Serum Thyrotropin Elevation and Coronary Artery Calcification in Hemodialysis Patients

Impact of Thyroid Status on Incident Kidney Dysfunction and Chronic Kidney Disease Progression in a Nationally Representative Cohort

OBJECTIVE

To examine the relationship between thyroid status and incident kidney dysfunction/chronic kidney disease (CKD) progression.

PATIENTS AND METHODS

We examined incident thyroid status, ascertained by serum thyrotropin (TSH) levels measured from January 1, 2007, through December 31, 2018, among 4,152,830 patients from the Optum Labs Data Warehouse, containing deidentified retrospective administrative claims data from a large national health insurance plan and electronic health record data from a nationwide network of provider groups. Associations of thyroid status, categorized as hypothyroidism, euthyroidism, or hyperthyroidism (TSH levels >5.0, 0.5-5.0, and <0.5 mIU/L, respectively), with the composite end point of incident kidney dysfunction in patients without baseline kidney dysfunction and CKD progression in those with baseline CKD were examined using Cox models.

RESULTS

Patients with hypothyroidism and hyperthyroidism had higher risk of incident kidney dysfunction/CKD progression in expanded case-mix analyses (reference: euthyroidism): adjusted hazard ratios (aHRs) (95% CIs) were 1.37 (1.34 to 1.40) and 1.42 (1.39 to 1.45), respectively. Incrementally higher TSH levels in the upper reference range and TSH ranges for subclinical, mild overt, and overt hypothyroidism (≥3.0-5.0, >5.0-10.0, >10.0-20.0, and >20.0 mIU/L, respectively) were associated with increasingly higher risk of the composite end point (reference: TSH level, 0.5 to <3.0 mIU/L): aHRs (95% CIs) were 1.10 (1.09 to 1.11), 1.37 (1.34 to 1.40), 1.70 (1.59 to 1.83), and 1.70 (1.50 to 1.93), respectively. Incrementally lower TSH levels in the subclinical (<0.5 mIU/L) and overt (<0.1 mIU/L) hyperthyroid ranges were also associated with the composite end point: aHRs (95% CIs) were 1.44 (1.41 to 1.47) and 1.48 (1.39 to 1.59), respectively.

CONCLUSION

In a national cohort, TSH levels in the upper reference range or higher (≥3.0 mIU/L) and below the reference range (<0.5 mIU/L) were associated with incident kidney dysfunction/CKD progression.

The impact of diabetes and subclinical hypothyroidism association with coronary artery calcium: results from the Brazilian Longitudinal Study of Adult Health (ELSA-Brasil)

Objective

We aimed to analyze the association of diabetes and subclinical hypothyroidism with subclinical atherosclerosis measured by coronary artery calcium (CAC) in the baseline of the ELSA-Brasil study.

Materials and methods

CAC was measured using a 64-detector computed tomographic scanner. The association of CAC > 0 was presented as an odds ratio (OR) and 95% confidence intervals (95%CI) in logistic models and as β (95%CI) in linear models after multivariable adjustment for confounders.

Results

We analyzed 3,809 participants (mean-age (SD) 50.5 (8.8); 51.7% women). In the main analysis, we did not find an association of diabetes and subclinical hypothyroidism with CAC. However, in stratified analysis according to age strata, we found no significative interaction terms, an important heterogeneity between the groups, with the younger age strata showing an association of the group with both diseases and CAC > 0 (OR 7.16; 95%CI, 1.14; 44.89) with a wide but significative 95%CI, suggesting that the smaller number of participants in the younger group may influence the results. Our findings also showed an association of CAC > 0 and log (CAC+1) with diabetes in logistic (OR, 1.31; 95%CI, 1.05-1.63) and linear models (β, 0.24, 0.16, 0.40), respectively. Diabetes was independently associated with CAC > 0 in linear models.

Discussion

In conclusion, our results showed a great heterogeneity in stratified analysis based on age in the younger age strata. Although we found no significant interaction factors, the smaller sample size for the analysis may influence the negative findings.

Development and Validation of a Prediction Model for Incident Hypothyroidism in a National Chronic Kidney Disease Cohort

CONTEXT

Hypothyroidism is a common yet under-recognized condition in patients with chronic kidney disease (CKD), which may lead to end-organ complications if left untreated.

OBJECTIVE

We developed a prediction tool to identify CKD patients at risk for incident hypothyroidism.

METHODS

Among 15 642 patients with stages 4 to 5 CKD without evidence of pre-existing thyroid disease, we developed and validated a risk prediction tool for the development of incident hypothyroidism (defined as thyrotropin [TSH] > 5.0 mIU/L) using the Optum Labs Data Warehouse, which contains de-identified administrative claims, including medical and pharmacy claims and enrollment records for commercial and Medicare Advantage enrollees as well as electronic health record data. Patients were divided into a two-thirds development set and a one-third validation set. Prediction models were developed using Cox models to estimate probability of incident hypothyroidism.

RESULTS

There were 1650 (11%) cases of incident hypothyroidism during a median follow-up of 3.4 years. Characteristics associated with hypothyroidism included older age, White race, higher body mass index, low serum albumin, higher baseline TSH, hypertension, congestive heart failure, exposure to iodinated contrast via angiogram or computed tomography scan, and amiodarone use. Model discrimination was good with similar C-statistics in the development and validation datasets: 0.77 (95% CI 0.75-0.78) and 0.76 (95% CI 0.74-0.78), respectively. Model goodness-of-fit tests showed adequate fit in the overall cohort (P = .47) as well as in a subcohort of patients with stage 5 CKD (P = .33).

CONCLUSION

In a national cohort of CKD patients, we developed a clinical prediction tool identifying those at risk for incident hypothyroidism to inform prioritized screening, monitoring, and treatment in this population.