Effect of Intensive Blood Pressure Lowering on the Risk of Atrial Fibrillation

Atrial fibrillation and heart failure with preserved ejection fraction "twindemic"-Shared root causes and treatment targets

Heart failure with preserved ejection fraction (HFpEF) and atrial fibrillation (AF) are comorbid conditions that are increasingly prevalent and have a high socioeconomic burden. This article discusses their shared pathophysiology, focusing on the triad of hypertension, obesity, and aging. We highlight the misperception that pharmacological heart rate lowering is beneficial, which has resulted in an overprescription of β-blockers in HFpEF and AF. In contrast, heart rate modulation through accelerated pacing provides hemodynamic and structural advantages, which have yielded significant improvements in quality of life, physical activity, and AF burden in the personalized pacing for diastolic dysfunction and heart failure with preserved ejection fraction (myPACE) trial of patients with preclinical or overt HFpEF.

Association Between Visit-to-Visit Blood Pressure Variability and Incidence of Atrial Fibrillation in Hypertensive Patients: A Post-Hoc Analysis of the SPRINT Trial

Visit-to-visit blood pressure variability (BPV) has been recognized as a cardiovascular risk factor, but its association with new-onset atrial fibrillation (AF) remains underexplored. This study investigated the relationship between BPV and AF incidence among hypertensive patients using data from the Systolic Blood Pressure Intervention Trial (SPRINT). Visit-to-visit BPV was quantified using standard deviation (SD), coefficient of variation (CV), and average real variability (ARV) of systolic and diastolic blood pressure measurements. Participants were stratified into three groups based on systolic BPV tertiles. AF cases were identified via follow-up electrocardiograms and reports of AF-related serious adverse events. After excluding individuals with baseline AF or missing BPV data, 7378 patients were analyzed over a median follow-up of 3.8 years. The incidence of new-onset AF increased across ascending tertiles of systolic BPV (CV), with rates of 2.5% (62 cases), 4.1% (104 cases), and 5.2% (127 cases) observed in the lowest to highest tertiles, respectively. After adjusting for age, race, blood pressure, and cardiovascular risk factors, the hazard ratios for AF in the second and third tertiles compared to the lowest tertile were 1.52 (95% CI: 1.10-2.09) and 1.83 (95% CI: 1.34-2.49), respectively. Consistent trends were noted for systolic BPV measured via SD and ARV, as well as diastolic BPV. These findings indicate that elevated visit-to-visit BPV independently predicts AF development in hypertensive populations. Assessing BPV may enhance risk stratification and identify patients at heightened risk for AF, underscoring its clinical relevance in hypertension management.

Hypertensive heart disease in older patients: considerations for clinical practice

Appropriate management of older people with hypertension is essential to reduce the burden of hypertensive heart disease and further cardiovascular sequelae but there may be challenges given the presence of concurrent senescent changes, comorbidities and impairment in functionality. It is recommended that frailty level and functional status are assessed periodically to understand patient needs and to guide treatment decisions. Office blood pressure should be measured with an appropriate cuff as per standard guidelines. There should be a high index of suspicion for orthostatic hypotension and white coat/masked hypertension, both common in older individuals. Cardiac imaging often identifies age-related changes that may not result from hypertension alone, including smaller ventricular volumes, a sigmoid septum and non-ischaemic fibrosis. Diastolic dysfunction is common and other pathologies, including cardiac amyloidosis, may need to be considered in the presence of red flags. Screening for atrial fibrillation during blood pressure evaluation is advised. Decisions for blood pressure management should follow current recommendations and take into consideration the patient's age and tolerance. There is limited evidence regarding heart failure management in older patients, however, disease-modifying therapy as per guidelines should be pursued. Sufficient outcome data are lacking for this patient group and a multidisciplinary approach is often needed to design optimal therapy.

Management of Atrial Fibrillation in Elderly Patients: A Whole New Ballgame?

Atrial fibrillation (AF) is the most prevalent sustained supraventricular arrhythmia, particularly in older adults, with its incidence increasing dramatically with age. This condition is a significant contributor to morbidity and mortality, being closely linked to an elevated risk of heart failure, ischemic stroke, systemic thromboembolism, and dementia. The complexities of managing AF in the elderly arise from age-related physiological changes, comorbidities, frailty, and the challenges of polypharmacy. Therapeutic strategies must balance efficacy and safety, tailoring interventions to the individual's health status, life expectancy, and personal preferences. This review explores the latest evidence-based approaches to managing AF in elderly patients, focusing on the nuanced application of rate and rhythm control strategies, anticoagulation, and emerging insights into the relationship between AF and cognitive impairment.

The Elderly Patient with Atrial Fibrillation: Optimal Treatment Strategies

Atrial fibrillation (AF) is the most common sustained cardiac arrhythmia, with its prevalence expected to rise significantly due to global population aging [...].

Atrial Fibrillation Ablation in Heart Failure with Reduced Ejection Fraction

Multiple randomized clinical trials have demonstrated catheter ablation in heart failure with reduced ejection fraction reduces mortality and hospitalization as well as improves ventricular function, quality of life, and functional status. Catheter ablation has been shown to be superior to alternative rate and rhythm control strategies in these outcomes. Guidelines strongly support the use of catheter ablation to maintain sinus rhythm in patients with atrial fibrillation and heart failure.

2025 Heart Disease and Stroke Statistics: A Report of US and Global Data From the American Heart Association

BACKGROUND

The American Heart Association (AHA), in conjunction with the National Institutes of Health, annually reports the most up-to-date statistics related to heart disease, stroke, and cardiovascular risk factors, including core health behaviors (smoking, physical activity, nutrition, sleep, and obesity) and health factors (cholesterol, blood pressure, glucose control, and metabolic syndrome) that contribute to cardiovascular health. The AHA Heart Disease and Stroke Statistical Update presents the latest data on a range of major clinical heart and circulatory disease conditions (including stroke, brain health, complications of pregnancy, kidney disease, congenital heart disease, rhythm disorders, sudden cardiac arrest, subclinical atherosclerosis, coronary heart disease, cardiomyopathy, heart failure, valvular disease, venous thromboembolism, and peripheral artery disease) and the associated outcomes (including quality of care, procedures, and economic costs).

METHODS

The AHA, through its Epidemiology and Prevention Statistics Committee, continuously monitors and evaluates sources of data on heart disease and stroke in the United States and globally to provide the most current information available in the annual Statistical Update with review of published literature through the year before writing. The 2025 AHA Statistical Update is the product of a full year's worth of effort in 2024 by dedicated volunteer clinicians and scientists, committed government professionals, and AHA staff members. This year's edition includes a continued focus on health equity across several key domains and enhanced global data that reflect improved methods and incorporation of ≈3000 new data sources since last year's Statistical Update.

RESULTS

Each of the chapters in the Statistical Update focuses on a different topic related to heart disease and stroke statistics.

CONCLUSIONS

The Statistical Update represents a critical resource for the lay public, policymakers, media professionals, clinicians, health care administrators, researchers, health advocates, and others seeking the best available data on these factors and conditions.

The Role of Early Risk Factor Modification and Ablation in Atrial Fibrillation Substrate Remodeling Prevention

Atrial fibrillation (AF) is the most common sustained arrhythmia, contributing to significant morbidity and healthcare burden worldwide. This review evaluates the role of early risk factor modification and timely catheter ablation in preventing AF progression and improving patient outcomes. A comprehensive literature search was conducted using PubMed, MEDLINE, and Google Scholar, focusing on studies published after the ESC 2020 guidelines for the diagnosis and management of AF up to the release of the updated ESC 2024 guidelines for the management of AF. Keywords included "atrial fibrillation", "catheter ablation", "risk factor management", and "psychological stress". Relevant clinical trials, randomized controlled trials, systematic reviews, and meta-analyses were included, with particular emphasis on novel studies contributing to the ESC 2024 updated recommendations. Traditional risk factors such as obesity, hypertension, diabetes, sleep apnea, alcohol consumption, and physical exertion are well established in AF progression. Early evidence also suggests a role for psychological stress and mood disorders, including depression and post-traumatic stress disorder (PTSD), in increasing AF susceptibility. Psychological stress and mood disorders are linked to AF primarily through behavioral changes such as poor medication adherence, unhealthy lifestyle choices, and increased substance use. Recent guidelines recommend early catheter ablation in selected patients to reduce AF burden, prevent atrial remodeling, and improve quality of life, particularly in those resistant to antiarrhythmic drugs or individuals with AF-induced cardiomyopathy. Furthermore, we highlight the importance of a patient-centered, multidisciplinary approach, integrating electrophysiologists, cardiologists, and primary care providers with structured risk factor interventions and shared decision-making. Despite these advances, gaps remain in defining optimal timing, patient selection, and long-term benefits of catheter ablation in persistent AF, necessitating the need for further research. By integrating early intervention, personalized treatment strategies, and collaborative care models, we may usher in a paradigm shift in AF management, improving long-term cardiovascular outcomes and patient quality of life.

How Would You Manage This Patient With Recent-Onset Atrial Fibrillation? Grand Rounds Discussion From Beth Israel Deaconess Medical Center

Atrial fibrillation (AF) is the most common arrhythmia. Risk factors for AF include obstructive sleep apnea, physical inactivity, obesity, cigarette use, and alcohol misuse. Atrial fibrillation substantially increases the risk for stroke and is associated with higher rates of mortality than for individuals without AF. Strategies to prevent these risk factors and to optimize those that already exist reduce the risk for subsequent AF. Physicians play an important role in proposing strategies to reduce the risk for AF among patients. Decision making regarding management of AF is often complex and requires consideration of symptoms, burden of AF (the percentage of time in AF), comorbid conditions that increase stroke risk, and the risk for bleeding. In particular, novel risk scoring systems to predict stroke risk, and consideration of factors beyond those in these tools, refine the ability to identify patients with AF who are most likely to benefit from anticoagulation to reduce stroke risk. Early use of catheter ablation of AF in selected patients improves symptoms and reduces the potential for progression from intermittent to persistent AF. A 2023 collaborative guideline from the American College of Cardiology, American Heart Association, American College of Chest Physicians, and the Heart Rhythm Society addressed multiple aspects of care of patients with AF. Here, a general cardiologist and a cardiac electrophysiologist discuss recommendations derived from this guideline and how to apply them to the care of a particular patient.

Atrial Fibrillation: A Review

Importance

In the US, approximately 10.55 million adults have atrial fibrillation (AF). AF is associated with significantly increased risk of stroke, heart failure, myocardial infarction, dementia, chronic kidney disease, and mortality.

Observations

Symptoms of AF include palpitations, dyspnea, chest pain, presyncope, exertional intolerance, and fatigue, although approximately 10% to 40% of people with AF are asymptomatic. AF can be detected incidentally during clinical encounters, with wearable devices, or through interrogation of cardiac implanted electronic devices. In patients presenting with ischemic stroke without diagnosed AF, an implantable loop recorder (ie, subcutaneous telemetry device) can evaluate patients for intermittent AF. The 2023 American College of Cardiology (ACC)/American Heart Association (AHA)/American College of Clinical Pharmacy (ACCP)/Heart Rhythm Society (HRS) Guideline writing group proposed 4 stages of AF evolution: stage 1, at risk, defined as patients with AF-associated risk factors (eg, obesity, hypertension); stage 2, pre-AF, signs of atrial pathology on electrocardiogram or imaging without AF; stage 3, the presence of paroxysmal (recurrent AF episodes lasting ≤7 days) or persistent (continuous AF episode lasting >7 days) AF subtypes; and stage 4, permanent AF. Lifestyle and risk factor modification, including weight loss and exercise, to prevent AF onset, recurrence, and complications are recommended for all stages. In patients with estimated risk of stroke and thromboembolic events of 2% or greater per year, anticoagulation with a vitamin K antagonist or direct oral anticoagulant reduces stroke risk by 60% to 80% compared with placebo. In most patients, a direct oral anticoagulant, such as apixaban, rivaroxaban, or edoxaban, is recommended over warfarin because of lower bleeding risks. Compared with anticoagulation, aspirin is associated with poorer efficacy and is not recommended for stroke prevention. Early rhythm control with antiarrhythmic drugs or catheter ablation to restore and maintain sinus rhythm is recommended by the 2023 ACC/AHA/ACCP/HRS Guideline for some patients with AF. Catheter ablation is first-line therapy in patients with symptomatic paroxysmal AF to improve symptoms and slow progression to persistent AF. Catheter ablation is also recommended for patients with AF who have heart failure with reduced ejection fraction (HFrEF) to improve quality of life, left ventricular systolic function, and cardiovascular outcomes, such as rates of mortality and heart failure hospitalization.

Conclusions and Relevance

AF is associated with increased rates of stroke, heart failure, and mortality. Lifestyle and risk factor modification are recommended to prevent AF onset, recurrence, and complications, and oral anticoagulants are recommended for those with an estimated risk of stroke or thromboembolic events of 2% or greater per year. Early rhythm control using antiarrhythmic drugs or catheter ablation is recommended in select patients with AF experiencing symptomatic paroxysmal AF or HFrEF.

Integrated Management of Persistent Atrial Fibrillation

The global incidence of atrial fibrillation is on the rise. Atrial fibrillation, a complex disease, heightens the likelihood of heart failure, stroke, and mortality, necessitating careful attention. Controlling heart rate and rhythm, addressing risk factors, and preventing strokes are fundamental in treating atrial fibrillation. Catheter ablation stands out as the primary approach for atrial fibrillation rhythm control. Nevertheless, the limited success rates pose a significant challenge to catheter ablation, particularly for persistent atrial fibrillation. Various adjunctive ablation techniques are currently under investigation to enhance the effectiveness of catheter ablation. This review provides an overview of the current state of the art and the latest optimized treatments for persistent atrial fibrillation in the areas of rhythm control, heart rate control, and risk factor management.

Sex Differences in Clinical Characteristics and Management of Non-valvular Atrial Fibrillation in a Resource-Limited Setting

Introduction: Non-valvular atrial fibrillation (NVAF), the most prevalent sustained arrhythmia, significantly increases the risk of complications such as stroke, heart failure, and mortality. Emerging evidence highlights notable sex-related differences in its clinical presentation and management. However, a substantial knowledge gap persists regarding these disparities in resource-limited settings, where data remain scarce and the burden of NVAF is rising. Objectives: This study aims to assess sex-related differences in clinical characteristics, risk factors, and therapeutic management - specifically anticoagulation use, rate control, and rhythm control strategies - among patients with NVAF. Methodology: This observational study included patients diagnosed with NVAF from April 2023 to November 2024. Patients were subsequently stratified by sex to evaluate differences in clinical, demographic, and therapeutic variables. Statistical analyses incorporated univariate, bivariate, and multivariate approaches, with statistical significance set at P < 0.05. Results: A total of 594 patients with NVAF were included, of whom 316 (53.2%) were male and 278 (46.8%) were female. Notably, female patients were generally older (77.8 vs. 75.3 years; P = 0.006), exhibited higher systolic blood pressure (130.1 vs. 124.2 mmHg; P = 0.007), had higher CHA2DS2-VA scores (3.38 vs. 3.1; P = 0.008), and displayed a lower prevalence of heart failure with reduced ejection fraction (15.1% vs. 24.4%; P = 0.005). In contrast, male patients presented a higher body mass index (BMI 26.2 vs. 24.5 kg/m²; P = 0.003) and elevated serum creatinine levels (1.3 vs. 1.09 mg/dL; P < 0.001). In the multivariate analysis, an age ≥75 years (odds ratio [OR] = 1.66; P = 0.026) and systolic blood pressure (OR = 1.01; P = 0.052) were positively associated with female sex, whereas higher BMI (OR = 0.96; P = 0.037) and increased serum creatinine levels (OR = 0.32; P < 0.001) were inversely associated. These findings underscore distinct differences in risk factors and clinical profiles between the sexes. Conclusions: Female patients frequently present at an advanced age, demonstrate suboptimal blood pressure control, and face an elevated risk of thromboembolism, whereas male patients exhibit a higher BMI and a greater prevalence of heart failure with reduced ejection fraction. These observations underscore the necessity of sex-specific therapeutic strategies.

Advances in Atrial Fibrillation Management: A Guide for General Internists

Atrial fibrillation (AF) is the most common sustained cardiac arrhythmia, impacting approximately 6.1 million adults in the United States, with projections to increase two-fold by 2030. AF significantly increases the risk of stroke and other adverse cardiovascular events, leading to increased morbidity and mortality. The 2023 ACC/AHA/ACCP/HRS guidelines present a paradigm shift in AF management, moving from a duration-based classification to a more comprehensive, patient-centered approach. This includes a novel AF classification system that emphasizes early detection and intervention, including risk factors and lifestyle modification tailored to each patient's risk profile. Moreover, the recommendations advocate for a multidisciplinary care model, ensuring coordinated management involving primary care providers and specialists. Primary care providers play a crucial role in initiating risk factor management and lifestyle interventions, even before the development of AF. This review aims to thoroughly examine the guidelines for the diagnosis and management of AF and equip general internists with the necessary insights to navigate the evolving landscape of AF care effectively.

Managing elderly patients with atrial fibrillation and multimorbidity: call for a systematic approach

INTRODUCTION

Atrial fibrillation (AF) is often accompanied by comorbidities. Not only cardiovascular but also non-cardiovascular comorbidities have been associated with AF. Multimorbidity is therefore a common finding in patients with AF, especially in elderly patients. Multimorbidity is associated with adverse outcomes, adds complexity to AF management, and poses a significant burden on healthcare costs. It is expected that the prevalence of elderly patients with multimorbidity will increase significantly. It is therefore crucial to outline implications for clinical practice and guide comprehensive multimorbidity management.

AREAS COVERED

This perspective article outlines multimorbidity in AF and the importance of comprehensive comorbidity management. It addresses current clinical practice guided by international guidelines and the need for integrated care including a patient-centered focus, comprehensive AF management, coordinated multidisciplinary care, and supporting technology. Moreover, it proposes a novel model of care delivery following a systematic approach to multimorbidity management.

EXPERT OPINION

Providing comprehensive care by means of a multidisciplinary team and patient engagement is crucial to provide optimal personalized care for elderly patients with AF and multimorbidity. A systematic integrated care approach seems promising, but further studies are needed to investigate the feasibility of a systematic approach and prioritization of comorbidity management in patients with multimorbidity.

Association between blood pressure levels and premature atrial contractions in patients with hypertension

BACKGROUND

High blood pressure (BP) induces left atrial structural and functional remodeling that increases susceptibility to atrial arrhythmia. We hypothesized that lower systolic BP (SBP) levels are associated with a lower prevalence of premature atrial contractions (PACs) in patients with hypertension.

METHODS

This analysis included 4,697 participants (mean age 62±13.1 years, 50% women, 25.6% blacks) with hypertension from the Third National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey who did not have a prior history of cardiovascular disease (CVD). Multivariable logistic regression was used to examine the cross-sectional association between SBP and prevalence of PACs ascertained from 12-lead resting electrocardiograms. Multivariable Cox proportional hazard analysis was used to examine the association between baseline PACs and CVD mortality.

RESULTS

Approximately 1.6% (n=74) of participants had baseline PACs. Patients with SBP ≤140 mmHg had a lower prevalence of PACs than those with SBP ≥140 mmHg (1.1% vs. 1.9%, p-value=0.01). In a multivariable logistic regression model, each 10 mmHg decrease in SBP was associated with a 12% lower odds of PACs (OR (95%CI): 0.88 (0.77-0.99)). During 14 years of follow-up, 645 CVD deaths occurred. In a multivariable-adjusted Cox model, presence of PACs was associated with a 78% increased risk of CVD mortality (HR (95%CI): 1.78 (1.23-2.60)).

CONCLUSIONS

In patients with hypertension, lower SBP levels are associated with a lower prevalence of PACs, and presence of PACs is associated with a higher risk of CVD mortality risk. These findings highlight the potential role of BP lowering in the management of cardiac arrhythmias.

Management of atrial fibrillation in older adults

Most people with atrial fibrillation are older adults, in whom atrial fibrillation co-occurs with other chronic conditions, polypharmacy, and geriatric syndromes such as frailty. Yet most randomized controlled trials and expert guidelines use an age agnostic approach. Given the heterogeneity of aging, these data may not be universally applicable across the spectrum of older adults. This review synthesizes the available evidence and applies rigorous principles of aging science. After contextualizing the burden of comorbidities and geriatric syndromes in people with atrial fibrillation, it applies an aging focused approach to the pillars of atrial fibrillation management, describing screening for atrial fibrillation, lifestyle interventions, symptoms and complications, rate and rhythm control, coexisting heart failure, anticoagulation therapy, and left atrial appendage occlusion devices. Throughout, a framework is suggested that prioritizes patients' goals and applies existing evidence to all older adults, whether atrial fibrillation is their sole condition, one among many, or a bystander at the end of life.

Antihypertensive Drugs for the Prevention of Atrial Fibrillation: A Drug Target Mendelian Randomization Study

BACKGROUND

We investigated the potential impact of antihypertensive drugs for atrial fibrillation (AF) prevention through a drug target Mendelian randomization study to avoid the potential limitations of clinical studies.

METHODS

Validated published single-nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) that mimic the action of 12 antihypertensive drug classes, including alpha-adrenoceptor blockers, adrenergic neuron blockers, angiotensin-converting enzyme inhibitors, angiotensin-II receptor blockers, beta-adrenoceptor blockers, centrally acting antihypertensive drugs, calcium channel blockers, loop diuretics, potassium-sparing diuretics and mineralocorticoid receptor antagonists, renin inhibitors, thiazides and related diuretic agents, and vasodilators were used. We estimated, via their corresponding gene and protein targets, the downstream effect of these drug classes to prevent AF via systolic blood pressure using 2-sample Mendelian randomization analyses. The SNPs were extracted from 2 European genome-wide association studies for the drug classes (n=317 754; n=757 601) and 1 European genome-wide association study for AF (n=1 030 836).

RESULTS

Drug target Mendelian randomization analyses supported the significant preventive causal effects of lowering systolic blood pressure per 10 mm Hg via alpha-adrenoceptor blockers (n=11 SNPs; odds ratio [OR], 0.34 [95% CI, 0.21-0.56]; P=2.74×10-05), beta-adrenoceptor blockers (n=17 SNPs; OR, 0.52 [95% CI, 0.35-0.78]; P=1.62×10-03), calcium channel blockers (n=49 SNPs; OR, 0.50 [95% CI, 0.36-0.70]; P=4.51×10-05), vasodilators (n=19 SNPs; OR, 0.53 [95% CI, 0.34-0.84]; P=7.03×10-03), and all 12 antihypertensive drug classes combined (n=158 SNPs; OR, 0.64 [95% CI, 0.54-0.77]; P=8.50×10-07) on AF risk.

CONCLUSIONS

Our results indicated that lowering systolic blood pressure via protein targets of various antihypertensive drugs seems promising for AF prevention. Our findings inform future clinical trials and have implications for repurposing antihypertensive drugs for AF prevention.

Electrocardiographic tracking of left ventricular hypertrophy in hypertension: incidence and prognostic outcomes from the SPRINT trial

BACKGROUND

This study explores the impact of intensive blood pressure (BP) control on left ventricular hypertrophy (LVH) incidence and evaluates the prognostic implications of LVH status (pre-existing/new-onset/persistent/regression) using Systolic Blood Pressure Intervention Trial (SPRINT) Electrocardiogram Data.

METHODS

Poisson regression was used to assess new-onset LVH and LVH regression rates. Multivariable-adjusted Cox proportional hazard models determined the risk of adverse cardiovascular events (ACE), a composite of myocardial infarction (MI), non-MI acute coronary syndrome, stroke, heart failure, or cardiovascular death, alongside safety adverse events.

RESULTS

In 8,016 participants, intensive BP control significantly reduced new-onset LVH (8.27 vs. 14.79 per 1000-person years; adjusted p<0.001) and increased LVH regression (14.89 vs. 11.89 per 1000-person years; adjusted p<0.001). Elevated ACE risk was notable in participants with pre-existing LVH [adjusted HR: 1.94 (95% CI: 1.25-2.99); p = 0.003], new-onset LVH [adjusted 1.74 (95% CI: 1.16-2.60); p = 0.007], and persistent LVH[adjusted HR: 1.96 (95% CI: 1.11-3.46); p = 0.020], compared to those without LVH. Intriguingly, LVH regression attenuated this risk increment [adjusted HR: 1.57 (95% CI: 0.98-2.53); p = 0.062]. Achieving a BP target of < 120/80 mmHg nullified the increased ACE risk in those with pre-existing LVH.

CONCLUSIONS

Intensive BP control is instrumental in both reducing the emergence of LVH and fostering its regression. Pre-existing, new-onset LVH and persistent LV remain a predictor of adverse cardiovascular prognosis, whereas LVH regression and achieving on-treatment BP < 120/80 mmHg in pre-existing LVH individuals may further mitigate residual cardiovascular risk.

CLINICAL TRIAL REGISTRATION

URL: ClinicalTrials.gov Unique Identifier: NCT01206062.

Chinese guidelines for the diagnosis and management of atrial fibrillation

Atrial fibrillation (AF) is the most common sustained cardiac arrhythmia, significantly impacting patients' quality of life and increasing the risk of death, stroke, heart failure, and dementia. Over the past two decades, there have been significant breakthroughs in AF risk prediction and screening, stroke prevention, rhythm control, catheter ablation, and integrated management. During this period, the scale, quality, and experience of AF management in China have greatly improved, providing a solid foundation for the development of the guidelines for the diagnosis and management of AF. To further promote standardized AF management, and apply new technologies and concepts to clinical practice timely and fully, the Chinese Society of Cardiology of Chinese Medical Association and the Heart Rhythm Committee of Chinese Society of Biomedical Engineering jointly developed the Chinese Guidelines for the Diagnosis and Management of Atrial Fibrillation. The guidelines comprehensively elaborated on various aspects of AF management and proposed the CHA2DS2‑VASc‑60 stroke risk score based on the characteristics of the Asian AF population. The guidelines also reevaluated the clinical application of AF screening, emphasized the significance of early rhythm control, and highlighted the central role of catheter ablation in rhythm control.

New-onset hypertension as a contributing factor to the incidence of atrial fibrillation in the elderly

Hypertension and atrial fibrillation are closely related. However, hypertension is already prevalent in young adults, but atrial fibrillation usually occurs in the elderly. In the present analysis, we investigated incident atrial fibrillation in relation to new-onset hypertension in an elderly Chinese population. Our study participants were elderly (≥65 years) hypertensive residents, recruited from community health centers in the urban Shanghai (n = 4161). Previous and new-onset hypertension were defined as the use of antihypertensive medication or elevated systolic/diastolic blood pressure (≥140/90 mmHg), respectively, at entry and during follow-up on ≥ 2 consecutive clinic visits. Atrial fibrillation was detected by a 30-s single-lead electrocardiography (ECG, AliveCor® Heart Monitor) and further evaluated with a regular 12-lead ECG. During a median of 2.1 years follow-up, the incidence rate of atrial fibrillation was 7.60 per 1000 person-years in all study participants; it was significantly higher in patients with new-onset hypertension (n = 368) than those with previous hypertension (n = 3793, 15.76 vs. 6.77 per 1000 person-years, P = 0.02). After adjustment for confounding factors, the hazard ratio for the incidence of atrial fibrillation was 2.21 (95% confidence interval 1.15-4.23, P = 0.02) in patients with new-onset hypertension versus those with previous hypertension. The association was even stronger in those aged ≥ 75 years (hazard ratio 2.70, 95% confidence interval 1.11-6.56, P = 0.03). In patients with previous hypertension, curvilinear association (P for non-linear trend = 0.04) was observed between duration of hypertension and the risk of incident atrial fibrillation, with a higher risk in short- and long-term than mid-term duration of hypertension. Our study showed a significant association between new-onset hypertension and the incidence of atrial fibrillation in elderly Chinese. In an elderly Chinese population with previous and new-onset hypertension, we found that the new-onset hypertension during follow-up, compared with previous hypertension, was associated with a significantly higher risk of incident atrial fibrillation. In patients with previous hypertension, curvilinear association was observed between duration of hypertension and the risk of incident atrial fibrillation, with a higher risk in short- and long-term than mid-term duration of hypertension.

The Role of Risk Factor Modification in Atrial Fibrillation: Outcomes in Catheter Ablation

The management of atrial fibrillation has evolved significantly over the last ten years with advancements in medical and catheter ablation approaches, but these have limited success when used in isolation. Trends in the management of lifestyle modifications have surfaced, as it is now better understood that modifiable risk factors contribute significantly to the development and propagation of atrial fibrillation, as well as failure of treatment. International guidelines have integrated the role of lifestyle modification in the management of atrial fibrillation and specifically in the persistent form of atrial fibrillation; these guidelines must be addressed prior to considering catheter ablation. Effective risk factor modification is critical in increasing the likelihood of an arrhythmia-free survival following catheter ablation.

2024 Heart Disease and Stroke Statistics: A Report of US and Global Data From the American Heart Association

BACKGROUND

The American Heart Association (AHA), in conjunction with the National Institutes of Health, annually reports the most up-to-date statistics related to heart disease, stroke, and cardiovascular risk factors, including core health behaviors (smoking, physical activity, nutrition, sleep, and obesity) and health factors (cholesterol, blood pressure, glucose control, and metabolic syndrome) that contribute to cardiovascular health. The AHA Heart Disease and Stroke Statistical Update presents the latest data on a range of major clinical heart and circulatory disease conditions (including stroke, brain health, complications of pregnancy, kidney disease, congenital heart disease, rhythm disorders, sudden cardiac arrest, subclinical atherosclerosis, coronary heart disease, cardiomyopathy, heart failure, valvular disease, venous thromboembolism, and peripheral artery disease) and the associated outcomes (including quality of care, procedures, and economic costs).

METHODS

The AHA, through its Epidemiology and Prevention Statistics Committee, continuously monitors and evaluates sources of data on heart disease and stroke in the United States and globally to provide the most current information available in the annual Statistical Update with review of published literature through the year before writing. The 2024 AHA Statistical Update is the product of a full year's worth of effort in 2023 by dedicated volunteer clinicians and scientists, committed government professionals, and AHA staff members. The AHA strives to further understand and help heal health problems inflicted by structural racism, a public health crisis that can significantly damage physical and mental health and perpetuate disparities in access to health care, education, income, housing, and several other factors vital to healthy lives. This year's edition includes additional global data, as well as data on the monitoring and benefits of cardiovascular health in the population, with an enhanced focus on health equity across several key domains.

RESULTS

Each of the chapters in the Statistical Update focuses on a different topic related to heart disease and stroke statistics.

CONCLUSIONS

The Statistical Update represents a critical resource for the lay public, policymakers, media professionals, clinicians, health care administrators, researchers, health advocates, and others seeking the best available data on these factors and conditions.

2023 ACC/AHA/ACCP/HRS Guideline for the Diagnosis and Management of Atrial Fibrillation: A Report of the American College of Cardiology/American Heart Association Joint Committee on Clinical Practice Guidelines

AIM

The "2023 ACC/AHA/ACCP/HRS Guideline for the Diagnosis and Management of Atrial Fibrillation" provides recommendations to guide clinicians in the treatment of patients with atrial fibrillation.

METHODS

A comprehensive literature search was conducted from May 12, 2022, to November 3, 2022, encompassing studies, reviews, and other evidence conducted on human subjects that were published in English from PubMed, EMBASE, the Cochrane Library, the Agency for Healthcare Research and Quality, and other selected databases relevant to this guideline. Additional relevant studies, published through November 2022, during the guideline writing process, were also considered by the writing committee and added to the evidence tables, where appropriate.

STRUCTURE

Atrial fibrillation is the most sustained common arrhythmia, and its incidence and prevalence are increasing in the United States and globally. Recommendations from the "2014 AHA/ACC/HRS Guideline for the Management of Patients With Atrial Fibrillation" and the "2019 AHA/ACC/HRS Focused Update of the 2014 AHA/ACC/HRS Guideline for the Management of Patients With Atrial Fibrillation" have been updated with new evidence to guide clinicians. In addition, new recommendations addressing atrial fibrillation and thromboembolic risk assessment, anticoagulation, left atrial appendage occlusion, atrial fibrillation catheter or surgical ablation, and risk factor modification and atrial fibrillation prevention have been developed.

2023 ACC/AHA/ACCP/HRS Guideline for the Diagnosis and Management of Atrial Fibrillation: A Report of the American College of Cardiology/American Heart Association Joint Committee on Clinical Practice Guidelines

AIM

The "2023 ACC/AHA/ACCP/HRS Guideline for the Diagnosis and Management of Patients With Atrial Fibrillation" provides recommendations to guide clinicians in the treatment of patients with atrial fibrillation.

METHODS

A comprehensive literature search was conducted from May 12, 2022, to November 3, 2022, encompassing studies, reviews, and other evidence conducted on human subjects that were published in English from PubMed, EMBASE, the Cochrane Library, the Agency for Healthcare Research and Quality, and other selected databases relevant to this guideline. Additional relevant studies, published through November 2022, during the guideline writing process, were also considered by the writing committee and added to the evidence tables, where appropriate.

STRUCTURE

Atrial fibrillation is the most sustained common arrhythmia, and its incidence and prevalence are increasing in the United States and globally. Recommendations from the "2014 AHA/ACC/HRS Guideline for the Management of Patients With Atrial Fibrillation" and the "2019 AHA/ACC/HRS Focused Update of the 2014 AHA/ACC/HRS Guideline for the Management of Patients With Atrial Fibrillation" have been updated with new evidence to guide clinicians. In addition, new recommendations addressing atrial fibrillation and thromboembolic risk assessment, anticoagulation, left atrial appendage occlusion, atrial fibrillation catheter or surgical ablation, and risk factor modification and atrial fibrillation prevention have been developed.

Higher Cumulative Blood Pressure in Midlife Predicts an Increased Risk of Atrial Fibrillation: Evidence From the Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities Study

BACKGROUND

Elevated blood pressure (BP) is reportedly associated with an increased risk of atrial fibrillation (AF). However, the association between cumulative BP exposure in midlife and incident AF in mid-to-late life remains unclear.

METHODS AND RESULTS

Participants enrolled in the ARIC (Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities) study with 4 consecutive BP measurements and no prevalent AF at baseline were included. Cumulative BP was calculated as the area under the curve from visit 1 to visit 4. Incident AF was identified by study visit ECGs, hospital discharge codes, or death certificates. A total of 9892 participants were included (44.6% men and mean age 62.9±5.7 years at visit 4) with 1550 (15.7%) individuals who developed new-onset AF during an average follow-up of 15.4 years. The incidence rates of AF per 1000 person-years across the 4 quartiles of cumulative systolic BP were 7.9, 9.2, 12.5, and 16.9, respectively. After multivariable adjustment, the hazard ratios for incident AF among participants in the highest quartile of cumulative systolic BP, pulse pressure, and mean arterial pressure were 1.48 (95% CI, 1.27-1.72), 1.81 (95% CI, 1.53-2.13), and 1.22 (95% CI, 1.05-1.41), respectively, compared with those in the lowest quartile. The addition of cumulative systolic BP or pulse pressure slightly improved the ability to predict new-onset AF.

CONCLUSIONS

Higher exposure to cumulative systolic BP, pulse pressure, and mean arterial pressure was significantly associated with increased risk of incident AF.

Atrial fibrillation: mechanism and clinical management

ABSTRACT

Atrial fibrillation (AF), the most common sustained arrhythmia, is associated with a range of symptoms, including palpitations, cognitive impairment, systemic embolism, and increased mortality. It places a significant burden on healthcare systems worldwide. Despite decades of research, the precise mechanisms underlying AF remain elusive. Current understanding suggests that factors like stretch-induced fibrosis, epicardial adipose tissue (EAT), chronic inflammation, autonomic nervous system (ANS) imbalances, and genetic mutations all play significant roles in its development. In recent years, the advent of wearable devices has revolutionized AF diagnosis, enabling timely detection and monitoring. However, balancing early diagnosis with efficient resource utilization presents new challenges for healthcare providers. AF management primarily focuses on stroke prevention and symptom alleviation. Patients at high risk of thromboembolism require anticoagulation therapy, and emerging pipeline drugs, particularly factor XI inhibitors, hold promise for achieving effective anticoagulation with reduced bleeding risks. The scope of indications for catheter ablation in AF has expanded significantly. Pulsed field ablation, as a novel energy source, shows potential for improving success rates while ensuring safety. This review integrates existing knowledge and ongoing research on AF pathophysiology and clinical management, with emphasis on diagnostic devices, next-generation anticoagulants, drugs targeting underlying mechanisms, and interventional therapies. It offers a comprehensive mosaic of AF, providing insights into its complexities.

Systolic Blood Pressure Time in Target Range and Incident Atrial Fibrillation in Patients With Hypertension: Insights From the SPRINT Trial

BACKGROUND

Systolic blood pressure (SBP) time in target range (TTR) indicates the mean value, exposure time, and variability in blood pressure over time. The prognostic value of SBP TTR for incident atrial fibrillation (AF) in patients with hypertension is unclear.

METHODS

We performed a post hoc analysis of SPRINT (Systolic Blood Pressure Intervention Trial), a randomized controlled trial comparing intensive (<120 mm Hg) and standard (<140 mm Hg) SBP interventions in participants with hypertension. SBP target ranges for intensive and standard arms were defined as 110 to 130 and 120 to 140 mm Hg, respectively. TTR was calculated by linear interpolation method using SBP from months 0 to 3. We used Cox proportional regression models to assess the association of SBP TTR with incident AF.

RESULTS

Among 7939 participants included in this analysis, 187 incident AF cases occurred during follow-up. After multivariable adjustment, a 10% increase in SBP TTR was independently associated with a 7% lower risk of incident AF (hazard ratio, 0.93 [95% CI, 0.88-0.97]; P=0.003). The restricted spline curve depicted a linear and inverse relationship between SBP TTR and incident AF. Sensitivity analyses generated consistent results when calculating TTR over a longer period or setting target range as 110 to 140 mm Hg for the whole population.

CONCLUSIONS

Higher SBP TTR independently predicts a lower risk of incident AF. Efforts to attain SBP within 110 to 140 mm Hg over time may be an effective strategy to prevent AF.

REGISTRATION

URL: https://www.

CLINICALTRIALS

gov; Unique identifier: NCT01206062.

Association of hypertension severity and control with risk of incident atrial fibrillation: The REasons for Geographic And Racial Differences in Stroke (REGARDS) study

BACKGROUND

The association of hypertension (HTN) severity and control with the risk of incident atrial fibrillation (AF) is unclear.

HYPOTHESIS

Increased HTN severity and poorer blood pressure control would be associated with an increased risk of incident AF.

METHODS

This analysis included 9485 participants (mean age 63 ± 8 years; 56% women; 35% Black). Participants were stratified into six mutually exclusive groups at baseline-normotension (n = 1629), prehypertension (n = 704), controlled HTN (n = 2224), uncontrolled HTN (n = 4123), controlled apparent treatment-resistant hypertension (aTRH) (n = 88), and uncontrolled aTRH (n = 717). Incident AF was ascertained at the follow-up visit, defined by either electrocardiogram or self-reported medical history of a physician diagnosis. Multivariable logistic regression analyses adjusted for demographic and clinical variables.

RESULTS

Over an average of 9.3 years later, 868 incident AF cases were detected. Compared to those with normotension, incident AF risk was highest for those with aTRH (controlled aTRH: odds ratio (OR) 2.95; 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.60, 5.43, & uncontrolled aTRH: OR 2.47; 95% CI 1.76, 3.48). The increase in AF risk was smaller for those on no more than three antihypertensive agents regardless of their blood pressure control (controlled OR 1.72; 95% CI 1.30, 2.29 and uncontrolled OR 1.56; 95% CI 1.14, 2.13).

CONCLUSIONS

The risk of developing AF is increased in all individuals with HTN. Risk is highest in those aTRH regardless of blood pressure control. A more aggressive approach that focuses on lifestyle and pharmacologic measures to either prevent HTN or better control HTN during earlier stages may be particularly beneficial in reducing related AF risk.

Lifestyle changes in atrial fibrillation management and intervention

Atrial fibrillation (AF) is one of the most common arrhythmias in adults, and its continued rise in the United States is complicated by the increased incidence and prevalence of several AF risk factors, such as obesity, physical inactivity, hypertension, obstructive sleep apnea, diabetes mellitus, coronary artery disease, and alcohol, tobacco, or caffeine use. Lifestyle and risk factor modification has been proposed as an additional pillar of AF therapy, added to rhythm control, rate control, and anticoagulation, to reduce AF burden and risk. Although emerging evidence largely supports the integration of lifestyle and risk factor management in clinical practice, randomized clinical trials investigating the long-term sustainability and reproducibility of these benefits remain sparse. The purpose of this review is to discuss potentially reversible risk factors on AF, share evidence for the impact on AF by modification of these risk factors, and then provide an overview of the effects of reversing or managing these risk factors on the success of various AF management strategies, such as antithrombotic, rate control, and rhythm control therapies.

Type 2 Diabetes and Atrial Fibrillation: Evaluating Causal and Pleiotropic Pathways Using Mendelian Randomization

Background Observational associations between type 2 diabetes (T2D) and atrial fibrillation (AF) have been established, but causality remains undetermined. We performed Mendelian randomization (MR) to study causal effects of genetically predicted T2D on AF risk, independent of cardiometabolic risk factors. Methods and Results Instrumental variables included 182 uncorrelated single nucleotide polymorphisms associated with T2D at genome-wide significance (P <5×10-8). Genetic association estimates for cardiometabolic exposures were obtained from genome-wide association studies including 188 577 individuals for low-density lipoprotein-C, 694 649 individuals for body mass index, and 757 601 for systolic blood pressure. Two-sample, inverse-variance weighted MR formed the primary analyses. The MR-TRYX approach was used to dissect potential pleiotropic pathways, with multivariable MR performed to investigate cardiometabolic mediation. Genetically predicted T2D associated with increased AF liability in univariable MR (odds ratio [OR], 1.08 [95% CI, 1.02-1.13], P=0.003). Sensitivity analyses indicated potential pleiotropy, with radial MR identifying 4 outlier single nucleotide polymorphisms that were likely contributors. Phenomic scanning on MR-base and subsequent least absolute shrinkage and selection operator regression allowed prioritization of 7 candidate traits. The outlier-adjusted effect estimate remained consistent with the original inverse-variance weighted estimate (OR, 1.07 [95% CI, 1.02-1.12], P=0.008). On multivariable MR, T2D remained associated with increased AF liability after adjustment for low-density lipoprotein-C and body mass index. Following adjustment for systolic blood pressure, the relationship between T2D and AF became nonsignificant (OR, 1.04 [95% CI, 0.95-1.13], P=0.40). Conclusions These data provide novel genetic evidence that while T2D likely causally associates with AF, mediation via systolic blood pressure exists. Endeavoring to lower systolic blood pressure alongside achieving normoglycemia may provide particular benefit on AF risk in patients with T2D.

The bidirectional association between atrial fibrillation and myocardial infarction

Atrial fibrillation (AF) is associated with an increased risk of myocardial infarction (MI) and vice versa. This bidirectional association relies on shared risk factors as well as on several direct and indirect mechanisms, including inflammation, atrial ischaemia, left ventricular remodelling, myocardial oxygen supply-demand mismatch and coronary artery embolism, through which one condition can predispose to the other. Patients with both AF and MI are at greater risk of stroke, heart failure and death than patients with only one of the conditions. In this Review, we describe the bidirectional association between AF and MI. We discuss the pathogenic basis of this bidirectional relationship, describe the risk of adverse outcomes when the two conditions coexist, and review current data and guidelines on the prevention and management of both conditions. We also identify important gaps in the literature and propose directions for future research on the bidirectional association between AF and MI. The Review also features a summary of methodological approaches for the study of bidirectional associations in population-based studies.

Sex Differences in the Association Between Hypertension and Incident Atrial Fibrillation

Background Limited evidence is available on sex differences about the association between hypertension and incident atrial fibrillation (AF). Methods and Results We used a nationwide health checkup and claims database to analyze 3 383 738 adults (median age, 43 (36-51) years, 57.4% men). We investigated the relationship between hypertension and incident AF in men and women using a Cox regression model. We used restricted cubic spline functions to identify the association of blood pressure (BP) as a continuous parameter with incident AF. We categorized the men and women into 4 groups according to the 2017 American College of Cardiology/American Heart Association BP guidelines. During a mean follow-up of 1199±950 days, 13 263 AF diagnoses were recorded. The incidence (95% CI) of AF was 15.8 (15.5-16.1) per 10 000 person-years in men and 6.1 (5.9-6.3) per 10 000 person-years in women. Compared with normal BP, elevated BP, stage 1 hypertension, and stage 2 hypertension were associated with an increased risk AF in both men and women. However, the hazard ratios were greater in women than in men, and the P value for interactions in the multivariable model was 0.0076. The models using restricted cubic spline showed that the risk of AF associated with elevated systolic BP increased steeply above an approximate threshold of systolic BP of 130 mm Hg in men and 100 mm Hg in women. Although our primary findings were consistent across subgroup analyses, this association was most significant in younger individuals. Conclusions Although the incidence of AF was higher in men, the association between hypertension and incident AF was more pronounced in women than in men, suggesting a potential sex difference in the relationship between hypertension and incident AF.

Atrial Fibrillation Detection and Management in Hypertension

Hypertension is prevalent in >70% of atrial fibrillation patients. In turn, hypertensive patients have up to 73% greater likelihood of atrial fibrillation. Current guidelines recommend that a systematic atrial fibrillation screening may be justified in all patients aged ≥65 years with at least 1 cardiovascular disease, including hypertension. Although most blood pressure monitors include algorithms to detect atrial fibrillation with a high sensitivity of 96 [92-98]% and specificity of 94 [91-96]%, an electrocardiography confirmation is necessary to establish a diagnosis of atrial fibrillation. Early detection and diagnosis of atrial fibrillation is important to allow initiation of atrial fibrillation management. In the Early Treatment of Atrial Fibrillation for Stroke Prevention Trial (EAST-AFNET 4), hypertension was present in 88% of participants, and early rhythm control therapy lowered the risk of adverse cardiovascular outcomes in patients with early atrial fibrillation aged >75 or with CHA₂DS₂-VASc score ≥2 (Congestive heart failure, Hypertension, Age ≥75 (doubled), Diabetes, Stroke (doubled), Vascular disease, Age 65-74, Sex category [female]) and cardiovascular condition. Strategies for early atrial fibrillation detection should always be linked to a comprehensive atrial fibrillation work-up infrastructure organized within an integrated ABC pathway (Anticoagulation/Avoid stroke; Better symptom control; Cardiovascular and Comorbidity optimization). For secondary prophylaxis, blood pressure control should be embedded in a combined risk factor management program. In hypertensive patients where no atrial fibrillation is detected, intensive blood pressure lowering therapy for primary prophylaxis should be initiated to reduce the risk of developing atrial fibrillation and other cardiovascular complications in the future. The aim of the article is to review the current literature on atrial fibrillation detection and management in hypertensive patients.

Current Evidence on Prevention of Atrial Fibrillation: Modifiable Risk Factors and the Effects of Risk Factor Intervention

Atrial fibrillation (AF) is one of the most encountered arrhythmias in clinical practice. It is also estimated that the absolute AF burden may increase by greater than 60% by 2050. It is inevitable that AF will become one of the largest epidemics in the world and may pose a major health problem for countries. Although AF rarely causes mortality in the acute period, it causes a significant increase in mortality and morbidity, including a fivefold increase in the risk of stroke, a twofold increase in dementia, and a twofold increase in myocardial infarction in the chronic period. Despite all the advances in the treatment of AF, it is better understood day by day that preventing AF may play a key role in reducing AF and its related complications. Modification of the main modifiable factors such as quitting smoking, abstaining from alcohol, changing eating habits, and exercise seems to be the first step in preventing AF. The strict adherence to the treatment process of secondary causes predisposing to AF such as DM, hypertension, obesity, and sleep apnea is another step in the prevention of AF. Both an individual approach and global public health campaigns can be highly beneficial to reduce the risk of AF. In this review, we aimed to summarize the current evidence on the relationship between modifiable risk factors and AF, and the impact of possible interventions on these factors in preventing or reducing the AF burden in the light of recently published guidelines and studies.

Heart Disease and Stroke Statistics-2023 Update: A Report From the American Heart Association

BACKGROUND

The American Heart Association, in conjunction with the National Institutes of Health, annually reports the most up-to-date statistics related to heart disease, stroke, and cardiovascular risk factors, including core health behaviors (smoking, physical activity, diet, and weight) and health factors (cholesterol, blood pressure, and glucose control) that contribute to cardiovascular health. The Statistical Update presents the latest data on a range of major clinical heart and circulatory disease conditions (including stroke, congenital heart disease, rhythm disorders, subclinical atherosclerosis, coronary heart disease, heart failure, valvular disease, venous disease, and peripheral artery disease) and the associated outcomes (including quality of care, procedures, and economic costs).

METHODS

The American Heart Association, through its Epidemiology and Prevention Statistics Committee, continuously monitors and evaluates sources of data on heart disease and stroke in the United States to provide the most current information available in the annual Statistical Update with review of published literature through the year before writing. The 2023 Statistical Update is the product of a full year's worth of effort in 2022 by dedicated volunteer clinicians and scientists, committed government professionals, and American Heart Association staff members. The American Heart Association strives to further understand and help heal health problems inflicted by structural racism, a public health crisis that can significantly damage physical and mental health and perpetuate disparities in access to health care, education, income, housing, and several other factors vital to healthy lives. This year's edition includes additional COVID-19 (coronavirus disease 2019) publications, as well as data on the monitoring and benefits of cardiovascular health in the population, with an enhanced focus on health equity across several key domains.

RESULTS

Each of the chapters in the Statistical Update focuses on a different topic related to heart disease and stroke statistics.

CONCLUSIONS

The Statistical Update represents a critical resource for the lay public, policymakers, media professionals, clinicians, health care administrators, researchers, health advocates, and others seeking the best available data on these factors and conditions.

A prospective study on the association between atrial fibrillation and blood pressure in an elderly Chinese population

BACKGROUND

Intensive blood pressure (BP) lowering in patients with hypertension has been associated with a lowered risk of atrial fibrillation (AF). It is still uncertain what is the optimal BP levels to prevent AF in the general elderly population. In the present prospective study, we investigated the association between incident AF and BP in an elderly Chinese population.

METHODS AND FINDINGS

Elderly (≥65 years) residents were recruited from 6 communities in Shanghai. 9019 participants who did not have AF at baseline and had at least one ECG recording during follow-up were included in the present analysis. During a median of 3.5 years follow-up, the overall incidence rate of AF was 5.6 per 1000 person-years (n = 178). Systolic BP was associated with increased AF risk (age- and sex-adjusted hazard ratio [HR] per 20-mmHg increase for systolic BP 1.21, 95% CI 1.04-1.39, P = 0.01), but risk estimate was attenuated after adjustment for common AF risk factors. In categorical analyses, statistical significance was achieved for HR relative to optimal BP only in stage 2 or 3 systolic and diastolic hypertension (multivariate-adjusted HR 1.76, 95% CI 1.00-3.08, P = 0.05). The association between AF incidence and BP status tended to be stronger in the absence than presence of a history of cardiovascular disease at baseline (P for interaction = 0.06).

CONCLUSION

In this Chinese population of 65 years and older, linear increases in systolic and diastolic BP were not independently associated with increased risk of AF, and only exposure to stage 2 or 3 hypertension carries a higher risk of AF.

Epidemiology and modifiable risk factors for atrial fibrillation

The global prevalence of atrial fibrillation (AF) has increased substantially over the past three decades and is currently approximately 60 million cases. Incident AF and its clinical consequences are largely the result of risk factors that can be modified by lifestyle changes. In this Review, we provide evidence that the lifetime risk of AF is modified not only by sex and race but also through the clinical risk factor and comorbidity burden of individual patients. We begin by summarizing the epidemiology of AF, focusing on non-modifiable and modifiable risk factors, as well as targets and strategies for the primary prevention of AF. Furthermore, we evaluate the role of modifiable risk factors in the secondary prevention of AF as well as the potential effects of risk factor interventions on the frequency and severity of subsequent AF episodes. We end the Review by proposing strategies that require evaluation as well as global policy changes that are needed for the prevention of incident AF and the management of recurrent episodes in patients already affected by AF.

Clinical and Structural Factors Affecting Ablation Outcomes in Atrial Fibrillation Patients - A Review

Catheter ablation is an effective and durable treatment option for patients with atrial fibrillation (AF). Ablation outcomes vary widely, with optimal results in patients with paroxysmal AF and diminishing results in patients with persistent or long-standing persistent AF. A number of clinical factors including obesity, hypertension, diabetes, obstructive sleep apnea, and alcohol use contribute to AF recurrence following ablation, likely through modulation of the atrial electroanatomic substrate. In this article, we review the clinical risk factors and the electro-anatomic features that contribute to AF recurrence in patients undergoing ablation for AF.

Association Between Atrial Fibrillation and Domain-Specific Cognitive Decline - Insights From the Systolic Blood Pressure Intervention Trial

BACKGROUND

There is a dearth of evidence to characterize longitudinal changes in domain-specific cognitive function related to atrial fibrillation (AF).

METHODS AND RESULTS

This study enrolled 2,844 participants from the Systolic Blood Pressure Intervention Trial (SPRINT). Cognitive function was assessed at baseline and biennially during the follow-up period. Declines in global function and 4 major cognitive domains (i.e., memory, processing speed, language, and executive function) were fitted and compared between participants with and without AF using robust linear mixed-effect models. There were 252 participants with prevalent AF (mean [±SD] age 72.0±8.5 years; 30% women) and 2,592 participants without AF (mean age 67.9±8.4 years; 38% women). The annual decline in global function scores was greater among participants with than without AF (-0.016 vs. -0.012 points); however, the difference was not statistically significant (P=0.33). Processing speed declined faster in participants with prevalent AF, with a distinct difference of -0.013 points/year (95% CI -0.024~-0.001 points/year; P=0.02). For the memory, executive function, and language domains, there were no significant differences in the rate of cognitive decline between participants with and without AF.

CONCLUSIONS

In this post hoc analysis of the SPRINT trial, processing speed was the most prominent cognitive domain affected by AF, which may be beneficial for the early screening of cognitive dysfunction.

Hypertension and atrial fibrillation

Hypertension is the most prevalent cardiovascular risk factor underlying atrial fibrillation and is present in up to 40% of patients with atrial fibrillation. Furthermore, attributable risk studies have shown that a history of hypertension contributes to up to 24% of incident atrial fibrillation. New data suggest that even early forms of hypertension (prehypertension and aortic stiffness) are associated with an increased risk of atrial fibrillation development. Hypertension and prehypertension are therefore critical mediators for the development of atrial fibrillation. Mechanisms for the association between hypertension and atrial fibrillation include diffuse electro-structural changes to the left atrium, driven by the haemodynamic and neurohormonal influences of hypertension and other, frequently coexisting, cardiovascular risk factors. Management of hypertension in atrial fibrillation should focus not only on blood pressure reduction but also on a comprehensive risk factor modification strategy. Such strategies have been shown to be associated with significant improvements in atrial fibrillation symptom burden as well as improved arrhythmia-free survival and reversal of the progression of atrial fibrillation. These strategies should focus on dietary modifications as well as prescribed exercise programmes involving a multidisciplinary team and patient-centred atrial fibrillation care. Risk factor management, supplemented by antihypertensive medications as needed, provides the optimum strategy for improving outcomes and even reversing the natural progression of atrial fibrillation in patients with hypertension.

Global burden of atrial fibrillation/flutter due to high systolic blood pressure from 1990 to 2019: estimates from the global burden of disease study 2019

Atrial fibrillation/atrial flutter (AF/AFL) has progressed to be a public health concern, and high systolic blood pressure (HSBP) remains the leading risk factor for AF/AFL. This study estimated the HSBP attributable AF/AFL burden based on the data from the Global Burden of Disease (GBD) study 2019. Numbers, age-standardized rates (ASR) of deaths, disability-adjusted life years (DALYs), and corresponding estimated annual percentage change (EAPC) were analyzed by age, sex, sociodemographic index (SDI), and locations. Gini coefficient was calculated to evaluate health inequality. Globally, HSBP-related AF/AFL caused 107 091 deaths and 3 337 876 DALYs in 2019, an increase of 142.5% and 105.9% from 1990, respectively. The corresponding mortality and DALYs ASR declined by 5.8% and 7.7%. High-income Asia Pacific experienced the greatest decrease in mortality and DALYs ASR, whereas the largest increase was observed in Andean Latin America. Almost half of the HSBP-related AF/AFL burden was carried by high and high-middle SDI regions, and it was experiencing a shift to lower SDI regions. A negative correlation was detected between EAPC and SDI. Females and elderly people tended to have a higher AF/AFL burden, whereas young adults (30-49 years old) experienced an annual increase in AF/AFL burden. The Gini index of DALYs rate decreased from 0.224 in 1990 to 0.183 in 2019. Despite improved inequality having been observed over the past decades, the HSBP-related AF/AFL burden varied across regions, sexes, and ages. Cost-effective preventive, diagnostic, and therapeutic tools are required to be implemented in less developed regions.

An Auxiliary Scoring Model for Patients with Acute Pulmonary Embolism Complicated with Atrial Fibrillation Was Established Based on Random Forests

The purpose of this study was to explore the establishment of an auxiliary scoring model for patients with acute pulmonary embolism (APE) complicated with atrial fibrillation (AF) based on random forest (RF) and its application effect. A retrospective analysis was performed on the general data, underlying diseases, laboratory indicators, and cardiac indicators of 100 patients with APE admitted to our hospital from 2018 to 2021. The occurrence of atrial fibrillation in patients with pulmonary embolism was taken as a categorical variable, and the general data, underlying diseases, laboratory indicators, and cardiac indicators were taken as input variables. Then, the risk auxiliary scoring model for patients with APE complicated with AF was established based on RF and logistic regression. Finally, the accuracy, sensitivity, specificity, recall rate, accuracy, F1 value, and the receiver operator characteristic (ROC) curve were used to evaluate the predictive value of the models. After statistical analysis, the optimal node value was 3 and the optimal number of decision trees was 500 in the RF model. The importance of predictors in descending order were Hcy, diabetes mellitus, FT3 level, UA level, left atrial diameter, hypertension, and smoking history. The prediction accuracy of the RF model was 0.934, sensitivity 0.966, specificity 0.876, recall rate 0.9660, accuracy 0.934, and F1 value 0.950. The logistic regression model prediction accuracy was 0.816, sensitivity 0.915, specificity 0.125, recall rate 0.902, accuracy 0.811, and F1 value 0.896. The RF model and logistic regression prediction model AUC values were 0.984 and 0.883, respectively. From this, we conclude that the RF model was better than the logistic regression model in predicting AF in APE patients. So, the RF model had the clinical application value.

Relationship Between High Blood Pressure, Atrial Cardiopathy, and Mortality in the General Population

BACKGROUND

Atrial cardiopathy is associated with an increased risk of mortality. However, it is unclear whether this association is modified by hypertension, a risk factor for both atrial cardiopathy and mortality.

METHODS

This analysis included 8,023 participants from the Third National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey. Electrocardiographic deep terminal negativity of P-wave in V1 ≥100 µV defined atrial cardiopathy. National Death Index was used to identify the date and cause of death. Cox proportional hazard analysis was used to examine the association of atrial cardiopathy with mortality among participants stratified by hypertension status.

RESULTS

In total 2.7% of the participants had atrial cardiopathy. Over a median follow-up of 14 years, 2,922 all-cause deaths occurred, of which 1,058 were CVD. All-cause death rates were almost double among participants with concomitant atrial cardiopathy and elevated blood pressure (BP) (120-129/<80), stage 1 (130-139/80-89), or stage 2 hypertension (≥140/≥90) compared to their counterparts in the same hypertension stages without atrial cardiopathy (47.8, 61.3, and 80.2 vs. 23, 24.7, and 44.8 per 1,000 person-years (PY), respectively). In multivariable-adjusted models, a stronger association between atrial cardiopathy and all-cause mortality was observed in the presence compared to the absence of hypertension (HR (95% CI): 1.59 (1.25-2.01) vs. 0.67 (0.41-1.10), respectively, interaction P-value = 0.009). Similarly, an association between atrial cardiopathy and cardiovascular disease (CVD) mortality was observed in the presence compared to the absence of hypertension (HR (95% CI): 1.64 (1.08-2.47) vs. 0.63 (0.20-2.00), respectively, interaction P-value = 0.20).

CONCLUSIONS

Concomitant presence of high BP and atrial cardiopathy carries a higher risk of mortality, and the risk increases with higher BP levels.

Association of Pathogenic DNA Variants Predisposing to Cardiomyopathy With Cardiovascular Disease Outcomes and All-Cause Mortality

Importance

Pathogenic variants associated with inherited cardiomyopathy are recognized as important and clinically actionable when identified, leading some clinicians to recommend population-wide genomic screening.

Objective

To determine the prevalence and clinical importance of pathogenic variants associated with inherited cardiomyopathy within the context of contemporary clinical care.

Design, Setting, and Participants

This was a genetic association study of participants in Atherosclerosis in Risk Communities (ARIC), recruited from 1987 to 1989, with median follow-up of 27 years, and the UK Biobank, recruited from 2006 to 2010, with median follow-up of 10 years. ARIC participants were recruited from 4 sites across the US. UK Biobank participants were recruited from 22 sites across the UK. Participants in the US were of African and European ancestry; those in the UK were of African, East Asian, South Asian, and European ancestry. Statistical analyses were performed between August 1, 2021, and February 9, 2022.

Exposures

Rare genetic variants predisposing to inherited cardiomyopathy.

Main Outcomes and Measures

Pathogenicity of observed DNA sequence variants in sequenced exomes of 13 genes (ACTC1, FLNC, GLA, LMNA, MYBPC3, MYH7, MYL2, MYL3, PRKAG2, TNNI3, TNNT2, TPM1, and TTN) associated with inherited cardiomyopathies were classified by a blinded clinical geneticist per American College of Medical Genetics recommendations. Incidence of all-cause mortality, heart failure, and atrial fibrillation were determined. Cardiac magnetic resonance imaging, echocardiography, and electrocardiogram measures were assessed in a subset of participants.

Results

A total of 9667 ARIC participants (mean [SD] age, 54.0 [5.7] years; 4232 women [43.8%]; 2658 African [27.5%] and 7009 European [72.5%] ancestry) and 49 744 UK Biobank participants (mean [SD] age, 57.1 [8.0] years; 27 142 women [54.5%]; 1006 African [2.0%], 173 East Asian [0.3%], 939 South Asian [1.9%], and 46 449 European [93.4%] European ancestry) were included in the study. Of those, 59 participants (0.61%) in ARIC and 364 participants (0.73%) in UK Biobank harbored an actionable pathogenic or likely pathogenic variant associated with dilated or hypertrophic cardiomyopathy. Carriers of these variants were not reliably identifiable by imaging. However, the presence of these variants was associated with increased risk of heart failure (hazard ratio [HR], 1.7; 95% CI, 1.1-2.8), atrial fibrillation (HR, 2.9; 95% CI, 1.9-4.5), and all-cause mortality (HR, 1.5; 95% CI, 1.1-2.2) in ARIC. Similar risk patterns were observed in the UK Biobank.

Conclusions and Relevance

Results of this genetic association study suggest that approximately 0.7% of study participants harbored a pathogenic variant associated with inherited cardiomyopathy. These variant carriers would be challenging to identify within clinical practice without genetic testing but are at increased risk for cardiovascular disease and all-cause mortality.