In utero exposure to the Great Chinese Famine and risk of intracerebral hemorrhage in midlife

Unveiling the long-term impact: exploring the link between exposure to the great Chinese famine and health-related quality of life in middle-aged and elderly populations through propensity score matching

OBJECTIVE

This study aimed to explore the relationship between exposure to the Great Chinese Famine (1959-1961) and health-related quality of life (HRQoL) in middle-aged and elderly people after adjusting for selection bias using propensity score matching (PSM).

METHODS

This cross-sectional study was conducted in Ningxia, China, in 2022. A multi-stage stratified cluster-randomized design was used to obtain a representative sample in each county. We included participants aged 45 years and older, who had lived there for more than 1 year. This study included 5,793 middle-aged and elderly people in Ningxia, China as the research subjects. This study used propensity score matching (PSM) to empirically examine the association between exposure to the Great Famine and HRQoL in middle-aged and older adults. In the first step, we estimated a binary logistic regression model with Great Chinese Famine exposure as the dependent variable and 7 factors as confounding variables. In the second step, we performed propensity score analysis using the confounding variables identified in the first step to control for potential selection bias. To avoid bias due to age differences, we introduced the age variable into the regression model to explore the effect of the Great Famine impact. Different definitional criteria were used to define the exposed and control groups in order to robustly test the findings.

RESULTS

The results showed that middle-aged and elderly people who reported exposure to the Great Famine had lower HRQoL than middle-aged and elderly people who were not exposed to the Great Famine, after adjusting for gender, educational background, economic level, BMI, Chronic conditions, smoking and drinking. In order to avoid the influence of age differences on the results, this study used matched samples and included the age variable in the regression analysis to minimise the bias due to age. Also, exposure was defined in different ways to test the robustness of the results.

CONCLUSIONS

The health-related quality of life of middle-aged and older adults who experienced China's Great Famine (1959-1961) declined substantially in later life, but the inclusion of the age variable made the statistical results non-significant.

Metabolic syndrome, high-sensitivity C-reactive protein and the risk of heart failure: the Kailuan cohort study

Background

Metabolic syndrome (MetS) and elevated high-sensitivity C-reactive protein (hs-CRP) have been identified as risk factors for heart failure (HF) in some studies. However, little was known about the co-exposure of MetS and inflammation to HF. We aimed to investigate the combined effect of MetS and high hs-CRP levels on the risk of incident HF.

Methods

The study included 94,841 participants without HF selected from the Kailuan cohort in 2006 (the baseline) and then followed up until 31 December 2020. Participants were divided into four groups based on the presence of MetS and high hs-CRP levels (>3mg/L) at baseline: MetS-CRP- (n=53,937), MetS-CRP+ (n=10,338), MetS+CRP- (n=23,521), MetS+CRP+ (n=7,045). Cox regression models were used to analyze the association of MetS and inflammation with the risk of HF. Statistical significance was defined as a two-tailed P value < 0.05.

Results

The mean age of the participants was 51.5 ± 12.5 years, and 75,976 (80.0%) were male. During 13.1 years of follow-up, 3,058 participants were diagnosed with HF. The HF incidence rate of four groups were 1.69/1000pys, 2.95/1000pys, 3.27/1000pys, 5.33/1000pys. The HR for MetS-CRP+, MetS+CRP-, and MetS+CRP+ were 1.29 (95% CI, 1.15-1.45), 1.40 (95% CI, 1.29-1.53), and 1.85 (95% CI, 1.65-2.06), respectively, compared with MetS-CRP-. After stratification by age (p for interaction < 0.01), compared with the MetS-CRP- group, the HR of the MetS+CRP+ group was 2.17 (95% CI, 1.83-2.57) in participants with < 60 years and 1.53 (95% CI, 1.32-1.78) in participants with ≥ 60 years. There was an interaction between groups and ues of antihypertension medication (p for interaction <0.01). Compared with MetS-CRP-, the risk of HF in the MetS+CRP+ group was increased 1.38-fold (95% CI, 1.12-1.70) in participants with antihypertension medication use and 2.00-fold (95% CI, 1.75-2.27) in participants without antihypertension medication use.

Conclusions

The combination of MetS and elevated hs-CRP was associated with increased risk of HF in the Chinese population.

Clinical trial registration

https://www.chictr.org.cn, identifier ChiCTR-TNRC-11001489.

Early-life famine exposure and subsequent risk of chronic disease comorbidity in later adulthood: the role of social activities

Background

With the global population aging, the burden of health issues has shifted from infectious diseases to chronic diseases. Research indicates a significant link between exposure to famine in early life and chronic diseases. However, evidence regarding the relationships among early-life famine exposure, social activities, and chronic disease comorbidities is lacking.

Objectives

We aimed to systematically assess how early-life famine exposure influences the risk of chronic disease comorbidities in later adulthood and how social activities modulate this risk.

Methods

In this nationwide study, we utilized data from the fourth wave of the CHARLS conducted in 2018. We included 6,641 participants and categorized them into five groups based on birth dates. We used the LCA model to reclassify the 14 chronic diseases from the CHARLS survey as the main outcome indicators. We employed stepwise logistic regression to examine the link between early-life famine exposure and the subsequent risk of chronic disease comorbidity in adulthood, presenting the findings as ORs and 95% CIs. We conducted subgroup analyses according to baseline characteristics to examine the robustness and potential differences in outcomes for chronic disease comorbidity. We evaluated the interaction between famine exposure and social engagement on both additive and multiplicative scales using generalized linear models (GLM).

Results

The prevalence of chronic disease comorbidity patterns between 1.3% (cancer-related disease) and 19.9% (cardiovascular disease comorbidity). Those who experience famine in early life face a heightened risk of cardiovascular disease comorbidity in late adulthood, with an OR (95% CI) of 1.42 (1.12 to 1.80), urinary system disease with an OR (95% CI) of 1.87 (1.05 to 3.34), and multimorbidity with an OR (95% CI) of 1.39 (1.07 to 1.79) compared to those who did not experience such conditions. Participating in social activities can lower the risk of metabolic disease comorbidities in late adulthood for infants who experienced famine, with an (OR [95% CI] of 0.64 [0.43 to 0.97]). There was an interactive effect on the additive (OR [95% CI] of -0.42 [-2.52 to -0.32], P < 0.01) and multiplicative (P = 0.001) effect between infants with famine exposure and social activity.

Conclusion

Experiencing famine in early life is associated with a heightened risk of chronic disease comorbidities in later adulthood, a relationship modulated by participation in social activities. Social activities and early life exposure to famine have an interactive effect on chronic disease comorbidities in later adulthood.

Life's essential 8 and cardiovascular disease among patients with hyperuricemia: The Kailuan Cohort Study

OBJECTIVES

Studies have found that a high Life's Essential 8 (LE8) score is associated with a reduced risk of cardiovascular disease(CVD) in cancer populations and young adults. However, the association between LE8 and the risk of CVD in hyperuricemia (HUA) is not fully understood.

METHODS

The main analysis included 6814 HUA participants. In a secondary analysis, 5,418 participants were selected from the main analysis to model the trajectory of uric acid (UA) levels from 2006 to 2010. Cox regression model was used to investigate the relationship between LE8 total score and cardiovascular disease risk in different populations.

RESULTS

Follow-up of 15.79 years in the main analysis, 986 CVD events occurred. With tertile 1 as the control group, the HR and 95 % CI of CVD in tertile 2 and tertile 3 were 0.75(0.65,0.87) and 0.56(0.47,0.66). In the secondary analysis, the HR and 95 %CI of individuals with low and medium levels of UA reduced CVD were 0.49(0.26,0.89) and 0.56(0.41,0.76), respectively, but this association was not found in individuals with sustained high UA levels. The risk of CVD was different between the sexes. There are differences in cardiovascular disease risk among different age groups.

CONCLUSIONS

The risk of CVD in HUA population decreased with the increase of LE8 score, especially in young and middle-aged people and women. However, it is important to note that LE8 may not reduce the risk of CVD in individuals with sustained high UA levels.

In utero and childhood exposure to the great Chinese famine and risk of aging in adulthood

Background Early-life exposure to famine may influence the occurrence of chronic diseases and aging in midlife among those exposed. This study aims to explore the relationship between exposure to the Chinese Great Famine and aging in middle-aged individuals. Methods Participants born in 1963-1965 (unexposed), 1959-1961 (in utero exposure), and 1955-1957 (childhood exposure) from the Kailuan Study were included. Their biological age at 2010, 2014, and 2018 was investigated, and age acceleration (biological age minus actual age) was calculated to assess aging. Logistic regression analysis was employed to describe the relationship between famine exposure and the aging risk. Subgroup and sensitivity analysis were conducted to explore differences and stability in this relationship among different groups. Results A total of 17,543 participants were included in this study. Among them, 12,762 (72.7%) were male, and 4,781 (27.3%) were female, with 2,543 participants experiencing aging events. Compared to unexposed participants, those exposed during childhood and in utero exhibited a 1.69-fold (OR = 1.69, 95%CI: 1.53-1.87) and 1.22-fold (OR = 1.22, 95%CI: 1.08-1.37) increased risk of aging. Subgroup analysis revealed an interaction with income (P for interaction = 0.008), and additional interaction analysis suggested that increasing income could partially mitigate the detrimental effects of early-life famine exposure. Furthermore, experiencing famine in severely affected regions exacerbated the risk of aging (OR = 1.41, 95%CI: 1.21-1.63). Conclusion Exposure to famine in utero or during childhood may elevate the risk of midlife aging among exposed individuals, and these relationships are influenced by the severity of famine exposure. Increasing income may also help mitigate these effects.Trial registration: Kailuan study, ChiCTRTNRC11001489. Registered July 19, 2015 Retrospectively registered, https//www.chictr.org.cn/showprojEN.html?proj=8050&u_atoken=af46a0dee8d73f320bb5459ab7bbcfa9&u_asig=1a0c381017255295896468605e00cf .

Effect of In utero Exposure to Air Pollution on Adulthood Hospitalizations

Empirical analyses have demonstrated that individuals exposed to severe air pollution in utero have worse health outcomes during childhood. However, there is little evidence on the long-term health impacts of air pollution exposure. The objective of this paper is to estimate the effect of in utero exposure to the Great London Smog of 1952 (GLS) on five health outcomes identified through a scoping review to be those most likely affected: respiratory, circulatory, neoplasms, mental health, and nervous system conditions. We use the GLS, an extreme air pollution event in December 1952, as a quasi-natural experiment to estimate the effect of exposure to air pollution in utero on adulthood health. Data from the UK Biobank is analysed for a cohort of participants born from December 1952 to July 1956. Differences in health outcomes between adults exposed and not exposed to the GLS due to their birth dates, born inside and outside London, were explored. Our primary focus is hospitalization events between 1997 and 2020 (corresponding to ages 40 to 69), as recorded in linked administrative data from the National Health Service (NHS). Specifically, the five primary outcomes are binary variables indicating that the individual had at least one hospitalization where the main cause of hospitalization is related to respiratory, circulatory, neoplasms, mental health, or nervous system conditions. The analytical sample comprised 36,281 individuals. A positive effect on adulthood hospitalizations due to respiratory conditions was observed. If exposed to the GLS in utero, the probability of at least one respiratory health-related hospitalization between 1997 and 2020 increased by 2.58 percentage points (95% CI 0.08, 4.30, p = 0.03), a 23% increase relative to the sample mean. Small effects were found for all other outcomes, suggesting that these conditions were not affected by the GLS. We do not find heterogeneous effects by sex or childhood socioeconomic status. This study found that a 5-day pollution exposure event while in utero significantly increased respiratory-related hospitalizations at ages 40 to 69 but had no impact on hospitalizations due to circulatory, neoplasms, mental health, and nervous system conditions.

Early-life exposure to the Great Chinese Famine and gut microbiome disruption across adulthood for type 2 diabetes: three population-based cohort studies

BACKGROUND

The early life stage is critical for the gut microbiota establishment and development. We aimed to investigate the lifelong impact of famine exposure during early life on the adult gut microbial ecosystem and examine the association of famine-induced disturbance in gut microbiota with type 2 diabetes.

METHODS

We profiled the gut microbial composition among 11,513 adults (18-97 years) from three independent cohorts and examined the association of famine exposure during early life with alterations of adult gut microbial diversity and composition. We performed co-abundance network analyses to identify keystone taxa in the three cohorts and constructed an index with the shared keystone taxa across the three cohorts. Among each cohort, we used linear regression to examine the association of famine exposure during early life with the keystone taxa index and assessed the correlation between the keystone taxa index and type 2 diabetes using logistic regression adjusted for potential confounders. We combined the effect estimates from the three cohorts using random-effects meta-analysis.

RESULTS

Compared with the no-exposed control group (born during 1962-1964), participants who were exposed to the famine during the first 1000 days of life (born in 1959) had consistently lower gut microbial alpha diversity and alterations in the gut microbial community during adulthood across the three cohorts. Compared with the no-exposed control group, participants who were exposed to famine during the first 1000 days of life were associated with consistently lower levels of keystone taxa index in the three cohorts (pooled beta - 0.29, 95% CI - 0.43, - 0.15). Per 1-standard deviation increment in the keystone taxa index was associated with a 13% lower risk of type 2 diabetes (pooled odds ratio 0.87, 95% CI 0.80, 0.93), with consistent results across three individual cohorts.

CONCLUSIONS

These findings reveal a potential role of the gut microbiota in the developmental origins of health and disease (DOHaD) hypothesis, deepening our understanding about the etiology of type 2 diabetes.

Brachial-ankle pulse wave velocity is a stronger predictor than blood pressure for atherosclerotic cardiovascular diseases and all-cause mortality: a cohort study

Whether brachial-ankle pulse wave velocity (baPWV) is a better predictive indicator than blood pressure (BP) for atherosclerotic cardiovascular diseases (ASCVD) events and all-cause mortality in the general population has not yet been established. The current study included 47,659 participants from the Kailuan cohort in China, who underwent the baPWV test and were free of ASCVD, atrial fibrillation, and cancer at baseline. The hazard ratios (HRs) of ASCVD and all-cause mortality were evaluated using the Cox proportional hazards model. The predictive ability of baPWV, systolic BP (SBP), and diastolic BP (DBP) for ASCVD and all-cause mortality was evaluated using the area under the curve (AUC) and concordance index (C-index). Within the median follow-up period of 3.27 and 3.32 person-years, 885 ASCVD events and 259 deaths occurred, respectively. The HRs of ASCVD and all-cause mortality increased with the increase of baPWV, SBP, and DBP. When baPWV, SBP, and DBP were analyzed as continuous variables, the adjusted HRs were 1.29 (95% CI, 1.22-1.37), 1.28 (95% CI, 1.20-1.37), and 1.26 (95% CI, 1.17-1.34) for each standard deviation increase, respectively. The AUC and C-index for baPWV in predicting ASCVD and all-cause mortality were 0.744 and 0.750, respectively, while those for SBP were 0.697 and 0.620, those for DBP were 0.666 and 0.585. The AUC and C-index of baPWV were higher than those of SBP and DBP (P < 0.001). Therefore, baPWV is an independent predictor of ASCVD and all-cause mortality in the general Chinese population, and its predictive ability is superior to that of BP. baPWV is a more ideal screening method for ASCVD in large-scale population.

Metabolic Dysfunction-associated fatty liver disease and incident heart failure risk: the Kailuan cohort study

BACKGROUND

Recently, metabolic dysfunction-associated fatty liver disease (MAFLD) has been proposed to replace non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) to emphasize the pathogenic association between fatty liver disease and metabolic dysfunction. Studies have found that MAFLD independently increases the risk of myocardial infarction and stroke. But the relationship between MAFLD and heart failure (HF) is not fully understood.

OBJECTIVES

This study aimed to explore the association between MAFLD and the risk of HF.

METHODS

The study included 98,685 participants without HF selected from the Kailuan cohort in 2006. All participants were divided into non-MAFLD group and MAFLD group according to MAFLD diagnostic criteria. After follow-up until December 31, 2020, the Cox regression analysis model was used to calculate the effect of MAFLD on the risk of HF.

RESULTS

During the median follow-up of 14.01 years,3260 cases of HF were defined, the HF incidence density of non-MAFLD group and MAFLD group was 2.19/1000pys and 3.29/1000pys, respectively. Compared with the non-MAFLD group, participants with MAFLD had an increased risk of HF (HR: 1.40, 95% CI: 1.30-1.50); in addition, an exacerbation of fatty liver disease was associated with an increased risk of HF in people with MAFLD. We also observed a higher risk of HF among the different metabolic dysfunction of MAFLD in people with both fatty liver disease and type 2 diabetes (HR, 1.95; 95% CI, 1.73-2.20).

CONCLUSIONS

Our findings suggest that the risk of HF was significantly increased in participants with MAFLD, and an exacerbation of fatty liver disease was associated with an increased risk of HF in people with MAFLD. In addition, we should pay more attention to people with MAFLD with type 2 diabetes.

Effect of body mass index trajectory on lifetime risk of cardiovascular disease in a Chinese population: A cohort study

BACKGROUND AND AIMS

The longitudinal trajectories of body mass index (BMI) can reflect the pattern of BMI changes. Lifetime risk quantifies the cumulative risk of developing a disease over the remaining life of a person. We aimed to identify the trajectory of BMI and explore its association with cardiovascular disease (CVD) in the Chinese population.

METHODS AND RESULTS

A total of 68,603 participants with a mean age of 55.46 years were included from the Kailuan cohort in Tangshan, China, who were free of CVD and cancer and with repeated measurements of BMI from 2006 to 2010. A latent mixture model was used to identify BMI trajectories. An improved Kaplan-Meier estimator was used to predict the lifetime risk of CVD according to BMI trajectories. During a median follow-up of 7.0 years, 3325 participants developed CVD. Five BMI trajectories were identified at three index ages (35, 45, and 55) respectively. For index age 35 years, compared with the stable low-normal weight group (22.7% [95% CI, 20.0%-25.4%]), the stable high-normal weight (27.6% [25.6%-29.5%]), stable overweight (29.4% [27.4%-31.4%]), stable-low obesity (32.8% [30.0%-35.5%]), and stable-high obesity (38.9% [33.3%-44.5%]) groups had a higher lifetime risk of CVD (P < 0.05). We observed similar patterns for stroke and myocardial infarction. Similarly, the lifetime risk of CVD was higher in the long-term overweight and obese groups at 45 and 55 index ages.

CONCLUSIONS

Long-term overweight and obesity were associated with an increased lifetime risk of CVD. Our findings could assist in predicting the population burden of CVD.

The Mediating Role of Systemic Inflammation in the Effects of Fetal Famine Exposure on Cardiovascular Disease in Adults: A Cohort Study

BACKGROUND

A few studies have reported the association between famine exposure during fetal development and risk of CVD, but no mechanisms have been explored.

OBJECTIVES

The objective of this study was to examine risk of CVD in adulthood after exposure to famine during the fetal stage and explore the mediating role of systemic inflammation.

METHODS

A total of 59,416 participants of the Kailuan Study without CVD were included. All participants were divided into 3 groups based on date of birth, including the unexposed group (1963-1974), the fetal-exposed group (1959-1962), and the childhood-exposed group (1949-1958). Systemic immune-inflammation index (SII) (neutrophils × platelets / lymphocytes) and systemic inflammatory response index (SIRI) (neutrophils × monocytes / lymphocytes) are 2 novel systemic inflammation indexes that represent the level of systemic inflammation. Time-weighted Cox regression was used to test the effect of famine exposure on risk of CVD, and a mediation model was used to calculate the role of systemic inflammation.

RESULTS

During a median follow-up period of 12.36 (12.69, 13.16) y, a total of 3772 cases of CVD were documented. Compared with unexposed participants, the fetal-exposed group had an increased risk of CVD (HR: 1.19; 95% CI: 1.04, 1.38) and stroke (HR: 1.28; 95% CI: 1.09, 1.51) but not MI. No association was observed in the childhood-exposed group. In mediation analysis, SII mediated an estimated 24.43% of the association between fetal exposure and CVD (24.61% for stroke and 23.27% for MI). For SIRI, this percentage was 30.20% for CVD (29.94% for stroke and 31.25% of MI).

CONCLUSIONS

Fetal exposure to famine may increase risk of CVD in adulthood. Systemic inflammation may play an intermediary role in the effect of fetal famine exposure on CVD. J Nutr 2023;xx:xx-xx.

Long-Term Impact of the Great Chinese Famine on the Risks of Specific Arrhythmias and Severe Hypertension in the Offspring at an Early Stage of Aging

Perinatal malnutrition affects postnatal cardiovascular functions. This study used the Great Chinese Famine (GCF) to determine the long-term impact of perinatal undernutrition on hypertension and arrhythmias in older offspring. Subjects (n = 10,065) were divided into an exposed group whose fetal life was in the GCF and an unexposed group. The exposed group showed higher systolic/diastolic pressure, heart rate, and total cholesterol. Perinatal exposure to the GCF was a significant risk to Grade 2 and Grade 3 hypertension (OR = 1.724, 95%CI: 1.441-2.064, p < 0.001; OR = 1.480, 95%CI: 1.050-2.086, p < 0.05) compared to the control. The GCF also increased risks for myocardial ischemia (OR = 1.301, 95%CI: 1.135-1.490, p < 0.001), bradycardia (OR = 1.383, 95%CI: 1.154-1.657, p < 0.001), atrial fibrillation (OR = 1.931, 95%CI: 1.033-3.610, p < 0.05), and atrioventricular block (OR = 1.333, 95%CI: 1.034-1.719, p < 0.05). Total cholesterol, diabetes, and metabolic syndrome were associated with Grade 2 or Grade 3 hypertension after exposure to the GCF; high cholesterol, high BMI, diabetes, metabolic syndrome, and elevated blood pressure were linked to certain types of arrhythmias in exposed offspring. The results first demonstrated perinatal undernutrition was a significant risk factor for the development of Grade 2-3 hypertension and certain arrhythmias in humans. Perinatal undernutrition still significantly impacted cardiovascular systems of the aged offspring even 50 years after the GCF. The results also provided information to a specific population with a history of prenatal undernutrition for early prevention against cardiovascular diseases before aging.

Effects of fetal famine exposure on the cardiovascular disease risk in the metabolic syndrome individuals

BACKGROUND

Patients with metabolic syndrome (MS) have a higher incidence of cardiovascular disease (CVD), but the possible mechanisms are not fully understood and further exploration of the possible factors influencing the high incidence of CVD in patients with MS is still needed.

OBJECTIVES

This study aims to examine the association between fetal famine exposure and the risk of CVD in adulthood with MS.

METHODS

Of 13,744 MS patients free of CVD selected from the Kailuan Study in 2006 (referred as the baseline survey) were included in the study. China suffered a severe famine from 1959 to 1962, so the participants born during this period were classified as the uterine famine exposed group. All patients were born between January 1, 1949, and December 31, 1974. Based on the date of birth, all patients were divided into the no-exposed group (born between January 1, 1963, and December 31, 1974), uterine famine exposed group (born between January 1, 1959 and December 31, 1962), and childhood famine exposed group (born between January 1, 1949 and December 31, 1958). After following up to December 31, 2019, the weighted Cox regression analysis model was used to calculate the effect of early life famine exposure in MS individuals on the risk of CVD in adulthood.

RESULTS

During the 12.12 years of follow-up, the incidence of CVD was 5.87%, 10.13%, and 10.90% in the no-exposed group, uterine famine exposed group, and childhood famine exposed group, respectively. Compared with participants in the no-exposed group, the CVD risk and stroke risk increased in participants in the uterine famine exposed group (for CVD, HR: 1.32, 95% CI 1.04-1.67; for stroke, HR:1.37, 95% CI 1.05-1.79), but not in childhood famine exposed group. However, the increased CVD risks were only observed in females or smokers. No increased MI risks were observed for participants in the uterine famine exposed group or childhood famine exposed group.

CONCLUSIONS

Our findings suggested that exposure to famine during uterine life might increase the risk of CVD in adulthood in participants with MS.

Early-Life Exposure to the Chinese Famine of 1959-1961 and Type 2 Diabetes in Adulthood: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis

BACKGROUND

The fast-growing literature suggests that the Chinese famine of 1959-1961 drives current and future type 2 diabetes (T2D) epidemics in China. This conclusion may be premature, as many Chinese famine studies have major methodological problems. We examine these problems, demonstrate how they bias the study results, and formulate recommendations to improve the quality of future studies.

METHODS

We searched English and Chinese databases for studies that examined the relationship between prenatal exposure to the Chinese famine and adult T2D from inception to 8 February 2022. We extracted information on T2D cases and study populations of individuals born during the famine (famine births), before the famine (prefamine births), and after the famine (postfamine births). We used random-effects models to compare the odds of T2D in famine births to several control groups, including postfamine births, combined pre- and postfamine births, and prefamine births. We used meta-regressions to examine the impacts of age differences between comparison groups on famine effect estimates and the role of other characteristics, including participant sex, age, and T2D assessments; famine intensity; residence; and publication language. Potential sources of heterogeneity and study quality were also evaluated.

RESULTS

Twenty-three studies met our inclusion criteria. The sample sizes ranged from less than 300 to more than 360,000 participants. All studies defined the famine exposure based on the participants' dates of birth, and 18 studies compared famine births and postfamine births to estimate famine effects on T2D. The famine and postfamine births had an age difference of three years or more in all studies. The estimates of the famine effect varied by the selection of controls. Using postfamine births as controls, the OR for T2D among famine births was 1.50 (95% CI 1.34-1.68); using combined pre- and postfamine births as controls, the OR was 1.12 (95% CI 1.02-1.24); using prefamine births as controls, the OR was 0.89 (95% CI 0.79-1.00). The meta-regressions further showed that the famine effect estimates increased by over 1.05 times with each one-year increase in ignored age differences between famine births and controls. Other newly identified methodological problems included the poorly assessed famine intensity, unsuitable study settings for famine research, and poor confounding adjustment.

INTERPRETATION

The current estimates of a positive relationship between prenatal exposure to the Chinese famine and adult T2D are mainly driven by uncontrolled age differences between famine births and postfamine births. Studies with more rigorous methods, including age-balanced controls and robust famine intensity measures, are needed to quantify to what extent the famine exposure is related to current T2D patterns in China.

Leukocyte as an Independent Predictor of Lower-Extremity Deep Venous Thrombosis in Elderly Patients With Primary Intracerebral Hemorrhage

Objective

Due to the interaction of leukocytes with platelets and coagulation factors, they may in turn play a role in hemostasis or the formation of thrombi. This study aimed to investigate the association of leukocytosis on admission with an increased risk of acute lower-extremity deep venous thrombosis (LEDVT) in elderly patients with primary intracerebral hemorrhage (ICH).

Methods

This was a single-center, retrospective observational study of consecutive patients observed with spontaneous ICH aged 60 years or above at Lanzhou University Second Hospital from January 2017 to September 2021. Clinical data and demographic information were collected and analyzed. Univariate and multivariate analyses were conducted to identify independent risk factors of acute LEDVT. One-to-one matching was implemented to balance important patient characteristics by the groups' propensity score matching (PSM) analysis.

Results

A total of 371 elderly patients with primary ICH fulfilled requirements for inclusion and exclusion, of whom 33 (8.89%) experienced LEDVT. Leukocyte counts were statistically higher in the LEDVT group compared to the non-LEDVT group [12.89 (8.80–14.61) × 10⁹ cells/L vs. 8.31 (6.60–10.75) × 10⁹ cells /L, p < 0.001]. Multivariate logistic regression models adjusted for several potential confounding factors were performed, and leukocytes were consistently a significant independent predictor of LEDVT. The optimal cut-off value of leukocyte counts calculated from the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve to predict LEDVT was 10.22 × 10⁹ cells /L (area under the curve:0.714, 95%CI 0.665–0.759; the sensitivity was 72.73%; the specificity was 71.01%) in elderly patients with primary ICH. After one-to-one PSM, compared to the matched non-LEDVT group, the matched LEDVT group had significantly higher leukocyte counts [11.98 (8.40–13.94) × 10⁹ cells/L vs. 6.12 (4.68–12.00) × 10⁹ cells/L, p = 0.003]. After PSM, the ROC curve was plotted for leukocytes as a predictor of LEDVT, with an AUC of 0.722 (95%CI 0.593–0.828, p = 0.001; the sensitivity was 87.10%, and the specificity was 61.29%). Elevated leukocytes remained independently significant as predictors of LEDVT in elderly patients with primary ICH.

Conclusion

Leukocyte at admission is an independent risk factor of LEDVT in elderly patients with primary ICH.

Sex Differences at Early Old Stage in Glycolipid Metabolism and Fatty Liver in Offspring Prenatally Exposed to Chinese Great Famine

Background

About 50 years ago, Chinese Great Famine (CGF) affected the entire population in China, and its long-term influence on the offspring has attracted significant attention for research. However, information on possible metabolic differences between sexes is limited. This study explored whether there might be sex differences in the risks of development of glucolipid metabolic dysfunction and fatty liver following prenatal exposure to CGF.

Materials and Methods

There were 11,417 subjects around 55 years of age (6,661 women and 4,756 men). They were divided as the exposed group in which the fetal stage was in CGF, and the unexposed group included those born after CGF. Analysis focused on comparisons between sexes.

Results

Compared to the unexposed group, the BMI and triglyceride (P &lt; 0.05) in men were higher in exposed group, while waist circumference and blood sugar (P &lt; 0.05) in the exposed women were significantly higher. With the ages being properly balanced, the risks of glycolipid metabolic dysfunction were significantly higher in both men and women in the exposed than in the unexposed group (P &lt; 0.001). Prenatal exposure to CGF significantly increased risks of abnormal BMI (P &lt; 0.001, 95% CI: 2.305–2.93), blood sugar (P &lt; 0.05, 95% CI: 1.050–1.401), triglycerides (P &lt; 0.05, 95% CI: 1.006–1.245), and fatty liver (P &lt; 0.001, 95% CI: 1.121–1.390) in men, and increased risks of abnormal blood sugar (P &lt; 0.05, 95% CI: 1.024–1.689) and positive urine sugar (P &lt; 0.05, 95% CI: 1.062–6.211) in women. Height and body weight were either the same or higher in the exposed subjects compared with the unexposed ones, regardless of sexes.

Conclusion

This study is the first to identify sex differences in the long-term effects of CGF on metabolism and fatty liver. Importance of the findings include the benefits of prescribing medicine for the early prevention of certain diseases for each sex before aging based on the differences revealed. This study also shows “catch-up growth” in the offspring prenatally exposed to CGF as possible mechanisms underlying the long-term effects.

Early-Life Exposure to Malnutrition From the Chinese Famine on Risk of Asthma and Chronic Obstructive Pulmonary Disease in Adulthood

Objectives

Intrauterine malnutrition has a long-term effect on respiratory and lung function. However, few studies have explored the association between early-life exposure to famine with asthma and chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) in adulthood. Therefore, we aimed to investigate the association of early-life exposure to the Chinese famine of 1959–1962 with asthma and COPD later in life.

Methods

This national population-based study included 6,771 participants from the baseline survey of the China Health and Retirement Longitudinal Study (CHARLS) who were born around the time of the Chinese famine. The famine exposure groups were determined according to the participants' birth year as non-exposed (1964–1967), fetal-exposed (1959–1962), preschool-exposed (1954–1957), and school-age exposed (1950–1953). Information about the demographic characteristics, self-reported doctor-diagnosed asthma and COPD, behavior and lifestyles, and indoor pollution were collected using validated questionnaires. In addition, peak expiratory flow (PEF) was measured to assess pulmonary function. Multivariable logistic regression and generalized linear mixed models were performed to explore the risk of adult asthma and COPD, PEF changes during various famine exposure periods compared with the non-exposed group. Stratified and sensitivity analyses were conducted to examine the modification and robustness of the association.

Results

The prevalence of doctor-diagnosed asthma and COPD was 2.8 and 8.1%, respectively. Compared with the non-exposed group, the risk was significantly higher in the fetal-exposed group for asthma [adjusted odds ratio, (aOR) = 1.87, 95% confidence interval (CI):1.14–3.07] and the school-age exposed group [1.30 (1.00–1.69)] for COPD after controlling for confounders. Furthermore, we observed that fetal exposure to famine was significantly associated with a decrement of PEF in adulthood [β = −11.38 (−22.75 to −0.02)] compared with the non-exposed group. Stratified analyses showed that the association of asthma was stronger in men, who resided in severely famine-affected areas, smoked, and used solid fuels for cooking. No clearly consistent association was observed for subsequent COPD.

Conclusions

Our results suggest that fetal exposure to the Chinese famine is significantly associated with the increased risk of asthma in adulthood. Future prospective studies are warranted to examine the association and mechanisms.

Low-Density Lipoprotein Cholesterol and the Risk of Rheumatoid Arthritis: A Prospective Study in a Chinese Cohort

Objective: This study aimed to investigate whether low-density lipoprotein cholesterol (LDL-C) concentration was associated with the risk of rheumatoid arthritis (RA) in Chinese adults. Methods: The study included the 97,411 participants in the Kailuan Study without RA, with complete baseline LDL-C data, and who did not use lipid-lowering medications at baseline or during follow-up. We used Cox proportional hazards modeling to calculate the hazard ratio (HR) and 95% confidence interval (95% CI) of RA according to baseline LDL-C tertiles, adjusting for age, sex, body mass index, HDL-C, triglycerides, diabetes, hypertension, alcohol consumption, and smoking. We also calculated the HR and 95% CI of RA using updated LDL-C measurements prior to the end of follow-up, adjusting for covariates. Results: We identified 97 incident RA cases between 2006 and 2018. After adjusting for potential confounders, updated LDL-C concentration—rather than baseline LDL-C—was inversely associated with RA risk. The adjusted HR of RA was 0.64 (95% CI: 0.38, 1.09; p-trend = 0.10) comparing the two extreme baseline LDL-C tertiles, and 0.38 (95% CI: 0.22, 0.64; p-trend < 0.01) comparing the two extreme tertiles of the updated LDL-C concentrations. Conclusions: In this prospective study, high LDL-C concentrations, when measured closest to RA diagnosis or the end of follow-up, were associated with a low risk of RA. These findings highlight the changes in LDL-C prior to RA diagnosis, and the importance of including lipid analyses into studies of the pathogenesis of RA.

Association of Parental Famine Exposure With Offspring Depression and Cognition Function

BACKGROUND

The effect of early exposure to famine on depression and cognition in adulthood has been shown, but the intergenerational association of famine remain to be explored. This study focused on exploring the association of parental famine exposure with depression and cognition in the offspring.

METHODS

Based on the Chinese Family Panel Studies database, which is a longitudinal survey, we included 5,150 individuals born between 1959 and 1961 and divided them into fetal-exposed, infancy-exposed (birth year = 1957-1958), school-age-exposed (birth year = 1949-1956), adolescent-exposed (birth year = 1946-1948), and unexposed groups. We used one-way analysis of variance, multiple linear regression, and one follow-up measurement to analyze the association between parental famine exposure and offspring depression and cognitive function.

RESULTS

Compared with the unexposed group, the correlations between parental famine exposure during fetal period and their cognitive function (mother: β = -1.614, 95% CI: -2.535, -0.693; p = 0.001; father: β = -2.153, 95% CI: -3.104, -1.202, p < 0.001) were significant. For the offspring, there was a negative correlation between famine exposure of fathers during the fetal period and depression in their offspring (β = -0.477, 95% CI: -0.907, -0.047; p = 0.030). There was a negative correlation between maternal famine exposure during the infant and adolescent period and cognitive function in the offspring (math test: β = -0.730, 95% CI: -1.307, -0.153; p = 0.013; word test: β = -2.346, 95% CI: -4.067, -0.625; p = 0.008).

LIMITATIONS

Not all variables related to depression and cognition function were included in the CFPS database, and the other unknown or unmeasured confounders may explain our results.

In utero and childhood exposure to the Great Chinese Famine and risk of cancer in adulthood: the Kailuan Study

BACKGROUND

The risk of cancer in adulthood can be influenced by exposure to environmental factors (e.g., food shortage and stress) in early life.

OBJECTIVES

This study compared the risk of cancer morbidity and mortality between Chinese adults who were or were not exposed to the Great Chinese Famine (1959-1961) in utero or during early childhood.

METHODS

The Kailuan Study participants (n = 101,095) were classified into 5 famine exposure groups by birth year collected at study baseline (2006-2007): after 1961 (unexposed), 1959-1961 (in utero exposed), 1956-1958 (infancy and early childhood exposed, aged 0.1-2.9 y), 1953-1955 (childhood exposed, aged 3.0-5.9 y), and before 1953 (exposed, aged 6+ y). They were further classified by the severity of famine exposure. Cancer and cancer mortality cases from 2006 to 2016 were confirmed by reviewing medical records. Cox proportional hazard models were computed, adjusting for sex, socioeconomic status, and other time-varying cancer-related covariates.

RESULTS

During a median follow-up of 10.0 y, we identified 3560 incident cancer cases and 1749 cancer deaths. Famine exposure at all ages was positively associated with the risk of cancer morbidity and mortality (P < 0.001 for all, compared with unexposed). Severe exposure to famine in early childhood, but not other ages, had a higher risk of composite cancer events [adjusted HR = 2.04 (95% CI: 1.47, 2.84) for 0.1-2.9 y; and 1.61 (95% CI: 1.15, 2.25) for 3.0-5.9 y], relative to the less severely exposed groups of the same age range. When cancer morbidity and mortality were studied separately, similar patterns were observed.

CONCLUSIONS

In utero and early childhood exposures to famine, especially severe famine, were associated with a higher risk of cancer morbidity and mortality in adulthood. Awareness should be raised regarding the long-term effect of early life nutritional status.Trial registration number: ChiCTR-TNRC-11001489 (http://www.chictr.org.cn/showprojen.aspx?proj=8050).

Ideal Cardiovascular Health Metrics Modify the Association Between Exposure to Chinese Famine in Fetal and Cardiovascular Disease: A Prospective Cohort Study

Background: No study has explored the modification effect of ideal cardiovascular health metrics (ICVHMs) on the association between famine exposure and risk of cardiovascular disease (CVD) so far. We aim to examine the effect of ICVHMs on the association between exposure to famine early in life and the risk of CVD in adulthood.

Methods: A total of 61,527 participants free of CVD were included in this study from the Kailuan Study. All participants were divided into three groups, included nonexposed, fetal-exposed, and childhood-exposed groups. Cox regression was used to estimate the effect of famine exposure and ICVHMs on CVD risk.

Results: After a median of 13.0 (12.7–13.2) years follow-up, 4,814 incident CVD cases were identified. Compared with nonexposed participants, the CVD risk increased in participants with fetal famine exposure (hazard ratio [HR]: 1.21; 95% CI: 1.07–1.37), but not in childhood famine-exposed participants. After stratifying by the number of ICVHMs, the increased CVD risk associated with fetal famine exposure was only observed in participants with less ICVHMs ( ≤ 2) (HR: 1.30; 95% CI: 1.11–1.52, P for interaction=0.008), but disappeared in those with three or more ICVHMs. The modified effect of ICVHMs was sex specific (P for sex interaction = 0.031).

Conclusions: Exposing to famine in the fetal period could increase the risk of CVD in late life; however, ICVHMs might modify the effect of famine exposure on CVD risk, especially in men.

Cerebrovascular disease at young age is related to mother's health during the pregnancy-The Northern Finland Birth Cohort 1966 study

BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE

For prevention of cerebrovascular diseases at younger age, it is important to understand the risk factors occurring early in life. We investigated the relationship between mothers' general health during pregnancy and the offspring's risk of cerebrovascular disease in age of 15 to 52 years.

METHODS

Within the population-based prospective Northern Finland Birth Cohort 1966, 11,926 persons were followed from antenatal period to 52 years of age. Information on their mother's ill health conditions, i.e., hospitalizations, chronic diseases, medications, vitamin or iron supplement, fever, anemia, mood, and smoking was collected from 24th gestational week onwards. Ischemic and hemorrhagic cerebrovascular diseases of the offspring were identified from national registers in Finland. Cox proportional hazard models were used to estimate the association of mother's health conditions with incidence of cerebrovascular disease in the offspring, with adjustments for potential confounders.

RESULTS

During 565,585 person-years of follow-up, 449 (2.8%) of the offspring had a cerebrovascular disease. Hospitalization during pregnancy was associated with an increased risk of cerebrovascular disease in the offspring (hazard ratio (HR) = 1.49; 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.06-2.08) after adjustment for confounders, as was having more than three ill health conditions (HR = 1.89; CI 1.14-3.11). Not using vitamin or iron supplement was associated with increased risk for cerebrovascular disease in the offspring (HR = 1.39; CI 1.01-1.89).

CONCLUSIONS

The results suggest that the risk of cerebrovascular disease may start as early as during the antenatal period, and the health characteristics of mothers during pregnancy may play a role in cerebrovascular disease risk of the offspring.

Alcohol Consumption and Risk of Rheumatoid Arthritis among Chinese Adults: A Prospective Study

Alcohol consumption may be associated with the risk of rheumatoid arthritis (RA), but potential sex-related differences in this association have not been explored. Thus, we utilized 87,118 participants in the Kailuan Study, a prospective cohort initiated in 2006 to study the risk factors of cardiovascular disease in a Chinese population. We included those that did not have RA at baseline (2006), and performed cox proportional hazard modeling to calculate the hazard ratio (HR) and 95% confidence interval (95% CI) of RA according to the levels of alcohol consumption (never or past, light or moderate (<1 serving/day for women, <2 servings/day for men), and heavy (>1 serving/day for women, >2 servings/day for men), adjusting for age, sex, body mass index, and smoking. Diagnoses of RA were confirmed via medical record review by rheumatologists. From 2006 to 2018, we identified 87 incident RA cases. After adjusting for potential confounders, the HR of RA was 1.26 (95% CI: 0.62, 2.56) for participants with light or moderate alcohol consumption and 1.98 (95% CI: 0.93, 4.22) for participants with heavy alcohol consumption) versus non-drinkers. The HR of each 10 g increase in alcohol consumption was 1.11 (95% CI: 0.98, 1.26) (p-trend = 0.09). A significant association between alcohol consumption and RA risk was observed in women, but not in men (p for interaction = 0.06). Among women, each 10 g increase in alcohol consumption was significantly associated with a high risk of RA (HR: 1.56; 95% CI: 1.06, 2.29). In contrast, each 10 g increase in alcohol consumption was not significantly associated with the risk of RA in men (HR: 1.10; 95% CI: 0.97, 1.25). Excluding past drinkers generated similar results. In this prospective Chinese cohort, increasing alcohol consumption was associated with an elevated risk of RA among women, but not in men. These findings highlight the importance of incorporating analysis of sex differences into future studies of alcohol consumption and RA risk.

In Utero and Early Life Exposure to the Great Chinese Famine and Risk of Rheumatoid Arthritis in Adulthood

OBJECTIVE

To investigate whether early life exposure to the Great Chinese Famine of 1959-1961 is associated with the risk of RA development in adulthood.

METHODS

This study included 101,510 participants who were enrolled in the Kailuan Study in 2006. RA cases were confirmed by medical record review. Logistic regression was used to calculate the odds ratio (OR) and 95% confidence interval (95% CI) for RA according to famine exposure status (exposed in utero or between ages 0 and 3 years, between ages 3 and 6 years, or at age 6 years or older), in comparison to participants born after 1961 who were not exposed to famine.

RESULTS

During 12 years of follow-up (2006-2018), we identified 187 RA cases. Individuals exposed to famine in utero or between ages 0 and 3 years had a higher prevalence of RA relative to other groups (0.2-0.35% versus 0.08-0.20%). After adjustment for potential confounders, the OR for RA was 2.95 (95% CI 1.55-5.59) for individuals exposed in utero, 4.53 (95% CI 2.72-7.54) for those exposed between ages 0 and 3 years, 2.55 (95% CI 1.43-4.57) for those exposed between ages 3 and 6 years, and 2.72 (95% CI 1.70-4.36) for those exposed at age 6 years or older versus individuals born after 1961. Similar associations with the risk of RA were observed for men and women when subjects were stratified by sex (P for interaction = 0.89).

CONCLUSION

Individuals exposed to famine in utero or in early childhood (between ages 0 and 3 years) were more likely to develop RA in adulthood, highlighting the importance of early life as a vulnerable developmental period.

Maternal Undernutrition Modulates Neonatal Rat Cerebrovascular Structure, Function, and Vulnerability to Mild Hypoxic-Ischemic Injury via Corticosteroid-Dependent and -Independent Mechanisms

The present study explored the hypothesis that an adverse intrauterine environment caused by maternal undernutrition (MUN) acted through corticosteroid-dependent and -independent mechanisms to program lasting functional changes in the neonatal cerebrovasculature and vulnerability to mild hypoxic-ischemic (HI) injury. From day 10 of gestation until term, MUN and MUN-metyrapone (MUN-MET) group rats consumed a diet restricted to 50% of calories consumed by a pair-fed control; and on gestational day 11 through term, MUN-MET groups received drinking water containing MET (0.5 mg/mL), a corticosteroid synthesis inhibitor. P9/P10 pups underwent unilateral carotid ligation followed 24 h later by 1.5 h exposure to 8% oxygen (HI treatment). An ELISA quantified MUN-, MET-, and HI-induced changes in circulating levels of corticosterone. In P11/P12 pups, MUN programming promoted contractile differentiation in cerebrovascular smooth muscle as determined by confocal microscopy, modulated calcium-dependent contractility as revealed by cerebral artery myography, enhanced vasogenic edema formation as indicated by T2 MRI, and worsened neurobehavior MUN unmasked HI-induced improvements in open-field locomotion and in edema resolution, alterations in calcium-dependent contractility and promotion of contractile differentiation. Overall, MUN imposed multiple interdependent effects on cerebrovascular smooth muscle differentiation, contractility, edema formation, flow-metabolism coupling and neurobehavior through pathways that both required, and were independent of, gestational corticosteroids. In light of growing global patterns of food insecurity, the present study emphasizes that infants born from undernourished mothers may experience greater risk for developing neonatal cerebral edema and sensorimotor impairments possibly through programmed changes in neonatal cerebrovascular function.