Association of liver stiffness and cardiovascular outcomes in patients with heart failure: A systematic review and meta-analysis

Risk-Based Primary Prevention of Heart Failure: A Scientific Statement From the American Heart Association

The growing morbidity, mortality, and health care costs related to heart failure (HF) underscore the urgent need to prioritize its primary prevention. Whereas a risk-based approach for HF prevention remains in its infancy, several key opportunities exist to actualize this paradigm in clinical practice. First, the 2022 American Heart Association/American College of Cardiology/Heart Failure Society of America HF guidelines provided recommendations, for the first time, on the clinical utility of multivariable risk equations to estimate risk of incident HF. Second, the American Heart Association recently developed the PREVENT (Predicting Risk of Cardiovascular Disease Events) equations, which not only enable prediction of incident HF separately, but also include HF in the prediction of total cardiovascular disease. Third, the predominant phenotype of HF risk has emerged as the cardiovascular-kidney-metabolic syndrome. Fourth, the emergence of novel therapies that prevent incident HF (eg, sodium-glucose cotransporter-2 inhibitors) and target multiple cardiovascular-kidney-metabolic axes demonstrate growing potential for risk-based interventions. Whereas the concept of risk-based prevention has been established for decades, it has only been operationalized for atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease prevention to date. Translating these opportunities into a conceptual framework of risk-based primary prevention of HF requires implementation of PREVENT-HF (Predicting Risk of Cardiovascular Disease Events-Heart Failure) equations, targeted use of cardiac biomarkers (eg, natriuretic peptides) and echocardiography for risk reclassification and earlier detection of pre-HF, and definition of therapy-specific risk thresholds that incorporate net benefit and cost-effectiveness. This scientific statement reviews the current evidence for accurate risk prediction, defines strategies for equitable prevention, and proposes potential strategies for the successful implementation of risk-based primary prevention of HF.

Prognostic value of liver fibrosis scores in ambulatory patients with heart failure

OBJECTIVES

To investigate the association of four liver fibrosis scores - Fibrosis-4 (FIB-4), AST/ALT ratio, AST-to-platelet ratio index (APRI) and Gamma-glutamyl transferase-to-platelet ratio index (GPRI) - and clinical outcomes in ambulatory patients with heart failure (HF).

METHODS

We conducted a retrospective study involving 2379 patients with HF referred to a specialized clinic from January 2010 to June 2022. We used multivariable Cox´s regression models to study the association between liver fibrosis scores and long-term clinical outcomes (all-cause death and the combined endpoints all-cause death or HF hospitalization and cardiovascular death or heart transplantation). Areas under receiver-operator curves were used to evaluate the discriminative capacity of each score for predicting 1-year clinical outcomes, as well as to analyze their incremental predictive value in addition to the broadly validated MAGGIC risk score.

RESULTS

Median follow up was 1568 days. GPRI was identified as an independent predictor of all-cause death or HF hospitalization (HR 1.12, 95% CI 1.07-1.18), all-cause death (HR 1.14, 95% CI 1.08-1.20) and cardiovascular death or heart transplantation (HR 1.10, 95% CI 1.03-1.17). FIB-4 and AST/ALT ratios were also independently associated with all-cause mortality. According to receiver-operator curve analyses, GPRI showed the best discriminative capacity among the four liver fibrosis scores evaluated in the study to predict 1-year clinical outcomes. The predictive value of GPRI was incremental to the one of the MAGGIC risk score.

CONCLUSIONS

Liver fibrosis scores are associated with long-term clinical outcomes in ambulatory patients with HF. In our study, the predictive capacity of GPRI outperformed the one of FIB-4, APRI and AST/ALT and was incremental to the one of the MAGGIC risk score.

Prognostic value of liver stiffness in patients hospitalized for acute decompensated heart failure: a meta-analysis

PURPOSE

Heart failure (HF) is a major health problem affecting millions of people worldwide. In the latest years, many efforts have been made to identify predictors of poor prognosis in these patients. The aim of this systematic review and meta-analysis was to enlighten the correlation between liver stiffness (LS), assessed by Shear Wave Elastography techniques, and HF, particularly focusing on the prognostic value of LS on cardiovascular outcomes.

METHODS

We searched the PUBMED databases (up to May 1st, 2023) for studies that enlightened the correlation between LS and cardiovascular outcomes in patients hospitalized for acute decompensated heart failure (ADHF). We performed a meta-analysis to estimate the efficacy of LS in predicting the prognosis of patients with ADHF.

RESULTS

We analyzed data from 7 studies, comprising 677 patients, that assessed the prognostic value of LS in predicting cardiovascular outcomes in patients hospitalized for ADHF. The pooled analysis showed that increased liver stiffness was associated with higher risk of adverse cardiac events (hazard ratio 1.07 [1.03, 1.12], 95% CI).

CONCLUSION

Increased LS is associated with poor prognosis in patients hospitalized for HF and might help effectively identify those patients at high risk for worse outcomes.

Liver stiffness is associated with all-cause mortality in patients with NAFLD: A systematic review and meta-analysis

BACKGROUND AND AIMS

Several studies reported an association between liver stiffness measurement (LSM) obtained through vibration-controlled transient elastography (VCTE) and all-cause mortality in patients with nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD). The objective of this systematic review and meta-analysis was to summarize available evidence on the nature and magnitude of this association.

METHODS

We systematically searched PubMed-MEDLINE and Scopus up to April 2023 for observational cohort studies in which LSM was measured with VCTE in patients with NAFLD or in general population settings, with a follow-up ≥1 year and with available data on all-cause mortality. Measures of association from individual studies were meta-analysed using random effects models. Of the 517 titles initially scrutinized, we included seven studies with data on 18 771 participants (47.1% male) and a mean follow-up of 3.6 years. We included effect estimates obtained in the models with the highest degree of adjustment for potential confounders available in each study.

RESULTS

When analysed as a categorical variable based on specific LSM cut-offs, liver fibrosis was associated with an increased risk of all-cause death (HR 2.10, 95% CI 1.56-2.83; test for overall effect z = 4.919, p < 0.001). Results were consistent when LSM was considered as a continuous variable (HR for 1 kPa increase: 1.03, 95% CI 1.01-1.05; test for overall effect z = 3.341, p = 0.001). There was borderline significant heterogeneity among the studies (I2  = 50.2% and I2  = 66.7% in the two analyses, respectively). No significant publication bias was detected by funnel plot analysis and Egger's and Begg's tests.

CONCLUSION

The present meta-analysis indicates that LSM, as a proxy of liver fibrosis, is independently and directly associated with a higher mortality risk in patients with NAFLD.

Liver stiffness is associated with excess mortality in the general population driven by heart failure: The Rotterdam Study

BACKGROUND

Elevated liver stiffness reflects hepatic fibrosis but can also be secondary to venous congestion. We aimed to study the association between liver stiffness and mortality in the general population, stratified for heart failure and/or coronary heart disease (CHD).

METHODS

We analysed individuals enrolled in the ongoing prospective population-based Rotterdam Study who attended a visit between 2009-2014 that included liver stiffness measurement. Exclusion criteria for the primary analysis were incomplete data on heart failure, unreliable liver stiffness, alcohol abuse and viral hepatitis, leaving 4.153 participants (aged 67.5 ± 8.4 years, 44.2% male) for analysis with a median follow-up of 6.0 (interquartile range: 5.1-7.0) years. Secondary analysis included participants with viral hepatitis, alcohol abuse and/or unreliable measurement. The association between liver stiffness and mortality was assessed using Cox regression. Associations between heart failure, CHD, and echocardiographic characteristics and liver stiffness were quantified with linear regression.

RESULTS

Liver stiffness ≥8.0 kPa was associated with mortality (aHR: 1.37, 95%CI: 1.00-1.89). However, this was driven by participants with heart failure (aHR: 2.48, 95%CI: 1.15-5.35), since high liver stiffness was not associated with mortality in participants without heart failure and/or CHD (aHR: 1.07, 95%CI: 0.70-1.64). Results were consistent when individuals with viral hepatitis, alcohol abuse or unreliable liver stiffness measurement were not excluded. Several cardiovascular characteristics were significantly associated with higher liver stiffness, e.g. heart failure, moderate/poor diastolic dysfunction, and right atrium diameter > 4.5 cm.

CONCLUSION

In our cohort of community-dwelling elderly, high liver stiffness was associated with excess mortality, primarily explained by participants with heart failure. Moreover, heart failure and its indicators were associated with increased liver stiffness.

Liver and heart failure: an ultrasound relationship

Liver and heart are anatomically and patho-physiologically related. In heart failure (HF) the increased right atrial pressure and volume overload cause histological changes in hepatocytes, leading to a condition known as "congestive hepatopathy" (CH), with consequent variations in liver functioning and ultrasound (US) findings. CH has specifical US findings especially regarding venous vessels aspect, easily detecting by gray-scale study, but many others can be distinguished by Doppler analysis. Usually, hepatic veins look enlarged and hypocollassing, together with signs of portal hypertension (hepatomegaly, ascites, splenomegaly, porto-systemic collaterals). Typically, in CH Doppler findings regard alterations in venous vessel flow and arterial resistance (venous system hyperpulsatility, reduced velocity flow, high resistance index in hepatic arterial Doppler spectrum). Sometimes CH and other primary hepatopathy can coexist, and therefore some of the expected variations may not manifest: it allows suspecting an unknown underlying liver disease. At last, US technologies of more recent applications, even if not routinely used, allow investigating additional aspects such as elastography that detects changes in liver elasticity or contrastographic US, able to show differences in hepatic venous opacification. However, most of these US signs are not pathognomonic, and therefore a multidisciplinary clinical reasoning must not be lacking. The aim of the present review is to easily provide US signs of liver alterations in HF, in particular right heart failure with volume overload, suggesting including liver US in instrumental diagnosis and therapeutic monitoring of HF.

The fibrosis-4 score is associated with long-term mortality in different phenotypes of acute heart failure

BACKGROUND

Fibrosis-4 score (FIB4) was a non-invasive surrogate to estimate the amount of liver scarring in chronic hepatitis. Considering the presence of increased central venous pressure and congestive hepatopathy in patients with decompensated heart failure, we therefore investigated the prognostic values of FIB4 in acute heart failure (AHF) patients.

METHOD

Patients hospitalised primarily for HF were drawn from an intramural registry. FIB4 was calculated according to age, aspartate aminotransferase, alanine aminotransferase and platelet count. All-cause mortality up to 5 years after discharge was obtained by linking to the national death registry.

RESULTS

Among a total of 1854 participants, 940 patients died during a mean follow-up of 28.3 ± 21.8 months. FIB4 score was related to mortality and the composite of cardiovascular death or HF rehospitalisation, independent of age, sex, left ventricular ejection fraction, left atrial dimension, sodium and haemoglobin levels, estimated glomerular filtration rate, comorbidities, and medications [hazard ratio and 95% confidence interval of mortality: 1.009 (1.002-1.015), and the composite of cardiovascular death or HF hospitalisation: 1.020 (1.010-1.031)]. The prognostic value of FIB4 was predominantly in the subjects with heart failure and preserved or mildly reduced ejection fraction (HFpEF and HFmrEF), or coronary artery disease (CAD) than the counterparts [interaction p-value <0.001, and 0.004, respectively].

CONCLUSIONS

FIB4 was an independent predictor of survival in AHF patients, irrespective of the phenotypes of HF. The higher predictive value of mortality of FIB4 was observed in the subjects with HFpEF, HFmrEF or CAD.

Fibroblast Growth Factor 21 Predicts Short-Term Prognosis in Patients With Acute Heart Failure: A Prospective Cohort Study

BACKGROUND

Recent studies of fibroblast growth factor 21 (FGF21), first recognized as a regulator of glucose and lipid metabolism, have found that the level of in serum FGF21 is associated with the prognosis of many cardiovascular diseases, but its relationship to acute heart failure (AHF) patients remains unknown. Our study aimed to investigate whether circulating FGF21 could predict the short-term prognosis of AHF patients.

METHODS

Four hundred and two AHF patients and 19 healthy controls were recruited into the prospective cohort study, and blood samples of participants were collected, in tubes without anticoagulant, within the first 24 h after hospital admission. Serum FGF21 levels were detected by enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay (ELISA). All patients were followed-up at least 6 months after discharge. The primary endpoint was all-cause death, and secondary endpoint was a composite endpoint of death and heart failure readmission. Mortality and composite end point events were analyzed using Kaplan-Meier curves. ROC curves compared the difference between the FGF21 and NT-proBNP in predicting 3- and 6-months mortality. Time-to-event data were evaluated using Kaplan-Meier estimation and Cox proportional hazards models.

RESULTS

In the present study, the serum FGF21 concentrations were significantly higher in the 402 AHF patients enrolled, compared with the 19 healthy controls (p < 0.001). The average age was 70 (±12) years, and 58% were males. Participants were divided into two groups according to the median FGF21 level (262 pg/ml): a high FGF21 group (n = 201, FGF21 ≥ 262 pg/ml) and low FGF21 group (n = 201, FGF21 <262 pg/ml). FGF21 was positively correlated with NT-proBNP, BUN, AST, creatinine and cholesterol, and negatively correlated with ALB and HDL. After a median follow-up of 193 days, the high FGF21 group had higher mortality and composite endpoint events compared with the low FGF21 group (HR: 3.91, 95% CI 2.21-6.92, p <0.001), even after adjusting for NT-proBNP (HR: 3.17, 95% CI 1.72-5.81, p < 0.001). ROC analysis shows that FGF21 was better than NT-proBNP in predicting death at both 3 (AUC, 0.77 vs. 0.63, p < 0.001) and 6 months (AUC, 0.78 vs. 0.66).

CONCLUSION

High baseline FGF21 levels are associated with adverse clinical outcomes in AHF patients. Serum FGF21 might be a potential predictive biomarker of AHF patients.

Liver stiffness for predicting adverse cardiac events in chinese patients with heart failure: a two-year prospective study

BACKGROUND

To investigate whether liver stiffness (LS) can predict adverse cardiac events in Chinese patients with heart failure (HF).

METHODS

A total of 53 hospitalized patients with HF were enrolled, and LS and tricuspid annual plane systolic excursion (TAPSE) were determined with Fibroscan® and echocardiography before discharge. They were divided into two groups: high LS group (LS > 6.9 Kpa, n = 23) and low LS group (LS ≤ 6.9 Kpa, n = 30). Patients were followed up for 24 months at an interval of 3 months. The endpoint of follow-up was death or rehospitalization for HF.

RESULTS

All patients were followed up for 24 months or until the endpoint. Patients in the high LS group had lower platelet count (P = 0.014), lower creatine clear rate (P = 0.014), higher level of B-type natriuretic peptide at discharge (P = 0.012), and lower TAPSE (P < 0.001) than those in the low LS group. During 24 months of follow-up, 3 (5.7%) deaths and 21 (39.6%) hospitalizations for HF were observed. Patients in the high LS group had a higher rate of death/rehospitalization than those in the low LS group (Hazard ratio 4.81; 95% confidence interval 1.69-13.7, P = 0.003) after adjustment for age, sex, platelet count, creatine clear rate, and B-type natriuretic peptide level. Moreover, TAPSE ≤ 16 could predict adverse cardiac events with an HR of 6.63 (95% confidence interval 1.69-13.7, P = 0.004) after adjustment for age, sex, platelet count, creatine clear rate, and B-type natriuretic peptide level.

CONCLUSION

LS and TAPSE could be used to predict worse outcomes in patients with HF.

Liver stiffness and prediction of cardiac outcomes in patients with acute decompensated heart failure

BACKGROUND

In acute decompensated heart failure (ADHF), noninvasive markers that predict morbidity and mortality are limited. Liver stiffness measurement (LSM) increases with hepatic fibrosis; however, it may be falsely elevated in patients with ADHF in the absence of liver disease. We investigated whether elevated LSM predicts cardiac outcomes in ADHF.

METHODS

In a prospective study, we examined 52 ADHF patients without liver disease between 2016 and 2017. Patients underwent liver 2D shear wave elastography (SWE) and were followed for 12 months to assess the outcomes of left ventricular assist device (LVAD), heart transplant (HT) or death.

RESULTS

The median LSM was elevated in patients who received an LVAD or HT within 30-days compared to those who did not (median [IQR]: 55.6 [22.5 - 63.4] vs 13.8 [9.5 - 40.3] kPa, p = .049). Moreover, the risk of composite outcome was highest in the 3rd tertile (> 39.8 kPa compared to 1^st and 2^nd combined, HR 2.83, 95% CI 1.20- 6.67, p = .02). Each 1-kPa increase in LSM was associated with a 1%-increase in the incidence rate of readmissions (IRR 1.01, 95% CI 1.00-1.02, p = .01).

CONCLUSIONS

LSM may serve as a novel noninvasive tool to determine LVAD, HT, or death in patients with ADHF.

Clinical significance of spleen stiffness in patients with acute decompensated heart failure

Aims

Congestive splenomegaly is a classic sign of organ congestion in acute decompensated heart failure (ADHF). Shear wave elastography (SWE) allows the measurement of spleen stiffness (SS). We hypothesized that SS could quantify the severity of splenic congestion and predict adverse events in ADHF.

Methods and Results

This study included two cohorts: a haemodynamic cohort (62 HF patients) and an outcome cohort (115 ADHF patients). SS was measured by two‐dimensional SWE on the same day of right heart catheterization in the haemodynamic cohort. Right atrial pressure (RAP) independently correlated with SS (β = 0.32, P = 0.002). SS was measured in the outcome cohort before discharge. The 115 patients were divided into three groups on the basis of the tertile value of SS. The third tertile SS group had a higher prevalence of severe tricuspid regurgitation, higher N‐terminal B‐type natriuretic peptide (NT pro‐BNP), and larger right ventricular diastolic diameter, than had the first tertile group and the second tertile group. During a median follow‐up period of 105 (77–135) days, adverse events occurred in 25 patients (one death and 24 rehospitalizations for HF). The third tertile SS group had a significantly higher rate of adverse events (P < 0.001). A higher SS was independently associated with adverse events after adjusting for conventional validated risk score, liver function test, liver stiffness, and estimated RAP.

Conclusions

The degree of SS at discharge can be used as a marker of residual splenic congestion, which is predictive of adverse events in patients with ADHF.

Longitudinal Association of Non-Alcoholic Fatty Liver Disease With Changes in Myocardial Structure and Function: The CARDIA Study

Background

Non‐alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) is associated with high cardiovascular morbidity/mortality, including heart failure. Abnormalities in left ventricular (LV) structure/function are associated with heart failure risk.

Methods and Results

Participants from the population‐based CARDIA (Coronary Artery Risk Development in Young Adults) study year 25 exam (2010–2011, aged 43–55 years, 61% women, 48% black) with computed tomography measured liver fat and comprehensive echocardiography were included. Echocardiography was repeated at year 30 follow‐up (aged 47–62 years, N=1827). NAFLD was defined as liver attenuation ≤40 HU after exclusions. LV geometry was classified into normal and abnormal by integrating relative wall thickness and LV mass index. Diastolic function was defined using Doppler and tissue Doppler imaging. Systolic function was assessed with myocardial strain measured by speckle tracking. NAFLD prevalence was 8.7% (n=159). NAFLD participants had higher LV mass, relative wall thickness, incident LV hypertrophy and abnormal LV geometry versus non‐NAFLD (P<0.02). NAFLD participants had impaired LV relaxation (E/A ratio 1.1 versus 1.2), higher LV filling pressures (E/e′ ratio 7.9 versus 7.2), worse longitudinal strain (−13.9% versus −15.3%), and lower LV ejection fraction (58.9% versus 60.2%, P<0.01). In multivariable analyses adjusted for heart failure risk factors, NAFLD was independently associated with incident LV hypertrophy (odds ratio: 1.9, 95% CI: 1.1–3.4), abnormal LV geometry (odds ratio: 1.9, 1.1–3.3) and greater change in strain (odds ratio: 2.2, 1.1–4.7). Adjustment for body mass index attenuated associations to non‐significance.

Conclusions

NAFLD is associated with subclinical changes over time in LV structure/function and obesity explains much of the association. Presence of obesity in mid‐life may identify an important at‐risk population in whom to focus preventive heart failure strategies.