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Cvijanovic D, Grubor N, Rajovic N, Vucevic M, Miltenovic S, Laban M, Mostic T, Tasic R, Matejic B, Milic N. Assessing COVID-19 Mortality in Serbia's Capital: Model-Based Analysis of Excess Deaths. JMIR Public Health Surveill 2025; 11:e56877. [PMID: 40246590 PMCID: PMC12021472 DOI: 10.2196/56877] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 02/05/2024] [Revised: 10/01/2024] [Accepted: 10/02/2024] [Indexed: 04/19/2025] Open
Abstract
Background Concerns have been raised about discrepancies in COVID-19 mortality data, particularly between preliminary and final datasets of vital statistics in Serbia. In the original preliminary dataset, released daily during the ongoing pandemic, there was an underestimation of deaths in contrast to those reported in the subsequently released yearly dataset of vital statistics. Objective This study aimed to assess the accuracy of the final mortality dataset and justify its use in further analyses. In addition, we quantified the relative impact of COVID-19 on the death rate in the Serbian capital's population. In the process, we aimed to explore whether any evidence of cause-of-death misattribution existed in the final published datasets. Methods Data were sourced from the electronic databases of the Statistical Office of the Republic of Serbia. The dataset included yearly recorded deaths and the causes of death of all citizens currently living in the territory of Belgrade, the capital of the Republic of Serbia, from 2015 to 2021. Standardization and modeling techniques were utilized to quantify the direct impact of COVID-19 and to estimate excess deaths. To account for year-to-year trends, we used a mixed-effects hierarchical Poisson generalized linear regression model to predict mortality for 2020 and 2021. The model was fitted to the mortality data observed from 2015 to 2019 and used to generate mortality predictions for 2020 and 2021. Actual death rates were then compared to the obtained predictions and used to generate excess mortality estimates. Results The total number of excess deaths, calculated from model estimates, was 3175 deaths (99% CI 1715-4094) for 2020 and 8321 deaths (99% CI 6975-9197) for 2021. The ratio of estimated excess deaths to reported COVID-19 deaths was 1.07. The estimated increase in mortality during 2020 and 2021 was 12.93% (99% CI 15.74%-17.33%) and 39.32% (99% CI 35.91%-39.32%) from the expected values, respectively. Those aged 0-19 years experienced an average decrease in mortality of 22.43% and 23.71% during 2020 and 2021, respectively. For those aged up to 39 years, there was a slight increase in mortality (4.72%) during 2020. However, in 2021, even those aged 20-39 years had an estimated increase in mortality of 32.95%. For people aged 60-79 years, there was an estimated increase in mortality of 16.95% and 38.50% in 2020 and 2021, respectively. For those aged >80 years, the increase was estimated at 11.50% and 34.14% in 2020 and 2021, respectively. The model-predicted deaths matched the non-COVID-19 deaths recorded in the territory of Belgrade. This concordance between the predicted and recorded non-COVID-19 deaths provides evidence that the cause-of-death misattribution did not occur in the territory of Belgrade. Conclusions The finalized mortality dataset for Belgrade can be safely used in COVID-19 impact analysis. Belgrade experienced a significant increase in mortality during 2020 and 2021, with most of the excess mortality attributable to SARS-CoV-2. Concerns about increased mortality from causes other than COVID-19 in Belgrade seem misplaced as their impact appears negligible.
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Affiliation(s)
- Dane Cvijanovic
- Department of Cardiovascular Diseases, University Clinical Center Zvezdara, Belgrade, Serbia
| | - Nikola Grubor
- Institute of Medical Statistics and Informatics, Faculty of Medicine, University of Belgrade, Dr Subotica 15, Belgrade, Serbia, 381 63367700
| | - Nina Rajovic
- Institute of Medical Statistics and Informatics, Faculty of Medicine, University of Belgrade, Dr Subotica 15, Belgrade, Serbia, 381 63367700
| | - Mira Vucevic
- The City Institute for Public Health, Belgrade, Serbia
| | | | - Marija Laban
- Clinic of Pulmonology, University Clinical Center of Serbia, Belgrade, Serbia
| | - Tatjana Mostic
- Department of Anesthesiology, University Clinical Center of Serbia, Belgrade, Serbia
| | - Radica Tasic
- The College of Health Sciences, Academy of Applied Studies Belgrade, Belgrade, Serbia
| | - Bojana Matejic
- Institute of Social Medicine, Faculty of Medicine, University of Belgrade, Belgrade, Serbia
| | - Natasa Milic
- Institute of Medical Statistics and Informatics, Faculty of Medicine, University of Belgrade, Dr Subotica 15, Belgrade, Serbia, 381 63367700
- Division of Nephrology and Hypertension, Department of Internal Medicine, Mayo Clinic, Rochester, MN, United States
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Lach HW, Salas J, Scherrer JF. Changes in Emergency Department and Inpatient Encounters for Falls after the Onset of the COVID-19 Pandemic. J Appl Gerontol 2025; 44:3-10. [PMID: 39030725 DOI: 10.1177/07334648241266434] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 07/21/2024] Open
Abstract
OBJECTIVE This study investigates changes in clinical encounters due to falls before and after the onset of the COVID-19 pandemic. METHODS De-identified health record data from a large mid-western health system was used to examine the frequency of emergency department (ED) and inpatient (IP) encounters for falls by month among adults age 50+ (N = 485, 886 patients) using joinpoint regression analysis. Also, overall rates before and during the pandemic were compared using log-binomial models. RESULTS Fall rates increased following the onset of the COVID-19 pandemic for IP encounters but not for ED encounters. There were no differences by age, gender, race, or nSES. Monthly IP fall rates increased by 0.68% per month both before and after the onset of the COVID-19 pandemic. CONCLUSION Pandemics may occur in the future, and interventions are needed to prevent falls in older adults during the next public health emergency.
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Affiliation(s)
- Helen W Lach
- Trudy Busch Valentine School of Nursing, Saint Louis University, St. Louis, USA
| | - Joanne Salas
- Department of Family and Community Medicine, Saint Louis University School of Medicine, St. Louis, MO, USA
- The Advanced HEAlth Data (AHEAD) Research Institute, Saint Louis University School of Medicine, St. Louis, MO, USA
| | - Jeffery F Scherrer
- Department of Family and Community Medicine, Saint Louis University School of Medicine, St. Louis, MO, USA
- The Advanced HEAlth Data (AHEAD) Research Institute, Saint Louis University School of Medicine, St. Louis, MO, USA
- Department of Psychiatry and Behavioral Neuroscience, School of Medicine, Saint Louis University, St. Louis, MO, USA
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Andreatta PB, Bowyer MW, Renninger CH, Graybill JC, Gurney JM, Elster EA. Putting the ready in readiness: A post hoc analysis of surgeon performance during a military mass casualty situation in Afghanistan. J Trauma Acute Care Surg 2024; 97:S119-S125. [PMID: 38738895 DOI: 10.1097/ta.0000000000004381] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 05/14/2024]
Abstract
BACKGROUND All military surgeons must maintain trauma capabilities for expeditionary care contexts, yet most are not trauma specialists. Maintaining clinical readiness for trauma and mass casualty care is a significant challenge for military and civilian surgeons. We examined the effect of a prescribed clinical readiness program for expeditionary trauma care on the surgical performance of 12 surgeons during a 60-patient mass-casualty situation (MASCAL). METHODS The sample included orthopedic (four) and general surgeons (eight) who cared for MASCAL victims at Hamad Karzai International Airport, Kabul, Afghanistan, on August 26, 2021. One orthopedic and two general surgeons had prior deployment experience. The prescribed program included three primary measures of clinical readiness: 1, expeditionary knowledge (examination score); 2, procedural skills competencies (performance assessment score); and 3, clinical activity (operative practice profile metric). Data were attained from program records for each surgeon in the sample. Each of the 60 patient cases was reviewed and rated (performance score) by the Joint Trauma System's Performance Improvement Branch, a military-wide performance improvement organization. All scores were normalized to facilitate direct comparisons using effect size calculations between each predeployment measure and MASCAL surgical care. RESULTS Predeployment knowledge and clinical activity measures met program benchmarks. Baseline predeployment procedural skills competency scores did not meet program benchmarks; however, those gaps were closed through retraining, ensuring all surgeons met or exceeded the program benchmarks predeployment. There were very large effect sizes (Cohen's d ) between all program measures and surgical care score, confirming the relationship between the program measures and MASCAL trauma care provided by the 12 surgeons. CONCLUSION The prescribed program measures ensured that all surgeons achieved predeployment performance benchmarks and provided high-quality trauma care to our nation's service members. LEVEL OF EVIDENCE Prognostic and Epidemiological; Level IV.
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Affiliation(s)
- Pamela B Andreatta
- From the Department of Surgery (P.B.A., M.W.B., C.H.R., E.A.E.), Uniformed Services University of the Health Science; Department of Surgery (P.B.A., M.W.B., C.H.R., E.A.E.), Walter Reed National Military Medical Center, Bethesda, Maryland; Department of Trauma (J.C.G., J.M.G.), San Antonio Military Medical Center; and Joint Trauma System (J.C.G., J.M.G.), DHA Combat Support, San Antonio, Texas
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Hatfield SA, Medina S, Gorman E, Barie PS, Winchell RJ, Villegas CV. A decade of firearm injuries: Have we improved? J Trauma Acute Care Surg 2024; 97:213-219. [PMID: 38227677 DOI: 10.1097/ta.0000000000004249] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 01/18/2024]
Abstract
BACKGROUND Firearm injuries are a growing public health issue, with marked increases coinciding with the coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic. This study evaluates temporal trends over the past decade, hypothesizing that despite a growing number of injuries, mortality would be unaffected. In addition, the study characterizes the types of centers affected disproportionately by the reported firearm injury surge in 2020. METHODS Patients 18 years and older with firearm injuries from 2011 to 2020 were identified retrospectively using the National Trauma Data Bank (NTDB®). Trauma centers not operating for the entirety of the study period were excluded to allow for temporal comparisons. Joinpoint regression and risk-standardized mortality ratios (SMR) were used to evaluate injury counts and adjusted mortality over time. Subgroup analysis was performed to describe centers with the largest increases in firearm injuries in 2020. RESULTS A total of 238,674 patients, treated at 420 unique trauma centers, met inclusion criteria. Firearm injuries increased by 31.1% in 2020, compared to an annual percent change of 2.4% from 2011 to 2019 ( p = 0.01). Subset analysis of centers with the largest changes in firearm injuries in 2020 found that they were more often Level I centers, with higher historic trauma volumes and percentages of firearm injuries ( p < 0.001). Unadjusted mortality decreased by 0.9% from 2011 to 2020, but after controlling for demographics, injury characteristics and physiology, there was no difference in adjusted mortality over the same time period. However, among patients with injury severity scores ≥25, adjusted mortality improved compared with 2011 (SMR of 0.950 in 2020; 95% confidence interval, 0.916-0.986). CONCLUSION Firearm injuries pose an increasing burden to trauma systems, with Level I and high-volume centers seeing the largest growth in 2020. Despite increasing numbers of firearm injuries, mortality has remained unchanged over the past decade. LEVEL OF EVIDENCE Prognostic and Epidemiological; Level III.
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Affiliation(s)
- Sarah A Hatfield
- From the Department of Surgery (S.A.H., E.G., P.S.B., R.J.W., C.V.V.), NewYork-Presbyterian/Weill Cornell Medicine; and Undergraduate Medical Education (S.M.), Weill Cornell Medical College, New York, New York
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Karmali S, Saxena S, Richards O, Thompson W, McFaull SR, Pike I. What was the impact of COVID-19 restrictions on unintentional injuries, in Canada and globally? A scoping review investigating how lockdown measures impacted the global burden of unintentional injury. Front Public Health 2024; 12:1385452. [PMID: 38887259 PMCID: PMC11180821 DOI: 10.3389/fpubh.2024.1385452] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 02/12/2024] [Accepted: 05/20/2024] [Indexed: 06/20/2024] Open
Abstract
Background Injuries are among the leading causes for hospitalizations and emergency department (ED) visits. COVID-19 restrictions ensured safety to Canadians, but also negatively impacted health outcomes, including increasing rates of certain injuries. These differences in trends have been reported internationally however the evidence is scattered and needs to be better understood to identify opportunities for public education and to prepare for future outbreaks. Objective A scoping review was conducted to synthesize evidence regarding the impact of COVID-19 restrictions on unintentional injuries in Canada, compared to other countries. Methods Studies investigating unintentional injuries among all ages during COVID-19 from any country, published in English between December 2019 and July 2021, were included. Intentional injuries and/or previous pandemics were excluded. Four databases were searched (MEDLINE, Embase, Web of Science, SPORTDiscus), and a gray literature search was also conducted. Results The search yielded 3,041 results, and 189 articles were selected for extraction. A total of 41 reports were included from the gray literature search. Final studies included research from: Europe (n = 85); North America (n = 44); Asia (n = 32); Oceania (n = 12); Africa (n = 8); South America (n = 4); and multi-country (n = 4). Most studies reported higher occurrence of injuries/trauma among males, and the average age across studies was 46 years. The following mechanisms of injury were reported on most frequently: motor vehicle collisions (MVCs; n = 134), falls (n = 104), sports/recreation (n = 65), non-motorized vehicle (n = 31), and occupational (n = 24). Injuries occurring at home (e.g., gardening, home improvement projects) increased, and injuries occurring at schools, workplaces, and public spaces decreased. Overall, decreases were observed in occupational injuries and those resulting from sport/recreation, pedestrian-related, and crush/trap incidents. Decreases were also seen in MVCs and burns, however the severity of injury from these causes increased during the pandemic period. Increases were observed in poisonings, non-motorized vehicle collisions, lacerations, drownings, trampoline injuries; and, foreign body ingestions. Implications Findings from this review can inform interventions and policies to identify gaps in public education, promote safety within the home, and decrease the negative impact of future stay-at-home measures on unintentional injury among Canadians and populations worldwide.
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Affiliation(s)
- Shazya Karmali
- BC Injury Research and Prevention Unit, BC Children’s Hospital Research Institute, Vancouver, BC, Canada
| | | | | | | | | | - Ian Pike
- BC Injury Research and Prevention Unit, BC Children’s Hospital Research Institute, Vancouver, BC, Canada
- Faculty of Medicine, Department of Pediatrics, University of British Columbia, Vancouver, BC, Canada
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Garcia L, de Virgilio C, Nahmias J, Keeley JA, Grigorian A. The Relationship Between the COVID-19 Pandemic and Pediatric Trauma. J Surg Res 2024; 298:169-175. [PMID: 38615550 DOI: 10.1016/j.jss.2024.03.034] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 09/19/2023] [Revised: 02/19/2024] [Accepted: 03/21/2024] [Indexed: 04/16/2024]
Abstract
INTRODUCTION The COVID-19 pandemic created difficulties in access to care. There was also increased penetrating trauma in adults, which has been attributed to factors including increased firearm sales and social isolation. However, less is known about the relationship between the pandemic and pediatric trauma patients (PTPs). This study aimed to investigate the national incidence of penetrating trauma in PTPs, hypothesizing a higher rate with onset of the pandemic. We additionally hypothesized increased risk of complications and death in penetrating PTPs after the pandemic versus prepandemic. METHODS We included all PTPs (aged ≤17-years-old) from the 2017-2020 Trauma Quality Improvement Program database, dividing the dataset into two eras: prepandemic (2017-2019) and pandemic (2020). We performed subset analyses of the pandemic and prepandemic penetrating PTPs. Bivariate analyses and a multivariable logistic regression analysis were performed. RESULTS Of the 474,524 PTPs, 123,804 (26.1%) were from the pandemic year. The pandemic era had increased stab wounds (3.3% versus 2.8%, P > 0.001) and gunshot wounds (5.5% versus 4.0%, P < 0.001) compared to the prepandemic era. Among penetrating PTPs, the rates and associated risk of in-hospital complications (2.6% versus 2.8%, P = 0.23) (odds ratio 0.90, confidence interval 0.79-1.02, P = 0.11) and mortality (4.9% versus 5.0%, P = 0.58) (odds ratio 0.90, confidence interval 0.78-1.03, P = 0.12) were similar between time periods. CONCLUSIONS This national analysis confirms increased penetrating trauma, particularly gunshot wounds in pediatric patients following onset of the COVID-19 pandemic. Despite this increase, there was no elevated risk of death or complications, suggesting that trauma systems adapted to the "dual pandemic" of COVID-19 and firearm violence in the pediatric population.
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Affiliation(s)
- Lorena Garcia
- Department of Surgery, Harbor-UCLA Medical Center, Torrance, California.
| | | | - Jeffry Nahmias
- Department of Surgery, University of California, Irvine, Orange, California
| | - Jessica A Keeley
- Department of Surgery, Harbor-UCLA Medical Center, Torrance, California
| | - Areg Grigorian
- Department of Surgery, University of California, Irvine, Orange, California
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Anastasio AT, Chopra A, Ridenour RM, Cook CE, Fletcher AN, Parekh SG. Mechanism of Injury for Traumatic Mid-Foot Lisfranc Injuries: Impact of the COVID-19 Pandemic. Cureus 2024; 16:e58644. [PMID: 38770506 PMCID: PMC11104421 DOI: 10.7759/cureus.58644] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Accepted: 04/18/2024] [Indexed: 05/22/2024] Open
Abstract
Background During the COVID-19 pandemic, Americans transitioned away from their normal routines, drove in motor vehicles less, and reduced their physical activity, ultimately influencing the incidence and nature of orthopedic injuries that were operatively managed. The purpose of this study was to evaluate the effect of the COVID-19 pandemic lockdown and subsequent deconditioning on the mechanism of injury and severity of Lisfranc injury. Methods This retrospective study included patients with a traumatic Lisfranc injury who were surgically treated by a foot and ankle fellowship-trained orthopedic surgeon between 2015 and 2021. Electronic health records were queried for patient demographics, mechanism of injury, physical exam findings, and pain scores. Preoperative radiographs were reviewed to grade Lisfranc injuries using the previously described Nunley-Vertullo classification system. Descriptive and univariate statistics were performed to compare 15 patients in the pre-COVID-19 cohort and 15 patients in the post-COVID-19 cohort. Results In the pre-COVID-19 cohort, 80% (n=12/15) of the patients were female, the mean age was 46±15 years, the mean BMI was 29.7±7 kg/m2, and the mean follow-up period was 18.1±12 months. In the post-COVID-19 cohort, 53% (n=8/15) of the patients were female, the mean age was 48.5±17 years, the mean BMI was 31.4±7 kg/m2, and the mean follow-up period was 9.5±4 months. Significantly higher proportions of plantar ecchymosis (n=8/15, 53%), neuropathic pain (n=7/15, 47%), and swelling (n=12/15, 80%) were present in the post-COVID-19 cohort. A low-energy mechanism of injury was sustained by 73% (n=11/15) of the pre-COVID-19 cohort and 80% (n=12/15) of the post-COVID-19 cohort. Lisfranc injuries for the pre-COVID-19 cohort and the post-COVID-19 cohort demonstrated the following classifications: Grade 1 (33%, n=5/15 vs. 40%, n=6/15), Grade 2 (60%, n=9/15 vs. 53%, n=8/15), and Grade 3 (7%, n=1/15 vs. 7%, n=1/15). Conclusion Although a higher proportion of plantar ecchymosis, neuropathic pain, and swelling was observed, there was no association between a low mechanism of injury and a higher grade of Lisfranc injury following the COVID-19 pandemic.
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Affiliation(s)
| | - Aman Chopra
- School of Medicine, Georgetown University, Washington, DC, USA
| | - Ryan M Ridenour
- Department of Orthopaedic Surgery, Greater Pittsburgh Orthopaedic Associates, Pittsburgh, USA
| | - Chad E Cook
- Department of Orthopaedic Surgery, Duke University, Durham, USA
| | | | - Selene G Parekh
- Department of Orthopaedic Surgery, Rothman Orthopaedic Institute, South Brunswick, USA
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Neuroth LM, Singichetti B, Harmon KJ, Waller AE, Naumann RB. Racial and ethnic disparities in motor vehicle crash-related outcomes in North Carolina surrounding the COVID-19 pandemic. Inj Prev 2024; 30:84-88. [PMID: 37857475 DOI: 10.1136/ip-2023-045005] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 10/21/2023]
Abstract
Long-term impacts of the COVID-19 pandemic on racial and ethnic disparities in motor vehicle crash (MVC) injuries and death are poorly understood. This study aimed to characterize trends and investigate the heterogeneity of MVC-related disparities in North Carolina across several data sources. Crash reports, emergency department visit records, and death certificates from 2018 to 2021 were used to calculate monthly population-rates of MVC-related public health outcomes. We estimated trendlines using joinpoint regression and compared outcomes across racial and ethnic classifications. MVC and MVC-related injury rates declined in conjunction with NC's stay-at-home order, while rates of severe outcomes remained unimpacted. By December 2021 rates of MVC-related outcomes met or exceeded pre-pandemic levels, with the highest rates observed among non-Hispanic Black individuals. Racial and ethnic disparities in MVC-related outcomes remained prevalent throughout the COVID-19 pandemic. These results highlight the importance of a holistic approach to traffic injury surveillance when assessing the impact of MVCs.
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Affiliation(s)
- Lucas M Neuroth
- Department of Epidemiology, The University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill Gillings School of Global Public Health, Chapel Hill, North Carolina, USA
- The University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill Injury Prevention Research Center, Chapel Hill, North Carolina, USA
| | - Bhavna Singichetti
- Department of Epidemiology, The University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill Gillings School of Global Public Health, Chapel Hill, North Carolina, USA
- The University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill Injury Prevention Research Center, Chapel Hill, North Carolina, USA
| | - Katherine J Harmon
- The University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill Injury Prevention Research Center, Chapel Hill, North Carolina, USA
- The University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill Highway Safety Research Center, Chapel Hill, North Carolina, USA
| | - Anna E Waller
- The University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill Injury Prevention Research Center, Chapel Hill, North Carolina, USA
- The University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill Carolina Center for Health Informatics, Chapel Hill, North Carolina, USA
| | - Rebecca B Naumann
- Department of Epidemiology, The University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill Gillings School of Global Public Health, Chapel Hill, North Carolina, USA
- The University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill Injury Prevention Research Center, Chapel Hill, North Carolina, USA
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Scally GL, Sheets NW, Dubina E, Chawla-Kondal B, Plurad DS. Pediatric Trauma During the COVID-19 Pandemic: A 3-year Retrospective Analysis. Clin Pediatr (Phila) 2024; 63:47-52. [PMID: 37715697 DOI: 10.1177/00099228231201250] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 09/18/2023]
Abstract
The Coronavirus 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic has significantly impacted the volume and types of trauma patients encountered. We performed a retrospective analysis of pediatric trauma patients <17 years old presenting within a large US health care system from 2019 to 2021. Demographics, trauma volume, injury severity, mechanism of injury, and outcomes were compared. A total of 16 966 patients, from 88 hospitals over 18 states, were included in our analysis. Pediatric traumas decreased from 2019 to 2020 and 2021. The injury severity scores (ISSs) increased from 2019 to 2020 and 2019 to 2021. Compared with 2019, more gun-related traumas occurred in both 2020 and 2021, whereas motor vehicle collisions decreased. There were additional changes in bicycle, assault, auto versus pedestrian (AVP), playground, and sports injuries. The COVID-19 pandemic has impacted the volume, injury severity, and mechanism of injury of the pediatric trauma population.
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Affiliation(s)
- Gabriel L Scally
- General Surgery Residency Program, Riverside Community Hospital, Riverside, CA, USA
| | | | - Emily Dubina
- Riverside Community Hospital, Riverside, CA, USA
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Flesher N, Zayat MN, Ablah E, Okut H, Lightwine K, Haan JM. Characteristics of Attempted and Completed Suicides During the COVID-19 Pandemic. Am Surg 2023; 89:5795-5800. [PMID: 37164366 PMCID: PMC10183328 DOI: 10.1177/00031348231173968] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 05/12/2023]
Abstract
BACKGROUND This study aimed to describe patients admitted for attempted or completed suicide during the COVID-19 pandemic. METHODS A 1-year retrospective review was performed of adult patients admitted for attempted or completed suicide. RESULTS Of the 30 patients included, most injuries involved firearms (37%) and cutting/piercing (30%). Sixty-three percent of patients presented with an Injury Severity Score ≥16, and 37% of injuries involved the head. Upon admission, an alcohol test was completed for 83% of patients, 56% of whom tested positive. Thirty percent of patients died from their injuries, with all but one involving a firearm. Most of those who survived to discharge (62%) were discharged to an inpatient behavioral health facility. DISCUSSION The current study indicated a large proportion of suicides during the COVID-19 pandemic involved firearms and alcohol use. These findings point to the need for interventions aimed at preventing suicide and substance abuse during pandemic situations.
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Affiliation(s)
- Nathan Flesher
- Department of Population Health, The University of Kansas School of
Medicine Wichita, Wichita, KS, USA
| | - Marisa-Nicole Zayat
- Department of Population Health, The University of Kansas School of
Medicine Wichita, Wichita, KS, USA
| | - Elizabeth Ablah
- Department of Population Health, The University of Kansas School of
Medicine Wichita, Wichita, KS, USA
| | - Hayrettin Okut
- Department of Population Health, The University of Kansas School of
Medicine Wichita, Wichita, KS, USA
| | - Kelly Lightwine
- Departments of Trauma Services, Ascension Via Christi Hospital Saint
Francis, Wichita, KS, USA
| | - James M. Haan
- Department of Population Health, The University of Kansas School of
Medicine Wichita, Wichita, KS, USA
- Departments of Trauma Services, Ascension Via Christi Hospital Saint
Francis, Wichita, KS, USA
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Zayat MN, Griend MV, Flesher N, Lightwine K, Ablah E, Okut H, Haan JM. Falls Among Older Adults During the COVID-19 Pandemic Compared to a Pre-pandemic Period: A Case-Control Study. Am Surg 2023; 89:5988-5995. [PMID: 37285470 PMCID: PMC10251062 DOI: 10.1177/00031348231180919] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 06/09/2023]
Abstract
BACKGROUND Little is known about how the COVID-19 pandemic impacted older adults admitted to the hospital with fall-related injuries. This research sought to determine if there was a difference in patient characteristics and hospital outcomes among older adults with fall-related injuries during the COVID-19 pandemic compared to a non-pandemic period. METHODS A retrospective chart review of patients 65 years or older admitted for traumatic falls before and during COVID-19 was undertaken. Data abstracted included demographics, fall details, injury data, and hospital course. RESULTS Of 1598 patients, 50.5% presented during COVID-19 (cases), and 49.5% presented pre-pandemic (controls). Fewer cases fell in rural areas (28.6% vs 34.1%, P = .018) and were transferred from outside hospitals (32.1% vs 38.2%, P = .011). More cases experienced alcohol (4.6% vs 2.4%, P = .017) and substance use disorders (1.4% vs .4%, P = .029). Fewer cases had subdural hemorrhages (11.8% vs 16.4%, P = .007), and more had pneumothoraxes (3.5% vs 1.8%, P = .032). More patients admitted during COVID-19 experienced acute respiratory failure (2.0% vs .0%, P < .001), hypoxia (1.5% vs .3%, P = .005), and delirium (6.3% vs 1.0%, P < .001). Fewer cases were discharged to skilled nursing facilities (50.8% vs 57.3%, P = .009) and more to home with services (13.1% vs 8.3%, P = .002). DISCUSSION This study suggested there was a similar frequency of presentation for falls among older adults during the two study periods. Older adults with fall-related injuries experienced differences in presenting comorbidities, injury patterns, complications, and discharge locations during the study periods.
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Affiliation(s)
- Marisa-Nicole Zayat
- Department of Population Health, The University of Kansas School of Medicine – Wichita, Wichita, KS, USA
| | - Micah Vander Griend
- Department of Population Health, The University of Kansas School of Medicine – Wichita, Wichita, KS, USA
| | - Nathan Flesher
- Department of Population Health, The University of Kansas School of Medicine – Wichita, Wichita, KS, USA
| | - Kelly Lightwine
- Departments of Trauma Services, Ascension Via Christi Hospital Saint Francis, Wichita, KS, USA
| | - Elizabeth Ablah
- Department of Population Health, The University of Kansas School of Medicine – Wichita, Wichita, KS, USA
| | - Hayrettin Okut
- Department of Population Health, The University of Kansas School of Medicine – Wichita, Wichita, KS, USA
| | - James M. Haan
- Department of Population Health, The University of Kansas School of Medicine – Wichita, Wichita, KS, USA
- Departments of Trauma Services, Ascension Via Christi Hospital Saint Francis, Wichita, KS, USA
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12
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Boldea GJ, Caragea DC, Nicolcescu P, Pădureanu V, Rădulescu D, Boldea AM, Georgescu I, Georgescu EF. Effect of the COVID‑19 pandemic on the management and outcomes of patients with traumatic injuries (Review). Biomed Rep 2023; 19:76. [PMID: 37746590 PMCID: PMC10511947 DOI: 10.3892/br.2023.1658] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 06/16/2023] [Accepted: 08/10/2023] [Indexed: 09/26/2023] Open
Abstract
During the COVID-19 pandemic, ~10% of the global population was officially affected, resulting in diverse changes, ranging from shopping habits to stringent hospital protocols. This article sought to provide a concise summary of relevant data concerning the interplay between COVID-19 and trauma, encompassing the entire trajectory from presentation to hospital discharge. Throughout the pandemic, there was a noticeable reduction in trauma presentations, while the ranking of injury mechanisms remained largely unchanged. To ensure essential surgical support, protocols were adjusted accordingly. Although there were some less significant changes in injury severity score, hospital length of stay, intensive care unit stay and mortality, the overall patient outcomes appeared to improve. In conclusion, the COVID-19 pandemic led to a decline in trauma cases and an enhancement in patient outcomes. However, regrettably, certain mechanisms of injury saw an increase in frequency. To cope with the epidemiological context, management strategies were adapted, and unutilized resources were redirected to cater to the care of COVID-19 patients.
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Affiliation(s)
- Gheorghe-Jean Boldea
- UMF Craiova Doctoral School, University of Medicine and Pharmacy of Craiova, Craiova 200349, Romania
| | - Daniel Cosmin Caragea
- Department of Nephrology, University of Medicine and Pharmacy of Craiova, Craiova 200349, Romania
| | - Pantelie Nicolcescu
- Department of Anesthesiology and Intensive Care, Faculty of Medicine and Pharmacy, Sibiu 550169, Romania
| | - Vlad Pădureanu
- Department of Internal Medicine, University of Medicine and Pharmacy of Craiova, Craiova 200349, Romania
| | - Dumitru Rădulescu
- Department of Surgery, University of Medicine and Pharmacy of Craiova, Craiova 200349, Romania
| | - Ana Maria Boldea
- UMF Craiova Doctoral School, University of Medicine and Pharmacy of Craiova, Craiova 200349, Romania
| | - Ion Georgescu
- Department of Surgery, University of Medicine and Pharmacy of Craiova, Craiova 200349, Romania
| | - Eugen Florin Georgescu
- Department of Surgery, University of Medicine and Pharmacy of Craiova, Craiova 200349, Romania
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13
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Leiphart TJ, Leiphart J. The Effect of the COVID-19 Pandemic and Lockdown on Operative Traumatic Brain Injury in Northern Virginia. Cureus 2023; 15:e44746. [PMID: 37680260 PMCID: PMC10480358 DOI: 10.7759/cureus.44746] [Citation(s) in RCA: 1] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.5] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Accepted: 09/05/2023] [Indexed: 09/09/2023] Open
Abstract
INTRODUCTION COVID-19 is a disease that causes flu-like symptoms and difficulty breathing. Emerging in 2019, the COVID-19 pandemic has affected the entire world through restrictions and lockdowns. Multiple studies have compared the effects of COVID-19 on different types of head trauma, with each one producing different results. The goal of this study was to use state and hospital data to determine whether the COVID-19 pandemic had a significant impact on surgeries for traumatic brain injury (TBI). METHODS Public state data on COVID-19 incidence, sourced from the Virginia Department of Health, was compared to hospital data of 352 patients receiving surgeries for TBI from a single major level-one trauma hospital in Northern Virginia. We used data from the three years before COVID-19 and the two years during the pandemic, using t-tests and Pearson correlation to analyze the data. This is a retrospective case review study on the number and age of patients receiving TBI surgery from March 2017 through February 2022 at Inova Fairfax Hospital in Northern Virginia to determine the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on these factors. RESULTS When comparing the data, there was a 60% reduction in cases of operative TBI during the peak months of COVID-19 compared to the same months in previous years (p<0.005). Comparing data on the number of Virginia and Northern Virginia COVID-19 cases and data on the age of individuals undergoing TBI surgery four weeks later showed a statistically significant negative correlation (p<0.05) in which the average age of individuals undergoing TBI surgery was lower in the four-week block following a four-week block of increased COVID-19 incidence. CONCLUSION Our findings indicate a correlation between the period of decreased activity from COVID-19 restrictions in Virginia and a decline in both the number of TBI surgeries and the age of individuals undergoing these surgeries.
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Affiliation(s)
- Thaddeus J Leiphart
- Neurosurgery, Inova Health System, Falls Church, USA
- Biology, St. Albans School, Washington, USA
| | - James Leiphart
- Neurosurgery, Inova Health System, Falls Church, USA
- Neurosurgery, University of Virginia School of Medicine, Falls Church, USA
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14
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Blumberg MP, Gittelman MA, Pomerantz WJ. Pediatric outdoor recreational injuries: another hidden concern during the COVID-19 pandemic. Inj Epidemiol 2023; 10:29. [PMID: 37386561 PMCID: PMC10311709 DOI: 10.1186/s40621-023-00445-6] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 11/09/2022] [Accepted: 06/26/2023] [Indexed: 07/01/2023] Open
Abstract
BACKGROUND Recreational equipment sales rose significantly during the COVID-19 pandemic. This study investigated changes in the incidence of pediatric emergency department (PED) visits related to outdoor recreational activities during the COVID-19 pandemic. METHODS A retrospective cohort study was conducted at a large children's hospital with a level 1 trauma center. Data were obtained from PED electronic medical records of children 5-14 years with a visit from March 23-September 1 in years 2015-2020. Patients with an ICD-10 code for injury associated with recreation and use of common outdoor recreational equipment were included. Initial pandemic year, 2020, was compared with pre-pandemic years (2015-2019). Data collected included patient demographics, injury characteristics, deprivation index, and disposition. Descriptive statistics were used to characterize the population and Chi-squared analysis was used determine relationships between groups. RESULTS There were 29,044 total injury visits during the study months with 4715 visits (16.2%) due to recreational mechanisms. A higher proportion of visits due to recreational injury visits occurred during the COVID pandemic (8.2%) compared to before (4.9%). Comparing patients included within the two times, were no differences in sex, ethnicity, or ED disposition. During the COVID pandemic, there was a higher percentage of White patients (80% vs 76%) and patients with commercial insurance (64% vs 55%). There was a significantly lower deprivation index for patients injured during the COVID pandemic. There were more injuries due to bicycles, ATV/motorbike, and non-motorized wheeled vehicles during the COVID pandemic. CONCLUSIONS During the COVID-19 pandemic, there was an increase in bicycle, ATV/motorbike, and non-motorized wheeled vehicle injuries. White patients with commercial insurance were more likely to be injured compared to years prior. A targeted approach to injury prevention initiatives should be considered.
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Affiliation(s)
- Melissa P Blumberg
- Division of Emergency Medicine, Department of Pediatrics, Comprehensive Children's Injury Center, Cincinnati Children's Hospital Medical Center, University of Cincinnati College of Medicine, 3333 Burnet Avenue, ML #2008, Cincinnati, OH, 45229, USA.
- Division of Emergency Medicine, Pediatric Emergency Medicine, Nemours Children's Hospital, 1600 Rockland Rd, Wilmington, DE, 19803, USA.
| | - Michael A Gittelman
- Division of Emergency Medicine, Department of Pediatrics, Comprehensive Children's Injury Center, Cincinnati Children's Hospital Medical Center, University of Cincinnati College of Medicine, 3333 Burnet Avenue, ML #2008, Cincinnati, OH, 45229, USA
| | - Wendy J Pomerantz
- Division of Emergency Medicine, Department of Pediatrics, Comprehensive Children's Injury Center, Cincinnati Children's Hospital Medical Center, University of Cincinnati College of Medicine, 3333 Burnet Avenue, ML #2008, Cincinnati, OH, 45229, USA
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15
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Feng Q, Gu D. The COVID-19 pandemic and life expectancy among older adults in Asian countries. ASIAN POPULATION STUDIES 2023. [DOI: 10.1080/17441730.2023.2193483] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 04/03/2023]
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Evaluating the regional differences in pediatric injury patterns during the COVID-19 pandemic. J Surg Res 2023; 289:61-68. [PMID: 37086597 PMCID: PMC10033255 DOI: 10.1016/j.jss.2023.03.003] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 08/23/2022] [Revised: 02/18/2023] [Accepted: 03/08/2023] [Indexed: 03/25/2023]
Abstract
Background Reports of pediatric injury patterns during the COVID-19 pandemic are conflicting and lack the granularity to explore differences across regions. We hypothesized there would be considerable variation in injury patterns across Pediatric Trauma Centers (PTCs) in the United States. Materials and Methods A multicenter, retrospective study evaluating patients <18-years-old with traumatic injuries meeting National Trauma Data Bank criteria was performed. Patients injured after Stay-at-Home Orders through September 2020 (“COVID” cohort) were compared to “Historical” controls from an averaged period of equivalent dates in 2016–2019. Differences in injury type, intent, and mechanism were explored at the site level. Results 47,385 pediatric trauma patients were included. Overall trauma volume increased during the COVID cohort compared to the Historical (COVID 7,068 patients vs. Historical 5,891 patients); however, some sites demonstrated a decrease in overall trauma of 25% while others had an increase over 33%. Bicycle injuries increased at every site, with a range in percent change from 24% to 135% increase. Although the greatest net increase was due to blunt injuries, there was a greater relative increase in penetrating injuries at 7/9 sites, with a range in percent change from 110% increase to a 69% decrease. Conclusions There was considerable discrepancy in pediatric injury patterns at the individual site level, perhaps suggesting a variable impact of the specific sociopolitical climate and pandemic policies of each catchment area. Investigation of the unique response of the community during times of stress at PTCs is warranted to be better prepared for future environmental stressors.
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How Did the Two Years of the COVID-19 Pandemic Affect the Outcomes of the Patients with Inflammatory Rheumatic Diseases in Lithuania? MEDICINA (KAUNAS, LITHUANIA) 2023; 59:medicina59020311. [PMID: 36837512 PMCID: PMC9960818 DOI: 10.3390/medicina59020311] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 01/06/2023] [Revised: 01/30/2023] [Accepted: 02/06/2023] [Indexed: 02/11/2023]
Abstract
Background and objectives: the COVID-19 pandemic globally caused more than 18 million deaths over the period of 2020-2021. Although inflammatory rheumatic diseases (RD) are generally associated with premature mortality, it is not yet clear whether RD patients are at a greater risk for COVID-19-related mortality. The aim of our study was to evaluate mortality and causes of death in a retrospective inflammatory RD patient cohort during the COVID-19 pandemic years. Methods: We identified patients with a first-time diagnosis of inflammatory RD and followed them up during the pandemic years of 2020-2021. Death rates, and sex- and age-standardized mortality ratios (SMRs) were calculated for the prepandemic and pandemic periods. Results: We obtained data from 11,636 patients that had been newly diagnosed with inflammatory RD and followed up until the end of 2021 or their death. The mean duration of the follow-up was 5.5 years. In total, 1531 deaths occurred between 2013 and 2021. The prevailing causes of death in the prepandemic period were cardiovascular diseases, neoplasms, and diseases of the respiratory system. In the pandemic years, cardiovascular diseases and neoplasms remained the two most common causes of death, with COVID-19 in third place. The SMR of the total RD cohort was 0.83. This trend was observed in rheumatoid arthritis and spondyloarthropathy patients. The SMR in the group of connective-tissue diseases and vasculitis was higher at 0.93, but did not differ from that of the general population. The excess of deaths in the RD cohort during the pandemic period was negative (-27.2%), meaning that RD patients endured the pandemic period better than the general population did. Conclusions: The COVID-19 pandemic did not influence the mortality of RD patients. Strict lockdown measures, social distancing, and early vaccination were the main factors that resulted in reduced mortality in this cohort during the pandemic years.
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Bharat A, Verma V, Afaque SF, Raikwar A, Chand S, Singh A. Effect of COVID 19 pandemic on time to care, use of ambulance, admission characteristics, demography, injury characteristics, management and outcome of Paediatric Orthopaedic trauma patients admitted to the trauma centre. INDIAN JOURNAL OF COMMUNITY HEALTH 2022. [DOI: 10.47203/ijch.2022.v34i03.010] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/05/2022]
Abstract
Background: Lockdown imposed to limit the spread of COVID 19 may have had a significant effect on the time to care, demography, injury causation, injury characteristics, volume and nature of admission, management and outcome of paediatric orthopaedic trauma patients. Objective: To document the effect of lockdown on the time to care at KGMU, use of ambulance, volume and type of admissions, demography, injury causation, injury characteristics, management and outcome of paediatric orthopaedic trauma patients. Methods:. This record review compared age, sex, type of admission, mechanism of injury, injury characteristics, type of treatment, vehicle used for transport, and outcome among patients admitted in pre-lockdown, lockdown and post lockdown. Results: Lockdown was associated with decrease in the number of cases (p<0.01), increase in the time since injury to reception (p<0.040), a rise in the share of referred admission (p<0.040), time since reception at KGMU, time to definitive care (p<0.001), high energy falls (p<0.001), injuries at home (p<0.001), higher ISS (p<0.001), non operative treatment (p=0.038) and greater use of ambulance (p=0.003). Conclusion: Lockdown resulted in a significant change in the causation and management of injury, significant delays in timeliness of care, reduction in the volume of admissions, an increase in injury severity and share of referral admissions.
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19
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Rosen B, Pelle AL, Lakhi NA. Impact of the COVID-19 Pandemic on Trauma Service Utilization at a New York City Level I Trauma Center. Pragmat Obs Res 2022; 13:93-103. [PMID: 36092688 PMCID: PMC9462934 DOI: 10.2147/por.s378189] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 06/11/2022] [Accepted: 08/10/2022] [Indexed: 11/23/2022] Open
Abstract
Background The COVID-19 pandemic globally impacted trauma facilities and overall healthcare utilization. This study was conducted to characterize the utilization of trauma services at our Level I Trauma Center in New York City during the COVID-19 pandemic compared to the preceding pre-pandemic year. Methods A retrospective study of patient presenting to our Level 1 Trauma Center in Staten Island, New York. The pre-pandemic data was extracted from March 1st, 2019–February 29th, 2020. The pandemic year was divided into two phases: the initial wave (March 1st–Sept 1st, 2020) and the protracted phase (September 1st, 2020–March 1st, 2021). Patients were identified using ICD-10 coding and data regarding patient factors, mechanism of injury, and service utilization was extracted from the medical record. Statistical analysis was performed using IBM SPSS v.24. Results A total of 1650 trauma activations registered during the pre-pandemic phase, 691 during the initial wave, and 826 during the protracted phase. Compared to pre-pandemic, the number of Level 1 trauma activations remained unchanged, however mechanisms of injury shifted. Gunshot wounds (2.6% vs 1.2%), motorcycle crash (4.2% vs 2.0%) and blunt force injury caused by an object (strike injuries) (2.7% vs 1.3%) significantly increased during the initial wave (p-value <0.05). There was a significant decrease in the percentage of both female (2.93% vs 2.33% vs 5.64%, p-value <0.01) and pediatric (3.30% vs 3.64% vs 12.9%, p-value <0.001) assault activations during the initial wave and protracted phase when compared to pre-pandemic levels, respectively. No significant changes were observed for self-harm, falls, accidents, burns, sports injuries, stab wounds, autobody collisions, or motor vehicle accident activations. Conclusion Trauma centers should be prepared for increases in violent trauma. We also emphasize the need to implement strategies to raise public awareness of pediatric and female assault in the domestic setting, particularly during a mandatory stay-at-home policy where underreporting may occur.
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Affiliation(s)
- Benjamin Rosen
- Department of Surgery, New York Medical College, School of Medicine, Valhalla, New York, USA
| | - Annemarie L Pelle
- Department of Surgery, New York Medical College, School of Medicine, Valhalla, New York, USA
| | - Nisha A Lakhi
- Department of Surgery, New York Medical College, School of Medicine, Valhalla, New York, USA.,Department of Trauma Surgery, Richmond University Medical Center, Staten Island, New York, USA
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20
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Collings AT, Farazi M, Van Arendonk KJ, Fallat ME, Minneci PC, Sato TT, Speck KE, Deans KJ, Falcone Jr RA, Foley DS, Fraser JD, Gadepalli SK, Keller MS, Kotagal M, Landman MP, Leys CM, Markel TA, Rubalcava N, St. Peter SD, Flynn-O'Brien KT, Midwest Pediatric Surgery Consortium. The COVID-19 pandemic and associated rise in pediatric firearm injuries: A multi-institutional study. J Pediatr Surg 2022; 57:1370-1376. [PMID: 35501165 PMCID: PMC9001175 DOI: 10.1016/j.jpedsurg.2022.03.034] [Citation(s) in RCA: 32] [Impact Index Per Article: 10.7] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 01/17/2022] [Revised: 03/24/2022] [Accepted: 03/31/2022] [Indexed: 12/16/2022]
Abstract
BACKGROUND Firearm sales in the United States (U.S.) markedly increased during the COVID-19 pandemic. Our objective was to determine if firearm injuries in children were associated with stay-at-home orders (SHO) during the COVID-19 pandemic. We hypothesized there would be an increase in pediatric firearm injuries during SHO. METHODS This was a multi institutional, retrospective study of institutional trauma registries. Patients <18 years with traumatic injuries meeting National Trauma Data Bank (NTDB) criteria were included. A "COVID" cohort, defined as time from initiation of state SHO through September 30, 2020 was compared to "Historical" controls from an averaged period of corresponding dates in 2016-2019. An interrupted time series analysis (ITSA) was utilized to evaluate the association of the U.S. declaration of a national state of emergency with pediatric firearm injuries. RESULTS Nine Level I pediatric trauma centers were included, contributing 48,111 pediatric trauma patients, of which 1,090 patients (2.3%) suffered firearm injuries. There was a significant increase in the proportion of firearm injuries in the COVID cohort (COVID 3.04% vs. Historical 1.83%; p < 0.001). There was an increased cumulative burden of firearm injuries in 2020 compared to a historical average. ITSA showed an 87% increase in the observed rate of firearm injuries above expected after the declaration of a nationwide emergency (p < 0.001). CONCLUSION The proportion of firearm injuries affecting children increased during the COVID-19 pandemic. The pandemic was associated with an increase in pediatric firearm injuries above expected rates based on historical patterns.
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Affiliation(s)
- Amelia T. Collings
- Department of Surgery, Indiana University, 545 Barnhill Dr., Emerson 125, Indianapolis, IN, United States,Corresponding author
| | | | | | - Mary E. Fallat
- Norton Children's Hospital, Louisville, KY, United States,Hiram C. Polk, Jr Department of Surgery, University of Louisville, KY, United States
| | - Peter C. Minneci
- Center for Surgical Outcomes Research, Abigail Wexner Research Institute and Department of Surgery Nationwide Children's Hospital, The Ohio State University College of Medicine, Columbus, OH, United States
| | | | - K. Elizabeth Speck
- Division of Pediatric Surgery, Mott Children's Hospital, Ann Arbor, MI, United States
| | - Katherine J. Deans
- Center for Surgical Outcomes Research, Abigail Wexner Research Institute and Department of Surgery Nationwide Children's Hospital, The Ohio State University College of Medicine, Columbus, OH, United States
| | - Richard A. Falcone Jr
- Division of Pediatric General and Thoracic Surgery, Cincinnati Children's Hospital Medical Center, Department of Surgery, University of Cincinnati College of Medicine, Cincinnati, OH, United States
| | - David S. Foley
- Norton Children's Hospital, Louisville, KY, United States,Hiram C. Polk, Jr Department of Surgery, University of Louisville, KY, United States
| | - Jason D. Fraser
- Children's Mercy Kansas City, Kansas City, MO, United States
| | - Samir K. Gadepalli
- Division of Pediatric Surgery, Mott Children's Hospital, Ann Arbor, MI, United States
| | - Martin S. Keller
- Division of Pediatric Surgery, Washington University School of Medicine, St Louis, MO, United States
| | - Meera Kotagal
- Division of Pediatric General and Thoracic Surgery, Cincinnati Children's Hospital Medical Center, Department of Surgery, University of Cincinnati College of Medicine, Cincinnati, OH, United States
| | - Matthew P. Landman
- Department of Surgery, Indiana University, 545 Barnhill Dr., Emerson 125, Indianapolis, IN, United States
| | - Charles M. Leys
- Division of Pediatric Surgery, Department of Surgery, University of Wisconsin, Madison, WI, United States
| | - Troy A. Markel
- Department of Surgery, Indiana University, 545 Barnhill Dr., Emerson 125, Indianapolis, IN, United States
| | - Nathan Rubalcava
- Division of Pediatric Surgery, Mott Children's Hospital, Ann Arbor, MI, United States
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Risk-Compensation Trends in Road Safety during COVID-19. SUSTAINABILITY 2022. [DOI: 10.3390/su14095057] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/17/2022]
Abstract
The COVID-19 pandemic has had a global impact, disrupting the normal trends of our everyday life. More specifically, the effects of COVID-19 on road safety are still largely unexplored. Hence, this study aims to investigate the change in road safety trends due to COVID-19 using real-time traffic parameters. Results from the extensive analyses of the 2017 to 2020 data of Interstate-4 show that traffic volume decreased by 13.6% in 2020 compared to the average of 2017–2019’s volume, whereas there is a decreasing number of crashes at the higher volume. Average speed increased by 11.3% during the COVID-19 period; however, the increase in average speed during the COVID-19 period has an insignificant relationship with crash severities. Fatal crashes increased, while total crashes decreased, during the COVID-19 period; severe crashes decreased with the total crashes. Alcohol-related crashes decreased by 22% from 2019 to 2020. Thus, the road-safety trend due to the impact of COVID-19 has evidently changed and presents a unique trend. The findings of the study suggest a larger need for a more in-depth study to analyze the impact of COVID-19 on road safety, to minimize fatalities on roads through appropriate policy measures.
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22
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Estimating excess mortality due to the COVID-19 pandemic: a systematic analysis of COVID-19-related mortality, 2020-21. Lancet 2022; 399:1513-1536. [PMID: 35279232 PMCID: PMC8912932 DOI: 10.1016/s0140-6736(21)02796-3] [Citation(s) in RCA: 941] [Impact Index Per Article: 313.7] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 07/01/2021] [Revised: 12/05/2021] [Accepted: 12/09/2021] [Indexed: 02/06/2023]
Abstract
BACKGROUND Mortality statistics are fundamental to public health decision making. Mortality varies by time and location, and its measurement is affected by well known biases that have been exacerbated during the COVID-19 pandemic. This paper aims to estimate excess mortality from the COVID-19 pandemic in 191 countries and territories, and 252 subnational units for selected countries, from Jan 1, 2020, to Dec 31, 2021. METHODS All-cause mortality reports were collected for 74 countries and territories and 266 subnational locations (including 31 locations in low-income and middle-income countries) that had reported either weekly or monthly deaths from all causes during the pandemic in 2020 and 2021, and for up to 11 year previously. In addition, we obtained excess mortality data for 12 states in India. Excess mortality over time was calculated as observed mortality, after excluding data from periods affected by late registration and anomalies such as heat waves, minus expected mortality. Six models were used to estimate expected mortality; final estimates of expected mortality were based on an ensemble of these models. Ensemble weights were based on root mean squared errors derived from an out-of-sample predictive validity test. As mortality records are incomplete worldwide, we built a statistical model that predicted the excess mortality rate for locations and periods where all-cause mortality data were not available. We used least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) regression as a variable selection mechanism and selected 15 covariates, including both covariates pertaining to the COVID-19 pandemic, such as seroprevalence, and to background population health metrics, such as the Healthcare Access and Quality Index, with direction of effects on excess mortality concordant with a meta-analysis by the US Centers for Disease Control and Prevention. With the selected best model, we ran a prediction process using 100 draws for each covariate and 100 draws of estimated coefficients and residuals, estimated from the regressions run at the draw level using draw-level input data on both excess mortality and covariates. Mean values and 95% uncertainty intervals were then generated at national, regional, and global levels. Out-of-sample predictive validity testing was done on the basis of our final model specification. FINDINGS Although reported COVID-19 deaths between Jan 1, 2020, and Dec 31, 2021, totalled 5·94 million worldwide, we estimate that 18·2 million (95% uncertainty interval 17·1-19·6) people died worldwide because of the COVID-19 pandemic (as measured by excess mortality) over that period. The global all-age rate of excess mortality due to the COVID-19 pandemic was 120·3 deaths (113·1-129·3) per 100 000 of the population, and excess mortality rate exceeded 300 deaths per 100 000 of the population in 21 countries. The number of excess deaths due to COVID-19 was largest in the regions of south Asia, north Africa and the Middle East, and eastern Europe. At the country level, the highest numbers of cumulative excess deaths due to COVID-19 were estimated in India (4·07 million [3·71-4·36]), the USA (1·13 million [1·08-1·18]), Russia (1·07 million [1·06-1·08]), Mexico (798 000 [741 000-867 000]), Brazil (792 000 [730 000-847 000]), Indonesia (736 000 [594 000-955 000]), and Pakistan (664 000 [498 000-847 000]). Among these countries, the excess mortality rate was highest in Russia (374·6 deaths [369·7-378·4] per 100 000) and Mexico (325·1 [301·6-353·3] per 100 000), and was similar in Brazil (186·9 [172·2-199·8] per 100 000) and the USA (179·3 [170·7-187·5] per 100 000). INTERPRETATION The full impact of the pandemic has been much greater than what is indicated by reported deaths due to COVID-19 alone. Strengthening death registration systems around the world, long understood to be crucial to global public health strategy, is necessary for improved monitoring of this pandemic and future pandemics. In addition, further research is warranted to help distinguish the proportion of excess mortality that was directly caused by SARS-CoV-2 infection and the changes in causes of death as an indirect consequence of the pandemic. FUNDING Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation, J Stanton, T Gillespie, and J and E Nordstrom.
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Trauma Prevalence and Resource Utilization during 4 COVID-19 “Surges”: A National Analysis of Trauma Patients from 92 Trauma Centers. J Surg Res 2022; 276:208-220. [PMID: 35390576 PMCID: PMC8919776 DOI: 10.1016/j.jss.2022.02.053] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 11/19/2021] [Revised: 02/14/2022] [Accepted: 02/14/2022] [Indexed: 12/02/2022]
Abstract
Introduction We aim to assess the trends in trauma patient volume, injury characteristics, and facility resource utilization that occurred during four surges in COVID-19 cases. Methods A retrospective cohort study of 92 American College of Surgeons (ACS)-verified trauma centers (TCs) in a national hospital system during 4 COVID-19 case surges was performed. Patients who were directly transported to the TC and were an activation or consultation from the emergency department (ED) were included. Trends in injury characteristics, patient demographics & outcomes, and hospital resource utilization were assessed during four COVID-19 case surges and compared to the same dates in 2019. Results The majority of TCs were within a metropolitan or micropolitan division. During the pandemic, trauma admissions decreased overall, but displayed variable trends during Surges 1-4 and across U.S. regions and TC levels. Patients requiring surgery or blood transfusion increased significantly during Surges 1-3, whereas the proportion of patients requiring plasma and/or platelets increased significantly during Surges 1-2. Patients admitted to the hospital had significantly higher Injury Severity Score (ISS) and mortality as compared to pre-pandemic during Surge 1 and 2. Patients with Medicaid or uninsured increased significantly during the pandemic. Hospital length of stay (LOS) decreased significantly during the pandemic and more trauma patients were discharged home. Conclusions Trauma admissions decreased during Surge 1, but increased during Surge 2, 3 and 4. Penetrating injuries and firearm-related injuries increased significantly during the pandemic, patients requiring surgery or packed red blood cells (PRBCs) transfusion increased significantly during Surges 1-3. The number of patients discharged home increased during the pandemic and was accompanied by a decreased hospital length of stay (LOS).
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Alao DO, Cevik AA, Yasin YJ, Jaiganesh T, Abu-Zidan F. The COVID-19 pandemic reduced the trauma incidence and modified its pattern in Al-Ain City, United Arab Emirates. Eur J Trauma Emerg Surg 2022; 48:3011-3016. [PMID: 35178582 PMCID: PMC8853936 DOI: 10.1007/s00068-022-01897-z] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 11/11/2021] [Accepted: 01/30/2022] [Indexed: 11/03/2022]
Abstract
AIM We aimed to study the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on the pattern of injury and outcome of hospitalized trauma patients in Al-Ain City, United Arab Emirates, to use this information in the preparedness for future pandemics. METHODS We retrospectively compared the trauma registry data of all hospitalised trauma patients, who were treated at the two main trauma centres in Al-Ain City (Al-Ain Hospital and Tawam Hospital); those who were treated over 1 year before the pandemic (n = 2002) and those who were treated at the first year of the COVID-19 pandemic (n = 1468). RESULTS There was a 26.7% reduction in the overall incidence of trauma admissions in the COVID-19 pandemic period. The mechanism of injury significantly differed between the two periods (p < 0.0001, Fisher's exact test). There was an absolute increase in the number of injuries, due to machinery and falling objects during the pandemic (39.7% and 54.1% respectively, p < 0.001). In contrast, road traffic collisions and falls were reduced by 33.5% and 31.3%, respectively. Location significantly differed between the two periods (p < 0.0001, Fisher's exact test). There was an absolute increase of 18.4% in workplace injuries and a reduction of 39.3% in home injuries over the study period. In addition, we observed relatively more workplace injuries and fewer home injuries during the pandemic (11.3% and 42.8% compared with 7.1% and 52.4%, respectively). Mortality was similar between the two periods (1.8% compared with 1.2%, p = 0.16, Fisher's exact test). CONCLUSIONS The COVID-19 pandemic has modified the trauma risk exposure in our population. It reduced trauma hospital admissions by around 27%. Work-related injuries, including falling objects and machinery injuries, were relatively higher during the pandemic. Prevention of work-related injuries should be an important component of preparedness for future pandemics.
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Affiliation(s)
- David Olukolade Alao
- Department of Internal Medicine, College of Medicine and Health Sciences, UAE University, Al-Ain, United Arab Emirates. .,Emergency Department, Tawam Hospital, Al-Ain, United Arab Emirates.
| | - Arif Alper Cevik
- Department of Internal Medicine, College of Medicine and Health Sciences, UAE University, Al-Ain, United Arab Emirates.,Emergency Department, Tawam Hospital, Al-Ain, United Arab Emirates
| | - Yasin Jemal Yasin
- Institute of Public Health, College of Medicine and Health Sciences, UAE University, Al-Ain, United Arab Emirates
| | | | - Fikri Abu-Zidan
- Department of Surgery, College of Medicine and Health Sciences, UAE University, Al-Ain, United Arab Emirates
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Sugand K, Aframian A, Park C, Sarraf KM. Impact of COVID-19 on acute trauma and orthopaedic referrals and surgery in the UK during the first wave of the pandemic: a multicentre observational study from the COVid Emergency-Related Trauma and orthopaedics (COVERT) Collaborative. BMJ Open 2022; 12:e054919. [PMID: 35042707 PMCID: PMC8771810 DOI: 10.1136/bmjopen-2021-054919] [Citation(s) in RCA: 1] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 07/03/2021] [Accepted: 12/17/2021] [Indexed: 01/13/2023] Open
Abstract
OBJECTIVE This is the first British multicentre study observing the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on orthopaedic trauma with respect to referrals, operative caseload and mortality during its peak. DESIGN A longitudinal, multicentre, retrospective, observational, cohort study was conducted during the peak 6 weeks of the first wave from 17 March 2020 compared with the same period in 2019. SETTING Hospitals from six major urban cities were recruited around the UK, including London. PARTICIPANTS A total of 4840 clinical encounters were initially recorded. 4668 clinical encounters were analysed post-exclusion. PRIMARY AND SECONDARY OUTCOME MEASURES Primary outcomes included the number of acute trauma referrals and those undergoing operative intervention, mortality rates and the proportion of patients contracting COVID-19. Secondary outcomes consisted of the mechanism of injury, type of operative intervention and proportion of aerosolising-generating anaesthesia used. RESULTS During the COVID-19 period, there was a 34% reduction in acute orthopaedic trauma referrals compared with 2019 (1792 down to 1183 referrals), and a 29.5% reduction in surgical interventions (993 down to 700 operations). The mortality rate was more than doubled for both risk and odds ratios during the COVID-19 period for all referrals (1.3% vs 3.8%, p=0.0005) and for those undergoing operative intervention (2.2% vs 4.9%, p=0.004). Moreover, mortality due to COVID-19-related complications (vs non-COVID-19 causes) had greater odds by a factor of at least 20 times. For the operative cohort during COVID-19, there was an increase in odds of aerosolising-generating anaesthesia (including those with superimposed regional blocks) by three-quarters, as well as doubled odds of a consultant acting as the primary surgeon. CONCLUSION Although there was a reduction of acute trauma referrals and those undergoing operative intervention, the mortality rate still more than doubled in odds during the peak of the pandemic compared with the same time interval 1 year ago.
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Affiliation(s)
- Kapil Sugand
- MSk Lab, Imperial College London, London, UK
- Department of Trauma and Orthopaedics, Imperial College Healthcare NHS Trust, London, UK
| | - Arash Aframian
- MSk Lab, Imperial College London, London, UK
- Department of Trauma and Orthopaedics, Imperial College Healthcare NHS Trust, London, UK
| | - Chang Park
- Department of Trauma and Orthopaedics, Imperial College Healthcare NHS Trust, London, UK
| | - Khaled M Sarraf
- Department of Trauma and Orthopaedics, Imperial College Healthcare NHS Trust, London, UK
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26
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McGraw C, Jarvis S, Carrick M, Lieser M, Madayag RM, Berg GM, Banton KL, Hamilton D, Bar-Or D. Examining trends in gun violence injuries before and during the COVID-19 pandemic across six trauma centers. Trauma Surg Acute Care Open 2022; 7:e000801. [PMID: 35039797 PMCID: PMC8753110 DOI: 10.1136/tsaco-2021-000801] [Citation(s) in RCA: 4] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 06/30/2021] [Accepted: 12/26/2021] [Indexed: 12/02/2022] Open
Abstract
OBJECTIVES The onset of the national stay-at-home orders accompanied by a surge in firearm sales has elevated the concerns of clinicians and public health authorities. The purpose of this study was to examine the impact of the stay-at-home orders among gunshot wound (GSW) trauma admissions. METHODS This was a retrospective cohort study at six level I trauma centers across four states. Patients admitted after the onset of COVID-19 restrictions (March 16, 2020-June 30, 2020) were compared with those admitted during the same period in 2019. We compared (1) rate of patients with GSW and (2) characteristics of patients with GSW, by period using Χ2 tests or Fisher's exact tests, as appropriate. RESULTS There were 6996 trauma admissions across the study period; 3707 (53%) in 2019 and 3289 (47%) in 2020. From 2019 to 2020, there was a significant increase in GSW admissions (4% vs. 6%, p=0.001); 4 weeks specifically had significant increases (March 16-March 23: 4%, April 1-April 8: 5%, April 9-April 16: 6%, and May 11-May 18: 5%). Of the 334 GSWs, there were significant increases in patients with mental illness (5% vs. 11%, p=0.03), alcohol use disorder (2% vs. 10%, p=0.003), substance use disorder (11% vs. 25%, p=0.001), and a significant decrease in mortality (14% vs. 7%, p=0.03) in 2020. No other significant differences between time periods were identified. CONCLUSION Our data suggest that trauma centers admitted significantly more patients with GSW following the national guidelines, including an increase in those with mental illness and substance use-related disorders. This could be attributable to the stay-at-home orders. LEVEL OF EVIDENCE Level III, retrospective study.
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Affiliation(s)
- Constance McGraw
- Trauma Research Department, Injury Outcomes Network, Englewood, Colorado, USA
| | - Stephanie Jarvis
- Trauma Research Department, Injury Outcomes Network, Englewood, Colorado, USA
| | - Matthew Carrick
- Trauma Services Department, Medical City Plano, Plano, Texas, USA
| | - Mark Lieser
- Trauma Services Department, Research Medical Center, Kansas City, Missouri, USA
| | - Robert M Madayag
- Trauma Services Department, St Anthony Hospital, Lakewood, Colorado, USA
| | - Gina M Berg
- Trauma Services Department, Wesley Medical Center, Wichita, Kansas, USA
| | - Kaysie L Banton
- Trauma Services Department, Swedish Medical Center, Englewood, Colorado, USA
| | - David Hamilton
- Trauma Services Department, Penrose-St Francis Health Services, Colorado Springs, Colorado, USA
| | - David Bar-Or
- Trauma Research Department, Injury Outcomes Network, Englewood, Colorado, USA
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27
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Aukstakalnis V, Blaziene K, Cepla J, Vileitaite G, Stasaitis K, Vaitkaitis D. Impact of the COVID-19 lockdown on trauma team activations in a single major Lithuanian trauma center: A retrospective single-center study. Int J Crit Illn Inj Sci 2022; 12:17-21. [PMID: 35433397 PMCID: PMC9008292 DOI: 10.4103/ijciis.ijciis_66_21] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 07/16/2021] [Revised: 10/04/2021] [Accepted: 02/28/2022] [Indexed: 11/23/2022] Open
Abstract
Background: As a result of the coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic and national quarantine, different levels of social and movement restrictions, and stay-at-home requests, trauma trends have changed. The aim of the present study was to determine the impact of lockdown on patients treated by the trauma team (TT) at a single major Lithuanian trauma center during the COVID-19 pandemic. Methods: This is a retrospective, descriptive study of adult (≥18 years old) trauma patients (for whom the TT was activated). Consequently, we analyzed the national lockdown periods from 16 March to 15 May 2020 and from 16 December 2020 to 28 February 2021, compared with the corresponding period of the previous year. Results: There was a 10% reduction in TT activations during the national lockdown period. No significant differences were noted in patient demographics. In the COVID-19 cohort, patients had higher Injury Severity Score (14 [IQR 6−21] vs. 9 [IQR 3−18], P = 0.025) and longer time to computed tomography scan (33 [IQR 25−43] vs. 23 [IQR 20−31] min, P < 0.001). Moreover, in the COVID-19 cohort, three times more patients were transferred from the emergency department (ED) straight to the operating room (n = 12 [19%] vs. n = 4 [5.7%], P = 0.018, Cramer's V = 0.21). Conclusion: Patients were more severely injured, and more patients required emergent surgery during the lockdown. In addition, it took longer to transfer patients to the ED and to perform a computed tomography scan.
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Yasin YJ, Alao DO, Grivna M, Abu-Zidan FM. Impact of the COVID-19 Pandemic on road traffic collision injury patterns and severity in Al-Ain City, United Arab Emirates. World J Emerg Surg 2021; 16:57. [PMID: 34798873 PMCID: PMC8602977 DOI: 10.1186/s13017-021-00401-z] [Citation(s) in RCA: 9] [Impact Index Per Article: 2.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 09/13/2021] [Accepted: 11/02/2021] [Indexed: 11/14/2022] Open
Abstract
Background The COVID-19 Pandemic lockdowns restricted human and traffic mobility impacting the patterns and severity of road traffic collisions (RTCs). We aimed to study the effects of the COVID-19 Pandemic on incidence, patterns, severity of the injury, and outcomes of hospitalized RTCs trauma patients in Al-Ain City, United Arab Emirates. Methods We compared the data of two cohorts of patients which were collected over two periods; the Pandemic period (28 March 2020 to 27 March 2021) and the pre-pandemic period (28 March 2019 to 27 March 2020). All RTCs trauma patients who were hospitalized in the two major trauma centers (Al-Ain and Tawam Hospitals) of Al-Ain City were studied. Results Overall, the incidence of hospitalized RTC trauma patients significantly reduced by 33.5% during the Pandemic compared with the pre-pandemic period. The mechanism of injury was significantly different between the two periods (p < 0.0001, Fisher’s Exact test). MVCs were less during the Pandemic (60.5% compared with 72%), while motorcycle injuries were more (23.3% compared with 11.2%). The mortality of hospitalized RTC patients was significantly higher during the Pandemic (4.4% compared with 2.3%, p = 0.045, Fisher’s Exact test). Logistic regression showed that the significant factors that predicted mortality were the low GCS (p < 0.0001), admission to the ICU (p < 0.0001), and the high ISS (p = 0.045). COVID-19 Pandemic had a very strong trend (p = 0.058) for increased mortality. Conclusions Our study has shown that the numbers of hospitalized RTC trauma patients reduced by 33.5% during the COVID-19 Pandemic compared with the pre-pandemic period in our setting. This was attributed to the reduced motor vehicle, pedestrian and bicycle injuries while motorcycle injuries increased. Mortality was significantly higher during the Pandemic, which was attributed to increased ISS and reduced GCS.
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Affiliation(s)
- Yasin J Yasin
- Institute of Public Health, College of Medicine and Health Sciences, UAE University, Al-Ain, United Arab Emirates.,Department of Environmental Health and Behavioral Sciences, School of Public Health, College of Health Sciences, Mekelle University, Mekelle, Ethiopia
| | - David O Alao
- Department of Internal Medicine, College of Medicine and Health Sciences, UAE University, Al-Ain, United Arab Emirates.,Emergency Department, Tawam Hospital, Al-Ain, United Arab Emirates
| | - Michal Grivna
- Institute of Public Health, College of Medicine and Health Sciences, UAE University, Al-Ain, United Arab Emirates.,Department of Public Health and Preventive Medicine, Second Faculty of Medicine, Charles University, Prague, Czech Republic
| | - Fikri M Abu-Zidan
- Department of Surgery, College of Medicine and Health Sciences, UAE University, Al-Ain, United Arab Emirates.
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Trauma patients with SARS-CoV-2 in German ICUs during the 2nd wave of the COVID-19 pandemic. Eur J Trauma Emerg Surg 2021; 48:827-831. [PMID: 34779869 PMCID: PMC8592079 DOI: 10.1007/s00068-021-01829-3] [Citation(s) in RCA: 1] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 05/04/2021] [Accepted: 11/01/2021] [Indexed: 11/09/2022]
Abstract
Purpose In January and February 2021, about 4000 severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus type 2 (SARS-CoV-2) positive patients were treated daily in German intensive care units (ICUs). The number of SARS-CoV-2-positive ICU patients with trauma, however, is not known and neither whether the trauma itself or COVID-19 causes the critical illness. Methods A total of 173 German ICUs, representing 3068 ICU beds, participated in a survey developed by the Trauma Section of the German Interdisciplinary Association of Intensive Care Medicine (DIVI). Results Participating ICUs reported an overall 1-day prevalence of 20 and an overall 7-day prevalence of 35 SARS-CoV-2-positive trauma patients in the ICU. Critical illness was triggered by trauma alone in 50% of cases and by the combination of trauma and COVID-19 in 49% of cases; 70% of patients were older than 65 years and suffered from a single injury, predominantly proximal femur fractures. The distribution of patients was comparable regarding the level of care of the trauma centre (local, regional, and supra-regional). Conclusion The proportion of trauma patients of all SARS-CoV-2-positive critically ill patients is small (~ 1%) but relevant. There is no concentration of these patients at Level 1 trauma centres. However, the traumatic insult is the most relevant cause for ICU treatment in most of these patients. Regarding a new wave of the pandemic, adequate trauma dedicated resources and perioperative structures and expertise have to be provided for COVID-19 trauma patients. Supplementary Information The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1007/s00068-021-01829-3.
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30
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Huang GS, Chance EA, Dunham CM. Influence of a Stay-At-Home Order on Trauma Volume and Injury Patterns at a Level I Trauma Center in Ohio. Am Surg 2021:31348211047488. [PMID: 34732068 DOI: 10.1177/00031348211047488] [Citation(s) in RCA: 1] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/17/2022]
Abstract
BACKGROUND Changes in injury patterns during the COVID pandemic have been reported in other states. The objective was to explore changes to trauma service volume and admission characteristics at a trauma center in northeast Ohio during a stay-at-home order (SAHO) and compare the 2020 data to historic trauma census data. METHODS Retrospective chart review of adult trauma patients admitted to a level I trauma center in northeast Ohio. Trauma admissions from January 21 to July 21, 2020 (COVID period) were compared to date-matched cohorts of trauma admissions from 2018 to 2019 (historic period). The COVID period was further categorized as pre-SAHO, active-SAHO, and post-SAHO. RESULTS The SAHO was associated with a reduction in trauma center admissions that increased after the SAHO (P = .0033). Only outdoor recreational vehicle (ORV) injuries (P = .0221) and self-inflicted hanging (P = .0028) mechanisms were increased during the COVID period and had substantial effect sizes. Glasgow Coma Scores were lower during the COVID period (P = .0286) with a negligible effect size. Violence-related injuries, injury severity, mortality, and admission characteristics including alcohol and drug testing and positivity were similar in the COVID and historic periods. DISCUSSION The SAHO resulted in a temporary decrease in trauma center admissions. Although ORV and hanging mechanisms were increased, other mechanisms such as alcohol and toxicology proportions, injury severity, length of stay, and mortality were unchanged.
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Affiliation(s)
- Gregory S Huang
- Trauma/Critical Care/General Surgery, 22987St Elizabeth Youngstown Hospital, Youngstown, OH, USA
| | - Elisha A Chance
- Trauma/Neuroscience Research, 22987St Elizabeth Youngstown Hospital, Youngstown, OH, USA
| | - C Michael Dunham
- Trauma/Critical Care/General Surgery, 22987St Elizabeth Youngstown Hospital, Youngstown, OH, USA
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Affiliation(s)
- Tino Mkorombindo
- University of Louisville School of Medicine, Louisville, Kentucky, USA
| | - Craig S. Roberts
- Department of Orthopaedic Surgery, University of Louisville School of Medicine, 550 S. Jackson Street, Louisville, Kentucky, USA,Corresponding author
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Yasin YJ, Grivna M, Abu-Zidan FM. Global impact of COVID-19 pandemic on road traffic collisions. World J Emerg Surg 2021; 16:51. [PMID: 34583713 PMCID: PMC8478263 DOI: 10.1186/s13017-021-00395-8] [Citation(s) in RCA: 81] [Impact Index Per Article: 20.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 07/15/2021] [Accepted: 09/17/2021] [Indexed: 01/16/2023] Open
Abstract
BACKGROUND Various strategies to reduce the spread of COVID-19 including lockdown and stay-at-home order are expected to reduce road traffic characteristics and consequently road traffic collisions (RTCs). We aimed to review the effects of the COVID-19 pandemic on the incidence, patterns, and severity of the injury, management, and outcomes of RTCs and give recommendations on improving road safety during this pandemic. METHODS We conducted a narrative review on the effects of COVID-19 pandemic on RTCs published in English language using PubMed, Scopus, and Google Scholar with no date restriction. Google search engine and websites were also used to retrieve relevant published literature, including discussion papers, reports, and media news. Papers were critically read and data were summarized and combined. RESULTS Traffic volume dropped sharply during the COVID-19 pandemic which was associated with significant drop in RTCs globally and a reduction of road deaths in 32 out of 36 countries in April 2020 compared with April 2019, with a decrease of 50% or more in 12 countries, 25 to 49% in 14 countries, and by less than 25% in six countries. Similarly, there was a decrease in annual road death in 33 out of 42 countries in 2020 compared with 2019, with a reduction of 25% or more in 5 countries, 15-24% in 13 countries, and by less than 15% in 15 countries. In contrast, the opposite occurred in four and nine countries during the periods, respectively. There was also a drop in the number of admitted patients in trauma centers related to RTCs during both periods. This has been attributed to an increase in speeding, emptier traffic lanes, reduced law enforcement, not wearing seat belts, and alcohol and drug abuse. CONCLUSIONS The COVID-19 pandemic has generally reduced the overall absolute numbers of RTCs, and their deaths and injuries despite the relative increase of severity of injury and death. The most important factors that affected the RTCs are decreased mobility with empty lines, reduced crowding, and increased speeding. Our findings serve as a baseline for injury prevention in the current and future pandemics.
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Affiliation(s)
- Yasin J. Yasin
- Institute of Public Health, College of Medicine and Health Sciences, UAE University, Al-Ain, United Arab Emirates
- Department of Environmental Health and Behavioral Sciences, School of Public Health, College of Health Sciences, Mekelle University, Mekelle, Ethiopia
| | - Michal Grivna
- Institute of Public Health, College of Medicine and Health Sciences, UAE University, Al-Ain, United Arab Emirates
| | - Fikri M. Abu-Zidan
- Department of Surgery, College of Medicine and Health Sciences, UAE University, Al-Ain, United Arab Emirates
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