This study was designed to evaluate whether hemogram‐derived ratios could predict in‐hospital deaths in COVID‐19 patients.

Materials and Methods

This multicenter retrospective study included hospitalized COVID‐19 patients from four COVID‐19 dedicated hospitals in Sylhet, Bangladesh. Data on clinical characteristics, laboratory parameters, and survival outcomes were analyzed. Logistic regression models were fitted to identify the predictors of in‐hospital death.

Results

Out of 442 patients, 55 (12.44%) suffered in‐hospital death. The proportion of male was higher in nonsurvivor group (61.8%). The mean age was higher in nonsurvivors (69 ± 13 vs. 59 ± 14 years, p < 0.001). Compared to survivors, nonsurvivors exhibited higher frequency of comorbidities, such as chronic kidney disease (34.5% vs. 15.2%, p ≤ 0.001), chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (23.6% vs. 10.6%, p = 0.011), ischemic heart disease (41.8% vs. 19.4%, p < 0.001), and diabetes mellitus (76.4% vs. 61.8%, p = 0.05). Leukocytosis and lymphocytopenia were more prevalent in nonsurvivors (p < 0.05). Neutrophil‐to‐lymphocyte ratio (NLR), derived NLR (d‐NLR), and neutrophil‐to‐platelet ratio (NPR) were significantly higher in nonsurvivors (p < 0.05). After adjusting for potential covariates, NLR (odds ratio [OR] 1.05; 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.009‐1.08), d‐NLR (OR 1.08; 95% CI 1.006‐1.14), and NPR (OR 1.20; 95% CI 1.09‐1.32) have been found to be significant predictors of mortality in hospitalized COVID‐19 patients. The optimal cut‐off points for NLR, d‐NLR, and NPR for prediction of in‐hospital mortality for COVID‐19 patients were 7.57, 5.52 and 3.87, respectively.

Conclusion

Initial assessment of NLR, d‐NLR, and NPR values at hospital admission is of good prognostic value for predicting mortality of patients with COVID‐19.

Melatonin as adjunctive therapy in patients admitted to the Covid-19

Objective

Coronavirus has disrupted the natural order of the world since September 2019 with no specific medication. The beneficial effects of melatonin on sepsis and viral influenza were demonstrated previously, but its effects on covid-19, especially COVID -19 ICU, is unclear. Therefore, our aim was to determine the effects of melatonin in COVID-19 ICU patients.

Methods

This is a retrospective cohort study in which the records of patients admitted to COVID -19 ICU of (XXX) during March to June 2020 were reviewed. According to inclusion criteria, patients who received 15 mg of melatonin daily were called MRG and the rest were called NMRG.

Results

Thirty-one patients were included and analyzed, of which twelve patients were in MRG. Demographic and clinical characteristics, and laboratory data were similar between two groups at ICU admission. Melatonin had no significant effect on ICU duration, CRP and ESR, also the trend of changes was in favor of melatonin. Nevertheless, melatonin significantly reduced the NLR (OR = −9.81, p = 0.003), and also declined mortality marginally (p = 0.09). Melatonin was well tolerated with no major adverse effects, moreover the thrombocytopenia occurrence was significantly lower in MRG (p = 0.005). In MRG, survival increased and mortality risk decreased, although the difference between groups wasn't significant (p = 0.37), which might be related to the small sample-size.

Conclusion

Our study showed that melatonin is unlikely to reduce mortality among COVID19 patients and with no significant effect on disease-specific biochemical parameters.

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Coronavirus has disrupted the natural order of the world since September 2019 with no specific medication.

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The beneficial effects of melatonin on sepsis and viral influenza were demonstrated previously.

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Our survey showed melatonin had a beneficial effect on survival and mortality risk.

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As well as platelets and lymphocytes without life-threatening complications.

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Melatonin was an essential adjuvant therapy in patients admitted to covid-19 ICU.

Iron dysregulation in COVID-19 and reciprocal evolution of SARS-CoV-2: Natura nihil frustra facit

After more than a year of the COVID-19 pandemic, SARS-CoV-2 infection rates with newer variants continue to devastate much of the world. Global healthcare systems are overwhelmed with high positive patient numbers. Silent hypoxia accompanied by rapid deterioration and some cases with septic shock is responsible for COVID-19 mortality in many hospitalized patients. There is an urgent need to further understand the relationships and interplay with human host components during pathogenesis and immune evasion strategies. Currently, acquired immunity through vaccination or prior infection usually provides sufficient protection against the emerging variants of SARS-CoV-2 except Omicron variant requiring recent booster. New strains have shown higher viral loads and greater transmissibility with more severe disease presentations. Notably, COVID-19 has a peculiar prognosis in severe patients with iron dysregulation and hypoxia which is still poorly understood. Studies have shown abnormally low serum iron levels in severe infection but a high iron overload in lung fibrotic tissue. Data from our in-silico structural analysis of the spike protein sequence along with host proteolysis processing suggests that the viral spike protein fragment mimics Hepcidin and is resistant to the major human proteases. This functional spike-derived peptide dubbed "Covidin" thus may be intricately involved with host ferroportin binding and internalization leading to dysregulated host iron metabolism. Here, we propose the possible role of this potentially allogenic mimetic hormone corresponding to severe COVID-19 immunopathology and illustrate that this molecular mimicry is responsible for a major pathway associated with severe disease status. Furthermore, through 3D molecular modeling and docking followed by MD simulation validation, we have unraveled the likely role of Covidin in iron dysregulation in COVID-19 patients. Our meta-analysis suggests the Hepcidin mimetic mechanism is highly conserved among its host range as well as among all new variants to date including Omicron. Extensive analysis of current mutations revealed that new variants are becoming alarmingly more resistant to selective human proteases associated with host defense.

New Discovery of Myeloid-Derived Suppressor Cell's Tale on Viral Infection and COVID-19

Myeloid-derived suppressor cells (MDSCs) are generated under biological stress such as cancer, inflammatory tissue damage, and viral infection. In recent years, with occurrence of global infectious diseases, new discovery on MDSCs functions has been significantly expanded during viral infection and COVID-19. For a successful viral infection, pathogens viruses develop immune evasion strategies to avoid immune recognition. Numerous viruses induce the differentiation and expansion of MDSCs in order to suppress host immune responses including natural killer cells, antigen presenting cells, and T-cells. Moreover, MDSCs play an important role in regulation of immunopathogenesis by balancing viral infection and tissue damage. In this review article, we describe the overview of immunomodulation and genetic regulation of MDSCs during viral infection in the animal model and human studies. In addition, we include up-to-date review of role of MDSCs in SARS-CoV-2 infection and COVID-19. Finally, we discuss potential therapeutics targeting MDSCs.

Predictive Value of Systemic Immune-Inflammation index and Neutrophil-to-Lymphocyte Ratio in Patients with Severe COVID-19

Objective: It was initially reported that a novel coronavirus (COVID-19) had been identified in Wuhan, China, in December 2019.To date, COVID-19 is still threatening all humanity and has affected the public healthcare system and the world economic situation. Neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR) has also been demonstrated that associated with severity of COVID-19, but little is known about systemic immune-inflammation index (SII) relation with COVID-19. Methods: One hundred and twenty-five patients with diagnosed COVID-19 including non-severe cases (n = 77) and severe cases (n = 48) were enrolled in this study. Each patient of clinical characteristic information, blood routine parameters, and the haemogram-derived ratios were collected, calculated, and retrospectively analyzed. Receiver operating characteristics (ROC) was performed to investigate whether these parameters could be used to the predictive value of patients with severe COVID-19. Results: White blood cell count (WBC), neutrophil count (NEU), red cell volume distribution width (RDW), NLR, Platelet to lymphocyte ratio (PLR), neutrophil-to-platelet ratio (NPR), and SII were significantly higher in the severe groups than in the non-severe group (p < 0.01).Conversely, the severe group had a markedly decreased lymphocyte count, basophil (Baso#) count, red blood cell count (RBC), Hemoglobin (HGB), hematocrit (HCT), and lymphocyte-to-monocyte ratio (LMR) (P < 0.01).ROC curve analysis showed the AUC, optimal cut-off value, sensitivity, specificity of NLR and SII to early predict severe-patients with COVID-19 were 0.867, 7.25, 70.83%, 92.21% and 0.860, 887.20, 81.25%, 81.82%, respectively. Conclusion The results suggest that the SII and NLR is a potential new diagnosed biomarker in severe-patients with COVID-19.

Hemogram-derived ratios as prognostic markers of ICU admission in COVID-19

Background

The vast impact of COVID-19 call for the identification of clinical parameter that can help predict a torpid evolution. Among these, endothelial injury has been proposed as one of the main pathophysiological mechanisms underlying the disease, promoting a hyperinflammatory and prothrombotic state leading to worse clinical outcomes. Leukocytes and platelets play a key role in inflammation and thrombogenesis, hence the objective of the current study was to study whether neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR), platelets-to-lymphocyte ratio (PLR), the systemic immune-inflammation index (SII) as well as the new parameter neutrophil-to-platelet ratio (NPR), could help identify patients who at risk of admission at Intensive Care Units.

Methods

A retrospective observational study was performed at HM Hospitales including electronic health records from 2245 patients admitted due to COVID-19 from March 1 to June 10, 2020. Patients were divided into two groups, admitted at ICU or not.

Results

Patients who were admitted at the ICU had significantly higher values in all hemogram-derived ratios at the moment of hospital admission compared to those who did not need ICU admission. Specifically, we found significant differences in NLR (6.9 [4–11.7] vs 4.1 [2.6–7.6], p <  0.0001), PLR (2 [1.4–3.3] vs 1.9 [1.3–2.9], p = 0.023), NPR (3 [2.1–4.2] vs 2.3 [1.6–3.2], p <  0.0001) and SII (13 [6.5–25.7] vs 9 [4.9–17.5], p <  0.0001) compared to those who did not require ICU admission. After multivariable logistic regression models, NPR was the hemogram-derived ratio with the highest predictive value of ICU admission, (OR 1.11 (95% CI: 0.98–1.22, p = 0.055).

Conclusions

Simple, hemogram-derived ratios obtained from early hemogram at hospital admission, especially the novelty NPR, have shown to be useful predictors of risk of ICU admission in patients hospitalized due to COVID-19.

Supplementary Information

The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1186/s12873-021-00480-w.

Risk Score for Predicting In-Hospital Mortality in COVID-19 (RIM Score)

Infection by SARS-CoV2 has devastating consequences on health care systems. It is a global health priority to identify patients at risk of fatal outcomes. 1955 patients admitted to HM-Hospitales from 1 March to 10 June 2020 due to COVID-19, were were divided into two groups, 1310 belonged to the training cohort and 645 to validation cohort. Four different models were generated to predict in-hospital mortality. Following variables were included: age, sex, oxygen saturation, level of C-reactive-protein, neutrophil-to-platelet-ratio (NPR), neutrophil-to-lymphocyte-ratio (NLR) and the rate of changes of both hemogram ratios (VNLR and VNPR) during the first week after admission. The accuracy of the models in predicting in-hospital mortality were evaluated using the area under the receiver-operator-characteristic curve (AUC). AUC for models including NLR and NPR performed similarly in both cohorts: NLR 0.873 (95% CI: 0.849–0.898), NPR 0.875 (95% CI: 0.851–0.899) in training cohort and NLR 0.856 (95% CI: 0.818–0.895), NPR 0.863 (95% CI: 0.826–0.901) in validation cohort. AUC was 0.885 (95% CI: 0.885–0.919) for VNLR and 0.891 (95% CI: 0.861–0.922) for VNPR in the validation cohort. According to our results, models are useful in predicting in-hospital mortality risk due to COVID-19. The RIM Score proposed is a simple, widely available tool that can help identify patients at risk of fatal outcomes.