External validation and extension of the Early Prediction of Functional Outcome after Stroke (EPOS) prediction model for upper limb outcome 3 months after stroke

R3-Walk and R6-Walk, Simple Clinical Equations to Accurately Predict Independent Walking at 3 and 6 Months After Stroke: A Prospective, Cohort Study

OBJECTIVE

To investigate if independent walking at 3 and 6 months poststroke can be accurately predicted within the first 72 hours, based on simple clinical bedside tests.

DESIGN

Prospective observational cohort study with 3-time measurements: immediately after stroke, and 3 and 6 months poststroke.

SETTING

Public hospital.

PARTICIPANTS

Adults with first-ever stroke evaluated at 3 (N=263) and 6 (N=212) months poststroke.

INTERVENTION

Not applicable.

MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES

The outcome of interest was independent walking at 3 and 6 months after stroke. Predictors were age, walking ability, lower limb strength, motor recovery, spatial neglect, continence, and independence in activities of daily living.

RESULTS

The equation for predicting walking 3 months poststroke was 3.040 + (0.283 × FAC baseline) + (0.021 × Modified Barthel Index), and for predicting walking 6 months poststroke was 3.644 + (-0.014 × age) + (0.014 × Modified Barthel Index). For walking ability 3 months after stroke, sensitivity was classified as high (91%; 95% CI: 81-96), specificity was moderate (57%; 95% CI: 45-69), positive predictive value was high (76%; 95% CI: 64-86), and negative predictive value was high (80%; 95% CI: 60-93). For walking ability 6 months after stroke, sensitivity was classified as moderate (54%; 95% CI: 47-61), specificity was high (81%; 95% CI: 61-92), positive predictive value was high (87%; 95% CI: 70-96), and negative predictive value was low (42%; 95% CI: 50-73).

CONCLUSIONS

This study provided 2 simple equations that predict walking ability 3 and 6 months after stroke. This represents an important step to accurately identify individuals, who are at high risk of walking dependence early after stroke.

Biomarkers of Motor Outcomes After Stroke

Predicting motor outcomes after stroke based on clinical judgment alone is often inaccurate and can lead to inefficient and inequitable allocation of rehabilitation resources. Prediction tools are being developed so that clinicians can make evidence-based, accurate, and reproducible prognoses for individual patients. Biomarkers of corticospinal tract structure and function can improve prediction tool performance, particularly for patients with initially moderate to severe motor impairment. Being able to make accurate predictions for individual patients supports rehabilitation planning and communication with patients and families.

Motor rehabilitation after stroke: European Stroke Organisation (ESO) consensus-based definition and guiding framework

PURPOSE

To propose a consensus-based definition and framework for motor rehabilitation after stroke.

METHODS

An expert European working group reviewed the literature, attaining internal consensus after external feedback.

FINDINGS

Motor rehabilitation is defined as a process that engages people with stroke to benefit their motor function, activity capacity and performance in daily life. It is necessary for people with residual motor disability whose goal is to enhance their functioning, independence and participation. Motor rehabilitation operates through learning- and use-dependent mechanisms. The trajectory of motor recovery varies across patients and stages of recovery. Early behavioral restitution of motor function depends on spontaneous biological mechanisms. Further improvements in activities of daily living are achieved by compensations. Motor rehabilitation is guided by regular assessment of motor function and activity using consensus-based measures, including patient-reported outcomes. Results are discussed with the patient and their carers to set personal goals. During motor rehabilitation patients learn to optimize and adapt their motor, sensory and cognitive functioning through appropriately dosed repetitive, goal-oriented, progressive, task- and context-specific training. Motor rehabilitation supports people with stroke to maximize health, well-being and quality of life. The framework describes the International Classification of Functioning, Disability and Health in the context of stroke, describes neurobiological mechanisms of behavioral restitution and compensation, and summarizes recommendations for clinical assessment, prediction tools, and motor interventions with strong recommendations from clinical practice guidelines (2016-2022).

CONCLUSIONS

This definition and framework may guide clinical educators, inform clinicians on current recommendations and guidelines, and identify gaps in the evidence base.

The Effect on Muscle Activity of Reaching Beyond Arm's Length on a Mobile Seat: A Pilot Study for Trunk Control Training for People After Stroke

Objective

This pilot study compared muscle activity during lateral reaching tasks between mobile and stable sitting using a novel therapy chair in people after stroke and healthy controls.

Design

Observational pilot study.

Setting

This study was conducted in a rehabilitation center for people after stroke and at the university's movement laboratory for healthy participants.

Participants

A total of eleven people after stroke and fifteen healthy people (N=26) took part.

Interventions

Lateral reaching exercises to the ipsilateral and contralateral sides were performed on a mobile and a stable seat.

Main Outcome Measure

Muscular activity of the multifidus, erector spinae and external oblique was measured bilaterally. A within-subject linear mixed model was applied to analyze the effects of seat condition, task, muscle side, and group.

Results

A seat condition effect was found for the multifidus and external oblique that was dependent on the muscle side and task. During ipsilateral reaching, the activity of the multifidi decreased for people after stroke on the mobile seat, while increasing for healthy participants. The erector spinae showed no condition effect. Decreased activity of the external oblique was found for both groups on the mobile seat.

Conclusions

Mobile sitting influences muscular activity. However, these preliminary results should be further investigated in order to generate recommendations for rehabilitation.

Early prediction of upper limb functioning after stroke using clinical bedside assessments: a prospective longitudinal study

Early and accurate prediction of recovery is needed to assist treatment planning and inform patient selection in clinical trials. This study aimed to develop a prediction algorithm using a set of simple early clinical bedside measures to predict upper limb capacity at 3-months post-stroke. A secondary analysis of Stroke Arm Longitudinal Study at Gothenburg University (SALGOT) included 94 adults (mean age 68 years) with upper limb impairment admitted to stroke unit). Cluster analysis was used to define the endpoint outcome strata according to the 3-months Action Research Arm Test (ARAT) scores. Modelling was carried out in a training (70%) and testing set (30%) using traditional logistic regression, random forest models. The final algorithm included 3 simple bedside tests performed 3-days post stroke: ability to grasp, to produce any measurable grip strength and abduct/elevate shoulder. An 86-94% model sensitivity, specificity and accuracy was reached for differentiation between poor, limited and good outcome. Additional measurement of grip strength at 4 weeks post-stroke and haemorrhagic stroke explained the underestimated classifications. External validation of the model is recommended. Simple bedside assessments have advantages over more lengthy and complex assessments and could thereby be integrated into routine clinical practice to aid therapy decisions, guide patient selection in clinical trials and used in data registries.