Risk factors for unsuccessful tuberculosis treatment outcomes in children

The magnitude of unfavorable tuberculosis treatment outcomes and their relation with baseline undernutrition and sustained undernutrition among children receiving tuberculosis treatment in central Ethiopia

Background

One of the global key indicators for monitoring the implementation of the World Health Organization's End Tuberculosis (TB) Strategy is the treatment outcome rate.

Objective

This study aims to assess the magnitude of unfavorable treatment outcomes and estimate their relationship with baseline undernutrition and sustained undernutrition among children receiving TB treatment in central Ethiopia.

Methods

This retrospective cohort study included children treated for drug-susceptible TB between June 2014 and February 2022. The study comprised children aged 16 and younger who were treated in 32 randomly selected healthcare facilities. A log-binomial model was used to compute adjusted risk ratios (aRR) with 95% confidence intervals (CIs).

Results

Of 640 children, 42 (6.6%; 95% CI = 4.8-8.8%) had an unfavorable TB treatment outcomes, with 31 (73.8%; 95% CI = 58.0-86.1%) occurring during the continuation phase of TB treatment. We confirmed that baseline undernutrition (aRR = 2.68; 95% CI = 1.53-4.71), age less than 10 years (aRR = 2.69; 95% CI = 1.56-4.61), HIV infection (aRR = 2.62; 95% CI = 1.50-4.59), and relapsed TB (aRR = 3.19; 95% CI = 1.79-4.71) were independent predictors of unfavorable TB treatment outcomes. When we looked separately at children who had been on TB treatment for two months or more, we found that sustained undernutrition (aRR = 3.76; 95% CI = 1.90-7.43), age below ten years (aRR = 2.60; 95% CI = 1.31-5.15), and HIV infection (aRR = 2.26; 95% CI = 1.11-4.59) remained predictors of unfavorable outcomes, just as they had in the first two months. However, the effect of relapsed TB became insignificant (aRR = 2.81; 95% CI = 0.96-8.22) after the first two months TB treatment.

Conclusions

The magnitude of unfavorable TB treatment outcomes among children in central Ethiopia met the World Health Organization's 2025 milestone. Nearly three-quarters of unfavorable TB treatment outcomes occurred during the continuation phase of TB treatment. Baseline undernutrition, sustained undernutrition, younger age, HIV infection, and relapsed TB were found to be independent predictors of unfavorable TB treatment outcomes among children receiving TB treatment in central Ethiopia.

Improving TB detection among children in routine clinical care through intensified case finding in facility-based child health entry points and decentralized management: A before-and-after study in Nine Sub-Saharan African Countries

In 2022, an estimated 1.25 million children <15 years of age developed tuberculosis (TB) worldwide, but >50% remained undiagnosed or unreported. WHO recently recommended integrated and decentralized models of care as an approach to improve access to TB services for children, but evidence remains limited. The Catalyzing Paediatric TB Innovation project (CaP-TB) implemented a multi-pronged intervention to improve TB case finding in children in nine sub-Saharan African countries. The intervention introduced systematic TB screening in different facility-based child-health entry-points, decentralisation of TB diagnosis and management, improved sample collection with access to Xpert® MTB/RIF or MTB/RIF Ultra testing, and implementation of contact investigation. Pre-intervention records were compared with those during intervention to assess effect on paediatric TB cascade of care. The intervention screened 1 991 401 children <15 years of age for TB across 144 health care facilities. The monthly paediatric TB case detection rate increased significantly during intervention versus pre-intervention (+46.0%, 95% CI 36.2-55.8%; p<0.0001), with variability across countries. The increase was greater in the <5 years old compared to the 5-14 years old (+53.4%, 95% CI 35.2-71.9%; p<0.0001 versus +39.9%, 95% CI 27.6-52.2%; p<0.0001). Relative contribution of lower-tier facilities to total case detection rate increased from 37% (71.8/191.8) pre-intervention to 50% (139.9/280.2) during intervention. The majority (89.5%) of children with TB were identified through facility-based intensified case-finding and primarily accessed care through outpatient and inpatient departments. In this multi-country study implemented under real-life conditions, the implementation of integrated and decentralized interventions increased paediatric TB case detection. The increase was driven by lower-tier facilities that serve as the primary point of healthcare contact for most patients. The effect was greater in children < 5 years compared to 5-14 years old, representing an important achievement as the TB detection gap is higher in this subpopulation. (Study number NCT03948698).

Duration of Symptoms Prior to Pediatric and Adolescent Tuberculosis Diagnosis and Its Impact on Schooling in Tanzania: A Mixed Methods Study

At least a third of tuberculosis (TB) cases remain undiagnosed, disproportionately so in children and adolescents, which is hampering global elimination goals. Prolonged symptom duration presents a high-risk scenario for childhood TB in endemic areas, but the prolonged period of symptoms and its impact on educational attainment are rarely documented. Using a mixed method approach, we aimed to quantify the duration of respiratory symptoms and describe their impact on education among children from a rural area of Tanzania. We used data from a prospectively enrolled cohort of children and adolescents aged 4-17 years in rural Tanzania at the start of active TB treatment. We report on the cohort's baseline characteristics and explore the correlation between duration of symptoms and other variables. In-depth qualitative interviews were designed on the basis of a grounded theory approach to explore the impact of TB on educational attainment among school-aged children. In this cohort, children and adolescents diagnosed with TB experienced symptoms for a median of 85 days (interquartile range: 30, 231 days) prior to treatment initiation. In addition, 56 participants (65%) had a TB exposure in the household. Of the 16 families with school-aged children who were interviewed, 15 (94%) reported a significant negative impact of TB on the schooling of their children. Children in this cohort experienced a long duration of TB symptoms; the extent of illness impacted absenteeism at school. Screening initiatives for households affected by TB may lead to a shortened duration of symptoms and may minimize the impact on school attendance.

Drug-Resistant Tuberculosis Treatment Outcomes among Children and Adolescents in Karachi, Pakistan

BACKGROUND

Significant data gaps exist for children and adolescents with drug-resistant (DR) TB, particularly from high TB incidence settings. This report provides a descriptive analysis of programmatic outcomes among children and adolescents treated for DR-TB in Pakistan.

METHODS

We extracted programmatic data from January 2014 to December 2019 from a tertiary care hospital with specialised child and adolescent DR-TB services. A physician assessed all children and adolescents (0-19 years) with presumptive DR-TB, including details of exposure to DR-TB, medical history, radiology, and laboratory results. All patients received treatment as per national DR-TB management guidelines based on WHO recommendations.

RESULTS

There were 262 treatment episodes for 247 patients enrolled during the study period. The median age of the cohort was 16 years (IQR: 13-18 years) with 16 (6.1%) children being under 5 years; 237 (90.5%) patients had pulmonary TB. The majority of the patients (194 or 74.1%) experienced a favourable treatment outcome and 26 (9.9%) died while on treatment. Female patients (78.5%) were more likely to experience favourable outcomes compared to males (64.7%; chi-sqr p-value = 0.02).

CONCLUSIONS

We found high rates of favourable outcomes in children and adolescents treated for DR-TB. However, there were few young children in our cohort and there was a considerable gender gap that enhanced efforts to diagnose DR-TB in young children and to elucidate and mitigate the reasons for poor outcomes amongst males.

Epidemiology of Pediatric Tuberculosis and Factors Associated with Unsuccessful Treatment Outcomes in the Centre Region of Cameroon: A Three-Year Retrospective Cohort Study

Background

In Cameroon, there are limited data on treatment outcomes of pediatric tuberculosis (TB). We sought to identify the factors associated with unsuccessful treatment outcomes and the risk factors for mortality among children receiving TB treatment in the Centre Region of Cameroon.

Methods

This was a multicentre facility-based retrospective cohort study using routinely collected programmatic data. All children <15 years old treated for TB between 2018 and 2020 in 21 health facilities were included. We assessed risk factors for experiencing an unsuccessful treatment outcome and mortality through multivariable logistic regression analysis.

Results

Of the 610 children with TB, 307 (50.3%) were females and the median age was 6 years (IQR = 2–12). One hundred and fifty-three (25.1%) of the children were TB/HIV co-infected patients. TB treatment success (cases categorized as cured and completed treatment) was observed in 488 (80.0%) of the patients. Unsuccessful treatment outcomes were experienced by 122 (20.0%) children. Of these, 73 (12.0%) died, 4 (0.6%) had treatment failure, 25 (4.1%) were lost to follow-up, and the outcomes of 20 (3.3%) children were not evaluated. In multivariable analysis, HIV-positive status (adjusted odds ratio [AOR] = 2.43; 95% CI, 1.55–3.80, p < 0.001) and clinical method of TB diagnosis (AOR = 2.46; 95% CI, 1.55–3.91, p < 0.001] were associated with unsuccessful treatment outcomes. HIV-positive status (AOR = 4.23; 95% CI, 2.44–7.33, p < 0.001) and clinical method of TB diagnosis (AOR = 2.22; 95% CI, 1.25–3.91, p=0.006) were the risk factors for mortality among children on TB treatment.

Conclusion

The study found that HIV-TB co-infected children and those clinically diagnosed with TB were significantly more likely to have had unsuccessful TB treatment outcomes and mortality. Our findings underscore the need for healthcare workers to closely monitor and support HIV-TB co-infected children on TB treatment. TB/HIV collaborative activities should be strengthened by implementing TB preventive interventions among HIV-infected children.

High burden of childhood tuberculosis in migrants: a retrospective cohort study from the Thailand-Myanmar border

BACKGROUND

Tuberculosis (TB) is a leading cause of morbidity and mortality in children but epidemiological data are scarce, particularly for hard-to-reach populations. We aimed to identify the risk factors for unsuccessful outcome and TB mortality in migrant children at a supportive residential TB programme on the Thailand-Myanmar border.

METHODS

We conducted retrospective analysis of routine programmatic data for children (aged ≤ 15 years old) with TB diagnosed either clinically or bacteriologically between 2013 and 2018. Treatment outcomes were described and risk factors for unsuccessful outcome and death were identified using multivariable logistic regression.

RESULTS

Childhood TB accounted for a high proportion of all TB diagnoses at this TB programme (398/2304; 17.3%). Bacteriological testing was done on a quarter (24.9%) of the cohort and most children were diagnosed on clinical grounds (94.0%). Among those enrolled on treatment (n = 367), 90.5% completed treatment successfully. Unsuccessful treatment outcomes occurred in 42/398 (10.6%) children, comprising 26 (6.5%) lost to follow-up, one (0.3%) treatment failure and 15 (3.8%) deaths. In multivariable analysis, extra-pulmonary TB [adjusted OR (aOR) 3.56 (95% CI 1.12-10.98)], bacteriologically confirmed TB [aOR 6.07 (1.68-21.92)] and unknown HIV status [aOR 42.29 (10.00-178.78)] were independent risk factors for unsuccessful outcome. HIV-positive status [aOR 5.95 (1.67-21.22)] and bacteriological confirmation [aOR 9.31 (1.97-44.03)] were risk factors for death in the secondary analysis.

CONCLUSIONS

Children bear a substantial burden of TB disease within this migrant population. Treatment success rate exceeded the WHO End TB target of 90%, suggesting that similar vulnerable populations could benefit from the enhanced social support offered by this TB programme, but better child-friendly diagnostics are needed to improve the quality of diagnoses.

Tuberculosis Mortality in Children under Fifteen Years of Age: Epidemiological Situation in Colombia, 2010-2018

Pediatric tuberculosis is a serious infectious disease and a hidden global epidemic. The objective of this study was to describe the epidemiological situation of tuberculosis mortality in children under 15 years of age in Colombia in the period 2010-2018. A longitudinal descriptive study was conducted. The variables sex, age groups, and origin were studied. This study had 260 cases for analysis and was carried out in three phases. The first phase was the determination of the sociodemographic and clinical characteristics. The second phase was the construction of indicators by territorial entities. The third phase was stratification into four epidemiological situations according to the mortality rate and years of life lost. The median age was 7 years (range 0-14), 66.5% of cases were pulmonary tuberculosis (97.7% without bacteriological confirmation), 14.3781 years of life lost were recorded (95% CI: 142.811-168.333), and in children under 10-14 years, the loss was 110,057. Amazonas had the highest adjusted YLL rate (3979.7). In total, 36.4% of the territories had a high mortality, and 30.3% adjusted to the situation designated as 1. This is the first study that has used composite indicators to address the problem of premature mortality from childhood tuberculosis in Colombia. Our results allow us to specify that this disease remains a challenge for public health. It requires models of care and differential strategies by region. It also requires ensuring opportunities in diagnosis with sensitive methods, as well as intersectoral work for the optimal approach.

Age-specific effectiveness of a tuberculosis screening intervention in children

Objective

To apply a cascade-of-care framework to evaluate the effectiveness—by age of the child—of an intensified tuberculosis patient-finding intervention.

Design

From a prospective screening program at four hospitals in Pakistan (2014–2016) we constructed a care cascade comprising six steps: screened, positive screen, evaluated, diagnosed, started treatment, and successful outcome. We evaluated the cascade by each year of age from 0 to 14 and report the age-specific mean proportion and standard deviation.

Results

On average across all ages, only 12.5% (standard deviation: 2.0%) of children with a positive screen were not evaluated. Among children who had a complete evaluation, the highest percentages of children diagnosed with tuberculosis were observed in children 0–4 (mean: 31.9%; standard deviation: 4.8%), followed by lower percentages in children 5–9 (mean: 22.4%; standard deviation: 2.2%), and 10–14 (mean: 26.0%; standard deviation:5.4%). Nearly all children diagnosed with tuberculosis initiated treatment, and an average of 93.3% (standard deviation: 3.3%) across all ages had successful treatment outcomes.

Conclusions

This intervention was highly effective across ages 0–14 years. Our study illustrates the utility of applying operational analyses of age-stratified cascades to identify age-specific gaps in pediatric tuberculosis care that can guide future, novel interventions to close these gaps.

Treatment outcome of pediatric tuberculosis in eastern Ethiopia

BACKGROUND

Children are more vulnerable to developing active Mycobacterium tuberculosis infection which causes significant morbidity and mortality. However, the contribution of childhood tuberculosis and its treatment outcomes have not been well documented, and no research has been conducted in eastern Ethiopia.

OBJECTIVE

This study aimed to assess the treatment outcome and its predictors of pediatric tuberculosis in eastern Ethiopia from September 1, 2017 to January 30, 2018.

METHODS

A retrospective study was conducted in eight selected hospitals in eastern Ethiopia. Data on 2002 children with tuberculosis was extracted by using the standard checklist of the national tuberculosis treatment format. Treatment outcomes were determined according to the standard definitions of the National Tuberculosis and Leprosy Control Programme. Data were entered into Epi Data software version 3.1 and exported to Statistical Package for Social Science (SPSS) version 20 for analysis. Bivariable and multivariable regression analyses were carried out to examine the associations between dependent and independent variables. A P-value of <0.05 was considered statistically significant.

RESULT

The overall successful treatment rate was 1,774 (88.6%) [95% confidence interval (CI): (80.59-97.40)]. A total of 125 (6.2%), 1,648 (82.3%), 59 (2.9%), and 19 (0.9%) children with tuberculosis (TB) were cured, completed, defaulted, and died, respectively. A high number of defaulters and deaths were reported in the age group <10 years. More children with smear-positive pulmonary TB (74.4%) were cured, while smear-negative tuberculosis had higher treatment completion rates. Being male in sex (adjusted odds ratio (AOR): 0.71, 95% CI: 0.53, 0.96) and those with human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) positive sero status (AOR: 0.51, 95% CI: 0.29, 0.90) had a lower chance of a successful treatment outcome.

CONCLUSION

In this study, thee treatment success rate was higher than the recent World Health Organization report. Those males and HIV seropositive status were less likely to have a successful treatment outcome. Therefore, efforts should be made by each health institution in eastern Ethiopia by giving emphasis on male and HIV-positive individuals.

Pharmacokinetics of first-line drugs in children with tuberculosis using WHO-recommended weight band doses and formulations

Background

Dispersible pediatric fixed-dose combination (FDC) tablets delivering higher doses of first-line antituberculosis drugs in World Health Organization–recommended weight bands were introduced in 2015. We report the first pharmacokinetic data for these FDC tablets in Zambian and South African children in the treatment-shortening SHINE trial.

Methods

Children weighing 4.0–7.9, 8.0–11.9, 12.0–15.9, or 16.0–24.9 kg received 1, 2, 3, or 4 tablets daily, respectively (rifampicin/isoniazid/pyrazinamide [75/50/150 mg], with or without 100 mg ethambutol, or rifampicin/isoniazid [75/50 mg]). Children 25.0–36.9 kg received doses recommended for adults <37 kg (300, 150, 800, and 550 mg/d, respectively, for rifampicin, isoniazid, pyrazinamide, and ethambutol). Pharmacokinetics were evaluated after at least 2 weeks of treatment.

Results

In the 77 children evaluated, the median age (interquartile range) was 3.7 (1.4–6.6) years; 40 (52%) were male and 20 (26%) were human immunodeficiency virus positive. The median area under the concentration-time curve from 0 to 24 hours for rifampicin, isoniazid, pyrazinamide, and ethambutol was 32.5 (interquartile range, 20.1–45.1), 16.7 (9.2–25.9), 317 (263–399), and 9.5 (7.5–11.5) mg⋅h/L, respectively, and lower in children than in adults for rifampicin in the 4.0–7.9-, 8–11.9-, and ≥25-kg weight bands, isoniazid in the 4.0–7.9-kg and ≥25-kg weight bands, and ethambutol in all 5 weight bands. Pyrazinamide exposures were similar to those in adults.

Conclusions

Recommended weight band–based FDC doses result in lower drug exposures in children in lower weight bands and in those ≥25 kg (receiving adult doses). Further adjustments to current doses are needed to match current target exposures in adults. The use of ethambutol at the current World Health Organization–recommended doses requires further evaluation.

Treatment Outcomes of Childhood Tuberculosis in Three Districts of Balochistan, Pakistan: Findings from a Retrospective Cohort Study

BACKGROUND

This study aimed to evaluate treatment outcomes and factors associated unsuccessful outcomes among pediatric tuberculosis (TB) patients (age ≤14 years).

METHODS

This was a retrospective cohort study conducted at three districts (Quetta, Zhob and Killa Abdullah) of Balochistan, Pakistan. All childhood TB patients enrolled for treatment at Bolan Medical Complex Hospital (BMCH) Quetta and District Headquarter Hospitals of Zhob and Killa Abdullah from 1 January 2016 to 31 December 2018 were included in the study and followed until their treatment outcomes were reported. Data were collected through a purpose developed standardized data collection form and analyzed by using SPSS 20. A p-value <0.05 was considered statistically significant.

RESULTS

Out of 5152 TB patients enrolled at the study sites, 2184 (42.4%) were children. Among them, 1941 childhood TB patients had complete medical record were included in the study. Majority of the study participants were <5 years old (66.6%) and had pulmonary TB (PTB; 65%). A total of 45 (2.3%) patients were cured, 1680 (86.6%) completed treatment, 195 (10%) lost to follow-up, 15 (0.8%) died, 5 (0.3%) failed treatment and 1 (0.1%) was not evaluated for outcomes. In multivariate binary logistic regression analysis, treatment at BMCH Quetta (OR = 25.671, p-value < 0.001), rural residence (OR = 3.126, p-value < 0.001) and extra-PTB (OR = 1.619, p-value = 0.004) emerged as risk factors for unsuccessful outcomes.

CONCLUSION

The study sites collectively reached the World Health Organization's target of treatment success (>85%). Lost to follow-up was the major reason for unsuccessful outcomes. Special attention to patients with identified risk factors for unsuccessful outcomes may improve outcomes further.

Predictors of unsuccessful tuberculosis treatment outcomes in children from a prospective cohort study in Pakistan

Background

Every year, about 239 000 children die from tuberculosis (TB), despite availability of highly effective regimens. Few studies have evaluated predictors for poor treatment outcomes in children treated for TB.

Methods

We assessed predictors of unsuccessful TB treatment outcomes in a prospective cohort of children diagnosed by an intensified TB patient-finding intervention at four facilities in Pakistan between 2014 and 2016. A case of TB disease was determined through either bacteriologic confirmation of disease or a clinical diagnosis. To estimate characteristics predictive of experiencing an unsuccessful treatment outcome, we used a multi-level model with a modified Poisson approach, accounting for clustering at the facility level. We report estimated relative risks (RR) and 95% confidence intervals (CI).

Results

During the study period, 1404 children less than 15 years old were initiated on treatment for drug-susceptible TB. In total, 709 (50.5%) were 0-4, 406 (28.9%) were 5-9 years, and 289 (20.6%) were 10-14 years old; 614 (43.7%) were female; and of the 1377 children assessed for malnourishment, 1161 (84.3%) were malnourished. A total of 1322 (94.2%) children experienced a successful treatment outcome, 14 (1.0%) children transferred out to a different facility, and 68 (4.8%) children experienced an unsuccessful treatment outcome: 14 (1.0%) died, 20 (1.4%) failed treatment, and 34 (2.4%) were lost to follow-up. After adjustment for age group, sex, and malnutrition status, we identified increased risk of unsuccessful treatment outcome in children presenting with fever (RR = 2.56, 95% CI = 1.02-6.44; P = 0.05) or an abdominal examination suggestive of TB disease (RR = 2.34, 95% CI = 1.20-4.58; P = 0.01), and a decreased risk in children who initiated treatment at a rural facility (RR = 0.05, 95% CI = 0.00-0.74; P = 0.03).

Conclusions

More than 94% of children experienced successful treatment outcomes. We identified individual-, facility-, and clinical-factors predictive of experiencing unsuccessful treatment outcomes. Children with fevers and abdominal findings suggestive of TB disease should be tested for TB and followed closely throughout treatment to ensure necessary support for successful completion of treatment.

Factors predictive of the success of tuberculosis treatment: A systematic review with meta-analysis

OBJECTIVE

To produce pooled estimates of the global results of tuberculosis (TB) treatment and analyze the predictive factors of successful TB treatment.

METHODS

Studies published between 2014 and 2019 that reported the results of the treatment of pulmonary TB and the factors that influenced these results. The quality of the studies was evaluated according to the Newcastle-Ottawa quality assessment scale. A random effects model was used to calculate the pooled odds ratio (OR) and 95% confidence interval (CI). This review was registered in the International Prospective Register of Systematic Reviews (PROSPERO) in February 2019 under number CRD42019121512.

RESULTS

A total of 151 studies met the criteria for inclusion in this review. The success rate for the treatment of drug-sensitive TB in adults was 80.1% (95% CI: 78.4-81.7). America had the lowest treatment success rate, 75.9% (95% CI: 73.8-77.9), and Oceania had the highest, 83.9% (95% CI: 75.2-91.0). In children, the success rate was 84.8% (95% CI: 77.7-90.7); in patients coinfected with HIV, it was 71.0% (95% CI: 63.7-77.8), in patients with multidrug-resistant TB, it was 58.4% (95% CI: 51.4-64.6), in patients with and extensively drug-resistant TB it was 27.1% (12.7-44.5). Patients with negative sputum smears two months after treatment were almost three times more likely to be successfully treated (OR 2.7; 1.5-4.8), whereas patients younger than 65 years (OR 2.0; 1.7-2.4), nondrinkers (OR 2.0; 1.6-2.4) and HIV-negative patients (OR 1.9; 1.6-2.5 3) were two times more likely to be successfully treated.

CONCLUSION

The success of TB treatment at the global level was good, but was still below the defined threshold of 85%. Factors such as age, sex, alcohol consumption, smoking, lack of sputum conversion at two months of treatment and HIV affected the success of TB treatment.