Community-facility linkage models and maternal and infant health outcomes in Malawi's PMTCT/ART program: A cohort study

Opportunities to Optimize Outcomes of Diagnosis and Treatment of HIV and Syphilis in Pregnancy: the Quest to Eliminate Maternal and Vertical Transmission

BACKGROUND

There is an urgent need to improve interventions for HIV and syphilis in pregnancy to achieve elimination.

RESULTS

The tenets of vertical transmission strategies for HIV and syphilis overlap but have varying success due to differences in their transmission dynamics, diagnoses, and treatment. Key principles include prevention of maternal infection, screening and diagnosis early and throughout antenatal care, curative treatment (syphilis), viral load suppression (HIV), early infant diagnosis and treatment (HIV and congenital syphilis). We recommend improved guidelines, provider training and focused research and surveillance, including implementation studies to align HIV and syphilis screening and treatment during pregnancy. Opportunities to integrate syphilis screening and treatment into antenatal and HIV care enable providers to offer comprehensive maternal care.

CONCLUSION

Integrated HIV/syphilis services ensure a cohesive and person-centered approach, improving health outcomes through streamlined, efficient, and family-centered care pathways. We recommend key interventions to reduce HIV and syphilis in pregnancy and prevent vertical transmission.

Guidance for Triangulating Data and Estimates of HIV Prevalence Among Pregnant Women and Coverage of PMTCT Using the Spectrum AIDS Impact Module

BACKGROUND

Most countries use the Spectrum AIDS Impact Module (Spectrum-AIM), antenatal care routine HIV testing, and antiretroviral treatment data to estimate HIV prevalence among pregnant women. Nonrepresentative program data may lead to inaccurate estimates of HIV prevalence and treatment coverage for pregnant women.

SETTING

One hundred fifty-four countries and subnational locations across 126 countries.

METHODS

Using 2023 UNAIDS HIV estimates, we calculated 3 ratios: (1) HIV prevalence among pregnant women to all women 15-49 yrs (prevalence), (2) ART coverage before pregnancy to women 15-49 yrs ART coverage (ART prepregnancy), and (3) ART coverage at delivery to women 15-49 yrs ART coverage (PMTCT coverage). We developed an algorithm to identify and adjust inconsistent results within regional ranges in Spectrum-AIM, illustrated using Burkina Faso estimates.

RESULTS

In 2022, the mean regional ratio of prevalence among pregnant women to all women ranged from 0.68 to 0.95. ART coverage prepregnancy ranged by region from 0.40 to 1.22 times ART coverage among all women. Mean regional PMTCT coverage ratios ranged from 0.85 to 1.51. The prevalence ratio in Burkina Faso was 1.59, above the typical range 0.62-1.04 in western and central Africa. Antenatal clinics reported more PMTCT recipients than estimated HIV-positive pregnant women from 2015 to 2019. We adjusted inputted PMTCT program data to enable consistency of HIV prevalence among pregnant women from programmatic routine HIV testing at antenatal clinics with values typical for western and central Africa.

CONCLUSIONS

These ratios offer Spectrum-AIM users a tool to gauge the consistency of their HIV prevalence and treatment coverage estimates among pregnant women with other countries in the region.

Predicting mortality within 1 year of ART initiation in children and adolescents living with HIV in sub-Saharan Africa: a retrospective observational cohort study

BACKGROUND

Differentiated service delivery (DSD) for children and adolescents living with HIV can improve targeted resource use. We derived a mortality prediction score to guide clinical decision making for children and adolescents living with HIV.

METHODS

Data for this retrospective observational cohort study were evaluated for all children and adolescents living with HIV and initiating antiretroviral therapy (ART); aged 0-19 years; and enrolled at Baylor clinics in Eswatini, Malawi, Lesotho, Tanzania, and Uganda between 2005 and 2020. Data for clinical prediction, including anthropometric values, physical examination, ART, WHO stage, and laboratory tests were captured at ART initiation. Backward stepwise variable selection and logistic regression were performed to develop predictive models for mortality within 1 year of ART initiation. Probabilities of mortality were generated, compared with true outcomes, internally validated, and evaluated against WHO advanced HIV criteria.

FINDINGS

The study population included 16 958 children and adolescents living with HIV and initiated on ART between May 18, 2005, and Dec 18, 2020. Predictive variables for the most accurate model included: age, CD4 percentage, white blood cell count, haemoglobin concentration, platelet count, and BMI Z score as continuous variables, and WHO clinical stage and oedema, abnormal muscle tone and respiratory distress on examination as categorical variables. The area under the curve (AUC) of the predictive model was 0·851 (95% CI 0·839-0·863) in the training set and 0·822 (0·800-0·845) in the test set, compared with 0·606 (0·595-0·617) for the WHO advanced HIV criteria (p<0·0001).

INTERPRETATION

This study evaluated a large, multinational population to derive a mortality prediction tool for children and adolescents living with HIV. The model more accurately predicted clinical outcomes than the WHO advanced HIV criteria and has the potential to improve DSD for children and adolescents living with HIV in high-burden settings.

FUNDING

National Institute of Health Fogarty International Center.

Effect of peer-mother interactive programme on prevention of mother-to-child HIV transmission outcomes among pregnant women on anti-retroviral treatment in routine healthcare in Dar es Salaam, Tanzania

Peer support services are increasingly being integrated in programmes for the prevention of mother-to-child HIV transmission (PMTCT). We aimed to evaluate the effect of a peer-mother interactive programme on PMTCT outcomes among pregnant women on anti-retroviral treatment (ART) in routine healthcare in Dar es Salaam, Tanzania. Twenty-three health facilities were cluster-randomized to a peer-mother intervention and 24 to a control arm. We trained 92 ART experienced women with HIV to offer peer education, adherence and psychosocial support to women enrolling in PMTCT care at the intervention facilities. All pregnant women who enrolled in PMTCT care at the 47 facilities from 1st January 2018 to 31st December 2019 were identified and followed up to 31st July 2021. The primary outcome was time to ART attrition (no show >90 days since the scheduled appointment, excluding transfers) and any difference in one-year retention in PMTCT and ART care between intervention and control facilities. Secondary outcomes were maternal viral suppression (<400 viral copies/mL) and mother-to-child HIV transmission (MTCT) by ≥12 months post-partum. Analyses were done using Kaplan Meier and Cox regression (ART retention/attrition), generalized estimating equations (viral suppression) and random effects logistic regression (MTCT); reporting rates, proportions and 95% confidence intervals (CI). There were 1957 women in the peer-mother and 1384 in the control facilities who enrolled in routine PMTCT care during 2018-2019 and were followed for a median [interquartile range (IQR)] of 23 [10, 31] months. Women in both groups had similar median age of 30 [IQR 25, 35] years, but differed slightly with regard to proportions in the third pregnancy trimester (14% versus 19%); advanced HIV (22% versus 27%); and ART naïve (55% versus 47%). Peer-mother facilities had a significantly lower attrition rate per 1000 person months (95%CI) of 14 (13, 16) versus 18 (16, 19) and significantly higher one-year ART retention (95%CI) of 78% (76, 80) versus 74% (71, 76) in un-adjusted analyses, however in adjusted analyses the effect size was not statistically significant [adjusted hazard ratio of attrition (95%CI) = 0.85 (0.67, 1.08)]. Viral suppression (95%CI) was similar in both groups [92% (91, 93) versus 91% (90, 92)], but significantly higher among ART naïve women in peer-mother [91% (89, 92)] versus control [88% (86, 90)] facilities. MTCT (95%CI) was similar in both groups [2.2% (1.4, 3.4) versus 1.5% (0.7, 2.8)]. In conclusion, we learned that integration of peer-mother services in routine PMTCT care improved ART retention among all women and viral suppression among ART naïve women but had no significant influence on MTCT.