Prognostic value of the model for end-stage liver disease excluding INR score (MELD-XI) in patients with adult congenital heart disease

Liver fibrosis marker is a potential predictor of the development of Fontan-associated liver diseases†

OBJECTIVES

To evaluate how well liver fibrosis markers (fibrosis-4 index, aspartate aminotransferase to platelet ratio index, and model for end-stage liver disease excluding international normalized ratio score) can predict early detection of Fontan-associated liver disease and to identify risk factors for Fontan-associated liver disease development.

METHODS

This retrospective multicentre study included patients who underwent the Fontan procedure between 2004 and 2020 with at least 3 years of follow-up. Blood tests and imaging were conducted to diagnose Fontan-associated liver disease. The predictive value of these markers was assessed using receiver operating characteristic curve analysis. Risk factors for Fontan-associated liver disease development were identified using Fine-Gray subdistribution hazard analysis.

RESULTS

This study included 137 patients. The fibrosis-4 index, measured at 2 years post-Fontan, was a strong predictor for Fontan-associated liver disease development 10 years later (area under the curve: 0.81, optimal cutoff value: 0.17, 83.1% sensitivity, and 73.0% specificity). Fine-Gray subdistribution hazard analysis shows that a fibrosis-4 index level was a key risk factor for Fontan-associated liver disease. Patients with a fibrosis-4 index >0.17 after 2 years had a higher incidence of Fontan-associated liver disease after 10 years (45.6%) than patients with fibrosis-4 index ≤0.17 (3.9%, P = 0.002). These patients also had higher pulmonary artery pressure 5 years later.

CONCLUSIONS

The fibrosis-4 may be a useful marker for early detection of Fontan-associated liver disease, which, in this study, was identified as a risk factor for the disease's development.

CLINICAL REGISTRATION NUMBER

Kitasato University, No. B23-130; 7 February 2024.

Clinical impact of circulating biomarkers in prediction of adverse cardiac events in patients with congenital heart disease. A systematic review

INTRODUCTION

Patients with congenital heart disease (ConHD) are at increased risk for adverse cardiac events. Predicting long-term outcomes and guidance of patient management might benefit from a range of (new) biomarkers. This is a rapidly evolving field with potentially large consequences for clinical decision making. With a systematic review of available biomarkers in ConHD we identified the clinical role of these markers, knowledge gaps and future research directions.

METHODS

We systematically reviewed the literature on associations between blood biomarkers and outcome measures (mortality or composite adverse outcomes in patients with ConHD.

RESULTS

The inclusion criteria were met by 102 articles. Biomarkers assessed in more than 3 studies are discussed in the main text, those studied in 3 or less studies are summarized in the supplement. Thus, we discuss 15 biomarkers from 92 studies. These biomarkers were studied in 32,399 / 10,735 patients for the association with mortality and composite adverse outcomes, respectively. Biomarkers that were studied most and had statistically significant associations with mortality or composite adverse outcomes were (NT-pro)BNP, MELD-XI score, Hs-CRP, creatinine, albumin and sodium. Most of these biomarkers are involved in intracardiac processes associated with inflammation or are markers of renal function.

CONCLUSION

For (NT-pro)BNP, clinical value for prediction of mortality and composite adverse outcomes in adult and paediatric ConHD has been shown. For MELD-XI, hs-CRP, albumin, creatinine, sodium, RDW, and GDF-15, correlations with mortality and composite adverse outcomes have been demonstrated in patient groups with mixed types of ConHD, but clinical utility needs additional exploration.

Impact of liver dysfunction on outcomes in children with Alagille syndrome undergoing congenital heart surgery

OBJECTIVES

Children with Alagille syndrome often have complex forms of congenital heart defects with the majority having peripheral pulmonary artery stenosis (PPAS) and pulmonary valve atresia (PA) or pulmonary valve stenosis. Children with Alagille syndrome also have variable amounts of liver dysfunction. The purpose of this study was to evaluate the impact of liver dysfunction on outcomes in children with Alagille syndrome undergoing congenital heart surgery.

METHODS

This was a retrospective review of 69 patients with Alagille syndrome who underwent congenital heart surgery at our institution. The underlying diagnoses included PPAS (n = 29), tetralogy of Fallot with PPAS (n = 14), tetralogy with PA (n = 3), PA with ventricular septal defect and major aortopulmonary collateral arteries (n = 21) and one each with D-transposition and supravalvar aortic stenosis.

RESULTS

The median age at surgery was 16 months (range 0-228 months). Procedures performed included PPAS repair (n = 43), tetralogy with PA repair (n = 3), unifocalization procedures (n = 21) and other (n = 2). Forty-two (61%) patients had mild or no liver dysfunction, while 26 (38%) had moderate or severe liver dysfunction. The median cardiopulmonary bypass time was 345 min (341 with liver dysfunction, 345 without liver dysfunction). There were a total of 8 operative (12%) deaths and 3 late (4%) deaths. Six operative and 2 late deaths occurred in patients with liver dysfunction (combined 30.7%) versus 2 operative and 1 late death (combined 7.1%) for patients without liver dysfunction (P < 0.05).

CONCLUSIONS

These results suggest that liver dysfunction has a profound impact on survival in children with Alagille syndrome undergoing congenital heart surgery.

Determinants and Prognostic Implications of Hepatorenal Dysfunction in Adults With Congenital Heart Disease

BACKGROUND

There are limited data on the prognostic role of hepatorenal function indices in ambulatory patients with congenital heart disease (CHD). The purpose of this study was to determine the prevalence, risk factors, and prognostic implications of hepatorenal dysfunction, as measured by Model for End-Stage Liver Disease Excluding International Normalised Ratio (MELD-XI) score, in adults with CHD.

METHODS

In this retrospective study of CHD patients with comprehensive metabolic panels (2003-2019), mild/moderate and severe hepatorenal dysfunction was defined as MELD-XI 11-15 and > 15, respectively.

RESULTS

Of 4977 patients, 1376 (28%) had hepatorenal dysfunction (mild/moderate: n = 935 [19%]; severe: n = 441 [9%]). Hepatorenal dysfunction was most common in Fontan/unrepaired single ventricle (46%) and right heart disease (31%). Baseline MELD-XI was associated with all-cause mortality (HR 1.27, CI 1.21-1.33; P < 0.001) after adjustment for age, sex, and congenital heart lesion. In 3864 patients with serial MELD-XI data, there was a temporal increase in MELD-XI, and this was associated with an increased risk of mortality (HR 1.24, CI 1.15-1.36, per unit increase in MELD-XI; P = 0.004), independently from the baseline MELD-XI score. In the subset of 1856 patients that underwent surgical/transcatheter interventions, there was a postoperative reduction in MELD-XI, and this was associated with a lower risk of mortality (HR 0.94, CI 0.90-0.98, per unit decrease in MELD-XI; P = 0.008), independently from the baseline MELD-XI score.

CONCLUSIONS

Hepatorenal dysfunction was common in adults with CHD. Both baseline MELD-XI score and temporal changes in MELD-XI were associated with clinical outcomes, and therefore could be used to monitor therapeutic response to interventions and for deterioration in clinical status.

Observations and Single-Center Outcomes in Orthotopic Heart Transplant for Patients With Adult Congenital Heart Disease: A Call for Equity and Parity

BACKGROUND

For persons with adult congenital heart disease (ACHD), optimum patient selection and eligibility for orthotopic heart transplant (OHT) is not well defined. There is difficulty quantifying risk in patients with ACHD, leading to variability in OHT listing time and status. They are often disadvantaged due to a lack of mechanical support options, a shortage of congenital surgeons, and encounters with risk adverse health care programs. We examined patient characteristics and outcomes of a contemporary cohort of patients with ACHD undergoing OHT at a single high-volume Adult Congenital Heart Association accredited transplant center.

METHODS

Retrospective analysis of 49 consecutive patients with ACHD who underwent OHT from November 2010 through March 2020 was performed. Survival analysis was performed using Kaplan-Meier analysis.

RESULTS

Survival at 1 month, 1 year, 3 years, and 10 years was 94%, 92%, 92%, and 83%, respectively.

CONCLUSIONS

This study highlights the diversity and complexity of the population with ACHD proceeding to OHT as well as the multispecialty care needed to overcome disadvantages and optimize survival. Continued national discussions and policy adjustments will be necessary to bring parity and equity to this unique population.

Improvement in hepatic and renal function following isolated heart transplant in adults with congenital heart disease

BACKGROUND

There are limited data about postoperative changes in hepatic and renal function in adults with congenital heart disease (CHD) undergoing isolated heart transplant. The purpose of this study was to assess postoperative changes in hepatic and renal function in this population.

METHODS

Retrospective cohort study of adults with CHD undergoing isolated heart transplant at Mayo Clinic (2003-2019). Global hepatic function was assessed using the model for end-stage liver disease excluding international normalized ratio [MELD-XI]) score; hepatic fibrosis was assessed using the fibrosis-4 (FIB-4) score and aspartate/platelet ratio index (APRI); and renal function was assessed using estimated glomerular filtration rate (GFR). All indices were measured preoperatively and postoperatively (at 6 months, 1 year, 2 years).

RESULTS

Of 40 patients (age 41 ± 8 years) in the study, 35 had complete preoperative and postoperative data. There was a temporal improvement in hepatic and renal indices from preop (MELD-XI 14 ± 5, APRI 0.60 ± 0.23, FIB-4 1.44 ± 0.38, GFR 59 [44-83]) to 6 months postop (MELD-XI 12 ± 6, APRI 0.49 ± 0.17, FIB-4 1.29 ± 0.33, GFR 68 [54-96]) and 1-year postop (MELD-XI 9 ± 3, APRI 0.41 ± 0.16, FIB-4 1.12 ± 0.29, GFR 82 [69-108]), p < 0.05 for all comparisons.

CONCLUSIONS

CHD patients undergoing isolated heart transplant had significant improvement in hepatic and renal function. These data suggests that selected CHD patients may do well with isolated heart transplant despite reduced hepatic and renal function, and hepatic fibrosis preoperatively. More rigorous prospective studies are required to determine the relative outcomes of isolated versus combined heart-liver transplant in this population.

Prognostic Value of Modified Model for End-Stage Liver Disease Scores in Patients With Significant Tricuspid Regurgitation

AIMS

Tricuspid regurgitation (TR) may cause damage to liver and kidney function. The Model for End-Stage Liver Disease excluding international normalized ratio (MELD-XI) and the model with albumin replacing international normalized ratio (MELD-Albumin) scores, which include both liver and kidney function indexes, may predict mortality in patients with TR. The study aimed to analyze the prognostic value of MELD-XI and MELD-Albumin scores in patients with significant TR.

METHODS AND RESULTS

A total of 1825 patients with at least moderate pure native TR from the China Valvular Heart Disease study between April and June 2018, were included in this analysis. The primary outcome was all-cause death within 2 years. Of 1825 patients, 165 (9.0%) died during follow-up. Restricted cubic splines revealed that hazard ratio for death increased monotonically with greater modified MELD scores. The MELD-XI and MELD-Albumin scores, as continuous variables or categorized using thresholds determined by maximally selected rank statistics, were independently associated with 2-year mortality (all adjusted P<0.001). Both scores provided incremental value over prognostic model without hepatorenal indexes (MELD-XI score: net reclassification index [95% confidence interval], 0.237 [0.138-0.323]; MELD-Albumin score: net reclassification index [95% confidence interval], 0.220 [0.122-0.302]). Results were similar in clinically meaningful subgroups, including but not limited to patients under medical treatment and with normal left ventricular ejection fraction. Models including modified MELD scores were established for prognostic evaluation of significant TR.

CONCLUSION

Both MELD-XI and MELD-Albumin scores provided incremental prognostic information, and could play important roles in risk assessment in patients with significant TR.

Prognostic Implications of Right Atrial Dysfunction in Adults With Pulmonary Atresia and Intact Ventricular Septum

Background

Pulmonary atresia with intact ventricular septum is associated with significant morbidity and mortality, but there are limited data to guide risk stratification in this population. The purpose of this study was to assess the role right atrial (RA) strain indices for prognostication in this population.

Methods

This is a retrospective study of adults (aged ≥18 years) with pulmonary atresia with intact ventricular septum and biventricular repair who underwent echocardiogram (2003-2019). RA reservoir strain was used as the primary metric of RA function, and RA dysfunction was defined as RA reservoir strain <31%. Clinical outcomes were assessed using 4 different indices: (1) functional impairment (New York Heart Association II-IV); (2) hepatorenal dysfunction (model for end-stage liver disease excluding international normalized ratio score >11); (3) incident atrial arrhythmias/heart failure hospitalization; (4) heart transplant/cardiovascular death.

Results

Of the 43 patients in the study, RA strain imaging was feasible in 95%, and RA dysfunction was present in 95%. Of the 43 patients, 67% and 49% had functional impairment and hepatorenal dysfunction, respectively; 44% developed incident atrial arrhythmia/heart failure hospitalization and 14% died during follow-up. RA reservoir strain was independently associated with all indices of clinical outcomes.

Conclusion

Collectively, these data suggest that RA strain imaging was feasible in almost all patients and can be used for risk stratification in this population. There was a high prevalence of comorbidities including hepatorenal dysfunction. Further studies are needed to determine the prognostic implications of hepatorenal dysfunction (a previously unrecognized complication), and whether using RA function indices for clinical decision making will lead to improved outcomes in this population.

Right Heart Dysfunction in Adults With Coarctation of Aorta: Prevalence and Prognostic Implications

BACKGROUND

Chronic elevation of left heart filling pressure causes pulmonary vascular remodeling, pulmonary hypertension, and right heart dysfunction. Although diastolic dysfunction is relatively common in patients with coarctation of aorta, there are limited data about the prevalence and prognostic implications of pulmonary hypertension and right heart dysfunction in this population. The purpose of the study was to assess right heart function and hemodynamics in patients with coarctation of aorta and to determine the relationship between right heart indices and cardiovascular events defined as heart failure hospitalization, heart transplant, or cardiovascular death.

METHODS

Right heart structure, function, and hemodynamics were assessed with these indices: right atrial volume, right atrial pressure, right atrial reservoir strain, right ventricular global longitudinal strain, right ventricular end-diastolic area, right ventricular systolic pressure, and tricuspid regurgitation severity. Right heart hemodynamic score, range 0 to 5, was generated based on the correlation between the right heart indices and cardiovascular events, using half of the cohort (derivation cohort, n=411), and then tested on the validation cohort (n=410). The goodness of fit and discrimination power was compared using C statistics and risk score.

RESULTS

The median follow-up in the derivation cohort was 8.2 (4.0-11.1) years, and 59 (14%) patients had cardiovascular events during this period. Right heart hemodynamic score was independently associated with cardiovascular events (hazard ratio, 1.64 [95% CI, 1.38-2.17]) for every unit increase in right heart hemodynamic score after adjustment for clinical and echocardiographic indices (C statistic, 0.718 [95% CI, 0.682-0.746]). The right heart hemodynamic score was also independently associated with cardiovascular events in the validation cohort (C statistic, 0.711 [95% CI, 0.679-0.741]). The C statistic difference (0.007 [95% CI, 0.014-0.022]) and risk score (0.86 [95% CI, 0.54-1.17]) suggest a good model fit.

CONCLUSIONS

The current study underscores the prognostic importance of right heart dysfunction in patients with coarctation of aorta and suggests that right heart indices should be used for risks stratification in this population.

Early evaluation of organ failure using MELD-XI in critically ill elderly COVID-19 patients

PURPOSECritically ill elderly patients who suffer from Sars-CoV-2 disease are at high risk for organ failure. The modified MELD-XI score has not been evaluated for outcome prediction in these most vulnerable patients.METHODSThe Corona Virus disease (COVID19) in Very Elderly Intensive Care Patients study (COVIP, NCT04321265) prospectively recruited patients on intensive care units (ICU), who were = 70 years. Data were collected from March 2020 to February 2021. The MELD-XI score was calculated using the highest serum bilirubin and creatinine on ICU admission. Univariate and multivariable logistic regression analyses were performed to assess associations between the MELD-XI score and mortality. The primary outcome was 30-day-mortality, the secondary outcomes were ICU- and 3-month-mortality.RESULTSIn total, data from 2,993 patients were analyzed. Most patients had a MELD-XI <12 on admission (76%). The patients with MELD-XI = 12 had a significantly higher 30-day-, ICU- and 3-month-mortality (44%vs 64%, and 42%vs. 59%, and 57%vs. 76%, p < 0.001). After adjustment for multiple confounders, MELD-XI = 12 remained significantly associated with 30-day- (aOR 1.572, CI 1.268-1.949, p < 0.001), ICU-, and 3-month-mortality.CONCLUSIONIn critically ill elderly intensive care patients with COVID-19, the MELD-XI score constitutes a valuable tool for an early outcome prediction.

Prognostic Role of Hepatorenal Function Indexes in Patients With Ebstein Anomaly

BACKGROUND

Hepatorenal dysfunction is a risk factor for mortality in patients with chronic tricuspid regurgitation due to acquired heart disease. Ebstein anomaly is the most common cause of primary tricuspid regurgitation in adults with congenital heart disease, but the prevalence and prognostic implications of hepatorenal dysfunction are unknown in this population.

OBJECTIVES

The purpose of this study was to determine the risk factors and prognostic implications of hepatorenal dysfunction, as measured primarily by the use of model for end-stage liver disease excluding international normalized ratio (MELD-XI score), as well as looking at other associated factors.

METHODS

This was a retrospective study of adults with Ebstein anomaly who received care at Mayo Clinic from 2003 to 2018.

RESULTS

Of 692 patients, the median MELD-XI score was 10.2 (interquartile range: 9.4 to 13.3); 53 (8%) died and 3 (0.4%) underwent heart transplant. MELD-XI was an independent predictor of death/transplant (hazard ratio: 1.32; 95% confidence interval: 1.11 to 2.06; p < 0.001). In the subset of patients with serial MELD-XI scores (n = 416), temporal change in MELD-XI score (ΔMELD-XI) was also a predictor of death/transplant. In the subset of patients who underwent tricuspid valve surgery (n = 344), a post-operative improvement in MELD-XI score (ΔMELD-XI) was associated with improved long-term survival. Impaired right atrial (RA) reservoir strain and elevated estimated RA pressure were associated with worse baseline MELD-XI and ΔMELD-XI scores.

CONCLUSIONS

Hepatorenal dysfunction is a predictor of mortality in Ebstein anomaly, and RA dysfunction and hypertension are hemodynamic biomarkers that can identify patients at risk for deterioration in hepatorenal function and mortality. These data highlight the prognostic importance of noncardiac organ-system dysfunction, and provide complementary clinical risk stratification metrics for management of these patients.

Prognostic value of impaired hepato-renal function and liver fibrosis in patients admitted for acute heart failure

AIMS

Cardiohepatic interactions have been a focus of attention in heart failure (HF). The model for end-stage liver disease excluding international normalized ratio (MELD-XI) score has been shown to be useful for predicting poor outcomes in patients with acute decompensated HF (ADHF). Furthermore, the fibrosis-4 (FIB-4) index, a simple marker to assess liver fibrosis, predicts adverse prognoses in patients with HF as well. However, there is little information available on the prognostic significance of the combination of the MELD-XI score and FIB-4 index in patients with ADHF and its association with left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF) subgroup.

METHODS AND RESULTS

We prospectively studied 466 consecutive patients who were admitted for ADHF [HF with reduced LVEF (LVEF < 40%): n = 164, HF with mid-range LVEF (40% ≤ LVEF < 50%): n = 104, and HF with preserved LVEF (LVEF ≥ 50%): n = 198]. We calculated the MELD-XI score and FIB-4 indices at discharge. The primary endpoint was all-cause death (ACD). During the mean follow-up period of 2.8 years, 143 patients had ACD. In the multivariate Cox analysis, the MELD-XI score and FIB-4 index were independently associated with ACD. Patients were stratified into the following three groups according to the median value of MELD-XI score (=11) and FIB-4 index (=2.13): Group 1 had both a low MELD-XI score and a low FIB-4 index; Group 2 had either a high MELD-XI score (MELD-XI score ≥11) or a high FIB-4 index (FIB-4 index ≥2.13); and Group 3 had both a high MELD-XI score and a high FIB-4 index. Kaplan-Meier analysis revealed that Group 2 and Group 3 had a significantly greater risk of ACD than Group 1 [Group 2 vs. Group 1: adjusted hazard ratio, 2.48 (95% confidence interval: 1.75-3.53), P < 0.0001; Group 3 vs. Group 1: adjusted hazard ratio, 7.03 (95% confidence interval: 3.95-13.7), P < 0.0001]. In addition, the patients with both a higher MELD-XI score and FIB-4 index showed a significantly higher risk of ACD also in the patients with HF with reduced LVEF, HF with mid-range LVEF, and HF with preserved LVEF (all P < 0.0001).

CONCLUSIONS

The combination of MELD-XI score and FIB-4 index may be useful for stratifying patients at risk for ACD in patients with ADHF, irrespective of LVEF.

Intensive Care Unit Management of the Adult with Congenital Heart Disease

PURPOSE

Adults with congenital heart disease (ACHD) are a rapidly growing population with ever-increasing complexity, and intensive care unit (ICU) management is often necessary. This review summarizes common cardiovascular and non-cardiovascular complications in ACHD and provides a framework for ICU care.

RECENT FINDINGS

Heart failure is the leading cause of hospitalization and mortality in ACHD. Varied anatomy and repairs, as well as differing physiological complications, limit generalized application of management algorithms. Recent studies suggest that earlier mechanical support in advanced cases is feasible and potentially helpful. Cardiac arrhythmias are poorly tolerated and often require immediate attention. Other complications requiring intensive care include infections such as endocarditis and COVID-19, pulmonary hypertension, renal failure, hepatic dysfunction, coagulopathy, and stroke. Successful ICU care in ACHD requires a multi-disciplinary approach with careful consideration of anatomy, physiology, and associated comorbidities. Few studies have formally examined ICU management in ACHD and further research is necessary.