Ethnicity and survival in bladder cancer: a population-based study based on the SEER database

The effect of race/ethnicity on cancer-specific mortality after trimodal therapy

INTRODUCTION

Trimodal therapy (TMT) is the most validated bladder-sparing treatment for organ-confined urothelial carcinoma of the urinary bladder (OC UCUB, namely cT2N0M0). However, it is unknown if barriers to the use of TMT or cancer-specific mortality (CSM) differences exist according to race/ethnicity. We addressed this knowledge gap.

MATERIAL AND METHODS

Within the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results database (2004-2020), we identified OC UCUB patients aged from 18 to 85 treated with radical cystectomy (RC) or TMT. Temporal trends described TMT versus RC use over time. Subsequently, in the subgroup of TMT-treated patients, survival analyses consisting of Kaplan-Meier plots and multivariable Cox regression (MCR) models addressed CSM according to race/ethnicity.

RESULTS

Among 19,501 assessable patients, 15,336 (79%) underwent RC versus 4165 TMT (21%). Overall, of all races/ethnicities, 16,245 (83.3%) were White Americans, 1215 (6.3%) Hispanics, 1160 (5.9%) African Americans, and 881 (4.5%) Asian/Pacific Islanders. Among TMT-treated patients, 3460 (83.1%) were White Americans, 298 (7.1%) African Americans, 218 (5.3%) Hispanics, and 189 (4.5%) Asian/Pacific Islanders. The lowest rate of TMT use relative to RC and TMT patients was recorded in Hispanics (17.9%). Over time, TMT use increased in White Americans (EAPC: + 4.5%, p = 0.001) and Asians/Pacific Islanders (EAPC: + 5.2%, p = 0.003), but not in others. Kaplan-Meier analyses showed median CSM of 49 months, 41 months, and 34 months and not reached in White Americans, Hispanics, African Americans, and Asian/Pacific Islanders, respectively (p = 0.02). In MCR models, two race/ethnicity subgroups independently predicted either worse (African Americans, HR: 1.20, p = 0.02) or better CSM (Asian/Pacific Islanders, HR: 0.75, p = 0.02).

CONCLUSION

Race/ethnicity affects both access to TMT (lower access in Hispanics) as well as survival after TMT (better in Asians/Pacific Islanders and worse in African Americans).

Development and validation of interpretable machine learning models to predict distant metastasis and prognosis of muscle-invasive bladder cancer patients

Muscle-Invasive Bladder Cancer (MIBC) is a more aggressive disease than non-muscle-invasive bladder cancer (NMIBC), with greater chances of metastasis. We sought to develop machine learning (ML) models to predict metastasis and prognosis in MIBC patients. Clinical data of MIBC cases from 2000 to 2020 were sourced from the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) database. Clinical variables used to predict DM were identified through univariate and multivariate logistic regression, and Recursive Feature Elimination (RFE). Thirteen ML models predicting DM were evaluated based on AUC, PRAUC, accuracy, sensitivity, specificity, precision, cross-entropy, Brier score, balanced accuracy, and F-beta score. SHapley Additive exPlanations (SHAP) framework helped interpret the best model. Additionally, we utilized ML algorithm combinations to predict prognosis in MIBC patients with metastasis. A total of 43,951 T2-T4 MIBC patients aged over 18 years old from the SEER database were enrolled consecutively. Nine clinical variables were selected to predict DM. The CatBoost model was identified as the optimal predictor, with AUC values of 0.956 [0.933, 0.969] for the training set, 0.882 [0.857, 0.919] for the internal test set, and 0.839 [0.723, 0.936] for the external test set. The model achieved an accuracy of 0.875 [0.854, 0.896], sensitivity of 0.869 [0.851, 0.889], specificity of 0.883 [0.823, 0.912], and precision of 0.917 [0.885, 0.944]. SHAP analysis revealed that tumor size was the most influential factor in predicting distant metastasis. For prognosis, the "RSF + Enet[alpha = 0.8]" model emerged as the top performer, with C-index values of 0.683 in training, 0.688 in the internal test, and 0.666 in the external test sets. Our ML models provide high accuracy and dependability, delivering refined, individualized predictions for metastasis risk and prognosis in MIBC patients.

Patient-Derived Bladder Cancer Organoids as a Valuable Tool for Understanding Tumor Biology and Developing Personalized Treatment

Bladder cancer (BC) is a heterogeneous disease with high recurrence rates and variable treatment responses. To address these clinical challenges, the world's first bladder cancer patient-derived organoids (PDOs) biobank is established based on an Asian population. Thirty-six BC-PDOs are generated from 56 patients and demonstrated that the BC-PDOs can replicate the histological and genomic features of parental tumors. Drug screening tests are conducted with a broad spectrum of conventional chemotherapeutic and targeted therapy drugs and identified differential drug sensitivities among the BC-PDOs. These in vitro results are consistently supported by the PDO xenograft animal studies and patients' clinical treatment outcomes, thereby verifying the predictive power of PDOs for drug responses in BC patients. By analyzing the genetic profiles of the PDOs, specific driver genes that correlate with drug sensitivity to two stand-of-care chemotherapeutics, cisplatin, and gemcitabine, are identified. Additionally, the practicality of PDOs in investigating the tumor microenvironment has been demonstrated. This study underscores the utility of PDOs in advancing the understanding of bladder cancer and the development of personalized therapeutic strategies. The BC-PDOs biobank provides an ideal preclinical platform for supporting the development of personalized treatment strategies for BC patients. This study also provides insights into the potential mechanisms of drug resistance, paves the way for subsequent region-specific research, and demonstrates the possibility of using PDO-related models to direct future research in developing drugs targeting tumor microenvironments.

Prevalence of surgery in Indigenous people with cancer: a systematic review and meta-analysis

Background

As cancer incidence increases globally, so does the prevalence of cancer among Indigenous peoples. Indigenous peoples face significant barriers to healthcare, including access to and uptake of surgery. To date, the synthesis of access to and uptake of surgery for Indigenous peoples living with cancer has not yet been reported.

Methods

We conducted a systematic literature review and meta-analysis of access to and uptake of surgery for Indigenous peoples in Canada, Australia, New Zealand, and the United States. Five databases were searched to identify studies of Indigenous adults with cancer and those who received surgery. The Joanna Briggs Institute critical appraisal tools were used to assess the quality and inclusion of articles. Random effect meta-analyses were conducted to estimate the pooled prevalence of surgery in Indigenous people with cancer.

Findings

Of the 52 studies in the systematic review, 38 were included in the meta-analysis. The pooled prevalence of surgery in Indigenous people with cancer was 56.2% (95% confidence interval (CI): 45.4-66.7%), including 42.8% (95% CI: 36.3-49.5%) in the Native Hawaiian population, 44.5% (95% CI: 38.7-50.3%) in the Inuit and 51.5% (95%CI: 36.8-65.9%) in Aboriginal and Torres Strait Islander people. Overall, Indigenous people received marginally less cancer surgery than non-Indigenous people (3%, 95% CI: 0-6%). Indigenous people were 15% (95% CI: 6-23%) less likely to receive surgery than non-Indigenous people for respiratory cancers. Remoteness, travel distance, financial barriers, and long waiting times to receive surgery were factors cited as contributing to lower access to surgery for Indigenous people compared to non-Indigenous people.

Interpretation

Efforts to improve access and use of cancer services and surgery for Indigenous peoples should be multilevel to address individual factors, health services and systems, and structural barriers. These determinants need to be addressed to expedite optimal care for Indigenous peoples, especially those living in outer metropolitan areas.

Funding

The Research Alliance for Urban Goori Health (RAUGH) funded this project. GG was funded by an NHMRC Investigator Grant (#1176651).

Relationship Among Body Mass Index, Survival, Cancer Treatment and Health-Related Quality of Life Among Older Patients with Bladder Cancer

BACKGROUND

The relationship between body composition and bladder cancer outcomes is complex. While a higher body mass index (BMI) has been associated with an increased risk of bladder cancer development, its impact on survival outcomes is less clear. This study aimed to explore the association between BMI, survival, health-related quality of life, and the performance of ADLs in a cohort of older patients with bladder cancer.

METHODS

Data were obtained from the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results-Medicare Health Outcomes Survey, including patients diagnosed with bladder cancer who had recorded BMI values. Analysis of variance was used to assess the association between BMI categories and patient demographics as well as cancer/treatment characteristics. Generalized linear models examined the impact of BMI on health-related quality of life, as measured by the physical and mental component summary scores when controlling for confounding variables. Kaplan-Meier survival curves across BMI categories were compared using log-rank tests.

RESULTS

The final cohort consisted of 8013 patients (age ≥ 65) with a mean age of 77.7 ± 7.1 years, the majority of whom were White (85.6%) and male (74.8%). We observed no significant association between BMI and cancer/treatment characteristics. The severely obese subgroup had the highest rate of disability in performing ADLs (18.3%) followed by the underweight subgroup (10.3%). Overweight patients exhibited the highest physical and mental component summary scores, indicating better health-related quality of life. BMI was a significant predictor of overall survival, with overweight, obese, and severely obese patients demonstrating improved survival compared to those with healthy or underweight BMI. These findings remained statistically significant in multivariable analysis.

CONCLUSIONS

Our findings suggest a dual role of BMI in older patients with bladder cancer: higher BMI provides a survival advantage and, to an extent, a QoL advantage. At the same time, severe obesity did lead to the lowest QoL despite improved survival outcomes. These results underscore the complex interplay between BMI, survival, and QoL in this bladder cancer population.

Survival analysis comparing bladder preservation techniques in octogenarians with muscle-invasive bladder cancer

Background

The gold standard treatment for localized muscle-invasive bladder cancer (MIBC) is neoadjuvant chemotherapy with radical cystectomy (RC). Guidelines suggest concurrent chemoradiation (CRT) could be considered as an alternative, and partial cystectomy (PC) may be considered in carefully selected individuals. The bladder preservation strategies are gaining popularity, and due to the concerns about morbidity associated with RC and limited life expectancy, the octogenarian population is exploring strategies that help preserve bladder function. Hence, it is crucial to understand the outcome of various bladder preservation strategies. Using the National Cancer Database (NCDB), we compared the overall survival (OS) of octogenarians treated with PC and CRT.

Methods

We retrospectively evaluated the octogenarians with localized MIBC (cT2N0M0) ≤5 cm and urothelial histology between 2004 and 2018. Our analytic cohorts were the PC cohort, which included patients who underwent PC, and the CRT cohort, which included patients who received chemotherapy and radiotherapy within a 90-day timeframe. After propensity-matching with race and ethnicity, gender, facility type, median income, comorbidity index, and tumor grade, we compared the OS between PC and CRT cohorts.

Results

A total of 1,038 were octogenarians who met our selection criteria. Among them, 248 (23.8%) underwent PC, and 790 (76.2%) received CRT. In the PC cohort, tumors were located predominantly in the dome (34.3%) and anterior wall (10.5%), while in the CRT cohort, tumors were in the trigone (8.4%), lateral (22.0%) and posterior walls (10.6%). The median OS for the matched PC and CRT cohort was 38.3 and 32.9 months, respectively (P=0.66). Multivariate Cox regression showed no difference in survival hazards between PC and CRT [hazard ratio =1.07 (95% confidence interval: 0.82-1.39)] (P=0.63).

Conclusions

Our study comparing PC and CRT in octogenarians with T2 ≤5 cm tumors showed that PC had comparable OS to CRT. Therefore, PC can be considered a viable option in carefully selected octogenarians.

Striving for Equity: Examining Health Disparities in Urologic Oncology

Health disparities in urologic oncology, particularly in prostate, bladder, kidney, and testicular cancers, significantly impact patient outcomes across different demographic groups. This narrative review aims to investigate the extent and drivers of these disparities, focusing on the influence of race, socioeconomic status, and geographic location on diagnosis, treatment, and survival outcomes. We conducted a comprehensive review of the existing literature and analyzed data from national cancer databases to identify patterns of inequity. Our findings reveal that minority populations, individuals with lower socioeconomic status, and those residing in underserved areas are less likely to receive timely and guideline-based care, leading to worse outcomes. This review underscores the urgent need for targeted interventions, including policy reforms, health system restructuring, enhanced community outreach, and increased funding for disparity-focused research, to ensure equitable access to high-quality oncologic care. Addressing these disparities is crucial for improving cancer outcomes and achieving health equity in urologic oncology.

Meta-Analysis of Age, Sex, and Race Disparities in the Era of Contemporary Urothelial Carcinoma Treatment

BACKGROUND

Urothelial carcinoma (UC) is one of the most common cancers diagnosed worldwide. However, minority populations, such as female, elder, and Black patients, may have disparate outcomes and are commonly neglected in randomized prospective trials. This review aims to study the relationship between age, sex, and race on urothelial cancer prognosis, particularly focusing on contemporary therapy and its effect on overall survival.

METHODS

Phase III prospective trials since 2016 of immune checkpoint inhibitors, antibody-drug conjugates, or targeted therapies in urothelial carcinoma were identified from PubMed. Trials that did not report on survival by race, sex, or age distribution were excluded, and remaining trials (n = 17) were compared by subgroup.

RESULTS

Women were reported to have inferior OS on investigational agents compared to men in 9/17 trials. In a meta-analysis, women had inferior OS to men (OR 0.89 [95% CI: 0.78-0.99]; p = 0.04). Asian/Pacific Islander patients had inferior outcomes to White patients on investigational agents in 3/5 trials. In a meta-analysis, OS was not significant by race (OR 1.18 [0.90-1.46], p = 0.38). Black patients composed <2% of all trial patients, and no subgroup data were reported. Both 65 (n = 7) and 75 (n = 2) were reported as age cut-offs in trial subgroups, and survival data were mixed.

CONCLUSIONS

Women in UC trials may have inferior survival outcomes to men. Racial diversity was poor and thus limited any conclusions on survival disparities.

Lymphatic embolization for early post-operative lymphatic leakage after radical cystectomy for bladder cancer

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVE

Although radical cystectomy (RC) with pelvic lymph node dissection (PLND) is the standard treatment of muscle invasive bladder cancer, it may cause lymphatic leakage. Recent studies describe lymphatic embolization (LE) as an option to manage post-operative lymphatic leakage. Hence, this study evaluated the outcome of LE in patients receiving RC and analyzed factors associated with outcomes.

METHODS

This was a retrospective analysis of patients who underwent LE after RC for bladder cancer between August 2017 and June 2023. The data was assessed for analysis at January 2024. The patients were divided into a clinical success group and a clinical failure group. Clinical failure was defined as the following: 1) those who required drainage catheter placement >7 days after LE, 2) those who needed re-intervention before catheter removal, and 3) those who experienced adverse events associated with LE. Logistic regression analysis was performed to identify the factors associated with outcomes of LE.

KEY FINDINGS AND LIMITATIONS

We analyzed 45 patients who underwent LE after RC. Twenty-eight (62.2%) patients were identified as clinically successful. Four patients required re-embolization, but none required more than two sessions of intervention. Three patients experienced lymphatic complications after LE. In multivariable analysis, maximal daily drainage volume of >1,000 mL/day (odds ratio [OR] = 4.729, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.018-21.974, p = 0.047) and diabetes mellitus (DM) (OR = 4.571, 95% CI: 1.128-18.510, p = 0.033) were factors associated with LE outcome.

CONCLUSIONS AND CLINICAL IMPLICATIONS

Our results suggest LE as a potentially effective procedure for controlling post-operative lymphatic leaks after RC, with few minor side effects. Patients exceeding a daily drainage of 1,000mL/day or with a medical history of DM have a higher risk for re-intervention and clinical failure after LE.

A comparative study of survival outcomes between partial and radical cystectomy in octogenarians with muscle-invasive bladder cancer

Background

Neoadjuvant chemotherapy with radical cystectomy (RC) is the preferred first-line treatment for localized muscle-invasive bladder cancer (MIBC). Due to the concern about morbidity associated with RC, the elderly population considers bladder preservation alternatives. Guidelines suggest partial cystectomy (PC) can be considered a viable option in carefully selected individuals. We used the National Cancer Database (NCDB) to compare the overall survival (OS) among octogenarians treated with PC and RC.

Methods

Using NCDB, we retrospectively evaluated individuals aged 80 years and above diagnosed with localized MIBC (cT2-4aN0M0) with tumor size less than 5 cm and urothelial histology between 2004 and 2018. Our primary cohort was divided into the RC cohort, which included patients who underwent RC with or without chemotherapy/radiotherapy, and the PC cohort, which included those who underwent PC. After propensity-matching, we compared the OS.

Results

Of 94,104 patients with MIBC, 2,528 octogenarians met our selection criteria. Among them, 313 were treated with PC, and 2,215 were treated with RC. A total of 151 (48.2%) PC patients had pelvic lymph node dissection, while 1,967 (88.8%) RC patients had lymph node dissection (P<0.001). The OS for matched PC and RC was 33.4 and 29.9 months, respectively (P=0.68). In T2 tumors, the OS for PC and RC was 37 and 33.5 months, respectively (P=0.52); for T3 tumors, the OS was 22.3 and 24.4 months, respectively (P=0.98).

Conclusions

Our study compared PC and RC in octogenarians with localized MIBC and observed that PC is safe and not inferior to RC in carefully selected octogenarians. The role of PC needs further exploration by comparing or integrating with strategies like concurrent chemoradiation to improve the oncological and survival outcomes.

Race/Ethnicity Affects Access and Survival Differences After Neoadjuvant or Adjuvant Chemotherapy at Radical Cystectomy in Urothelial Carcinoma Patients

INTRODUCTION

It is unknown whether race/ethnicity affects access and/or survival after neoadjuvant (NAC) or adjuvant chemotherapy (ADJ) at radical cystectomy (RC). We addressed these knowledge gaps.

MATERIAL AND METHODS

Within the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results database (2007-2020), we identified NAC candidates (T2-T4N0M0) and ADJ candidates (T3-T4 and/or N1-3). We focused on the four most prevalent race/ethnicities: Caucasians, Hispanics, African American (AA), and Asian/Pacific Islanders (API). Multivariable logistic regression models (MLR) tested access to NAC and ADJ. Subsequently, within NAC-exposed patients, survival analyses consisting of Kaplan-Meier plots and multivariable Cox regression models addressed CSM according to race/ethnicity were fitted. We repeated the same methodology in ADJ-exposed patients.

RESULTS

In 6418 NAC candidates, NAC was administered in 1011 (19.0%) Caucasians, 88 (21.0%) Hispanics, 65 (17.0%) AA, and 53 (18.0%) API. In MLR, AA exhibited lower access rates to NAC (OR 0.83, p = 0.04). In NAC-exposed patients, AA independently predicted higher CSM (HR 1.3, p < 0.001) and API independently predicted lower CSM (HR 0.83, p = 0.03). Similarly, in 5195 ADJ candidates, ADJ was administered to 1387 (33.0%) Caucasians, 100 (28.0%) Hispanics, 105 (29.0%) AA, and 90 (37.0%) API. In MLR, AA (OR 68, p = 0.003) and Hispanics (OR 0.69, p = 0.004) exhibited lower access rates to ADJ. In ADJ-exposed patients, AA independently predicted lower CSM (HR 1.32, p < 0.001), while API showed better CSM (HR 0.82, p = 0.01).

CONCLUSION

Relative to Caucasians, AA are less likely to receive either NAC or ADJ. Moreover, relative to Caucasians, AA exhibit higher CSM even when treated with either NAC or ADJ.

Pathological response and survival outcomes after neoadjuvant chemotherapy with radical cystectomy in octogenarians for muscle-invasive bladder cancer: an observational database study

BACKGROUND

Neoadjuvant chemotherapy (NAC) with radical cystectomy (RC) is the preferred first-line treatment for localized muscle-invasive bladder cancer (MIBC). In recent years, octogenarians have been undergoing RC uneventfully, but studies showed older adults receive NAC less often. We studied the utilization and effect of RC with or without NAC in octogenarians and compared survival outcomes between responders and non-responders.

METHODS

In our retrospective study using the National Cancer Database (NCDB), we identified octogenarians with MIBC and urothelial histology who underwent RC with or without NAC between 2004 and 2018. The NAC cohort included patients who underwent RC with NAC, and the non-NAC cohort included those with or without adjuvant chemotherapy. The NAC cohort was subcategorized into responders and non-responders based on surgical pathology. Patients with comorbidity index > 1 were not included, thereby excluding patients with possible renal impairment. After propensity-matching, we compared the overall survival (OS) between NAC and non-NAC cohorts and responders and non-responders.

RESULTS

33924 patients underwent RC, and 3056 octogenarians met our selection. Among them, 396 received NAC, and 2660 did not receive NAC. Among those who received NAC, 112(28.3%) experienced downstaging, and 223(56.4%) exhibited upstaging or no change (p < 0.001). After propensity-matching, the median OS of the NAC and non-NAC cohorts were 51.6 months and 31.3 months, respectively (p<0.001). Similarly, the median OS of responders and non-responders were 89.4 months and 26.5 months, respectively(p < 0.0001).

CONCLUSION

In our study, we observed that NAC with RC for MIBC may help to improve OS among healthy octogenarians. Similarly, responders had better OS than non-responders.

Patterns of chemotherapy use with primary radiotherapy for localized bladder cancer in patients 65 or older

Introduction

Bladder preservation with concurrent chemoradiotherapy after maximum transurethral resection of bladder tumor is an alternative to radical cystectomy in select patients with muscle invasive bladder cancer (MIBC). Concurrent administration of radio-sensitizing chemotherapy and radiation therapy (RT) has been shown to have superior disease control compared with RT alone and can often be administered with modest added toxicity. We sought to describe national patterns of chemotherapy use.

Methods

The linked surveillance, epidemiology, and end results (SEER)-Medicare database was used to identify patients with cT2-4, N0/X, M0/X BC who received radiation between 2004 and 2018. Data on demographics, clinicopathologic factors, therapy and outcomes were extracted. Concurrent utilization of chemotherapy with RT was also identified (CRT). Multivariate logistic regression (MVA) models were used to explore factors associated with receipt of chemotherapy and overall survival (OS).

Results

2190 patients met inclusion criteria. Of these, 850 (38.8%) received no chemotherapy. Among those receiving chemotherapy, the most frequent regimens were single agent carboplatin, cisplatin, or gemcitabine. Factors that were independently associated with decreased likelihood of chemotherapy use were increasing age (OR 0.93, CI 0.92 - 0.95), Hispanic race (compared with White, OR 0.62, CI 0.39 - 0.99), cT3 or T4 (compared with cT2, OR 0.70, CI 0.55 - 0.90), and lower National Cancer Institute comorbidity index (OR 0.60, CI 0.51 - 0.70) (p < 0.05). Variables independently associated with increased likelihood of receipt of chemotherapy were married status (OR 1.28, CI 1.06 - 1.54), higher socioeconomic status (OR 1.31, CI 1.06 - 1.64), and later year of diagnosis (OR 1.09, CI 1.06 - 1.12). Receipt of concurrent chemotherapy with RT was associated with superior OS compared with RT alone.

Conclusion

Over a third of patients >/65 years old receiving curative-intent RT for MIBC do not receive concurrent chemotherapy. Considering the improvement in oncologic outcomes with CRT over RT alone and more options, such as low dose gemcitabine which can be administered with modest toxicity, efforts are needed to identify barriers to utilization and increase the use of radio-sensitizing chemotherapy.

The relationship between income, health insurance, and employment status as prognostic indicators of bladder cancer: A survival analysis

BACKGROUND

Bladder cancer (BC) is one of the health problems. Socioeconomic status (SES) may correlate with patient treatment, possibly impacting patient prognosis. This study aimed to determine the relationship between income, health insurance, and employment status as prognostic indicators of BC.

METHODS

A retrospective observational study for patients diagnosed with BC in a hospital during the 5-year period between January 2019 and December 2023. Kaplan-Meier test analysis was used to generate overall survival curves stratified by income, employment status, and health insurance. Multivariate Cox proportional-hazards regression was used to identify factors associated with worse overall survival.

RESULTS

The results of the analysis on 219 patients showed no difference in patient survival based on income (p>0.05), while employment status and health insurance showed significant difference in patient survival (p<0.05). Moreover, there were 99 (45.2%) patients died, with the average patient being 58 years old and dominant in male patients.

CONCLUSIONS

Prevention of poor outcomes in patients needs to pay attention to certain characteristics, particularly for the loweconomic patients without appropriate national health insurance coverage.

Development and validation of a novel nomogram model for predicting the survival of patients with T2-4a, N0-x, M0 bladder cancer: a retrospective cohort study

OBJECTIVE

Recent developments in bladder cancer treatment strategies have significantly improved the prognosis of clinically curable muscle invasive bladder cancer (MIBC) patients. Here, the prognostic factors of T2-4a, N0-x, M0 MIBC patients were investigated using the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) database and a novel nomogram model was established for prognosis prediction.

METHODS

The data of 7,292 patients with T2-4a, N0-x, M0 MIBC were retrieved from the SEER database (2000-2020) and randomly classified into a training set (n = 5,106) and validation set (n = 2,188). Kaplan-Meier analysis was used to calculate cancer-specific survival (CSS) and overall survival (OS) rates of patients, and differences between survival curves were analyzed using the log-rank test. Cox regression analysis was used to screen and incorporate patient prognosis-affecting independent risk factors into the nomogram model. Consistency index (C-index) values and areas under the time-dependent receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) were used to evaluate the discriminatory ability, and the calibration curve was used to assess the calibration of the model. Its predictive performance and American Joint Committee on Cancer (AJCC) stage were compared using decision curve analysis (DCA).

RESULTS

The 1-, 3-, and 5-year CSS and OS rates of patients with T2-4a, N0-x, M0 MIBC were 76.9%, 56.0%, and 49.9%, respectively, and 71.3%, 47.9%, and 39.5%, respectively. Cox regression analysis showed that age, marital status, race, pathological type, tumor size, AJCC stage, T stage, N stage, surgery of primary tumor, regional lymph node dissection, radiation, and chemotherapy were independent prognostic risk factors of both CSS and OS (P < 0.05). The C-index and AUC of the nomogram model constructed based on the training and validation sets were both > 0.7, and calibration curves for predicting the 1-, 3-, and 5-year survival were consistent with the ideal curve. The nomogram model showed a higher net benefit with DCA than AJCC stage analysis.

CONCLUSION

The nomogram model could accurately predict the prognosis of patients with T2-4a, N0-x, M0 MIBC. It may help clinicians perform personalized prognosis evaluations and formulate treatment plans.

The role of smoking in explaining racial/ethnic disparities in bladder cancer incidence in the United States

INTRODUCTION

Smoking is the most important modifiable risk factor for bladder cancer (BC), with the odds of developing BC among current and former smokers 3 times higher than never-smokers. We hypothesized that the observed disparities in BC incidence may be partially attributable to differences in smoking prevalence. We examined the attributable risk of BC related to smoking according to race/ethnicity and sex.

MATERIAL AND METHODS

We used data from SEER and the Behavioral Risk Factor Surveillance System to estimate BC cases that would have been prevented if current and former smokers had never smoked to calculate the Population Attributable Fractions, stratified by sex and race/ethnicity. SDs of BC incidences across racial/ethnic groups before and after smoking elimination were calculated to estimate disparities.

RESULTS

A total of 25,747 cases of BC were analyzed from 21 registries in 2018. By removing smoking, 10,176 cases (40%) would have been eliminated. Smoking was associated with a higher proportion of BC cases among males (42%) than females (36%). Across racial/ethnic groups, smoking contributed to the highest proportion of BC cases among American Indian/Alaska Natives (AI/AN) (43%) and Whites (36%) for females, and highest among AI/ANs (47%) and Blacks (44%) for males. Removing smoking, the SD of BC incidence across racial/ethnic groups was reduced for females (39%) and males (44%).

CONCLUSION

Approximately 40% of cases of BC in the United States are attributable to smoking, with the highest proportion in AI/ANs for both males and females, and the lowest in Hispanics for females and Asians and Pacific Islanders for males. Smoking contributes to almost half of racial/ethnic disparities in BC incidence in the United States. Accordingly, health policy to encourage smoking cessation among racial-ethnic minorities may substantially reduce inequalities in BC incidence.

Single-cell RNA sequencing reveals sexual diversity in the human bladder and its prospective impacts on bladder cancer and urinary tract infection

BACKGROUND

Some bladder-related diseases, such as bladder urinary tract infection (UTI) and bladder cancer (BCa), have significant six differences in incidence and prognosis. However, the molecular mechanisms underlying these sex differences are still not fully understood. Understanding the sex-biased differences in gene expression in normal bladder cells can help resolve these problems.

METHODS

We first collected published single-cell RNA sequencing (scRNA-seq) data of normal human bladders from females and males to map the bladder transcriptomic landscape. Then, Gene Ontology (GO) analysis and gene set enrichment analysis (GSEA) were used to determine the significant pathways that changed in the specific cell populations. The Monocle2 package was performed to reconstruct the differentiation trajectories of fibroblasts. In addition, the scMetabolism package was used to analyze the metabolic activity at the single-cell level, and the SCENIC package was used to analyze the regulatory network.

RESULTS

In total, 27,437 cells passed stringent quality control, and eight main cell types in human bladder were identified according to classical markers. Sex-based differential gene expression profiles were mainly observed in human bladder urothelial cells, fibroblasts, B cells, and T cells. We found that urothelial cells in males demonstrated a higher growth rate. Moreover, female fibroblasts produced more extracellular matrix, including seven collagen genes that may mediate BCa progression. Furthermore, the results showed that B cells in female bladders exhibited more B-cell activated signals and a higher expression of immunoglobulin genes. We also found that T cells in female bladders exhibited more T-cell activated signals. These different biological functions and properties of these cell populations may correlate with sex differences in UTI and BCa, and result in different disease processes and outcomes.

CONCLUSIONS

Our study provides reasonable insights for further studies of sex-based physiological and pathological disparities in the human bladder, which will contribute to the understanding of epidemiological differences in UTI and BCa.

Results from a Phase 1b/2 Study of Ibrutinib Combination Therapy in Advanced Urothelial Carcinoma

Ibrutinib is a first-in-class Bruton's tyrosine kinase inhibitor approved for the treatment of various B-cell malignancies and chronic graft-versus-host disease. We evaluated the safety and efficacy of ibrutinib, alone or combined with standard-of-care regimens, in adults with advanced urothelial carcinoma (UC). Once-daily ibrutinib was administered orally at 840 mg (single-agent or with paclitaxel) or at 560 mg (with pembrolizumab). Phase 1b determined the recommended phase 2 dose (RP2D) of ibrutinib, and phase 2 assessed progression-free survival (PFS), overall response rate (ORR), and safety. Thirty-five, eighteen, and fifty-nine patients received ibrutinib, ibrutinib plus pembrolizumab, and ibrutinib plus paclitaxel at the RP2D, respectively. Safety profiles were consistent with those of the individual agents. The best-confirmed ORRs were 7% (two partial responses) with single-agent ibrutinib and 36% (five partial responses) with ibrutinib plus pembrolizumab. Median PFS was 4.1 months (range, 1.0-37.4+) with ibrutinib plus paclitaxel. The best-confirmed ORR was 26% (two complete responses). In previously treated patients with UC, ORR was higher with ibrutinib plus pembrolizumab than with either agent alone (historical data in the intent-to-treat population). ORR with ibrutinib plus paclitaxel was greater than historical values for single-agent paclitaxel or ibrutinib. These data warrant further evaluation of ibrutinib combinations in UC.

Association of 5α-Reductase Inhibitor Prescription With Bladder Cancer Progression in Males in South Korea

Importance

The antiandrogenic effect of the 5α-reductase inhibitor (5-ARI) has been investigated for its role in preventing male-predominant cancers. Although 5-ARI has been widely associated with prostate cancer, its association with urothelial bladder cancer (BC), another cancer experienced predominantly by males, has been less explored.

Objective

To assess the association between 5-ARI prescription prior to BC diagnosis and reduced risk of BC progression.

Design, Setting, and Participants

This cohort study analyzed patient claims data from the Korean National Health Insurance Service database. The nationwide cohort included all male patients with BC diagnosis in this database from January 1, 2008, to December 31, 2019. Propensity score matching was conducted to balance the covariates between 2 treatment groups: α-blocker only group and 5-ARI plus α-blocker group. Data were analyzed from April 2021 to March 2023.

Exposure

Newly dispensed prescriptions of 5-ARIs at least 12 months prior to cohort entry (BC diagnosis), with a minimum of 2 prescriptions filled.

Main Outcomes and Measures

The primary outcomes were the risks of bladder instillation and radical cystectomy, and the secondary outcome was all-cause mortality. To compare the risk of outcomes, the hazard ratio (HR) was estimated using a Cox proportional hazards regression model and difference in restricted mean survival time analysis.

Results

The study cohort initially included 22 845 males with BC. After propensity score matching, 5300 patients each were assigned to the α-blocker only group (mean [SD] age, 68.3 [8.8] years) and 5-ARI plus α-blocker group (mean [SD] age, 67.8 [8.6] years). Compared with the α-blocker only group, the 5-ARI plus α-blocker group had a lower risk of mortality (adjusted HR [AHR], 0.83; 95% CI, 0.75-0.91), bladder instillation (crude HR, 0.84; 95% CI, 0.77-0.92), and radical cystectomy (AHR, 0.74; 95% CI, 0.62-0.88). The differences in restricted mean survival time were 92.6 (95% CI, 25.7-159.4) days for all-cause mortality, 88.1 (95% CI, 25.2-150.9) days for bladder instillation, and 68.0 (95% CI, 31.6-104.3) days for radical cystectomy. The incidence rates per 1000 person-years were 85.59 (95% CI, 80.53-90.88) for bladder instillation and 19.57 (95% CI, 17.41-21.91) for radical cystectomy in the α-blocker only group and 66.43 (95% CI, 62.22-70.84) for bladder instillation and 13.56 (95% CI, 11.86-15.45) for radical cystectomy in the 5-ARI plus α-blocker group.

Conclusions and relevance

Results of this study suggest an association between prediagnostic prescription of 5-ARI and reduced risk of BC progression.

Interethnic Differences in Bladder Cancer Incidence and the Association between Type 2 Diabetes and Bladder Cancer in the Multiethnic Cohort Study

Background

Research on the association between type 2 diabetes (T2D) and bladder cancer (BCA) risk among non-European ancestry populations is sparse to nonexistent, and most prior studies rely on a single baseline assessment of T2D status.

Methods

We estimated the T2D-BCA association using the Multiethnic Cohort Study of 185,059 men and women in California and Hawaii. Participants were African American, European American, Japanese American, Latin American, and Native Hawaiian, ages 45-75 years at enrollment (1993-1996). T2D was assessed by self-report at baseline, follow-up surveys, and Medicare claims. Cases were identified using Surveillance, Epidemiology and End Results Program cancer registries through 2016. Associations were estimated by race/ethnicity using Cox proportional hazards regression. Adjusted attributable fractions (AAF) and cumulative absolute risk of bladder cancer were estimated across groups.

Results

Over an average 19.7 years of follow-up 1,890 incident bladder cancer cases were diagnosed. Time-varying T2D was associated with bladder cancer in the multiethnic sample (HR = 1.17; 95% confidence interval, 1.05-1.30); however, the HR did not differ by race/ethnicity (P = 0.85). The AAF was 4.2% in the multiethnic sample and largest among Native Hawaiians (9.8%). Absolute risk of bladder cancer among European Americans without T2D was higher than all other groups with T2D.

Conclusion

T2D is significantly associated with bladder cancer risk in a multiethnic sample.

Significance

Those with T2D have higher incidence of bladder cancer, regardless of racial/ethnic group. Reducing T2D prevalence could substantially lower bladder cancer incidence among Native Hawaiians due to T2D being more common in this group. High absolute risk of bladder cancer among European Americans, regardless of T2D status, indicates that elevated bladder cancer risk in this group may be due to factors other than T2D. Future studies must explore reasons for this difference in incidence.

Disparities in cause-specific mortality by race and sex among bladder cancer patients from the SEER database

PURPOSE

Previous literature shows that more bladder cancer patients overall die from causes other than the primary malignancy. Given known disparities in bladder cancer outcomes by race and sex, we aimed to characterize differences in cause-specific mortality for bladder cancer patients by these demographics.

METHODS

We identified 215,252 bladder cancer patients diagnosed with bladder cancer from 2000 to 2017 in the SEER 18 database. We calculated cumulative incidence of death from seven causes (bladder cancer, COPD, diabetes, heart disease, external, other cancer, other) to assess differences in cause-specific mortality between race and sex subgroups. We used multivariable Cox proportional hazards regression and Fine-Gray competing risk models to compare risk of bladder cancer-specific mortality between race and sex subgroups overall and stratified by cancer stage.

RESULTS

17% of patients died from bladder cancer (n = 36,923), 30% died from other causes (n = 65,076), and 53% were alive (n = 113,253). Among those who died, the most common cause of death was bladder cancer, followed by other cancer and diseases of the heart. All race-sex subgroups were more likely than white men to die from bladder cancer. Compared to white men, white women (HR: 1.20, 95% CI: 1.17-1.23) and Black women (HR: 1.57, 95% CI: 1.49-1.66) had a higher risk of dying from bladder cancer, overall and stratified by stage.

CONCLUSION

Among bladder cancer patients, death from other causes especially other cancer and heart disease contributed a large proportion of mortality. We found differences in cause-specific mortality by race-sex subgroups, with Black women having a particularly high risk of dying from bladder cancer.

Potential for Urolithiasis-related Research Using the Novel Medicare-Litholink Database

INTRODUCTION

To overcome the data availability hurdle of observational studies on urolithiasis, we linked claims data with 24-hour urine results from a large cohort of adults with urolithiasis. This database contains the sample size, clinical granularity, and long-term follow-up needed to study urolithiasis on a broad level.

METHODS

We identified adults enrolled in Medicare with urolithiasis who had a 24-hour urine collection processed by Litholink (2011 to 2016). We created a linkage of their collections results and paid Medicare claims. We characterized them across a variety of sociodemographic and clinical factors. We measured frequencies of prescription fills for medications used to prevent stone recurrence, as well as frequencies of symptomatic stone events, among these patients.

RESULTS

In total, there were 11,460 patients who performed 18,922 urine collections in the Medicare-Litholink cohort. The majority were male (57%), White (93.2%), and lived in a metropolitan county (51.5%). Results from their initial urine collections revealed abnormal pH to be the most common abnormality (77.2%), followed by low volume (63.8%), hypocitraturia (45.6%), hyperoxaluria (31.1%), hypercalciuria (28.4%), and hyperuricosuria (11.8%). Seventeen percent had prescription fills for alkali monotherapy, and 7.6% had prescription fills for thiazide diuretic monotherapy. Symptomatic stone events occurred in 23.1% at 2 years of follow-up.

CONCLUSIONS

We successfully linked Medicare claims with results from 24-hour urine collections performed by adults that were processed by Litholink. The resulting database is a unique resource for future studies on the clinical effectiveness of stone prevention strategies and urolithiasis more broadly.

Impact of Age at Diagnosis of Bladder Cancer on Survival: A Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results-Based Study 2004-2015

BACKGROUND

An older age contributes to the development of bladder cancer. However, the relationship between advanced age at the diagnosis and prognosis of bladder cancer has been few reported. This study aimed to determine the effect of age on survival in bladder cancer with different subgroups.

METHODS

117,275 patients with bladder cancer, identified from the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results database during 2004-2015 in America, were divided into 4 age groups (≤54, 55 to 64, 65 to 74, and ≥75 years). Multivariable Cox proportional-hazards model and competing risk model were conducted according to different age groups. Heat maps were plotted to show the impact of age on survival in subgroups classified by other clinicopathological variables. Moreover, restricted cubic spline was used to model the association between age and the risk of death.

RESULTS

Patients aged ≥75 years had shorter overall survival in comparison with those aged ≤54 years (hazard ratio [HR] = 5.36, 95% confidence interval [CI] = 5.13-5.59). Compared with patients aged ≤54 years, patients older than 75 years experienced a decreased rate of bladder cancer-specific survival (subdistribution HR = 2.15, 95% CI = 2.04-2.25). Heat maps also showed that older ages were associated with worse overall cumulative mortality and bladder cancer-specific cumulative mortality. Similarly, restricted cubic spline verified the impact of age on survival of bladder cancer.

CONCLUSIONS

Age at diagnosis of bladder cancer was found to be a significant predictor for the worse overall survival and bladder cancer-specific survival even in an era with more effective therapies. Exploring the reasons why older age contributes to poor outcomes for bladder cancer will be the focus of future research.

Prognostic nomogram for estimating survival in patients with resected muscle-invasive bladder cancer receiving chemotherapy

Background

Chemotherapy has been proven to bring survival benefit in patients with resected muscle-invasive bladder cancer (MIBC), which is increasingly recommended. Our objective was to establish an effective model for estimating the overall survival (OS) and cancer-specific survival (CSS) in these patients.

Methods

2,030 patients diagnosed with resected MIBC receiving chemotherapy were acquired from the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Result (SEER) database, which were randomized 7:3 into a primary set (1,421 patients) and an internal validation set (609 patients). Significant predictors for OS and CSS were identified by Cox regression models, which were then utilized to develop prognostic nomogram. The performance of the model was assessed by utilizing calibration, area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) and decision curve analysis (DCA).

Results

Six independent prognostic factors, including age, race, histology, T stage, N stage and regional nodes examined, made up the nomogram. The AUCs of the primary cohort was 0.751 and 0.753 for 3- and 5- year OS and 0.751 and 0.754 for 3-and 5- year CSS, respectively. The calibration plots proved the nomograms' satisfactory discrimination. The results of DCA manifested that our models had an excellent clinical applicability. In addition, a risk stratification system was established according to the nomogram' risk score. Obvious difference was found in different groups (P < 0.001).

Conclusion

The established prediction nomogram provides a simple-to-use tool for estimating the survival probability of resected MIBC patients treated with chemotherapy, which can assist clinicians make individualized treatment plans.

Biomarkers to assess the risk of bladder cancer in patients presenting with haematuria are gender-specific

Introduction

Haematuria is a common red flag symptom of urinary tract cancer. Bladder cancer (BC) is the most common cancer to present with haematuria. Women presenting with haematuria are often underdiagnosed. Currently, no gender-specific tests are utilized in clinical practice. Considerable healthcare resources are needed to investigate causes of haematuria and this study was set up to help identify markers of BC. The aim of the study was to define biomarker algorithms in haematuria patients using an expanded panel of biomarkers to diagnose BC and investigate if the algorithms are gender-specific.

Materials and Methods

A total of n=675 patients with a history of haematuria were recruited from Northern Ireland hospitals. Patients were collected on a 2:1 ratio, non-BC (control) n=474: BC n=201. A detailed clinical history, urine and blood samples were collected. Biomarkers, known to be involved in the pathobiology underlying bladder carcinogenesis were investigated. Biomarkers differentially expressed between groups were investigated using Wilcoxon rank sum and linear regression.

Results

Biomarkers were gender specific. Two biomarker-algorithms were identified to triage haematuria patients; male - u_NSE, s_PAI-1/tPA, u_midkine, u_NGAL, u_MMP-9/TIMP-1 and s_prolactin (u=urine; s=serum); sensitivity 71.8%, specificity 72.8%; AUROC 0.795; and female urine biomarkers - IL-12p70, IL-13, midkine and clusterin; sensitivity 83.7%, specificity 79.7%; AUROC 0.865. Addition of the clinical variable infection to both algorithms increased both AUROC to 0.822 (DeLong p=0.014) and to 0.923 (DeLong p=0.004) for males and females, respectively. Combining clinical risk factors with biomarker algorithms would enable application of the algorithms to triage haematuria patients.

Conclusion

Using gender-specific biomarker algorithms in combination with clinical risks that are associated with BC would allow clinicians to better manage haematuria patients and potentially reduce underdiagnosis in females. In this study, we demonstrate, for the first time, that blood and urine biomarkers are gender-specific when assessing risk of BC in patients who present with blood in their urine. Combining biomarker data with clinical factors could improve triage when referring patients for further investigations.

Bladder cancer in Aboriginal and Torres Strait Islander people living in Australia: a scoping review protocol

INTRODUCTION

Bladder cancer is the third most common urological malignancy affecting Australians, with key modifiable risk factors. Aboriginal and Torres Strait Islander people suffer from a higher prevalence of cancer-modifiable risk factors, are diagnosed with bladder cancer at a younger age, and have poorer survival rates compared with the general population. A comprehensive overview of the state of current knowledge on bladder cancer in this population is required.

METHODS AND ANALYSIS

A search of MEDLINE, CINAHL, EMBASE and Web of Science databases, along with appropriate grey literature sources will be conducted between the 1 April 2022 and 30 April 2022. The reference lists of all included studies will be reviewed for additional appropriate sources. The national bladder cancer dataset compiled by the Australian Institute of Health and Welfare will also be included as a source. All relevant sources meeting inclusion criteria, published in English, from inception onwards will be included. Dual independent screening of titles and abstracts prior to full-text review will be undertaken for all identified results during the initial searches. Preliminary findings will be reviewed with stakeholders, to seek culturally appropriate feedback on the implications of the results. Results will be reported in tabular form, accompanied by a narrative synthesis with comparisons to the wider bladder cancer population.

ETHICS AND DISSEMINATION

Ethics review will not be required, as only publicly available data will be analysed. Findings from the scoping review will be published in a peer-reviewed journal and presented at scientific meetings to stakeholders.

Development and Validation of a Prognostic Model for Predicting Overall Survival in Patients With Bladder Cancer: A SEER-Based Study

OBJECTIVE

To establish a prognostic model for Bladder cancer (BLCA) based on demographic information, the American Joint Commission on Cancer (AJCC) 7th staging system, and additional treatment using the surveillance, epidemiology, and end results (SEER) database.

METHODS

Cases with BLCA diagnosed from 2010-2015 were collected from the SEER database, while patient records with incomplete information on pre-specified variables were excluded. All eligible cases were included in the full analysis set, which was then split into training set and test set with a 1:1 ratio. Univariate and multivariate Cox regression analyses were conducted to identify prognostic factors for overall survival (OS) in BLCA patients. With selected independent prognosticators, a nomogram was mapped to predict OS for BLCA. The nomogram was evaluated using receiver operating characteristic (ROC) analysis and calibration plot in both the training and test sets. The area under curve [AUC] of the nomogram was calculated and compared with clinicopathological indicators using the full analysis set. Statistical analyses were conducted using the R software, where P-value <0.05 was considered significant.

RESULTS

The results indicated that age, race, sex, marital status, histology, tumor-node-metastasis (TNM) stages based on the AJCC 7th edition, and additional chemotherapy were independent prognostic factors for OS in patients with BLCA. Patients receiving chemotherapy tend to have better survival outcomes than those without. The proposed nomogram showed decent classification (AUCs >0.8) and prediction accuracy in both the training and test sets. Additionally, the AUC of the nomogram was observed to be better than that of conventional clinical indicators.

CONCLUSIONS

The proposed nomogram incorporated independent prognostic factors including age, race, sex, marital status, histology, tumor-node-metastasis (TNM) stages, and additional chemotherapy. Patients with BLCA benefit from chemotherapy on overall survival. The nomogram-based prognostic model could predict overall survival for patients with BLCA with accurate stratification, which is superior to clinicopathological factors.

The contemporary trend in worsening prognosis of pancreatic acinar cell carcinoma: A population-based study

BACKGROUND

Primary acinar cell carcinoma (ACC) is a rare exocrine tumor of the pancreas with unclear clinical characteristics. Our goal was to determine the incidence and update the clinical characteristics and outcomes of ACC.

METHODS

Through the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) database, we identified 252 patients with the latest diagnosis of ACC (2004-2016). The age-adjusted incidence (AAI) was calculated using the SEER*Stat Software version 8.3.6. The Kaplan-Meier method was used to draw survival curves and differences among them were compared by the log-rank test. Cox proportional hazards models were used to evaluate factors that had independent predictive effects on the overall survival.

RESULTS

The AAI of pancreatic ACC was on the rise with the mean age at diagnosis of 63.79±14.79 years. Most patients (15.9%) had poorer differentiated tumors. The patients presented with distant stage were 54.4% compared with 53.1% between 1988 and 2003. The 1-, 2-, and 5-years survival rates for pancreatic ACC patients were 53.5%, 34.6%,17.5%, respectively (compared with 78.5%, 67.0%, and 42.8%, between 1988 and 2003). The multivariate COX analysis showed that the patient's age, surgery, chemotherapy, and summary stage, but not marital status were independent prognosis factors for ACC.

CONCLUSIONS

Pancreatic ACC is a highly malignant tumor with an increasing incidence in recent years. The rate of distant metastasis is increasing and the survival rate is worse than in the past, suggesting that it may require more aggressive treatment and follow-up. Surgery, radiotherapy, and chemotherapy are all effective treatments, but prospective studies are still needed to verify them.

Individualized Prediction of Overall Survival for Primary Intramedullary Spinal Cord Grade II/III Ependymoma

BACKGROUND

The purpose of this study was to develop and validate a nomogram to predict overall survival (OS) for adult patients with primary intramedullary spinal cord grade II/III ependymoma (PISCGE). We also elucidated the effectiveness of postoperative radiotherapy for this disease.

METHODS

Clinical data of patients with PISCGE between 1988 and 2015 were collected from the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) registry database. The independent prognostic factors were identified using univariate and multivariate Cox analyses. The nomogram was established from the results of the multivariate Cox analysis. We also use some methods to verify the superiority of the prediction model. The effectiveness of postoperative radiotherapy for PISCGE was assessed through coarsened exact matching and survival analyses.

RESULTS

Multivariate Cox analysis revealed that sex, age, surgical treatment, tumor grade, and marital status were independent prognostic factors of OS. The nomogram model was established based on these factors and validated internally. Calibration plots based on bootstrap resampling validation showed good consistency between the nomogram prediction and actual observation. This model also exhibited favorable discrimination characteristics. A risk classification system based on a nomogram was established to promote risk stratification of PISCGE and optimize clinical management. Moreover, we found no association between radiation treatment and the OS for these patients (P > 0.05).

CONCLUSIONS

We built the first nomogram model and risk classification system for PISCGE patients. Our model accurately estimated the individual OS probability of these patients, and proposes different treatment approaches for patients based on the risk classification system. Furthermore, from our findings, radiotherapy confers no survival advantage to these patients.

Risk factors of local recurrence after surgery in extraabdominal desmoid-type fibromatosis: A multicenter study in Japan

This study was undertaken to clarify the risk factors, including the mutation status of CTNNB1, for the local recurrence after surgery of the rare disease desmoid‐type fibromatosis. It was designed as a multiinstitutional joint research project with 7 major centers in Japan participating. The committee members of 7 major medical centers specializing in bone and soft tissue tumors formed this study group to develop clinical care guidelines. Of 196 cases with specimens and medical records collected from the 7 institutions, 88 surgically treated ones were analyzed regarding clinicopathologic prognostic factors including CTNNB1 mutation status. Excluding R2 cases (n = 3), 5‐year local recurrence‐free survival (LRFS) was 52.9%. No case had received pre‐ or postoperative radiotherapy. Univariate analysis revealed that extremity location (P < .001) and larger size (8 cm or more, P = .036) were significant adverse risk factors for LRFS. Multivariate analysis indicated that extremity location (P < .001) was a significantly adverse factor in addition to recurrent tumor (P = .041), S45F mutation (P = .028), and R1 surgical margin (P = .039). Preoperative drug treatment, including nonsteroidal antiinflammatory drugs, did not reduce the incidence of local recurrence (P = .199). This is the first study to analyze the factors correlating with outcomes of surgical treatment, including CTNNB1 mutation status, in a relatively large number of cases from an Asian country. Tumor location was found to be the most influential prognostic factor for local recurrence, similar to the results from Europe and North America. The development of more sensitive method(s) for determination of CTNNB1 mutation is a priority for future study.