Measuring malaria morbidity in an area of seasonal transmission: Pyrogenic parasitemia thresholds based on a 20-year follow-up study

Parasitaemia and fever in uncomplicated Plasmodium vivax malaria: A systematic review and individual patient data meta-analysis

BACKGROUND

Parasite density thresholds used for diagnosing symptomatic malaria are defined by the relationship between parasitaemia and fever. This relationship can inform the design and development of novel diagnostic tests but appropriate parasitaemia thresholds for Plasmodium vivax malaria remain poorly defined.

METHODOLOGY/PRINCIPAL FINDINGS

We undertook an individual patient data meta-analysis of P. vivax clinical trials mapped to the WorldWide Antimalarial Resistance Network (WWARN) repository and used parasitaemia centiles of febrile patients at enrolment to derive proportions of patients who would have been diagnosed at different parasite densities. Febrile and afebrile patients with recurrent infections were selected to estimate pyrogenic densities using receiver operating characteristic curve analysis. In total 13,263 patients from 50 studies were included in the analysis. In 27 studies (8,378 febrile patients) in which a parasitaemia threshold was not applied as an inclusion criterion, the median parasitaemia at enrolment was 3,280/µL (interquartile range, 968 - 8,320); 90% of patients had a parasitaemia above 278/µL (10th centile), and 95% above 120/µL (5th centile). The 10th centile was higher in children <5 years old (368/µL) compared to adults ≥15 years (240/µL). In high relapse periodicity regions (Southeast Asia and Oceania) febrile patients presented with lower parasitaemias (10th centile 185/µL vs. 504/µL) and a wider range of parasitaemias compared to those from low relapse periodicity regions (interquartile range 760/µL - 8,774/µL vs. 1,204/µL - 8,000/µL). In total 2,270 patients from 41 studies had at least one episode of recurrent P. vivax parasitaemia, of whom 43% (849/1,983) were febrile at their first recurrence. The P. vivax pyrogenic density at first recurrence was 1,063/µL, defining fever with 74% sensitivity and 65% specificity. The pyrogenic density was lower in young children compared to adults ≥15 years (935/µL vs. 1,179/µL).

CONCLUSIONS/SIGNIFICANCE

The derived parasitaemia centiles will inform the use of current and the design of novel point-of-care tests to diagnose patients with symptomatic vivax malaria. Variation by age and location should be considered when selecting diagnostic thresholds and interpreting results.

TRIAL REGISTRATION

This trial was registered with PROSPERO: CRD42021254905. The date of the first registration was 17th May 2021.

Pathogenicity and virulence of malaria: Sticky problems and tricky solutions

Infections with Plasmodium falciparum and Plasmodium vivax cause over 600,000 deaths each year, concentrated in Africa and in young children, but much of the world's population remain at risk of infection. In this article, we review the latest developments in the immunogenicity and pathogenesis of malaria, with a particular focus on P. falciparum, the leading malaria killer. Pathogenic factors include parasite-derived toxins and variant surface antigens on infected erythrocytes that mediate sequestration in the deep vasculature. Host response to parasite toxins and to variant antigens is an important determinant of disease severity. Understanding how parasites sequester, and how antibody to variant antigens could prevent sequestration, may lead to new approaches to treat and prevent disease. Difficulties in malaria diagnosis, drug resistance, and specific challenges of treating P. vivax pose challenges to malaria elimination, but vaccines and other preventive strategies may offer improved disease control.

PET-PCR reveals low parasitaemia and submicroscopic malarial infections in Honduran Moskitia

BACKGROUND

Malaria remains a main parasitic disease of humans. Although the largest number of cases is reported in the African region, there are still endemic foci in the Americas. Central America reported 36,000 malaria cases in 2020, which represents 5.5% of cases in the Americas and 0.015% of cases globally. Most malaria infections in Central America are reported in La Moskitia, shared by Honduras and Nicaragua. In the Honduran Moskitia, less than 800 cases were registered in 2020, considering it an area of low endemicity. In low endemicity settings, the number of submicroscopic and asymptomatic infections tends to increase, leaving many cases undetected and untreated. These reservoirs challenge national malaria elimination programmes. This study aimed to assess the diagnostic performance of Light Microscopy (LM), a nested PCR test and a photoinduced electron transfer polymerase chain reaction (PET-PCR) in a population of febrile patients from La Moskitia.

METHODS

A total of 309 febrile participants were recruited using a passive surveillance approach at the Puerto Lempira hospital. Blood samples were analysed by LM, nested PCR, and PET-PCR. Diagnostic performance including sensitivity, specificity, negative and positive predictive values, kappa index, accuracy, and ROC analysis was evaluated. The parasitaemia of the positive samples was quantified by both LM and PET-PCR.

RESULTS

The overall prevalence of malaria was 19.1% by LM, 27.8% by nPCR, and 31.1% by PET-PCR. The sensitivity of LM was 67.4% compared to nPCR, and the sensitivity of LM and nPCR was 59.6% and 80.8%, respectively, compared to PET-PCR. LM showed a kappa index of 0.67, with a moderate level of agreement. Forty positive cases by PET-PCR were not detected by LM.

CONCLUSIONS

This study demonstrated that LM is unable to detect parasitaemia at low levels and that there is a high degree of submicroscopic infections in the Honduran Moskitia.

Plasmodium falciparum adapts its investment into replication versus transmission according to the host environment

The malaria parasite life cycle includes asexual replication in human blood, with a proportion of parasites differentiating to gametocytes required for transmission to mosquitoes. Commitment to differentiate into gametocytes, which is marked by activation of the parasite transcription factor ap2-g, is known to be influenced by host factors but a comprehensive model remains uncertain. Here, we analyze data from 828 children in Kilifi, Kenya with severe, uncomplicated, and asymptomatic malaria infection over 18 years of falling malaria transmission. We examine markers of host immunity and metabolism, and markers of parasite growth and transmission investment. We find that inflammatory responses associated with reduced plasma lysophosphatidylcholine levels are associated with markers of increased investment in parasite sexual reproduction (i.e. transmission investment) and reduced growth (i.e. asexual replication). This association becomes stronger with falling transmission and suggests that parasites can rapidly respond to the within-host environment, which in turn is subject to changing transmission.

GMZ2 Vaccine-Induced Antibody Responses, Naturally Acquired Immunity and the Incidence of Malaria in Burkinabe Children

GMZ2 is a malaria vaccine candidate evaluated in a phase 2b multi-centre trial. Here we assessed antibody responses and the association of naturally acquired immunity with incidence of malaria in one of the trial sites, Banfora in Burkina Faso. The analysis included 453 (GMZ2 = 230, rabies = 223) children aged 12-60 months old. Children were followed-up for clinical malaria episodes for 12 months after final vaccine administration. Antibody levels against GMZ2 and eleven non-GMZ2 antigens were measured on days 0 and 84 (one month after final vaccine dose). Vaccine efficacy (VE) differed by age group (interaction, (12-35 months compared to 36-60 months), p = 0.0615). During the twelve months of follow-up, VE was 1% (95% confidence interval [CI] -17%, 17%) and 23% ([CI] 3%, 40%) in the 12 - 35 and 36 - 60 months old children, respectively. In the GMZ2 group, day 84 anti-GMZ2 IgG levels were associated with reduced incidence of febrile malaria during the follow up periods of 1-6 months (hazard ratio (HR) = 0.87, 95%CI = (0.77, 0.98)) and 7-12 months (HR = 0.84, 95%CI = (0.71, 0.98)) in the 36-60 months old but not in 12-35 months old children. Multivariate analysis involving day 84 IgG levels to eleven non-vaccine antigens, identified MSP3-K1 and GLURP-R2 to be associated with reduced incidence of malaria during the 12 months of follow up. The inclusion of these antigens might improve GMZ2 vaccine efficacy.

Relative contribution of low-density and asymptomatic infections to Plasmodium vivax transmission in the Amazon: pooled analysis of individual participant data from population-based cross-sectional surveys

Background

Low-density and asymptomatic Plasmodium vivax infections remain largely undetected and untreated and may contribute significantly to malaria transmission in the Amazon.

Methods

We analysed individual participant data from population-based surveys that measured P vivax prevalence by microscopy and polymerase chain reaction (PCR) between 2002 and 2015 and modelled the relationship between parasite density and infectiousness to vectors using membrane feeding assay data. We estimated the proportion of sub-patent (i.e., missed by microscopy) and asymptomatic P vivax infections and examined how parasite density relates to clinical manifestations and mosquito infection in Amazonian settings.

Findings

We pooled 24,986 observations from six sites in Brazil and Peru. P vivax was detected in 6·8% and 2·1% of them by PCR and microscopy, respectively. 58·5% to 92·6% of P vivax infections were asymptomatic and 61·2% to 96·3% were sub-patent across study sites. P vivax density thresholds associated with clinical symptoms were one order of magnitude higher in children than in adults. We estimate that sub-patent parasite carriers are minimally infectious and contribute 12·7% to 24·9% of the community-wide P vivax transmission, while asymptomatic carriers are the source of 28·2% to 79·2% of mosquito infections.

Interpretation

Asymptomatic P vivax carriers constitute a vast infectious reservoir that, if targeted by malaria elimination strategies, could substantially reduce malaria transmission in the Amazon. Infected children may remain asymptomatic despite high parasite densities that elicit clinical manifestations in adults.

Funding

US National Institutes of Health, Fundação de Amparo à Pesquisa do Estado de São Paulo, and Belgium Development Cooperation.

High Prevalence of Asymptomatic Malarial Anemia and Association with Early Conversion from Asymptomatic to Symptomatic Infection in a Plasmodium falciparum Hyperendemic Setting in Cameroon

Asymptomatic malarial parasitemia is highly prevalent in Plasmodium falciparum endemic areas and often associated with increased prevalence of mild to moderate anemia. The aim of this study was to assess the prevalence of anemia during asymptomatic malaria parasitemia and its interplay with persistent infection in highly exposed individuals. A household-based longitudinal survey was undertaken in a malaria hyperendemic area in Cameroon using multiplex nested polymerase chain reaction to detect plasmodial infections. Residents with P. falciparum asymptomatic parasitemia were monitored over a 3-week period with the aid of structured questionnaires and weekly measurements of axillary temperatures. Of the 353 individuals included (median age: 26 years, range 2-86 years, male/female sex ratio 0.9), 328 (92.9%) were positive for malaria parasitemia of whom 266 (81.1%) were asymptomatic carriers. The prevalence of anemia in the study population was 38.6%, of which 69.2% were asymptomatic. Multivariate analyses identified high parasitemia (> 327 parasites/µL) and female gender as associated risk factors of asymptomatic malarial anemia in the population. Furthermore, risk analyses revealed female gender and anemia at the time of enrolment as key predictors of early development of febrile illness (< 3 weeks post enrolment) among the asymptomatic individuals. Together, the data reveal an extremely high prevalence of asymptomatic malaria parasitemia and anemia in the study area, unveiling for the first time the association of asymptomatic malarial anemia with early clinical conversion from asymptomatic to symptomatic infection. Furthermore, these findings underscore the negative impact of asymptomatic malaria parasitemia on individual health, necessitating the development of appropriate control and preventive measures.

Cross-sectional survey of asymptomatic malaria in Dak Nong province in the Central Highlands of Vietnam for the malaria elimination roadmap

Asymptomatic parasite carriers represent a "silent" infective reservoir for malaria transmission and contributes to malaria persistence. However, limited data are available on asymptomatic malaria in Vietnam. Between November 2018 and March 2019, we conducted a malaria epidemiological survey of asymptomatic people (children ≥ 10 years old and adults ≥18 years old, n = 2,809) residing in three communes in Tuy Duc district, Dak Nong province in the Central Highlands of Vietnam. Based on the national stratification of malaria risk, Dak Buk So, Dak Ngo and Quang Truc communes were classified by the National Malaria Control Programme as low, moderate and high malaria endemic areas, respectively. Using participants' finger prick blood samples, malaria parasites were detected by one-step reverse transcription-quantitative polymerase chain reaction (RT-qPCR). The median age (Interquartile Range) for adults and children were 35 years (26-50) and 12 years (11-14), respectively. The prevalence of asymptomatic malaria was 1.7% (22/1,328), 3.5% (31/890) and 12.2% (72/591) for participants from Dak Buk So, Dak Ngo and Quang Truc, respectively. The prevalence of asymptomatic malaria was lower in children compared to adults: 2.6% (9/352) versus 4.7% (116/2,457) (Odds Ratio 0.53, 95% Confidence Interval 0.28 to1.02). Ownership of long-lasting insecticide-treated bed nets and hammocks was 97.1%, 99.0% and 94.7% for participants in Dak Buk So, Dak Ngo and Quang Truc, respectively, however, only 66.0%, 57.3% and 42.8% of the participants reported using bed nets every night. Of the several risk factors examined, going to the forest two weeks prior to enrolment into the study and sleeping in the forest had a significant association with participants being infected with asymptomatic malaria in Quang Truc, but not in the other two communes. Knowledge of the prevalence and distribution of asymptomatic malaria will help design and evaluate future intervention strategies for malaria elimination in Vietnam.

Immune selection suppresses the emergence of drug resistance in malaria parasites but facilitates its spread

Although drug resistance in Plasmodium falciparum typically evolves in regions of low transmission, resistance spreads readily following introduction to regions with a heavier disease burden. This suggests that the origin and the spread of resistance are governed by different processes, and that high transmission intensity specifically impedes the origin. Factors associated with high transmission, such as highly immune hosts and competition within genetically diverse infections, are associated with suppression of resistant lineages within hosts. However, interactions between these factors have rarely been investigated and the specific relationship between adaptive immunity and selection for resistance has not been explored. Here, we developed a multiscale, agent-based model of Plasmodium parasites, hosts, and vectors to examine how host and parasite dynamics shape the evolution of resistance in populations with different transmission intensities. We found that selection for antigenic novelty (“immune selection”) suppressed the evolution of resistance in high transmission settings. We show that high levels of population immunity increased the strength of immune selection relative to selection for resistance. As a result, immune selection delayed the evolution of resistance in high transmission populations by allowing novel, sensitive lineages to remain in circulation at the expense of the spread of a resistant lineage.

In contrast, in low transmission settings, we observed that resistant strains were able to sweep to high population prevalence without interference. Additionally, we found that the relationship between immune selection and resistance changed when resistance was widespread. Once resistance was common enough to be found on many antigenic backgrounds, immune selection stably maintained resistant parasites in the population by allowing them to proliferate, even in untreated hosts, when resistance was linked to a novel epitope. Our results suggest that immune selection plays a role in the global pattern of resistance evolution.

Drug resistance in the malaria parasite, Plasmodium falciparum, presents an ongoing public health challenge, but aspects of its evolution are poorly understood. Although antimalarial resistance is common worldwide, it can typically be traced to just a handful of evolutionary origins. Counterintuitively, although Sub Saharan Africa bears 90% of the global malaria burden, resistance typically originates in regions where transmission intensity is low. In high transmission regions, infections are genetically diverse, and hosts have significant standing adaptive immunity, both of which are known to suppress the frequency of resistance within infections. However, interactions between immune-driven selection, transmission intensity, and resistance have not been investigated. Using a multiscale, agent-based model, we found that high transmission intensity slowed the evolution of resistance via its effect on host population immunity. High host immunity strengthened selection for antigenic novelty, interfering with selection for resistance and allowing sensitive lineages to suppress resistant lineages in untreated hosts. However, once resistance was common in the circulating parasite population, immune selection maintained it in the population at a high prevalence. Our findings provide a novel explanation for observations about the origin of resistance and suggest that adaptive immunity is a critical component of selection.

HRP2 and HRP3 cross-reactivity and implications for HRP2-based RDT use in regions with Plasmodium falciparum hrp2 gene deletions

Background

The Plasmodium falciparum antigen histidine rich protein 2 (HRP2) is a preferred target for malaria rapid diagnostic tests (RDTs) because of its abundant production by the parasite and thermal stability. As a result, a majority of RDTs procured globally target this antigen. However, previous reports from South America and recent reports from sub-Saharan Africa and Asia indicate that certain P. falciparum parasites have deletions of the gene coding for HRP2. The HRP2 antigen is paralogous to another P. falciparum antigen HRP3 and some antibodies to HRP2 cross-react with HRP3. Multiple parasites have been described with deletions of one or both hrp2 and hrp3 genes. It is unclear how the various combinations of hrp2 and hrp3 deletion genotypes affect clinical sensitivity of HRP2-based RDTs.

Methods

Cross-reactivity between HRP2 and HRP3 was tested on malaria RDTs using culture-adapted P. falciparum parasites with both hrp2 and hrp3 intact or with one or both genes deleted. Ten-fold serial dilutions of four culture-adapted P. falciparum parasites [3D7 (hrp2+/hrp3+), Dd2 (hrp2−/hrp3+), HB3 (hrp2+/hrp3−) and 3BD5 (hrp2−/hrp3−)] ranging from 100,000 to 0.01 parasites/µL were prepared. HRP2, Plasmodium lactate dehydrogenase (pLDH) and aldolase concentrations were determined for the diluted samples using a multiplex bead assay. The samples were subsequently tested on three RDT products designed to detect P. falciparum by HRP2 alone or in combination with pLDH.

Results

At parasite densities of approximately 1000 parasites/µL, parasites that expressed either hrp2 or hrp3 were detected by all three RDTs. Multiplex based antigen measurement using HRP2- conjugated beads demonstrated higher antigen concentration when both hrp2 and hrp3 genes were intact (3D7 parasites, 47.9 ng/ml) compared to HB3 (3.02 ng/mL) and Dd2 (0.20 ng/mL) strains that had one gene deleted. 3D7 at 10 parasites/µL (0.45 ng/mL) was reactive on all three RDT products whereas none of the other parasites were reactive at that density.

Conclusions

Above a certain antigen threshold, HRP3 cross-reactivity on HRP2-based RDTs is sufficient to mask the effects of deletions of hrp2 only. Studies of hrp2 deletion and its effects on HRP2-based RDTs must be studied alongside hrp3 deletions and include clinical sample reactivity on HRP2-based tests.