Cost-effectiveness of diagnostic algorithms including lateral-flow urine lipoarabinomannan for HIV-positive patients with symptoms of tuberculosis

Cost-effectiveness of integrating paediatric tuberculosis services into child healthcare services in Africa: a modelling analysis of a cluster-randomised trial

BACKGROUND

In 2021, over one million children developed tuberculosis, resulting in 214 000 deaths, largely due to inadequate diagnosis and treatment. The diagnosis and treatment of tuberculosis is limited in most high-burden countries because services are highly centralised at secondary/tertiary levels and are managed in a vertical, non-integrated way. To improve case detection and treatment among children, the World Health Organisation (WHO) recommends decentralised and integrated tuberculosis care models. The Integrating Paediatric TB Services Into Child Healthcare Services in Africa (INPUT) stepped-wedge cluster-randomised trial evaluated the impact of integrating tuberculosis services into healthcare for children under five in Cameroon and Kenya, compared with usual care, finding a 10-fold increase in tuberculosis case detection in Cameroon but no effect in Kenya.

METHODS

We estimated intervention impact on healthcare outcomes, resource use, health system costs and cost-effectiveness relative to the standard of care (SoC) using a decision tree analytical approach and data from the INPUT trial. INPUT trial data on cascades, resource use and intervention diagnostic rate ratios were used to parametrise the decision tree model. Health outcomes following tuberculosis treatment were modelled in terms of mortality and disability-adjusted life-years (DALYs).

FINDINGS

For every 100 children starting antituberculosis treatment under SoC, an additional 876 (95% uncertainty interval (UI) -76 to 5518) in Cameroon and -6 (95% UI -61 to 96) in Kenya would start treatment under the intervention. Treatment success would increase by 5% in Cameroon and 9% in Kenya under the intervention compared with SoC. An estimated 350 (95% UI -31 to 2204) and 3 (95% UI -22 to 48) deaths would be prevented in Cameroon and Kenya, respectively. The incremental cost-effectiveness ratio for the intervention compared with SoC was US$506 and US$1299 per DALY averted in Cameroon and Kenya, respectively.

INTERPRETATION

Although likely to be effective, the cost-effectiveness of integrating tuberculosis services into child healthcare services depends on baseline service coverage, tuberculosis detection and treatment outcomes.

Rethinking Tuberculosis Morbidity Quantification: A Systematic Review and Critical Appraisal of TB Disability Weights in Cost-Effectiveness Analyses

BACKGROUND

The disability-adjusted life year (DALY), a key metric for health resource allocation, encompasses morbidity through disability weights. Widely used in tuberculosis cost-effectiveness analysis (CEAs), DALYs play a significant role in informing intervention adopt/reject decisions. This study reviews the values and consistency of disability weights applied in tuberculosis-related CEAs.

METHODS

We conducted a systematic review using the Tufts CEA database, updated to July 2023 with searches in Embase, Scopus and PubMed. Eligible studies needed to have included a cost-per-DALY ratio, and additionally either evaluated a tuberculosis (TB) intervention or included tuberculosis-related weights. We considered all tuberculosis health states: with/without human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) coinfection, TB treatments and treatment side effects. Data were screened and extracted independently by combinations of two authors.

FINDINGS

A total of 105 studies spanning 2002-2023 across 50 countries (mainly low- and middle-income countries) were extracted. Disability weights were sourced primarily from the Global Burden of Disease (GBD; 100/165; 61%), with 17 non-GBD studies additionally referenced, along with primary derivation. Inconsistencies in the utilisation of weights were evident: of the 100 usages of GBD-sourced weights, only in 47 instances (47%) had the weight value been explicitly specified with an appropriate up-to-date reference cited (constituting 28% of all weight usages, 47/165). Sensitivity analyses on weight values had been conducted in 30% of studies (31/105). Twelve studies did not clearly specify weights or their sources; nine further calculated DALYs without morbidity. The review suggests methodological gaps in current approaches for representing important aspects of TB, including TB-HIV coinfection, treatment, drug-resistance, extrapulmonary TB and psychological impacts. We propose a set of best practice recommendations.

INTERPRETATION

There is a need for increased rigour in the application, sensitivity testing and reporting of TB disability weights. Furthermore, there appears a desire among researchers to reflect elements of the tuberculosis experience beyond those allowed for by GBD disability weights.

Cost-effectiveness of diagnostic tools and strategies for the screening and diagnosis of tuberculosis disease and infection: a scoping review

The objective of this scoping review is to understand the cost-effectiveness of current and future tools/strategies for screening and diagnosis of tuberculosis (TB) infection and disease. To this end, PubMed, EMBASE and SCOPUS were used to identify any English language reports on the cost-effectiveness of TB infection/disease screening/diagnostic strategies published between 1 January 2017 and 7 October 2023. Studies included high-burden/risk TB populations, compared diagnostic/screening methods and conducted a cost-effectiveness/economic evaluation. We stratified the included articles in four groups (cost-effectiveness of diagnosing TB disease/infection and cost-effectiveness of screening for TB disease/infection). A full-text review was conducted, and relevant costing data extracted. Of the 2417 articles identified in the initial search, 112 duplicates were removed, and 2305 articles were screened for title and abstract. 23 full articles were reviewed, and 17 fulfilled all inclusion criteria. While sputum smear microscopy (SSM) has been the primary method of diagnosing TB disease in high-burden countries, the current body of literature suggests that SSM is likely to be the least cost-effective tool for the diagnosis of TB disease. Further scale-up with molecular diagnostics, such as GeneXpert and Truenat, was shown to be broadly cost-effective, with a multitest approach likely to be cost-effective for both screening and diagnosis. There is an urgent need to increase access and remove barriers to implementation of diagnostics that have been repeatedly shown to be cost-effective, as well as to develop new diagnostic and screening technologies/strategies to address current barriers to scale-up.

Standard diagnostics with and without urine-based lipoarabinomannan testing for tuberculosis disease in HIV-infected patients in a high-burden setting-A cost-effectiveness analysis

BACKGROUND

Recent clinical findings reported the reduced mortality associated with treatment guided by sputum-based molecular test with urine-based lipoarabinomannan (LAM) assay for tuberculosis (TB) disease in HIV-infected individuals. We aimed to evaluate the cost-effectiveness of sputum-based Xpert tests with and without urine-based LAM assays among HIV-infected individuals with signs and symptoms of TB disease (TBD) from the perspective of South African healthcare providers.

METHODS

A one-year decision-analytic model was constructed to simulate TB-related outcomes of 7 strategies: Sputum smear microscope (SSM), Xpert, Xpert Ultra, Xpert with AlereLAM, Xpert Ultra with AlereLAM, Xpert with FujiLAM, and Xpert Ultra with FujiLAM, in a hypothetical cohort of adult HIV-infected individuals with signs and symptoms of TB. The model outcomes were TB-related direct medical cost, mortality, early treatment, disability-adjusted life-years (DALYs) and incremental cost per DALY averted (ICER). The model inputs were retrieved from literature and public data. Base-case analysis and sensitivity analysis were conducted.

RESULTS

In the base-case analysis, the Xpert Ultra with FujiLAM strategy showed the highest incidence of early treatment (267.7 per 1000 tested) and lowest mortality (29.0 per 1000 tested), with ICER = 676.9 USD/DALY averted. Probabilistic sensitivity analysis of 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations showed the cost-effective probability of Xpert Ultra with FujiLAM was the highest of all 7 strategies at the willingness-to-pay (WTP) threshold >202USD/DALY averted.

CONCLUSION

Standard sputum-based TB diagnostic Xpert Ultra with urine-based FujiLAM for TBD testing in HIV-infected individuals appears to be the preferred cost-effective strategy from the perspective of the health service provider of South Africa.

Urine lipoarabinomannan for rapid tuberculosis diagnosis in HIV-infected adult outpatients in Khayelitsha

Background

Decreasing tuberculosis (TB) mortality is constrained by diagnostic and treatment delays. The World Health Organization (WHO) recently actively recommended the point-of-care Alere Determine Lipoarabinomannan Ag assay (AlereLAM) to assist in the diagnosis of tuberculosis in specific HIV-infected outpatients.

Objectives

The primary objective of this study was to compare time to ambulatory TB treatment in HIV-infected adults with CD4 ≤ 100 cells/μL before and after (‘primary comparison groups’) availability of AlereLAM. In pre-specified subgroups, we prospectively assessed AlereLAM-positive prevalence.

Method

Clinicians prospectively performed AlereLAM in HIV-infected adults with TB symptoms and either CD4 ≤ 100 cells/μL or ‘seriously ill’ criteria. In a retrospective arm of equal duration, clinicians retrospectively collected data on HIV-infected adults with CD4 ≤ 100 cells/μL who initiated TB treatment.

Results

A total of 115 prospectively eligible adults (of whom 55 had CD4 ≤ 100 cells/μL) and 77 retrospectively eligible patients were included. In the primary comparison groups, the retrospective and prospective arms had similar age and sex distribution. With availability of AlereLAM, the time to TB treatment decreased from a median of 4 to 3 days (p = 0.0557). With availability of AlereLAM, same-day TB treatment initiation rose from 9.1% to 32.7% (p = 0.0006). In those with CD4 ≤ 100 only, those with ‘seriously ill’ criteria only, and in those meeting either, or both, of these criteria, AlereLAM was positive in 10.5%, 21.9%, 34.8% and 48.4% respectively.

Conclusion

Availability of AlereLAM led to more patients initiating same-day TB treatment. Using both CD4 ≤ 100 and ‘seriously ill’ criteria gave the greatest yield. Results of this study have informed local policy design.