A multi-country, prospective cohort study to measure rate and risk of relapse among children recovered from severe acute malnutrition in Mali, Somalia, and South Sudan: a study protocol

Rates and risk factors for relapse among children recovered from severe acute malnutrition in Mali, South Sudan, and Somalia: a prospective cohort study

BACKGROUND

Community-based management of acute malnutrition is an effective treatment model for severe acute malnutrition. However, sparse evidence exists on post-discharge outcomes and the sustainability of recovery. This study aimed to evaluate the risk and determinants of relapse following severe acute malnutrition recovery in high-burden settings.

METHODS

This multi-country prospective cohort study followed children who had recovered from severe acute malnutrition and their non-malnourished peers in parallel for 6 months in Mali (nine sites), South Sudan (six sites), and Somalia (one site). Nutritional status was assessed by research staff at nutrition clinics monthly to obtain the proportion of children exposed to severe acute malnutrition who relapsed to acute malnutrition and the relative risk of developing acute malnutrition for exposed versus non-exposed (ie, previously non-malnourished) children. Exposed children were eligible if they had been discharged from community-based management of acute malnutrition programmes while aged 6-47 months. Non-exposed children were eligible if they had not had an episode of acute malnutrition in the previous year; non-exposed children were matched to exposed children by age, sex, and community. Acute malnutrition was defined as having a mid-upper arm circumference of less than 125 mm, a weight-for-height Z score of less than -2, or nutritional oedema. The primary outcome was the cumulative incidence of acute malnutrition at 6 months in the exposed and non-exposed cohorts. Relapse was defined as an episode of acute malnutrition among exposed children during the 6-month follow-up period.

FINDINGS

Between April 9, 2021, and June 2, 2022, 2749 children were enrolled (1689 exposed and 1060 non-exposed). After 6 months, 30% (95% CI 25-34) of children previously exposed to severe acute malnutrition relapsed in Mali, 63% (95% CI 59-67) in South Sudan, and 22% (95% CI 19-25) in Somalia. Depending on the context, exposed children were 1·2-6·2 times more likely to have acute malnutrition compared with non-exposed children. Higher anthropometric measurements at discharge were protective against relapse; however, few other child-level or household-level factors at the time of discharge were associated with subsequent relapse. After discharge, children experiencing food insecurity or morbidity at time of follow-up were more likely to relapse than those who were not experiencing these factors.

INTERPRETATION

Following severe acute malnutrition recovery, children have a significant risk of relapsing within 6 months, highlighting the particular vulnerability of this population. Although the community-based management of acute malnutrition model proves highly effective in saving lives, high relapse indicates the need for additional services during and following treatment to better sustain recovery.

FUNDING

The United States Agency for International Development.

Household-level water, sanitation and hygiene factors and interventions and the prevention of relapse after severe acute malnutrition recovery: A systematic review

Severe acute malnutrition (SAM) is the most serious form of acute malnutrition and is associated with high mortality risk among children under 5. While the Community-based Management of Acute Malnutrition (CMAM) approach, recommended for treating cases of uncomplicated SAM, has increased treatment coverage and recovery outcomes, high relapse rates have been reported. Several risk factors for SAM relapse, such as insufficient food intake and high infectious disease burden in the community, have been identified. However, the role of household water, sanitation and hygiene (WASH) conditions remains unclear. This systematic review: (1) assesses the effectiveness of WASH interventions on preventing SAM relapse and (2) identifies WASH-related conditions associated with relapse to SAM among children aged 6-59 months discharged as recovered following SAM CMAM treatment. We performed electronic searches of six databases to identify relevant studies published between 1 January 2000 and 6 November 2023 and assessed their quality. After deduplication, 10,294 documents were screened by title and abstract, with 13 retrieved for full-text screening. We included three studies ranging from low- to medium-quality. One intervention study found that providing a WASH kit during SAM outpatient treatment did not reduce the risk of relapse to SAM. Two observational studies found inconsistent associations between household WASH conditions-unimproved sanitation and unsafe drinking water-and SAM relapse. Despite the paucity of evidence, the hypothesised causal pathways between WASH conditions and the risk of relapse remain plausible. Further evidence is needed to identify interventions for an integrated postdischarge approach to prevent relapse.

Risk factors for food contamination among children discharged from community management of acute malnutrition programmes in South Sudan: A cross-sectional study and hazard analysis critical control point approach

Children under-5 years of age are particularly vulnerable to severe acute malnutrition (SAM), and the risk factors associated with relapse to SAM are poorly understood. Possible causes are asymptomatic or symptomatic infection with enteric pathogens, with contaminated food as a critical transmission route. This cross-sectional study comprised a household survey with samples of child food (n = 382) and structured observations of food preparation (n = 197) among children aged 6-59 months that were discharged from treatment in community management of acute malnutrition (CMAM) programmes in South Sudan. We quantified Escherichia coli and total coliforms (TCs), measured in colony forming units per g of food (CFU/g), as indicators of microbial contamination of child food. A modified hazard analysis critical control point (HACCP) approach was utilised to determine critical control points (CCPs) followed by multivariate logistic regression analysis to understand the risk factors associated with contamination. Over 40% (n = 164) of samples were contaminated with E. coli (43% >0 E. coli CFU/g, 95% CI 38%-48%), and 90% (n = 343) had >10 TCs (CFU/g) (>10 TC CFU/g, 95% CI 87%-93%). Risk factors associated (p < 0.05) with child food contamination included if the child fed themselves (9.05 RR, 95% CI [3.18, 31.16]) and exposure to animals (2.63 RR, 95% CI [1.33, 5.34]). This study highlights the risk factors and potential control strategies that can support interventions that reduce food contamination exposure in young children and help further protect those that are highly vulnerable to recurrent exposure to enteric pathogens.

A Prospective Comparison of Standard and Modified Acute Malnutrition Treatment Protocols during COVID-19 in South Sudan

A non-randomized prospective cohort study was conducted in 2022 to compare recovery rate and length of stay (LoS) for acutely malnourished children treated under South Sudan's standard Community Management of Acute Malnutrition (CMAM) protocol and a COVID-modified protocol. Children aged 6-59 months received acute malnutrition (AM) treatment under the standard or modified protocol (mid-upper-arm circumference-only entry/exit criteria and simplified dosing). Primary (recovery rate and LoS) were compared for outpatient therapeutic (OTP) and therapeutic supplementary feeding programs (TSFP) using descriptive statistics and mixed-effects models. Children admitted to OTP under both protocols were similar in age and sex; children admitted to TSFP were significantly older under the modified protocol than the standard protocol. Shorter LoS and higher recovery rates were observed under the modified protocol for both OTP (recovery: 93.3% vs. 87.2%; LoS: 38.3 vs. 42.8 days) and TSFP (recovery: 79.8% vs. 72.7%; LoS: 54.0 vs. 61.9 days). After adjusting for site and child characteristics, neither differences in adjusted odds of recovery [OTP: 2.63; TSFP 1.80] nor LoS [OTP -10.0; TSFP -7.8] remained significant. Modified protocols for AM performed well. Adjusted models indicate similar treatment outcomes to the standard protocol. Adopting simplified protocols could be beneficial post-pandemic; however, recovery and relapse will need to be monitored.