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Ghoshouni H, Sepehri Shamloo A, Mirjalili SR, Soltani F, Bakhshandeh H, Hindricks G, Dagres N. Association between surrogate insulin resistance markers and postablation atrial fibrillation recurrence: A systematic review and meta-analysis. Heart Rhythm 2025:S1547-5271(25)02398-7. [PMID: 40300737 DOI: 10.1016/j.hrthm.2025.04.050] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 12/29/2024] [Revised: 03/26/2025] [Accepted: 04/22/2025] [Indexed: 05/01/2025]
Abstract
Atrial fibrillation (AF) is the most common persistent arrhythmia and demonstrates a notable recurrence rate after ablation. Previous studies have suggested that surrogate markers of insulin resistance could predict postablation AF recurrence. This systematic review and meta-analysis aimed to assess studies examining the relationship between surrogate insulin resistance markers and the recurrence of AF after ablation. We searched PubMed, Web of Science, Embase, and Scopus for observational studies published from inception to August 2024. We incorporated studies that assessed the relationship between surrogate insulin resistance markers and the occurrence of postablation AF in patients with either paroxysmal or persistent AF. The random-effects model was used for meta-analysis. The Newcastle-Ottawa scale was used to evaluate risk of bias, and the leave-one-out method was applied for sensitivity analysis (PROSPERO: CRD42024584526). Nine studies involving 7729 participants met the inclusion criteria. Significant associations with AF recurrence were observed for the triglyceride-glucose index (hazard ratio [HR] 1.29; 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.15-1.44; I2 = 44%), homeostatic model assessment of insulin resistance (HR 1.27; 95% CI 1.14-1.42; I2 = 0%), and metabolic score for insulin resistance (HR 1.04; 95% CI 1.03-1.05; I2 = 0%). However, the triglyceride-to-high-density lipoprotein ratio did not demonstrate a statistically significant association with AF recurrence (HR 1.09; 95% CI 0.96-1.24; I2 = 86%). Surrogate markers of insulin resistance can be valuable predictors for assessing the risk of AF recurrence in patients who have undergone catheter ablation, potentially aiding in preventive strategies. Nevertheless, further prospective studies are required to validate our findings.
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Affiliation(s)
- Hamed Ghoshouni
- Cardiovascular Epidemiology Research Center, Rajaie Cardiovascular Institute, Tehran, Iran; Cardiac Electrophysiology Research Center, Rajaie Cardiovascular Institute, Tehran, Iran
| | - Alireza Sepehri Shamloo
- Department of Cardiology, Deutsches Herzzentrum der Charité-Medical Heart Center of Charité, German Heart Institute Berlin, Berlin, Germany
| | - Seyed Reza Mirjalili
- Cardiovascular Epidemiology Research Center, Rajaie Cardiovascular Institute, Tehran, Iran; Yazd Cardiovascular Research Center, Non-Communicable Diseases Research Institute, Shahid Sadoughi University of Medical Sciences, Yazd, Iran.
| | - Fatemeh Soltani
- Cardiovascular Epidemiology Research Center, Rajaie Cardiovascular Institute, Tehran, Iran; Department of Epidemiology, School of Public Health, Iran University of Medical Sciences, Tehran, Iran; Student Research Committee, Iran University of Medical Sciences, Tehran, Iran
| | - Hooman Bakhshandeh
- Cardiovascular Epidemiology Research Center, Rajaie Cardiovascular Institute, Tehran, Iran
| | - Gerhard Hindricks
- Department of Cardiology, Deutsches Herzzentrum der Charité-Medical Heart Center of Charité, German Heart Institute Berlin, Berlin, Germany
| | - Nikolaos Dagres
- Department of Cardiology, Deutsches Herzzentrum der Charité-Medical Heart Center of Charité, German Heart Institute Berlin, Berlin, Germany
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Yu Y, Jiang Q. Surgical Methods and Devices for Atrial Fibrillation. Rev Cardiovasc Med 2025; 26:26841. [PMID: 40351669 PMCID: PMC12059748 DOI: 10.31083/rcm26841] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 10/05/2024] [Revised: 11/28/2024] [Accepted: 12/06/2024] [Indexed: 05/14/2025] Open
Abstract
As technology advances, surgical approaches for atrial fibrillation have diversified. Surgical treatments include Cox-Maze surgery, left atrial appendage occlusion, or closure using a clip. Cox-Maze surgery removes excessive cardiac electrical conduction pathways, ensures electrical signals propagate exclusively through the predetermined maze channel and restores normal heart rhythm. Left atrial appendage closure reduces the risk of long-term disability or death caused by left atrial appendage thromboembolism in patients with atrial fibrillation. These devices are constantly being refined, including bipolar radiofrequency clamps (monopolar or bipolar radiofrequency), left atrial appendage closure devices (external excision using staplers, internal ligation with biomatrix patch occlusion, external device placement with the AtriClip and Endoloop ligature). In addition to surgical interventions, surgical biomaterial materials with biocompatibility and electrical conductivity have emerged in the basic research phase of atrial fibrillation treatment. This review delineates the primary surgical techniques, emphasizing their safety and efficacy in treating atrial fibrillation. An introduction to commonly used surgical equipment is provided as a reference for the clinical management of atrial fibrillation.
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Affiliation(s)
- Yalu Yu
- School of Medicine, University of Electronic Science and Technology of China, 610054 Chengdu, Sichuan, China
| | - Qin Jiang
- School of Medicine, University of Electronic Science and Technology of China, 610054 Chengdu, Sichuan, China
- Department of Cardiac Surgery, Sichuan Provincial People’s Hospital, Affiliated Hospital of University of Electronic Science and Technology, 610072 Chengdu, Sichuan, China
- Ultrasound in Cardiac Electrophysiology and Biomechanics Key Laboratory of Sichuan Province, Sichuan Provincial People’s Hospital, University of Electronic Science and Technology of China, 610072 Chengdu, Sichuan, China
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Boersma LVA, Natale A, Haines D, DeLurgio D, Sood N, Marchlinski F, Calkins H, Hoyt RH, Sanders P, Irwin J, Packer D, Mittal S, Durrani S, Di Biase L, Sangrigoli R, Tada H, Sasano T, Tomita H, Yamane T, Kuck KH, Wazni O, Tarakji K, Cerkvenik J, van Bragt KA, Abeln BGS, Verma A. Prevalence, timing, and impact of early recurrence of atrial tachyarrhythmias after pulsed field ablation: A secondary analysis of the PULSED AF trial. Heart Rhythm 2025; 22:884-890. [PMID: 38925335 DOI: 10.1016/j.hrthm.2024.06.036] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 04/16/2024] [Revised: 06/06/2024] [Accepted: 06/19/2024] [Indexed: 06/28/2024]
Abstract
BACKGROUND Early recurrence of atrial tachyarrhythmias (ERAT) within 3 months of thermal ablation for atrial fibrillation (AF) is common and often considered transient. Pulsed field ablation (PFA) is a nonthermal energy source in which ERAT is not well described. OBJECTIVE The purpose of this study was to analyze ERAT in patients with AF undergoing PFA in the Pulsed Field Ablation to Irreversibly Electroporate Tissue and Treat AF (PULSED AF) trial. METHODS This analysis included 154 (52.4%) paroxysmal AF and 140 (47.6%) persistent AF who had ≥10 rhythm assessments during the 90-day blanking period. ERAT was defined as any instance of ≥30 seconds of AF, atrial flutter, or atrial tachycardia on transtelephonic monitoring (weekly and symptomatic) or ≥10 seconds on electrocardiography (at 3 months), both within 90 days. Late recurrence of atrial tachyarrhythmias (LRAT) was defined as observed atrial tachyarrhythmias between 90 days and 12 months. RESULTS The overall prevalence of ERAT was 27.1% in patients with paroxysmal AF and 31.6% in patients with persistent AF. In patients with ERAT, 73% had ERAT onset within the first month of the procedure. The presence of ERAT was associated with LRAT in patients with paroxysmal AF (hazard ratio 6.4; 95% confidence interval 3.6-11.3) and patients with persistent AF (hazard ratio 3.8; 95% confidence interval 2.2-6.6). Yet, in 29.4% of patients with paroxysmal AF and 34.3% of patients with persistent AF with ERAT, LRAT was not observed. LRAT was positively correlated with the number of ERAT observations. CONCLUSION ERAT after PFA predicted LRAT in patients with paroxysmal and persistent AF. However, the concept of a blanking period after PFA is still valid, as approximately one-third of patients with ERAT did not continue to have LRAT during follow-up and may not need reablation.
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Affiliation(s)
| | - Andrea Natale
- Texas Cardiac Arrhythmia Institute, Austin, Texas; University of Tor Vergata, Rome, Italy; MetroHealth Medical Center, Case Western Reserve University School of Medicine, Cleveland, Ohio
| | | | - David DeLurgio
- Emory Heart & Vascular Center at St. Joseph's, Atlanta, Georgia
| | - Nitesh Sood
- Southcoast Health Center, Fall River, Massachusetts; Brown Alpert School of Medicine, Brown University, Providence, Rhode Island
| | | | | | | | - Prashanthan Sanders
- University of Adelaide, Adelaide, South Australia, Australia; Royal Adelaide Hospital, Adelaide, South Australia, Australia
| | - James Irwin
- BayCare St. Joseph's Hospital, Tampa, Florida
| | | | - Suneet Mittal
- The Valley Hospital, Ridgewood, New Jersey; The Snyder Center for Comprehensive Atrial Fibrillation, Ridgewood, New Jersey
| | - Sarfraz Durrani
- MedStar Heart and Vascular Institute, Washington, District of Columbia
| | | | | | | | | | - Hirofumi Tomita
- Hirosaki University Graduate School of Medicine, Hirosaki, Japan
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | - Bob G S Abeln
- St. Antonius Ziekenhuis, Nieuwegein, The Netherlands
| | - Atul Verma
- McGill University Health Centre, Montreal, Quebec, Canada
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Jiang XH, Tan YJ, Wang RZ, Ruan ZB, Zhu L. Comparison of prognosis and analysis of related risk factors among three different left atrial appendage occlusion procedures in patients with atrial fibrillation. Front Cardiovasc Med 2025; 12:1534899. [PMID: 40034991 PMCID: PMC11872903 DOI: 10.3389/fcvm.2025.1534899] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 11/26/2024] [Accepted: 01/28/2025] [Indexed: 03/05/2025] Open
Abstract
Background Left atrial appendage occlusion (LAAO) serves as an alternative to oral anticoagulation (OAC) for atrial fibrillation (AF) patients at high risk of bleeding. The aim of this study was to compare the peri-procedural safety, complete or incomplete occlusion, the incidence of the peri-device leak (PDL), and device-related thrombosis (DRT) among LAAO, cryoballoon ablation (CBA) combined with LAAO, and radiofrequency catheter ablation (RFCA) combined with LAAO and to explore the risk factors of PDL and incomplete occlusion. Methods 382 patients with non-valvular AF who underwent either LAAO alone (n = 117), CBA combined with LAAO (n = 125), or RFCA combined with LAAO (n = 140) were included in the retrospective study. The study assessed peri-procedural complications and imaging results (3 months post-procedure). Multivariable logistic regression was employed to identify risk factors for incomplete occlusion and PDL. Results Peri-procedural complication rates were low among all groups, with 2.9% in the RFCA combined with the LAAO group. In contrast, the LAAO alone and CBA combined with LAAO groups reported no major complications (p = 0.347). At the 3-month follow-up, the incidence of DRT was 1.7% in the LAAO group, 2.4% in the CBA combined with the LAAO group, and 2.1% in the RFCA combined with the LAAO group (p = 0.930). Complete occlusion rates were comparable among the groups: 64.8% for CBA combined with LAAO, 62.4% for LAAO alone, and 60.7% for RFCA combined with LAAO (p = 0.794). PDL occurred in 33.3% of LAAO-alone patients, 34.4% of CBA combined with LAAO patients, and 38.6% of RFCA combined with LAAO patients (p = 0.644). Multivariable analysis identified persistent AF and serum creatinine (SCr) as independent predictors of PDL and incomplete occlusion. Conclusion Peri-procedural complications, complete occlusion, PDL, and DRT rates were similar across the three treatment strategies. Persistent AF and SCr were significant risk factors for incomplete occlusion and PDL. These findings highlight the importance of individualized treatment strategies based on patient-specific risk factors for optimizing outcomes.
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Affiliation(s)
- Xiao-hai Jiang
- Department of Cardiology, The affiliated Taizhou People's Hospital of Nanjing Medical University, Taizhou School of Clinical Medicine, Nanjing Medical University, Taizhou, Jiangsu, China
| | - Yan-juan Tan
- Postgraduate Training Base of Dalian Medical University, Taizhou People's Hospital, Taizhou, Jiangsu, China
| | - Run-zhong Wang
- Department of Cardiology, The affiliated Taizhou People's Hospital of Nanjing Medical University, Taizhou School of Clinical Medicine, Nanjing Medical University, Taizhou, Jiangsu, China
| | - Zhong-bao Ruan
- Department of Cardiology, The affiliated Taizhou People's Hospital of Nanjing Medical University, Taizhou School of Clinical Medicine, Nanjing Medical University, Taizhou, Jiangsu, China
| | - Li Zhu
- Department of Cardiology, The affiliated Taizhou People's Hospital of Nanjing Medical University, Taizhou School of Clinical Medicine, Nanjing Medical University, Taizhou, Jiangsu, China
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Karanikola AE, Tzortzi M, Kordalis A, Doundoulakis I, Antoniou CK, Laina A, Tsioufis P, Argyriou N, Sakalidis A, Pamporis K, Tsioufis K, Tsiachris D. Clinical, Electrocardiographic and Echocardiographic Predictors of Atrial Fibrillation Recurrence After Pulmonary Vein Isolation. J Clin Med 2025; 14:809. [PMID: 39941478 PMCID: PMC11818469 DOI: 10.3390/jcm14030809] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 01/02/2025] [Revised: 01/20/2025] [Accepted: 01/23/2025] [Indexed: 02/16/2025] Open
Abstract
Atrial fibrillation (AF) is a supraventricular arrhythmia and the most common heart rhythm disorder in the adult population worldwide with an estimated prevalence of 2% to 4% of the population. Cases of AF have shown an increasing trend in recent decades, while its frequency is expected to rise even more. Given the significant impact on patients' quality of life, as well as its major complications, including thromboembolic events, effective rhythm control strategies other than antiarrhythmic medication have emerged, with catheter ablation (CA) being the cornerstone of these. In recent years, CA has been upgraded to a first-line treatment for selected patients. However, complications do exist and arrhythmia-free survival is not always guaranteed. The need to better identify patients more suitable for this specific therapeutic measure is crucial in improving outcomes and preventing arrhythmia recurrences. This review aims to present currently identified predictors of AF recurrence after catheter ablation based on clinical characteristics and electrocardiographic and echocardiographic parameters, in an era of increasing interventional rhythm control approaches for the management of atrial fibrillation.
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Affiliation(s)
- Aikaterini-Eleftheria Karanikola
- First Department of Cardiology, Hippokration Hospital, Athens Medical School, National and Kapodistrian University of Athens, Vas. Sofias 114, 11527 Athens, Greece; (A.-E.K.); (A.K.); (I.D.); (C.-K.A.); (A.L.); (P.T.); (N.A.); (A.S.); (K.P.); (K.T.)
| | - Melpomeni Tzortzi
- First Department of Cardiology, Hippokration Hospital, Athens Medical School, National and Kapodistrian University of Athens, Vas. Sofias 114, 11527 Athens, Greece; (A.-E.K.); (A.K.); (I.D.); (C.-K.A.); (A.L.); (P.T.); (N.A.); (A.S.); (K.P.); (K.T.)
| | - Athanasios Kordalis
- First Department of Cardiology, Hippokration Hospital, Athens Medical School, National and Kapodistrian University of Athens, Vas. Sofias 114, 11527 Athens, Greece; (A.-E.K.); (A.K.); (I.D.); (C.-K.A.); (A.L.); (P.T.); (N.A.); (A.S.); (K.P.); (K.T.)
| | - Ioannis Doundoulakis
- First Department of Cardiology, Hippokration Hospital, Athens Medical School, National and Kapodistrian University of Athens, Vas. Sofias 114, 11527 Athens, Greece; (A.-E.K.); (A.K.); (I.D.); (C.-K.A.); (A.L.); (P.T.); (N.A.); (A.S.); (K.P.); (K.T.)
| | - Christos-Konstantinos Antoniou
- First Department of Cardiology, Hippokration Hospital, Athens Medical School, National and Kapodistrian University of Athens, Vas. Sofias 114, 11527 Athens, Greece; (A.-E.K.); (A.K.); (I.D.); (C.-K.A.); (A.L.); (P.T.); (N.A.); (A.S.); (K.P.); (K.T.)
| | - Ageliki Laina
- First Department of Cardiology, Hippokration Hospital, Athens Medical School, National and Kapodistrian University of Athens, Vas. Sofias 114, 11527 Athens, Greece; (A.-E.K.); (A.K.); (I.D.); (C.-K.A.); (A.L.); (P.T.); (N.A.); (A.S.); (K.P.); (K.T.)
| | - Panagiotis Tsioufis
- First Department of Cardiology, Hippokration Hospital, Athens Medical School, National and Kapodistrian University of Athens, Vas. Sofias 114, 11527 Athens, Greece; (A.-E.K.); (A.K.); (I.D.); (C.-K.A.); (A.L.); (P.T.); (N.A.); (A.S.); (K.P.); (K.T.)
| | - Nikos Argyriou
- First Department of Cardiology, Hippokration Hospital, Athens Medical School, National and Kapodistrian University of Athens, Vas. Sofias 114, 11527 Athens, Greece; (A.-E.K.); (A.K.); (I.D.); (C.-K.A.); (A.L.); (P.T.); (N.A.); (A.S.); (K.P.); (K.T.)
| | - Athanasios Sakalidis
- First Department of Cardiology, Hippokration Hospital, Athens Medical School, National and Kapodistrian University of Athens, Vas. Sofias 114, 11527 Athens, Greece; (A.-E.K.); (A.K.); (I.D.); (C.-K.A.); (A.L.); (P.T.); (N.A.); (A.S.); (K.P.); (K.T.)
| | - Konstantinos Pamporis
- First Department of Cardiology, Hippokration Hospital, Athens Medical School, National and Kapodistrian University of Athens, Vas. Sofias 114, 11527 Athens, Greece; (A.-E.K.); (A.K.); (I.D.); (C.-K.A.); (A.L.); (P.T.); (N.A.); (A.S.); (K.P.); (K.T.)
- Department of Hygiene, Social-Preventive Medicine & Medical Statistics, School of Medicine, Faculty of Health Sciences, Aristotle University of Thessaloniki, 54124 Thessaloniki, Greece
| | - Konstantinos Tsioufis
- First Department of Cardiology, Hippokration Hospital, Athens Medical School, National and Kapodistrian University of Athens, Vas. Sofias 114, 11527 Athens, Greece; (A.-E.K.); (A.K.); (I.D.); (C.-K.A.); (A.L.); (P.T.); (N.A.); (A.S.); (K.P.); (K.T.)
| | - Dimitrios Tsiachris
- First Department of Cardiology, Hippokration Hospital, Athens Medical School, National and Kapodistrian University of Athens, Vas. Sofias 114, 11527 Athens, Greece; (A.-E.K.); (A.K.); (I.D.); (C.-K.A.); (A.L.); (P.T.); (N.A.); (A.S.); (K.P.); (K.T.)
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6
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Virk SA, Chieng D, Segan L, Morton JB, Lee G, Sparks P, McLellan AJ, Sugumar H, Prabhu S, Ling LH, Voskoboinik A, Pathak RK, Sterns LD, Ginks M, Sanders P, Kistler P, Kalman J. Incidence, characteristics, and prognostic significance of early recurrences after different ablation approaches for persistent atrial fibrillation. Heart Rhythm 2024:S1547-5271(24)03704-4. [PMID: 39742987 DOI: 10.1016/j.hrthm.2024.12.031] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 10/24/2024] [Revised: 12/09/2024] [Accepted: 12/23/2024] [Indexed: 01/04/2025]
Abstract
BACKGROUND Early recurrence of atrial tachyarrhythmia (ERAT) is common after catheter ablation of atrial fibrillation (AF). The specific clinical and arrhythmia characteristics of ERAT influencing late recurrence risk in persistent AF are unclear. In addition, the impact of different ablation strategies on the incidence and prognostic significance of ERAT remains unknown. OBJECTIVE This study aimed to assess the incidence, characteristics, and prognostic impact of ERAT in patients with persistent AF undergoing pulmonary vein isolation alone or pulmonary vein isolation with posterior wall isolation. METHODS Trial participants monitored by implantable cardiac devices or twice-daily electrocardiogram transmissions were included. Atrial arrhythmia recurrences lasting ≥30 seconds were classified as ERAT (within 3 months after ablation) or late recurrence (between 3 and 12 months). RESULTS Of the 282 included patients, ERAT occurred in 124 (44.0%). ERAT portended an increased incidence of late recurrence (68.5% vs 32.9%; hazard ratio, 3.36; 95% confidence interval, 2.35-4.79) and significantly higher post-blanking period AF burden (median, 0.66% [interquartile range, 0-8.35%] vs 0% [0-0.55%]). The hazard ratio for late recurrence was 2.34 (1.48-3.71), 2.89 (1.63-5.12), and 6.00 (3.86-9.32) when the latest ERAT occurred in the first, second, and third month, respectively. Late recurrence risk was particularly elevated in patients with high-burden, frequent, or symptomatic ERAT. Ablation strategy did not affect the incidence, burden, arrhythmia characteristics, or prognostic significance of ERAT. CONCLUSION ERAT after radiofrequency ablation of persistent AF is an independent predictor of late recurrence and increased post-blanking period AF burden. An individualized assessment of early recurrences is warranted to critically evaluate their clinical significance.
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Affiliation(s)
- Sohaib A Virk
- University of Melbourne, Melbourne, Victoria, Australia; Royal Melbourne Hospital, Melbourne, Victoria, Australia
| | - David Chieng
- Baker Heart and Diabetes Research Institute, Melbourne, Victoria, Australia; Alfred Hospital, Melbourne, Victoria, Australia; Monash University, Melbourne, Victoria, Australia
| | - Louise Segan
- Baker Heart and Diabetes Research Institute, Melbourne, Victoria, Australia; Alfred Hospital, Melbourne, Victoria, Australia; Monash University, Melbourne, Victoria, Australia
| | | | - Geoffrey Lee
- University of Melbourne, Melbourne, Victoria, Australia; Royal Melbourne Hospital, Melbourne, Victoria, Australia
| | - Paul Sparks
- University of Melbourne, Melbourne, Victoria, Australia
| | - Alex J McLellan
- University of Melbourne, Melbourne, Victoria, Australia; Royal Melbourne Hospital, Melbourne, Victoria, Australia
| | - Hariharan Sugumar
- Baker Heart and Diabetes Research Institute, Melbourne, Victoria, Australia; Alfred Hospital, Melbourne, Victoria, Australia; Monash University, Melbourne, Victoria, Australia
| | - Sandeep Prabhu
- Baker Heart and Diabetes Research Institute, Melbourne, Victoria, Australia; Alfred Hospital, Melbourne, Victoria, Australia; Monash University, Melbourne, Victoria, Australia
| | - Liang-Han Ling
- Baker Heart and Diabetes Research Institute, Melbourne, Victoria, Australia; Alfred Hospital, Melbourne, Victoria, Australia; Monash University, Melbourne, Victoria, Australia
| | - Aleksandr Voskoboinik
- Baker Heart and Diabetes Research Institute, Melbourne, Victoria, Australia; Alfred Hospital, Melbourne, Victoria, Australia; Monash University, Melbourne, Victoria, Australia
| | - Rajeev K Pathak
- Canberra Hospital, Canberra, Australian Capital Territory, Australia
| | | | | | | | - Peter Kistler
- University of Melbourne, Melbourne, Victoria, Australia; Baker Heart and Diabetes Research Institute, Melbourne, Victoria, Australia; Alfred Hospital, Melbourne, Victoria, Australia; Monash University, Melbourne, Victoria, Australia
| | - Jonathan Kalman
- University of Melbourne, Melbourne, Victoria, Australia; Royal Melbourne Hospital, Melbourne, Victoria, Australia; Baker Heart and Diabetes Research Institute, Melbourne, Victoria, Australia.
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7
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Park J, Cha MJ, Kwon CH, Cho MS, Nam GB, Oh IY, Lee SR, Kim JY, Lee SH, Park J, Kim KH, Yang PS, Kim JH, Shim J, Lim HE. Long-term clinical impact of early recurrence of atrial tachyarrhythmia after cryoballoon ablation in patients with atrial fibrillation. J Cardiovasc Electrophysiol 2024; 35:1614-1623. [PMID: 38890808 DOI: 10.1111/jce.16334] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 04/07/2024] [Revised: 05/16/2024] [Accepted: 05/25/2024] [Indexed: 06/20/2024]
Abstract
INTRODUCTION The impact of early recurrence of atrial tachyarrhythmia (ERAT) within the 90-day blanking period on long-term outcomes in atrial fibrillation (AF) patients undergoing cryoballoon ablation (CBA) is controversial. This study aimed to assess the relationship between ERAT and late recurrence of atrial tachyarrhythmia (LRAT) post-CBA. METHODS Utilizing data from a multicenter registry in Korea (May 2018 to June 2022), we analyzed the presence and timing of ERAT (<30, 30-60, and 60-90 days) and its association with LRAT risk after CBA. LRAT was defined as any recurrence of AF, atrial flutter, or atrial tachycardia lasting more than 30 s beyond the 90 days. RESULTS Out of 2636 patients, 745 (28.2%) experienced ERAT post-CBA. Over an average follow-up period of 21.2 ± 10.3 months, LRAT was observed in 874 (33.1%) patients. Patients with ERAT had significantly lower 1-year LRAT freedom compared to those without ERAT (42.6% vs. 85.5%, p < .001). Multivariate analysis identified ERAT as a potential predictor of LRAT, with a hazard ratio (HR) of 3.98 (95% confidence interval [CI], 3.47-4.57). Significant associations were noted across all examined time frames (HR, 3.84; 95% CI, 3.32-4.45 in <30 days, HR, 5.53; 95% CI, 4.13-7.42 in 30-60 days, and HR, 4.29; 95% CI, 3.12-5.89 in 60-90 days). This finding was consistently observed across all types of AF. CONCLUSION ERAT during the 90-day blanking period strongly predicts LRAT in AF patients undergoing CBA, indicating a need to reconsider the clinical significance of this period.
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Affiliation(s)
- Jinsun Park
- Division of Cardiology, Asan Medical Center, University of Ulsan College of Medicine, Seoul, Republic of Korea
| | - Myung-Jin Cha
- Division of Cardiology, Asan Medical Center, University of Ulsan College of Medicine, Seoul, Republic of Korea
| | - Chang Hee Kwon
- Division of Cardiology, Department of Internal Medicine, Konkuk University Medical Center, Konkuk University School of Medicine, Seoul, Republic of Korea
| | - Min Soo Cho
- Division of Cardiology, Asan Medical Center, University of Ulsan College of Medicine, Seoul, Republic of Korea
| | - Gi-Byoung Nam
- Division of Cardiology, Asan Medical Center, University of Ulsan College of Medicine, Seoul, Republic of Korea
| | - Il-Young Oh
- Cardiovascular Center, Seoul National University Bundang Hospital, Seoul National University College of Medicine, Seongnam, Republic of Korea
| | - So-Ryoung Lee
- Department of Internal Medicine, Seoul National University Hospital, Seoul National University College of Medicine, Seoul, Republic of Korea
| | - Ju Youn Kim
- Division of Cardiology, Department of Internal Medicine, Heart Vascular Stroke Institute, Samsung Medical Center, Sungkyunkwan University School of Medicine, Seoul, Republic of Korea
| | - Sung Ho Lee
- Division of Cardiology, Department of Internal Medicine, Kangbuk Samsung Hospital, Sungkyunkwan University School of Medicine, Seoul, Republic of Korea
| | - Junbeom Park
- Department of Cardiology, School of Medicine, Ewha Womans University, Seoul, Republic of Korea
| | - Ki-Hun Kim
- Department of Internal Medicine, Haeundae Paik Hospital, Inje University College of Medicine, Busan, Republic of Korea
| | - Pil-Sung Yang
- Department of Cardiology, CHA Bundang Medical Center, CHA University, Seongnam, Republic of Korea
| | - Jun Hyung Kim
- Department of Internal Medicine, Chungnam National University Hospital, Chungnam National University College of Medicine, Daejeon, Republic of Korea
| | - Jaemin Shim
- Division of Cardiology, Department of Internal Medicine, Korea University College of Medicine and Korea University Anam Hospital, Seoul, Republic of Korea
| | - Hong Euy Lim
- Division of Cardiology, Hallym University Sacred Heart Hospital, Hallym University College of Medicine, Anyang, Republic of Korea
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8
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Mo D, Wang M, Zhang P, Dai H, Guan J. Factors predicting the recurrence of atrial fibrillation after catheter ablation: A review. Heliyon 2024; 10:e34205. [PMID: 39071658 PMCID: PMC11277434 DOI: 10.1016/j.heliyon.2024.e34205] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 03/12/2024] [Revised: 05/26/2024] [Accepted: 07/04/2024] [Indexed: 07/30/2024] Open
Abstract
Atrial fibrillation (AF) is the most common and clinically significant type of cardiac arrhythmia. Although catheter ablation (CA) can restore sinus rhythm in patients with AF, some patients experience recurrence after the procedure. This requires us to find a simple and effective way to identify patients at a high risk of recurrence and to intervene early in the high-risk population to improve patient prognosis. The mechanism of AF recurrence is unclear, but it involves several aspects including patient history, inflammation, myocardial fibrosis, and genes. This article summarizes the current predictors of AF recurrence after CA, including myocardial fibrosis markers, inflammatory markers, MicroRNAs, Circular RNAs, AF recurrence scores, and imaging indicators. Each predictor has its own scope of application, and the predictive capacity and joint application of multiple predictors may improve the predictive power. In addition, we summarize the mechanisms involved in AF recurrence. We hope that this review will assist researchers understand the current predictors of AF recurrence and help them conduct further related studies.
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Affiliation(s)
- Degang Mo
- Qingdao Municipal Hospital, School of Medicine, Qingdao University, Qingdao, 266011, China
| | - Mengmeng Wang
- Department of Cardiology, Qingdao University, Qingdao, 266011, China
| | - Peng Zhang
- Department of Cardiology, Qingdao University, Qingdao, 266011, China
| | - Hongyan Dai
- Department of Cardiology, Qingdao Municipal Hospital, Qingdao, 266011, China
| | - Jun Guan
- Department of Cardiology, Qingdao Municipal Hospital, Qingdao, 266011, China
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Jia S, Yin Y, Mou X, Zheng J, Li Z, Hu T, Zhao J, Lin J, Song J, Cheng F, Wang Y, Li K, Lin W, Feng C, Ge W, Xia S. Association between triglyceride-glucose index trajectories and radiofrequency ablation outcomes in patients with stage 3D atrial fibrillation. Cardiovasc Diabetol 2024; 23:121. [PMID: 38581024 PMCID: PMC10998403 DOI: 10.1186/s12933-024-02219-w] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 02/06/2024] [Accepted: 03/29/2024] [Indexed: 04/07/2024] Open
Abstract
BACKGROUND This study investigates the relationship between triglyceride-glucose (TyG) index trajectories and the results of ablation in patients with stage 3D atrial fibrillation (AF). METHODS A retrospective cohort study was carried out on patients who underwent AF Radiofrequency Catheter Ablation (RFCA) at the Cardiology Department of the Fourth Affiliated Hospital of Zhejiang University and Taizhou Hospital of Zhejiang Province from January 2016 to December 2022. The main clinical endpoint was determined as the occurrence of atrial arrhythmia for at least 30 s following a 3-month period after ablation. Using a latent class trajectory model, different trajectory groups were identified based on TyG levels. The relationship between TyG trajectory and the outcome of AF recurrence in patients was assessed through Kaplan-Meier survival curve analysis and multivariable Cox proportional hazards regression model. RESULTS The study included 997 participants, with an average age of 63.21 ± 9.84 years, of whom 630 were males (63.19%). The mean follow-up period for the participants was 30.43 ± 17.75 months, during which 200 individuals experienced AF recurrence. Utilizing the minimum Bayesian Information Criterion (BIC) and the maximum Entropy principle, TyG levels post-AF RFCA were divided into three groups: Locus 1 low-low group (n = 791), Locus 2 low-high-low group (n = 14), and Locus 3 high-high group (n = 192). Significant differences in survival rates among the different trajectories were observed through the Kaplan-Meier curve (P < 0.001). Multivariate Cox regression analysis showed a significant association between baseline TyG level and AF recurrence outcomes (HR = 1.255, 95% CI: 1.087-1.448). Patients with TyG levels above 9.37 had a higher risk of adverse outcomes compared to those with levels below 8.67 (HR = 2.056, 95% CI: 1.335-3.166). Furthermore, individuals in Locus 3 had a higher incidence of outcomes compared to those in Locus 1 (HR = 1.580, 95% CI: 1.146-2). CONCLUSION The TyG trajectories in patients with stage 3D AF are significantly linked to the outcomes of AF recurrence. Continuous monitoring of TyG levels during follow-up may help in identifying patients at high risk of AF recurrence, enabling the early application of effective interventions.
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Affiliation(s)
- Sixiang Jia
- Department of Cardiology, International School of Medicine, the Fourth Affiliated Hospital of School of Medicine, International Institutes of Medicine, Zhejiang University, Yiwu, 322000, China
| | - Yanping Yin
- Department of Cardiology, Taizhou Hospital of Zhejiang Province affiliated to Wenzhou Medical University, Dongdu Road Linhai, Linhai, Zhejiang Province, 317000, China
- Laboratory of Cardiovascular Disease, Taizhou Hospital of Zhejiang Province affiliated to Wenzhou Medical University, Linhai, Zhejiang Province, 317000, China
| | - Xuanting Mou
- Department of Cardiology, International School of Medicine, the Fourth Affiliated Hospital of School of Medicine, International Institutes of Medicine, Zhejiang University, Yiwu, 322000, China
| | - Jing Zheng
- Department of Cardiology, International School of Medicine, the Fourth Affiliated Hospital of School of Medicine, International Institutes of Medicine, Zhejiang University, Yiwu, 322000, China
- QuzhouPeoplès Hospital, The Quzhou Affiliated Hospital of Wenzhou Medical University, Quzhou, Zhejiang Province, 324000, China
| | - Zhe Li
- Department of Cardiology, International School of Medicine, the Fourth Affiliated Hospital of School of Medicine, International Institutes of Medicine, Zhejiang University, Yiwu, 322000, China
| | - Tianli Hu
- Department of Cardiology, International School of Medicine, the Fourth Affiliated Hospital of School of Medicine, International Institutes of Medicine, Zhejiang University, Yiwu, 322000, China
| | - Jianqiang Zhao
- Department of Cardiology, International School of Medicine, the Fourth Affiliated Hospital of School of Medicine, International Institutes of Medicine, Zhejiang University, Yiwu, 322000, China
| | - Jiangbo Lin
- Department of Cardiology, Taizhou Hospital of Zhejiang Province affiliated to Wenzhou Medical University, Dongdu Road Linhai, Linhai, Zhejiang Province, 317000, China
- Laboratory of Cardiovascular Disease, Taizhou Hospital of Zhejiang Province affiliated to Wenzhou Medical University, Linhai, Zhejiang Province, 317000, China
| | - Jiaqi Song
- Department of Endocrinology, Yiwu Central Hospital, Yiwu, 322000, China
| | - Fanli Cheng
- Department of Cardiology, International School of Medicine, the Fourth Affiliated Hospital of School of Medicine, International Institutes of Medicine, Zhejiang University, Yiwu, 322000, China
| | - Yiran Wang
- Department of Cardiology, International School of Medicine, the Fourth Affiliated Hospital of School of Medicine, International Institutes of Medicine, Zhejiang University, Yiwu, 322000, China
| | - Kaini Li
- Department of Cardiology, International School of Medicine, the Fourth Affiliated Hospital of School of Medicine, International Institutes of Medicine, Zhejiang University, Yiwu, 322000, China
| | - Wenting Lin
- Department of Cardiology, International School of Medicine, the Fourth Affiliated Hospital of School of Medicine, International Institutes of Medicine, Zhejiang University, Yiwu, 322000, China
| | - Chao Feng
- Department of Cardiology, International School of Medicine, the Fourth Affiliated Hospital of School of Medicine, International Institutes of Medicine, Zhejiang University, Yiwu, 322000, China
| | - Weili Ge
- Department of Cardiology, Taizhou Hospital of Zhejiang Province affiliated to Wenzhou Medical University, Dongdu Road Linhai, Linhai, Zhejiang Province, 317000, China.
- Laboratory of Cardiovascular Disease, Taizhou Hospital of Zhejiang Province affiliated to Wenzhou Medical University, Linhai, Zhejiang Province, 317000, China.
| | - Shudong Xia
- Department of Cardiology, International School of Medicine, the Fourth Affiliated Hospital of School of Medicine, International Institutes of Medicine, Zhejiang University, Yiwu, 322000, China.
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Li X, Zhou W, Guo D, Hu Y, Zhou H, Chen Y. Cardiac Radiofrequency Ablation Exacerbates Myocardial Injury through Pro-Inflammatory Response and Pro-Oxidative Stress in Elderly Patients with Persistent Atrial Fibrillation. Curr Vasc Pharmacol 2024; 22:137-152. [PMID: 38213173 DOI: 10.2174/0115701611257644231215071611] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 04/29/2023] [Revised: 10/18/2023] [Accepted: 12/05/2023] [Indexed: 01/13/2024]
Abstract
BACKGROUND There is a need to assess myocardial damage after radiofrequency ablation of the pulmonary veins (PV) for persistent atrial fibrillation (PAF) in elderly patients. OBJECTIVE To evaluate oxidative stress, inflammatory response and myocardial damage in elderly patients with PAF after radiofrequency ablation of the PV. METHODS High-sensitivity troponin T (hsTnT), malondialdehyde-modified low-density lipoprotein (MDA-LDL), acrolein (ACR), lipid hydroperoxide (LHP), toll-like receptor 4 (TLR4), soluble growth stimulation expressed gene 2 (sST2), angiotensin II (Ang II) and myocardial blood flow (MBF) were determined before ablation and at 1, 3 and 5 months after radiofrequency ablation. RESULTS The levels of hsTnT, MDA-LDL, ACR, LHP, TLR4, sST2 and Ang II were increased 3 months after ablations compared with before ablation and 1 month after ablation, respectively (P<0.001); they were further increased at 5 months after ablation compared with the 1- and 3-month groups, respectively (P<0.001). MBF was decreased in the 3 months group after ablations compared with before ablation and 1-month after ablation, respectively (P<0.001), and was further decreased in 5-months after ablations compared with 1-month and 3-month groups, respectively (P<0.001). Patients with epicardial monopolar radiofrequency ablation had higher levels of hsTnT, MDA-LDL, ACR, LHP, TLR4, sST2, Ang II and lower MBF than patients with endocardial monopolar and bipolar radiofrequency ablations, respectively (P<0.001). CONCLUSION Monopolar radiofrequency ablation method could result in more myocardial injury than bipolar radiofrequency ablation. Oxidative stress and inflammatory response may be involved in cardiac radiofrequency ablation-induced myocardial injury, resulting in myocardial ischemia in elderly patients with PAF.
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Affiliation(s)
- Xia Li
- Xiamen Road Branch Hospital, The Affiliated Huaian Hospital of Xuzhou Medical University, Huaian 22305, China
| | - Wenhang Zhou
- Xiamen Road Branch Hospital, The Affiliated Huaian Hospital of Xuzhou Medical University, Huaian 22305, China
| | - Dianxuan Guo
- Xiamen Road Branch Hospital, The Affiliated Huaian Hospital of Xuzhou Medical University, Huaian 22305, China
| | - Youdong Hu
- Department of Geriatrics, The Affiliated Huaian Hospital of Xuzhou Medical University, Huaian 223002, China
| | - Hualan Zhou
- Department of Geriatrics, The Affiliated Huaian Hospital of Xuzhou Medical University, Huaian 223002, China
| | - Ying Chen
- Department of Geriatrics, The Affiliated Huaian Hospital of Xuzhou Medical University, Huaian 223002, China
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Yamada S, Kaneshiro T, Nodera M, Amami K, Nehashi T, Horikoshi Y, Yamadera Y, Takeishi Y. Utility of short-time electrocardiogram to assess risk for atrial arrhythmia recurrence: Impact of atrial premature beat occurrence 1 day after pulmonary vein isolation for atrial fibrillation. J Cardiovasc Electrophysiol 2023; 34:1969-1978. [PMID: 37482964 DOI: 10.1111/jce.16009] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 04/25/2023] [Revised: 06/19/2023] [Accepted: 07/10/2023] [Indexed: 07/25/2023]
Abstract
INTRODUCTION Atrial premature beats (APBs) are the trigger for atrial fibrillation (AF). We sought to investigate the clinical significance of APB occurrence 1 day after pulmonary vein isolation (PVI) for AF using a short-time electrocardiogram. METHODS A total of 206 patients undergoing PVI for paroxysmal AF were included. Electrocardiogram recording for 100 consecutive beats was performed 1 day after PVI. The patients were divided into two groups: those with reproducible APBs (≥1 beat) during reassessment (APB group, n = 49) or those without (non-APB group, n = 157). Late recurrence was defined as atrial tachyarrhythmia recurrence 3-12 months after PVI. The impact of APB occurrence on outcomes was investigated. RESULTS Late recurrence occurred in 19 patients (9.2%). The presence of low-voltage areas, left atrial volume, and recurrence rate were higher in the APB group than in the non-APB group. In the APB group, the patients with recurrence had lower prematurity index (PI, coupling interval of APB/previous cycle length) compared to those without. Receiver-operating characteristic analysis revealed PI (<59.3) to be a predictive factor of recurrence (area under the curve: 0.733). The study subjects were then reclassified into three groups according to the absence of APB occurrence (n = 157), presence thereof with PI ≥ 59.3 (n = 33), and presence with PI < 59.3 (n = 16). The multivariate Cox models revealed that APB with PI < 59.3 was an independent predictor for recurrence (hazard ratio, 8.735; p < 0.001). CONCLUSION A short-time electrocardiogram enables risk assessment for arrhythmia recurrence, and APB with low PI 1 day after PVI is a powerful predictor.
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Affiliation(s)
- Shinya Yamada
- Department of Cardiovascular Medicine, Fukushima Medical University, Fukushima, Japan
- Department of Arrhythmia and Cardiac Pacing, Fukushima Medical University, Fukushima, Japan
| | - Takashi Kaneshiro
- Department of Cardiovascular Medicine, Fukushima Medical University, Fukushima, Japan
| | - Minoru Nodera
- Department of Cardiovascular Medicine, Fukushima Medical University, Fukushima, Japan
| | - Kazuaki Amami
- Department of Cardiovascular Medicine, Fukushima Medical University, Fukushima, Japan
| | - Takeshi Nehashi
- Department of Cardiovascular Medicine, Fukushima Medical University, Fukushima, Japan
| | - Yukiko Horikoshi
- Department of Clinical Laboratory, Fukushima Medical University, Fukushima, Japan
| | - Yukio Yamadera
- Department of Clinical Laboratory, Fukushima Medical University, Fukushima, Japan
| | - Yasuchika Takeishi
- Department of Cardiovascular Medicine, Fukushima Medical University, Fukushima, Japan
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Jiang Z, Song L, Liang C, Zhang H, Liu L. Prediction model of atrial fibrillation recurrence after Cox-Maze IV procedure in patients with chronic valvular disease and atrial fibrillation based on machine learning algorithm. ZHONG NAN DA XUE XUE BAO. YI XUE BAN = JOURNAL OF CENTRAL SOUTH UNIVERSITY. MEDICAL SCIENCES 2023; 48:995-1007. [PMID: 37724402 PMCID: PMC10930048 DOI: 10.11817/j.issn.1672-7347.2023.230018] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 01/16/2023] [Indexed: 09/20/2023]
Abstract
OBJECTIVES Atrial fibrillation (AF) is a prevalent cardiac arrhythmia, and Cox-maze IV procedure (CMP-IV) is a commonly employed surgical technique for its treatment. Currently, the risk factors for atrial fibrillation recurrence following CMP-IV remain relatively unclear. In recent years, machine learning algorithms have demonstrated immense potential in enhancing diagnostic accuracy, predicting patient outcomes, and devising personalized treatment strategies. This study aims to evaluate the efficacy of CMP-IV on treating chronic valvular disease with AF, utilize machine learning algorithms to identify potential risk factors for AF recurrence, construct a CMP-IV postoperative AF recurrence prediction model. METHODS A total of 555 patients with AF combined with chronic valvular disease, who met the criteria, were enrolled from January 2012 to December 2019 from the Second Xiangya Hospital of Central South University and the Affiliated Xinqiao Hospital of the Army Medical University, with an average age of (57.95±7.96) years, including an AF recurrence group (n=117) and an AF non-recurrence group (n=438). Kaplan-Meier method was used to analyze the sinus rhythm maintenance rate, and 9 machine learning models were developed including random forest, gradient boosting decision tree (GBDT), extreme gradient boosting (XGBoost), bootstrap aggregating, logistic regression, categorical boosting (CatBoost), support vector machine, adaptive boosting, and multi-layer perceptron. Five-fold cross-validation and model evaluation indicators [including F1 score, accuracy, precision, recall, and area under the curve (AUC)] were used to evaluate the performance of the models. The 2 best-performing models were selected for further analyze, including feature importance evaluation and Shapley additive explanations (SHAP) analysis, identifying AF recurrence risk factors, and building an AF recurrence risk prediction model. RESULTS The 5-year sinus rhythm maintenance rate for the patients was 82.13% (95% CI 78.51% to 85.93%). Among the 9 machine learning models, XGBoost and CatBoost models performed best, with the AUC of 0.768 (95% CI 0.742 to 0.786) and 0.762 (95% CI 0.723 to 0.801), respectively. Feature importance and SHAP analysis showed that duration of AF, preoperative left ventricular ejection fraction, postoperative heart rhythm, preoperative neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio, preoperative left atrial diameter, preoperative heart rate, and preoperative white blood cell were important factors for AF recurrence. Conclusion: Machine learning algorithms can be effectively used to identify potential risk factors for AF recurrence after CMP-IV. This study successfuly constructs 2 prediction model which may enhance individualized treatment plans.
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Affiliation(s)
- Zenan Jiang
- Department of Cardiovascular Surgery, Second Xiangya Hospital, Central South University, Changsha 410011.
| | - Long Song
- Department of Cardiovascular Surgery, Second Xiangya Hospital, Central South University, Changsha 410011
| | - Chunshui Liang
- Department of Cardiovascular Surgery, Xinqiao Hospital, Army Medical University, Chongqing 400037, China
| | - Hao Zhang
- Department of Cardiovascular Surgery, Second Xiangya Hospital, Central South University, Changsha 410011
| | - Liming Liu
- Department of Cardiovascular Surgery, Second Xiangya Hospital, Central South University, Changsha 410011.
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Jiang Z, Song L, Liang C, Zhang H, Tan H, Sun Y, Guo R, Liu L. Machine learning-based analysis of risk factors for atrial fibrillation recurrence after Cox-Maze IV procedure in patients with atrial fibrillation and chronic valvular disease: A retrospective cohort study with a control group. Front Cardiovasc Med 2023; 10:1140670. [PMID: 37034340 PMCID: PMC10079913 DOI: 10.3389/fcvm.2023.1140670] [Citation(s) in RCA: 1] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.5] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 01/09/2023] [Accepted: 03/13/2023] [Indexed: 04/11/2023] Open
Abstract
Objectives To evaluate the efficacy of the Cox-Maze IV procedure (CMP-IV) in combination with valve surgery in patients with both atrial fibrillation (AF) and valvular disease and use machine learning algorithms to identify potential risk factors of AF recurrence. Methods A total of 1,026 patients with AF and valvular disease from two hospitals were included in the study. 555 patients received the CMP-IV procedure in addition to valve surgery and left atrial appendage ligation (CMP-IV group), while 471 patients only received valve surgery and left atrial appendage ligation (Non-CMP-IV group). Kaplan-Meier analysis was used to calculate the sinus rhythm maintenance rate. 58 variables were selected as variables for each group and 10 machine learning models were developed respectively. The performance of the models was evaluated using five-fold cross-validation and metrics including F1 score, accuracy, precision, and recall. The four best-performing models for each group were selected for further analysis, including feature importance evaluation and SHAP analysis. Results The 5-year sinus rhythm maintenance rate in the CMP-IV group was 82.13% (95% CI: 78.51%, 85.93%), while in the Non-CMP-IV group, it was 13.40% (95% CI: 10.44%, 17.20%). The eXtreme Gradient Boosting (XGBoost), LightGBM, Category Boosting (CatBoost) and Random Fores (RF) models performed the best in the CMP-IV group, with area under the curve (AUC) values of 0.768 (95% CI: 0.742, 0.786), 0.766 (95% CI: 0.744, 0.792), 0.762 (95% CI: 0.723, 0.801), and 0.732 (95% CI: 0.701, 0.763), respectively. In the Non-CMP-IV group, the LightGBM, XGBoost, CatBoost and RF models performed the best, with AUC values of 0.738 (95% CI: 0.699, 0.777), 0.732 (95% CI: 0.694, 0.770), 0.724 (95% CI: 0.668, 0.789), and 0.716 (95% CI: 0.656, 0.774), respectively. Analysis of feature importance and SHAP revealed that duration of AF, preoperative left ventricular ejection fraction, postoperative heart rhythm, preoperative neutrophil-lymphocyte ratio, preoperative left atrial diameter and heart rate were significant factors in AF recurrence. Conclusion CMP-IV is effective in treating AF and multiple machine learning models were successfully developed, and several risk factors were identified for AF recurrence, which may aid clinical decision-making and optimize the individual surgical management of AF.
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Affiliation(s)
- Zenan Jiang
- Department of Cardiovascular Surgery, the Second Xiangya Hospital of Central South University, Changsha, China
| | - Long Song
- Department of Cardiovascular Surgery, the Second Xiangya Hospital of Central South University, Changsha, China
| | - Chunshui Liang
- Department of Cardiovascular Surgery, Xinqiao Hospital, Army Medical University, Chongqing, China
| | - Hao Zhang
- Department of Cardiovascular Surgery, the Second Xiangya Hospital of Central South University, Changsha, China
| | - Haoyu Tan
- Department of Cardiovascular Surgery, the Second Xiangya Hospital of Central South University, Changsha, China
| | - Yaqin Sun
- Department of Cardiovascular Surgery, the Second Xiangya Hospital of Central South University, Changsha, China
| | - Ruikang Guo
- Department of Cardiovascular Surgery, the Second Xiangya Hospital of Central South University, Changsha, China
| | - Liming Liu
- Department of Cardiovascular Surgery, the Second Xiangya Hospital of Central South University, Changsha, China
- Correspondence: Liming Liu
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