Utility of Serum Inflammatory Markers for Predicting Microvascular Invasion and Survival for Patients with Hepatocellular Carcinoma

Prognostic significance of pan-immune-inflammation value in hepatocellular carcinoma treated by curative radiofrequency ablation: potential role for individualized adjuvant systemic treatment

BACKGROUND

This study aimed to explore the prognostic role of pan-immune-inflammation value (PIV) and develop a new risk model to guide individualized adjuvant systemic treatment following radiofrequency ablation (RFA) for early-stage hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC).

MATERIALS AND METHODS

Patients with early-stage HCC treated by RFA were randomly divided into training cohort A (n = 65) and testing cohort B (n = 68). Another 265 counterparts were enrolled into external validating cohort C. Various immune-inflammatory biomarkers (IIBs) were screened in cohort A. Prognostic role of PIV was evaluated and validated in cohort B and C, respectively. A nomogram risk model was built in cohort C and validated in pooled cohort D. Clinical benefits of adjuvant anti-angiogenesis therapy plus immune checkpoint inhibitor (AA-ICI) following RFA was assessed in low- and high-risk groups.

RESULTS

The cutoff point of PIV was 120. High PIV was an independent predictor of unfavorable recurrence-free survival (RFS) and overall survival (OS). RFS and OS rates of patients with high PIV were significantly lower than those with low PIV both in cohort B (PRFS=0.016, POS=0.011) and C (PRFS<0.001, POS<0.001). The nomogram model based on PIV, tumor number and BCLC staging performed well in risk stratification in external validating cohort C. Adjuvant AA-ICI treatment showed an added benefit in OS (p = 0.011) for high-risk patients.

CONCLUSIONS

PIV is a feasible independent prognostic factor for RFS and OS in early-stage HCC patients who received curative RFA. The proposed PIV-based nomogram risk model could help clinicians identify high-risk patients and tailor adjuvant systemic treatment and disease follow-up scheme.

Construction and Validation of a Novel Nomogram Predicting Recurrence in Alpha-Fetoprotein-Negative Hepatocellular Carcinoma Post-Surgery Using an Innovative Liver Function-Nutrition-Inflammation-Immune (LFNII) Score: A Bicentric Investigation

Purpose

We developed a nomogram based on the liver function, nutrition, inflammation, and immunity (LFNII) score to predict recurrence-free survival (RFS) post-resection in patients with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) exhibiting alpha-fetoprotein (AFP) negativity (AFP ≤20 ng/mL).

Patients and Methods

Clinical data of 661 patients diagnosed with alpha-fetoprotein-negative hepatocellular carcinoma (AFP-NHCC) who underwent surgical resection at two medical centers between 2012 and 2021 were collected. A total of 462 and 199 patients served as the training and validation sets, respectively. Pre-operative blood markers were collected and analyzed for LFNII. The LFNII score was formulated using the least absolute shrinkage and selection operator Cox regression model. A nomogram model was developed using the training set to incorporate other relevant clinicopathological indicators and predict postoperative recurrence. Model discrimination was assessed using the receiver operating characteristic curve, calibration was evaluated using a calibration curve, and clinical applicability was assessed using clinical decision curve analysis. A comparison with liver cancer staging was performed using the nomogram model. Finally, a cohort study was conducted to validate our findings.

Results

We derived the LFNII scores from nine indicators. Elevated LFNII scores correlated with unfavorable clinicopathological features. The LFNII score area under the curve revealed superior predictive efficacy at 1-, 2-, and 5-year RFS intervals, with values of 0.675, 0.658, and 0.633, respectively. Multivariate Cox analysis revealed that a high LFNII score independently increased RFS risk in patients with AFP-NHCC. The C-index of the LFNII-nomogram model was 0.686 (95% confidence interval [CI], 0.651-0.721). The nomogram model's clinical application value surpassed that of standard HCC staging systems.

Conclusion

The LFNII score-derived nomogram effectively predicted the RFS of patients with AFP-NHCC after curative resection.

Clonorchis sinensis on the prognosis of patients with spontaneous rupture of Hepatocellular Carcinoma: An inverse probability of treatment weighting analysis

BACKGROUND

We examined the impact of the Clonorchis sinensis (C. sinensis) infection on the survival outcomes of spontaneous rupture Hepatocellular Carcinoma (srHCC) patients undergoing hepatectomy.

METHODS

Between May 2013 and December 2021, 157 consecutive srHCC patients who underwent hepatectomy were divided into an no C. sinensis group (n = 126) and C. sinensis group (n = 31). To adjust for differences in preoperative characteristics an inverse probability of treatment weighting (IPTW) analysis was done, using propensity scores. Overall survival (OS) and recurrence-free survival (RFS) were compared before and after IPTW. Multivariate Cox regression analysis was performed to determine whether the C. sinensis infection was an independent prognostic factor after IPTW.

RESULTS

In original cohort, the no C. sinensis group did not show a survival advantage over the C. sinensis group. After IPTW adjustment, the median OS for the C. sinensis group was 9 months, compared to 29 months for the no C. sinensis group. C. sinensis group have worse OS than no C. sinensis group (p = 0.024), while it did not differ in RFS(p = 0.065). The multivariate Cox regression analysis showed that C. sinensis infection and lower age were associated with worse OS.

CONCLUSIONS

The C. sinensis infection has an adverse impact on os in srHCC patients who underwent hepatectomy.

Novel prognostic factors after radical resection of hepatocellular carcinoma: Updating an old issue

In this editorial, I comment on the article by Li et al published in the recent issue of the World Journal of Gastrointestinal Surgery in 2023, investigating the role of some novel prognostic factors for early survival after radical resection of liver cancer. Liver cancer is an important burden among Asian and Western populations, despite recent advances in both medicine (from virus eradication to systemic target therapies) and surgery. However, survival after proven radical surgery remains poor, with recurrences being the rule. Many prognostic scores have been developed and validated to select those patients who will best benefit from radical liver surgery, although the final general and oncological outcomes continue to be highly jeopardized. Unfortunately, no single biomarker can resolve all these issues for hepatocellular carcinoma, and it remains to be proven whether some of them maintain predictive power in the long-term follow-up. In the ongoing era of "precision" medicine, the novel prognostic markers, including immune inflammatory and nutritional indexes could be of great help in better stratify surgical candidates.

Monocyte-to-High-Density Lipoprotein-Cholesterol Ratio Predicts Prognosis of Hepatocellular Carcinoma in Patients with Metabolic-Associated Fatty Liver Disease

Purpose

The incidence of non-B and non-C hepatocellular carcinoma (NBNC-HCC) is increasing globally. Metabolically associated fatty liver disease (MAFLD) has been a contributing factor to this rising trend in NBNC-HCC incidence. The monocyte-to-high-density lipoprotein-cholesterol ratio (MHR) is a new prognostic marker that connects systemic inflammation with disorders of lipid metabolism. Therefore, MHR may be a potential prognostic predictor of patients with MAFLD-related HCC (MAFLD-HCC). This study aims to investigate the relationship between the MHR and prognosis of patients with MAFLD-HCC and construct a novel prognostic prediction tool for MAFLD-HCC.

Patients and Methods

This retrospective study of patients with MAFLD-HCC included training (n = 112) and internal validation (n = 37) cohorts. Univariate and multivariate Cox proportional hazard regression analysis was conducted to identify independent risk factors of survival. A visual nomogram was constructed to assess the performance of the two groups. Furthermore, receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves and calibration curves were used to verify the prognostic discriminative ability of this nomogram, even in the MHR, ALBI grade, and MHR-ALBI model.

Results

Univariate and multivariate analyses revealed that extrahepatic metastases, Vascular invasion, Barcelona staging B, C, D, elevated ALBI Grade 3, C-reactive protein (CRP), and MHR were independent risk factors for the prognosis of MAFLD-HCC. Moreover, calibration plots showed good discrimination and consistency when the significant factors were entered into the nomogram. Meanwhile, the MHR strongly correlated with the prognosis of cancer under a background of MAFLD-HCC, with a sensitivity of 88.89% and a specificity of 79.61%. Importantly, the performance of the MHR alone (AUC = 86.2) was not only superior to the ALBI grade (AUC = 63.8) but was comparable to the combination of MHR and ALBI (AUC = 88.5).

Conclusion

The novel nomogram demonstrated good value in predicting the overall survival of patients with MAFLD-HCC. The MHR may be a potential predictor of prognosis.

Inflammation-related prognostic markers in resected hepatocellular carcinoma

Hepatocellular carcinoma is usually detected late and therapeutic options are unsatisfactory. Despite marked progress in patient care, HCC remains among the deadliest cancers world-wide. While surgical resection remains a key option for early-stage HCC, the 5-year survival rates after surgical resection are limited. One reason for limited outcomes is the lack of reliable prognostic biomarkers to predict HCC recurrence. HCC prognosis has been shown to correlate with different systemic and pathological markers which are associated with patient survival and HCC recurrence. Liver inflammatory processes offer a large variety of systemic and pathological markers which may be exploited to improve the reliability of prognosis and decision making of liver surgeons and hepatologists. The following review aims to dissect the potential tools, targets and prognostic meaning of inflammatory markers in patients with resectable HCC. We analyze changes in circulant cellular populations and assess inflammatory biomarkers as a surrogate of impaired outcomes and provide an overview on predictive gene expression signatures including inflammatory transcriptional patterns, which are representative of poor survival in these patients.

Preoperative prediction and risk assessment of microvascular invasion in hepatocellular carcinoma

Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is one of the most common and highly lethal tumors worldwide. Microvascular invasion (MVI) is a significant risk factor for recurrence and poor prognosis after surgical resection for HCC patients. Accurately predicting the status of MVI preoperatively is critical for clinicians to select treatment modalities and improve overall survival. However, MVI can only be diagnosed by pathological analysis of postoperative specimens. Currently, numerous indicators in serology (including liquid biopsies) and imaging have been identified to effective in predicting the occurrence of MVI, and the multi-indicator model based on deep learning greatly improves accuracy of prediction. Moreover, several genes and proteins have been identified as risk factors that are strictly associated with the occurrence of MVI. Therefore, this review evaluates various predictors and risk factors, and provides guidance for subsequent efforts to explore more accurate predictive methods and to facilitate the conversion of risk factors into reliable predictors.

Baseline and early changes in the neutrophil-lymphocyte ratio (NLR) predict survival outcomes in advanced colorectal cancer patients treated with immunotherapy

BACKGROUND

Systemic inflammation plays a role in carcinogenesis and is related to overall survival in patients with different cancer types, including those treated with immune checkpoint blockade (ICB). The neutrophil-lymphocyte ratio (NLR) is calculated by circulating neutrophil to lymphocyte counts, which represents an indicator of the balance between the deleterious roles of neutrophilia and the beneficial roles of lymphocyte-mediated immunity. We hypothesized that the NLR may predict outcomes in metastatic colorectal cancer (mCRC) patients treated with immunotherapy.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

This retrospective study included 110 mCRC patients who were treated with immunotherapy at Sun Yat-sen University Cancer Center. Several inflammatory biomarkers were measured at baseline and after two cycles of treatment. The X-tile program was used to obtain the cutoff values. We examined the impact of both baseline and posttreatment inflammatory index levels on overall survival (OS).

RESULTS

In univariate analysis, both a low baseline NLR (P = 0.014) and a decreased NLR after 2 cycles of immunotherapy (P < 0.001) were considerably correlated with better OS. In multivariate analysis, age, liver metastasis, baseline lymphocyte-monocyte ratio (LMR), baseline NLR and early changes in NLR independently predicted OS. Patients with both a low baseline NLR and an early NLR reduction had the longest OS (median, 29.63 months). The best outcomes were remarkably observed in patients who had both an early NLR reduction and a high tumor mutational burden (TMB) (≥10 mut/Mb) (P < 0.0001).

CONCLUSIONS

Both a low baseline NLR and an early NLR reduction are significantly associated with a better prognosis in mCRC patients treated with immunotherapy. Further analysis indicated that the combination of NLR and TMB could obtain additional predictive power.

Gadoxetic acid-enhanced MRI combined with T1 mapping and clinical factors to predict Ki-67 expression of hepatocellular carcinoma

Objectives

To explore the predictive value of gadoxetic acid-enhanced magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) combined with T1 mapping and clinical factors for Ki-67 expression in hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC).

Methods

A retrospective study was conducted on 185 patients with pathologically confirmed solitary HCC from two institutions. All patients underwent preoperative T1 mapping on gadoxetic acid-enhanced MRI. Patients from institution I (n = 124) and institution II (n = 61) were respectively assigned to the training and validation sets. Univariable and multivariable analyses were performed to assess the correlation of clinico-radiological factors with Ki-67 labeling index (LI). Based on the significant factors, a predictive nomogram was developed and validated for Ki-67 LI. The performance of the nomogram was evaluated on the basis of its calibration, discrimination, and clinical utility.

Results

Multivariable analysis showed that alpha-fetoprotein (AFP) levels > 20ng/mL, neutrophils to lymphocyte ratio > 2.25, non-smooth margin, tumor-to-liver signal intensity ratio in the hepatobiliary phase ≤ 0.6, and post-contrast T1 relaxation time > 705 msec were the independent predictors of Ki-67 LI. The nomogram based on these variables showed the best predictive performance with area under the receiver operator characteristic curve (AUROC) 0.899, area under the precision-recall curve (AUPRC) 0.946 and F1 score of 0.912; the respective values were 0.823, 0.879 and 0.857 in the validation set. The Kaplan-Meier curves illustrated that the cumulative recurrence probability at 2 years was significantly higher in patients with high Ki-67 LI than in those with low Ki-67 LI (39.6% [53/134] vs. 19.6% [10/51], p = 0.011).

Conclusions

Gadoxetic acid-enhanced MRI combined with T1 mapping and several clinical factors can preoperatively predict Ki-67 LI with high accuracy, and thus enable risk stratification and personalized treatment of HCC patients.

Prognostic Role of the Intrahepatic Lymphatic System in Liver Cancer

Although several prognosticators, such as lymph node metastasis (LNM), were reported for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) and intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma (ICC), the prognostic impact of intrahepatic lymphatic vessel invasion (LVI) in liver cancer has rarely been reported. We sought to clarify the prognostic impact of intrahepatic lymphatic system involvement in liver cancer. We systematically reviewed retrospective studies that described LVI and clinical outcomes of liver cancer and also included studies that investigated tumor-associated lymphangiogenesis. We conducted a meta-analysis using RevMan software (version 5.4.1; Cochrane Collaboration, Oxford, UK). The prognostic impact of intrahepatic LVI in HCC was not reported previously. However, tumor-associated lymphangiogenesis reportedly correlates with prognosis after HCC resection. The prognostic impact of intrahepatic LVI was reported severally for ICC and a meta-analysis showed that overall survival was poorer in patients with positive LVI than with negative LVI after resection of ICC. Lymphangiogenesis was also reported to predict unfavorable prognosis in ICC. Regarding colorectal liver metastases, LVI was identified as a poor prognosticator in a meta-analysis. A few reports showed correlations between LVI/lymphangiogenesis and LNM in liver cancer. LVI and lymphangiogenesis showed worse prognostic impacts for liver cancer than their absence, but further study is needed.

A Novel Online Calculator to Predict Risk of Microvascular Invasion in the Preoperative Setting for Hepatocellular Carcinoma Patients Undergoing Curative-Intent Surgery

BACKGROUND

The presence of microvascular invasion (MVI) has been highlighted as an important determinant of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) prognosis. We sought to build and validate a novel model to predict MVI in the preoperative setting.

METHODS

Patients who underwent curative-intent surgery for HCC between 2000 and 2020 were identified using a multi-institutional database. Preoperative predictive models for MVI were built, validated, and used to develop a web-based calculator.

RESULTS

Among 689 patients, MVI was observed in 323 patients (46.9%). On multivariate analysis in the test cohort, preoperative parameters associated with MVI included α-fetoprotein (AFP; odds ratio [OR] 1.50, 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.23-1.83), imaging tumor burden score (TBS; hazard ratio [HR] 1.11, 95% CI 1.04-1.18), and neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR; OR 1.18, 95% CI 1.03-1.35). An online calculator to predict MVI was developed based on the weighted β-coefficients of these three variables ( https://yutaka-endo.shinyapps.io/MVIrisk/ ). The c-index of the test and validation cohorts was 0.71 and 0.72, respectively. Patients with a high risk of MVI had worse disease-free survival (DFS) and overall survival (OS) compared with low-risk MVI patients (3-year DFS: 33.0% vs. 51.9%, p < 0.001; 5-year OS: 44.2% vs. 64.8%, p < 0.001). DFS was worse among patients who underwent an R1 versus R0 resection among those patients at high risk of MVI (R0 vs. R1 resection: 3-year DFS, 36.3% vs. 16.1%, p = 0.002). In contrast, DFS was comparable among patients at low risk of MVI regardless of margin status (R0 vs. R1 resection: 3-year DFS, 52.9% vs. 47.3%, p = 0.16).

CONCLUSION

Preoperative assessment of MVI using the online tool demonstrated very good accuracy to predict MVI.

Preoperative prediction model for macrotrabecular-massive hepatocellular carcinoma based on contrast-enhanced CT and clinical characteristics: a retrospective study

Objective

To investigate the predictive value of contrast-enhanced computed tomography (CECT) imaging features and clinical factors in identifying the macrotrabecular-massive (MTM) subtype of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) preoperatively.

Methods

This retrospective study included 101 consecutive patients with pathology-proven HCC (35 MTM subtype vs. 66 non-MTM subtype) who underwent liver surgery and preoperative CECT scans from January 2017 to November 2021. The imaging features were evaluated by two board-certified abdominal radiologists independently. The clinical characteristics and imaging findings were compared between the MTM and non-MTM subtypes. Univariate and multivariate logistic regression analyses were performed to investigate the association of clinical-radiological variables and MTM-HCCs and develop a predictive model. Subgroup analysis was also performed in BCLC 0-A stage patients. Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves analysis was used to determine the optimal cutoff values and the area under the curve (AUC) was employed to evaluate predictive performance.

Results

Intratumor hypoenhancement (odds ratio [OR] = 2.724; 95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.033, 7.467; p = .045), tumors without enhancing capsules (OR = 3.274; 95% CI: 1.209, 9.755; p = .03), high serum alpha-fetoprotein (AFP) (≥ 228 ng/mL, OR = 4.101; 95% CI: 1.523, 11.722; p = .006) and high hemoglobin (≥ 130.5 g/L; OR = 3.943; 95% CI: 1.466, 11.710; p = .009) were independent predictors for MTM-HCCs. The clinical-radiologic (CR) model showed the best predictive performance, achieving an AUC of 0.793, sensitivity of 62.9% and specificity of 81.8%. The CR model also effectively identify MTM-HCCs in early-stage (BCLC 0-A stage) patients.

Conclusion

Combining CECT imaging features and clinical characteristics is an effective method for preoperatively identifying MTM-HCCs, even in early-stage patients. The CR model has high predictive performance and could potentially help guide decision-making regarding aggressive therapies in MTM-HCC patients.

Prognostic prediction of the platelet-to-lymphocyte ratio in hepatocellular carcinoma: a systematic review and meta-analysis

Background

Platelet-to-lymphocyte ratio (PLR) has been used to predict the prognosis of patients with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) with inconsistent results. This meta-analysis aimed to clarify the prognostic value of PLR in patients with HCC.

Methods

We systematically retrieved relevant literature published in the PubMed, Embase, Web of Science, and Cochrane databases up to November 20, 2021. The primary outcomes were the hazard ratios (HRs) and their 95% confidence intervals (CIs) for overall survival (OS), and secondary study outcomes were recurrence-free survival (RFS), disease-free survival (DFS), progression-free survival (PFS). All statistical analyses were conducted by Review Manager 5.4.1 and STATA 16.0 software.

Results

A total of 21 studies comprising 8,779 patients were included in this meta-analysis. Pooled results suggested that a high PLR was significantly associated with poor OS (HR: 1.34, 95% CI: 1.18-1.52, P<0.00001; I²=59%, P=0.0005), RFS or DFS (HR: 1.35, 95% CI: 1.13-1.63, P=0.001; I²=69%, P=0.002), and PFS (HR: 1.55, 95% CI: 1.09-2.22, P=0.02; I²=73%, P=0.02). The subgroup analysis for OS showed, when the PLR cutoff value was greater than 150, the heterogeneity decreased to 0 (HR: 1.48, 95% CI: 1.33-1.68, P<0.00001; I²=0%, P=0.56); when the HBsAg positive population was increased to 100%, the heterogeneity decreased to 0 (HR: 1.46, 95% CI: 1.22-1.73, P<0.0001; I²=0%, P=0.45); compared with other regions in the world, it was more significant in China (HR: 1.43, 95% CI: 1.26-1.62, P<0.00001; I²=52%, P=0.01). In addition, scatter plot showed that the HR was negatively correlated with the proportion of patients with liver cirrhosis.

Conclusions

This meta-analysis suggests that PLR is a negative correlation prognostic biomarker for HCC, high PLR values indicate poor OS, RFS, DFS and PFS, especially in hepatitis B virus (HBV) related patients.

Hepatocellular carcinoma

Hepatocellular carcinoma is one of the most common cancers worldwide and represents a major global health-care challenge. Although viral hepatitis and alcohol remain important risk factors, non-alcoholic fatty liver disease is rapidly becoming a dominant cause of hepatocellular carcinoma. A broad range of treatment options are available for patients with hepatocellular carcinoma, including liver transplantation, surgical resection, percutaneous ablation, and radiation, as well as transarterial and systemic therapies. As such, clinical decision making requires a multidisciplinary team that longitudinally adapts the individual treatment strategy according to the patient's tumour stage, liver function, and performance status. With the approval of new first-line agents and second-line agents, as well as the establishment of immune checkpoint inhibitor-based therapies as standard of care, the treatment landscape of advanced hepatocellular carcinoma is more diversified than ever. Consequently, the outlook for patients with hepatocellular carcinoma has improved. However, the optimal sequencing of drugs remains to be defined, and predictive biomarkers are urgently needed to inform treatment selection. In this Seminar, we present an update on the causes, diagnosis, molecular classification, and treatment of hepatocellular carcinoma.

Accurate prediction of microvascular invasion occurrence and effective prognostic estimation for patients with hepatocellular carcinoma after radical surgical treatment

Background

Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is the third most common cause of cancer death worldwide, with an overall 5-year survival rate of less than 18%, which may be related to tumor microvascular invasion (MVI). This study aimed to compare the clinical prognosis of HCC patients with or without MVI after radical surgical treatment, and further analyze the preoperative risk factors related to MVI to promote the development of a new treatment strategy for HCC.

Methods

According to the postoperative pathological diagnosis of MVI, 160 study patients undergoing radical hepatectomy were divided into an MVI-negative group (n = 68) and an MVI-positive group (n = 92). The clinical outcomes and prognosis were compared between the two groups, and then the parameters were analyzed by multivariate logistic regression to construct an MVI prediction model. Then, the practicability and validity of the model were evaluated, and the clinical prognosis of different MVI risk groups was subsequently compared.

Result

There were no significant differences between the MVI-negative and MVI-positive groups in clinical baseline, hematological, or imaging data. Additionally, the clinical outcome comparison between the two groups presented no significant differences except for the pathological grading (P = 0.002) and survival and recurrence rates after surgery (P < 0.001). The MVI prediction model, based on preoperative AFP, tumor diameter, and TNM stage, presented superior predictive efficacy (AUC = 0.7997) and good practicability (high H-L goodness of fit, P = 0.231). Compared with the MVI high-risk group, the patients in the MVI low-risk group had a higher survival rate (P = 0.002) and a lower recurrence rate (P = 0.004).

Conclusion

MVI is an independent risk factor for a poor prognosis after radical resection of HCC. The MVI prediction model, consisting of AFP, tumor diameter, and TNM stage, exhibits superior predictive efficacy and strong clinical practicability for MVI prediction and prognostication, which provides a new therapeutic strategy for the standardized treatment of HCC patients.

Preoperative inflammatory markers as prognostic predictors after hepatocellular carcinoma resection: data from a western referral center

Background

Recent studies from eastern centers have demonstrate an association between inflammatory response and long-term outcomes after hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) resection. However, the prognostic impact of inflammatory markers in western patients, with distinct tumor and epidemiologic features, is still unknown.

Aim

To evaluate the prognostic impact of preoperative neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR), platelet-to-lymphocyte ratio (PLR), and monocyte-to-lymphocyte ratio (MLR), as well as their impact according to tumor size (< 5 cm, 5–10 cm, > 10 cm) in patients undergoing HCC resection with curative intent.

Methods

Optimal cut-off values for NLR, PLR, and MLR were determined by plotting the receiver operator curves. Overall survival (OS) and disease-free survival (DFS) curves were calculated using the Kaplan–Meier method and compared using the log-rank test. The Cox method was used to identify independent predictors of OS and DFS.

Results

In total, 161 consecutive adult patients were included. A high NLR (> 1.715) was associated with worse OS (P = 0.018). High NLR (> 2.475; P = 0.047) and PLR (> 100.25; P = 0.028) were predictors of short DFS. In HCC < 5 cm, MLR (> 1.715) was associated with worse OS (P = 0.047). In the multivariate analysis, high PLR was an independent predictor of worse DFS [hazard ratio (HR) 3.029; 95%CI 1.499–6.121; P = 0.002].

Conclusion

Inflammatory markers are useful tools to predict long-term outcomes after liver resection in western patients, high NLR was able to stratify subgroups of patients with short OS and DFS, an increased PLR was an independent predictor of short DFS, while high MLR was associated with short OS in patients with early HCC.

Supplementary Information

The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1186/s12893-022-01779-6.

Radiomic analysis based on multi-phase magnetic resonance imaging to predict preoperatively microvascular invasion in hepatocellular carcinoma

BACKGROUND

The prognosis of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) remains poor and relapse occurs in more than half of patients within 2 years after hepatectomy. In terms of recent studies, microvascular invasion (MVI) is one of the potential predictors of recurrence. Accurate preoperative prediction of MVI is potentially beneficial to the optimization of treatment planning.

AIM

To develop a radiomic analysis model based on pre-operative magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) data to predict MVI in HCC.

METHODS

A total of 113 patients recruited to this study have been diagnosed as having HCC with histological confirmation, among whom 73 were found to have MVI and 40 were not. All the patients received preoperative examination by Gd-enhanced MRI and then curative hepatectomy. We manually delineated the tumor lesion on the largest cross-sectional area of the tumor and the adjacent two images on MRI, namely, the regions of interest. Quantitative analyses included most discriminant factors (MDFs) developed using linear discriminant analysis algorithm and histogram analysis with MaZda software. Independent significant variables of clinical and radiological features and MDFs for the prediction of MVI were estimated and a discriminant model was established by univariate and multivariate logistic regression analysis. Prediction ability of the above-mentioned parameters or model was then evaluated by receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve analysis. Five-fold cross-validation was also applied via R software.

RESULTS

The area under the ROC curve (AUC) of the MDF (0.77-0.85) outperformed that of histogram parameters (0.51-0.74). After multivariate analysis, MDF values of the arterial and portal venous phase, and peritumoral hypointensity in the hepatobiliary phase were identified to be independent predictors of MVI (P < 0.05). The AUC value of the model was 0.939 [95% confidence interval (CI): 0.893-0.984, standard error: 0.023]. The result of internal five-fold cross-validation (AUC: 0.912, 95%CI: 0.841-0.959, standard error: 0.0298) also showed favorable predictive efficacy.

CONCLUSION

Noninvasive MRI radiomic model based on MDF values and imaging biomarkers may be useful to make preoperative prediction of MVI in patients with primary HCC.

Distinct Age-Related Clinical Features and Risk Assessment in Chinese With Chronic Lymphocytic Leukemia

The biological and clinical features of chronic lymphocytic leukemia (CLL) exhibited profound heterogeneity across Chinese and patients of predominately European descent. However, the age-related peculiarities and risk assessment of Chinese CLL patients remained ill-defined. The present study demonstrated that CLL patients were characterized by the earlier age at onset in China (median age at diagnosis: 63 years old) than in the United States (median age at diagnosis: 69 years old). Young patients from Shandong Provincial Hospital CLL database displayed prolonged overall survival than the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results cohort. Furthermore, among Chinese CLL patients, young patients showed an increased relapse rate compared with elderly patients. To optimize the risk assessment of CLL patients, novel risk score models named PR-Score and HBG-Score were developed for predicting the outcomes of young and elderly CLL patients respectively. The neonatal survival prediction systems were superior to international prognostic index for CLL (CLL-IPI) and Binet stage in assessing the overall survival and progression free survival of CLL patients. The analyses highlighted refinement of risk evaluation for CLL patients in different age groups, providing insights into individualized diagnosis and treatment of CLL.

The Prognostic Value of Multiple Systemic Inflammatory Biomarkers in Preoperative Patients With Non-small Cell Lung Cancer

Introduction

The preoperative inflammatory and nutrient status of the patient are closely correlated to the outcome of surgery-based treatment for non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC). We aimed to investigate the prognostic value of inflammation and nutrient biomarkers in preoperative patients with non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC) by constructing a prognostic predictive model.

Methods

We retrospectively studied 995 patients with NSCLC who underwent surgery in the Shandong Provincial Hospital and randomly allocated them into the training and validation group with a ratio of 7:3. We then compared their prognostic performance and conducted univariate Cox analyses with several clinicopathological variables. Based on the performance of the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves and decision curves analysis (DCA), the prognostic model was optimized and validated.

Result

The median overall overall survival (OS) of patients was 74 months. Univariate Cox analysis indicated that fifteen inflammatory biomarkers were significantly correlated with OS (p < 0.100). Multivariate Cox analysis revealed that the model incorporating grade, age, stage, basophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (BLR, ≥0.00675 vs. < 0.00675) and albumin-to-globulin ratio (AGR, ≥1.40 vs. <1.40) showed the maximum area under the curve (AUC, 0.744). The C-index in the training and validation group was 0.690 and 0.683, respectively. The 3-year integrated discrimination improvement (IDI) compared to TNM (Tumor Node Metastasis) stage was 0.035 vs. 0.011 in the training and validation group, respectively.

Conclusions

Lower AGR, ANRI, and higher BLR were associated with a worse outcome for patients with NSCLC. We constructed a prognostic nomogram with risk stratification based on inflammatory and nutrient biomarkers. The discrimination and calibration abilities of the model were evaluated to confirm its validity, indicating the potential utility of this prognostic model for clinical guidance.

Analysis of Related Risk Factors of Microvascular Invasion in Hepatocellular Carcinoma

Objective

To forecast the onset of microvascular invasion (MVI) in patients with hepatoma by evaluating the preoperative aspartate aminotransferase-to-platelet ratio index (APRI), alpha-fetoprotein (AFP), neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR), and other clinicopathological data.

Methods

In this study, we retrospectively analysed the clinical data of 62 patients who received radical surgery for hepa toma from 2019 to 2021. Patients were separated into the MVI-negative group and the MVI-positive group according to the postoperative pathological diagnosis. The relationships between MVI and NLR, APRI, AFP, tumor size, and other clinical data were assessed using the univariate analysis, receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve, least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) analysis, and logistic analysis.

Results

The ROC curve determined that the cutoff values of NLR, platelet-to-lymphocyte ratio (PLR), and APRI were 1.520, 98, and 0.275, respectively. The univariate analysis showed that the MVI-positive result was associated with five factors: tumor size (χ² = 10.620, p = 0.001), AFP (χ² = 10.524, p = 0.001), Edmondson grade (χ² = 20.736, p < 0.001), NLR (χ² = 8.744, p = 0.003), and APRI (χ² = 4.849, p = 0.028). The LASSO analysis indicated that the risk factors were the number of tumors, PLR, APRI, NLR, AFP, Edmondson grade, and tumor size. The multivariate logistic regression analysis showed that NLR ≥ 1.520 (OR 11.119, p = 0.006), APRI ≥ 0.275 (OR 12.515, p = 0.009), AFP ≥ 200 μg/mL (OR 7.823, p = 0.016), and tumor size > 3 cm (OR 7.689, p = 0.022) were independent risk factors for MVI in patients with hepatoma.

Conclusion

Preoperative NLR, APRI, AFP, and tumor size are reliable indicators for predicting the appearance of MVI in patients with hepatoma and are of great value in making detailed and reliable treatment protocols for these patients before surgery.

Diagnostic Accuracy of Artificial Intelligence Based on Imaging Data for Preoperative Prediction of Microvascular Invasion in Hepatocellular Carcinoma: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis

Background

The presence of microvascular invasion (MVI) is considered an independent prognostic factor associated with early recurrence and poor survival in hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) patients after resection. Artificial intelligence (AI), mainly consisting of non-deep learning algorithms (NDLAs) and deep learning algorithms (DLAs), has been widely used for MVI prediction in medical imaging.

Aim

To assess the diagnostic accuracy of AI algorithms for non-invasive, preoperative prediction of MVI based on imaging data.

Methods

Original studies reporting AI algorithms for non-invasive, preoperative prediction of MVI based on quantitative imaging data were identified in the databases PubMed, Embase, and Web of Science. The quality of the included studies was assessed using the Quality Assessment of Diagnostic Accuracy Studies 2 (QUADAS-2) scale. The pooled sensitivity, specificity, positive likelihood ratio (PLR), and negative likelihood ratio (NLR) were calculated using a random-effects model with 95% CIs. A summary receiver operating characteristic curve and the area under the curve (AUC) were generated to assess the diagnostic accuracy of the deep learning and non-deep learning models. In the non-deep learning group, we further performed meta-regression and subgroup analyses to identify the source of heterogeneity.

Results

Data from 16 included studies with 4,759 cases were available for meta-analysis. Four studies on deep learning models, 12 studies on non-deep learning models, and two studies compared the efficiency of the two types. For predictive performance of deep learning models, the pooled sensitivity, specificity, PLR, NLR, and AUC values were 0.84 [0.75–0.90], 0.84 [0.77–0.89], 5.14 [3.53–7.48], 0.2 [0.12–0.31], and 0.90 [0.87–0.93]; and for non-deep learning models, they were 0.77 [0.71–0.82], 0.77 [0.73–0.80], 3.30 [2.83–3.84], 0.30 [0.24–0.38], and 0.82 [0.79–0.85], respectively. Subgroup analyses showed a significant difference between the single tumor subgroup and the multiple tumor subgroup in the pooled sensitivity, NLR, and AUC.

Conclusion

This meta-analysis demonstrates the high diagnostic accuracy of non-deep learning and deep learning methods for MVI status prediction and their promising potential for clinical decision-making. Deep learning models perform better than non-deep learning models in terms of the accuracy of MVI prediction, methodology, and cost-effectiveness.

Systematic Review Registration

https://www.crd.york.ac.uk/PROSPERO/display_record.php? RecordID=260891, ID:CRD42021260891.

Using Systemic Inflammatory Markers to Predict Microvascular Invasion Before Surgery in Patients With Hepatocellular Carcinoma

Background

Mounting studies reveal the relationship between inflammatory markers and post-therapy prognosis. Yet, the role of the systemic inflammatory indices in preoperative microvascular invasion (MVI) prediction for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) remains unclear.

Patients and Methods

In this study, data of 1,058 cases of patients with HCC treated in the First Affiliated Hospital of Sun Yat-sen University from February 2002 to May 2018 were collected. Inflammatory factors related to MVI diagnosis in patients with HCC were selected by least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) regression analysis and were integrated into an “Inflammatory Score.” A prognostic nomogram model was established by combining the inflammatory score and other independent factors determined by multivariate logistic regression analysis. The receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve and the area under the curve (AUC) were used to evaluate the predictive efficacy of the model.

Results

Sixteen inflammatory factors, including neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio, platelet-to-lymphocyte ratio, etc., were selected by LASSO regression analysis to establish an inflammatory score. Multivariate logistic regression analysis showed that inflammatory score (OR = 2.14, 95% CI: 1.63–2.88, p < 0.001), alpha fetoprotein (OR = 2.02, 95% CI: 1.46–2.82, p < 0.001), and tumor size (OR = 2.37, 95% CI: 1.70–3.30, p < 0.001) were independent factors for MVI. These three factors were then used to establish a nomogram for MVI prediction. The AUC for the training and validation group was 0.72 (95% CI: 0.68–0.76) and 0.72 (95% CI: 0.66–0.78), respectively.

Conclusion

These findings indicated that the model drawn in this study has a high predictive value which is capable to assist the diagnosis of MVI in patients with HCC.

A Promising Preoperative Prediction Model for Microvascular Invasion in Hepatocellular Carcinoma Based on an Extreme Gradient Boosting Algorithm

Background

The non-invasive preoperative diagnosis of microvascular invasion (MVI) in hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is vital for precise surgical decision-making and patient prognosis. Herein, we aimed to develop an MVI prediction model with valid performance and clinical interpretability.

Methods

A total of 2160 patients with HCC without macroscopic invasion who underwent hepatectomy for the first time in West China Hospital from January 2015 to June 2019 were retrospectively included, and randomly divided into training and a validation cohort at a ratio of 8:2. Preoperative demographic features, imaging characteristics, and laboratory indexes of the patients were collected. Five machine learning algorithms were used: logistic regression, random forest, support vector machine, extreme gradient boosting (XGBoost), and multilayer perception. Performance was evaluated using the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC). We also determined the Shapley Additive exPlanation value to explain the influence of each feature on the MVI prediction model.

Results

The top six important preoperative factors associated with MVI were the maximum image diameter, protein induced by vitamin K absence or antagonist-II, α-fetoprotein level, satellite nodules, alanine aminotransferase (AST)/aspartate aminotransferase (ALT) ratio, and AST level, according to the XGBoost model. The XGBoost model for preoperative prediction of MVI exhibited a better AUC (0.8, 95% confidence interval: 0.74–0.83) than the other prediction models. Furthermore, to facilitate use of the model in clinical settings, we developed a user-friendly online calculator for MVI risk prediction based on the XGBoost model.

Conclusions

The XGBoost model achieved outstanding performance for non-invasive preoperative prediction of MVI based on big data. Moreover, the MVI risk calculator would assist clinicians in conveniently determining the optimal therapeutic remedy and ameliorating the prognosis of patients with HCC.

Combination of Tertiary Lymphoid Structure and Neutrophil-to-Lymphocyte Ratio Predicts Survival in Patients With Hepatocellular Carcinoma

Background

Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is the most common pathological type of primary liver cancer. The lack of prognosis indicators is one of the challenges in HCC. In this study, we investigated the combination of tertiary lymphoid structure (TLS) and several systemic inflammation parameters as a prognosis indicator for HCC.

Materials and Methods

We retrospectively recruited 126 postoperative patients with primary HCC. The paraffin section was collected for TLS density assessment. In addition, we collected the systemic inflammation parameters from peripheral blood samples. We evaluated the prognostic values of those parameters on overall survival (OS) using Kaplan-Meier curves, univariate and multivariate Cox regression. Last, we plotted a nomogram to predict the survival of HCC patients.

Results

We first found TLS density was positively correlated with HCC patients’ survival (HR=0.16, 95% CI: 0.06 − 0.39, p < 0.0001), but the power of TLS density for survival prediction was found to be limited (AUC=0.776, 95% CI:0.772 − 0.806). Thus, we further introduced several systemic inflammation parameters for survival analysis, we found neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR) was positively associated with OS in univariate Cox regression analysis. However, the combination of TLS density and NLR better predicts patient’s survival (AUC=0.800, 95% CI: 0.698-0.902, p < 0.001) compared with using any single indicator alone. Last, we incorporated TLS density, NLR, and other parameters into the nomogram to provide a reproducible approach for survival prediction in HCC clinical practice.

Conclusion

The combination of TLS density and NLR was shown to be a good predictor of HCC patient survival. It also provides a novel direction for the evaluation of immunotherapies in HCC.

Usefulness of neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR) as a prognostic predictor after treatment of hepatocellular carcinoma." Review article

The neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR) is an inflammatory marker which has been investigated as a prognostic indicator in post-therapeutic recurrence and survival of patients with HCC. Our aim was to review all studies that assessed the prognostic value of pre-treatment NLR in predicting patient survival, cancer recurrence, and graft survival in patients undergoing various therapies for HCC. We searched the database of PubMed and Google Scholar to review all studies that have the word "NLR" and the word "HCC." We included all studies that assessed pre-treatment NLR as a prognostic factor in predicting outcomes in HCC patients. We excluded studies that assessed the correlation between post-treatment NLR or dynamic changes in NLR after treatment and HCC outcomes in an effort to minimize the confounding effect of each treatment on NLR. We reviewed 123 studies that studied the correlation between pre-treatment NLR and patient survival, 72 studies that evaluated the correlation between pre-treatment NLR and tumor recurrence, 21 studies that evaluated the correlation between NLR and tumor behavior, and 4 studies that assessed the correlation between NLR and graft survival. We found a remarkable heterogeneity between the methods of the studies, which is likely responsible for the differences in outcomes. The majority of the studies suggested a correlation between higher levels of pre-treatment NLR and poor outcomes. We concluded that NLR is a reliable and inexpensive biomarker and should be incorporated into other prognostic models to help determine outcomes following HCC treatment.

A Combination of Blood Lymphocytes and AST Levels Distinguishes Patients with Small Hepatocellular Carcinomas from Non-cancer Patients

PURPOSE

HCC patients typically present at an advanced tumor stage, in which surgical therapies cannot be used. Screening ultrasound exams can increase the numbers of patients diagnosed with small tumors, but are often not used in patients at risk for HCC. We evaluated clinically available and cheap potential blood tests as biomarkers for screening patients at risk for HCC.

METHODS

A comparison was made of commonly used blood count and liver function parameters in a group of patients (n = 101) with small HCCs (≤ 3 cm) or without HCC (n = 275), who presented for liver transplantation in our institute.

RESULTS

Significant differences were found for blood lymphocytes and AST levels. This 2-parameter combination was found to be significantly different between patients with small HCCs versus no HCC. Using the combination of lymphocytes and AST levels to dichotomize the HCC patients, only blood levels of alpha-fetoprotein among the tumor characteristics were found to be significantly different among the 2 HCC groups, as well as levels of blood total bilirubin, ALKP, and PLR ratio. The results were confirmed using a separate smaller cohort of non-transplanted small size HCC patients.

CONCLUSION

The combination of elevated blood levels of lymphocyte counts and AST levels holds promise for screening of patients with chronic liver disease who are at risk for HCC.

Lymphocyte-to-C-reactive protein ratio as a prognostic factor for hepatocellular carcinoma

BACKGROUND

Systemic inflammation has been correlated with worse survival for some cancers. We evaluated prognostic values of various inflammatory factor combinations in patients who underwent resections for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC).

METHODS

We retrospectively analysed 306 consecutive patients with HCC who underwent curative liver resections. After assessing eight combinations of inflammatory markers for predictive value for recurrence, we focused on lymphocyte-to-C-reactive protein ratio (LCR) to elucidate its associations with recurrence-free survival (RFS) and overall survival (OS) in univariate and multivariate analyses (Cox proportional hazards model). We also used immunohistochemical CD34 and CD8 staining to investigate the mechanism of LCR elevation.

RESULTS

LCR showed the highest association with RFS in HCC patients among the compared indices. High preoperative LCR correlated with a high serum albumin concentration, small tumour size, early Barcelona Clinic Liver Cancer stage and low rates of microscopic vascular invasion and microscopic intrahepatic metastasis. Higher preoperative LCR was an independent predictor of longer RFS and OS in this cohort. High LCR patients had fewer vessels encapsulating tumour clusters, and higher intratumoural CD8⁺ T-cell counts than low LCR patients.

CONCLUSIONS

Preoperative LCR is a novel and convenient prognostic marker for patients with HCC, and is associated with the tumour microenvironment immune status.

Cancer related nutritional and inflammatory markers as predictive parameters of immediate postoperative complications and long-term survival after hepatectomies

BACKGROUND

The overall survival (OS), disease-free survival (DFS) and complications after liver resections is unsatisfactory. Cancer-related malnutrition and inflammation have an effect on survival but not studied/not clear on postoperative complications.

METHODS

We retrospectively analyzed prospectively maintained database of 309 patients. The outcome variables included complications in terms of Clavien-Dindo (CD) Score, OS and DFS; We studied effect of preoperative albumin globulin ratio (AGR), neutrophil to lymphocyte ratio (NLR), platelet to lymphocyte ratio (PLR), and aspartate transaminase to platelet ratio index (APRI) and dynamic change from pre-operative to postoperative value (Delta-AGR, Delta-NLR, Delta-PLR and Delta-APRI) on complications, OS and DFS.

RESULTS

Total 98 patients (31.71%) had postoperative complications. Fifty patients had CD 1 & 2 and 35 (11.33%) had CD 3 & 4, and 13 (4.12%) had mortality (CD 5). Low AGR, high NLR, high PLR and high Delta-AGR and high Delta-APRI predicted increased major complications. Preoperative high NLR predicted worse OS and low AGR predicted worse OS and DFS. Delta-APRI showed trends towards worse OS and DFS.

CONCLUSION

These serum inflammatory markers can predict immediate postoperative complications. Preoperative AGR and preoperative NLR can predict survival after liver resections. High Delta-AGR, which is a new entity, is predicting more postoperative complications and needs further detailed studies.

Neutrophil-to-Lymphocyte and Platelet-to-Lymphocyte Ratios as Predictors of Outcomes in Patients With Unresectable Hepatocellular Carcinoma Undergoing Transarterial Chemoembolization Plus Sorafenib

Objectives: To investigate the predictive value of inflammatory biomarkers in patients with unresectable hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) for outcomes following the combination treatment of transarterial chemoembolization (TACE) plus sorafenib.

Materials and Methods: A total of 314 (270 male and 44 female) treatment-naïve patients with unresectable HCC treated by TACE plus sorafenib between January 2011 and December 2018 were enrolled in the retrospective study. The primary outcome was overall survival (OS). The secondary outcome was progression-free survival (PFS). Neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR) and platelet-to-lymphocyte ratio (PLR) were obtained within 3–7 days before the initial TACE and the median value of the NLR and PLR was considered as the cut-off value.

Results: The median value of NLR and PLR was 2.42 and 100, respectively. The median OS and PFS of the entire cohort were 18.7 months (95% CI: 16.8–20.6) and 9.1 months (95% CI: 8.5–9.8), respectively. The low NLR and PLR group showed improved OS and PFS compared with the high NLR and PLR group [21.8 months (95% CI: 15.2–28.5) vs. 15.4 months (95% CI: 12.4–18.3), p < 0.0001; 21.6 months (95% CI: 15.8–27.5) vs. 14.9 months (95% CI: 11.9–17.8), p = 0.00027, respectively]. In addition, the low NLR and PLR group also provided a longer PFS than the high NLR and PLR group [10.4 months (95% CI: 8.9–12.0) vs. 8.1 months (95% CI: 7.1–9.2), p = 0.00022; 10.3 months (95% CI: 8.6–11.9) vs. 8.2 months (95% CI: 7.2–9.2), p < 0.0001, respectively]. High NLR and PLR at baseline were predictive factors of poor OS (p = 0.02 and p = 0.004) and PFS (p = 0.045 and p = 0.005).

Conclusion: This study showed the prognostic value of quantitative inflammatory biomarkers in correlation with OS and PFS in unresectable HCC patients undergoing TACE plus sorafenib treatment.

Using deep learning to predict microvascular invasion in hepatocellular carcinoma based on dynamic contrast-enhanced MRI combined with clinical parameters

PURPOSE

Microvascular invasion (MVI) is a critical determinant of the early recurrence and poor prognosis of patients with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). Prediction of MVI status is clinically significant for the decision of treatment strategies and the assessment of patient's prognosis. A deep learning (DL) model was developed to predict the MVI status and grade in HCC patients based on preoperative dynamic contrast-enhanced magnetic resonance imaging (DCE-MRI) and clinical parameters.

METHODS

HCC patients with pathologically confirmed MVI status from January to December 2016 were enrolled and preoperative DCE-MRI of these patients were collected in this study. Then they were randomly divided into the training and testing cohorts. A DL model with eight conventional neural network (CNN) branches for eight MRI sequences was built to predict the presence of MVI, and further combined with clinical parameters for better prediction.

RESULTS

Among 601 HCC patients, 376 patients were pathologically MVI absent, and 225 patients were MVI present. To predict the presence of MVI, the DL model based only on images achieved an area under curve (AUC) of 0.915 in the testing cohort as compared to the radiomics model with an AUC of 0.731. The DL combined with clinical parameters (DLC) model yielded the best predictive performance with an AUC of 0.931. For the MVI-grade stratification, the DLC models achieved an overall accuracy of 0.793. Survival analysis demonstrated that the patients with DLC-predicted MVI status were associated with the poor overall survival (OS) and recurrence-free survival (RFS). Further investigation showed that hepatectomy with the wide resection margin contributes to better OS and RFS in the DLC-predicted MVI present patients.

CONCLUSION

The proposed DLC model can provide a non-invasive approach to evaluate MVI before surgery, which can help surgeons make decisions of surgical strategies and assess patient's prognosis.

Pre- and Postoperative Models for Prediction of Recurrence in Non-B, Non-C Hepatocellular Carcinoma

Background and Aims

The incidence of non-B, non-C hepatocellular carcinoma (NBNC-HCC) is increasing. Like in hepatitis B virus (HBC)/HCV-associated HCC, treatment of NBNC-HCC after resection is challenging due to its high recurrence rate. However, few studies on the recurrence of NBNC-HCC have been published in the past decades. Hence, we aimed to investigate the risk factors for recurrence of NBNC-HCC and construct pre- and postoperative prognostic models for predicting recurrence in these patients who underwent curative resection.

Methods

We retrospectively analyzed 608 patients who underwent liver resection for NBNC-HCC. A multivariate Cox proportional hazard regression analysis was conducted to identify the independent risk factors of recurrence, based on which the prediction nomogram models were constructed and validated. The predictive performance of the models was assessed using the concordance index, time-dependent receiver operating characteristic curve, prediction error cure, and calibration curve. To facilitate clinical use, we stratified the patients into three distinct risk groups based on the score of the models. The cutoff scores of the models were determined by a survival tree analysis.

Results

Multivariable analysis identified neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio, alpha fetoprotein, tumor number, and tumor diameter as independent preoperative risk factors for recurrence. In addition to these variables, microvascular invasion was an independent postoperative risk factor for recurrence. The pre- and postoperative nomograms were constructed based on these variables. The C-index of the pre- and postoperative nomograms was 0.689 and 0.702 in the training cohort, 0.682 and 0.688 in the validation cohort, respectively, which were both higher than those of the conventional Barcelona Clinic Liver Cancer (BCLC) and 8^th edition of the American Joint Committee on Cancer (AJCC^8th) staging systems. In addition, the pre- and postoperative nomograms could also re-stratify patients with BCLC stage 0/A or AJCC^8th stage IA/IB/II into distinct risk groups.

Conclusions

We constructed pre- and postoperative prognostic models for predicting recurrence in patients with NBNC-HCC who underwent curative resection. They can play a supplementary role to the traditional staging system.

Clinicopathological and prognostic value of preoperative lymphocyte to monocyte ratio for hepatocellular carcinoma following curative resection: A meta-analysis including 4,092 patients

BACKGROUND

Previous studies have reported that lymphocyte-to-monocyte ratio (LMR) had novel prognostic value in hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). The purpose of this meta-analysis was to synthetically evaluate the prognostic role of preoperative LMR in HCC patients following curative resection.

METHODS

Eligible studies were acquired through searching Pubmed, Web of Science, Cochrane Library and EMbase update to September 2019. Merged hazard ratios (HRs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) were applied as effect sizes.

RESULTS

A total of ten studies containing 4,092 patients following liver resection were enrolled in this meta-analysis. The pooled results demonstrated that preoperative elevated LMR indicated superior survival outcome (HR: 0.58, 95% CI: 0.34-0.96, P = .035) and recurrence-free survival (RFS)/disease-free survival/time to recurrence (HR = 0.76, 95% CI: 0.58-0.98, P = .034). The significant prognostic role of preoperative LMR was detected in the subgroup of all publication year, country of origin, sample sizes <300, TNM stage of I-IV and LMR cut-off value ≤4. Furthermore, high LMR was significantly associated with male, high AFP, large tumor size, incomplete tumor capsule, advanced TNM stage and BCLC stage, and presence of PVTT.

CONCLUSION

Elevated preoperative LMR indicated superior survival outcome in HCC patients following curative resection, and might serve as a novel prognostic biomarker.

A Machine Learning Approach Yields a Multiparameter Prognostic Marker in Liver Cancer

A number of staging systems have been developed to predict clinical outcomes in hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). However, no general consensus has been reached regarding the optimal model. New approaches such as machine learning (ML) strategies are powerful tools for incorporating risk factors from multiple platforms. We retrospectively reviewed the baseline information, including clinicopathologic characteristics, laboratory parameters, and peripheral immune features reflecting T-cell function, from three HCC cohorts. A gradient-boosting survival (GBS) classifier was trained with prognosis-related variables in the training dataset and validated in two independent cohorts. We constructed a 20-feature GBS model classifier incorporating one clinical feature, 14 laboratory parameters, and five T-cell function parameters obtained from peripheral blood mononuclear cells. The GBS model-derived risk scores demonstrated high concordance indexes (C-indexes): 0.844, 0.827, and 0.806 in the training set and validation sets 1 and 2, respectively. The GBS classifier could separate patients into high-, medium- and low-risk subgroups with respect to death in all datasets (P < 0.05 for all comparisons). A higher risk score was positively correlated with a higher clinical stage and the presence of portal vein tumor thrombus (PVTT). Subgroup analyses with respect to Child-Pugh class, Barcelona Clinic Liver Cancer stage, and PVTT status supported the prognostic relevance of the GBS-derived risk algorithm independent of the conventional tumor staging system. In summary, a multiparameter ML algorithm incorporating clinical characteristics, laboratory parameters, and peripheral immune signatures offers a different approach to identify patients with the greatest risk of HCC-related death.

Influence of surgical approach and quality of resection on the probability of cure for early-stage HCC occurring in cirrhosis

BACKGROUND & AIMS

The quality of surgical care of patients with HCC is associated with improved long-term prognosis and may also be influenced by the type of surgical approach. The present study aimed at evaluating the role of the laparoscopic approach on quality of surgical care and long-term prognosis in optimal HCC surgical candidates.

METHODS

All consecutive patients undergoing open (OLR) or laparoscopic liver resection (LLR) for early-stage HCC in cirrhosis (METAVIR F4) at 5 French expert hepato-pancreatico-biliary centres between 2010 and 2018 were enrolled. Quality of surgical care was defined by textbook outcome (TO), a combination of 6 criteria representing ideal hospitalisation. Factors associated with TO were determined on multivariate analysis. Comparison between LLR and OLR was performed after propensity score matching (PSM). The primary endpoint was disease-free survival (DFS). Statistical cure was modelled using a non-mixture model.

RESULTS

Overall, 425 patients were included. Median follow-up was 42.0 months. LLR was performed in 267 (62.8%) patients. TO was achieved in 140 (32.9%) patients. LLR was independently associated with TO (odds ratio [OR] 2.81; 95% CI 1.29-6.12; p = 0.009). After PSM, LLR patients cumulated higher number of TO criteria than OLR patients (5 vs. 4; p = 0.012). The 1-, 3-, and 5-year DFS of LLR patients with and without TO were 82.3%, 64.4%, and 62.5%, and 76.9%, 51.4%, and 30.2%, respectively (p = 0.003). On multivariable Cox regression, TO was independently associated with improved DFS (hazard ratio 0.34; p = 0.001). The cure fraction of the whole population was 24.4%. Patients achieving TO had increased cure fraction than patients not achieving TO (32.6% vs. 18.1%).

CONCLUSIONS

Quality of surgical care improves the prognosis of patients with early-stage HCC and is promoted by the laparoscopic approach.

LAY SUMMARY

The overall quality of surgical care, as measured by TO, plays a pivotal role in the prognosis and, in particular, on the probability of statistical cure of patients with resectable early-stage HCC occurring in cirrhosis. By influencing TO, laparoscopy has an indirect impact on the probability of cure and long-term management of these patients. This study strongly supports the promising curative role of mini-invasive treatments for early-stage HCC, such as low-difficulty LLR.

Preoperative prediction of microvascular invasion in non-metastatic hepatocellular carcinoma based on nomogram analysis

Purpose

The presence of microvascular invasion (MVI) is an unfavorable prognostic factor for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). This study aimed to construct a nomogram-based preoperative prediction model of MVI, thereby assisting to preoperatively select proper surgical procedures.

Methods

A total of 714 non-metastatic HCC patients undergoing radical hepatectomy were retrospectively selected from Zhongshan Hospital between 2010 and 2018, followed by random assignment into training (N = 520) and validation cohorts (N = 194). Nomogram-based prediction model for MVI risk was constructed by incorporating independent risk factors of MVI presence identified from multivariate backward logistic regression analysis in the training cohort. The performance of nomogram was evaluated by calibration curve and ROC curve. Finally, decision curve analysis (DCA) was used to determine the clinical utility of the nomogram.

Results

In total, 503 (70.4%) patients presented MVI. Multivariate analysis in the training cohort revealed that age (OR: 0.98), alpha-fetoprotein (≥400 ng/mL) (OR: 2.34), tumor size (>5 cm) (OR: 3.15), cirrhosis (OR: 2.03) and γ-glutamyl transpeptidase (OR: 1.61) were significantly associated with MVI presence. The incorporation of five risk factors into a nomogram-based preoperative estimation of MVI risk demonstrated satisfactory discriminative capacity, with C-index of 0.702 and 0.690 in training and validation cohorts, respectively. Calibration curve showed good agreement between actual and predicted MVI risks. Finally, DCA revealed the clinical utility of the nomogram.

Conclusion

The nomogram showed a satisfactory discriminative capacity of MVI risk in HCC patients, and could be used to preoperatively estimate MVI risk, thereby establishing more rational therapeutic strategies.

Neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio can predict outcome in extensive-stage small cell lung cancer

Background

The neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR), platelet-to-lymphocyte ratio (PLR), and lymphocyte-to-monocyte ratio (LMR) were analyzed in various carcinomas and their potential prognostic significance was determined. The objective of present study was to determine the correlation between these parameters and the survival of patients with small cell lung cancer (SCLC), since very few studies have been published on this type of carcinoma.

Patients and methods

One hundred and forty patients diagnosed with SCLC at University Hospital Center Zagreb, between 2012 and 2016 were retrospectively analyzed. Extensive-stage disease (ED) was verified in 80 patients and limited-stage disease (LD) in 60 patients. We analyzed the potential prognostic significance of various laboratory parameters, including NLR, PLR, and LMR, measured before the start of treatment.

Results

Disease extension, response to therapy, chest irradiation and prophylactic cranial irradiation (PCI), as well as hemoglobin, monocyte count, C-reactive protein (CRP), and lactate dehydrogenase (LDH) showed a prognostic significance in all patients. When we analyzed the patients separately, depending on the disease extension, we found that only skin metastases as well as LDH and NLR values, regardless of the cut-off value, had a prognostic significance in ED. Meanwhile, the ECOG performance status, chest irradiation, PCI, and hemoglobin and creatinine values had a prognostic significance in LD.

Conclusions

NLR calculated before the start of the treatment had a prognostic significance for ED, while PLR and LMR had no prognostic significance in any of the analyzed groups of patients.

Are inflammation-based markers useful in patients with hepatocellular carcinoma and clinically significant portal hypertension after liver resection?

Inflammation-based markers are considered prognostic indicators for patients with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) after liver resection. However, there is little information concerning whether they are useful for HCC patients with clinically significant portal hypertension (CSPH). In this study, 1452 patients were enrolled. Independent risk factors for recurrence-free survival (RFS) and overall survival (OS) were analyzed for patients with and without CSPH. For HCC patients without CSPH, multivariate analysis suggested that microvascular invasion (MVI), neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR) ≥ 3, platelet-to-lymphocyte ratio (PLR) ≥ 150, tumor size > 5 cm, and the presence of a satellite lesion were independently associated with RFS. MVI, NLR ≥ 3, PLR ≥ 150, and advanced Barcelona clinical liver cancer (BCLC) stage contributed to mortality. However, neither NLR nor PLR showed any prognostic power in HCC patients with CSPH. For HCC patients with CSPH, tumor size > 5 cm, MVI, satellite lesion, and albumin-bilirubin (ALBI) grade were independent risk factors for RFS, whereas tumor size > 5 cm, MVI, multiple tumors, ALBI grade and advanced BCLC stage showed prognostic power for OS. Our study confirmed CSPH influences the predictive ability of inflammation-based markers. This result reminds us to pay more attention to the influence of CSPH when we apply inflammation-based markers in patients with HCC after liver resection.

Neutrophil-to-lymphocyte and platelet-to-lymphocyte ratios as predictors of tumor response in hepatocellular carcinoma after DEB-TACE

OBJECTIVES

To investigate the predictive value of quantifiable imaging and inflammatory biomarkers in patients with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) for the clinical outcome after drug-eluting bead transarterial chemoembolization (DEB-TACE) measured as volumetric tumor response and progression-free survival (PFS).

METHODS

This retrospective study included 46 patients with treatment-naïve HCC who received DEB-TACE. Laboratory work-up prior to treatment included complete and differential blood count, liver function, and alpha-fetoprotein levels. Neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR) and platelet-to-lymphocyte ratio (PLR) were correlated with radiomic features extracted from pretreatment contrast-enhanced magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) and with tumor response according to quantitative European Association for the Study of the Liver (qEASL) criteria and progression-free survival (PFS) after DEB-TACE. Radiomic features included single nodular tumor growth measured as sphericity, dynamic contrast uptake behavior, arterial hyperenhancement, and homogeneity of contrast uptake. Statistics included univariate and multivariate linear regression, Cox regression, and Kaplan-Meier analysis.

RESULTS

Accounting for laboratory and clinical parameters, high baseline NLR and PLR were predictive of poorer tumor response (p = 0.014 and p = 0.004) and shorter PFS (p = 0.002 and p < 0.001). When compared to baseline imaging, high NLR and PLR correlated with non-spherical tumor growth (p = 0.001 and p < 0.001).

CONCLUSIONS

This study establishes the prognostic value of quantitative inflammatory biomarkers associated with aggressive non-spherical tumor growth and predictive of poorer tumor response and shorter PFS after DEB-TACE.

KEY POINTS

• In treatment-naïve hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC), high baseline platelet-to-lymphocyte ratio (PLR) and neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR) are associated with non-nodular tumor growth measured as low tumor sphericity. • High PLR and NLR are predictive of poorer volumetric enhancement-based tumor response and PFS after DEB-TACE in HCC. • This set of readily available, quantitative immunologic biomarkers can easily be implemented in clinical guidelines providing a paradigm to guide and monitor the personalized application of loco-regional therapies in HCC.

Acute rejection after liver transplantation is less common, but predicts better prognosis in HBV-related hepatocellular carcinoma patients

BACKGROUND

With a novel finding of significantly lower incidence of acute rejection (AR) in patients with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) after liver transplantation, compared with those with benign end-stage liver disease (BESLD), in a large national cohort, we analyzed the correlations among the perioperative immuno-inflammation status, postoperative AR, and prognosis in HCC and BESLD patients with same etiology of hepatitis B virus (HBV), who underwent liver transplantation.

METHODS

Patients who underwent liver transplantation due to HBV-related HCC or BESLD and experienced AR between September 2008 and April 2017 were analyzed retrospectively and followed up until April 2018. HCC patients with AR were matched with those without AR according to tumor stage and immunosuppressant concentration, at a 1:3 ratio. Preoperative immuno-inflammation status and prognosis of patients in both groups were compared.

RESULTS

The overall incidences of AR in patients with HCC and BESLD were 8.60% and 10.61%, respectively. The postoperative 28-day incidence of AR was significantly lower in HCC compared with BESLD patients (3.23% vs 7.08%, p = 0.031). Compared with BESLD patients, the rejection activity index and perioperative CD₄/CD₈ ratio were significantly lower (p = 0.047 and p < 0.001, respectively), while platelet/lymphocyte ratio was significantly higher in HCC patients (p = 0.041). Later tumor stage in HCC patients was associated with higher systemic immuno-inflammation index, neutrophil/lymphocyte ratio, monocyte/lymphocyte ratio, platelet/lymphocyte ratio, aspartate aminotransferase/lymphocyte ratio, C-reactive protein/albumin ratio and fibrinogen level, and lower CD₄/CD₈ ratio before transplantation. In HCC patients with AR, the percentage of regulatory T cells (CD₄⁺/CD₂₅⁺) and the level of IL-10 significantly decreased (p = 0.0023, < 0.0001, respectively), while Th1/Th2 ratio, levels of IFN-γ and IL-2 markedly increased before transplantation (p = 0.0018, 0.0059, 0.0416, respectively). Preoperative monocyte/lymphocyte ratio was an independent risk factor for overall and recurrence-free survival after liver transplantation in HCC patients (p = 0.025, < 0.001, respectively). The 1-, 3-, and 5-year survival rates were 76%, 71% and 53% in the AR group, and 67%, 37% and 25% in the non-AR group (p = 0.042).

CONCLUSION

Preoperative tumor-related immunosuppression may persist after liver transplantation in HCC patients, and reduce the incidence of AR. AR after liver transplantation may indicate a better prognosis in HCC patients.

Nomogram based on inflammatory indices for differentiating intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma from hepatocellular carcinoma

Objective

To establish nomogram based on inflammatory indices for differentiating intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma (ICC) from hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC).

Methods

A cohort of 422 patients with HCC or ICC hospitalized at Xiangya Hospital between January 2014 and December 2018 was included in the study. Univariate and multivariate analysis was performed to identify the independent differential factors. Through combining these independent differential factors, a nomogram was established for differential diagnosis between ICC and HCC. The accuracy of nomogram was evaluated by using receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve, calibration curve, and decision curve analysis (DCA). The results were validated using a prospective study on 98 consecutive patients operated on from January 2019 to November 2019 at the same institution.

Results

Sex (OR = 9.001, 95% CI: 3.268‐24.792, P < .001), hepatitis (OR = 0.323, 95% CI: 0.121‐0.860, P = .024), alpha‐fetoprotein (AFP) (OR = 0.997, 95% CI: 0.995‐1.000, P = .046), carbohydrate antigen 19‐9 (CA199) (OR = 1.016, 95% CI: 1.007‐1.025, P < .001), and aspartate transaminase‐to‐neutrophil ratio index (ANRI) (OR = 0.904, 95% CI: 0.843‐0.969, P = .004) were the independent differential factors for ICC. Nomogram was established with well‐fitted calibration curves through incorporating these 5 factors. Comparing model 1 including gender, hepatitis, AFP, and CA199 (C index = 0.903, 95% CI: 0.849‐0.957) and model 2 enrolling AFP and CA199 (C index = 0.850, 95% CI: 0.791‐0.908), the nomogram showed a better discrimination between ICC and HCC, with a C index of 0.920 (95% CI, 0.872‐0.968). The results were consistent in the validation cohort. DCA also confirmed the conclusion.

Conclusion

A nomogram was established for the differential diagnosis between ICC and HCC preoperatively, and better therapeutic choice would be made if it was applied in clinical practice.

Comparison of the prognostic value of inflammation-based scores in early recurrent hepatocellular carcinoma after hepatectomy

BACKGROUND & AIMS

Inflammation-based prognostic scores, such as the Glasgow Prognostic Score (GPS), modified Glasgow Prognostic Score (mGPS), Prognostic Index (PI), Prognostic Nutritional Index (PNI), neutrophil to lymphocyte ratio (NLR), platelet to lymphocyte ratio (PLR), lymphocyte to monocyte ratio (LMR) and systemic immune-inflammation index (SII), are correlated with the survival of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) patients, while remain unclear for recurrent HCC. This study aimed to compare the prognostic value of inflammation-based prognostic scores for post-recurrence survival (PRS) in patients with early recurrent HCC (ErHCC, within 2 years after hepatectomy).

METHODS

A total of 580 patients with ErHCC were enrolled retrospectively. The association between the independent baseline and the time-dependent variables and PRS was evaluated by cox regression. The prediction accuracy of the inflammation-based prognostic scores was assessed by time-dependent receiver operating characteristic (ROC) and Harrell's concordance index (C-index) analyses.

RESULTS

The GPS, mGPS, PI, PNI, NLR, PLR, LMR and SII were all related to the PRS of ErHCC patients, while only the SII (P < .001) remained an independent predictor for PRS in multivariate analysis (hazard ratio: 1.92, 95% confidence interval: 1.33-2.79). Both the C-index of the SII (0.65) and the areas under the ROC curves showed that the SII score was superior to the other inflammation-based prognostic scores for predicting the PRS of ErHCC patients.

CONCLUSIONS

The SII is a useful prognostic indicator for PRS in patients with ErHCC after hepatectomy and is superior to the other inflammation-based prognostic scores in terms of prognostic ability.

Preoperative neutrophil-lymphocyte ratio predicts the risk of microvascular invasion in hepatocellular carcinoma: A meta-analysis

BACKGROUND

Preoperative estimation of microvascular invasion is of great significance for the clinical decision making in hepatocellular carcinoma. Neutrophil-lymphocyte ratio (NLR) has been reported to be correlated with the poor prognosis of hepatocellular carcinoma. However, the conclusions are conflicting on whether high preoperative NLR level is associated with the presence of microvascular invasion.

AIM

To evaluate the association between preoperative NLR level and the risk of microvascular invasion in hepatocellular carcinoma.

METHODS

Relevant studies were identified by searching PubMed and Embase through February 2019. Fixed or random models were applied to analyze the data based on the heterogeneity. Subgroup, sensitivity, and publication bias analyses were performed. Review Manager 5.3 and STATA software were used for the meta-analysis.

RESULTS

A total of 15 studies were eventually included in this meta-analysis. Pooled data based on retrospective cohort studies showed there are more hepatocellular carcinoma patients with vascular invasion (OR 1.74; 95% Cl 1.42, 2.12; P < 0.001) and microvascular invasion (OR 1.62 95% Cl 1.39, 1.89; P < 0.001) in the high NLR group than in the low NLR group. Of case-control studies, a higher preoperative NLR level was found in the microvascular invasion positive group than in the microvascular invasion negative group (OR 0.62; 95% Cl 0.35, 0.90; P < 0.001). The subgroup, sensitivity, and publication bias analyses did not change the results.

CONCLUSION

A higher preoperative NLR level is positively correlated with the risk of microvascular invasion in hepatocellular carcinoma.

Liver Resection for Nonalcoholic Fatty Liver Disease-Associated Hepatocellular Carcinoma

BACKGROUND

Nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD)-related hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is on the rise worldwide, but data on long-term outcomes after curative operations are limited. The primary aim of this study was to characterize the perioperative and long-term outcomes after liver resection. The secondary aim was to investigate the influence of the histologic severity of nonalcoholic steatohepatitis and its impact on perioperative outcomes and long-term survival.

METHODS

A total of 996 patients who underwent liver resection for HCC in our institution were analyzed. Patients were categorized into subgroups of NAFLD vs non-NAFLD HCC based on histologic evidence of hepatic steatosis. Comparisons of patients' demographic, clinical, and surgical characteristics; postoperative complications; and survival outcomes were performed.

RESULTS

Eight hundred and forty-four patients had non-NAFLD HCC and 152 patients had NAFLD HCC. Comorbidities were significantly more common in the NAFLD group (p < 0.0001). In the non-NAFLD group, larger median tumor size, higher liver cirrhosis, and lower median neutrophil to lymphocyte ratio were observed (p < 0.0001). The NAFLD group had a greater amount of intraoperative blood loss, more postoperative complications, and longer length of stay. Five-year overall survival was significantly better in the NAFLD group (p = 0.0355). Significant factors that contribute to poorer survival outcomes include age, congestive cardiac failure, Child-Pugh's class B, cirrhosis, tumor size, multinodularity, and R1 resection. For NAFLD group, patients with abnormal parenchyma showed poorer survival and 5-year overall survival rates (64.8% vs 75.6%; p = 0.2291).

CONCLUSIONS

Nonalcoholic fatty liver disease-related HCC is associated with greater surgical morbidity and post-hepatectomy liver failure. Despite this, long-term survival outcomes are favorable compared with non-NAFLD etiologies.

A novel prognostic marker based on risk stratification with prognostic nutritional index and age for nasopharyngeal carcinoma patients who received neoadjuvant chemotherapy

Aim: To evaluate the prognostic value of pretreatment prognostic nutritional index (PNI) in nasopharyngeal carcinoma (NPC) patients treated with neoadjuvant chemotherapy followed by concurrent chemoradiotherapy. Materials & methods: We conducted a retrospective study on prognostic value of PNI in NPC patients. A new prognostic marker was explored based on risk stratification with PNI and age. Results: PNI and age were two independent prognostic factors for overall survival (OS) and progression free survival besides node stage and clinical stage. Low prognostic nutritional index and high age (LPNI-HAge) was identified as an independent prognostic factor for both OS (p < 0.001) and progression free survival (p = 0.008), which has a better predict value than sole PNI or age. Conclusion: The novel prognosis index LPNI-HAge provides prognostication of OS and progression free survival for NPC patients treated with neoadjuvant chemotherapy plus concurrent chemoradiotherapy.

Prognostic value of aspartate transaminase to alanine transaminase (De Ritis) ratio in solid tumors: a pooled analysis of 9,400 patients

BACKGROUND

Numerous studies have reported the association between pretreatment serum aspartate transaminase to alanine transaminase (AST/ALT) ratio and prognosis in multiple cancers. However, the results remain controversial and no consensus has been reached. Thus, we conducted this meta-analysis to quantitatively assess the prognostic value of pretreatment AST/ALT ratio in solid tumors.

METHODS

A systematic literature search was conducted by using PubMed, EMBASE, Web of Science, Cochrane Library, and Wanfang databases, as well as several trial registry platforms, including ClinicalTrials.gov, WHO International Clinical Trials Registry Platform, and Chinese Clinical Trial Registry, up to April 5, 2019. HR and 95% CI for overall survival (OS), cancer-specific survival (CSS), and recurrence-free survival (RFS) were calculated to estimate the effect size.

RESULTS

A total of 18 studies with 9,400 patients were included. Overall, a high level of pretreatment AST/ALT ratio was significantly associated with worse OS (pooled HR=1.70, 95% CI=1.38-2.09). The statistical significance was observed in all cancer types, including renal cell carcinoma (pooled HR=1.64, 95% CI=1.30-2.05), liver cancer (pooled HR=1.16, 95% CI=1.04-1.29), urinary tract urothelial carcinoma (pooled HR=1.96, 95% CI=1.53-2.51), bladder cancer (pooled HR =2.66, 95% CI=1.69-4.20), and other cancers (pooled HR=1.44, 95% CI=1.18-1.76). Moreover, an increased level of serum AST/ALT ratio predicted unfavorable CSS (pooled HR=2.07, 95% CI=1.74-2.46) and RFS (pooled HR=1.51, 95% CI=1.15-1.99).

CONCLUSION

Elevated level of serum AST/ALT ratio before treatment is significantly associated with poor clinical outcomes of OS, CSS, and RFS in patients with solid tumors. Pretreatment AST/ALT ratio can serve as a useful prognostic predictor for malignant patients.

Prognostic significance of inflammatory biomarkers in hepatocellular carcinoma following hepatic resection

Background

Cancer‐related inflammation has been correlated with cancer prognosis. This study evaluated inflammatory biomarkers, including neutrophil‐to‐lymphocyte ratio (NLR), platelet‐to‐lymphocyte ratio (PLR) and lymphocyte‐to‐monocyte ratio (LMR), programmed death ligand (PD‐L) 1 expression, and tumour microenvironment in relation to prognosis and clinicopathological features of patients with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) undergoing curative hepatic resection.

Methods

Patients who had liver resection for HCC in 2000–2011 were analysed. Univariable and multivariable analyses were conducted for overall (OS) and recurrence‐free (RFS) survival. Immunohistochemical analyses of PD‐L1, CD8 and CD68 expression were performed. HCC cell lines were evaluated for PD‐L1 expression. A subgroup analysis was conducted to determine patient features, survival and the tumour microenvironment. Results were validated in a cohort of patients with HCC treated surgically in 2012–2016.

Results

Some 281 patients who underwent hepatic resection for HCC were included. Multivariable analysis showed that low LMR was an independent prognostic factor of OS (hazard ratio (HR) 1·59, 95 per cent c.i. 1·00 to 2·41; P = 0·045) and RFS (HR 1·47, 1·05 to 2·04; P = 0·022) after resection. Low preoperative LMR values were correlated with higher α‐fetoprotein values (P < 0·001), larger tumour size (P < 0·001), and high rates of poor differentiation (P = 0·035) and liver cirrhosis (P = 0·008). LMR was significantly lower in PD‐L1‐positive patients than in those with PD‐L1 negativity (P < 0·001). Results were confirmed in the validation cohort. PD‐L1 expression was upregulated in HCC cell lines treated with interferon‐γ and co‐cultured with THP‐1 monocyte cells.

Conclusion

LMR is an independent predictor of survival after hepatic resection in patients with HCC. Modulation of the immune checkpoint pathway in the tumour microenvironment is associated with a low LMR.

Underlying liver disease and advanced stage liver cancer are associated with elevated neutrophil-lymphocyte ratio

Background/Aims

Inflammation-based scores, such as the neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR), have been associated with prognosis in hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC); but variable cut-off values and potential lack of specificity have limited the utility of NLR. This study evaluates NLR in a large cohort of HCC patients.

Methods

We retrospectively reviewed 789 HCC cases (1993–2017) for demographics, tumor characteristics, treatment, and survival. NLR was stratified into NLR ≥1.5 and NLR ≥3 and analyzed for correlation with American Joint Committee on Cancer (AJCC) and Barcelona Clinic Liver Cancer (BCLC) stages. In 235 patients who underwent liver resection, survival and recurrence were evaluated by NLR.

Results

In 789 HCC cases, mean NLR was increased with advanced AJCC and BCLC stages. Hepatitis C patients were less likely to have NLR ≥1.5 and ≥3. Non-alcoholic steatohepatitis patients were more likely to have NLR ≥3. Patients with tumor size >5 cm, rupture, or macrovascular invasion were more likely to have NLR ≥3. In patients treated with resection, NLR ≥3 predicted early recurrence (odds ratio [OR] 4.14, P<0.01) and overall recurrence (OR 4.05, P<0.01). Mean NLR was 4.30 in those with recurrence and 2.75 in those without recurrence. Patients with NLR ≥3 showed significantly worse survival compared to those with NLR <3 (P<0.01 by log-rank test).

Conclusions

Elevated NLR is associated with advanced cancer stage and aggressive tumor characteristics, such as large size, rupture, and invasion. NLR ≥3 was associated with early and overall recurrence after resection but varied with etiology. NLR may be a useful biomarker in predicting recurrence for HCC patients undergoing curative resection, but further studies are required to elucidate the effect of disease etiology.

Serosal invasion is a strong prognostic factor for hepatocellular carcinoma after hepatectomy

AIM

The clinical impact of serosal invasion by hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) remains unclear. This study aimed to clarify the significance of serosal invasion as a prognostic factor for patients who underwent hepatectomy for HCC.

METHODS

This retrospective study investigated patients who underwent hepatectomy for HCC between October 2003 and September 2016 in Ehime University Hospital (Toon, Japan). A total of 161 cases were enrolled after excluding cases of concomitant distant metastasis, macroscopic tumor remnant, mixed HCC, and rehepatectomy. We classified these 161 patients into groups with serosal invasion detected (S[+]) and serosal invasion undetected (S[-]). We compared patient characteristics, perioperative data, pathological findings, and prognosis between S(+) and S(-) groups.

RESULTS

Serosal invasion was observed in 19 of the 161 patients (12%). The 5-year recurrence-free survival rate was lower for S(+) (13.0%) than for S(-) (28.7%, P = 0.006). The 5-year overall survival (OS) rate was lower for S(+) (24.7%) than for S(-) (63.9%, P < 0.001). Regarding OS, serosal invasion, preoperative α-fetoprotein value, presence of invasion to hepatic veins, and liver cirrhosis were independent predictors in multivariate analyses. The 3-year OS rate after recurrence was poorer in the S(+) group (22.9%) than in the S(-) group (49.7%, P = 0.001).

CONCLUSIONS

Serosal invasion was a strong predictor of worse outcomes after hepatectomy for HCC. Patients showing serosal invasion need close postoperative follow-up or consideration of adjuvant treatment.