The impact of surgery in metastatic pancreatic neuroendocrine tumors: a competing risk analysis

Predictive Factors of Response to Streptozotocin in Neuroendocrine Pancreatic Neoplasms

Pancreatic neuroendocrine neoplasms (Pan-NENs) may exhibit a heterogeneous clinical course, ranging from indolent to progressive/metastatic behavior. In the latter scenario, streptozocin (STZ) is considered the cornerstone of systemic treatment; however, response to STZ-based chemotherapy may vary among individuals. In this narrative review, we aimed to identify the predictive factors of response to STZ in advanced Pan-NENs. We performed an extensive search in international online databases for published studies and ongoing clinical trials evaluating STZ in Pan-NENs. We found 11 pertinent studies evaluating 17 patient-, tumor-, or treatment-related factors. Age, CgA blood levels, tumor grade, Ki-67% index, anatomical location of the primary tumor, tumor stage, site of metastasis origin, liver tumor burden, extrahepatic spread, functional status, O6-methylguanine-methyltransferase (MGMT) status, line of therapy, and response to previous treatments were all statistically associated with radiological response and/or survival. The identified predictors may help clinicians make appropriate treatment decisions, in this way improving clinical outcomes in patients with advanced Pan-NENs.

Two machine learning-based nomogram to predict risk and prognostic factors for liver metastasis from pancreatic neuroendocrine tumors: a multicenter study

BACKGROUND

Pancreatic neuroendocrine tumors (PNETs) are one of the most common endocrine tumors, and liver metastasis (LMs) are the most common location of metastasis from PNETS; However, there is no valid nomogram to predict the diagnosis and prognosis of liver metastasis (LMs) from PNETs. Therefore, we aimed to develop a valid predictive model to aid physicians in making better clinical decisions.

METHODS

We screened patients in the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) database from 2010-2016. Feature selection was performed by machine learning algorithms and then models were constructed. Two nomograms were constructed based on the feature selection algorithm to predict the prognosis and risk of LMs from PNETs. We then used the area under the curve (AUC), receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve, calibration plot and consistency index (C-index) to evaluate the discrimination and accuracy of the nomograms. Kaplan-Meier (K-M) survival curves and decision curve analysis (DCA) were also used further to validate the clinical efficacy of the nomograms. In the external validation set, the same validation is performed.

RESULTS

Of the 1998 patients screened from the SEER database with a pathological diagnosis of PNET, 343 (17.2%) had LMs at the time of diagnosis. The independent risk factors for the occurrence of LMs in PNET patients included histological grade, N stage, surgery, chemotherapy, tumor size and bone metastasis. According to Cox regression analysis, we found that histological subtype, histological grade, surgery, age, and brain metastasis were independent prognostic factors for PNET patients with LMs. Based on these factors, the two nomograms demonstrated good performance in model evaluation.

CONCLUSION

We developed two clinically significant predictive models to aid physicians in personalized clinical decision-makings.

The associations between serum high-density lipoprotein cholesterol levels and malignant behavior in pancreatic neuroendocrine neoplasms

Background

The role of serum high-density lipoprotein cholesterol (HDL-c) in tumorigenesis are observed in several endocrine-related cancers. However, its role in pancreatic neuroendocrine neoplasms (PNENs) has not been understood. In the current study, the relationship between HDL-c levels and malignant behavior in PNENs was explored.

Methods

One hundred ninety-seven patients with histopathology confirmed PNENs were included. PNENs were divided into three grades (G1, G2 and G3) as 2017 WHO classification based on ki67 index and mitosis count. The demographic data, clinical information, tumor morphological and pathological features (organs invasion, lymph node metastasis, vascular invasion and perineural invasion), and serum tumor biomarkers were collected. The relationships between HDL-c levels and malignant behaviors in PNENs were analyzed using logistic regression analysis. Models were also developed for the identification of high grade PNENs.

Results

The levels of serum HDL-c in G2/G3 tumor were significantly lower than that in G1 tumor (P = 0.031). However, no such difference was found between G3 and G1/G2. The proportions of low HDL-c (≤ 0.9 mmol/L) were higher in high-grade PNENs (G2/G3 or G3) than those in low-grade (G1 or G1/G2) (29.0 vs 15.2%, P = 0.032; 37.0 vs 20.5%, P = 0.023). The risk of G2/G3 tumors in patients with high serum HDL-c levels was decreased (odds ratio (OR) = 0.35, 95% confidence interval (CI): 0.12–0.99). Similarly, the risk of G3 PNENs increased in patients with low HDL-c levels (OR = 2.51, 95%CI:1.12–5.60). HDL-c level was also associated with a high ki67 index (> 55%) (OR = 0.10, 95%CI: 0.02–0.51) and neuroendocrine carcinoma G3 (OR = 0.21, 95%CI: 0.06–0.80). The area under the curve (AUC) of HDL-c + tumor size + age was 0.85 (95% CI: 0.79–0.91) in identifying G2/G3 PNENs, and HDL-c (> 0.9 mmol/L) + tumor size + age had an AUC of 0.77 (95% CI: 0.70–0.84) in identifying G3 PNENs. HDL-c level was associated with lymph node metastasis (OR = 0.24, 95%CI:0.08–0.99).

Conclusion

Serum HDL-c levels were significantly associated with malignant behaviors in PNENs, in particular to tumor grade and lymph node metastasis.

Risk of Cancer-Specific Death for Patients Diagnosed With Neuroendocrine Tumors: A Population-Based Analysis

BACKGROUND

Although patients with neuroendocrine tumors (NETs) are known to have prolonged overall survival, the contribution of cancer-specific and noncancer deaths is undefined. This study examined cancer-specific and noncancer death after NET diagnosis.

METHODS

We conducted a population-based retrospective cohort study of adult patients with NETs from 2001 through 2015. Using competing risks methods, we estimated the cumulative incidence of cancer-specific and noncancer death and stratified by primary NET site and metastatic status. Subdistribution hazard models examined prognostic factors.

RESULTS

Among 8,607 included patients, median follow-up was 42 months (interquartile range, 17-82). Risk of cancer-specific death was higher than that of noncancer death, at 27.3% (95% CI, 26.3%-28.4%) and 5.6% (95% CI, 5.1%-6.1%), respectively, at 5 years. Cancer-specific deaths largely exceeded noncancer deaths in synchronous and metachronous metastatic NETs. Patterns varied by primary tumor site, with highest risks of cancer-specific death in bronchopulmonary and pancreatic NETs. For nonmetastatic gastric, small intestine, colonic, and rectal NETs, the risk of noncancer death exceeded that of cancer-specific deaths. Advancing age, higher material deprivation, and metastases were independently associated with higher hazards, and female sex and high comorbidity burden with lower hazards of cancer-specific death.

CONCLUSIONS

Among all NETs, the risk of dying of cancer was higher than that of dying of other causes. Heterogeneity exists by primary NET site. Some patients with nonmetastatic NETs are more likely to die of noncancer causes than of cancer causes. This information is important for counseling, decision-making, and design of future trials. Cancer-specific mortality should be included in outcomes when assessing treatment strategies.

Prognostic factors in patients with gallbladder adenocarcinoma identified using competing-risks analysis: A study of cases in the SEER database

A competing-risks model was developed in this study to identify the significant prognostic factors and evaluate the cumulative incidence of cause-specific death in gallbladder adenocarcinoma (GBAC), with the aim of providing guidance on effective clinical treatments.All patients with GBAC in the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) database during 1973 to 2015 were identified. The potential prognostic factors were identified using competing-risks analyses implemented using the R and SAS statistical software packages. We calculated the cumulative incidence function (CIF) for cause-specific death and death from other causes at each time point. The Fine-Gray proportional-subdistribution-hazards model was then applied in univariate and multivariate analyses to test the differences in CIF between different groups and identify independent prognostic factors.This study included 3836 eligible patients who had been enrolled from 2004 to 2015 in the SEER database. The univariate analysis indicated that age, race, AJCC stage, RS, tumor size, SEER historic stage, grade, surgery, radiotherapy, chemotherapy and adjuvant therapy (RCT, SRT, SCT and SRCT) were significant factors affecting the probability of death due to GBAC. The multivariate analysis indicated that age, race, AJCC stage, RS status, tumor size, grade and SRT were independent prognostic factors affecting GBAC cancer-specific death. A nomogram model was constructed based on multivariate models for death related to GBAC.We have constructed the first competing-risks nomogram for GBAC. The model was found to perform well. This novel validated prognostic model may facilitate the choosing of beneficial treatment strategies and help when predicting survival.

Systemic Treatment Selection for Patients with Advanced Pancreatic Neuroendocrine Tumours (PanNETs)

Pancreatic neuroendocrine tumours (PanNETs) are rare diseases and a good example of how research is not only feasible, but also of crucial importance in the scenario of rare tumours. Many clinical trials have been performed over the past two decades expanding therapeutic options for patients with advanced PanNETs. Adequate management relies on optimal selection of treatment, which may be challenging for clinicians due to the fact that multiple options of therapy are currently available. A number of therapies already exist, which are supported by data from phase III studies, including somatostatin analogues and targeted therapies (sunitinib and everolimus). In addition, chemotherapy remains an option, with temozolomide and capecitabine being one of the most popular doublets to use. Peptide receptor radionuclide therapy was successfully implemented in patients with well-differentiated gastro-entero-pancreatic neuroendocrine tumours, but with certain questions waiting to be solved for the management of PanNETs. Finally, the role of immunotherapy is still poorly understood. In this review, the data supporting current systemic treatment options for locally advanced or metastatic PanNETs are summarized. Strategies for treatment selection in patients with PanNETs based on patient, disease, or drug characteristics is provided, as well as a summary of current evidence on prognostic and predictive biomarkers. Future perspectives are discussed, focusing on current and forthcoming challenges and unmet needs of patients with these rare tumours.

Influence of Gender on Therapy and Outcome of Neuroendocrine Tumors of Gastroenteropancreatic Origin: A Single-Center Analysis

Introduction

Gender-specific treatment is gaining growing attention in various fields of medicine. In gastrointestinal cancer, influence of sex on outcome has been discussed, while this has not been the case in neuroendocrine tumors. Overall, the incidence of neuroendocrine neoplasms is rising, especially for appendiceal neuroendocrine neoplasms in women. Also, women seem to have a slight advantage in response to therapy, especially for liver metastases.

Objectives

This single-center analysis aimed to investigate gender-specific differences in our cohort related to distribution, therapy, and outcome.

Methods

Patients from the NET registry as well as the clinic database were evaluated retrospectively concerning overall survival and response to therapy with respect to gender. A subgroup analysis was carried out for patients with low grading and response to chemotherapy, as well as for patients with good and moderate grading receiving peptide receptor radionuclide therapy and for a group of patients with liver surgery.

Results

No specific differences could be detected for overall survival or response to therapy between male and female patients. Mean survival was estimated with 242.2 months (±10.39 SD) altogether and 221.7 months (± 13.02 SD) for male patients and 253.5 months (±15.24 SD) for female patients from the NET registry from initial diagnosis. There was no significant difference between female and male patients (p = 0.136). For patients receiving chemotherapy, overall survival from initial diagnosis was calculated with 26 months (±2.59) and did not show any significant differences between female and male patients 24.8 months (±2.81 SD) vs. 27.8 months (±3.86 SD, p = 0.87). Patients undergoing peptide receptor radionuclide therapy showed a median progression-free survival of 26.9 months (±2.82 SD), with 16.9 (±5.595 SD) and 26.9 months (±3.019 SD) for male and female patients, respectively (p = 0.2). In the group of patients with liver surgery, female patients reached an estimated overall survival of 64.7 months (±4.16 SD), male patients 65.1 months (±2.79 SD, p = 0.562).

Conclusion

Our cohort did not reveal significant differences in outcome and response to therapy with regards to gender.

The Eighth Edition of the American Joint Committee on Cancer Distant Metastases Stage Classification for Metastatic Pancreatic Neuroendocrine Tumors Might Be Feasible for Metastatic Pancreatic Ductal Adenocarcinomas

BACKGROUND

Significant modifications have been made to the 8th edition of the American Joint Committee on Cancer (AJCC) distant metastases (M) stage classification for metastatic pancreatic neuroendocrine tumors (PanNETs). We aimed to validate this revised classification among metastatic PanNET patients using the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results database. We further sought to evaluate the feasibility of applying this classification to metastatic pancreatic neuroendocrine carcinoma (PanNEC) and pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma (PDAC) patients.

METHODS

Stage IV pancreatic neuroendocrine neoplasm (PanNEN, including G1/G2 PanNET and G3 PanNEC classified according to the World Health Organization [WHO] 2010 grading scheme) and PDAC patients with metastatic disease diagnosed between 2010 and 2015 were identified and restaged according to the revised M stage classification for PanNET. Overall survival (OS) was compared using Kaplan-Meier analysis and log-rank test. Uni- and multivariate Cox regression models were utilized to identify prognostic factors.

RESULTS

A total of 1,371 stage IV PanNEN and 634 PDAC patients were included. Among PanNEN patients, liver (75.0%) was the most common metastatic site, followed by distant lymph nodes (8.5%), lung (8.4%), bone (7.3%), and brain (1.0%). The 5-year OS for PanNET patients with M1a, M1b, and M1c stage was 44.15, 53.32, and 19.70%, respectively. However, survival comparison showed no significant difference between M1a and M1b stages among PanNET patients. Similar findings were noted after applying this classification to PanNEC patients. Multivariate analysis showed that the age at diagnosis and the number of distant metastatic sites were independent prognostic factors for metastatic PanNEN patients. Interestingly, excellent survival discrimination by M stage among stage IV PDAC patients was noted (M1a vs. M1b vs. M1c, 5-year OS: 5.42, 2.46, and 0%, respectively).

CONCLUSION

Our study is the first large sample-based validation of the AJCC 8th M stage classification for PanNET. The revised classification did not effectively stratify metastatic PanNEN patients. However, further study is warranted to validate this classification for PanNET patients according to the WHO 2017 classification. Interestingly, the revised M stage classification might be feasible for PDAC patients with metastatic disease.

A prognostic nomogram in patients with distant metastasis of pancreatic neuroendocrine tumors: a population-based study

Aim: Prognostic factors in patients with distant metastatic pancreatic neuroendocrine tumors (PNETs) remain uncertain. The purpose of our study is to establish a nomogram to predict survival outcomes in patients with metastatic PNETs. Methods: A total of 878 patients diagnosed with PNETs in the Surveillance, Epidemiology and End Results database between 2004 and 2016 were retrospectively identified. The Kaplan-Meier survival analysis with log-rank test was used to analyze survival outcomes. The nomogram was established after a univariate and multivariate Cox analysis. Results: The independent prognostic variables, including age, tumor grade and primary site surgery were applied to develop a nomogram. The original concordance index was 0.773 (95% CI: 0.751-0.795), and the bias-corrected concordance index was 0.769 (95% CI: 0.748-0.791). The internal calibration curves showed well consistency and veracity in predicting cancer-specific survival probabilities. Conclusion: A nomogram was constructed and verified to predict survival outcomes in patients with distant-stage PNETs.

Prognostic and predictive factors on overall survival and surgical outcomes in pancreatic neuroendocrine tumors: recent advances and controversies

Introduction: Recent advances in diagnostic modalities and therapeutic agents have raised the importance of prognostic factors in predicting overall survival, as well as predictive factors for surgical outcomes, in tailoring therapeutic strategies of patients with pancreatic neuroendocrine neoplasms (panNENs).Areas covered: Numerous recent studies of panNEN patients report the prognostic values of a number of clinically related factors (clinical, laboratory, imaging, treatment-related factors), pathological factors (histological, classification, grading) and molecular factors on long-term survival. In addition, an increasing number of studies showed the usefulness of various factors, specifically biomarkers and molecular makers, in predicting recurrence and mortality related to surgical treatment. Recent findings (from the last 3 years) in each of these areas, as well as recent controversies, are reviewed.Expert commentary: The clinical importance of prognostic and predictive factors for panNENs is markedly increased for both overall outcome and post resection, as a result of recent advances in all aspects of the diagnosis, management and treatment of panNENs. Despite the proven prognostic utility of routinely used tumor grading/classification and staging systems, further studies are required to establish these novel prognostic factors to support their routine clinical use.