Barriers and alternatives to pediatric rheumatology referrals: survey of general pediatricians in the United States

Child Health Needs and the Pediatric Rheumatology Workforce: 2020-2040

The Pediatric Rheumatology (PRH) workforce supply in the United States does not meet the needs of children. Lack of timely access to PRH care is associated with poor outcomes for children with rheumatic diseases. This article is part of a Pediatrics supplement focused on anticipating the future pediatric subspecialty workforce supply. It draws on information in the literature, American Board of Pediatrics data, and findings from a model that estimates the future supply of pediatric subspecialists developed by the Sheps Center for Health Services Research at the University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill, Strategic Modeling and Analysis Ltd., and the American Board of Pediatrics Foundation. PRH has a smaller workforce per capita of children than most other pediatric subspecialties. The model demonstrates that the clinical workforce equivalent of pediatric rheumatologists in 2020 was only 0.27 per 100 000 children, with a predicted increase to 0.47 by 2040. Although the model predicts a 72% increase in providers, this number remains inadequate to provide sufficient care given the number of children with rheumatic diseases, especially in the South and West regions. The likely reasons for the workforce shortage are multifactorial, including lack of awareness of the field, low salaries compared with most other medical specialties, concerns about working solo or in small group practices, and increasing provider retirement. Novel interventions are needed to increase the workforce size. The American College of Rheumatology has recognized the dire consequences of this shortage and has developed a workforce solutions initiative to tackle these problems.

Barriers and Solutions for Pediatric Rheumatology Referrals in a Rural Area: Physician Survey Results From Montana State

BACKGROUND

Currently, there are 9 states across the United States that do not have a pediatric rheumatologist, including the state of Montana. Patients in these states are often cared for by outreach clinics staffed by pediatric rheumatology (PR) providers from other states or looked after by in-state adult rheumatologists or in-state primary care providers.

METHODS

Using a web-based survey, we determined barriers and potential solutions to PR referrals from referring providers (including primary care providers and subspecialists) in Montana state.

RESULTS

Eighty-five Montana referring providers responded, with 44% being pediatric physicians and 33% being family medicine physicians. Other respondents were adult rheumatologists, pediatric and family medicine advanced practice providers, orthopedic surgeons, and pediatric subspecialists. Eighty-five percent of providers had previously referred a patient to PR. Referring providers rated difficulty referring MT patients to PR as 27 (on a linear numeric scale of 0-100, with 0 being very difficult) and noted lack of access to local pediatric rheumatologist as the most significant barrier to referral. The top patient barrier as perceived by 95% of providers was travel time. Potential solutions to improve care included presence of local pediatric rheumatologist with 50 miles, development of algorithms for common PR complaints, and outreach clinics.

CONCLUSION

Referring providers in Montana report difficulty in referring to PR, with lack of access and travel time being key barriers. Improving access through expanding local PR workforce and increasing access through outreach clinics may help reduce these barriers.

Knee acoustic emissions as a noninvasive biomarker of articular health in patients with juvenile idiopathic arthritis: a clinical validation in an extended study population

BACKGROUND

Joint acoustic emissions from knees have been evaluated as a convenient, non-invasive digital biomarker of inflammatory knee involvement in a small cohort of children with Juvenile Idiopathic Arthritis (JIA). The objective of the present study was to validate this in a larger cohort.

FINDINGS

A total of 116 subjects (86 JIA and 30 healthy controls) participated in this study. Of the 86 subjects with JIA, 43 subjects had active knee involvement at the time of study. Joint acoustic emissions were bilaterally recorded, and corresponding signal features were used to train a machine learning algorithm (XGBoost) to classify JIA and healthy knees. All active JIA knees and 80% of the controls were used as training data set, while the remaining knees were used as testing data set. Leave-one-leg-out cross-validation was used for validation on the training data set. Validation on the training and testing set of the classifier resulted in an accuracy of 81.1% and 87.7% respectively. Sensitivity / specificity for the training and testing validation was 88.6% / 72.3% and 88.1% / 83.3%, respectively. The area under the curve of the receiver operating characteristic curve was 0.81 for the developed classifier. The distributions of the joint scores of the active and inactive knees were significantly different.

CONCLUSION

Joint acoustic emissions can serve as an inexpensive and easy-to-use digital biomarker to distinguish JIA from healthy controls. Utilizing serial joint acoustic emission recordings can potentially help monitor disease activity in JIA affected joints to enable timely changes in therapy.

Barriers to care in juvenile localized and systemic scleroderma: an exploratory survey study of caregivers' perspectives

BACKGROUND

Juvenile localized scleroderma (LS) and systemic sclerosis (SSc) are rare pediatric conditions often associated with severe morbidities. Delays in diagnosis are common, increasing the risk for permanent damage and worse outcomes. This study explored caregiver perspectives on barriers they encountered while navigating diagnosis and care for their child's scleroderma.

METHODS

In this cross-sectional study, caregivers of juvenile LS or SSc patients were recruited from a virtual family scleroderma educational conference and a juvenile scleroderma online interest group. The survey queried respondents about their child's condition and factors affecting diagnosis and treatment.

RESULTS

The response rate was 61% (73/120), with 38 parents of LS patients and 31 parents of SSc patients. Most patients were female (80%) and over half were non-Hispanic white (55%). Most families had at least one person with a college education or higher (87%), traveled ≤ 2 h to see their rheumatologist (83%), and had private insurance (75%). Almost half had an annual household income ≥ $100,000 (46%). Families identified the following factors as barriers to care: lack of knowledge about scleroderma in the medical community, finding reliable information about pediatric scleroderma, long wait times/distances for a rheumatology/specialist appointment, balance of school/work and child's healthcare needs, medication side effects, and identifying effective medications. The barrier most identified as a major problem was the lack of knowledge about juvenile scleroderma in the medical community. Public insurance, household income less than $100,000, and Hispanic ethnicity were associated with specific barriers to care. Lower socioeconomic status was associated with longer travel times to see the rheumatologist/specialist. Diagnosis and systemic treatment initiation occurred at greater than one year from initial presentation for approximately 28% and 36% of patients, respectively. Families of LS patients were commonly given erroneous information about the disease, including on the need and importance of treating active disease with systemic immunosuppressants in patients with deep tissue or rapidly progressive disease.

CONCLUSION

Caregivers of children with LS or SSc reported numerous common barriers to the diagnosis, treatment, and ongoing care of juvenile scleroderma. The major problem highlighted was the lack of knowledge of scleroderma within the general medical community. Given that most of the caregiver respondents to the survey had relatively high socioeconomic status, additional studies are needed to reach a broader audience, including caregivers with limited English proficiency, geographical limitations, and financial constraints, to determine if the identified problems are generalizable. Identifying key care barriers will help direct efforts to address needs, reduce disparities in care, and improve patient outcomes.

The Importance of Subspecialty Pediatricians to the Health and Wellbeing of the Nation's Children

Through this review of published literature, it is clear that children benefit in measurable ways when they receive care from trained pediatric subspecialists. The improved outcomes provided by pediatric subspecialists supports the care provided in the patient's pediatric medical home and emphasizes the importance of care coordination between all components of the pediatric workforce. The AAP highlights this in a recent policy statement by stating the care provided by pediatric clinicians "encompasses diagnosis and treatment of acute and chronic health disorders; management of serious and life-threatening illnesses; and when appropriate, referral of patients with more complex conditions for medical subspecialty or surgical specialty care" Explicit in this statement is the emphasis on the role of complex care coordination between pediatric specialist and primary care pediatricians and that collaboration and guidance by the pediatrician is central to providing optimal care of patients. ⁶⁵ Improving health outcomes early in life is an important public health strategy for modifying the complications from childhood chronic disease and highlights the role of pediatricians in mitigating the long-term consequences of antecedents of adult disease. ⁶⁶ The recent announcement of the National Academies of Science, Engineering, and Medicine (NASEM)'s plan for a Consensus Study on The Pediatric Subspecialty Workforce and Its Impact on Child Health and Well-being is a related and exciting development, on a national scale. ⁶⁷ In response to shortages and geographic maldistributions of pediatric subspecialists, the NASEM committee intends to assess the impact of current pediatric clinical workforce trends on child health and well-being, in order to develop informed strategies to ensure an adequate, high-quality pediatric workforce, with a robust research portfolio that informs those recommendations. While this large, national initiative will surely lead to a better understanding of and strategies to implement across the pediatric subspecialty workforce, more well-designed studies that specifically measure child outcomes related to access to pediatric subspecialty care, would add meaningfully to the body of pediatric literature and to our national pediatric advocacy initiatives.

Patients Without a Rheumatic Disease Diagnosis in a Pediatric Rheumatology Unit: Retrospective Analysis and Comparison Between Pre-pandemic and Pandemic Periods

OBJECTIVE

Children with suspicious complaints of rheumatic diseases are generally referred to a pediatric rheumatologist. We aimed to evaluate the profile of patients referred to the pediatric rheumatology unit and were not diagnosed with a rheumatic disease and to assess the impact of the coronavirus disease-2019 pandemic on referral complaints.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

All new outpatients who applied to the pediatric rheumatology department between March 2019 and February 2021 and were not diagnosed with rheumatic disease were included. We also compared the frequency of admission symptoms during the pre-pandemic (March 2019-February 2020) and pandemic periods (March 2020-February 2021).

RESULTS

A total of 1089 patients without a rheumatic disease diagnosis (568 female, 52.2%; median age 10.0 years) were included in this study. The most common complaint for referral was prolonged or recurrent fevers (13.4%) followed by anti-nuclear antibody positivity (13.1%), arthralgia (13.0%), skin findings (7.5%), and the presence of heterozygous mutations in the Mediterranean fever gene (6.9%). During the pandemic year, the number of patients referred for back pain increased significantly (P = .028). A total of 682 of 1089 patients were consulted from other departments in our center (62.6%). Of these, the most frequent consultation request was from general pediatrics (43.6%). The rheumatic disease was excluded in 11.3% of the patients.

CONCLUSION

Prolonged or recurrent fever and anti-nuclear antibody positivity were the most frequent complaints of referrals to a pediatric rheumatology unit in patients who did not have a rheumatic disease. The rate of back pain was more common in children during the pandemic period.

Diagnostic Delays and Psychosocial Outcomes of Childhood-Onset Systemic Lupus Erythematosus

Systemic lupus erythematosus (SLE) is a chronic autoimmune disorder that manifests in affected individuals with a variety of clinical features and involves multiple organs. Despite recent advances over the past decades, higher morbidity and mortality have been reported by studies in patients with childhood-onset systemic lupus erythematosus (cSLE) compared to patients with adult-onset. The interplay of several factors can cause diagnostic delays resulting in worse disease activity, multiple organ damage, increased risk of hospitalization, and management with aggressive treatment. Significant factors include demographic, clinical, and socioeconomic characteristics of patients with cSLE. Moreover, despite recent advances in lupus treatment, prolonged disease duration in these young patients can result in debilitating psychosocial outcomes and can significantly impact their health-related and general quality of life (QOL). Important domains affected include patient self-esteem, education, employment, healthcare utilization, and mental health. In this review, we examined the barriers that lead to a delay in diagnosing lupus in the pediatric population and addressed cSLE morbimortality and its long-term impact on patient health-related and general QOL.

A Quality Improvement Approach to Ensuring Access to Specialty Care for Pediatric Patients

Introduction:

With pediatric rheumatologists in short supply, maximizing appointment availability and streamlining primary/specialty collaboration are essential. Lack of an efficient referral process impacts outcomes, quality of life, satisfaction, affordability, and resource allocation. Before this quality improvement project, our clinic had a 3- to 5-month backlog for new referrals.

Methods:

Using the model for improvement with numerous rapid-cycle plan-do-study-act cycles, this team restructured processes, developed a triage tool for communication across the care continuum, maximized staff roles in multiple areas, and instituted cross-disciplinary communication strategies to reduce appointment delays while significantly increasing efficiency.

Results:

The team succeeded in decreasing time from referral to specialty consult by 60%, decreasing no-show rates from 15% to 6%, and increasing throughput by an average of 45 more patients per month. Most new patients can now see our specialists within 23 days, meaning the children in our community have 65% shorter wait times for rheumatology services.

Conclusion:

The use of a triage algorithm with structured communication allows multidisciplinary care teams at both the referring and receiving providers to efficiently and accurately place patients into specialty care. This highly scalable and transferable project was accomplished with no direct financial outlay yet yielded significant returns by standardizing processes, empowering the entire care team to build skills, and improving communication.

Technology to Assess and Treat Pain in Pediatric Rheumatology

Advancements in eHealth offer unique opportunities for assisting in and augmenting aspects of evidence-based pain evaluation and management with children and adolescents. In this article, we present an overview of some of the opportunities and challenges in pain eHealth for pediatric rheumatologists to consider while caring for children and adolescents seen in their practice.

Pediatric subspecialty telemedicine use from the patient and provider perspective

BACKGROUND

To characterize telemedicine use among pediatric subspecialties with respect to clinical uses of telemedicine, provider experience, and patient perceptions during the COVID-19 pandemic.

METHODS

We performed a mixed-methods study of telemedicine visits across pediatric endocrinology, nephrology, orthopedic surgery, and rheumatology at a large children's hospital. We used deductive analysis to review observational data from 40 video visits. Providers and patients/caregivers were surveyed around areas of satisfaction and communication.

RESULTS

We found adaptations of telemedicine including shared-screen use and provider-guided parent procedures among others. All providers felt that it was safest for their patients to conduct visits by video, and 72.7% reported completing some component of a clinical exam. Patients rated the areas of being respected by the clinical staff/provider and showing care and concern highly, and the mean overall satisfaction was 86.7 ± 19.3%.

CONCLUSIONS

Telemedicine has been used to deliver care to pediatric patients during the pandemic, and we found that patients were satisfied with the telemedicine visits during this stressful time and that providers were able to innovate during visits. Telemedicine is a tool that can be successfully adapted to patient and provider needs, but further studies are needed to fully explore its integration in pediatric subspecialty care.

IMPACT

This study describes telemedicine use at the height of the COVID-19 pandemic from both a provider and patient perspective, in four different pediatric subspecialties. Prior to COVID-19, pediatric telehealth landscape analysis suggested that many pediatric specialty practices had pilot telehealth programs, but there are few published studies evaluating telemedicine performance through the simultaneous patient and provider experience as part of standard care. We describe novel uses and adaptations of telemedicine during a time of rapid deployment in pediatric specialty care.

Disparities in Pediatric Rheumatic Diseases

Health and health care disparities in pediatric rheumatology are prevalent among socially disadvantaged and marginalized populations based on race/ethnicity, socioeconomic position, and geographic region. These groups are more likely to experience greater disease severity, morbidity, mortality, decreased quality of life, and poor mental health outcomes, which are in part due to persistent structural and institutional barriers, including decreased access to quality health care. Most of the research on health and health care disparities in pediatric rheumatology focuses on juvenile idiopathic arthritis and childhood-onset systemic lupus erythematosus; there are significant gaps in the literature assessing disparities associated with other pediatric rheumatic diseases. Understanding the underlying causes of health care disparities will ultimately inform the development and implementation of innovative policies and interventions on a federal, local, and individual level.

Access to Care and Diagnostic Delays in Juvenile Dermatomyositis: Results From the Childhood Arthritis and Rheumatology Research Alliance Legacy Registry

Objective

To determine factors associated with diagnostic delays and outcomes in juvenile dermatomyositis (JDM) in the Childhood Arthritis and Rheumatology Research Alliance Legacy Registry (CLR).

Methods

This was a cross‐sectional study of subjects aged 0 to 17 years with JDM enrolled to the CLR from 2010 to 2015. Access to care was measured by calculating the distance from the subject zip code of residence to the treating pediatric rheumatology center and determining the state density of pediatric rheumatologists based on the 2015 American College of Rheumatology Workforce Study. Delay was categorized as early (<30 days), typical (1‐3 months), moderate (3‐12 months), and severe (>12 months). Ordered generalized additive models were used to determine the association between these measures and diagnostic delays.

Results

The median time to diagnosis was 3.1 months; 37.2% of patients experienced moderate delays, and 14.6% experienced severe delays. In a univariate analysis, younger age of disease onset and male sex were associated with delays. Using a generalized additive model accounting for age, sex, race, and ethnicity, increasing distance from treating pediatric rheumatologist and younger age at disease onset were associated with diagnostic delay. There was no association between the state density of rheumatologists and diagnostic delays in this model.

Conclusion

In the CLR, we found moderate to severe diagnostic delays in the majority of subjects with JDM. Our data suggest that access to care, measured as the distance traveled to treating rheumatologist, is an important factor associated with delays in care but also highlight age as a contributing factor, suggesting that JDM may be less recognizable in young children.

Delivery of paediatric rheumatology care: a survey of current clinical practice in Southeast Asia and Asia-Pacific regions

BACKGROUND

Paediatric rheumatic diseases are a leading cause of acquired disability in Southeast Asia and Asia-Pacific Countries (SE ASIA/ASIAPAC). The aims of this study were to identify and describe the challenges to the delivery of patient care and identify solutions to raise awareness about paediatric rheumatic diseases.

METHODS

The anonymised online survey included 27 items about paediatric rheumatology (PR) clinical care and training programmes. The survey was piloted and then distributed via Survey-Monkey™ between March and July 2019. It was sent to existing group lists of physicians and allied health professionals (AHPs), who were involved in the care pathways and management of children with rheumatic diseases in SE ASIA/ASIAPAC.

RESULTS

Of 340 participants from 14 countries, 261 participants had been involved in PR care. The majority of the participants were general paediatricians. The main reported barriers to providing specialised multidisciplinary service were the absence or inadequacy of the provision of specialists and AHPs in addition to financial issues. Access to medicines was variable and financial constraints cited as the major obstacle to accessing biological drugs within clinical settings. The lack of a critical mass of specialist paediatric rheumatologists was the main perceived barrier to PR training.

CONCLUSIONS

There are multiple challenges to PR services in SE ASIA/ASIAPAC countries. There is need for more specialist multidisciplinary services and greater access to medicines and biological therapies. The lack of specialist paediatric rheumatologists is the main barrier for greater access to PR training.

2015 American College of Rheumatology Workforce Study and Demand Projections of Pediatric Rheumatology Workforce, 2015-2030

OBJECTIVE

Describe the character and composition of the 2015 pediatric rheumatology workforce in the United States (US), evaluate current workforce trends, and project future supply and demand of pediatric rheumatology workforce through 2030.

METHODS

The American College of Rheumatology (ACR) created the Workforce Study Group (WSG) to study the rheumatology workforce. The WSG used primary and secondary data to create a representative workforce model. Pediatric rheumatology supply and demand was projected through 2030 using an integrated data-driven framework to capture a more realistic clinical full-time equivalent (FTE) and produce a better picture of access to care issues in pediatric rheumatology.

RESULTS

The 2015 pediatric workforce was estimated at 287 FTE (300 providers), while the estimated excess demand was 95 (33%). The projected demand will continue to increase to almost 100% (N=230) by 2030 if no changes occur in succession planning, new graduate entrants into the profession, and other factors associated with the workforce.

CONCLUSION

This study projects that the pediatric rheumatology workforce gap will continue to worsen significantly from the 2015 baseline, and by 2030 the demand for pediatric rheumatologists will be twice the supply. Innovative strategies are needed to increase the workforce supply and to improve access to care.

Delays to Care in Pediatric Lupus Patients: Data From the Childhood Arthritis and Rheumatology Research Alliance Legacy Registry

OBJECTIVE

Prompt treatment for lupus is important to prevent morbidity. A potential barrier to early treatment of pediatric lupus is delayed presentation to a pediatric rheumatologist. To better understand factors contributing to delayed presentation among pediatric lupus patients, we examined differences in demographic and clinical characteristics of lupus patients within the Childhood Arthritis and Rheumatology Research Alliance (CARRA) Legacy Registry with regard to time between symptom onset and presentation to a pediatric rheumatologist.

METHODS

We analyzed data from 598 CARRA Legacy Registry participants for differences between those who presented early (within <1 month of symptom onset), between 1-3 months (typical presentation), with moderate delays (3-12 months), and with severe delays (≥1 year). Factors associated with early presentation, moderate delay, and severe delay were determined by multinomial logistic regression.

RESULTS

Forty-four percent of patients presented early, while 23% had moderate delays and 9% had severe delays. Family history of lupus, absence of discoid rash, and location in a state with a higher density of pediatric rheumatologists were associated with earlier presentation. Younger age, low household income (<$25,000 per year), and a family history of lupus were associated with severe delay.

CONCLUSION

Delays to care ≥1 year exist in a notable minority of pediatric lupus patients from the CARRA Legacy Registry. In this large and diverse sample of patients, access to care and family resources played an important role in predicting time to presentation to a pediatric rheumatologist.

Telemedicine and other care models in pediatric rheumatology: an exploratory study of parents' perceptions of barriers to care and care preferences

BACKGROUND

The United States pediatric rheumatology workforce is committed to a mission of providing children access to pediatric rheumatology care. With a limited number and distribution of pediatric rheumatologists, telemedicine has been proposed as one way to meet this mission, yet the adoption of this modality has been slower than expected. The purpose of this study was to explore the parent perspective on barriers to accessing pediatric rheumatology care and to explore the acceptability of telemedicine and other alternative care models.

METHODS

Over a period of six weeks, all new and return English-speaking parents/guardians of patients visiting a single center were offered an opportunity to complete a survey which assessed barriers to care and interest in alternative models of care. Responses were analyzed using descriptive statistics.

RESULTS

Survey response rate was 72% (159/221). Twenty-eight percent (45/159) traveled more than three hours to the pediatric rheumatology clinic, and 43% (65/152) reported travel as inconvenient. An overwhelming majority of respondents (95%, 144/152) reported a preference for in-person visits over the option of telemedicine. This preference was similar regardless of whether respondents reported travel to the clinic as inconvenient vs convenient (inconvenient 92%, 60/65; convenient 97%, 84/87; p = 0.2881) and despite those reporting travel as inconvenient also reporting greater difficulty with several barriers to care. Those familiar with telemedicine were more likely to report a preference for telemedicine over in-person visits (27%, 3/11 vs 3%, 4/140; p = 0.0087). The option of an outreach clinic was acceptable to a majority (63%, 97/154); however, adult rheumatology and shared-care options were less acceptable (22%, 35/156 and 34%, 53/156 respectively).

CONCLUSION

Among survey respondents, in-person visits were preferred over the option of telemedicine, even when travel was noted to be inconvenient. Telemedicine familiarity increased its acceptability. Outreach clinics were acceptable to a majority. Ultimately, the parent perspective can shape acceptable ways to address barriers and provide accessible care.

Challenges in the diagnosis and management of Pediatric Rheumatology in the developing world: Lessons from a newly established clinic in Yemen

Pediatric rheumatology is still considered a mysterious branch of pediatric medicine, especially among developing countries. Long-term consequences usually follow delayed diagnosis, referral, and management of rheumatic disorders. We aim to describe the clinical spectrum and the frequency of pediatric rheumatic diseases (PRDs) in AL-Mukalla hospital in Hadhramout province/Yemen. A case record retrospective study was conducted among all patients who attended the pediatric rheumatology clinic in Al-Mukalla hospital (from January 2010 to December 2016) with a musculoskeletal complaint or systemic symptoms suggestive of rheumatic disease. Data collected included: gender, address, age at the onset of symptoms, initial manifestations, the presence of complications, referral diagnosis, final diagnosis and the lag period before attending the rheumatology clinic. PRDs were present in 86% (37/43) of cases, 83.8% (31/37) were from Hadhramout province. Male to female ratio was 0.9:1 (Male: 18; Female: 19) and the commonest age group affected was (>9-12) years. The mean age at first presentation was 8.859 ± 4.11 years (four months-14 years). One year (0.13-98.4 months) was the median time before referral to the rheumatologist. About 70.3% of cases were referred from other specialists or peripheral hospitals. Joint swelling (54.1%) was the most common presentation and juvenile idiopathic arthritis (24.3%) was the commonest diagnosis. The discrepancy between the referral and the final diagnosis was noticed in 21(48.8%) cases. Only eight cases (18.6%) matched the final diagnosis. Two patients died with a mortality rate of 5.4%. Knowledge of the spectrum and incidence of PRDs will increase the awareness of specialists and general practitioners for early referral and diagnosis to avoid long-term sequels.

Evidence-based decision support for pediatric rheumatology reduces diagnostic errors

BACKGROUND

The number of trained specialists world-wide is insufficient to serve all children with pediatric rheumatologic disorders, even in the countries with robust medical resources. We evaluated the potential of diagnostic decision support software (DDSS) to alleviate this shortage by assessing the ability of such software to improve the diagnostic accuracy of non-specialists.

METHODS

Using vignettes of actual clinical cases, clinician testers generated a differential diagnosis before and after using diagnostic decision support software. The evaluation used the SimulConsult® DDSS tool, based on Bayesian pattern matching with temporal onset of each finding in each disease. The tool covered 5405 diseases (averaging 22 findings per disease). Rheumatology content in the database was developed using both primary references and textbooks. The frequency, timing, age of onset and age of disappearance of findings, as well as their incidence, treatability, and heritability were taken into account in order to guide diagnostic decision making. These capabilities allowed key information such as pertinent negatives and evolution over time to be used in the computations. Efficacy was measured by comparing whether the correct condition was included in the differential diagnosis generated by clinicians before using the software ("unaided"), versus after use of the DDSS ("aided").

RESULTS

The 26 clinicians demonstrated a significant reduction in diagnostic errors following introduction of the software, from 28% errors while unaided to 15% using decision support (p < 0.0001). Improvement was greatest for emergency medicine physicians (p = 0.013) and clinicians in practice for less than 10 years (p = 0.012). This error reduction occurred despite the fact that testers employed an "open book" approach to generate their initial lists of potential diagnoses, spending an average of 8.6 min using printed and electronic sources of medical information before using the diagnostic software.

CONCLUSIONS

These findings suggest that decision support can reduce diagnostic errors and improve use of relevant information by generalists. Such assistance could potentially help relieve the shortage of experts in pediatric rheumatology and similarly underserved specialties by improving generalists' ability to evaluate and diagnose patients presenting with musculoskeletal complaints.

TRIAL REGISTRATION

ClinicalTrials.gov ID: NCT02205086.

Developing a Predictive Score for Chronic Arthritis among a Cohort of Children with Musculoskeletal Complaints--The Chronic Arthritis Score Study

OBJECTIVE

To explore if features obtained from a carefully taken medical history can be predictors of the final diagnosis in children with musculoskeletal complaints.

STUDY DESIGN

We collected detailed clinical information on 178 children referred to our Pediatric Immunology and Rheumatology Unit by their primary care pediatrician for musculoskeletal complaints; a univariate logistic analysis was performed to identify variables correlated with the diagnosis of chronic arthritis. The variables identified were combined in a linear score that indicates the probability for a patient with musculoskeletal pain to receive the diagnosis of chronic arthritis.

RESULTS

The joint swelling pattern (P < .0001), the precipitating factors of pain (P = .001), the duration of morning stiffness (P < .0001) and the frequency of pain (P < .0001), were found to be independently correlated with the diagnosis of chronic arthritis and were used to develop a diagnostic score. This score had a sensitivity of 90.9% and specificity of 95.3%.

CONCLUSIONS

We developed a score that could be useful in the daily clinical routine to correctly direct the differential diagnosis in a child with musculoskeletal complaints, rationalizing time and resources necessary to reach a definitive diagnosis.