Critical Assessment of Methods for Predicting the 3D Structure of Proteins and Protein Complexes

Assessing the functional impact of protein binding site definition

Many biomedical applications, such as classification of binding specificities or bioengineering, depend on the accurate definition of protein binding interfaces. Depending on the choice of method used, substantially different sets of residues can be classified as belonging to the interface of a protein. A typical approach used to verify these definitions is to mutate residues and measure the impact of these changes on binding. Besides the lack of exhaustive data, this approach also suffers from the fundamental problem that a mutation introduces an unknown amount of alteration into an interface, which potentially alters the binding characteristics of the interface. In this study we explore the impact of alternative binding site definitions on the ability of a protein to recognize its cognate ligand using a pharmacophore approach, which does not affect the interface. The study also shows that methods for protein binding interface predictions should perform above approximately F-score = 0.7 accuracy level to capture the biological function of a protein.

AggreProt: a web server for predicting and engineering aggregation prone regions in proteins

Recombinant proteins play pivotal roles in numerous applications including industrial biocatalysts or therapeutics. Despite the recent progress in computational protein structure prediction, protein solubility and reduced aggregation propensity remain challenging attributes to design. Identification of aggregation-prone regions is essential for understanding misfolding diseases or designing efficient protein-based technologies, and as such has a great socio-economic impact. Here, we introduce AggreProt, a user-friendly webserver that automatically exploits an ensemble of deep neural networks to predict aggregation-prone regions (APRs) in protein sequences. Trained on experimentally evaluated hexapeptides, AggreProt compares to or outperforms state-of-the-art algorithms on two independent benchmark datasets. The server provides per-residue aggregation profiles along with information on solvent accessibility and transmembrane propensity within an intuitive interface with interactive sequence and structure viewers for comprehensive analysis. We demonstrate AggreProt efficacy in predicting differential aggregation behaviours in proteins on several use cases, which emphasize its potential for guiding protein engineering strategies towards decreased aggregation propensity and improved solubility. The webserver is freely available and accessible at https://loschmidt.chemi.muni.cz/aggreprot/.

Computational Approaches to Predict Protein-Protein Interactions in Crowded Cellular Environments

Investigating protein-protein interactions is crucial for understanding cellular biological processes because proteins often function within molecular complexes rather than in isolation. While experimental and computational methods have provided valuable insights into these interactions, they often overlook a critical factor: the crowded cellular environment. This environment significantly impacts protein behavior, including structural stability, diffusion, and ultimately the nature of binding. In this review, we discuss theoretical and computational approaches that allow the modeling of biological systems to guide and complement experiments and can thus significantly advance the investigation, and possibly the predictions, of protein-protein interactions in the crowded environment of cell cytoplasm. We explore topics such as statistical mechanics for lattice simulations, hydrodynamic interactions, diffusion processes in high-viscosity environments, and several methods based on molecular dynamics simulations. By synergistically leveraging methods from biophysics and computational biology, we review the state of the art of computational methods to study the impact of molecular crowding on protein-protein interactions and discuss its potential revolutionizing effects on the characterization of the human interactome.

Importance of Inter-residue Contacts for Understanding Protein Folding and Unfolding Rates, Remote Homology, and Drug Design

Inter-residue interactions in protein structures provide valuable insights into protein folding and stability. Understanding these interactions can be helpful in many crucial applications, including rational design of therapeutic small molecules and biologics, locating functional protein sites, and predicting protein-protein and protein-ligand interactions. The process of developing machine learning models incorporating inter-residue interactions has been improved recently. This review highlights the theoretical models incorporating inter-residue interactions in predicting folding and unfolding rates of proteins. Utilizing contact maps to depict inter-residue interactions aids researchers in developing computer models for detecting remote homologs and interface residues within protein-protein complexes which, in turn, enhances our knowledge of the relationship between sequence and structure of proteins. Further, the application of contact maps derived from inter-residue interactions is highlighted in the field of drug discovery. Overall, this review presents an extensive assessment of the significant models that use inter-residue interactions to investigate folding rates, unfolding rates, remote homology, and drug development, providing potential future advancements in constructing efficient computational models in structural biology.

Modulation of Krüppel-like factors (KLFs) interaction with their binding partners in cancers through acetylation and phosphorylation

Post-translational modifications (PTMs) of transcription factors regulate transcriptional activity and play a key role in essentially all biological processes and generate indispensable insight towards biological function including activity state, subcellular localization, protein solubility, protein folding, substrate trafficking, and protein-protein interactions. Amino acids modified chemically via PTMs, function as molecular switches and affect the protein function and characterization and increase the proteome complexity. Krüppel-like transcription factors (KLFs) control essential cellular processes including proliferation, differentiation, migration, programmed cell death and various cancer-relevant processes. We investigated the interactions of KLF group-2 members with their binding partners to assess the role of acetylation and phosphorylation in KLFs on their binding affinity. It was observed that acetylation and phosphorylation at different positions in KLFs have a variable effect on binding with specific partners. KLF2-EP300, KLF4-SP1, KLF6-ATF3, KLF6-JUN, and KLF7-JUN show stabilization upon acetylation or phosphorylation at variable positions. On the other hand, KLF4-CBP, KLF4-EP300, KLF5-CBP, KLF5-WWP1, KLF6-SP1, and KLF7-ATF3 show stabilization or destabilization due to acetylation or phosphorylation at variable positions in KLFs. This provides a molecular explanation of the experimentally observed dual role of KLF group-2 members as a suppressor or activator of cancers in a PTM-dependent manner.

Rosetta Energy Analysis of AlphaFold2 models: Point Mutations and Conformational Ensembles

There has been an explosive growth in the applications of AlphaFold2, and other structure prediction platforms, to accurately predict protein structures from a multiple sequence alignment (MSA) for downstream structural analysis. However, two outstanding questions persist in the field regarding the robustness of AlphaFold2 predictions of the consequences of point mutations and the completeness of its prediction of protein conformational ensembles. We combined our previously developed method SPEACH_AF with model relaxation and energetic analysis with Rosetta to address these questions. SPEACH_AF introduces residue substitutions across the MSA and not just within the input sequence. With respect to conformational ensembles, we combined SPEACH_AF and a new MSA subsampling method, AF_cluster, and for a benchmarked set of proteins, we found that the energetics of the conformational ensembles generated by AlphaFold2 correspond to those of experimental structures and explored by standard molecular dynamic methods. With respect to point mutations, we compared the structural and energetic consequences of having the mutation(s) in the input sequence versus in the whole MSA (SPEACH_AF). Both methods yielded models different from the wild-type sequence, with more robust changes when the mutation(s) were in the whole MSA. While our findings demonstrate the robustness of AlphaFold2 in analyzing point mutations and exploring conformational ensembles, they highlight the need for multi parameter structural and energetic analyses of these models to generate experimentally testable hypotheses.

A Perspective on the Prospective Use of AI in Protein Structure Prediction

AlphaFold2 (AF2) and RoseTTaFold (RF) have revolutionized structural biology, serving as highly reliable and effective methods for predicting protein structures. This article explores their impact and limitations, focusing on their integration into experimental pipelines and their application in diverse protein classes, including membrane proteins, intrinsically disordered proteins (IDPs), and oligomers. In experimental pipelines, AF2 models help X-ray crystallography in resolving the phase problem, while complementarity with mass spectrometry and NMR data enhances structure determination and protein flexibility prediction. Predicting the structure of membrane proteins remains challenging for both AF2 and RF due to difficulties in capturing conformational ensembles and interactions with the membrane. Improvements in incorporating membrane-specific features and predicting the structural effect of mutations are crucial. For intrinsically disordered proteins, AF2's confidence score (pLDDT) serves as a competitive disorder predictor, but integrative approaches including molecular dynamics (MD) simulations or hydrophobic cluster analyses are advocated for accurate dynamics representation. AF2 and RF show promising results for oligomeric models, outperforming traditional docking methods, with AlphaFold-Multimer showing improved performance. However, some caveats remain in particular for membrane proteins. Real-life examples demonstrate AF2's predictive capabilities in unknown protein structures, but models should be evaluated for their agreement with experimental data. Furthermore, AF2 models can be used complementarily with MD simulations. In this Perspective, we propose a "wish list" for improving deep-learning-based protein folding prediction models, including using experimental data as constraints and modifying models with binding partners or post-translational modifications. Additionally, a meta-tool for ranking and suggesting composite models is suggested, driving future advancements in this rapidly evolving field.

Impact of AlphaFold on structure prediction of protein complexes: The CASP15-CAPRI experiment

We present the results for CAPRI Round 54, the 5th joint CASP-CAPRI protein assembly prediction challenge. The Round offered 37 targets, including 14 homodimers, 3 homo-trimers, 13 heterodimers including 3 antibody-antigen complexes, and 7 large assemblies. On average ~70 CASP and CAPRI predictor groups, including more than 20 automatics servers, submitted models for each target. A total of 21 941 models submitted by these groups and by 15 CAPRI scorer groups were evaluated using the CAPRI model quality measures and the DockQ score consolidating these measures. The prediction performance was quantified by a weighted score based on the number of models of acceptable quality or higher submitted by each group among their five best models. Results show substantial progress achieved across a significant fraction of the 60+ participating groups. High-quality models were produced for about 40% of the targets compared to 8% two years earlier. This remarkable improvement is due to the wide use of the AlphaFold2 and AlphaFold2-Multimer software and the confidence metrics they provide. Notably, expanded sampling of candidate solutions by manipulating these deep learning inference engines, enriching multiple sequence alignments, or integration of advanced modeling tools, enabled top performing groups to exceed the performance of a standard AlphaFold2-Multimer version used as a yard stick. This notwithstanding, performance remained poor for complexes with antibodies and nanobodies, where evolutionary relationships between the binding partners are lacking, and for complexes featuring conformational flexibility, clearly indicating that the prediction of protein complexes remains a challenging problem.

The Impact of AI-Based Modeling on the Accuracy of Protein Assembly Prediction: Insights from CASP15

In CASP15, 87 predictors submitted around 11,000 models on 41 assembly targets. The community demonstrated exceptional performance in overall fold and interface contact prediction, achieving an impressive success rate of 90% (compared to 31% in CASP14). This remarkable accomplishment is largely due to the incorporation of DeepMind's AF2-Multimer approach into custom-built prediction pipelines. To evaluate the added value of participating methods, we compared the community models to the baseline AF2-Multimer predictor. In over 1/3 of cases the community models were superior to the baseline predictor. The main reasons for this improved performance were the use of custom-built multiple sequence alignments, optimized AF2-Multimer sampling, and the manual assembly of AF2-Multimer-built subcomplexes. The best three groups, in order, are Zheng, Venclovas and Wallner. Zheng and Venclovas reached a 73.2% success rate over all (41) cases, while Wallner attained 69.4% success rate over 36 cases. Nonetheless, challenges remain in predicting structures with weak evolutionary signals, such as nanobody-antigen, antibody-antigen, and viral complexes. Expectedly, modeling large complexes remains also challenging due to their high memory compute demands. In addition to the assembly category, we assessed the accuracy of modeling interdomain interfaces in the tertiary structure prediction targets. Models on seven targets featuring 17 unique interfaces were analyzed. Best predictors achieved the 76.5% success rate, with the UM-TBM group being the leader. In the interdomain category, we observed that the predictors faced challenges, as in the case of the assembly category, when the evolutionary signal for a given domain pair was weak or the structure was large. Overall, CASP15 witnessed unprecedented improvement in interface modeling, reflecting the AI revolution seen in CASP14.

Prediction of protein interactions is essential for studying biomolecular mechanisms

Structural characterization of protein interactions is essential for our ability to understand and modulate physiological processes. Computational approaches to modeling of protein complexes provide structural information that far exceeds capabilities of the existing experimental techniques. Protein structure prediction in general, and prediction of protein interactions in particular, has been revolutionized by the rapid progress in Deep Learning techniques. The work of Schweke et al. (Proteomics 2023, 23, 2200323) presents a community-wide study of an important problem of distinguishing physiological protein-protein complexes/interfaces (experimentally determined or modeled) from non-physiological ones. The authors designed and generated a large benchmark set of physiological and non-physiological homodimeric complexes, and evaluated a large set of scoring functions, as well as AlphaFold predictions, on their ability to discriminate the non-physiological interfaces. The problem of separating physiological interfaces from non-physiological ones is very difficult, largely due to the lack of a clear distinction between the two categories in a crowded environment inside a living cell. Still, the ability to identify key physiologically significant interfaces in the variety of possible configurations of a protein-protein complex is important. The study presents a major data resource and methodological development in this important direction for molecular and cellular biology.

In Silico Structural Analysis Exploring Conformational Folding of Protein Variants in Alzheimer's Disease

Accurate protein structure prediction using computational methods remains a challenge in molecular biology. Recent advances in AI-powered algorithms provide a transformative effect in solving this problem. Even though AlphaFold's performance has improved since its release, there are still limitations that apply to its efficacy. In this study, a selection of proteins related to the pathology of Alzheimer's disease was modeled, with Presenilin-1 (PSN1) and its mutated variants in the foreground. Their structural predictions were evaluated using the ColabFold implementation of AlphaFold, which utilizes MMseqs2 for the creation of multiple sequence alignments (MSAs). A higher number of recycles than the one used in the AlphaFold DB was selected, and no templates were used. In addition, prediction by RoseTTAFold was also applied to address how structures from the two deep learning frameworks match reality. The resulting conformations were compared with the corresponding experimental structures, providing potential insights into the predictive ability of this approach in this particular group of proteins. Furthermore, a comprehensive examination was performed on features such as predicted regions of disorder and the potential effect of mutations on PSN1. Our findings consist of highly accurate superpositions with little or no deviation from experimentally determined domain-level models.

Growing ecosystem of deep learning methods for modeling protein-protein interactions

Numerous cellular functions rely on protein-protein interactions. Efforts to comprehensively characterize them remain challenged however by the diversity of molecular recognition mechanisms employed within the proteome. Deep learning has emerged as a promising approach for tackling this problem by exploiting both experimental data and basic biophysical knowledge about protein interactions. Here, we review the growing ecosystem of deep learning methods for modeling protein interactions, highlighting the diversity of these biophysically informed models and their respective trade-offs. We discuss recent successes in using representation learning to capture complex features pertinent to predicting protein interactions and interaction sites, geometric deep learning to reason over protein structures and predict complex structures, and generative modeling to design de novo protein assemblies. We also outline some of the outstanding challenges and promising new directions. Opportunities abound to discover novel interactions, elucidate their physical mechanisms, and engineer binders to modulate their functions using deep learning and, ultimately, unravel how protein interactions orchestrate complex cellular behaviors.