Statistical analysis of the primary outcome in acute stroke trials

Increased serum total bile acid level is associated with improved prognosis of ischemic stroke

PURPOSE

Bile acids are implicated in the cholesterol synthesis and lipid metabolism. We aimed to prospectively investigate the relationships between serum TBA and adverse clinical outcomes after ischemic stroke.

METHODS

Serum TBA levels at baseline were measured for 6609 ischemic stroke patients admitted at Minhang Hospital from January 2018 to December 2022. The primary outcome was a composite outcome of death and major disability (modified Rankin Scale [mRS] score, 3-6) at 3 months after stroke onset, and secondary outcomes included major disability (mRS score, 3-5), death (mRS score, 6), and ordered 7-level categorical score of the mRS.

RESULTS

During the 3-month follow-up period, a total of 2118 (34.5 %) patients experienced primary outcome. After multivariate adjustment, the odds ratios of primary outcome for the highest versus the lowest quartile of TBA were 0.71 (95 % CI, 0.58-0.88; Ptrend = 0.001). Each SD increase of log-transformed TBA was associated with a 12 % (95 % CI, 5 %-18 %) decreased risk of the primary outcome. Multiple-adjusted spline regression model showed a linear association of serum TBA levels with the primary outcome (P for linearity = 0.005). Subgroup analyses further confirmed the inverse associations between serum TBA levels and the prognosis of ischemic stroke.

CONCLUSIONS

Elevated serum TBA levels were independently associated with a decreased risk of adverse outcomes at 3 months after ischemic stroke, indicating that TBA might be implicated in the development of ischemic stroke and might be a prognostic biomarker for ischemic stroke.

High-Normal Serum Potassium, Calcium, and Magnesium Levels Are Associated With Decreased Risks of Adverse Outcomes After Ischemic Stroke

BACKGROUND

High serum potassium, calcium, and magnesium levels have been reported to be associated with decreased risks of ischemic stroke, whereas their prognostic values in ischemic stroke remain unclear. We aimed to prospectively explore the associations of serum potassium, calcium, and magnesium levels with the prognosis of ischemic stroke.

METHODS

We measured serum potassium, calcium, and magnesium levels at baseline among 5469 patients with ischemic stroke from the Minhang Stroke Cohort study. The primary outcome was the composite outcome of death and major disability (modified Rankin Scale score ≥3) at 3 months after ischemic stroke. Secondary outcomes included major disability, death, and the ordered 7-level categorical score of the modified Rankin Scale.

RESULTS

During 3-month follow-up, 1834 patients developed the primary outcome. After multivariate adjustment, the adjusted odds ratios of primary outcome for the highest versus the lowest quartile were 0.79 (95% CI, 0.68-0.93; Ptrend=0.007) for potassium, 0.69 (95% CI, 0.58-0.82; Ptrend<0.001) for calcium, and 0.83 (95% CI, 0.70-0.99; Ptrend=0.015) for magnesium. Multivariable-adjusted restricted cubic spline analyses showed linear dose-response relationships of serum potassium, calcium, and magnesium with the risk of primary outcome (all P for linearity<0.05).

CONCLUSIONS

High-normal serum potassium, calcium, and magnesium levels were associated with decreased risks of adverse outcomes at 3 months after ischemic stroke, suggesting that serum potassium, calcium, and magnesium might be valuable prognostic biomarkers for ischemic stroke.

Plasma human cartilage glycoprotein-39 and depressive symptoms among acute ischemic stroke patients

OBJECTIVE

Our study aimed at evaluating the association between plasma human cartilage glycoprotein-39 (YKL-40) and depressive symptoms at 3 months among acute ischemic stroke patients.

METHODS

Plasma YKL-40 levels were measured in 619 patients with ischemic stroke who participated in the China Antihypertensive Trial in Acute Ischemic Stroke (CATIS). The patients' depressive symptoms at 3 months after stroke were assessed using the Hamilton Rating Scale for Depression (HRSD-24).

RESULTS

During the 3-month follow-up period, 242 (39.1 %) participants were classified as experiencing depressive symptoms. Patients in the highest quartile of YKL-40 had a 1.98-fold (95 %CI: 1.19-3.30, P for trend = 0.02) risk of depressive symptoms compared with those in the lowest quartile. Per 1-SD increase of logarithm-transformed YKL-40 was associated with a 32 % (95 % CI: 10 %-58 %) increased risk for the depressive symptoms. The multiple-adjusted spline regression model confirmed dose-response relationships between YKL-40 levels and depressive symptoms (P for linearity = 0.02). Adding YKL-40 to a model containing conventional risk factors significantly improved the discriminatory power (area under the receiver operating characteristic curve improved by 0.02, P = 0.04) and reclassification power for depressive symptoms (net reclassification improvement = 18.77 %, P = 0.02; integrated discrimination improvement = 1.30 %, P = 0.005).

CONCLUSIONS

Elevated YKL-40 levels might be a potential risk marker of depressive symptoms at 3 months among acute ischemic stroke patients.

REGISTRATION

URL: https://www.

CLINICALTRIALS

gov; Unique identifier: NCT01840072.

Lessons from the PROTECT-CH COVID-19 platform trial in care homes

Background

Coronavirus disease-2019 was associated with significant mortality and morbidity in care homes in 2020-1. Repurposed antiviral drugs might reduce morbidity and mortality through reducing viral transmission, infection, replication and inflammation. We aimed to compare the safety and efficacy of potential antiviral drugs in care home residents.

Methods

We designed a cluster-randomised, open-label, blinded end-point platform trial to test drugs in a postexposure prophylaxis paradigm. Participants aged 65+ years from United Kingdom care homes, with or without nursing, were eligible for participation. Care homes were to be allocated at random by computer to administer 42 days of antiviral agent (ciclesonide or niclosamide) plus standard care versus standard care alone to residents. The primary outcome at 60 days after randomisation comprised the most serious outcome, which was defined as all-cause mortality, all-cause hospitalisation, severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 infection or no infection. Analysis would be by intention to treat using ordinal logistic regression. Other outcomes included individual components of the primary outcome, transmission, plus health economic and process evaluation outcomes. The planned sample size was 300 care homes corresponding to 9600 residents. With ~40% of care homes predicted to develop an outbreak during the trial, we needed to recruit 750 homes/24,000 residents.

Results

We initiated the trial including protocol, approvals, insurance, website, database, data algorithms, intervention selection and training materials. We built a network of principal investigators and staff (91) and care homes (299) to support the trial. However, we never contracted care homes or general practitioners since the trial was stopped in September 2021, as vaccination in care homes had significantly reduced infections. Multiple delays significantly delayed the start date, such as: (1) reduced prioritisation of pandemic trials in 2021; (2) cumbersome mechanisms for choosing the investigational medicinal products; (3) contracting between National Institute for Health and Care Research and the investigational medicinal product manufacturers; (4) publicising the investigational medicinal products; (5) identification of sufficient numbers of care homes; (6) identification and contracting with several thousand general practitioners; (7) limited research nurse availability and (8) identification of adequate insurance to cover care homes for research. Generic challenges included working across the four home nations with their different structures and regulations.

Limitations

The feasibility of contracting between the sponsor and the principal investigators, general practitioners and care homes; screening, consent and treatment of care home residents; data acquisition and the potential benefit of postexposure prophylaxis were never tested.

Conclusions

The success of vaccination meant that the role of postexposure prophylaxis of coronavirus disease-2019 in care home residents was not tested. Significant progress was made in developing the infrastructure and expertise necessary for a large-scale clinical trial of investigational medicinal products in United Kingdom care homes.

Future work

The role of postexposure prophylaxis of coronavirus disease-2019 in care home residents remains undefined. Significant logistical barriers to conducting research in care homes need to be removed urgently before future studies are possible. Further work is required to develop the infrastructure for clinical trials of investigational medicinal products in care homes. Serious consideration should be given to building and then hibernating a pandemic-ready platform trial suitable for care home research.

Funding

This article presents independent research funded by the National Institute for Health and Care Research (NIHR) Health Technology Assessment programme as award number NIHR133443.

The Neuroprotective Role of Melatonin in Intracerebral Hemorrhage: Lessons from an Observational Study

Background/Objectives: Growing evidence is underscoring the neuroprotective properties of melatonin, particularly its anti-inflammatory, anti-apoptotic, and antioxidant effects. Preliminary findings suggest that it has the potential to attenuate secondary brain injury following intracerebral hemorrhage (ICH). This observational study aimed to investigate the effect of melatonin on post-ICH mortality and functional outcomes. Methods: We conducted an exploratory analysis of data from a single-center, non-randomized, prospective cohort study involving 177 non-ventilated patients with spontaneous ICH consecutively admitted to the Stroke Unit at the University Hospital of Tübingen, Germany, between December 2015 and December 2020. Patients received either the best standard of care (control group) or the best standard of care plus melatonin (2 mg nightly), initiated within 24 h of symptom onset and continued until discharge. The primary endpoint was mortality at discharge, while secondary endpoints included mortality at 90 days and favorable outcomes (modified Rankin Scale [mRS] ≤ 2) at both discharge and a 90-day follow-up. To minimize baseline differences, propensity score matching (PSM) was employed in the secondary analysis. Additionally, ordinal mRS shift analysis was performed to assess the patients' functional status at discharge. Results: In the full cohort (84 melatonin-treated patients vs. 93 controls), melatonin was not associated with any of the primary or secondary outcomes. In the PSM cohort (38 melatonin-treated patients vs. 38 controls), mortality at discharge was three times lower in the melatonin group compared to the control group (2.6% vs. 7.9%), although this trend did not reach statistical significance (ORadj: 0.372; 95% CI: 0.036-3.843; p = 0.407). Ordinal mRS analysis revealed no significant association between melatonin and functional status at discharge (common OR: 0.762; 95% CI: 0.327-1.773; p = 0.527). Similarly, the melatonin treatment was not associated with 90-day mortality (ORadj: 1.519; 95% CI: 0.295-7.826; p = 0.617) or the functional outcome at 90 days (ORadj: 0.626; 95% CI: 0.198-1.983; p = 0.426). Conclusions: Although 2 mg of melatonin daily did not significantly reduce mortality or improve functional outcomes in ICH patients, robust preclinical evidence and the favorable safety profile of melatonin warrant its further exploration in adequately powered, randomized-controlled clinical trials to evaluate optimized dosing regimens.

Early Versus Delayed Antihypertensive Treatment After Acute Ischemic Stroke by Hypertension History

BACKGROUND

We performed a prespecified subgroup analysis of the CATIS-2 trial (China Antihypertensive Trial in Acute Ischemic Stroke II) to compare the effect of early versus delayed antihypertensive treatment on death and disability in patients with and without medical history of hypertension.

METHODS

CATIS-2 is a multicenter randomized clinical trial conducted in 106 hospitals in China. The trial randomized 4810 patients with acute ischemic stroke within 24 to 48 hours of symptom onset and elevated systolic blood pressure between 140 and <220 mm Hg to receive antihypertensive treatment immediately after randomization or to discontinue antihypertensive medications for 7 days and then receive treatment on day 8. The primary outcome was a combination of death or functional dependency (modified Rankin Scale score ≥3) at 90 days.

RESULTS

At the 90-day follow-up, the primary outcome of death or functional dependency was not different between early- and delayed-treatment groups according to the history of hypertension; the odds ratios (95% CIs) associated with the early-treatment group were 1.11 (0.91-1.36) and 1.38 (0.92-2.08) for participants with and without a history of hypertension. However, the ordinal logistic regression showed that early antihypertensive treatment was associated with the odds of a higher modified Rankin Scale score in patients without hypertension (odds ratio, 1.35 [95% CI, 1.01-1.82]), but not in those with hypertension (odds ratio, 0.95 [95% CI, 0.82-1.10]; P=0.04 for interaction).

CONCLUSIONS

Early antihypertensive treatment did not reduce the odds of dependency or death at 90 days by hypertension history among patients with ischemic stroke but worsened functional outcomes for patients without hypertension in the ordinal analysis.

REGISTRATION

URL: https://www.clinicaltrials.gov; Unique identifier: NCT03479554.

Retrospective analysis of amantadine response and predictive factors in intensive care unit patients with non-traumatic disorders of consciousness

Background

Disorders of consciousness (DoC) in non-traumatic ICU-patients are often treated with amantadine, although evidence supporting its efficacy is limited.

Methods

This retrospective study analyzed non-traumatic DoC-patients treated with amantadine between January 2016 and June 2021. Data on patient demographics, clinical characteristics, treatment specifications, and outcomes were extracted from electronic medical records. Patients were classified as responders if their Glasgow Coma Scale (GCS) improved by ≥3 points within 5 days. Good outcome was defined as a modified Rankin Scale (mRS) of 0-2. Machine learning techniques were used to predict response to treatment.

Results

Of 442 patients (mean age 73.2 ± 10.7 years, 41.0% female), 267 (60.4%) were responders. Baseline characteristics were similar between groups, except that responders had lower baseline GCS (7 [IQR 5-9] vs. 8 [IQR 5-10], p = 0.030), better premorbid mRS (2 [IQR 1-2] vs. 2 [IQR 1-3], p < 0.001) and fewer pathological cerebral imaging findings (45.7% vs. 61.1%, OR 0.56, 95% CI: 0.36-0.86, p = 0.008). Responders exhibited significantly lower mortality at discharge (13.5% vs. 27.4%, OR 0.41, 95% CI: 0.25-0.67, p < 0.001) and follow-up (16.9% vs. 32.0%, OR 0.43, 95% CI: 0.24-0.77, p = 0.002). Good outcomes were more frequent in responders at follow-up (4.9% vs. 1.1%, OR 6.14, 95% CI: 1.35-28.01, p = 0.004). In multivariate analysis higher premorbid mRS (OR 0.719, 95% CI 0.590-0.875, p < 0.001), pathological imaging results (OR 0.546, 95% CI 0.342-0.871, p = 0.011), and experiencing cardiac arrest (OR 0.542, 95% CI 0.307-0.954, p = 0.034) were associated with lower odds of response. Machine learning identified key predictors of response, with the Stacking Classifier achieving the highest performance (accuracy 64.5%, precision 66.6%, recall 64.5%, F1 score 61.3%).

Conclusion

This study supports the potential benefits of intravenous amantadine in non-traumatic DOC-patients. Higher premorbid mRS, and pathological cerebral imaging were key predictors of non-response, offering potential avenues for patient selection and treatment customization. Findings from this study informed the design of our ongoing prospective study, which aims to further evaluate the long-term efficacy of amantadine.

Machine learning for early dynamic prediction of functional outcome after stroke

BACKGROUND

Prediction of outcome after stroke is critical for treatment planning and resource allocation but is complicated by fluctuations during the first days after onset. We propose a machine learning model that can provide hourly predictions based on the integration of continuous variables acquired within 72 h of hospital admission.

METHODS

We analyzed 2492 admissions for ischemic stroke in the Geneva University Hospital from 01.01.2018 to 31.12.2021, amounting to 2'131'752 unique data points. We developed a transformer model that continuously included clinical, physiological, imaging, and biological data recorded within 72 h of admission. This model was trained to generate hourly predictions of mortality and morbidity. Shapley additive explanations were used to identify the most relevant predictors to explain outcomes for each patient. The MIMIC-III database was used for external validation.

RESULTS

Our transformer model predicts mortality, with an area under the receiver operating characteristic curve of 0.830 (95% CI 0.763-0.885) on admission, reaching 0.893 (95% CI 0.839-0.933) 72 h later for a 3-month outcome. Validated in an independent cohort, it outperforms all static models. Based on their mean explanatory weights, the top predictors included continuous clinical evaluation, baseline patient characteristics, timing from admission to acute treatment, and markers of inflammation and organ dysfunction.

CONCLUSIONS

The performance of our transformer model demonstrates the potential of machine learning models integrating clinical, physiological, imaging, and biological variables over time after stroke. The clinical applicability of our model is further strengthened by access to hourly updated predictions along with accompanying explanations.

A roadmap for clinical trials in MASH-related compensated cirrhosis

Although metabolic dysfunction-associated steatohepatitis (MASH) is rapidly becoming a leading cause of cirrhosis worldwide, therapeutic options are limited and the number of clinical trials in MASH-related compensated cirrhosis is low as compared to those conducted in earlier disease stages. Moreover, designing clinical trials in MASH cirrhosis presents a series of challenges regarding the understanding and conceptualization of the natural history, regulatory considerations, inclusion criteria, recruitment, end points and trial duration, among others. The first international workshop on the state of the art and future direction of clinical trials in MASH-related compensated cirrhosis was held in April 2023 at Vall d'Hebron University Hospital in Barcelona (Spain) and was attended by a group of international experts on clinical trials from academia, regulatory agencies and industry, encompassing expertise in MASH, cirrhosis, portal hypertension, and regulatory affairs. The presented Roadmap summarizes important content of the workshop on current status, regulatory requirements and end points in MASH-related compensated cirrhosis clinical trials, exploring alternative study designs and highlighting the challenges that should be considered for upcoming studies on MASH cirrhosis.

Plasma Phenylacetylglutamine Levels and Prognosis of Ischemic Stroke: A Multicenter Prospective Study Based on the CATIS Trial

BACKGROUND

Phenylacetylglutamine is implicated in platelet clotting and thrombosis, but its prognostic value in ischemic stroke remains unclear. We aimed to explore the associations of plasma phenylacetylglutamine levels with adverse outcomes after ischemic stroke in a multicenter prognostic cohort study.

METHODS

Our multicenter prognostic cohort study included 3564 Chinese patients with ischemic stroke from the CATIS (China Antihypertensive Trial in Acute Ischemic Stroke). All patients were followed up at 3 months after ischemic stroke onset. The primary outcome was the composite outcome of death or major disability (modified Rankin Scale score, 3-6) at 3 months after ischemic stroke.

RESULTS

During 3 months of follow-up, 877 participants experienced the primary outcome. After multivariate adjustment, each 500 ng/mL increase of phenylacetylglutamine was associated with a 7% (P=0.012), 6% (P=0.016), and 6% (P=0.028) increased risk of the primary outcome, major disability, and death, respectively. The odds ratios or hazard ratios in the highest versus the lowest quartile of plasma phenylacetylglutamine were 1.62 ([95% CI, 1.18-2.23]; Ptrend=0.001) for the primary outcome, 1.62 ([95% CI, 1.16-2.24]; Ptrend=0.001) for major disability, and 2.59 ([95% CI, 1.19-5.60]; Ptrend=0.025) for death, respectively. There was a significantly worse shift in the distribution of modified Rankin Scale score at 3 months with higher phenylacetylglutamine quartiles (Ptrend=0.003). Multiple-adjusted spline regression model showed a linear relationship between phenylacetylglutamine and primary outcome (P value for linearity<0.001). The addition of plasma phenylacetylglutamine to conventional risk factors significantly improved the risk reclassification for the primary outcome (net reclassification improvement, 19.34%; P<0.001; integrated discrimination improvement, 0.23%; P=0.019).

CONCLUSIONS

Elevated plasma phenylacetylglutamine levels at baseline were associated with increased risks of adverse clinical outcomes at 3 months after ischemic stroke, suggesting that phenylacetylglutamine may be a promising prognostic biomarker for ischemic stroke. Further studies are needed to investigate whether phenylacetylglutamine is a stroke-specific biomarker.

Serum Prealbumin Levels and Risks of Adverse Clinical Outcomes After Ischemic Stroke

Background

Prealbumin is a symbol of protein nutrition and is involved in anti-inflammatory and neuron regeneration, but its association with the prognosis of ischemic stroke remains unclear. We aimed to prospectively explore the associations between serum prealbumin levels and adverse clinical outcomes after ischemic stroke in a large-scale cohort study.

Methods

We measured serum prealbumin levels among 6609 ischemic stroke patients admitted at Minhang hospital. The primary outcome was composite of death and major disability (modified Rankin Scale [mRS] score ≥ 3) at 3 months after stroke onset, and secondary outcomes included death and the ordered 7-level categorical score of mRS.

Results

During 3 months of follow-up, a total of 2118 patients developed the primary outcome. After multivariable adjustment, high prealbumin levels were associated with a decreased risk of primary outcome (odds ratio, 0.71; 95% CI, 0.59-0.85; P trend< 0.0001) when 2 extreme quartiles were compared. Each unit increase of log-transformed prealbumin was associated with a 42% (95% CI, 28-53%) decreased risk of primary outcome. There was a better shift in the distribution of mRS score at 3 months with higher quartiles of serum prealbumin in ischemic stroke patients (P trend< 0.0001). Multivariable-adjusted spline regression model showed a linear relationship between prealbumin and the risk of primary outcome (P for linearity = 0.0036).

Conclusion

High serum prealbumin level was independently associated with decreased risks of adverse clinical outcomes among ischemic stroke patients. Our findings suggested that prealbumin may be a valuable prognostic biomarker and indicated the importance of keeping nourished in the daily life.

Folate, Homocysteine, and Adverse Outcomes After Ischemic Stroke

BACKGROUND

As a risk factor of cardiovascular diseases, homocysteine can be effectively lowered by folate. However, the associations of folate and homocysteine levels with the prognosis of ischemic stroke remained unclear.

METHODS AND RESULTS

A total of 3530 patients with ischemic stroke were included. Serum folate and homocysteine levels were measured at admission. The primary outcome was composite of death and major disability (modified Rankin Scale score≥3) at 3 months after stroke onset. Univariate and multivariate logistic regression models were used. The mediation effect of homocysteine was examined. During follow-up, 1056 participants developed the primary outcome. In the univariate model, participants in the highest quartile of folate had a 29% (95% CI, 0.58-0.87) decreased risk of primary outcome compared with those in the lowest quartile. After multivariate adjustment, the odds ratio associated with the highest quartile of folate was 0.58 (95% CI, 0.46-0.73) for primary outcome. In contrast, participants in the highest quartile of homocysteine had a 52% (95% CI, 1.24-1.98) increased risk of primary outcome compared with those in the lowest quartile. After multivariate adjustment, the odds ratio associated with highest quartile of homocysteine was 1.57 (95% CI, 1.24-1.98) for primary outcome. In addition, 25.5% of the observed associations between folate and primary outcome was mediated through homocysteine (P=0.012).

CONCLUSIONS

High folate levels were associated with low risks of death and major disability among Chinese patients with ischemic stroke, and homocysteine partially mediated the observed potential beneficial role of folate.

Cardiac biomarkers are associated with increased risks of adverse clinical outcomes after ischemic stroke

BACKGROUND

Impaired cardiac function was suggested to be implicated in the functional recovery after ischemic stroke, but the prognostic value of cardiac biomarkers among ischemic stroke patients remains unclear. We aimed to prospectively explore the associations of serum lactate dehydrogenase (LDH), plasma N-terminal pro-brain natriuretic peptide (NT-proBNP), and plasma high-sensitivity cardiac troponin T (hs-cTnT) with adverse clinical outcomes after ischemic stroke in a large-scale cohort study.

METHODS

We measured serum LDH, plasma NT-proBNP, and plasma hs-cTnT levels at baseline among 5056 ischemic stroke patients from the Minhang Stroke Cohort study. All patients were followed up at 3 months after ischemic stroke onset. The primary outcome was composite outcome of death and major disability (modified Rankin Scale [mRS] score ≥ 3) at 3 months after stroke onset, and secondary outcomes included death and ordered 7-level categorical score of the mRS.

RESULTS

During 3 months of follow-up, 1584 patients developed the primary outcome. Baseline serum LDH, plasma NT-proBNP, and plasma hs-cTnT were positively associated with the risk of adverse outcomes after ischemic stroke. The multivariable-adjusted odds ratios of primary outcome for the highest versus lowest quartile of LDH, NT-proBNP, and hs-cTnT were 1.37 (95% CI 1.13-1.66; Ptrend = 0.001), 2.51 (95% CI, 2.00-3.16; Ptrend < 0.001), and 2.24 (95% CI 1.77-2.83; Ptrend < 0.001), respectively. Each SD increase of log-transformed cardiac biomarker score was associated with a 49% (95% CI 37-62%; P < 0.001) increased risk of primary outcome. Multivariable-adjusted spline regression analyses showed linear relationships between cardiac biomarkers and the risk of primary outcome (all P for linearity < 0.001). Moreover, adding LDH, NT-proBNP, hs-cTnT, or cardiac biomarker score to conventional risk factors significantly improved the risk reclassification of primary outcome after ischemic stroke (all P < 0.05).

CONCLUSION

High LDH, NT-proBNP, hs-cTnT, and cardiac biomarker score were independently associated with increased risks of adverse clinical outcomes among ischemic stroke patients, suggesting that cardiac biomarkers might be potential prognostic biomarkers for ischemic stroke.

Associations of Rheumatoid Factor, Rheumatoid Arthritis, and Interleukin-6 Inhibitor with the Prognosis of Ischemic Stroke: a Prospective Multicenter Cohort Study and Mendelian Randomization Analysis

Rheumatoid factor (RF), an established diagnostic biomarker for rheumatoid arthritis (RA), is associated with cardiovascular diseases, but its impact on clinical outcomes of ischemic stroke remains unclear. We aimed to investigate the observational associations between serum RF and prognosis of ischemic stroke, and further examined the genetic associations of RA and its therapeutic strategy, interleukin-6 (IL-6) inhibitor, with prognosis of ischemic stroke. We measured serum RF levels in 3474 Chinese ischemic stroke patients from the China Antihypertensive Trial in Acute Ischemic Stroke. The primary outcome was the composite outcome of death or major disability (modified Rankin Scale score ≥3) at 3 months after stroke onset. Mendelian randomization (MR) analyses were performed to examine the associations of genetically predicted RA and IL-6 inhibition with prognosis of ischemic stroke. During 3 months of follow-up, 866 patients (25.43%) experienced death or major disability. After multivariate adjustment, RF-positive was significantly associated with a high risk of primary outcome (OR, 1.47; 95% CI, 1.08-2.00; P =0.016) compared with RF-negative. The two-sample MR analyses suggested that genetically predicted RA was associated with an increased risk of primary outcome (OR, 1.09; 95% CI, 1.01-1.18; P=0.021), while genetically predicted IL-6 inhibition was associated with a decreased risk of primary outcome (OR, 0.88; 95% CI, 0.77-0.99; P=0.041). We found that positive RF was associated with increased risks of adverse outcomes after atherosclerotic ischemic stroke, and genetically predicted RA and IL-6 inhibition increased and decreased the risks of adverse outcomes after ischemic stroke, respectively.

Sex-Related Differences in Mortality, Delayed Cerebral Ischemia, and Functional Outcomes in Patients with Aneurysmal Subarachnoid Hemorrhage: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis

Background/Objective: Sex-related differences among patients with aneurysmal subarachnoid hemorrhage (aSAH) and their potential clinical implications have been insufficiently investigated. To address this knowledge gap, we conduct a comprehensive systematic review and meta-analysis. Methods: Sex-specific differences in patients with aSAH, including mortality, delayed cerebral ischemia (DCI), and functional outcomes were assessed. The functional outcome was dichotomized into favorable or unfavorable based on the modified Rankin Scale (mRS), Glasgow Outcome Scale (GOS), and Glasgow Outcome Scale Extended (GOSE). Results: Overall, 2823 studies were identified in EMBASE, MEDLINE, PubMed, and by manual search on 14 February 2024. After an initial assessment, 74 studies were included in the meta-analysis. In the analysis of mortality, including 18,534 aSAH patients, no statistically significant differences could be detected (risk ratio (RR) 0.99; 95% CI, 0.90-1.09; p = 0.91). In contrast, the risk analysis for DCI, including 23,864 aSAH patients, showed an 11% relative risk reduction in DCI in males versus females (RR, 0.89; 95% CI, 0.81-0.97; p = 0.01). The functional outcome analysis (favorable vs. unfavorable), including 7739 aSAH patients, showed a tendency towards better functional outcomes in men than women; however, this did not reach statistical significance (RR, 1.02; 95% CI, 0.98-1.07; p = 0.34). Conclusions: In conclusion, the available data suggest that sex/gender may play a significant role in the risk of DCI in patients with aSAH, emphasizing the need for sex-specific management strategies.

Factors Associated With Premature Termination of Hyperacute Stroke Trials: A Review

BACKGROUND

We performed a review of acute stroke trials to determine features associated with premature termination of trial enrollment, defined by the authors as not meeting preplanned sample size.

METHODS AND RESULTS

MEDLINE was searched for randomized clinical stroke trials published in 9 major clinical journals between 2013 and 2022. We included randomized clinical trials that were phase 2 or 3 with a preplanned sample size ≥100 and a time-to-treatment within 24 hours of onset for transient ischemic attack, ischemic stroke, or intracerebral hemorrhage. Data were abstracted on trial features including trial design, inclusion criteria, imaging, location and number of sites, masking, treatment complexity, control group (standard therapy, placebo), industry involvement, and preplanned stopping rules (futility and efficacy). Least absolute shrinkage and selection operator regression was used to select the most important factors associated with premature termination; then, a multivariable logistic regression was fit including only the least absolute shrinkage and selection operator selected variables. Of 1475 studies assessed, 98 trials met eligibility criteria. Forty-five (46%) trials were prematurely terminated, of which 27% were stopped for benefit/efficacy, 20% for lack of money/slow enrollment, 18% for futility, 16% for newly available evidence, 17% for other reasons, and 4% due to harm. Complex trials (adjusted odds ratio [aOR], 2.76 [95% CI, 1.13-7.49]), presence of a futility rule (aOR, 4.43 [95% CI, 1.62-17.91]), and exclusion of prestroke dependency (none/slight disability only; aOR, 2.19 [95% CI, 0.84-6.72] versus dependency allowed) were identified as the strongest predictors.

CONCLUSIONS

Nearly half of acute stroke trials were terminated prematurely. Broadening inclusion criteria and simplifying trial design may decrease the likelihood of unplanned termination, whereas planned futility analyses may appropriately terminate trials early, saving money and resources.

Effectiveness of nurse-led fever, sugar-hyperglycemia, and swallowing bundle care on clinical outcome of patients with stroke at a tertiary care center: A randomized controlled trial

Objectives

Stroke is a medical emergency, the leading cause of death, and a significant cause of disability in developing countries. The primary goals of stroke management focus on reducing disability, which needs prompt treatment in time. Fever, sugar-hyperglycemia, and swallowing (FeSS) bundle are a promising nurse-led composite for reducing disability and death. The present study aims to assess the effect of FeSS bundle care on disability, functional dependency, and death among acute stroke patients.

Materials and Methods

A randomized controlled trial was conducted among 104 acute stroke patients, who were admitted within the first 48 h of stroke symptoms and had no previous neurological deficits. Randomization was stratified based on gender and type of stroke. The intervention group received FeSS bundle care, which included nurse-led fever and sugar management for the first 72 h, and a swallowing assessment done within the first 24 h or before the first oral meal. A follow-up assessment was done after 90 days to assess the disability, functional dependency, and mortality status using a modified Rankin scale and Barthel index.

Results

No significant difference was noted in the 90-day disability and functional dependency between the groups. A reduction in mortality was noted in the intervention group. The risk ratio for mortality between groups was 2.143 (95% confidence interval: 0.953-4.820).

Conclusion

Although no significant reduction in disability, there was a reduction in mortality in the intervention group. Hence, the study suggested the promotion of nurse-led intervention using the FeSS bundle in stroke units.

Efficacy of a gamified digital therapy for speech production in people with chronic aphasia (iTalkBetter): behavioural and imaging outcomes of a phase II item-randomised clinical trial

Background

Aphasia is among the most debilitating of symptoms affecting stroke survivors. Speech and language therapy (SLT) is effective, but many hours of practice are required to make clinically meaningful gains. One solution to this 'dosage' problem is to automate therapeutic approaches via self-supporting apps so people with aphasia (PWA) can amass practice as it suits them. However, response to therapy is variable and no clinical trial has yet identified the key brain regions required to engage with word-retrieval therapy.

Methods

Between Sep 7, 2020 and Mar 1, 2022 at University College London in the UK, we carried out a phase II, item-randomised clinical trial in 27 PWA using a novel, self-led app, 'iTalkBetter', which utilises confrontation naming therapy. Unlike previously reported apps, it has a real-time utterance verification system that drives its adaptive therapy algorithm. Therapy items were individually randomised to provide balanced lists of 'trained' and 'untrained' items matched on key psycholinguistic variables and baseline performance. PWA practised with iTalkBetter over a 6-week therapy block. Structural and functional MRI data were collected to identify therapy-related changes in brain states. A repeated-measures design was employed. The trial was registered at ClinicalTrials.gov (NCT04566081).

Findings

iTalkBetter significantly improved naming ability by 13% for trained items compared with no change for untrained items, an average increase of 29 words (SD = 26) per person; beneficial effects persisted at three months. PWA's propositional speech also significantly improved. iTalkBetter use was associated with brain volume increases in right auditory and left anterior prefrontal cortices. Task-based fMRI identified dose-related activity in the right temporoparietal junction.

Interpretation

Our findings suggested that iTalkBetter significantly improves PWAs' naming ability on trained items. The effect size is similar to a previous RCT of computerised therapy, but this is the first study to show transfer to a naturalistic speaking task. iTalkBetter usage and dose caused observable changes in brain structure and function to key parts of the surviving language perception, production and control networks. iTalkBetter is being rolled-out as an app for all PWA and anomia: https://www.ucl.ac.uk/icn/research/research-groups/neurotherapeutics/projects/digital-interventions-neuro-rehabilitation-0 so that they can increase their dosage of practice-based SLT.

Funding

National Institute for Health and Care Research, Wellcome Centre for Human Neuroimaging.

High serum lactate dehydrogenase to albumin ratio is associated with increased risk of poor prognosis after ischemic stroke

BACKGROUND

Lactate dehydrogenase to albumin ratio (LAR) is a comprehensive biomarker for anaerobiosis, inflammation, and nutritional status, but its prognostic value for ischemic stroke has rarely been reported. We aimed to prospectively investigate whether serum LAR is associated with the prognosis of ischemic stroke patients in a large-scale cohort study.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

Serum LAR levels were measured among 6634 patients with ischemic stroke admitted at Minhang hospital from January 2018 to December 2022. The primary outcome was the composite of major disability and death (modified Rankin Scale score [mRS] ≥ 3) at 3-month follow up. Secondary outcomes included death and the ordered 7-level category score of mRS. Multivariate logistic regression and restricted cubic splines were adopted to evaluate the associations between serum LAR levels and adverse clinical outcomes of ischemic stroke.

RESULTS

During 3 months of follow-up period, a total of 2125 patients experienced primary outcome. After multivariate adjustment, the highest quartile of serum LAR was associated with an increased risk of primary outcome (odds ratio [OR], 1.52; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.27-1.83; P for trend < 0.001). Each standard deviation higher log-transformed serum LAR resulted in a 20% (95% CI, 12%-28%) increased risk of primary outcome. Furthermore, multivariable-adjusted restricted cubic spline analyses showed a linear association between the serum LAR level with primary outcome (P for linearity < 0.001). Finally, the addition of serum LAR to conventional risk factors significantly improved risk predictive abilities for the primary outcome (net reclassification improvement [NRI]: 18.35%, P < 0.001; integrated discrimination improvement [IDI]: 0.35%, P < 0.001) at 3-month follow up in patients with ischemic stroke.

CONCLUSION

High serum LAR level was independently associated with an increased risk of adverse clinical outcomes among patients with ischemic stroke, indicating that serum LAR may be a valuable prognostic biomarker for ischemic stroke.

Predicting the functional outcome of intensive inpatient rehabilitation after stroke: results from the RIPS Study

BACKGROUND

The complexity of stroke sequelae, the heterogeneity of outcome measures and rehabilitation pathways, and the lack of extensively validated prediction models represent a challenge in predicting stroke rehabilitation outcomes.

AIM

To prospectively investigate a multidimensional set of variables collected at admission to inpatient post-stroke rehabilitation as potential predictors of the functional level at discharge.

DESIGN

Multicentric prospective observational study.

SETTING

Patients were enrolled in four Intensive Rehabilitation Units (IRUs).

POPULATION

Patients were consecutively recruited in the period December 2019-December 2020 with the following inclusion criteria: aged 18+, with ischemic/haemorrhagic stroke, and undergoing inpatient rehabilitation within 30 days from stroke.

METHODS

This is a multicentric prospective observational study. The rehabilitation pathway was reproducible and evidence-based. The functional outcome was disability in activities of daily living, measured by the modified Barthel Index (mBI) at discharge. Potential multidimensional predictors, assessed at admission, included demographics, event description, clinical assessment, functional and cognitive profile, and psycho-social domains. The variables statistically associated with the outcome in the univariate analysis were fed into a multivariable model using multiple linear regression.

RESULTS

A total of 220 patients were included (median [IQR] age: 80 [15], 112 women, 175 ischemic). Median mBI was 26 (43) at admission and 62.5 (52) at discharge. In the multivariable analysis younger age, along with better functioning, fewer comorbidities, higher cognitive abilities, reduced stroke severity, and higher motor functions at admission, remained independently associated with higher discharge mBI. The final model allowed a reliable prediction of discharge functional outcome (adjusted R2=77.2%).

CONCLUSIONS

The model presented in this study, based on easily collectable, reliable admission variables, could help clinicians and researchers to predict the discharge scores of the global functional outcome for persons enrolled in an evidence-based inpatient stroke rehabilitation program.

CLINICAL REHABILITATION IMPACT

A reliable outcome prediction derived from standardized assessment measures and validated treatment protocols could guide clinicians in the management of patients in the subacute phase of stroke and help improve the planning of the rehabilitation individualized project.

Selection of a statistical analysis method for the Glasgow Outcome Scale-Extended endpoint for estimating the probability of favorable outcome in future severe TBI clinical trials

The Glasgow outcome scale-extended (GOS-E), an ordinal scale measure, is often selected as the endpoint for clinical trials of traumatic brain injury (TBI). Traditionally, GOS-E is analyzed as a fixed dichotomy with favorable outcome defined as GOS-E ≥ 5 and unfavorable outcome as GOS-E < 5. More recent studies have defined favorable vs unfavorable outcome utilizing a sliding dichotomy of the GOS-E that defines a favorable outcome as better than a subject's predicted prognosis at baseline. Both dichotomous approaches result in loss of statistical and clinical information. To improve on power, Yeatts et al proposed a sliding scoring of the GOS-E as the distance from the cutoff for favorable/unfavorable outcomes, and therefore used more information found in the original GOS-E to estimate the probability of favorable outcome. We used data from a published TBI trial to explore the ramifications to trial operating characteristics by analyzing the sliding scoring of the GOS-E as either dichotomous, continuous, or ordinal. We illustrated a connection between the ordinal data and time-to-event (TTE) data to allow use of Bayesian software that utilizes TTE-based modeling. The simulation results showed that the continuous method with continuity correction offers higher power and lower mean squared error for estimating the probability of favorable outcome compared to the dichotomous method, and similar power but higher precision compared to the ordinal method. Therefore, we recommended that future severe TBI clinical trials consider analyzing the sliding scoring of the GOS-E endpoint as continuous with continuity correction.

Lifetime and Acute Stress Predict Functional Outcomes Following Stroke: Findings From the Longitudinal STRONG Study

BACKGROUND

Stroke is a sudden-onset, uncontrollable event; stroke-related stress may impede rehabilitation and recovery. Lifetime stress may sensitize patients to experiencing greater stroke-related stress and indirectly affect outcomes. We examine lifetime stress as predictor of poststroke acute stress and examine lifetime and acute stress as predictors of 3- and 12-month functional status. We also compare acute stress and baseline National Institutes of Health Stroke Scale as predictors of poststroke functional status.

METHODS

Between 2016 and 2020 the STRONG Study (Stroke, Stress, Rehabilitation, and Genetics) enrolled adults with new radiologically confirmed stroke 2 to 10 days poststroke onset at 28 acute care US hospitals. Participants were interviewed 3 times: acute admission (acute stress; Acute Stress Disorder Interview), 3 months (Fugl-Meyer Upper Extremity motor impairment [Fugl-Meyer Upper Arm Assessment; N=431], modified Rankin Scale [3 months; N=542], Stroke Impact Scale-Activities of Daily Living [3 months; N=511], Lifetime Stress Exposure Inventory), and 12 months (modified Rankin Scale, N=533; Stroke Impact Scale 3.0 Activities of Daily Living; N=485; Telephone Montreal Cognitive Assessment; N=484) poststroke. Structural equation models examined whether acute stress predicted 3- and 12-month functional outcomes, and mediated an association between lifetime stress and outcomes controlling for demographics and initial National Institutes of Health Stroke Scale. Standardized betas are reported.

RESULTS

Sample (N=763) was 19 to 95 years old (mean=63; SD=14.9); 448 (58.7%) were male. Acute stress scores ranged from 0 to 14 (mean, 3.52 [95% CI, 3.31-3.73]). Controlling for age, gender, baseline National Institutes of Health Stroke Scale, and race and ethnicity, higher lifetime stress predicted higher acute stress (β=0.18, P<0.001), which predicted lower 3-month Fugl-Meyer Upper Arm Assessment scores (β=-0.19, P<0.001), lower Stroke Impact Scale 3.0 Activities of Daily Living scores at 3 months (β=-0.21, P<0.001) and 12 months (β=-0.21, P<0.001), higher modified Rankin Scale scores at 3 months (β=0.23, P<0.001) and 12 months (β=0.22, P<0.001), and lower 12-month Telephone Montreal Cognitive Assessment scores (β=-0.20, P<0.001). Acute stress predicted 12-month tMoCA (χ2[1]=5.29, P=0.022) more strongly, 3-month and 12-month modified Rankin Scale and SIS scores as strongly (all Ps>0.18), but Fugl-Meyer scores (χ2[1]=7.01, P=0.008) less strongly than baseline National Institutes of Health Stroke Scale.

CONCLUSIONS

Lifetime stress/trauma is associated with more poststroke acute stress, which is associated with greater motor and cognitive impairment and disability 3 and 12 months poststroke. Poststroke interventions for acute stress may help mitigate stroke-related disability.

Early versus delayed antihypertensive treatment in patients with acute ischaemic stroke: multicentre, open label, randomised, controlled trial

OBJECTIVES

To compared the effect of early antihypertensive treatment started within 24-48 h of stroke onset versus delaying treatment until day eight on reducing dependency or death.

DESIGN

Multicentre, randomised, open label trial.

SETTING

106 hospitals in China between 13 June 2018 and 10 July 2022.

PARTICIPANTS

4810 patients (≥40 years) were enrolled with acute ischaemic stroke within 24-48 h of symptom onset and elevated systolic blood pressure between 140 mm Hg and <220 mm Hg.

INTERVENTIONS

Patients were randomly assigned to receive antihypertensive treatment immediately after randomisation (aimed at reducing systolic blood pressure by 10%-20% within the first 24 h and a mean blood pressure <140/90 mm Hg within seven days) or to discontinue antihypertensive medications for seven days if they were taking them, and then receive treatment on day 8 (aimed at achieving mean blood pressure <140/90 mm Hg).

MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES

The primary outcome was the combination of functional dependency or death (modified Rankin scale score ≥3) at 90 days. Intention to treat analyses were conducted.

RESULTS

2413 patients were assigned to the early treatment group and 2397 were assigned to the delayed treatment group. Mean systolic blood pressure was reduced by 9.7% (from 162.9 mm Hg to 146.4 mm Hg) in the early treatment group and by 4.9% (from 162.8 mm Hg to 154.3 mm Hg) in the delayed treatment group within 24 h after randomisation (P for group difference <0.001). Mean systolic blood pressure was 139.1 mm Hg in the early treatment group and 150.9 mm Hg in the delayed treatment group on day seven (P for group difference <0.001). Additionally, 54.6% of patients in the early treatment group and 22.4% in the delayed treatment group had blood pressure of less than 140/90 mm Hg (P<0.001 for group difference) on day seven. At day 90, 289 trial participants (12.0%) in the early treatment group, compared with 250 (10.5%) in the delayed treatment group, had died or experienced a dependency (odds ratio 1.18 (95% confidence interval 0.98 to 1.41), P=0.08). No significant differences in recurrent stroke or adverse events were reported between the two groups.

CONCLUSIONS

Among patients with mild-to-moderate acute ischaemic stroke and systolic blood pressure between 140 mm Hg and <220 mm Hg who did not receive intravenous thrombolytic treatment, early antihypertensive treatment did not reduce the odds of dependency or death at 90 days.

TRIAL REGISTRATION

ClinicalTrials.gov Identifier NCT03479554.

HS-CRP Modifies the Prognostic Value of Platelet Count for Clinical Outcomes After Ischemic Stroke

Background We examined whether the relationship between baseline platelet count and clinical outcomes is modulated by HS-CRP (high-sensitivity C-reactive protein) in patients with ischemic stroke. Methods and Results A total of 3267 patients with ischemic stroke were included in the analysis. The primary outcome was a combination of death and major disability at 1 year after ischemic stroke. Secondary outcomes included major disability, death, vascular events, composite outcome of vascular events or death, and an ordered 7-level categorical score of the modified Rankin Scale at 1 year. Multivariate logistic regression and Cox proportional hazards regression models were used to assess the association between the baseline platelet count and clinical outcomes stratified by HS-CRP levels when appropriate. There was an interaction effect of platelet count and HS-CRP on the adverse clinical outcomes after ischemic stroke (all P_interaction<0.05). The elevated platelet count was significantly associated with the primary outcome (odds ratio [OR], 3.14 [95% CI, 1.77-5.58]), major disability (OR, 2.07 [95% CI, 1.15-3.71]), death (hazard ratio [HR], 2.75 [95% CI, 1.31-5.79]), and composite outcome of vascular events or death (HR, 2.57 [95% CI, 1.38-4.87]) among patients with high HS-CRP levels (all P_trend<0.05). Conclusions The HS-CRP levels had a modifying effect on the association between platelet count and clinical outcomes in patients with ischemic stroke. Elevated platelet count was significantly associated with adverse clinical outcomes in patients with ischemic stroke with high HS-CRP levels, but not in those with low HS-CRP levels. These findings suggest that strategies for anti-inflammatory and antiplatelet therapy should be developed according to the results of both platelet and HS-CRP testing.

General anesthesia or conscious sedation for thrombectomy in stroke patients: an updated systematic review and meta-analysis

PURPOSE

Endovascular treatment for stroke patients usually requires anesthesia care, with no current consensus on the best anesthetic management strategy. Several randomized controlled trials and meta-analyses have attempted to address this. In 2022, additional evidence from three new trials was published: the GASS trial, the CANVAS II trial, and preliminary results from the AMETIS trial, prompting the execution of this updated systematic review and meta-analysis. The primary objective of this study was to evaluate the effects of general anesthesia and conscious sedation on functional outcomes measured with the modified Rankin scale (mRS) at three months.

METHODS

We performed a systematic review and meta-analysis of randomized controlled trials investigating conscious sedation and general anesthesia in endovascular treatment. The following databases were examined: PubMed, Scopus, Embase, and the Cochrane Database of Randomized Controlled Trials and Systematic Reviews. The Risk of Bias 2 tool was used to assess bias. In addition, trial sequence analysis was performed on the primary outcome to estimate if the cumulative effect is significant enough to be unaffected by further studies.

RESULTS

Nine randomized controlled trials were identified, including 1,342 patients undergoing endovascular treatment for stroke. No significant differences were detected between general anesthesia and conscious sedation with regards to mRS, functional independence (mRS, 0-2), procedure duration, onset to reperfusion, mortality, hospital length of stay, and intensive care unit length of stay. Patients treated under general anesthesia may have more frequent successful reperfusion, though the time from groin to reperfusion was slightly longer. Trial sequential analysis showed that additional trials are unlikely to show marked differences in mean mRS at three months.

CONCLUSIONS

In this updated systematic review and meta-analysis, the choice of anesthetic strategy for endovascular treatment of stroke patients did not significantly impact functional outcome as measured with the mRS at three months. Patients managed with general anesthesia may have more frequent successful reperfusion.

TRIAL REGISTRATION

PROSPERO (CRD42022319368); registered 19 April 2022.

Best medical management versus intravenous thrombolysis for mild non-disabling ischemic stroke: A prospective noninferiority registry study

OBJECTIVES

The efficacy and safety of intravenous thrombolysis uncertain in patients with non-disabling mild ischemic stroke. Our aim was to investigate whether best medical management only is noninferior to intravenous thrombolysis plus best medical management therapy for achieving favorable functional outcome at 90 days.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

In a prospective acute ischemic stroke registry from 2018 through 2020, 314 non-disabling mild ischemic stroke patients received best medical management only and 638 underwent intravenous thrombolysis plus best medical management. The primary outcome was modified Rankin Scale ≤1 at Day 90. The noninferiority margin was -5%. Secondary outcomes of hemorrhagic transformation, early neurologic deterioration and mortality were also evaluated.

RESULTS

The best medical management only was noninferior to the combined therapy of intravenous thrombolysis and best medical management with regard to the primary outcome (unadjusted risk difference, 1.16%; 95% CI, -3.48% ∼ 5.8%; p = 0.0046 for noninferiority; adjusted risk difference, 3.01%; 95% CI, -3.39% ∼ 9.41%). After propensity score matching, p < 0.0001 for noninferiority. RD, 4.03%; 95% CI, -1.59% ∼ 9.69%. p < 0.0001 for noninferiority. Adjusted RD, 5.23%; 95% CI, -1.88% ∼ 9.97%. The occurrence of hemorrhagic transformation was significantly increased in the group of combination therapy (OR, 4.26; 95% CI, 1.30 to 13.99; p = 0.008), while no significant difference was detected in early neurologic deterioration (OR, 1.11; 95% CI, 0.49-2.52; p = 0.808) and mortality (OR, 0.57; 95% CI, 0.20 to 1.69; p = 0.214) between groups.

CONCLUSIONS

In the present study, we found the best medical management only was noninferior to the combination therapy of intravenous thrombolysis plus best medical management for non-disabling mild ischemic stroke within 4.5 h after onset. Best medical management may be a treatment of choice for non-disabling mild ischemic stroke patients. Further randomized controlled studies are warranted.

Sex Differences in Outcomes of Intravenous Thrombolysis in Acute Ischemic Stroke Patients with Preadmission Use of Antiplatelets

AIM

To compare safety and functional outcomes of intravenous thrombolysis (IVT) between females and males with acute ischaemic stroke (AIS) in relation to preadmission use of antiplatelets.

METHODS

Multicentre cohort study of patients admitted from 1 January 2014 to 31 January 2020 to hospitals participating in the Swiss Stroke Registry, presenting with AIS and receiving IVT. Primary safety outcome was in-hospital symptomatic intracerebral haemorrhage (sICH). Primary functional outcome was functional independence at 3 months after discharge. Multivariable logistic regression models were fitted to assess the association between sex and each outcome according to preadmission use of antiplatelets.

RESULTS

The study included 4996 patients (42.51 % females, older than males, median age 79 vs 71 years, p < 0.0001). Comparable proportions of females (39.92 %) and males (40.39 %) used antiplatelets before admission (p = 0.74). In total, 3.06 % females and 2.47 % males developed in-hospital sICH (p = 0.19), with similar odds (adjusted odds ratio, [AOR] 0.93, 95 % confidence interval, [CI] 0.63-1.39). No interaction was found between sex and preadmission use of either single or dual antiplatelets in relation to in-hospital sICH (p = 0.94 and p = 0.23). Males had higher odds of functional independence at 3 months (AOR 1.34, 95 % CI 1.09-1.65), regardless of preadmission use of antiplatelets (interaction between sex and preadmission use of either single or dual antiplatelets p = 0.41 and p = 0.58).

CONCLUSION

No sex differences were observed in the safety of IVT regarding preadmission use of antiplatelets. Males showed more favourable 3-month functional independence than females; however, this sex difference was apparently not explained by a sex-specific mechanism related to preadmission use of antiplatelets.

Intravenous thrombolysis in acute ischemic stroke after antagonization of unfractionated heparin with protamine: case series and systematic review of literature

Background and aims

Intravenous thrombolysis (IVT) is standard of care for disabling acute ischemic stroke (AIS) within a time window of ⩽ 4.5 h. Some AIS patients cannot be treated with IVT due to limiting contraindications, including heparin usage in an anticoagulating dose within the past 24 h or an elevated activated prothrombin time (aPTT) > 15 s. Protamine is a potent antidote to unfractionated heparin.

Objectives

The objective of this study was to investigate the safety and efficacy of IVT in AIS patients after antagonization of unfractionated heparin with protamine.

Methods

Patients from our stroke center (between January 2015 and September 2021) treated with IVT after heparin antagonization with protamine were analyzed. National Institutes of Health Stroke Scale (NIHSS) was used for stroke severity and modified Rankin Scale (mRS) for outcome assessment. Substantial neurological improvement was defined as the difference between admission and discharge NIHSS of ⩾8 or discharge NIHSS of ⩽1. Good outcome at follow-up after 3 months was defined as mRS 0-2. Safety data were obtained for mortality, symptomatic intracerebral hemorrhage (sICH), and for adverse events due to protamine. Second, a systematic review was performed searching PubMed and Scopus for studies and case reviews presenting AIS patients treated with IVT after heparin antagonization with protamine. The search was limited from January 1, 2011 to September 29, 2021. Furthermore, we conducted a propensity score matching comparing protamine-treated patients to a control IVT group without protamine (ratio 2:1, match tolerance 0.2).

Results

A total of 16 patients, 5 treated in our hospital and 11 from literature, [65.2 ± 13.1 years, 37.5% female, median premorbid mRS (pmRS) 1 (IQR 1, 4)] treated with IVT after heparin antagonization using protamine were included and compared to 31 IVT patients [76.2 ± 10.9 years, 45% female, median pmRS 1 (IQR 0, 2)]. Substantial neurological improvement was evident in 68.8% of protamine-treated patients versus 38.7% of control patients (p = 0.028). Good clinical outcome at follow-up was observed in 56.3% versus 58.1% of patients (p = 0.576). No adverse events due to protamine were reported, one patient suffered sICH after secondary endovascular thrombectomy of large vessel occlusion. Mortality was 6.3% versus 22.6% (p = 0.236).

Conclusion

IVT after heparin antagonization with protamine seems to be safe and, prospectively, may extend the number of AIS patients who can benefit from reperfusion treatment using IVT. Further prospective registry trials would be helpful to further investigate the clinical applicability of heparin antagonization.

Reliability of the modified Rankin Scale in clinical practice of stroke units and rehabilitation wards

Introduction

The Modified Rankin Scale (mRS) is the most common tool to quantify post-stroke disability in everyday practice and by certified raters in clinical trials. However, interobserver variability may affect reliability of retrospective observational studies, including clinical registries. Our aim was to assess real-life consistency between neurologists and physical and rehabilitation medicine physicians using mRS to rate post-stroke disability of patients transferred directly from stroke unit (SU) to rehabilitation ward (RW).

Methods

This is a retrospective analysis of 132 consecutive acute stroke patients transferred from single tertiary SU to RW located in the same hospital in Poland. Patients were assessed by one rater from each department at the day of transfer. We distinguished between physicians previously certified in using mRS for clinical trials and not-certified physicians using mRS in everyday practice.

Results

mRS at discharge from SU and on admission to RW was recorded for 105 of 132 patients. The overall agreement was 70.5% (kappa 0.55). Similar agreement was observed in the subset of 30 patients rated by certified physicians in both departments (70.0%, kappa 0.57) and in the subset of 61 patients rated by a pair of certified neurologist and not-certified rehabilitation physician (73.8%, kappa 0.58).

Conclusions

Everyday consistency between raters from SU and RW in using mRS is modest as in previous validation studies. However, it may be considered sufficient for the purpose of observational studies or stroke registries. It emphasizes the need for easily accessible training in conventional mRS or implementation of specialized tools with predefined questions.

Divergence and Convergence of Sex-Specific Time Trends in Ischemic Stroke: 10-Year Analysis of a State-Wide Registry in Germany

Background The incidence of ischemic stroke was previously expected to rise among countries with an aging population. Lately, several studies from developed countries have reported a decline in certain cohorts. Whether this applies to all sexes, however, is uncertain, with limited data on the temporal development in incidence, treatment, and recovery. Methods and Results We analyzed a prospective stroke inpatient quality-assurance registry of the federal state of Hesse, Germany. Recruitment of all patients with a final diagnosis of ischemic stroke at hospital discharge (International Classification of Diseases, Tenth Revision [ICD-10]: I63) is mandatory by law. Incidence rates were calculated based on census data of all inhabitants and stratified according to age. Between 2010 and 2019, there were 141 277 patients included, 73 770 (52.2%) male patients and 67 507 (47.8%) female patients. Overall, the incidence of ischemic stroke was 228 per 100 000 in 2010 and 226 per 100 000 in 2019 (-0.8%; odds ratio [OR], 0.99 [95% CI, 0.96-1.02]; P=0.50). For male patients, the incidence increased continuously from 236 per 100 000 to 245 per 100 000 (+3.8%); in female patients it decreased from 220 per 100 000 to 208 per 100 000 (-5.6%). After adjusting for age, the OR for ischemic stroke between male and female patients was 1.40 in 2010 (95% CI, 1.35-1.44; P<0.001) and 1.48 in 2019 (95% CI, 1.43-1.53; P<0.001). This development was most pronounced in male patients aged 45 to 59 years with an increase from 151 per 100 000 to 176 per 100 000. In this age group, male patients showed increasing rates of prior strokes and atrial fibrillation, surpassing the prevalence in female patients over time. After multivariable regression analysis, male patients had a lower modified Rankin Scale at discharge compared with female patients, but this difference has decreased since 2015 (common OR in 2010, 0.83 [95% CI, 0.78-0.88]; common OR in 2019, 0.90 [95% CI, 0.84-0.95]), which coincided with rising rates of endovascular treatment. Conclusions Over the past decade in the federal state of Hesse, the overall incidence of ischemic stroke has declined predominantly in the female population. In contrast, for male patients, the incidence has risen by about 4%, with a steeper increase of 16% in male patients aged 45 to 59 years, which might be related to increasing rates of recurrent strokes and atrial fibrillation in this cohort. This finding provides a cautionary tale for effective secondary prevention. Female patients were generally less likely to achieve a favorable outcome, but since the introduction of endovascular treatment, the outcome gap is decreasing.

Clinical Characteristics and Prognostic Factors of Non-Infectious Cerebral Venous Sinus Thrombosis

Non-infectious cerebral venous thrombosis (CVT) is an uncommon type of cerebrovascular disease that usually affects young patients. It occurs frequently in female patients, probably due to the association of sex-specific risk factors for coagulopathies. Currently, the prognostic factors of CVT remain unclear. We retrospectively reviewed the clinical characteristics among 260 CVT patients, including 147 females and 113 males. A favorable clinical outcome was defined by the scores of the modified Rankin Scale (mRS) ≤ 2 at hospital discharge, while a poor clinical outcome was defined by an mRS score of 3 to 6. A headache (28.5%) was the most frequent presentation. The most commonly affected sinus was the transverse-sigmoid sinus (59.6%). Most of the cases (78.5%) were treated with anticoagulants. One hundred and fifty-seven patients (60.4%) were discharged with favorable clinical outcomes. Consciousness disturbance (odds ratio: 5.01, p < 0.001) was associated with a poor clinical outcome. Patients with poor clinical outcomes demonstrated higher D-dimer levels on admission (4137.76 ± 3317.07 vs. 2476.74 ± 2330.87 ng/mL FEU, p = 0.029) and longer hospitalization days (31.81 ± 26.29 vs. 13.96 ± 8.82 days, p < 0.001) compared with favorable clinical outcomes. These findings provide important information of clinical characteristics and prognosis for CVT. Aggressive monitoring and treatment should be considered in CVT patients with poor prognostic factors.

Eloquence-based reperfusion scoring and its ability to predict post-thrombectomy disability and functional status

BACKGROUND

Angiographic reperfusion after endovascular thrombectomy in acute ischemic stroke is commonly graded using volume-based reperfusion scores such as the modified thrombolysis in cerebral infarct score. The location of non-reperfused regions is not included in modified thrombolysis in cerebral infarct score. We studied the predictive ability of an eloquence-based reperfusion score.

METHODS

Consecutive cases of endovascular thrombectomy for anterior circulation strokes performed between January 2018 and April 2020 were included. Digital subtraction angiograms were reviewed by two blinded neurointerventionalist operators. Incomplete reperfusion was further classified by lobar regions lacking reperfusion to create various cohorts. Outcomes were graded four to seven days post-procedure with the National Institute of Health Stroke Scale (NIHSS) and 90 days post-procedure with the modified Rankin Scale.

RESULTS

One hundred patients were identified. Via multivariate analysis, we found that frontal lobe non-reperfusion (mean difference (MD) = -1.60, p = 0.002) and occipital lobe non-reperfusion (MD = -1.68, p = 0.001) were associated with worse mental status improvement while left-sided stroke (MD = 2.02, p < 0.001) featured better improvement post-thrombectomy. Occipital lobe non-reperfusion (MD = -0.734, p = 0.009) was associated with the worse improvement of visual fields. The non-reperfusion of the frontal lobe was associated with a 1.732-worse NIHSS hemibody strength score (95% confidence interval (95%CI) = -3.39 to -0.072, p = 0.041). Worse improvement in NIHSS scores was found to be associated with frontal lobe non-reperfusion (MD = -5.34, 95%CI = -9.52 to -1.18, p = 0.013) and occipital lobe non-reperfusion (MD = -6.35, 95%CI = -10.4 to -2.31, p = 0.002). Odds of achieving modified Rankin Scale of 0-2 at 90 days were decreased with frontal lobe non-reperfusion (odds ratio (OR) = 0.279, 95%CI = 0.090-0.869, p = 0.028) and left laterality (OR = 0.376, 95%CI = 0.153-0.922, p = 0.033).

CONCLUSIONS

Eloquence-based reperfusion assessment is an important predictor for functional outcomes after thrombectomy.

Plasma Human Cartilage Glycoprotein‐39 Is Associated With the Prognosis of Acute Ischemic Stroke

Background

To evaluate the prognostic value of plasma YKL‐40 (human cartilage glycoprotein‐39) for acute ischemic stroke.

Methods and Results

We measured plasma YKL‐40 levels in 3377 participants from CATIS (China Antihypertensive Trial in Acute Ischemic Stroke). Study outcome data on death, major disability (modified Rankin Scale score ≥3), and vascular diseases were collected at 3 months after stroke onset. The primary outcome was defined as a combination of death and major disability. During the 3‐month follow‐up, 828 participants (24.5%) experienced major disability or died. After multivariate adjustment, the highest YKL‐40 quartile was associated with an increased risk of the primary outcome (odds ratio, 1.426 [95% CI, 1.105–1.839]; P trend =0.01) compared with the lowest quartile. Each SD increase in log‐transformed YKL‐40 level was associated with a 15.5% (95% CI, 5.6–26.3%) increased risk of the primary outcome. The multivariable‐adjusted spline regression models showed a linear dose–response relationship between YKL‐40 and clinical outcomes. Adding YKL‐40 to a model containing conventional risk factors significantly improved the reclassification power for the primary outcome (net reclassification improvement: 15.61%, P <0.001; integrated discrimination index: 0.37%, P =0.004) and marginally significantly improved the discriminatory power for the primary outcome (area under the receiver operating characteristic curve improved by 0.003, P =0.099).

Conclusions

A higher YKL‐40 level in the acute phase of ischemic stroke was associated with an increased risk of mortality and major disability at 3 months after stroke, indicating that YKL‐40 may play an important role as a prognostic marker of ischemic stroke.

Registration

URL: https://www.clinicaltrials.gov ; Unique identifier: NCT01840072.

Endovascular treatment for ischemic stroke with the drip-and-ship model—Insights from the German Stroke Registry

Background

Endovascular therapy (EVT) in acute ischemic stroke has been widely established. Globally, stroke patients are transferred either directly to a thrombectomy center (DC) or a peripheral stroke unit with a “drip-and-ship” (DS) model. We aimed to determine differences between the DS and DC paradigms after EVT of acute stroke patients with large-vessel-occlusion (LVO) in the database of the German Stroke Registry (GSR).

Methods

We performed a retrospective analysis of GSR patients between June 2015 and December 2019 in 23 German centers. Primary outcome was an ordinal shift analysis of modified Rankin Scale (mRS) 90 days after index event. Secondary endpoints included time from symptom onset to recanalization and complications. Tertiary endpoint was the association of imaging strategies in DS admissions with outcome.

Results

2,813 patients were included in the DS and 3,819 in the DC group. After propensity score matching mRS after 90 days was higher in DS than DC admissions (OR 1.26; 95%-CI 1.13–1.40). Time from symptom-onset to flow-restoration was shorter in DC than DS (median 199.0 vs. 298.0 min; p < 0.001). DS patients undergoing magnetic resonance imaging (MRI; n=183) before EVT had a lower 90-day mRS than without (n = 944) (OR 0.63; 95%-CI 0.45–0.88). ASPECTS assessed on MRI correlated with 90-day mRS (ρ = −0.326; p < 0.001).

Conclusions

Clinical outcome was worse for EVT-eligible patients in the DS setting, even though patients were in a better state of health prior to stroke. A potentially mutable factor was the time delay of 99 min from symptom-onset to successful recanalization. Performing MRI before thrombectomy was associated with good outcome and MRI-ASPECTS was negatively correlated with mRS after 90 days.

Repeated Measures of Modified Rankin Scale Scores to Assess Functional Recovery From Stroke: AFFINITY Study Findings

Background

Function after acute stroke using the modified Rankin Scale (mRS) is usually assessed at a point in time. The analytical implications of serial mRS measurements to evaluate functional recovery over time is not completely understood. We compare repeated‐measures and single‐measure analyses of the mRS from a randomized clinical trial.

Methods and Results

Serial mRS data from AFFINITY (Assessment of Fluoxetine in Stroke Recovery), a double‐blind placebo randomized clinical trial of fluoxetine following stroke (n=1280) were analyzed to identify demographic and clinical associations with functional recovery (reduction in mRS) over 12 months. Associations were identified using single‐measure (day 365) and repeated‐measures (days 28, 90, 180, and 365) partial proportional odds logistic regression. Ninety‐five percent of participants experienced a reduction in mRS after 12 months. Functional recovery was associated with age at stroke <70 years; no prestroke history of diabetes, coronary heart disease, or ischemic stroke; prestroke history of depression, a relationship partner, living with others, independence, or paid employment; no fluoxetine intervention; ischemic stroke (compared with hemorrhagic); stroke treatment in Vietnam (compared with Australia or New Zealand); longer time since current stroke; and lower baseline National Institutes of Health Stroke Scale & Patient Health Questionnaire‐9 scores. Direction of associations was largely concordant between single‐measure and repeated‐measures models. Association strength and variance was generally smaller in the repeated‐measures model compared with the single‐measure model.

Conclusions

Repeated‐measures may improve trial precision in identifying trial associations and effects. Further repeated‐measures stroke analyses are required to prove methodological value.

Registration

URL: http://www.anzctr.org.au; Unique identifier: ACTRN12611000774921.

Efficacy and safety of reperfusion treatments in middle-old and oldest-old stroke patients

Introduction

Intravenous thrombolysis (IT) and mechanical thrombectomy (MT) have significantly changed the clinical outcome of acute ischaemic stroke (AIS). Concerns about possible complications often reduce the use of these treatment options for older patients, preferentially managed with antiplatelet therapy (AT). Aim of this study was to evaluate, in a population of middle-old (75–84 years) and oldest-old (≥ 85 years) subjects, the efficacy and safety of different treatments for AIS (IT, IT + MT, MT or AT), mortality and incidence of serious complications.

Patients and methods

All patients aged over 75 years admitted for AIS in two Stroke Units were enrolled. The physician in each case considered all treatment options and chose the best approach. NIHSS and modified Rankin Scale (mRS) were obtained and differences between admission and discharge scores, defined as delta(NIHSS) and delta(mRS), were calculated. The relationship between delta(NIHSS), delta(mRS) and type of procedure was analysed with a GLM/Multivariate model. Differences in mortality and incidence of serious complications were analysed with the chi-square test.

Results

A total of 273 patients, mean age 84.07 (± 5.47) years, were included. The Delta(NIHSS) was significantly lower in patients treated with AT than in those treated with IT and MT (p < 0.009 and p < 0.005, respectively). Haemorrhagic infarction occurrence was significantly lower (p < 0.0001) among patients treated with AT (10.6%) or IT (16.7%) compared to MT (34.9%) or MT + IT (37.0%). No significant difference was observed for in-hospital mortality. Age did not influence the outcome.

Conclusions

Our results suggest that IT and AT are effective and relatively safe approaches in middle-aged and older patients.

Digital Health-Enabled Clinical Trials in Stroke: Ready for Prime Time?

As stroke continues to represent a major global health care problem, advancing our knowledge of new effective and safe stroke interventions represents a public health priority. The identification of these therapies requires the conduct of high-quality and well-powered randomized clinical trials. Despite its potential to inform clinical practice, traditional randomized clinical trial models have their drawbacks, including elevated costs, long completion times, failure to recruit the target sample sizes, lack of diversity, and complex operational procedures. Therefore, improving the participants' experience and trials' overall efficiency constitutes an important unmet need. Innovative models such as virtual and decentralized patient-centric trials have been proposed as a valuable strategy in this pursuit. In this narrative review, we discuss the limitations of traditional randomized clinical trial models and present the concept, advantages, and challenges of decentralized digitally enabled approaches to the conduct of stroke clinical trials.

Plasma Thrombomodulin Levels and Ischemic Stroke: A Population-Based Prognostic Cohort Study

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVES

Thrombomodulin has been suggested to be implicated in ischemic stroke due to its anticoagulant, anti-inflammatory, and cytoprotective properties. We aimed to investigate the associations of plasma thrombomodulin levels with clinical outcomes after ischemic stroke in a multicenter prognostic cohort study.

METHODS

Our multicenter prognostic cohort study included 3532 Chinese ischemic stroke patients from the China Antihypertensive Trial in Acute Ischemic Stroke (CATIS). All patients were followed up at 3 months after ischemic stroke onset. The primary outcome was the composite outcome of death and major disability (modified Rankin scale [mRS] score ≥3) at 3 months after ischemic stroke. Secondary outcomes included major disability (mRS score, 3-5), vascular events, and the ordered 7-level categorical score of the mRS.

RESULTS

During 3 months of follow-up, 867 participants experienced primary outcome. After multivariate adjustment, the adjusted odds ratios or hazard ratios associated with highest quartile of plasma thrombomodulin were 0.75 (95% CI, 0.59-0.97; p _trend=0.029) for primary outcome, 0.73 (95% CI, 0.56-0.94; p _trend=0.028) for major disability, and 0.80 (95% CI, 0.42-1.51; p _trend=0.232) for vascular events. In addition, a significantly better shift in the distribution of mRS score was observed with higher thrombomodulin quartiles (p _trend=0.005). Multivariable-adjusted spline regression model showed a linear relationship between plasma thrombomodulin and the risk of primary outcome (p for linearity=0.027). Subgroup analyses further confirmed these associations.

DISCUSSION

Increased plasma thrombomodulin levels at baseline were associated with decreased risks of adverse clinical outcomes at 3 months after ischemic stroke, suggesting a protective role of thrombomodulin in the development of ischemic stroke. Further studies from various populations are needed to replicate our findings.

Association of Modified Rankin Scale With Recovery Phenotypes in Patients With Upper Extremity Weakness After Stroke

BACKGROUND

Precise measurement of outcomes is essential for stroke trials and clinical care. Prior research has highlighted conceptual differences between global outcome measures such as the Modified Rankin Scale (mRS) and domain-specific measures (e.g. motor, sensory, language or cognitive function). This study related motor phenotypes to the mRS, specifically aiming to (1) determine whether mRS levels distinguish motor impairment and function phenotypes, and (2) compare mRS outcomes to meaningful changes in impairment and function from acute to subacute recovery after stroke.

METHODS

Patients with upper extremity weakness after ischemic stroke were assessed with a battery of impairment and functional measures within the first week and at 90-days post-stroke. Impairment and functional outcomes were examined in relation to 90-day mRS scores. Clinically meaningful changes in motor impairment, activities of daily living, and mobility were examined in relation to 90-day mRS.

RESULTS

In this cohort of n = 73 stroke patients, impairment and functional outcomes were associated with 90-day mRS scores but showed substantial variability within individual mRS levels: within mRS level 2, upper extremity impairment ranged from near hemiplegia (with an upper extremity Fugl-Meyer 8) to no deficits (upper extremity Fugl-Meyer 66). Overall, there were few differences in impairment and functional outcomes between adjacent mRS levels. While some outcome measures were significantly different between mRS levels 3 and 4 (Nine-Hole Peg, Leg Motor, Gait Velocity, Timed Up and Go, National Institutes of Health Stroke Scale, and Barthel Index), none of the outcome measures differed between mRS levels 1 and 2. Fugl-Meyer and Grip Strength were not different between any adjacent mRS levels. A substantial number of patients experienced clinically meaningful changes in impairment and function in the first 90 days post-stroke but did not achieve good mRS outcome (mRS ≤ 2).

CONCLUSIONS

The mRS broadly relates to domain-specific outcomes after stroke confirming its established value in stroke trials, but it does not precisely distinguish differences in impairment and function nor does it sufficiently capture meaningful clinical changes across impairment, ADL status, and mobility. These findings underscore the potential utility of incorporating detailed phenotypic measures alongside the mRS in future stroke trials.

Association of serum growth differentiation factor-15 levels with the risks of death and vascular events in patients with ischemic stroke: The role of diabetes

BACKGROUND AND AIMS

Researchers have not determined whether the association between growth differentiation factor-15 (GDF-15) levels and stroke outcomes is modified by the diabetes status. We aimed to evaluate the prognostic value of GDF-15 among patients with ischemic stroke stratified by diabetes.

METHODS AND RESULTS

A total of 3001 patients with ischemic stroke were selected from the China Antihypertensive Trial in Acute Ischemic Stroke (CATIS) and included in this study. The primary outcome was a composite outcome of death and vascular events at 3 months after acute ischemic stroke. An elevated GDF-15 level was significantly associated with the primary outcome in patients with diabetes but not in those without diabetes (p_interaction = 0.038). The multivariate-adjusted hazard ratio (95% confidence intervals) for the primary outcome was 3.33 (1.07-10.35) when 2 extreme tertiles were compared, and a linear association between GDF-15 levels and the primary outcome was observed in patients with diabetes (p for linearity = 0.046). The addition of serum GDF-15 to conventional risk factors improved the risk prediction for the primary outcome in patients with diabetes (net reclassification improvement: 31.98%, p = 0.043; integrated discrimination index: 0.85%, p = 0.034) but not in those without diabetes.

CONCLUSIONS

A modifying effect of the diabetes status on the association between serum GDF-15 levels and ischemic stroke prognosis was observed. Elevated serum GDF-15 levels were associated with the primary outcome within 3 months after ischemic stroke in patients with diabetes, suggesting that GDF-15 may be an important prognostic factor for ischemic stroke in patients with diabetes.

Combined Approach to Eptifibatide and Thrombectomy in Acute Ischemic Stroke Because of Large Vessel Occlusion: A Matched-Control Analysis

BACKGROUND

In patients undergoing mechanical thrombectomy (MT), adjunctive antithrombotic might improve angiographic reperfusion, reduce the risk of distal emboli and reocclusion but possibly expose patients to a higher intracranial hemorrhage risk. This study evaluated the safety and efficacy of combined MT plus eptifibatide for acute ischemic stroke.

METHODS

This was a propensity-matched analysis of data from 2 prospective trials in Chinese populations: the ANGEL-ACT trial (Endovascular Treatment Key Technique and Emergency Workflow Improvement of Acute Ischemic Stroke) in 111 hospitals between November 2017 and March 2019, and the EPOCH trial (Eptifibatide in Endovascular Treatment of Acute Ischemic Stroke) in 15 hospitals between April 2019 and March 2020. The primary efficacy outcome was good outcome (modified Rankin Scale score 0-2) at 3 months. Secondary efficacy outcomes included the distribution of 3-month modified Rankin Scale scores and poor outcome (modified Rankin Scale score 5-6) and successful recanalization. The safety outcomes included any intracranial hemorrhage, symptomatic intracranial hemorrhage, and 3-month mortality. Mixed-effects logistic regression models were used to account for within-hospital clustering in adjusted analyses.

RESULTS

Eighty-one combination arm EPOCH subjects were matched with 81 ANGEL-ACT noneptifibatide patients. Compared with the no eptifibatide group, the eptifibatide group had significantly higher rates of successful recanalization (91.3% versus 81.5%; P=0.043) and 3-month good outcomes (53.1% versus 33.3%; P=0.016). No significant difference was found in the remaining outcome measures between the 2 groups. All outcome measures of propensity score matching were consistent with mixed-effects logistic regression models in the total population.

CONCLUSIONS

This matched-control study demonstrated that MT combined with eptifibatide did not raise major safety concerns and showed a trend of better efficacy outcomes compared with MT alone. Overall, eptifibatide shows potential as a periprocedural adjunctive antithrombotic therapy when combined with MT. Further randomized controlled trials of MT plus eptifibatide should be prioritized.

REGISTRATION

URL: https://www.clinicaltrials.gov; Unique identifier: NCT03844594 (EPOCH), NCT03370939 (ANGEL-ACT).

Home-Based Therapy After Stroke Using the Hand Spring Operated Movement Enhancer (HandSOME II)

We have developed a passive and lightweight wearable hand exoskeleton (HandSOME II) that improves range of motion and functional task practice in laboratory testing. For this longitudinal study, we recruited 15 individuals with chronic stroke and asked them to use the device at home for 1.5 h per weekday for 8 weeks. Subjects visited the clinic once per week to report progress and troubleshoot problems. Subjects were then given the HandSOME II for the next 3 months, and asked to continue to use it, but without any scheduled contact with the project team. Clinical evaluations and biomechanical testing was performed before and after the 8 week intervention and at the 3 month followup. EEG measures were taken before and after the 8 weeks of training to examine any recovery associated brain reorganization. Ten subjects completed the study. After 8 weeks of training, functional ability (Action Research Arm Test), flexor tone (Modified Ashworth Test), and real world use of the impaired limb (Motor Activity Log) improved significantly (p < 0.05). Gains in real world use were retained at the 3-month followup (p = 0.005). At both post-training and followup time points, biomechanical testing found significant gains in finger ROM and hand displacement in a reaching task (p < 0.05). Baseline functional connectivity correlated with gains in motor function, while changes in EEG functional connectivity paralleled changes in motor recovery. HandSOME II is a low-cost, home-based intervention that elicits brain plasticity and can improve functional motor outcomes in the chronic stroke population.

Using the Barthel Index and modified Rankin Scale as Outcome Measures for Stroke Rehabilitation Trials; A Comparison of Minimum Sample Size Requirements

OBJECTIVES

Underpowered trials risk inaccurate results. Recruitment to stroke rehabilitation randomised controlled trials (RCTs) is often a challenge. Statistical simulations offer an important opportunity to explore the adequacy of sample sizes in the context of specific outcome measures. We aimed to examine and compare the adequacy of stroke rehabilitation RCT sample sizes using the Barthel Index (BI) or modified Rankin Scale (mRS) as primary outcomes.

METHODS

We conducted computer simulations using typical experimental event rates (EER) and control event rates (CER) based on individual participant data (IPD) from stroke rehabilitation RCTs. Event rates are the proportion of participants who experienced clinically relevant improvements in the RCT experimental and control groups. We examined minimum sample size requirements and estimated the number of participants required to achieve a number needed to treat within clinically acceptable boundaries for the BI and mRS.

RESULTS

We secured 2350 IPD (18 RCTs). For a 90% chance of statistical accuracy on the BI a rehabilitation RCT would require 273 participants per randomised group. Accurate interpretation of effect sizes would require 1000s of participants per group. Simulations for the mRS were not possible as a clinically relevant improvement was not detected when using this outcome measure.

CONCLUSIONS

Stroke rehabilitation RCTs with large sample sizes are required for accurate interpretation of effect sizes based on the BI. The mRS lacked sensitivity to detect change and thus may be unsuitable as a primary outcome in stroke rehabilitation trials.

Clusters Across Multiple Domains of Health-Related Quality of Life Reveal Complex Patient Outcomes After Subarachnoid Hemorrhage

Supplemental Digital Content is available in the text.

Patients with aneurysmal subarachnoid hemorrhage (ruptured brain aneurysm) often have reduced health-related quality of life at follow-up in multiple domains (e.g., cognitive function and social function). We tested the hypothesis that there are distinct patterns of patient outcomes across domains of health-related quality of life, “complex patient outcomes,” in survivors of subarachnoid hemorrhage.

Association between annual household income and adverse outcomes in patients who had ischaemic stroke

BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE

The association between annual household income and prognosis of ischaemic stroke remains debatable. We aimed to prospectively investigate the relationship between annual household income and prognosis at 3 months after ischaemic stroke.

METHODS

We included 3975 participants from the China Antihypertensive Trial in Acute Ischemic Stroke. All participants were categorised into three groups according to annual household income per capita: <¥10 000 (Chinese Yuan Renminbi (RMB)), ¥10 000-19 999 and ≥¥20 000. The primary outcome was a composite outcome of death and major disability (modified Rankin Scale score ≥3) at 3 months after stroke onset, and secondary outcomes included major disability, death, and vascular events. A meta-analysis was conducted to incorporate the results of the current study and previous studies on the association of income level with outcomes after stroke.

RESULTS

Within 3 months after ischaemic stroke, 1002 participants (25.20%) experienced primary outcome (880 major disabilities and 122 deaths). After multivariate adjustment, low annual household income level was associated with increased risk of the primary outcome (OR 1.60; 95% CI: 1.12 to 2.31; P_trend=0.034) when two extreme groups were compared. The meta-analysis confirmed the significant association between income level and death or major disability after stroke (pooled relative risk for lowest vs highest income level, 1.31 (95% CI: 1.18 to 1.45)).

CONCLUSIONS

Low annual household income per capita was significantly associated with increased risks of adverse clinical outcomes at 3 months after ischaemic stroke, independently of established risk factors. Further studies from other samples are needed to replicate our findings due to a reason for excluding some patients who had a severe stroke in this study.

TRIAL REGISTRATION NUMBER

ClinicalTrials.gov (http://wwwclinicaltrialsgov) Registry (NCT01840072).

Cerebroprotection for Acute Ischemic Stroke: Looking Ahead

We search for ischemic stroke treatment knowing we have failed-intensely and often-to translate mechanistic knowledge into treatments that alleviate our patients' functional impairments. Lessons can be derived from our shared failures that may point to new directions and new strategies. First, the principle criticisms of both preclinical and clinical assessments are summarized. Next, previous efforts to develop single-mechanism treatments are reviewed. Finally, new definitions, novel approaches, and different directions are presented. In previous development efforts, the basic science and preclinical assessment of candidate treatments often lacked rigor and sufficiency; the clinical trials may have lacked power, rigor, or rectitude; or most likely both preclinical and clinical investigations were flawed. Single-target agents directed against specific molecular mechanisms proved unsuccessful. The term neuroprotection should be replaced as it has become ambiguous: protection of the entire neurovascular unit may be called cerebral cytoprotection or cerebroprotection. Success in developing cerebroprotection-either as an adjunct to recanalization or as stand-alone treatment-will require new definitions that recognize the importance of differential vulnerability in the neurovascular unit. Recent focus on pleiotropic multi-target agents that act via multiple mechanisms of action to interrupt ischemia at multiple steps may be more fruitful. Examples of pleiotropic treatments include therapeutic hypothermia and 3K3A-APC (activated protein C). Alternatively, the single-target drug NA-1 triggers multiple downstream signaling events. Renewed commitment to scientific rigor is essential, and funding agencies and journals may enforce quality principles of rigor in preclinical science. Appropriate animal models should be selected that are suited to the purpose of the investigation. Before clinical trials, preclinical assessment could include subjects that are aged, of both sexes, and harbor comorbid conditions such as diabetes or hypertension. With these new definitions, novel approaches, and renewed attention to rigor, the prospect for successful cerebroprotective therapy should improve.

Standardized Nomenclature for Modified Rankin Scale Global Disability Outcomes: Consensus Recommendations From Stroke Therapy Academic Industry Roundtable XI

The modified Rankin Scale (mRS), a 7-level, clinician-reported, measure of global disability, is the most widely employed outcome scale in acute stroke trials. The scale's original development preceded the advent of modern clinimetrics, but substantial subsequent work has been performed to enable the mRS to meet robust contemporary scale standards. Prior research and consensus recommendations have focused on modernizing 2 aspects of the mRS: operationalized assignment of scale scores and statistical analysis of scale distributions. Another important characteristic of the mRS still requiring elaboration and specification to contemporary clinimetric standards is the Naming of scale outcomes. Recent clinical trials have used a bewildering variety, often mutually contradictory, of rubrics to describe scale states. Understanding of the meaning of mRS outcomes by clinicians, patients, and other clinical trial stakeholders would be greatly enhanced by use of a harmonized, uniform set of labels for the distinctive mRS outcomes that would be used consistently across trials. This statement advances such recommended rubrics, developed by the Stroke Therapy Academic Industry Roundtable collaboration using an iterative, mixed-methods process. Specific guidance is provided for health state terms (eg, Symptomatic but Nondisabled for mRS score 1; requires constant care for mRS score 5) and valence terms (eg, excellent for mRS score 1; very poor for mRS score 5) to employ for 23 distinct numeric mRS outcomes, including: all individual 7 mRS levels; all 12 positive and negative dichotomized mRS ranges, positive and negative sliding dichotomies; and utility-weighted analysis of the mRS.