Sustainability of Long-term Care: Puzzling Tasks Ahead for Policy-Makers

Global, regional, and national trends in peripheral arterial disease among older adults: findings from the global burden of disease study 2021

IMPORTANCE

Lower extremity peripheral arterial disease (PAD) is a significant health concern among older adults globally, affecting both mortality and quality of life.

OBJECTIVE

To evaluate the temporospatial trends and its risk factors in lower extremity PAD-related burden among adults aged 60 years and older from 1990 to 2021.

DESIGN, SETTING, AND PARTICIPANTS

This repeated cross-sectional study utilized data from the Global Burden of Disease Study 2021, encompassing 204 countries and territories. The study population included adults aged 60 years and older.

EXPOSURE

Lower extremity PAD among older adults from January 1990 to December 2021.

MAIN OUTCOMES AND MEASURES

Primary outcomes included age-standardized prevalence rates (ASPR), mortality rates (ASMR), disability-adjusted life-years (DALYs), and average annual percentage changes (AAPCs). Trends were analyzed by age, sex, and sociodemographic index (SDI). Joinpoint regression analysis was used to identify significant trend changes.

RESULTS

From 1990 to 2021, global trends showed decreases in lower extremity PAD-related prevalence, mortality, and DALYs. Significant geographical disparities were observed: high-SDI regions had the highest prevalence (11,171.66 per 100,000 in 2021) but showed declining trends (AAPC, -0.74; 95% CI, -0.80 to -0.68), while low-SDI regions had the lowest prevalence (4,842.40 per 100,000) but demonstrated increasing trends (AAPC, 0.22; 95% CI, 0.21 to 0.24). Regionally, although lower extremity PAD-related prevalence showed a decreasing trend in most regions from 1990 to 2021, there were still some regions with an increasing trend (North Africa and Middle East AAPC, 0.57; 95% CI, 0.55 to 0.59). Temporal analysis showed sex-specific divergent trends in recent years, with males exhibiting an upward trend since 2015 (APC, 0.15; 95% CI, 0.07 to 0.24), while females showed a slowed decline since 2014 (APC, -0.06; 95% CI, -0.12 to -0.01). Decomposition analysis identified population growth as the primary driver of PAD burden increase, with epidemiological changes showing contrasting effects across SDI regions. Among risk factors, high fasting glucose emerged as the leading contributor, while smoking's contribution decreased.

CONCLUSIONS AND RELEVANCE

This study revealed significant disparities in lower extremity PAD burden across different SDI levels and regions, with low-SDI countries facing an increasing burden. The contrasting trends between high- and low-SDI regions, coupled with varying risk factor patterns (particularly the rise in high fasting glucose and decline in smoking), suggest the need for targeted interventions in resource-limited settings to address this growing health challenge among older adults.

Impact of long-term care insurance on medical expenditure and utilization and the comparison between different pilot schemes: evidence from China

OBJECTIVE

This study investigates the effect of long-term care insurance (LTCI) on medical expenditure and utilization in China and compares the effects between different pilot schemes.

METHODS

We used four-wave data from the China Health and Retirement Longitudinal Study (CHARLS) 2011-2018, covering 19 cities piloted by national government or local governments. We applied a staggered difference-in-differences (DID) strategy to identify the effect of LTCI. Heterogeneity tests were used to identify the effects of different pilot schemes.

RESULTS

We found that LTCI implementation significantly reduces inpatient expenditure, annual inpatient visits, and monthly outpatient visits by 13.4%, 0.033, and 0.072, respectively. The effects of LTCI become more pronounced in pilot cities with government subsidies in financing or higher reimbursement ceilings. Compared to pilot schemes covering UEBMI & URRBMI program, the schemes only covering UEBMI program could significantly reduce inpatient and outpatient frequency by 0.029 and 0.069. Pilot schemes with more service items had lower outpatient frequency (β = -0.146), and pilot schemes with fewer service items had lower inpatient expenditure and frequency (β = -0.226 and β = -0.049).

CONCLUSION

In general, this study found that LTCI implementation could effectively reduce the expenditure and utilization of medical services. The effects of different pilot schemes vary significantly. The results of this study further supplement the existing empirical evidence on the effect of LTCI and provide important policy implications for the future development of LTCI in China and other developing countries.

Total healthcare costs of deinstitutionalized long-term care provision in the Netherlands: an instrumental variable analysis

BACKGROUND

The Netherlands has reformed its long-term care (LTC) system to improve its financial sustainability by reducing access to in-kind nursing-home care and stimulating care within the home setting. This reform led to the rise of small-scale homelike nursing homes (SHNH) that are publicly financed by home-care packages. Small-scale care may require additional financial resources and personnel. Our aim is to compare the total healthcare costs of institutional in-kind nursing homes and deinstitutionalized home-like care homes.

METHODS

We conducted an instrumental variable (IV) analysis to adjust for selection effects between both groups, using nationwide data including all LTC users. We use distance to the nearest provider as an instrument. In addition, we conducted semi-structured interviews with managers and policymakers to provide context for the quantitative data and validate our findings.

RESULTS

Baseline statistics demonstrate that while LTC costs are lower in deinstitutionalized settings, total healthcare costs are higher, mainly due to additional medical costs outside the LTC system. After adjustment for observable and unobservable user characteristics, no significant cost differences were found.

CONCLUSIONS

This study may suggest that deinstitutionalization of LTC provision through publicly funded SNHNs primarily resulted in selection effects and spillover effects to other healthcare sectors, while for the marginal client, no clear difference in healthcare costs was observed.

Characteristics of Italian, German and Spanish Socio-Economic, Public Health and Long-Term Care Systems Associated with COVID-19 Incidence and Mortality in the First Pandemic Year: Lessons for Future Sustainability in an International Perspective

Background/Objectives: The main outcomes of the COVID-19 pandemic can be used to assess the capability and sustainability of public healthcare and Long-Term Care (LTC) systems. This study aims to identify the population's demographic and socio-economic characteristics, as well as other national resources associated with the incidence and mortality of COVID-19, by comparing three European countries during the first pandemic period (Italy, Spain, and Germany). The results will identify possible strengths and weaknesses that could be considered as hints of the need for health and social intervention. Methods: Variables describing the countries' core demographics, socio-economic characteristics, and national resources were collected from 2001-2021 from well-established international databases. COVID-19 incidence and death figures from 1 March 2020 to 31 March 2021 were extracted from national health databases. Analysis focused on bivariate and weighted multivariable linear regressions between incidence, mortality, and socio-economic covariates. Results: Findings show that both care models and socio-demographic characteristics influenced the capability of the first year's response to the COVID-19 emergency. Formal public care appears to represent the most effective strategy against incidence and mortality regarding COVID-19, especially for older people, because it mitigates the adverse effects of socio-economic characteristics. Conclusions: Current strategies oriented towards privatizing care should, therefore, be considered critically, since they may result in weaker protection of vulnerable groups, such as frail older people, due to the unequal position of individuals with different socio-economic conditions in purchasing services from the care market.

Can the sustainable development goal 9 support an untreated early childhood caries elimination agenda?

BACKGROUND

Early childhood caries (ECC) is a global public health challenge that requires innovation, infrastructure, and health system influences to bolster initiatives for its management and control. The aim of this scoping review was to investigate the published evidence on the association between ECC and the targets of the Sustainable Development Goal 9 (SDG9) concerned with industry, innovation, and infrastructure development.

METHODS

The scoping review followed the Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-Analyses Extension for Scoping Reviews (PRISMA-ScR) guidelines. A search was conducted in PubMed, Web of Science, and Scopus between July and August 2023 using a search strategy related to the promotion of resilient infrastructure, sustainable industries, scientific research and innovation, access to the internet and ECC. Only English language publications were included. Studies that solely examined ECC without reference to the SDG9 targets were excluded.

RESULTS

The search yielded 933 studies for review. After screening for the eligibility and removing duplicates, 916 unique articles remained for further screening. However, none of the identified studies provided data on the association between resilient infrastructure, sustainable industries, scientific research and innovation, access to the internet and ECC.

CONCLUSION

There were no primary studies that assessed the association between ECC and SDG9, even though the plausibility of a potential relationship exists. Future studies are needed to generate evidence on the link between ECC and SDG9 as this link may contribute to the reduction in the proportion of children with untreated ECC.

The Impact of Long-Term Care Needs on the Socioeconomic Deprivation of Older People and Their Families: Results from Mixed-Methods Scoping Review

BACKGROUND

Long-term care (LTC), poverty, and socioeconomic deprivation are globally significant social issues. Ongoing population aging trends and the recent social and health emergencies caused by the COVID-19 pandemic crisis have highlighted the need for macro-level LTC and welfare system sustainability strategies.

AIMS

This scoping review (ScR) explores the relationship between LTC needs, the health status of older people, and the risk of socioeconomic deprivation for their households.

METHODS

The methodology considers different relevant sources: (a) the guidelines for ScR proposed by Lockwood et al.; (b) the recommendations of Munn et al.; (c) the PRISMA guideline for scoping reviews; and (d) the Joanna Briggs Institute (JBI) checklist. Sixty-three papers are included in the mixed-methods analysis.

RESULTS

The findings reveal the existence of a debate that seeks to understand the different characteristics of the relationship between the investigated issues. Relevant gaps in the literature are identified in terms of the concepts and approaches of the studies analyzed.

CONCLUSIONS

The results indicate that the reciprocal relationship between LTC needs, supply, and the risk of socioeconomic deprivation is understudied. Future studies should focus on the causal relationship between the two phenomena and identify any internal factors that may be involved.

Understanding the Meaningful Places for Aging-in-Place: A Human-Centric Approach toward Inter-Domain Design Criteria Consideration in Taiwan

BACKGROUND

Aging is key to inclusion, and it should be taken into account when designing every place of human activity. However, the implementation of such guidelines often fails the human-centric aspiration as health and design domain interpretation gaps impede the suitable reading and implementation strategies.

PURPOSE

This study aimed to understand critical factors in the place-of-aging and to examine the gap in domain interpretation affecting age-friendly housing.

METHODS

Using grounded theory as a base, questionnaire interviews were implemented either face-to-face or through an online process by health and design domain experts. Overall, 40 respondents (20 health and 20 design experts) evaluated the key criteria to prioritize according to their value of importance. The factor analysis resulted in the stated deviation, suggesting a necessity to redefine the attributes of the dwelling based on a people, place and process framework.

RESULTS

The systemic analysis affirmed the inter-disciplinary gap to enhancing the dwelling provision. The health domain experts consistently ranked the criteria higher or equal than the design domain except for safety and security criteria. Both domains agreed that affordability is a main concern, as elders must be able to afford their dwelling choice.

CONCLUSION

The valuable finding of the key criteria in the study is to uphold the value of the urban health resilience implication as the core of this study.

Value-Based Health Care: Long-Term Care Insurance for Out-of-Pocket Medical Expenses and Self-Rated Health

Long-term care insurance (LTCI) is a significant approach in the effort to actively manage aging and the currently unmet need for aged care in China. Based on data from the 2011, 2013, 2015, and 2018 phases of the China Health and Retirement Longitudinal Study, we used the propensity score matching-difference in difference (PSM-DID) approach to explore the impact of LTCI on out-of-pocket medical expenses and self-rated health. Results showed that LTCI can significantly reduce out-of-pocket medical expenses by 37.16% (p < 0.01) per year and improve self-rated health by 5.73% (p < 0.01), which conforms to the spirit of “value-based health care”. The results were found to be stable in the robustness tests conducted. Currently, China is at the intersection of “low-value-based health care” and “value-based health care”. Improving the health level of aged individuals while keeping medical costs under reasonable control is crucial for formulating and implementing a new round of healthcare reform in China.

Factors associated with informal caregiver's ability to continue care: a subgroup analysis

BACKGROUND/OBJECTIVE

maintaining informal caregiver's ability to continue care can prevent early institutionalisation and decrease health care costs, contributing to sustainable health care. This study aims to identify factors associated with informal caregiver's ability to continue care across several degrees of cognitive decline and risk of burden.

METHODS

this is a cross-sectional study that collected nationwide data on frail older people and their informal caregivers living in the community. Instruments used were InterRAI Home Care, Zarit Burden Interview and questionnaire for the informal caregiver. Multivariate logistic regression analyses and a stratification of the population were performed.

RESULTS

a total of 8,309 people had at least one primary caregiver, and a majority of them were able to continue care (68.2%). Cognitive impairment was a risk factor for being able to continue care, even the borderline (odds ratios (ORs): 0.72; 95% CI: 0.61-0.85) or mild condition (OR: 0.52; 95% CI: 0.43-0.61). Protective factors like social participation of older people, strong family support and availability of a secondary caregiver showed the highest association in subgroups with mild cognitive impairment (ORs: 2.20, 2.08, 1.64) and in subgroups at low risk of burden (ORs: 1.91, 2.77, 1.64).

CONCLUSION

factors associated with informal caregiver's ability to continue care vary across several degrees of cognitive decline and risk of burden. Interventions related to family and social support resources are recommended, and informal caregivers at a lower level of risk may benefit most. Supportive counselling should be proactively provided to informal caregivers, considering the changes of associated factors with the ongoing caregiving situation.

The path to healthy ageing in China: a Peking University-Lancet Commission

Around the world, populations are ageing at a faster pace than in the past and this demographic transition will have impacts on all aspects of societies. In May 2020, the UN General Assembly declared 2021–2030 the Decade of Healthy Ageing, highlighting the importance for policymakers across the world to focus policy on improving the lives of older people, both today and in the future. While rapid population ageing poses challenges, China’s rapid economic growth over the last forty years has created space for policy to assist older persons and families in their efforts to improve health and well-being at older ages. As China is home to 1/5 of the world’s older people, China is often held up as an example for other middle-income countries. This Commission Report aims to help readers to understand the process of healthy ageing in China as a means of drawing lessons from the China experience. In addition, with the purpose of informing the ongoing policy dialogue within China, the Commission Report highlights the policy challenges on the horizon and draws lessons from international experience.

The Economic Value of Non-professional Care: A Europe-Wide Analysis

BACKGROUND

This paper had two aims. Firstly, to provide a broader view of the profile of non-professional caregivers in Europe, and secondly, to estimate the economic value of the non-professional caregiving.

METHODS

The European Quality of Life Survey 2016/2017, carried out by Eurofound, was used. The target population of the survey was adults who care for a relative or friend in a total of 33 European countries. The opportunity cost method was used to estimate the economic value of caregiving, in which two of the activities forgone were analysed: paid activities (restricted to caregivers who were employed), for which the average gross wage of each country was used; and unpaid activities, for which the minimum gross wage of each country was used.

RESULTS

There were more than 76 million non-professional caregivers in Europe that provide care for a relative or friend. This figure represents 12.7% of the population in Europe. The estimated time devoted to non-professional care in Europe reached 72 301.5 million hours in 2016. Sharp differences were found among countries. The economic value of that time is estimated at 576 000 million of euros, which represented about 3.63% of Europe's gross domestic product (GDP).

CONCLUSION

This study shows the very important number of resources dedicated to the non-professional care of dependent people and their economic valuation. These results may be helpful in prospective analyses estimating future needs on professional and non-professional and for designing of long-term care (LTC) policies in Europe.

The care types choice in filial culture: A cross-sectional study of disabled elderly in China

For the past few decades, studies of care types choice have been restricted to the scope of individual characteristics and health status. Meanwhile, the historiography of the research largely ignores the role of filial culture within China. This study sets out to examine the influence of the factors in the cultural context of filial piety on the choice of care types for older people with disability in China. According to the characteristics of filial culture, the factors influencing the choice of care type for the older people in China are summarized as family endowment and support. The study concludes that gender, residence, living alone or not, family income, real estate, pension and community service have momentous effects on the choice of care type of older people with disability; informal care has a substitutive effect on formal care. The research was based on cross-sectional data of CLHLS 2018 and utilized binary logistic regression analysis to compare the factors influencing the choice of old disabled people between formal and informal care. The study implies that in the context of filial culture, the older people's choice of care types is affected by family endowment and community service supply for the older people in China. In the background of filial culture, the government should give informal care official support such as cash and services, so as to change its attribute of private domain of it and enhance the quality of long-term care.

Barriers to an effective voucher programme for community-based aged care: a professional perspective

Long-term care for older people is increasingly turning to consumer-directed approaches. As a case in point, the Hong Kong Government recently implemented a new voucher programme for community-based aged care based on a consumer-directed approach: the Community Care Service Voucher for the Elderly (CCSV). The objectives of this study were to explore the lived experience of professional workers vis-à-vis the new programme and to identify barriers to effective voucher use by older people in Hong Kong. In-depth individual interviews were conducted with 16 professionals who had primary responsibility for the voucher programme for community-based aged care. The interview guide covered five main areas: (a) professional's perception and experience on the voucher programme; (b) the decision-making process around the voucher programme; (c) personal capacities of older people; (d) family support and social networks; and (e) institutional support. Findings indicate several barriers to effective use of the CCSV including: lack of self-awareness of service needs, lower education level, poor health condition, lack of financial resources, lack of family support, inadequate family involvement in decision-making, lack of peer and professional support, lack of available services and poor service accessibility. Suggestions for strengthening the voucher programme include institution of a case management model and public education. Different factors or elements are required to facilitate older people to make sound and informed choices, and a case manager can assist in combining different resources and forms of support towards effective use of the CCSV.

Long-Term Care Insurance Pilot Programme in China: Policy Evaluation and Optimization Options—Taking the Pilot Programme in the Northeast of China as an Example

China’s population is ageing rapidly and the increase in life expectancy is accompanied by a loss of capability with advancing age, especially in the Northeast. This study adopts qualitative research methods to analyze the overall status and problems of China’s LTCI policy pilots. Taking four LTCI pilot cities in three northeastern provinces as samples, we used purposive sampling to recruit 10 beneficiaries and providers of LTCI in nursing homes of different kinds, as well as 2 operators (Medical Insurance Bureau staff) for semi-structured in-depth interviews. We developed a social welfare policy analysis framework based on Gilbert’s framework, designed interview outlines and conducted a thematic analysis of the interview data along five dimensions: allocation base, type of provision, delivery strategy, finance mode, and external environment. The results of the research indicate that the coverage of the system is narrow and that disability assessment criteria are fragmented; that the substance of service provision is lacking, both in terms of precision and dynamic adjustment mechanisms; that socialized care synergy cannot be achieved, informal care lacking policy support; that there is an over-reliance on medical insurance funds and that unfair financing standards are applied; and that economic and social development is insufficient to cope with ageing needs and uncertain risks. Accordingly, this research proposes several optimization options to promote the full establishment of LTCI.

Is long-term care a building or a societal moral philosophy?

The number of Older Adults (OA) in Ontario will double in two decades. The COVID-19 pandemic demonstrated that the model of subsidized Long-Term Care (LTC) homes does not reflect the care needs of OAs. Many nations have implemented LTC models as a continuum of care for OAs promoting independent home/community living. These models help delay admission to LTC homes and achieve a higher quality-of-life for OAs. Current financial pressure on the healthcare system and inadequacies of LTC homes necessitate a broader social welfare policy. One viable option for sustainable LTC is implementing Ontario's mandatory public long-term care insurance policy.

Innovating European Long-Term Care Policies through the Socio-Economic Support of Families: A Lesson from Practices

TC and socio-economic deprivation of families are two relevant issues in international debate. The economic or time investment made by families in caregiving has an impact on the socio-economic status of family members in terms of economic means and social inclusion. This study analyzes the practices that are supported by home LTC, examining their characteristics, identifying their strengths, weaknesses, drivers, and barriers, as well as identifying social innovation aspects. The study provides a qualitative interpretative comparison of 22 practices from eight countries, representing the four LTC care models existing in Europe. Cross-studies aid in the development of sustainable policies. The study highlights the differences and similarities between selected practices. The results indicate the effectiveness of integrative and coordination strategies at the macro, meso, and micro levels for the development of supportive policies for family members with burdens of care. Nevertheless, the results underline the lack of a genuine focus on families’ socio-economic support for providing care. The partial support provided by compensatory cash benefits or unpaid care leave schemes partially addresses the difficulties of familial burden of care. The study recommends that fair economic compensation and social security benefits be incorporated into innovative and sustainable strategies for supporting caregiving in LTC and welfare schemes.

The Burden of Caring for Dependent Older People and the Resultant Risk of Depression in Family Primary Caregivers in Italy

Long-Term Care (LTC) for older people in need of care is a critical issue affecting the quality of life of family caregivers (as well as older people), encompassing both negative and positive caregiving experiences. Providing support to family caregivers is essential because they play a crucial role in sharing the societal burden of LTC for the growing frail older population. By presenting the results of a survey carried out in 2019–2020 in Central Italy, this study aims to describe the characteristics and estimate by a multivariate logistic model the correlates of depressive symptoms in 369 primary caregivers of dependent older people. Caregivers are mostly women who provide a high amount of care in terms of weekly hours as a result of insufficient assistance from public or private care services. More than half of the sample show depressive symptoms, indicating a fairly serious situation. Perceived burden is a strong predictor of depression. The findings offer suggestions and policy implications. The fragmentation of the care context should be addressed by allocating sufficient funding to expand the supply of public in-kind services and integrate cash-for-care schemes, thus alleviating the burden and mitigating the negative consequences of care on physical and mental health.

Disability in Older People and Socio-Economic Deprivation in Italy: Effects on the Care Burden and System Resources

The sustainability of European Long-Term Care systems faces the demographic and socio-economic circumstances, mainly the increasing ageing of the population, with its chronic disease conditions, and the simultaneous economic general crises, exacerbated by the recent COVID-19 pandemic. Beyond the increase in general rate of relative poverty, there is a higher risk of poverty among elderly and families in a high demand of care, especially if situations of Activities Daily Living (ADL) disability are present. Italian welfare, which is based on family care regimes and regional strategies, and is oriented to private or public care, is a relevant case study with which to analyze such a relationship. This paper aims to study the relationship between ADL disability and the socio-economic deprivation of families, that is, household poverty. Variables came from the ISTAT Health for All Italian Database and the INAIL Disability Allowance Database. A pool of statistical methods, based on bivariate and multivariate analyses, from bivariate correlation, through multiple linear regression to principal component factor analysis, were used to reduce the number of the variables and compute the indicators. The multivariate analysis underlines how ADL disability impacts on a household’s poverty, confirming the existence of statistical correlation between them. Moreover, the study identifies and measures two answer capability models to cope with household poverty. The answer capability of the formal system is the main tool for reducing poverty due to one family member’s ADL disability. Integration and collaboration between the formal system and family capabilities remains the main solution.

Shifting from Fragmentation to Integration: A Systematic Analysis of Long-Term Care Insurance Policies in China

Introduction

Long-term care is an effective intervention that help older people cope with significant declines in capacity. The growing demand for long-term care signals a new social risk and has been given a higher political priority in China. In 2016, 15 local authorities have been selected to pilot the long-term care insurance programme. However, the current implementation of these programmes is fragmented, with a measure of uncertainty. This study aims to investigate the principles and characteristics of long-term care insurance policies across all pilot authorities. It seeks to examine the design of local long-term care insurance systems and their current status.

Methodology

Based on the 2016 guidance, a systematic search for local policy documents on long-term care insurance across the 15 authorities was undertaken, followed by critical analysis to extract policy value and distinctive features in the delivery of long-term care.

Results

The results found that there were many inconsistencies in long-term care policies across local areas, leading to substantial variations in services to the beneficiaries, funding sources, benefit package, supply options and partnership working. Policy fragmentation has brought the postcode lottery and continued inequity for long-term care.

Discussion

Moving forward, local authorities need to have a clear vision of inter-organisational collaboration from the macro to the micro levels in directional and functional dimensions. At the national level, vertical governance should be interacted to outline good practice guidelines and build right service infrastructure. At the local level, horizontal organizations can collaborate to achieve an effective and efficient delivery of long-term care.

Research on Financing Mechanism of Long-Term Care Insurance in Xiamen, China: A System Dynamics Simulation

Objective: This study aimed to predict the changing trend of long-term care insurance (LTCI) funds by clarifying the linkage between revenue and expenditure and its influencing factors and to provide evidence for the establishment of a sustainable LTCI financing mechanism in China.

Method: We have taken Xiamen as an example, based on the data from Xiamen Special Economic Zone Yearbook and field survey. The changing trend of LTCI funds is predicted from 2020 to 2030 based on the system dynamics model (SDM) of the LTCI financing system. Also, through literature research and expert consultation, we found the intervention goals and analyzed their impact on the balance of LTCI funds.

Results: In the current situation, according to the forecast, the revenue and the expenditure of the LTCI funds will increase year by year from 2020 to 2030 in Xiamen, an increase of about 3.7 times and 8.8 times, respectively. After 2029, the expenditure will exceed the revenue of the LTCI funds and the balance will turn into a deficit. From the perspective of fund revenue, by adjusting the individual payment rate, government financial subsidies, and enterprise payment rate, the proportion of LTCI funds can be increased to alleviate the balance deficit under the original forecast. On the contrary, from the perspective of fund expenditure, increasing the proportion of reimbursement and the rate of severe disability will lead to an increase in fund expenditure. In this case, the balance of the funds will turn into a deficit, 7 years in advance. In addition, it was found that the severe disability rate has the greatest impact on the balance of funds.

Discussion: The SDM can objectively reflect the structure and the behavior of the LTCI financing system and has good applicability. By increasing the individual payment rate, government financial subsidies, and enterprise contribution rate, reasonable setting of the reimbursement ratio of nursing services, especially for the prevention of disability among the elderly, to maintain the sustainability of the funds. This study provides strong evidence for policymakers to establish a sustainable LTCI system in China.

Sustainability in Healthcare: Perspectives and Reflections Regarding Laboratory Medicine

Healthcare structures serve to protect and improve public health; however, they can have negative effects on human well-being and the environment. Thus, sustainability is an important target in a rapidly changing healthcare environment. We analyzed the state of the art in research on healthcare and sustainability by exploring literature on different healthcare systems and their relations with the environment. Our review presents conceptual and practical developments regarding sustainability, as well as an overview of their evolution in the healthcare sector over time. We also discuss how sustainability could be applied to reduce the environmental impact of clinical laboratories by ensuring that resources are used efficiently and responsibly. Finally, we describe how laboratory medicine can contribute to a sustainable healthcare system through integration of innovation and emerging technologies while providing high-quality services to patients and caregivers.

Assessing Policy Challenges and Strategies Supporting Informal Caregivers in the European Union

Cost containment and the preferences of older adults are important stimuli for encouraging the provision of informal care worldwide. Nevertheless, informal caregiving can have negative effects on caregiver's health, wellbeing, and employment opportunities. Moreover, it is questionable whether informal caregivers can substantially contribute to meeting the increasing demand for care or serve as a substitute for formally provided services. This commentary assesses strategies to remediate the negative effects of caregiving and ultimately to improve informal caregiving and to support their critical role in European long-term care systems. Cash benefits are a particularly common method of supporting informal caregivers; paid and unpaid leave, and flexible work arrangements are the most prevalent measures to support family caregivers within labor market policy, specifically. Providing training and counseling services to individuals engaged in informal care is a strategy used to support caregivers at home. Disparities in the level of support provided to informal caregivers across the European Union need to be addressed. A lack of supporting policies increases the likelihood that caregivers experience negative physical and psychosocial health problems, as well as unemployment and impoverishment.

Factors associated with informal caregiving and its effects on health, work, and social activities of adult informal caregivers in Malaysia: findings from the National Health and Morbidity Survey 2019

BACKGROUND

The increase in the elderly population, chronic and degenerative diseases, as well as accidents at work and on the road in Malaysia would result in an increased demand for informal care. This paper aimed to determine the associated factors of informal caregiving and its effects on health, work and social activities of adult informal caregivers in Malaysia.

METHODS

The data from the 2019 National Health and Morbidity Survey (NHMS), a nationwide cross-sectional survey with a two-stage stratified random sampling design, was used in this research. The study included respondents who were 18 years and older (n = 11,674). Data were obtained via face-to-face interviews using validated questionnaires. Descriptive and complex sample logistic regression analyses were employed as appropriate.

RESULTS

5.7% of the adult population were informal caregivers. Provision of informal care were significantly associated with the female sex (OR = 1.52, 95% CI [1.21, 1.92]), those aged 36-59 years (OR = 1.61, 95% CI [1.15, 2.25]), and those who reported illness in the past 2 weeks (OR = 1.79, 95% CI [1.38, 2.33]). The risk of having their health affected were associated with female caregivers (OR = 3.63, 95% CI [1.73, 7.61]), those who received training (OR = 2.10, 95% CI [1.10, 4.00]) and those who provided care for 2 years or more (OR = 1.91, 95% CI [1.08, 3.37]). The factors associated with the effects on work were ethnicity, received training and had no assistance to provide the care. In terms of effect on social activities, female caregivers (OR = 1.96, 95% CI [1.04, 3.69]) and caregivers who received training were more likely (OR = 2.19, 95% CI [1.22, 3.93]) to have their social activities affected.

CONCLUSION

Our study revealed that sex, age, and self-reported illness were factors associated with being an informal caregiver in Malaysia. Informal caregivers faced effects on their health, work, and social activities which may be detrimental to their well-being. This understanding is crucial for planning support for caregivers.

Discharge Prediction for Patients Undergoing Inpatient Surgery: Development and validation of the DEPENDENSE score

BACKGROUND

A substantial proportion of patients undergoing inpatient surgery each year is at risk for postoperative institutionalization and loss of independence. Reliable individualized preoperative prediction of adverse discharge can facilitate advanced care planning and shared decision making.

METHODS

Using hospital registry data from previously home-dwelling adults undergoing inpatient surgery, we retrospectively developed and externally validated a score predicting adverse discharge. Multivariable logistic regression analysis and bootstrapping were used to develop the score. Adverse discharge was defined as in-hospital mortality or discharge to a skilled nursing facility. The model was subsequently externally validated in a cohort of patients from an independent hospital.

RESULTS

In total, 106 164 patients in the development cohort and 92 962 patients in the validation cohort were included, of which 16 624 (15.7%) and 7717 (8.3%) patients experienced adverse discharge, respectively. The model was predictive of adverse discharge with an area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) of 0.87 (95% CI 0.87-0.88) in the development cohort and an AUC of 0.86 (95% CI 0.86-0.87) in the validation cohort.

CONCLUSION

Using preoperatively available data, we developed and validated a prediction instrument for adverse discharge following inpatient surgery. Reliable prediction of this patient centered outcome can facilitate individualized operative planning to maximize value of care.

The impacts of caregiving intensity on informal caregivers in Malaysia: findings from a national survey

BACKGROUND

Provision of informal care may adversely affect health, daily and social activities of the informal caregivers, but few studies have examined these effects in relation to caregiving intensity. This study examined the predictive factors associated with the effects of caregiving roles on health, daily and social activities of informal caregivers, accounting for caregiving intensity.

METHODS

Data of adults aged 18 years and over from the National Health and Morbidity Survey 2019 were used. Respondent's demographic, socioeconomic, health, and caregiving-related characteristics were described using complex samples analysis. Logistic regression analysis was performed to examine the factors affecting health, daily and social activities of caregivers, accounting for caregiving intensity.

RESULTS

Five point one percent of adults in Malaysia provided informal care. High intensity caregivers were more likely to be actively employed and provided longer duration of care compared with low intensity caregivers. For low intensity caregiving, females, those aged 35-59 years, and those with long-term condition were more likely to have negative effects on health. Daily activities of non-Malays were more likely to be affected, while no factor was found significantly associated with effect on social activities. For high intensity caregiving, caregivers aged 60 and over, those received training and those without assistance were more likely to have negative effects on health. Daily activities of those without assistance were more likely to be affected. Social activities of non-Malays, those received training and those providing care for 2 years or more were more likely to be affected.

CONCLUSIONS

Our study indicates that both low- and high-intensity caregivers have common features, with the exception of employment status and care duration. Caregiving, regardless of intensity, has a significant impact on caregivers. In order to reduce the negative consequences of caregiving responsibilities, all caregivers need assistance from the community and government, that is customised to their needs. By addressing the factors contributing to the negative effects of caregiving, a continuation of informal caregiving can be sustained through policies supporting the growing demand for informal care necessitated by an ageing population and higher life expectancy in Malaysia.

Long-term care system for older adults in China: policy landscape, challenges, and future prospects

In China, the population is rapidly ageing and the capacity of the system that cares for older people is increasingly a concern. In this Review, we provide a profile of the long-term care system and policy landscape in China. The long-term care system is characterised by rapid growth of the residential care sector, slow development of home and community-based services, and increasing involvement of the private sector. The long-term care workforce shortage and weak quality assurance are concerning. Public long-term care financing is minimal and largely limited to supporting welfare recipients and subsidising the construction of residential care beds and operating costs. China is piloting social insurance long-term care financing models and, concurrently, programmes for integrating health care and long-term care services in selected settings across the country; the effectiveness and sustainability of these pilots remain to be seen. Informed by international long-term care experiences, we offer policy recommendations to strengthen the evolving care system for older people in China.

Assessing the Accessibility of Home-Based Healthcare Services for the Elderly: A Case from Shaanxi Province, China

With the rapid increase of the elderly population in China, healthcare services for the elderly have gradually become an important welfare resource. However, the healthcare service for the elderly still has problems such as mismatched supply and demand and unbalanced resources. In order to effectively eliminate the path barriers to match supply and demand, and improve the accessibility of healthcare services, this paper introduces the sustainability of the healthcare service based on the accessibility theory, and constructs an index system from the three dimensions of potential accessibility, realized accessibility, and sustainable accessibility of healthcare services for the elderly. Then, the paper makes a practice application of the index system based on survey data of healthcare services from Shaanxi province, China. Finally, the paper finds that the total accessibility and sustainable accessibility of healthcare services for the elderly in Shaanxi Province are at an average level. The score of potential accessibility is high, indicating that elderly people have greater opportunities to use healthcare services. The realized accessibility score is low, which indicates that the actual use of healthcare services for the elderly presents low satisfaction.

Psychometric properties of long-term care needs questionnaire for older Chinese adults with dementia

Aim

Long‐term care needs are important for older adults with dementia in the West, but they have not received enough attention from China. This study evaluated the psychometric properties of a long‐term care needs instrument for older Chinese adults with dementia.

Methods

A total of 1,212 older adults with dementia were recruited from five Chinese cities to complete a 30‐item long‐term care needs questionnaire. The reliability and validity of the questionnaire was evaluated using multiple assessments, including a content validity assessment, Cronbach's alpha, an item‐to‐total correlation test, and exploratory factor analysis.

Results

The questionnaire was divided into four sub‐sections: life care services (eight items), basic and specialist care services (12 items), mental comfort psychological services (four items), and homecare support services (six items). Cronbach's alpha was .93 for the whole questionnaire and ranged from .83 to .92 for the four sub‐questionnaires. The item‐to‐total correlation coefficients for the four sub‐questionnaires were between .68 and .88, and the test–retest correlation coefficient was .88.

Conclusion

Our results validated the reliability and validity of a questionnaire designed to measure the quality of long‐term care services for older Chinese adults with dementia.

Profile of Long-Term Care Recipients Receiving Home and Community-Based Services and the Factors That Influence Utilization in Taiwan

In response to the irreversible aging trend, the Taiwan government has promoted the Long-Term Care (LTC) policy 1.0 launched in 2007 and the LTC policy 2.0 reform since 2016. This study aimed to explore the utilization of formal home and community-based care under LTC policy 1.0 to add scientific support for the on-going LTC policy 2.0 reform. Methods: By using Andersen and Aday’s behavioral model of healthcare utilization, the long-term care dataset was analyzed from 2013 to 2016. A total of 101,457 care recipients were identified after data cleaning. Results: The results revealed that about 40.7% of the care recipients stayed in the care system for more than two years. A common factor influencing the length of home and community-based services (HCBS) utilization period included need factors, where more dependent recipients leave the LTC system regardless of their socio-economic status. However, the utilization period of non-low-income households is significantly affected by the level of service resources. Conclusion: For long-term care needs, the phenomenon of a short utilization period was concerning. This study adds information which suggests policy should reconsider care capacity and quality, especially for moderate to severely dependent recipients. This will allow for better understanding to help maintain care recipients in their own communities to achieve the goal of having an aging in place policy.

The Evolution of Long-term Care Programs Comment on "Financing Long-term Care: Lessons From Japan"

The need for long-term care (LTC) represents a "new social risk," one that overlaps with and complements systems of care that pre-date such programs, complicating LTC program design. This commentary expands on Ikegami’s discussion of how these structural factors must be accommodated, as well as historical and cultural factors that influence public expectations of such a program. The commentary specifically focuses on the role of cash payments, caregiver benefits, and the sometimes indistinct line between LTC and health systems. The experiences of countries operating LTC program in a wide range of contexts can illuminate common challenges, as well as some potential solutions to these vexing design and operational issues.

An overview of future EU health systems. An insight into governance, primary care, data collection and citizens' participation

Background

Health systems in the European Union (EU) are being questioned over their effectiveness and sustainability. In pursuing both goals, they have to conciliate coexisting, not always aligned, realities.

Methods

This paper originated from a workshop entitled 'Health systems for the future' held at the European Parliament. Experts and decision makers were asked to discuss measures that may increase the effectiveness and sustainability of health systems, namely: (i) increasing citizens' participation; (ii) the importance of primary care in providing integrated services; (iii) improving the governance and (iv) fostering better data collection and information channels to support the decision making process.

Results

In the parliamentary debate, was discussed the concept that, in the near future, health systems' effectiveness and sustainability will very much depend on effective access to integrated services where primary care is pivotal, a clearer shift from care-oriented systems to health promotion and prevention, a profound commitment to good governance, particularly to stakeholders participation, and a systematic reuse of data meant to build health data-driven learning systems.

Conclusions

Many health issues, such as future health systems in the EU, are potentially transformative and hence an intense political issue. It is policy-making leadership that will mostly determine how well EU health systems are prepared to face future challenges.

Does older adults' use of social care influence their healthcare utilisation? A systematic review of international evidence

Improving our understanding of the complex relationship between health and social care utilisation is vital as populations age. This systematic review aimed to synthesise evidence on the relationship between older adults' use of social care and their healthcare utilisation. Ten databases were searched for international literature on social care (exposure), healthcare use (outcome) and older adults (population). Searches were carried out in October 2016, and updated May 2018. Studies were eligible if they were published after 2000 in a high income country, examined the relationship between use of social care and healthcare utilisation by older adults (aged ≥60 years), and controlled for an indicator of need. Study quality and bias were rated using the National Institute of Health (NIH) Quality Assessment Tool for Observational Cohort and Cross-Sectional Studies. Study data were extracted and a narrative synthesis was conducted. Data were not suitable for quantitative synthesis. Thirteen studies were identified from 12,065 citations. Overall, the quality and volume of evidence was low. There was limited evidence to suggest that longer lengths of stay in care homes were associated with a lower risk of inpatient admissions. Residents of care homes with onsite nursing had fewer than expected admissions to hospital, compared to people in care homes without nursing, and adjusting for need. Evidence for other healthcare use outcomes was even more limited and heterogeneous, with notable gaps in primary care. We conclude that older adults' use of care homes may moderate inpatient admissions. In particular, the presence of registered nurses in care homes may reduce the need to transfer residents to hospital. However, further evidence is needed to add weight to this conclusion. Future research should build on this evidence and address gaps regarding the influence of community based social care on older adults' healthcare use. A greater focus on primary care outcomes is imperative.

Sex-Specific Patient Journeys in Early Parkinson's Disease in the Netherlands

Objective: To reconstruct a sex-specific patient journey for Dutch persons with Parkinson's disease (PD) during the first 5 years after diagnosis.

Method: We analyzed a national administrative medical claims database containing data of all patients newly diagnosed with PD between 2012 and 2016 in the Netherlands. We performed time-to-event analysis to identify the moments when patients received care from neurologists, allied healthcare therapists or general practitioners. We also extracted relevant clinical milestones: unexpected hospitalization for PD, pneumonia, orthopedic injuries, nursing home admission, and death. Using these data, we constructed the patient journey stratified for sex.

Results: We included claims data of 13,518 men and 8,775 women with newly diagnosed PD in the Netherlands. While we found little difference in neurologist consultations, women visited general practitioners and physiotherapists significantly earlier and more often (all p-values < 0.001). After 5 years, 37.9% (n = 3,326) of women had visited an occupational therapist and 18.5% (n = 1,623) a speech and language therapist at least once. This was 33.1% (n = 4,474) and 23.7% (n = 3,204) for men. Approximately 2 years after diagnosis, PD-related complications (pneumonia, orthopedic injuries, and PD-related hospitalization) occurred for the first time (women: 1.8 years; men: 2.3 years), and after 5 years, 72.9% (n = 6,397) of women, and 68.7% (n = 9,287) of men had experienced at least one.

Discussion: Considering the strengths and limitations of our methods, our findings suggest that women experience complications and access most healthcare services sooner after diagnosis and more frequently than men. The identified sex differences extend the debate about phenotypical differences in PD between men and women.

Use of out-of-hours primary care in affluent and deprived neighbourhoods during reforms in long-term care: an observational study from 2013 to 2016

OBJECTIVES

Major long-term care (LTC) reforms in the Netherlands in 2015 may specifically have disadvantaged socioeconomically deprived groups to acquire LTC, possibly impacting the use of acute care. We aimed to demonstrate whether LTC reforms coincided with changes in the use of out-of-hours (OOH) primary care services (PCSs), and to compare changes between deprived versus affluent neighbourhoods.

DESIGN

Ecological observational retrospective study using routinely recorded electronic health records data from 2013 to 2016 and population registry data.

SETTING

Data from 15 OOH PCSs participating in the Nivel Primary Care Database (covering approximately 6.5 million inhabitants) in the Netherlands. PCS utilisation data on neighbourhood level were matched with sociodemographic characteristics, including neighbourhood socioeconomic status (SES).

PARTICIPANTS

Electronic health records from 6 120 384 OOH PCS contacts in 2013-2016, aggregated to neighbourhood level.

OUTCOME MEASURES AND ANALYSES

Number of contacts per 1000 inhabitants/year (total, high/low-urgency, night/evening-weekend-holidays, telephone consultations/consultations/home visits).Multilevel linear regression models included neighbourhood (first level), nested within PCS catchment area (second level), to account for between-PCS variation, adjusted for neighbourhood characteristics (for instance: % men/women). Difference-in-difference in time-trends according to neighbourhood SES was assessed with addition of an interaction term to the analysis (year×neighbourhood SES).

RESULTS

Between 2013 and 2016, overall OOH PCS use increased by 6%. Significant increases were observed for high-urgency contacts and contacts during the night. The largest change was observed for the most deprived neighbourhoods (10% compared with 4%-6% in the other neighbourhoods; difference not statistically significant). The increasing trend in OOH PCS use developed practically similar for deprived and affluent neighbourhoods. A a stable gradient reflected more OOH PCS use for each lower stratum of SES.

CONCLUSIONS

LTC reforms coincided with an overall increase in OOH PCS use, with nearly similar trends for deprived and affluent neighbourhoods. The results suggest a generalised spill over to OOH PCS following LTC reforms.

Differential Effects of Physical Exercise, Cognitive Training, and Mindfulness Practice on Serum BDNF Levels in Healthy Older Adults: A Randomized Controlled Intervention Study

Previous studies have indicated that an active lifestyle is associated with better brain health and a longer life, compared to a more sedentary lifestyle. These studies, both on human and animal subjects, have typically focused on a single activity, usually physical exercise, but other activities have received an increasing interest. One proposed mechanism is that physical exercise increases levels of brain-derived neurotrophic factor (BDNF) in the brain. For the first time, the long-term effects on serum BDNF levels were compared in persons who engaged in either physical exercise training, cognitive training, or mindfulness practice during 5 weeks, and compared with an active control group. Two cohorts of healthy older individuals, one from the Boston area in the US and one from the Växjö area in Sweden, participated. A total of 146 participants were randomly assigned to one of the four groups. All interventions were structurally similar, using interactive, computer-based software that directed participants to carry out specified activities for 35 minutes/day, 5 days per week for 5 weeks. Blood samples were obtained at baseline and soon after the completion of the 5-week long intervention program, and serum BDNF levels were measured using a commercially available ELISA. Only the group that underwent cognitive training increased their serum BDNF levels after 5 weeks of training (F1,74 = 4.22, p = 0.044, partial η2 = 0.054), corresponding to an average 10% increase. These results strongly suggest that cognitive training can exert beneficial effects on brain health in an older adult population.