Cost-utility analysis comparing radioactive iodine, anti-thyroid drugs and total thyroidectomy for primary treatment of Graves' disease

British Thyroid Association Survey of Graves' Disease Management in the UK

BACKGROUND

Recent years have seen changes and uncertainties in evidence and guideline recommendations in Graves' disease treatment. To understand the impact of these developments on current practice, we undertook a survey of Graves' disease management in the United Kingdom and compared this to other national and international surveys.

METHOD

Members of the British Thyroid Association, the UK Society for Endocrinology and regional endocrinology networks, were invited by e-mail to complete a 15-min online survey (October 2022 to March 2023).

RESULTS

Out of 158 eligible respondents, 99% were endocrinologists. For a 40-year-old female with a first presentation of Graves' hyperthyroidism, TSH-receptor antibodies (TRAb) were requested at diagnosis and at follow-up by 95% and 76%, respectively. Isotope scans and ultrasound were rarely requested (< 5%). Majority (95%) would treat with antithyroid drugs (ATD), predominantly Carbimazole (CMZ), while radioactive iodine (RAI) was preferred for recurrent disease (81%). Common reasons for avoiding RAI were thyroid eye disease, pregnancy intention, or contact with young children whereas biochemical severity, goitre, or male sex did not influence decision to use RAI. Propylthiouracil (PTU) was preferred in preconception and early pregnancy, but after the first-trimester, 50% would continue PTU while 50% switch back to CMZ.

CONCLUSIONS

The survey confirms a growing application of TRAbs, both for diagnostic and prognostic purposes. ATDs remain the preferred first-line therapy for Graves' disease, which is consistent with global trends but contrary to National Institute of Health and Care Excellence (NICE) guidance. Further studies are required to explore the clinical and pragmatic determinants of current treatment approaches.

Analysis of Cost and Treatment Effects in the Care Given for Graves' Disease: A Swedish Cost-Utility Analysis

BACKGROUND

Guidelines in healthcare should be evidence-based, satisfy patient needs and improve patient outcome.

METHODS

We performed a cost-utility analysis in Graves' disease (GD) and estimated incremental costs after the introduction of a national guideline adding the Graves' Recurrent Events After Therapy (GREAT) score with genetic determinants (GREAT+) to predict recurrence, a thyroid nurse, preoperative calcium/vitamin D treatment and thyroid-stimulating immunoglobulins.

FINDINGS

Antithyroid drugs (ATDs) were less costly, achieved 0.88 quality-adjusted life years (QALYs) over 8 years and dominated over radioactive iodine (RAI) treatment. The relevant incremental cost-effectiveness ratio was ATD versus thyroid surgery (Tx). Tx was more costly than ATD but was also more effective. The incremental cost-effectiveness ratio was equal to 40,488 Euro per QALY gained. In recurrent GD, the QALY weight for surgery after ATD was 0.76 compared with 0.79 when surgery was the initial treatment. If individuals requiring surgery could be identified at start of first treatment, QALYs would be higher (6.32) and the cost lower (13,945 Euro). The net cost increase after the new guideline was 17.6%, which was partially an effect from more time being spent with the thyroid nurse. If the GREAT+ score was also applied, the total increased net cost was 14.8% if 24% of the tested patients changed treatment to Tx.

INTERPRETATION

Tx was more cost-effective than RAI when ablative treatment is advocated. Prediction score for recurrence directing patients to earlier Tx is cost-effective and enables the introduction of a specialist thyroid nurse. Health economic evaluations should accompany future guidelines.

Malignancy risk associated with radioactive iodine therapy for Graves' disease

BACKGROUND

Radioactive iodine therapy (RAI) is a frequently chosen therapy for Graves' disease. The aim of this study was to determine whether RAI for Graves' disease increases the risk of thyroid malignancy.

METHODS

A retrospective analysis was performed of all Graves' disease patients who underwent thyroidectomy at a single institution between 2013 and 2022. Comparative analyses were performed with cohorts based on RAI therapy as the primary grouping variable.

RESULTS

413 patients were identified, of which 38 received RAI prior to surgery. RAI treated patients were more likely to undergo surgery for known malignancy or indeterminate nodules. RAI patients were also more likely to have malignancies larger than 1 ​cm. Among RAI treated patients, those who developed malignancy were older at the time of Graves' diagnosis and received early RAI therapy.

CONCLUSIONS

Use of RAI for treatment of Graves' disease increases the progression of thyroid carcinoma, but not the prevalence. Older age and early RAI therapy may be risk factors for malignancy in RAI treated patients.

Predictive Performance of 2 Immunoassays in Patients with Graves Disease Undergoing Radioiodine Therapy: Prospective Study

Context

Radioactive iodine (RAI) treatment is a well-established successful treatment for Graves disease (GD) but causes an increment in autoantibodies, particularly TSH receptor antibodies.

Objective

To assess the performance and prognostic role of Immulite thyroid-stimulating immunoglobulin (TSI) and Elecsys thyrotropin receptor antibodies (TRAbs) immunoassays in patients with GD undergoing RAI therapy.

Methods

Clinical and laboratory data of 188 patients (156 GD and 32 toxic nodule goiter), undergoing RAI therapy between January 2018 and January 2022 were prospectively collected over 12 months. Refractoriness was defined as persistent or recurrent hyperthyroidism 6 months post-RAI treatment without levothyroxine. Statistical analysis included descriptive statistics, logistic regression, and generalized estimated equations.

Results

Patients had a mean age of 46.4 years, and 78.2% were women. RAI therapy was indicated in 94.2% due to uncontrolled hyperthyroidism or ATD therapy relapse (median of 35 months). Immulite TSI showed higher clinical sensitivity and accuracy (area under the curve [AUC]: 0.98, sensitivity 92.0%, accuracy 98.4%) than Elecsys TRAb (AUC: 0.97, sensitivity 82.1%, accuracy 91.2%). Successful treatment was achieved in 112 of 126 GD patients (89%). Thyroid volume, 2-hour iodine-131 uptake, free thyroxine and thyroxine levels, Elecsys TRAb, and Immulite TSI were significantly higher in the refractory group (P < 0.05), despite most patients receiving >300 Gy of RAI. Longitudinal thyrotropin evaluation predicted treatment response at 12 months (P = .01), whereas autoantibodies did not.

Conclusion

Refractoriness to RAI therapy was associated with higher levels of Immulite TSI and Elecsys TRAb prior to treatment. Although AUCs for both assays were equivalent, Immulite TSI demonstrated superior clinical sensitivity and accuracy. Despite distinct autoantibody patterns emerging post-RAI, longitudinal monitoring did not predict treatment response after 1 year but indicated persistently high concentrations.

Comparison of Thyroid Size-Specific Radioiodine Dose and New Modified Dose Calculation in the Treatment of Graves' Disease

BACKGRUOUND

Previous studies of fixed-dose radioiodine therapy (RIT) for Graves' disease (GD) have utilized a variety of techniques and reported differing success rates. This study sought to compare the efficacy of RIT using two fixed-dose protocols and to estimate the optimal radioiodine (RAI) activity for the treatment of GD.

METHODS

This retrospective trial enrolled 658 patients with GD who received RIT between January 2014 and December 2021. Participants were divided into two groups: protocol 1, which utilized a thyroid size-specific RAI dose, and protocol 2, which employed a modified dose calculation approach. The primary outcome assessed was the presence of euthyroidism or hypothyroidism at the 6-month follow-up. The success rates of RIT were compared between the two protocols.

RESULTS

The RIT success rate was marginally lower for protocol 2 than for protocol 1 (63.6% vs. 67.2%); however, the risk of treatment failure did not differ considerably between the groups (relative risk, 1.1089; 95% confidence interval, 0.8937 to 1.3758; P=0.3477). The median RAI activity associated with protocol 2 was lower than that for protocol 1 (10.7 mCi vs. 15.0 mCi, P=0.0079), and the frequency of hypothyroidism was significantly lower in the protocol 2 group (39.0% vs. 48.9%, P=0.0117).

CONCLUSION

The success rate of the modified dose calculation protocol was comparable to that of the thyroid size-specific RAI dose protocol. The former approach reduced RAI activity and the incidence of hypothyroidism following RIT without compromising the success rate.

Modern concepts of managing patients with thyrotoxic heart

Cardiovascular system disorder is one of the key complications of thyrotoxicosis. R. Kraus suggested the hyperthyroid heart term in 1899. Myocardial dystrophy is observed in hyperthyroid heart, which develops under the influence of two main mechanisms. Firstly, persistent hyperfunction of the cardiac muscle in presence of activation of the sympathetic part of the autonomic nervous system is noted. Secondly, thyroxine and triiodothyronine have direct toxic effect on myocardium. There are 3 stages of heart remodeling in patients with thyrotoxicosis in clinical cardiology: hyperkinetic, normally kinetic and hypokinetic. The signs of hyperthyroid heart must be distinguished from toxico-allergic myocarditis, rheumatic defects of the valvular heart apparatus and other variants of metabolic cardiomyopathies for differential diagnosis. Drug therapy is aimed at achieving euthyroid state and maximum possible cardiac symptoms relief. Comprehensive treatment includes the following groups of medications: beta-adrenergic blocking agents, antiarrhythmics, diuretics and anticoagulants. Non-selective blockers, which contribute to the elimination of tachycardia and other types of arrhythmias, are prescribed to the majority of patients. It is necessary to achieve persistent euthyroidism, in which arrhythmia can be eliminated and the risk of cardiovascular crises can be reduced, to prevent the complications of thyrotoxicosis. The disease outcome directly depends on the success of thyrotoxicosis cause treatment, patient’s compliance, timeliness of cardiac pathology diagnosis.

Benefits of sphingosine-1-phosphate receptor modulators in relapsing MS estimated with a treatment sequence model

BACKGROUND

Three sphingosine-1-phosphate receptor (S1PR) modulators are currently available as disease-modifying therapies (DMTs) for relapsing MS in the Netherlands (i.e. fingolimod, ozanimod and ponesimod). We aimed to identify which S1PR modulator yields the highest benefit from a health-economic and societal perspective during a patient's lifespan.

METHODS

Incorporating Dutch DMT list prices, we used the ErasmusMC/iMTA MS model to compare DMT sequences, including S1PR modulators and eight other DMT classes, for treatment-naïve patients with relapsing MS in terms of health outcomes (number of lifetime relapses, time to Expanded Disability Status Scale (EDSS) 6, lifetime quality-adjusted life years (QALYs)) and cost-effectiveness (net health benefit (NHB)). We estimated the influence of list price and EDSS progression on cost-effectiveness outcomes.

RESULTS

In deterministic and probabilistic analysis, DMT sequences with ponesimod have lower lifetime costs and higher QALYs resulting in a higher average NHB compared to sequences with other S1PR modulators. Ponesimod remains the most cost-effective S1PR modulator when EDSS progression is class-averaged. Given the variable effects on disability progression, list price reductions could make fingolimod but not ozanimod more cost-effective than ponesimod.

CONCLUSION

Our model favours ponesimod among the S1PR modulators for the treatment of relapsing MS. This implies that prioritizing ponesimod over other S1PR modulators translates into a more efficacious spending of national healthcare budget without reducing benefit for people with MS. Prioritizing cost-effective choices when counselling patients contributes to affordable and accessible MS care.

Hyperthyroidism: A Review

Importance

Overt hyperthyroidism, defined as suppressed thyrotropin (previously thyroid-stimulating hormone) and high concentration of triiodothyronine (T3) and/or free thyroxine (FT4), affects approximately 0.2% to 1.4% of people worldwide. Subclinical hyperthyroidism, defined as low concentrations of thyrotropin and normal concentrations of T3 and FT4, affects approximately 0.7% to 1.4% of people worldwide. Untreated hyperthyroidism can cause cardiac arrhythmias, heart failure, osteoporosis, and adverse pregnancy outcomes. It may lead to unintentional weight loss and is associated with increased mortality.

Observations

The most common cause of hyperthyroidism is Graves disease, with a global prevalence of 2% in women and 0.5% in men. Other causes of hyperthyroidism and thyrotoxicosis include toxic nodules and the thyrotoxic phase of thyroiditis. Common symptoms of thyrotoxicosis include anxiety, insomnia, palpitations, unintentional weight loss, diarrhea, and heat intolerance. Patients with Graves disease may have a diffusely enlarged thyroid gland, stare, or exophthalmos on examination. Patients with toxic nodules (ie, in which thyroid nodules develop autonomous function) may have symptoms from local compression of structures in the neck by the thyroid gland, such as dysphagia, orthopnea, or voice changes. Etiology can typically be established based on clinical presentation, thyroid function tests, and thyrotropin-receptor antibody status. Thyroid scintigraphy is recommended if thyroid nodules are present or the etiology is unclear. Thyrotoxicosis from thyroiditis may be observed if symptomatic or treated with supportive care. Treatment options for overt hyperthyroidism from autonomous thyroid nodules or Graves disease include antithyroid drugs, radioactive iodine ablation, and surgery. Treatment for subclinical hyperthyroidism is recommended for patients at highest risk of osteoporosis and cardiovascular disease, such as those older than 65 years or with persistent serum thyrotropin level less than 0.1 mIU/L.

Conclusions and Relevance

Hyperthyroidism affects 2.5% of adults worldwide and is associated with osteoporosis, heart disease, and increased mortality. First-line treatments are antithyroid drugs, thyroid surgery, and radioactive iodine treatment. Treatment choices should be individualized and patient centered.

Long-term thionamide antithyroid treatment of Graves' disease

Thionamide antithyroid drugs (ATD) are the treatment of choice for Graves' hyperthyroidism. The major drawback of ATD treatment for 1-2 years is the relapse of hyperthyroidism in about 50% of patients. Recently, it has been shown that ATD treatment for more than five years is accompanied by long-term remission in majority of patients without additional major side effects in both adults and children. Compared to radioactive iodine therapy, long-term ATD results in more favorable outcomes. This review summarizes the evidence on long-term ATD therapy regarding the remission rate of hyperthyroidism, efficacy and safety, indications and mode of therapy in patients with hyperthyroidism.

Thyroid autoantibodies

Thyroid-stimulating hormone (TSH) receptor antibody (TSH-R-Ab or TRAb) testing plays a pivotal role in arriving at the aetiological diagnosis in patients with thyrotoxicosis. A positive test establishes the diagnosis of Graves' disease (GD) while a negative result in conjunction with imaging studies supports other possible aetiologies. In patients with GD, TRAb levels at diagnosis and at the time of withdrawal of antithyroid drugs can identify patients who are unlikely to achieve remission and guide clinical management decisions. We provide an algorithm that incorporates TRAb in the decision-making process for the management of thyrotoxicosis. The utility of TRAb in predicting the risk of fetal and neonatal thyroid dysfunction is established and widely accepted in guidelines. TRAb may also help in the diagnosis of Graves' orbitopathy, especially in euthyroid or hypothyroid patients and its role in guiding its management is evolving as a useful adjunct to the clinical parameters used in making therapeutic decisions.Anti-thyroid peroxidase antibodies (TPOAb) and anti-thyroglobulin antibodies (TgAb) indicate thyroid autoimmunity. The most common use of TPOAb is to identify patients at a higher risk of progression to treatment-requiring hypothyroidism. They also aid the diagnosis of immune thyroiditis and Hashimoto's encephalopathy. Thyroglobulin measurement is used to help guide differentiated thyroid cancer treatment. TgAb is used as an accompanying test with thyroglobulin measurement as its presence can interfere with the thyroglobulin assay. A negative TgAb result reduces the likelihood of, but does not exclude, interference with thyroglobulin assay.

Total thyroidectomy is more cost-effective than radioactive iodine as an alternative to antithyroid medication for Graves' disease

BACKGROUND

Patients with Graves' disease treated with radioactive iodine report worse quality of life than those treated by thyroidectomy. However, radioactive iodine is often selected due to lower risk of complications and lower cost. The objective of this study was to estimate the cost-effectiveness of radioactive iodine versus total thyroidectomy for treatment of Graves' disease.

METHODS

A Markov decision-analytic model was created to simulate clinical outcomes and costs of medication-refractory Graves' disease treated with radioactive iodine or total thyroidectomy. Complication rates and utilities were derived from published data. Costs were extracted from national Medicare reimbursement rates. We conducted 1-way, 2-way, and probabilistic sensitivity analyses to identify factors that influence cost-effectiveness and reflect uncertainty in model parameters. The willingness-to-pay threshold was set at $100,000/quality-adjusted life-years.

RESULTS

Total thyroidectomy yielded 23.6 quality-adjusted life-years versus 20.9 quality-adjusted life-years for radioactive iodine. The incremental cost-effectiveness ratio was $2,982 per quality-adjusted life-years, indicating that surgery is highly cost-effective relative to radioactive iodine. Surgery was more cost effective than radioactive iodine in 88.2% of model simulations. Sensitivity analyses indicate that the model outcomes are driven predominantly by posttreatment quality of life, with contributing effects from rates of treatment complications and the impact of these complications on quality of life.

CONCLUSION

For patients with Graves' disease who either cannot tolerate or are refractory to antithyroid drugs, thyroidectomy is more cost-effective than radioactive iodine. Future research should validate reported differences in quality of life between these 2 treatment modalities.

Revisiting the role of surgery in the treatment of Graves' disease

Graves' disease (GD) can be managed by antithyroid drugs (ATD), radioactive iodine (RAI) and surgery. Thyroidectomy offers the highest success rates for both primary and persistent disease, yet it is the least recommended or utilized option reaching <1% for primary disease and <25% for persistent disease. Several surveys have found surgery to be the least recommended by endocrinologists worldwide. With the development of remote access thyroidectomies and intraoperative nerve monitoring of the recurrent laryngeal nerve, combined with current knowledge of possible risks associated with RAI or failure of ATDs, revaluation of the benefit to harm ratio of surgery in the treatment of GD is warranted. The aim of this review is to discuss possible reasons for the low proportion of surgery in the treatment of GD, emphasizing an evidence-based approach to the clinicians' preferences for surgical referrals, surgical indications and confronting traditional reasons and concerns relating to the low referral rate with up-to-date data.

Cost-Effectiveness Analysis of Antithyroid Drug (Propylthiouracil) Compared to Radioactive Iodine for the Treatment of Graves’ Disease in Ethiopia

Background

Graves’ disease is an autoimmune disorder caused by stimulating antibodies. The peak incidence of Graves’ disease occurs among patients aged 30 to 60 years. Radioactive iodine (RAI) and antithyroid drug (ATD) have been well-established therapies for the treatment of Graves’ disease for several decades. However, there remain large variations in practice among physicians in the preferred modality and the method of administration.

Objective

To assess the cost-effectiveness of ATD (propylthiouracil) compared to RAI from a health care payer perspective in Ethiopia.

Methods

Markov model was constructed by using TreeAge software 2021 with different parameters, such as ATD, RAI, treatment failure, treatment success, hypothyroidism, and supplemental thyroxine to conduct a cost-effectiveness analysis. A hypothetical 40-year-old female patient with symptomatic Graves’ hyperthyroidism was simulated to estimate expected lifetime health outcomes, quality-adjusted life years (QALYs) and costs, discounted at 3%.

Results

RAI has lesser QALYs (14.19) and is less expensive (US$ 3583.22), while ATD has higher QALYs (16.54) and is more expensive (US$ 12531.68). The result showed that there was no dominant treatment option. The incremental cost-effectiveness ratio was US$ 3811.6 per QALY which was greater than one to three times the cost-effectiveness threshold of Ethiopia (US$ 783).

Conclusion

In this cost-effectiveness analysis, RAI was the preferred treatment strategy for Graves’ disease, since the cost needed to get one extra QALY through ATD was greater than one to three times the cost-effectiveness threshold of Ethiopia.

Graves' disease, its treatments, and the risk of atrial fibrillation: A Korean population-based study

BACKGROUND

Atrial fibrillation (AF) is occasionally diagnosed in individuals with Graves' disease. Definite treatments, including radioactive iodine therapy (RAIT) or surgery might lower the risk of AF in the literature. However, no studies have compared the effects of anti-thyroid drugs (ATDs), RAIT, and surgery on the risk of AF.

METHODS

This retrospective cohort study included 94,060 newly diagnosed Graves' disease patients and 470,300 controls from the Korean National Health Insurance database. The incidence of AF was evaluated in patients and controls. Patients were categorized based on treatment method into ATD (95.6%), RAIT (3.5%), and surgery (0.9%) groups. In the ATD group, the dose and duration of ATDs were calculated for each patient. In the RAIT and surgery groups, remission was defined as levothyroxine prescription.

RESULTS

Graves' disease patients had a 2.2-fold higher risk of developing AF than controls. Regardless of demographic factors, the patient group had a consistently higher risk of AF than controls, with the highest risk of AF (HR, 5.49) in the younger patient group. The surgery group had a similar risk of AF compared with controls, whereas the ATD (HR, 2.23) and RAIT (HR, 2.00) groups had increased risks of AF, even in patients reaching hypothyroid status after RAIT. Patients with higher dose or longer treatment duration of ATDs were at greater risk of AF.

CONCLUSION

We observed differing risks of AF according to methods of treatment for Graves' disease, and that definite treatment can be an option for subjects needing sustained medical treatment considering the risk of AF.

The Concept of Economic Evaluation and Its Application in Thyroid Cancer Research

Economic evaluation is a type of comparative analysis between interventions in terms of both their resource use and health outcomes. Due to the good prognosis of thyroid cancer (TC), the socioeconomic burden of TC patients post-diagnosis is increasing. Therefore, economic evaluation studies focusing on TC are recommended. This study aimed to describe the concept and methods of economic evaluation and reviewed previous TC studies. Several previous studies compared the costs of interventions or evaluated recurrence, complications, or quality of life as measures of their effectiveness. Regarding costs, most studies focused on direct costs and applied hypothetical models. Cost-minimization analysis should be distinguished from simple cost analysis. Furthermore, due to the universality of the term "cost-effectiveness analysis" (CEA), several studies have not distinguished CEA from cost-utility analysis; this point needs to be considered in future research. Cost-benefit analyses have not been conducted in previous TC research. Since TC has a high survival rate and good prognosis, the need for economic evaluations has recently been pointed out. Therefore, correct concepts and methods are needed to obtain clear economic evaluation results. On this basis, it will be possible to provide appropriate guidelines for TC treatment and management in the future.

Comparison of long-term antithyroid drugs versus radioactive iodine or surgery for Graves' disease: A review of the literature

BACKGROUND

The management of Graves' disease (GD) in the US is shifting towards increased use of anti-thyroid drugs (ATD). If patients fail to achieve remission after a standard course of therapy of 12-18 months, long-term treatment with ATD (≥24 months) may be chosen over definitive therapy with radioiodine (RAI) or surgery. Clinicians will need to contrast this strategy to ablative therapies as they help patients in decision making.

SUMMARY

Review of the literature illustrates that long-term ATD delivers euthyroidism with minimal complications, low financial cost and with an advantageous profile regarding quality of life (QoL) and other biological outcomes.

CONCLUSIONS

Long-term ATD is a viable alternative to ablative therapies in the management of GD offering advantages across multiple patient centred outcomes. Decision making must factor differences in this approach compared to ablative therapies and ultimately be tailored to individualized patient situations.

Benefits and Harms of a Prevention Program for Iodine Deficiency Disorders: Predictions of the Decision-Analytic EUthyroid Model

Background: Iodine deficiency is one of the most prevalent causes of intellectual disability and can lead to impaired thyroid function and other iodine deficiency disorders (IDDs). Despite progress made on eradicating iodine deficiency in the last decades in Europe, IDDs are still prevalent. Currently, evidence-based information on the benefit/harm balance of IDD prevention in Europe is lacking. We developed a decision-analytic model and conducted a public health decision analysis for the long-term net benefit of a mandatory IDD prevention program for the German population with moderate iodine deficiency, as a case example for a European country. Methods: We developed a decision-analytic Markov model simulating the incidence and consequences of IDDs in the absence or presence of a mandatory IDD prevention program (iodine fortification of salt) in an open population with current demographic characteristics in Germany and with moderate ID. We collected data on the prevalence, incidence, mortality, and quality of life from European studies for all health states of the model. Our primary net-benefit outcome was quality-adjusted life years (QALYs) predicted over a period of 120 years. In addition, we calculated incremental life years and disease events over time. We performed a systematic and comprehensive uncertainty assessment using multiple deterministic one-way sensitivity analyses. Results: In the base-case analysis, the IDD prevention program is more beneficial than no prevention, both in terms of QALYs and life years. Health gains predicted for the open cohort over a time horizon of 120 years for the German population (82.2 million inhabitants) were 33 million QALYs and 5 million life years. Nevertheless, prevention is not beneficial for all individuals since it causes additional hyperthyroidism (2.7 million additional cases). Results for QALY gains were stable in sensitivity analyses. Conclusions: IDD prevention via mandatory iodine fortification of salt increases quality-adjusted life expectancy in a European population with moderate ID, and is therefore beneficial on a population level. However, further ethical aspects should be considered before implementing a mandatory IDD prevention program. Costs for IDD prevention and treatment should be determined to evaluate the cost effectiveness of IDD prevention.

A Clinical Debate: What Is the Therapeutic Choice for Recurrent Graves' Hyperthyroidism?

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The American Association of Endocrine Surgeons Guidelines for the Definitive Surgical Management of Thyroid Disease in Adults

OBJECTIVE

To develop evidence-based recommendations for safe, effective, and appropriate thyroidectomy.

BACKGROUND

Surgical management of thyroid disease has evolved considerably over several decades leading to variability in rendered care. Over 100,000 thyroid operations are performed annually in the US.

METHODS

The medical literature from 1/1/1985 to 11/9/2018 was reviewed by a panel of 19 experts in thyroid disorders representing multiple disciplines. The authors used the best available evidence to construct surgical management recommendations. Levels of evidence were determined using the American College of Physicians grading system, and management recommendations were discussed to consensus. Members of the American Association of Endocrine Surgeons reviewed and commented on preliminary drafts of the content.

RESULTS

These clinical guidelines analyze the indications for thyroidectomy as well as its definitions, technique, morbidity, and outcomes. Specific topics include Pathogenesis and Epidemiology, Initial Evaluation, Imaging, Fine Needle Aspiration Biopsy Diagnosis, Molecular Testing, Indications, Extent and Outcomes of Surgery, Preoperative Care, Initial Thyroidectomy, Perioperative Tissue Diagnosis, Nodal Dissection, Concurrent Parathyroidectomy, Hyperthyroid Conditions, Goiter, Adjuncts and Approaches to Thyroidectomy, Laryngology, Familial Thyroid Cancer, Postoperative Care and Complications, Cancer Management, and Reoperation.

CONCLUSIONS

Evidence-based guidelines were created to assist clinicians in the optimal surgical management of thyroid disease.

Current controversies in the management of Graves' hyperthyroidism

Introduction: The management of Graves' disease centers on the use of effective and well-established therapies, namely thionamide antithyroid drugs, radioactive iodine, and thyroidectomy. Optimal treatment strategies are however controversial and vary significantly across centers.Areas covered: This review addresses specific controversies in Graves' disease management including the choice of primary therapy, the approach to women planning pregnancy, and optimal strategies for antithyroid drug and radioiodine therapy.Expert opinion: Important considerations in choosing therapy include treatment efficacy, adverse effects, patient convenience, and resource settings. Recent data suggest that early and effective control of hyperthyroidism is key to improving cardiovascular morbidity and mortality. Studies addressing cancer risk in radioiodine-treated patients face methodological challenges and require clarification in appropriately designed studies. Remission rates with antithyroid drugs are comparable when thionamides are used alone (titration-regimen) or in combination with levothyroxine (block and replace) and can be optimized by extending treatment for at least 12-18 months. Fixed and calculated radioiodine activity regimens are both effective but entail a trade-off between convenience and precision in the administered activity. Optimal preconception strategies are still evolving but ablative treatment in advance of pregnancy offers the most pragmatic means of reducing adverse effects of hyperthyroidism in subsequent pregnancy.

Decision-Analytic Modeling Studies in Prevention and Treatment of Iodine Deficiency and Thyroid Disorders: A Systematic Overview

Background: Prevention and treatment of iodine deficiency-related diseases remain an important public health challenge. Iodine deficiency can have severe health consequences, such as cretinism, goiter, or other thyroid disorders, and it has economic implications. Our aim was to give an overview of studies applying decision-analytic modeling to evaluate the effectiveness and/or cost-effectiveness of iodine deficiency-related prevention strategies or treatments related to thyroid disorders. Methods: We performed a systematic literature search in PubMed/MEDLINE (Medical Literature Analysis and Retrieval System Online), EMBASE (Excerpta Medica Database), Tuft's Cost-Effectiveness Analysis Registry, and National Health System Economic Evaluation Database (NHS EED) to identify studies published between 1985 and 2018 comparing different prevention or treatment strategies for iodine deficiency and thyroid disorders by applying a mathematical decision-analytic model. Studies were required to evaluate patient-relevant health outcomes (e.g., remaining life years, quality-adjusted life years [QALYs]). Results: Overall, we found 3950 studies. After removal of duplicates, abstract/title, and full-text screening, 17 studies were included. Eleven studies evaluated screening programs (mainly newborns and pregnant women), five studies focused on treatment approaches (Graves' disease, toxic thyroid adenoma), and one study was about primary prevention (consequences of iodine supplementation on offspring). Most of the studies were conducted within the U.S. health care context (n = 7). Seven studies were based on a Markov state-transition model, nine studies on a decision tree model, and in one study, an initial decision tree and a long-term Markov state-transition model were combined. The analytic time horizon ranged from 1 year to lifetime. QALYs were evaluated as health outcome measure in 15 of the included studies. In all studies, a cost-effectiveness analysis was performed. None of the models reported a formal model validation. In most cases, the authors of the modeling studies concluded that screening is potentially cost-effective or even cost-saving. The recommendations for treatment approaches were rather heterogeneous and depending on the specific research question, population, and setting. Conclusions: Overall, we predominantly identified decision-analytic modeling studies evaluating specific screening programs or treatment approaches; however, there was no model evaluating primary prevention programs on a population basis. Conclusions deriving from these studies, for example, that prevention is cost-saving, need to be carefully interpreted as they rely on many assumptions.

Should radioiodine now be first line treatment for Graves' disease?

Background

Radioiodine represents a cost-effective treatment option for Graves’ disease. In the UK, it is traditionally reserved for patients who relapse after initial thionamide therapy. In a change from current practice, the new guidelines of the National Institute for Health and Care Excellence (NICE) recommends that radioiodine should now be first line therapy for Graves’ disease. However, the safety of radioiodine with respect to long-term mortality risk has been the subject of recent debate. This analysis examines evidence from treatment related mortality studies in hyperthyroidism and discusses their implications for future Graves’ disease treatment strategies.

Main body

Some studies have suggested an excess mortality in radioiodine treated cohorts compared to the background population. In particular, a recent observational study reported a modest increase in cancer-related mortality in hyperthyroid patients exposed to radioiodine. The interpretation of these studies is however constrained by study designs that lacked thionamide control groups or information on thyroid status and so could not distinguish the effect of treatment from disease. Two studies have shown survival advantages of radioiodine over thionamide therapy, but these benefits were only seen when radioiodine was successful in controlling hyperthyroidism. Notably, increased mortality was associated with uncontrolled hyperthyroidism irrespective of therapy modality.

Conclusions

Early radioiodine treatment will potentially reduce mortality and should be offered to patients with severe disease. However, thionamides are still suitable for patients with milder disease, contraindications to radioiodine, or individuals who choose to avoid permanent hypothyroidism. Ultimately, a patient individualised approach that prioritises early and sustained control of hyperthyroidism will improve long-term outcomes regardless of the therapy modality used.

Graves' disease: developments in first-line antithyroid drugs in the young

Introduction: First-line treatment for most young people with Graves' disease (GD) will include the administration of a thionamide antithyroid medication (ATD); Carbimazole (CBZ), Methimazole (MMZ), or rarely, propylthiouracil (PTU). GD is a challenge for families and clinicians because the likelihood of remission following a course of ATD is lower in young people when compared to adults, yet the risk of adverse events is higher. An overall consensus regarding the optimal ATD treatment regimen is lacking; how ATD are prescribed, for how long and how the associated risk of adverse events is managed varies between clinicians, units and nations. This partly reflects clinician and family uncertainty regarding outcomes.Areas covered: This review will focus on some of the key articles published in the field of thionamide ATD in children. It will highlight key issues that need to be discussed with families as well as addressing the approach and controversies in the treatment of GD. This article does not reflect a formal systematic review of the literature.Expert opinion: New strategies in areas such as immunomodulation may see the development of new antithyroid drug treatments that, either in isolation or in combination with thionamide therapy, may increase the likelihood of long-term remission.

2018 European Thyroid Association Guideline for the Management of Graves' Hyperthyroidism

Graves' disease (GD) is a systemic autoimmune disorder characterized by the infiltration of thyroid antigen-specific T cells into thyroid-stimulating hormone receptor (TSH-R)-expressing tissues. Stimulatory autoantibodies (Ab) in GD activate the TSH-R leading to thyroid hyperplasia and unregulated thyroid hormone production and secretion. Diagnosis of GD is straightforward in a patient with biochemically confirmed thyrotoxicosis, positive TSH-R-Ab, a hypervascular and hypoechoic thyroid gland (ultrasound), and associated orbitopathy. In GD, measurement of TSH-R-Ab is recommended for an accurate diagnosis/differential diagnosis, prior to stopping antithyroid drug (ATD) treatment and during pregnancy. Graves' hyperthyroidism is treated by decreasing thyroid hormone synthesis with the use of ATD, or by reducing the amount of thyroid tissue with radioactive iodine (RAI) treatment or total thyroidectomy. Patients with newly diagnosed Graves' hyperthyroidism are usually medically treated for 12-18 months with methimazole (MMI) as the preferred drug. In children with GD, a 24- to 36-month course of MMI is recommended. Patients with persistently high TSH-R-Ab at 12-18 months can continue MMI treatment, repeating the TSH-R-Ab measurement after an additional 12 months, or opt for therapy with RAI or thyroidectomy. Women treated with MMI should be switched to propylthiouracil when planning pregnancy and during the first trimester of pregnancy. If a patient relapses after completing a course of ATD, definitive treatment is recommended; however, continued long-term low-dose MMI can be considered. Thyroidectomy should be performed by an experienced high-volume thyroid surgeon. RAI is contraindicated in Graves' patients with active/severe orbitopathy, and steroid prophylaxis is warranted in Graves' patients with mild/active orbitopathy receiving RAI.

Measuring TSH receptor antibody to influence treatment choices in Graves' disease

TSH receptor antibody (TRAb) plays a key role in the pathogenesis of Graves' disease (GD), and its levels correlate with the clinical course. The second- and third-generation TRAb assays have >95% sensitivity and specificity for the diagnosis of GD and have improved the utility of TRAb to predict relapse. TRAb levels decline with antithyroid drug (ATD) therapy and after thyroidectomy. Its level increases for a year following radioactive iodine (RAI) therapy, with a gradual fall thereafter. TRAb level >12 IU/l at diagnosis of GD is associated with 60% risk of relapse at 2 years and 84% at 4 years. The prediction of risk of relapse improves further to >90% with TRAb >7·5 IU/l at 12 months or >3·85 IU/l at cessation of ATD therapy. TRAb tests are not expensive, and hence, TRAb measurements at presentation, after 12 months and/or 18 months (at cessation) of ATD therapy, could potentially guide treatment choices in GD. Elevated TRAb favours definitive treatment in the form of RAI or thyroidectomy, depending on the presence or absence of moderate-to-severe Graves' ophthalmopathy (GO) and the ability to comply with radiation protection requirements. Use of ATDs in early pregnancy is associated with increased risk of congenital anomalies; early ablative treatment (RAI/surgery) should be considered in women of childbearing age at higher risk of relapse of GD. TRAb ≥5 IU/l in pregnant women with current or previously treated GD is associated with increased risk of foetal and neonatal thyrotoxicosis, and hence needs close monitoring. TRAb levels parallel the course of GO, and elevated TRAb is an indication for steroid prophylaxis to prevent progression of GO with RAI therapy.