Global Cardiovascular and Renal Outcomes of Reduced GFR

Label-free urinary protein detection through machine learning analysis of single droplet evaporation patterns

BACKGROUND

Chronic kidney disease (CKD) is a major global public health issue, with a steadily increasing incidence. Urinary protein detection serves as a crucial indicator for the diagnosis, monitoring and management of CKD. However, current methods for urinary protein measurement, such as urine dipstick tests, colorimetric assays, and 24-h total urine protein analysis, have certain limitations that restrict their routine application in CKD screening and follow-up. Therefore, there is an urgent need for a simple, convenient, and rapid diagnostic approach for kidney function assessment.

RESULTS

In this study, we have developed and validated a novel method for urine protein quantification based on dried droplet morphology analysis. Our approach demonstrates robust performance across a wide range of protein concentrations and is resilient to common interfering substances and variations in sample processing. It's worth noting that while our method shows excellent agreement with the colorimetric assay, it offers several potential advantages. These include reduced sample volume requirements, simplified sample preparation, and rapid analysis time. These factors could make our method particularly suitable for point-of-care testing or resource-limited settings where traditional laboratory infrastructure may be unavailable.

SIGNIFICANCE

The novel method for protein quantification in urine based on the morphology of a dried droplet uses only one drop of urine specimen. Combined with machine learning models, by identifying protein content in urine droplet drying patterns without the need for staining or antibody binding, may provide a more convenient alternative to current techniques for the assessment of proteinuria. Simple, low-cost, and fast, the system can be used as a powerful tool for CKD surveillance at the point of care.

Association of combined left and right handgrip strength with new-onset chronic kidney disease in middle-aged and older adults: a nationwide multicenter cohort study

BACKGROUND

The role of multi-site muscle strength in the incidence of chronic kidney disease (CKD) remains largely unknown. This study aims to investigate the association of combined left and right handgrip strength (CHS) with new-onset CKD in middle-aged and older adults.

METHODS

This observational multicenter study included 4618 community-dwelling adults without CKD at baseline in 2011. CHS (kg) was assessed at baseline and participants were followed in 2013, 2015, and 2018 to track CKD incidents. Sex-specific thresholds for low CHS were determined using receiver operating characteristic (ROC) analysis. Restricted cubic spline analysis, survival analysis and multivariable-adjusted Cox regression models were used to analyze the association between CHS and new-onset CKD.

RESULTS

The study included 2526 women and 2092 men (median age = 58.87 years). During the seven-year follow-up, 503 (10.89%) new CKD cases occurred. CHS was associated with new-onset CKD in both men (P = 0.021) and women (P = 0.009) in a linear-like manner (both P nonlinearity > 0.05). The optimal thresholds for CHS to predict CKD incidents were 96.15 kg for men and 57.90 kg for women. Kaplan-Meier curves demonstrated that prolonged CHS were positively associated with new-onset CKD in both men (P < 0.001) and women (P = 0.001). Low CHS, defined using the optimal thresholds, was independently associated with an increased risk of CKD (HR = 1.824, 95% CI = 1.379 to 2.413). This relationship was strengthened in participants with a BMI classification of normal (HR = 2.878, 95% CI = 1.732 to 4.782, P interaction = 0.032) at baseline, as well as those without diabetes (HR = 2.048, 95% CI = 1.514 to 2.771, P interaction = 0.019).

CONCLUSIONS

This study demonstrated a longitudinal association between CHS and new-onset CKD in middle-aged and older Chinese adults. These findings highlight the potential of early-life multi-site muscle strength interventions for the prevention of CKD.

Use of Aspirin and Initial Cardiovascular and Bleeding Risk in Patients with Chronic Kidney Disease

Key Points

The association between aspirin use and risk of the first cardiovascular event was NS in patients with CKD. Compared with nonusers, aspirin users had an increased risk of significant bleeding events. Aspirin prescription for the primary prevention of cardiovascular disease in patients with CKD needs careful consideration.

Background

Despite the high cardiovascular risk in patients with CKD, the role of aspirin in primary prevention remains unclear. This study aimed to investigate the association between aspirin initiation in adults with CKD without prior cardiovascular disease (CVD) and the first cardiovascular and bleeding events using Korean nationwide cohort data.

Methods

Among individuals aged 40–79 years with an eGFR between 15 and 59 ml/min per 1.73 m2 who underwent routine health examinations between 2011 and 2016, 15,861 individuals who were newly prescribed aspirin at a dose of 100 mg/d were matched with 79,305 aspirin non-users by propensity score matching. The primary efficacy outcome was a composite of nonfatal atherosclerotic CVD or cardiovascular death. The primary safety outcome was hospitalization due to intracranial or gastrointestinal bleeding.

Results

During a mean follow-up of 6.9±2.9 years, the incidence rates for the primary efficacy outcome in aspirin users and nonusers were 8.0 and 9.0 per 1000 person-years, respectively. Aspirin therapy initiation was not associated with the primary efficacy outcome (hazard ratio, 0.93; 95% confidence intervals, 0.86 to 1.04). However, the primary safety outcome of major bleeding was more frequent in aspirin users than in nonusers (6.7 versus 4.7 per 1000 person-years). The hazard ratio for this outcome in aspirin users versus nonusers was 1.45 (95% confidence intervals, 1.32 to 1.59).

Conclusions

No association was observed between aspirin use and the risk of nonfatal atherosclerotic CVD or cardiovascular death in patients with CKD stages G3 and G4 without prior CVD. Aspirin use was associated with higher risk of major bleeding.

KDOQI US Commentary on the KDIGO 2024 Clinical Practice Guideline for the Evaluation and Management of CKD

The Kidney Disease Outcomes Quality Initiative (KDOQI) convened a work group to review the 2024 KDIGO (Kidney Disease: Improving Global Outcomes) guideline for the management of chronic kidney disease (CKD). The KDOQI Work Group reviewed the KDIGO guideline statements and practice points and provided perspective for implementation within the context of clinical practice in the United States. In general, the KDOQI Work Group concurs with several recommendations and practice points proposed by the KDIGO guidelines regarding CKD evaluation, risk assessment, and management options (both lifestyle and medications) for slowing CKD progression, addressing CKD-related complications, and improving cardiovascular outcomes. The KDOQI Work Group acknowledges the growing evidence base to support the use of several novel agents such as sodium/glucose cotransporter 2 inhibitors for several CKD etiologies, and glucagon-like peptide 1 receptor agonists and nonsteroidal mineralocorticoid receptor antagonists for type 2 CKD in setting of diabetes. Further, KDIGO guidelines emphasize the importance of team-based care which was also recognized by the work group as a key factor to address the growing CKD burden. In this commentary, the Work Group has also assessed and discussed various barriers and potential opportunities for implementing the recommendations put forth in the 2024 KDIGO guidelines while the scientific community continues to focus on enhancing early identification of CKD and discovering newer therapies for managing kidney disease.

Defining the predictors for post renal transplant left ventricular dysfunction in end-stage renal disease patients

Reduced left ventricular (LV) function predicts poor outcomes in end-stage renal disease (ESRD). This study aimed to identify the pre-renal transplantation echocardiographic parameters that can predict post-renal transplantation LV failure. This prospective longitudinal study was conducted on patients with ESRD who underwent renal transplantation during 1 year. All patients underwent echocardiography, including ejection fraction (EF), global longitudinal strain (GLS), left ventricular end-systolic diameter (LVESD), left ventricular end-diastolic volume (LVEDV), left ventricular end-diastolic diameter (LVEDD), interventricular septal (IVS) thickness, peak velocity of early diastolic transmitral flow (E), peak velocity of late transmitral flow (A), early diastolic myocardial relaxation (Em), E/A, E/Em, Left atrial volume (LAV) index, tricuspid regurgitation peak gradient (TRPG), systolic pulmonary artery pressure (SPAP), tricuspid annular plane systolic excursion (TAPSE), 1 week before and 1 month after renal transplantation. Fifty patients participated in the current study. All echocardiographic parameters improved after transplantation. Post-renal transplantation LV dysfunction was observed in 21 (42%) patients. Pre-renal transplantation echocardiographic parameters (LVEDV, LVESD, LVEDD, IVS, E/Em, TRPG, SPAP, and LAV index) could predict post-transplantation LV failure with high accuracy (AUC: 0.978).

Association of composite dietary antioxidant index with mortality risk among adults with chronic kidney disease in NHANES

At present, the relationship between the intake of antioxidants in food and the mortality rate of patients with chronic kidney disease (CKD), especially the association with the mortality rate of specific causes, is not clear. This study included 6379 adult CKD patients from the National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (2001-2018). Use the Cox proportional hazards model, restricted cubic spline (RCS) model, and stratified and sensitivity analysis to evaluate the relationship between the Composite Dietary Antioxidant Index (CDAI) and mortality in patients with chronic kidney disease. During the follow-up period, 2381 all-cause deaths were recorded, including 719 deaths from cardiovascular disease, 132 deaths from cerebrovascular disease, and 430 deaths from cancer. We found that compared to the lowest quartile of CDAI, the weighted multivariate hazard ratio of participants in the highest quartile was 0.83 (95% confidence interval: 0.72, 0.96) for all-cause mortality, Cardiovascular mortality was 0.91 (95% confidence interval: 0.70, 1.18), Cerebrovascular death was 0.51 (95% confidence interval: 0.24, 1.07), Death due to cancer was 0.64 (95% confidence interval: 0.45, 0.92). RCS analysis shows a non-linear relationship between CDAI and all-cause mortality and cancer mortality. At the same time, there is no non-linear relationship between CDAI and cardiovascular mortality and cerebrovascular mortality. Stratified analysis shows that race and BMI are influencing factors for CDAI-CKD mortality. Sensitivity analysis confirmed the robustness of the results. Our research findings emphasize the potential advantages of an antioxidant diet in reducing the risk of mortality in CKD patients.

Long-Term Risks of Living Kidney Donation: State of the Evidence and Strategies to Resolve Knowledge Gaps

Living-donor kidney transplantation is the preferred treatment for kidney failure. In the United States, rates of living kidney donation have been stagnant, which is partly related to concerns over medical and financial risks. Recent research has better characterized the risks of living kidney donation, although the field is limited by a lack of robust registries. Available evidence supports small increases in the risks of end-stage kidney disease and hypertensive disorders of pregnancy in living donors. For most donors, the 15-year risk of kidney failure is less than 1%, but for certain populations this risk may be higher. New tools such as genetic kidney disease panels may assist with risk stratification. Living kidney donors generally have similar or improved psychosocial health following donation compared to prior to donation and nondonor experience. Postdonation care allows for preventative care measures to mitigate risk as well as ongoing surveillance of donor outcomes. Continuing efforts to capture and report outcomes of living donation are necessary to safely expand living donation worldwide.

Rhein: An Updated Review Concerning Its Biological Activity, Pharmacokinetics, Structure Optimization, and Future Pharmaceutical Applications

Rhein is a natural active ingredient in traditional Chinese medicine that has attracted much attention due to its wide range of pharmacological activities. However, its clinical application is limited by low water solubility, poor oral absorption, and potential toxicity to the liver and kidneys. Recently, advanced extraction and synthesis techniques have made it possible to develop derivatives of rhein, which have better pharmacological properties and lower toxicity. This article comprehensively summarizes the biological activity and action mechanism of rhein. Notably, we found that TGF-β1 is the target of rhein improving tissue fibrosis, while NF-κB is the main target of its anti-inflammatory effect. Additionally, we reviewed the current research status of the pharmacokinetics, toxicology, structural optimization, and potential drug applications of rhein and found that the coupling and combination therapy of rhein and other active ingredients exhibit a synergistic effect, significantly enhancing therapeutic efficacy. Finally, we emphasize the necessity of further studying rhein's pharmacological mechanisms, toxicology, and development of analogs, aiming to lay the foundation for its widespread clinical application as a natural product and elucidate its prospects in modern medicine.

Nonlinear association between proteinuria levels and the risk of cardiovascular disease events and all-cause mortality among chronic kidney disease patients

BACKGROUND

The association between proteinuria levels and cardiovascular disease (CVD) development and all-cause mortality in chronic kidney disease (CKD) patients remains controversial.

METHODS

In this investigation, we conducted a retrospective analysis involving 1138 patients who were registered in the CKD-Research of Outcomes in Treatment and Epidemiology (ROUTE) study. The primary outcome of this study was the composite of cardiovascular events or all-cause death. Cox proportional hazards regression, smooth curve fitting, piecewise linear regression, and subgroup analyses were used.

RESULTS

The mean age of the included individuals was 67.3 ± 13.6 years old. Adjusted hazard ratios (HRs) for UPCR in middle and high groups, compared to the low group, were 1.93 (95% CI: 1.28-2.91) and 4.12 (95% CI: 2.87-5.92), respectively, after multivariable adjustment. Further adjustments maintained significant associations; HRs for middle and high groups were 1.71 (95% CI: 1.12-2.61) and 3.07 (95% CI: 2.08-4.54). A nonlinear UPCR-primary outcome relationship was observed, with an inflection point at 3.93 g/gCr.

CONCLUSION

Among non-dialyzed patients with stage G2-G5 CKD, a nonlinear association between UPCR and the primary outcome was observed. A higher UPCR (when UPCR < 3.93 g/gCr) was an independent predictor of the primary outcome. Importantly, our study predates SGLT2 inhibitor use, showcasing outcomes achievable without these medications. Future research considerations will involve factors like SGLT-2 inhibitor utilization.

Cross-country inequalities in disease burden and care quality of chronic kidney disease due to type 2 diabetes mellitus, 1990-2021: Findings from the global burden of disease study 2021

AIM

To explore the trend of burden and care quality of chronic kidney disease due to type 2 diabetes mellitus (CKD-T2DM) and their cross-country inequalities from 1990 to 2021.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

Data were from the Global Burden of Disease 2021 study. Disease burden and care quality were quantified using the disability-adjusted life years rate and the quality-of-care index (QCI). Trend analyses of the age-standardized disability-adjusted life years rate (ASDR) and age-standardized QCI from 1990 to 2021 were conducted using the estimated annual percentage change. The associations of disease burden and care quality with the socio-demographic index (SDI) were explored. Cross-country inequalities in disease burden and care quality were assessed using the slope index of inequality (SII) and concentration index.

RESULTS

From 1990 to 2021, the global ASDR for CKD-T2DM increased, while the age-standardized QCI slightly decreased, with an estimated annual percentage change of 0.81 [95% confidence interval (CI): 0.75, 0.87] and -0.08 (95% CI: -0.09, -0.07). The ASDR escalated with increasing SDI, reaching a peak at mid-level SDI, followed by a decrease. The age-standardized QCI was higher with increasing SDI. Globally, ASDR concentrated on countries/territories with a lower SDI. The SII of ASDR was -96.64 (95% CI: -136.94, -56.35) in 1990 and -118.15 (95% CI: -166.36, -69.94) in 2021,  with a concentration index of -0.1298 (95% CI: -0.1904, -0.0692) in 1990 and -0.1104 (95% CI: -0.1819, -0.0389) in 2021. In 1990 and 2021, countries/territories at higher SDI levels exhibited increased age-standardized QCI, indicated by an SII of 15.09 (95% CI: 10.74, 19.45) and 15.75 (95% CI: 10.92, 20.59), and a concentration index of 0.0393 (95% CI: 0.0283, 0.0503) and 0.0400 (95% CI: 0.0264, 0.0536).

CONCLUSIONS

Our study highlights considerable disparities in the burden and care quality of CKD-T2DM. Regions experiencing an increasing burden and a declining care quality simultaneously underscore the need for further research and tailored health interventions.

ACE Inhibitors and Angiotensin Receptor Blockers for the Primary and Secondary Prevention of Cardiovascular Outcomes: Recommendations from the 2024 Egyptian Cardiology Expert Consensus in Collaboration with the CVREP Foundation

INTRODUCTION

The renin-angiotensin-aldosterone system (RAAS) plays a pivotal role in regulating blood pressure (BP), with dysregulation of RAAS resulting in hypertension and potentially heart failure (HF), myocardial infarction (MI), cardio-renal syndrome, and stroke. RAAS inhibitors, such as angiotensin-converting enzyme inhibitors (ACEis) and angiotensin receptor blockers (ARBs), have advantages beyond BP control. However, differences between these two drug classes need to be considered when choosing a therapy for preventing cardiovascular events.

METHODS

A panel of 36 Egyptian cardiologists developed consensus statements on RAAS inhibitors for primary and secondary prevention of cardiovascular outcomes and stroke, using a modified three-step Delphi process.

RESULTS

The consensus statements highlight the importance of effective BP control and the role of RAAS blockade for prevention and management of various cardiovascular diseases. ACEis and ARBs differ in their mode of action and, thus, clinical effects. On the basis of available evidence, the consensus group recommended the following: ACEis should be considered as first choice (in preference to ARBs) to reduce the risk of MI, for primary prevention of HF, and for secondary prevention of stroke. ACEis and ARBs show equivalent efficacy for the primary prevention of stroke. Evidence also favors the preferential use of ACEis in patients with type 2 diabetes, for BP control, for the primary prevention of diabetic kidney disease, and to reduce the risk of major cardiovascular and renal outcomes. Treatment with an ACEi should be started within 24 h of ST segment elevation MI (and continued long term) in patients with HF, left ventricular systolic dysfunction, and/or diabetes. Angiotensin receptor/neprilysin inhibitors (ARNIs) are the first choice for patients with HF and reduced ejection fraction, with ACEis being the second choice in this group. ARBs are indicated as alternatives in patients who cannot tolerate ACEis. ACEis may be associated with cough development, but the incidence tends to be overestimated, and the risk can be reduced by use of a lipophilic ACEi or combining the ACEi with a calcium channel blocker.

CONCLUSION

RAAS blockade is an essential component of hypertension therapy; however, the protective effects provided by ACEis are superior to those of ARBs. Therefore, an ACEi is indicated in almost all cases, unless not tolerated.

Does the Composition of Gut Microbiota Affect Chronic Kidney Disease? Molecular Mechanisms Contributed to Decreasing Glomerular Filtration Rate

Chronic kidney disease (CKD) is a very prevalent and insidious disease, particularly with initially poorly manifested symptoms that progressively culminate in the manifestation of an advanced stage of the condition. The gradual impairment of kidney function, particularly decreased filtration capacity, results in the retention of uremic toxins and affects numerous molecular mechanisms within the body. The dysbiotic intestinal microbiome plays a crucial role in the accumulation of protein-bound uremic toxins such as p-cresol (pC), indoxyl sulfate (IS), and p-cresyl sulfate (p-CS) through the ongoing fermentation process. The described phenomenon leads to an elevated level of oxidative stress and inflammation, subsequently resulting in tissue damage and complications, particularly an increase in cardiovascular risk, representing the predominant cause of mortality in chronic kidney disease (CKD). Therefore, exploring methods to reduce uremic toxins is currently a pivotal therapeutic strategy aimed at reducing the risk of organ damage in patients with chronic kidney disease (CKD). This review aims to summarize recent discoveries on modifying the composition of the intestinal microbiota through the introduction of special probiotic and synbiotic supplements for CKD therapy. The potential to connect the gut microbiota with CKD opens the possibility for further extensive research in this area, which could lead to the incorporation of synbiotics and probiotics into the fundamental treatment and prevention of CKD.

The role of m6A in angiogenesis and vascular diseases

Angiogenesis, whether physiological or pathological, plays a pivotal role in various physiological and disease conditions. This intricate process relies on a complex and meticulously orchestrated signal transduction network that connects endothelial cells, their associated parietal cells (VSMCs and pericytes), and various other cell types, including immune cells. Given the significance of m6A and its connection to angiogenesis and vascular disease, researchers must adopt a comprehensive and ongoing approach to their investigations. This study aims to ascertain whether a common key mechanism of m6A exists in angiogenesis and vascular diseases and to elucidate the potential application of m6A in treating vascular diseases.

Chronic kidney disease and the global public health agenda: an international consensus

Early detection is a key strategy to prevent kidney disease, its progression and related complications, but numerous studies show that awareness of kidney disease at the population level is low. Therefore, increasing knowledge and implementing sustainable solutions for early detection of kidney disease are public health priorities. Economic and epidemiological data underscore why kidney disease should be placed on the global public health agenda - kidney disease prevalence is increasing globally and it is now the seventh leading risk factor for mortality worldwide. Moreover, demographic trends, the obesity epidemic and the sequelae of climate change are all likely to increase kidney disease prevalence further, with serious implications for survival, quality of life and health care spending worldwide. Importantly, the burden of kidney disease is highest among historically disadvantaged populations that often have limited access to optimal kidney disease therapies, which greatly contributes to current socioeconomic disparities in health outcomes. This joint statement from the International Society of Nephrology, European Renal Association and American Society of Nephrology, supported by three other regional nephrology societies, advocates for the inclusion of kidney disease in the current WHO statement on major non-communicable disease drivers of premature mortality.

Candidate protein biomarkers in chronic kidney disease: a proteomics study

Proteinuria poses a substantial risk for the progression of chronic kidney disease (CKD) and its related complications. Kidneys excrete hundreds of individual proteins, some with a potential impact on CKD progression or as a marker of the disease. However, the available data on specific urinary proteins and their relationship with CKD severity remain limited. Therefore, we aimed to investigate the urinary proteome and its association with kidney function in CKD patients and healthy controls. The proteomic analysis of urine samples showed CKD stage-specific differences in the number of detected proteins and the exponentially modified protein abundance index for total protein (p = 0.007). Notably, specific urinary proteins such as B2MG, FETUA, VTDB, and AMBP exhibited robust negative associations with kidney function in CKD patients compared to controls. Also, A1AG2, CD44, CD59, CERU, KNG1, LV39, OSTP, RNAS1, SH3L3, and UROM proteins showed positive associations with kidney function in the entire cohort, while LV39, A1BG, and CERU consistently displayed positive associations in patients compared to controls. This study suggests that specific urinary proteins, which were found to be negatively or positively associated with the kidney function of CKD patients, can serve as markers of dysfunctional or functional kidneys, respectively.

A Random Forest Algorithm for Assessing Risk Factors Associated With Chronic Kidney Disease: Observational Study

BACKGROUND

The prevalence and mortality rate of chronic kidney disease (CKD) are increasing year by year, and it has become a global public health issue. The economic burden caused by CKD is increasing at a rate of 1% per year. CKD is highly prevalent and its treatment cost is high but unfortunately remains unknown. Therefore, early detection and intervention are vital means to mitigate the treatment burden on patients and decrease disease progression.

OBJECTIVE

In this study, we investigated the advantages of using the random forest (RF) algorithm for assessing risk factors associated with CKD.

METHODS

We included 40,686 people with complete screening records who underwent screening between January 1, 2015, and December 22, 2020, in Jing'an District, Shanghai, China. We grouped the participants into those with and those without CKD by staging based on the glomerular filtration rate staging and grouping based on albuminuria. Using a logistic regression model, we determined the relationship between CKD and risk factors. The RF machine learning algorithm was used to score the predictive variables and rank them based on their importance to construct a prediction model.

RESULTS

The logistic regression model revealed that gender, older age, obesity, abnormal index estimated glomerular filtration rate, retirement status, and participation in urban employee medical insurance were significantly associated with the risk of CKD. On RF algorithm-based screening, the top 4 factors influencing CKD were age, albuminuria, working status, and urinary albumin-creatinine ratio. The RF model predicted an area under the receiver operating characteristic curve of 93.15%.

CONCLUSIONS

Our findings reveal that the RF algorithm has significant predictive value for assessing risk factors associated with CKD and allows the screening of individuals with risk factors. This has crucial implications for early intervention and prevention of CKD.

Cardiometabolic comorbidities and complications of obesity and chronic kidney disease (CKD)

Obesity and chronic kidney disease are two ongoing progressive clinical pandemics of major public health and clinical care significance. Because of their growing prevalence, chronic indolent course and consequent complications both these conditions place significant burden on the health care delivery system especially in developed countries like the United States. Beyond the chance coexistence of both of these conditions in the same patient based on high prevalence it is now apparent that obesity is associated with and likely has a direct causal role in the onset, progression and severity of chronic kidney disease. The causes and underlying pathophysiology of this are myriad, complicated and multi-faceted. In this review, continuing the theme of this special edition of the journal on " The Cross roads between Endocrinology and Nephrology" we review the epidemiology of obesity related chronic kidney disease (ORCKD), and its various underlying causes and pathophysiology. In addition, we delve into the consequent comorbidities and complications associated with ORCKD with particular emphasis on the cardio metabolic consequences and then review the current body of evidence for available strategies for chronic kidney disease modulation in ORCKD as well as the potential unique role of weight reduction and management strategies in its improvement and risk reduction.

Kidney Function Measures and Mortality: A Mendelian Randomization Study

RATIONALE & OBJECTIVE

Individuals with a low estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) are at a high risk of death. However, the causes underpinning this association are largely uncertain. This study aimed to assess the causal relationship of low eGFR with all-cause and cause-specific mortality.

STUDY DESIGN

Retrospective cohort study incorporating Mendelian randomization (MR).

SETTING & PARTICIPANTS

Individual-level data from 436,214 White participants (54.3% female; aged 56.8±8.0 years) included in the UK Biobank.

EXPOSURES

eGFR estimated using cystatin C (eGFRcyst).

OUTCOMES

The outcomes of interest included all-cause mortality, cardiovascular mortality, cancer mortality, infection mortality, and other-cause mortality.

ANALYTICAL APPROACH

Cox proportional hazards analysis for the conventional observational analyses; linear and nonlinear MR analyses implemented using genetic allele scores as instrumental variables representing kidney function to estimate the effect of kidney function on the survival outcomes.

RESULTS

During a median follow-up of 12.1 years, there were 30,489 deaths, 6,098 of which were attributed to cardiovascular events, 15,538 to cancer, 1,516 to infection, and 7,227 to other events. In the conventional observational analysis, eGFRcyst exhibited a nonlinear association with all the outcomes. MR analysis suggested that a genetically predicted lower eGFRcyst was linearly associated with a higher rate of cardiovascular mortality (HR, 1.43; 95% CI, 1.18-1.75) across the entire measurement range (every 10-mL/min/1.73m2 decrement). Nonetheless, no causal associations between eGFRcyst and all-cause mortality (HR, 1.07; 95% CI, 0.98-1.17) or any types of noncardiovascular mortality were detected.

LIMITATIONS

Potential misclassification of the actual cause of death, a nonrepresentative sample, and potential error in the interpretation of the magnitude of associations generated in MR analyses.

CONCLUSIONS

These findings suggest a potential causal association between low eGFR and cardiovascular mortality in the general population, but no causal relationship with all-cause mortality or noncardiovascular mortality was observed. Further studies in other populations are warranted to confirm these findings.

PLAIN-LANGUAGE SUMMARY

This study investigated the existence of a causal relationship between lower kidney function and death of different causes. Using data from 436,214 people in the United Kingdom, we applied conventional statistical analyses and those incorporating genetic data to implement Mendelian randomization, an approach that estimates causal associations. The observational analysis showed a nonlinear association between kidney function and various types of mortality outcomes. However, Mendelian randomization analysis suggested a linear increase in the risk of cardiovascular mortality with lower kidney function, but no causal link between the level of kidney function and all-cause or noncardiovascular mortality was identified. Managing kidney health may help reduce cardiovascular mortality, but caution is needed in interpreting the magnitudes of these results. Further validation in other populations and in those with advanced kidney failure is needed.

Rheumatoid arthritis and the risk of chronic kidney diseases: a Mendelian randomization study

Background

The extra-articular lesions of rheumatoid arthritis (RA) are reported to involve multiple organs and systems throughout the body, including the heart, kidneys, liver, and lungs. This study assessed the potential causal relationship between RA and the risk of chronic kidney diseases (CKDs) using the Mendelian randomization (MR) analysis.

Method

Independent genetic instruments related to RA and CKD or CKD subtypes at the genome-wide significant level were chosen from the publicly shared summary-level data of genome-wide association studies (GWAS). Then, we obtained some single-nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) as instrumental variables (IVs), which are associated with RA in individuals of European origin, and had genome-wide statistical significance (p5 × 10-8). The inverse-variance weighted (IVW) method was the main analysis method in MR analysis. The other methods, such as weighted median, MR-Egger, simple mode, and weighted mode were used as supplementary sensitivity analyses. Furthermore, the levels of pleiotropy and heterogeneity were assessed using Cochran's Q test and leave-one-out analysis. Furthermore, the relevant datasets were obtained from the Open GWAS database.

Results

Using the IVW method, the main method in MR analysis, the results showed that genetically determined RA was associated with higher risks of CKD [odds ratio (OR): 1.22, 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.13-1.31; p < 0.001], glomerulonephritis (OR: 1.23, 95% CI 1.15-1.31; p < 0.000), amyloidosis (OR = 1.43, 95% CI 1.10-1.88, p < 0.001), and renal failure (OR = 1.18, 95% CI 1.00-1.38, p < 0.001). Then, using multiple MR methods, it was confirmed that the associations persisted in sensitivity analyses, and no pleiotropy was detected.

Conclusion

The findings revealed a causal relationship between RA and CKD, including glomerulonephritis, amyloidosis, and renal failure. Therefore, RA patients should pay more attention to monitoring their kidney function, thus providing the opportunity for earlier intervention and lower the risk of progression to CKDs.

Renal and cardiac effects of the PDE9 inhibitor BAY 73-6691 in 5/6 nephrectomized rats

It has been suggested that the novel selective phosphodiesterase 9 (PDE9) inhibitor may improve cardiac and renal function by blocking 3',5'-cyclic guanosine monophosphate (cGMP) degradation. 5/6 nephrectomized (5/6Nx) rats were used to investigate the effects of the PDE9 inhibitor (BAY 73-6691) on the heart and kidney. Two doses of BAY 73-6691 (1 mg/kg/day and 5 mg/kg/day) were given for 95 days. The 5/6Nx rats developed albuminuria, a decrease in serum creatinine clearance (Ccr), and elevated serum troponin T levels. Echocardiographic data showed that 5/6 nephrectomy resulted in increased fractional shortening (FS), stroke volume (SV), and left ventricular ejection fraction (EF). However, 95 days of PDE9 inhibitor treatment did not improve any cardiac and renal functional parameter. Histopathologically, 5/6 nephrectomy resulted in severe kidney and heart damage, such as renal interstitial fibrosis, glomerulosclerosis, and enlarged cardiomyocytes. Telmisartan attenuated renal interstitial fibrosis and glomerulosclerosis as well as improved cardiomyocyte size. However, except for cardiomyocyte size and renal perivascular fibrosis, BAY 73-6691 had no effect on other cardiac and renal histologic parameters. Pathway enrichment analysis using RNA sequencing data of kidney and heart tissue identified chronic kidney disease pathways, such as phosphatidylinositol 3-kinase (PI3K)-protein kinase B (Akt) signaling pathway, complement and coagulation cascades, and nuclear factor kappa B (NF-κB) signaling pathway. PDE9i did not affect any of these disease-related pathways. Two dosages of the PDE9 inhibitor BAY 73-6691 known to be effective in other rat models have only limited cardio-renal protective effects in 5/6 nephrectomized rats.

Has the time come for age-adapted glomerular filtration rate criteria to define chronic kidney disease: how soon is now?

PURPOSE OF REVIEW

The conventional definition of chronic kidney disease (CKD) primarily relies on the identification of albuminuria or a decline in estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR). For many years, a straightforward eGFR threshold of <60 ml/min/1.73 m 2 has been widely adopted as the standard for defining CKD. Nonetheless, this criterion fails to consider the natural aging process of the kidney, and this oversight may affect the accurate diagnosis of kidney disease particularly at the extremes of age.

RECENT FINDINGS

The fixed eGFR threshold of <60 ml/min/1.73 m 2 for defining CKD misses crucial opportunities for risk prevention. Studies have revealed that the eGFR threshold at which the risks for adverse long-term health outcomes such as mortality, cardiovascular events, and kidney failure begin to rise varies substantially by age. Specifically, this threshold is lower for the elderly and higher for young adults. Consequently, this results in the over-diagnosis of kidney disease in the elderly and the under-diagnosis of kidney disease in young adults.

SUMMARY

To address these limitations of the current CKD definition, we discuss a number of proposed age-adapted eGFR criteria and weigh their pros and cons against the current, simple, and universally accepted approach.

Meta-analysis of the correlation between pulmonary hypertension and echocardiographic parameters in patients with chronic kidney disease

Objective

To investigate the correlation between pulmonary hypertension (PH) and echocardiographic parameters in patients with chronic kidney disease (CKD).

Methods

PubMed, Embase, Web of Science, Cochrane, VIP, CNKI, and Wanfang databases were systematically searched for articles published from inception to 19 May 2023. Study quality was estimated using the Quality Assessment of Case-Control Studies tool. Forest plots were drawn using R language software. The "metacor" function in the "meta" package was utilized for meta-analysis of the r-values and their standard errors. Heterogeneity and sensitivity analyses were carried out, with the main outcomes as r-value, p-value, and I2 value.

Results

Eleven studies were included, with 1,809 CKD patients. The correlations between 12 echocardiographic parameters and PH were analyzed. Except for FS and LVEF which were negatively correlated with CKD-PH, the other 10 parameters were positively correlated with CKD-PH. Among them, LA was highly correlated with CKD-PH (0.70 < r < 0.89); LVDD, RA, RV, LVMI, and LVDS were moderately correlated with CKD-PH (0.40 < r < 0.69); while PA, IVS, LVPW, SV, FS, and LVEF were lowly correlated with CKD-PH (0.20 < r < 0.39). The synthesized estimates were stable against heterogeneity.

Conclusion

CKD-PH patients may have large cardiac chambers, thickened septal tissue on both sides of the chambers, reduced pulmonary artery flow rates, and decreased left ventricular function.

Tubular toxicity of proteinuria and the progression of chronic kidney disease

Proteinuria is a well-established biomarker of chronic kidney disease (CKD) and a risk predictor of associated disease outcomes. Proteinuria is also a driver of CKD progression toward end-stage kidney disease. Toxic effects of filtered proteins on proximal tubular epithelial cells enhance tubular atrophy and interstitial fibrosis. The extent of protein toxicity and the underlying molecular mechanisms responsible for tubular injury during proteinuria remain unclear. Nevertheless, albumin elicits its toxic effects when degraded and reabsorbed by proximal tubular epithelial cells. Overall, healthy kidneys excrete over 1000 individual proteins, which may be potentially harmful to proximal tubular epithelial cells when filtered and/or reabsorbed in excess. Proteinuria can cause kidney damage, inflammation and fibrosis by increasing reactive oxygen species, autophagy dysfunction, lysosomal membrane permeabilization, endoplasmic reticulum stress and complement activation. Here we summarize toxic proteins reported in proteinuria and the current understanding of molecular mechanisms of toxicity of proteins on proximal tubular epithelial cells leading to CKD progression.

Pros and cons of live kidney donation in prediabetics: A critical review and way forward

There is shortage of organs, including kidneys, worldwide. Along with deceased kidney transplantation, there is a significant rise in live kidney donation. The prevalence of prediabetes (PD), including impaired fasting glucose and impaired glucose tolerance, is on the rise across the globe. Transplant teams frequently come across prediabetic kidney donors for evaluation. Prediabetics are at risk of diabetes, chronic kidney disease, cardiovascular events, stroke, neuropathy, retinopathy, dementia, depression and nonalcoholic liver disease along with increased risk of all-cause mortality. Unfortunately, most of the studies done in prediabetic kidney donors are retrospective in nature and have a short follow up period. There is lack of prospective long-term studies to know about the real risk of complications after donation. Furthermore, there are variations in recommendations from various guidelines across the globe for donations in prediabetics, leading to more confusion among clinicians. This increases the responsibility of transplant teams to take appropriate decisions in the best interest of both donors and recipients. This review focuses on pathophysiological changes of PD in kidneys, potential complications of PD, other risk factors for development of type 2 diabetes, a review of guidelines for kidney donation, the potential role of diabetes risk score and calculator in kidney donors and the way forward for the evaluation and selection of prediabetic kidney donors.

Coronary Artery Disease Assessment and Cardiovascular Events in Middle-Aged Patients on Hemodialysis

OBJECTIVE

To explore whether, in younger patients on dialysis with longer life expectancy, assessment of coronary artery disease (CAD) could identify individuals at higher risk of events and revascularization might improve outcomes in selected patients contrary to what had been observed in elderly patients.

METHODS

From August 1997 to January 2019, 2265 patients with stage 5 chronic kidney disease were prospectively referred for cardiovascular assessment. For this study, we selected 1374 asymptomatic patients aged between 18 and 64 years. After clinical risk stratification and cardiac scintigraphy by single-photon emission computed tomography, 866 patients underwent coronary angiography. The primary end point was the composite incidence of nonfatal/fatal major adverse cardiovascular events during a follow-up period of 0.1 to 189.7 months (median, 26 months). The secondary end point was all-cause mortality.

RESULTS

The primary end point occurred in 327 (23.8%) patients. Clinically stratified high-risk patients had a 3-fold increased risk of the primary end point. The prevalence of abnormal findings on perfusion scans was 29.2% (n=375), and significant CAD was found in 449 (51.8%) of 866 patients who underwent coronary angiography. An abnormal finding on myocardial perfusion scan and the presence of CAD were significantly associated with a 74% and 22% increased risk of cardiovascular events, respectively. In patients undergoing percutaneous coronary intervention or coronary artery bypass grafting (n=99), there was an 18% reduction in the risk of all-cause death relative to patients receiving medical treatment (P=.03).

CONCLUSION

In this cohort of middle-aged, asymptomatic patients on dialysis, assessment of CAD identified individuals at higher risk of events, and coronary intervention was associated with reducing the risk of death in selected patients.

Natural intestinal metabolite xylitol reduces BRD4 levels to mitigate renal fibrosis

Renal fibrosis is a typical pathological change from chronic kidney disease (CKD) to end-stage renal failure, which presents significant challenges in prevention and treatment. The progression of renal fibrosis is closely associated with the "gut-kidney axis," therefore, although clinical intervention to modulate the "gut-kidney axis" imbalance associated with renal fibrosis brings hope for its treatment. In this study, we first identified the close relationship between renal fibrosis development and the intestinal microenvironment through fecal microtransplantation and non-absorbable antibiotics experiments. Then, we analyzed the specific connection between the intestinal microenvironment and renal fibrosis using microbiomics and metabolomics, screening for the differential intestinal metabolite. Potential metabolite action targets were initially identified through network simulation of molecular docking and further verified by molecular biology experiment. We used flow cytometry, TUNEL apoptosis staining, immunohistochemistry, and Western blotting to assess renal injury and fibrosis extent, exploring the potential role of gut microbial metabolite in renal fibrosis development. We discovered that CKD-triggered alterations in the intestinal microenvironment exacerbate renal injury and fibrosis. When metabolomic analysis was combined with experiments in vivo, we found that the differential metabolite xylitol delays renal injury and fibrosis development. We further validated this hypothesis at the cellular level. Mechanically, bromodomain-containing protein 4 (BRD4) protein exhibits strong binding with xylitol, and xylitol alleviates renal fibrosis by inhibiting BRD4 and its downstream transforming growth factor-β (TGF-β) pathway. In summary, our findings suggest that the natural intestinal metabolite xylitol mitigates renal fibrosis by inhibiting the BRD4-regulated TGF-β pathway.

Impact of Sodium-Glucose Cotransporter-2 Inhibitors in the Management of Chronic Kidney Disease: A Middle East and Africa Perspective

Chronic kidney disease (CKD) is a major public health concern in the Middle East and Africa (MEA) region and a leading cause of death in patients with type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM) and hypertension. Early initiation of sodium-glucose cotransporter - 2 inhibitors (SGLT-2i) and proper sequencing with renin-angiotensin-aldosterone system inhibitors (RAASi) in these patients may result in better clinical outcomes due to their cardioprotective properties and complementary mechanisms of action. In this review, we present guideline-based consensus recommendations by experts from the MEA region, as practical algorithms for screening, early detection, nephrology referral, and treatment pathways for CKD management in patients with hypertension and diabetes mellitus. This study will help physicians take timely and appropriate actions to provide better care to patients with CKD or those at high risk of CKD.

Should we enlarge the indication for kidney biopsy in diabetics? The con part

Diabetes is the most common cause of chronic kidney disease (CKD), a condition found in 850 million persons and projected to become the fifth global cause of death by 2040. Research is needed that examines kidney tissue to characterize distinct phenotypes in patients with diabetes mellitus (DM) and CKD so as to identify non-invasive biomarker signatures and develop targeted therapeutic approaches. However, from a routine care point of view, kidney biopsy is likely overused in patients with CKD and DM, as most biopsy results are not expected to be associated with a therapeutic approach that differs from standard kidney protection with triple or quadruple therapy (renin-angiotensin system blockade, sodium-glucose cotransporter 2 inhibitors, nonsteroidal mineralocorticoid receptor antagonists and glucagon-like peptide-1 receptor agonists). Moreover, expanding the kidney biopsy criteria will increase the absolute number of complications from kidney biopsies, which may reach 27 000 to 108 000 deaths of persons that would derive little benefit from kidney biopsy if all people with DM and severe CKD were biopsied globally. Finally, limited resources should be optimally allocated. The cost of one kidney biopsy can fund 7000 semiquantitative urinary albumin:creatinine ratio assessments that could identify earlier stages of the disease and allow treatment that prevents progression to a stage at which kidney biopsy may be considered.

Fatty acid-binding protein-3 and renal function decline in patients with chronic coronary syndrome

BACKGROUND

Renal dysfunction is common in patients with coronary artery disease. Due to the shared vascular pathogenesis between the two conditions, novel biomarkers such as the fatty acid-binding protein-3 (FABP-3) have been proposed for diagnosis and prognosis prediction. This multicentre prospective cohort study investigates the association between FABP-3 and renal dysfunction.

HYPOTHESIS

We hypothesized that higher FABP-3 levels are correlated to worse renal outcome.

METHODS

Patients with chronic coronary syndrome were classified into three groups based on the initial serum FABP-3 levels. The Chronic Kidney Disease Epidemiology Collaboration (CKD-EPI) equation was used to estimate the patient's renal function. Renal events were defined as >25% and >50% decline in estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR). Cox multivariable regression was employed to delineate the correlation between FABP-3 and renal dysfunction.

RESULTS

A total of 1606 subjects were included. During a mean follow-up of 35.9 months, there were 239 patients with eGFR >25% reduction and 60 patients with >50% reduction. In the Kaplan-Meier survival curve and log-rank test, increased levels of FABP-3 were significantly correlated with eGFR >25% reduction (p < .001) and >50% reduction (p < .001). Multivariate Cox regression model revealed that subjects with higher FABP-3 exhibited a greater risk of eGFR >25% reduction (Group 2: hazard ratio [HR] = 2.328, 95% confidence interval [CI] = 1.521-3.562, p < .001; Group 3: HR = 3.054, 95% CI = 1.952-4.776, p < .001) and >50% reduction (Group 3: HR = 4.838, 95% CI = 1.722-13.591, p = .003).

CONCLUSIONS

Serum FABP-3 may serve as a novel biomarker to predict eGFR decline in patients with chronic coronary syndrome.

Novel Prediction Equations for Absolute Risk Assessment of Total Cardiovascular Disease Incorporating Cardiovascular-Kidney-Metabolic Health: A Scientific Statement From the American Heart Association

Cardiovascular-kidney-metabolic (CKM) syndrome is a novel construct recently defined by the American Heart Association in response to the high prevalence of metabolic and kidney disease. Epidemiological data demonstrate higher absolute risk of both atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease (CVD) and heart failure as an individual progresses from CKM stage 0 to stage 3, but optimal strategies for risk assessment need to be refined. Absolute risk assessment with the goal to match type and intensity of interventions with predicted risk and expected treatment benefit remains the cornerstone of primary prevention. Given the growing number of therapies in our armamentarium that simultaneously address all 3 CKM axes, novel risk prediction equations are needed that incorporate predictors and outcomes relevant to the CKM context. This should also include social determinants of health, which are key upstream drivers of CVD, to more equitably estimate and address risk. This scientific statement summarizes the background, rationale, and clinical implications for the newly developed sex-specific, race-free risk equations: PREVENT (AHA Predicting Risk of CVD Events). The PREVENT equations enable 10- and 30-year risk estimates for total CVD (composite of atherosclerotic CVD and heart failure), include estimated glomerular filtration rate as a predictor, and adjust for competing risk of non-CVD death among adults 30 to 79 years of age. Additional models accommodate enhanced predictive utility with the addition of CKM factors when clinically indicated for measurement (urine albumin-to-creatinine ratio and hemoglobin A1c) or social determinants of health (social deprivation index) when available. Approaches to implement risk-based prevention using PREVENT across various settings are discussed.

A decision-making framework for genomic testing in paediatric nephrology

AIM

Technological advances and increased access have led to genomics expanding beyond the genetics clinic. Consequently, nephrologists can now order genomic testing for their patients. Consistent decision-making around patient and test selection is required to ensure equitable access while maximising the utility of genomic testing. However, there are currently no frameworks to guide decision-making for testing in this context. We aimed to develop an ethical decision-making framework for genomic testing in paediatric nephrology.

METHODS

A three-stage approach was used: (i) review of the literature on decision-making for genomic testing in nephrology and other disciplines; (ii) ethnographic observation of approaches to genomic testing in the general nephrology and renal genetics clinics at an Australian paediatric hospital; (iii) review and revision of the framework with key stakeholders, including clinical geneticists, genetic counsellors, paediatric nephrologists and families from the renal genetics service. The initial framework was modified until consensus from key stakeholders was reached.

RESULTS

A decision-making framework was created with questions designed to explore the impact of genomic testing on patient management, clinical validity, patient characteristics, alternatives to genomic testing, genetic counselling, resource availability, implications for family members, psychosocial considerations, patient autonomy, research, support services and insurance. Case studies were developed to demonstrate the framework's application.

CONCLUSIONS

This framework was designed to guide decisions around patient selection for genomic testing in nephrology in the Australian health-care setting, with potential utility in other institutions and medical disciplines. It may help facilitate consistent approaches to genomic testing, to maximise equity and utility.

Comprehensive analysis of the relationship between xanthine oxidoreductase activity and chronic kidney disease

Chronic kidney disease (CKD) is a common disease that seriously endangers human health. However, the potential relationship between xanthine oxidoreductase (XOR) activity and CKD remains unclear. In this study, we used clinical data, CKD datasets from the Gene Expression Omnibus database, and untargeted metabolomics to explain the relationship between XOR activity and CKD. First, XOR activity showed high correlation with the biomarkers of CKD, such as serum creatinine, blood urea nitrogen, uric acid, and estimated glomerular filtration rate. Then, we used least absolute shrinkage and selection operator logical regression algorithm and random forest algorithm to screen CKD molecular markers from differentially expressed genes, and the results of qRT-PCR of XDH, KOX-1, and ROMO1 were in accordance with the results of bioinformatics analyses. In addition, untargeted metabolomics analysis revealed that the purine metabolism pathway was significantly enriched in CKD patients in the simulated models of kidney fibrosis.

Inequities in kidney health and kidney care

Health inequity refers to the existence of unnecessary and unfair differences in the ability of an individual or community to achieve optimal health and access appropriate care. Kidney diseases, including acute kidney injury and chronic kidney disease, are the epitome of health inequity. Kidney disease risk and outcomes are strongly associated with inequities that occur across the entire clinical course of disease. Insufficient investment across the spectrum of kidney health and kidney care is a fundamental source of inequity. In addition, social and structural inequities, including inequities in access to primary health care, education and preventative strategies, are major risk factors for, and contribute to, poorer outcomes for individuals living with kidney diseases. Access to affordable kidney care is also highly inequitable, resulting in financial hardship and catastrophic health expenditure for the most vulnerable. Solutions to these injustices require leadership and political will. The nephrology community has an important role in advocacy and in identifying and implementing solutions to dismantle inequities that affect kidney health.

Fixed-Dose Combination Therapy for the Prevention of Cardiovascular Diseases in CKD: An Individual Participant Data Meta-Analysis

BACKGROUND

Fixed-dose combination treatments reduce cardiovascular disease in primary prevention. We aim to explore whether those benefits differ in the presence of CKD.

METHODS

We conducted an individual participant data meta-analysis in 18,162 participants on the efficacy and safety of treatment for the primary prevention of cardiovascular disease. Combination therapies consisted of at least two BP-lowering drugs and a statin, with or without aspirin versus placebo or minimal care. Here, we examine the differential effect of fixed-dose combination treatment on the risk of developing cardiovascular disease in participants with a low eGFR (<60 ml/min per 1.73 m 2 ; Chronic Kidney Disease Epidemiology Collaboration formula) compared with a normal eGFR (≥60 ml/min per 1.73 m 2 ). The primary composite outcome was time to first occurrence of a combination of cardiovascular death, myocardial infarction, stroke, or arterial revascularization.

RESULTS

At baseline, the mean level of eGFR was 76 ml/min per 1.73 m 2 (SD 17). In total, 3315 (18%) participants had low eGFR at baseline. During a median follow-up of 5 years, among participants with normal eGFR, the primary outcome occurred in 232 (3%) participants in the treatment group compared with 339 (5%) in the control group (hazard ratio, 0.68; 95% confidence interval, 0.57 to 0.81; P < 0.001). In participants with low eGFR, the primary outcome occurred in 64 (4%) participants in the treatment group compared with 130 (8%) in the control group (hazard ratio, 0.49; 95% confidence interval, 0.36 to 0.66; P < 0.001; P for interaction 0.047). The relative risk reduction among participants with low eGFR was larger for combination strategies, including aspirin compared with treatments without aspirin. Apart from dizziness, other side effects did not differ between treatment and control groups, regardless of the stage of their kidney function.

CONCLUSIONS

A fixed-dose combination treatment strategy is effective and safe at preventing cardiovascular disease, irrespective of eGFR, but relative and absolute risk reductions are larger in individuals with low eGFR.

PODCAST

This article contains a podcast at https://dts.podtrac.com/redirect.mp3/www.asn-online.org/media/podcast/CJASN/2023_11_08_CJN0000000000000251.mp3.

Cardiovascular risk due to diabetes mellitus in patients with chronic kidney disease-prospective data from the German Chronic Kidney Disease cohort

Background

Diabetes mellitus (DM) and chronic kidney disease (CKD) are well-known cardiovascular and mortality risk factors. To what extent they act in an additive manner and whether the etiology of CKD modifies the risk is uncertain.

Methods

The multicenter, prospective, observational German Chronic Kidney Disease study comprises 5217 participants (1868 with DM) with a baseline mean estimated glomerular filtration rate of 30-60 mL/min/1.73 m2 and/or proteinuria >0.5 g/day. We categorized patients whose CKD was caused by cardiovascular or metabolic diseases (CKDcvm) with and without DM, as opposed to genuine CKD (CKDgen) with and without DM. Recorded outcomes were first events of non-cardiovascular and cardiovascular death, 4-point major adverse cardiovascular events (4-point MACE) and hospitalization for heart failure (HHF).

Results

During the 6.5-year follow-up 603 (12%) non-cardiovascular and 209 (4%) cardiovascular deaths, 645 (12%) 4-point MACE, and 398 (8%) HHF were observed, most frequently in patients with DM having CKDcvm. DM increased the risk of non-cardiovascular [hazard ratio (HR) 1.92; 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.59-2.32] and cardiovascular (HR 2.25; 95% CI 1.62-3.12) deaths, 4-point MACE (HR 1.93; 95% CI 1.62-2.31) and HHF (HR 1.87; 95% CI 1.48-2.36). Mortality risks were elevated by DM to a similar extent in CKDcvm and CKDgen, but for HHF in CKDcvm only (HR 2.07; 95% CI 1.55-2.77). In patients with DM, CKDcvm (versus CKDgen) only increased the risk for HHF (HR 1.93; 95% CI 1.15-3.22).

Conclusions

DM contributes to cardiovascular and mortality excess risk in patients with moderate to severe CKD in both, CKDcvm and CKDgen. Patients with DM and CKDcvm are particularly susceptible to HHF.

A Policy Call to Address Rare Kidney Disease in Health Care Plans

Despite a large number of people globally being affected by rare kidney diseases, research support and health care policy programs usually focus on the management of the broad spectrum of CKD without particular attention to rare causes that would require a targeted approach for proper cure. Hence, specific curative approaches for rare kidney diseases are scarce, and these diseases are not treated optimally, with implications on the patients' health and quality of life, on the cost for the health care system, and society. There is therefore a need for rare kidney diseases and their mechanisms to receive the appropriate scientific, political, and policy attention to develop specific corrective approaches. A wide range of policies are required to address the various challenges that target care for rare kidney diseases, including the need to increase awareness, improve and accelerate diagnosis, support and implement therapeutic advances, and inform the management of the diseases. In this article, we provide specific policy recommendations to address the challenges hindering the provision of targeted care for rare kidney diseases, focusing on awareness and prioritization, diagnosis, management, and therapeutic innovation. In combination, the recommendations provide a holistic approach aiming for all aspects of rare kidney disease care to improve health outcomes, reduce the economic effect, and deliver benefits to society. Greater commitment from all the key stakeholders is now needed, and a central role should be assigned to patients with rare kidney disease to partner in the design and implementation of potential solutions.

Prevalence, clinical profile, and risk factors of peripheral artery disease in an Iraqi cohort of chronic kidney disease

Peripheral artery disease (PAD) is prevalent in patients with chronic kidney disease (CKD) and is associated with substantial morbidity, mortality, and a lower quality of life. This study aimed to determine the prevalence of PAD, clinical profile, and related risk factors among patients with CKD in Iraq (a low-to middle-income country). A cross sectional study comprised 175 CKD patients, of them 60% were male, their mean age was 56 ± 12.5 years, attending Nephrology unit, Hawler Teaching Hospital, Erbil, Iraq between march 2022 and November 2022. Data on demographic and baseline characteristics were collected. Laboratory tests were performed. All participants underwent a detailed history and clinical examination. Vascular lesions in the lower limbs were assessed using the ankle-brachial index. PAD was diagnosed based on an ankle-brachial index value ˂ 0.9, relevant symptoms, and clinical findings. Forty-nine patients (28%) had PAD, and only 17 (34.7%) were symptomatic. PAD was significantly associated with older age (P = .008), male sex (P = .039), diabetes (P = .012), and hypertension (P = .023). In addition, PAD prevalence was significantly higher in patients with prior coronary artery disease (P < .001), advanced CKD stages (P .032), low estimated glomerular filtration rate (P .03), albuminuria (P .002), elevated glycated hemoglobin (P .04), and high sensitive C-reactive protein (P < .001). No significant association was detected between PAD and body mass index, smoking, CKD duration, cerebrovascular disease, dyslipidemia, albumin, creatinine, hemoglobin, total PTH, and phosphate. Peripheral artery disease was prevalent in patients with CKD in Iraq, and the most affected patients were asymptomatic. Older age, male sex, hypertension, diabetes, prior coronary artery disease, advanced CKD stages, albuminuria, higher glycated hemoglobin level, and increased high-sensitivity C-reactive protein level were identified as risk factors. Early detection of occult PAD might enhance efforts toward proper prevention and treatment.

Prediction of Outcomes Through Cystatin C and cTnI in Elderly Type 2 Myocardial Infarction Patients

Background

Chronic kidney disease (CKD) and coronary artery disease (CAD) are strongly associated. Cystatin C (Cys C) is a more sensitive marker of early renal insufficiency. This study aimed to evaluate the prognostic implications of combined of Cys C and cardiac troponin I (cTnI) on 90-day outcomes in elderly patients with type 2 myocardial infarction (MI).

Methods

The data of consecutive type 2 MI patients aged 80 years and older who received Cys C and cTnI measurements within 24 h of admission were retrospectively reviewed. The endpoint was a 90-day all-cause and cardiac mortality.

Results

A total of 4326 patients were included. During the 90-day follow-up period, a higher all-cause and cardiac mortality was observed in patients with Cys C ≥ 1.49mg/L than in patients with Cys C < 1.49 mg/L (P <0.001). After the multivariate logistic regression adjustments, the higher CysC and cTnI levels remained independent predictors of the 90-day all-cause mortality and cardiac mortality. Moreover, the Kaplan-Meier all-cause and cardiac mortality event-free survival curves showed that the patients with the presence of elevated levels of both Cys C and cTnI had a significantly increased risk than those with Cys C or cTnI alone.

Conclusion

Elevated Cys C level is an independent risk factor for all-cause and cardiac mortality in the elderly type 2 MI population. The predictive ability of the combined use of Cys C and cTnI in elderly type 2 MI patients is stronger than that of Cys C or cTnI alone.

Albuminuria improves R2CHA2DS2-VASc score in predicting mortality in high cardiovascular risk population

BACKGROUND AND AIMS

The CHA₂DS₂-VASc score estimates the risk of cardioembolism in patients with atrial fibrillation (AF). It also predicts vascular events and death in different clinical settings, even in the absence of AF. The R₂CHA₂DS₂-VASc score, obtained by adding the glomerular filtration rate to CHA₂DS₂-VASc, shows a higher prediction ability for new events and all-cause mortality. The present study aims to assess whether the addition of albuminuria to R₂CHA₂DS₂-VASc score further improves its discrimination ability in predicting all-cause mortality in a sample of high cardiovascular risk population.

METHODS AND RESULTS

Prospective, monocentric, observational study, evaluating a subset of 737 subjects consecutively undergoing to coronary angiography at Coronary Unit of Scientific Institute "Casa Sollievo della Sofferenza" from June 2016 to December 2018. The presence of albuminuria was significantly associated with all-cause mortality (p < 0.0001). Any one-point increase of Alb-R₂CHA₂DS₂-VASc score increased mortality of about 1.5-fold (adjusted HR 1.49; 95%CI: 1.37-1.63; p < 0.0001). Considering tertiles of Alb-R₂CHA₂DS₂-VASc, the third tertile showed a 9.5-fold increased risk of mortality (HR 9.52; 95% CI: 5.15-17.60, p < 0.001). Comparing the two scores, the Alb-R₂CHA₂DS₂-VASc score (C-statistic = 0.751; 95%CI: 0.69-0.81) outperformed the R₂-CHA₂DS₂-VASc score (C-statistic = 0.736; 95%CI: 0.68-0.961) in predicting mortality (delta C-statistic = 0.015; 95%CI: 0.001-0.029). The better prediction ability of the Alb-R₂CHA₂DS₂-VASc score was also proven by an IDI of 0.024 (p < 0.0001) and a relative IDI of 24.11% (p < 0.0001), with an NRI = 0.608 (p < 0.00001).

CONCLUSIONS

The addition of albuminuria to R₂CHA₂DS₂-VASc significantly and independently predicts the risk of all-cause mortality in a sample of high CV risk patients. Moreover, Alb-R₂CHA₂DS₂-VASc outperforms R₂CHA₂DS₂-VASc.

Enhanced tyrosine sulfation is associated with chronic kidney disease-related atherosclerosis

BACKGROUND

Chronic kidney disease (CKD) accelerates atherosclerosis, but the mechanisms remain unclear. Tyrosine sulfation has been recognized as a key post-translational modification (PTM) in regulation of various cellular processes, and the sulfated adhesion molecules and chemokine receptors have been shown to participate in the pathogenesis of atherosclerosis via enhancement of monocyte/macrophage function. The levels of inorganic sulfate, the essential substrate for the sulfation reaction, are dramatically increased in patients with CKD, which indicates a change of sulfation status in CKD patients. Thus, in the present study, we detected the sulfation status in CKD patients and probed into the impact of sulfation on CKD-related atherosclerosis by targeting tyrosine sulfation function.

RESULTS

PBMCs from individuals with CKD showed higher amounts of total sulfotyrosine and tyrosylprotein sulfotransferase (TPST) type 1 and 2 protein levels. The plasma level of O-sulfotyrosine, the metabolic end product of tyrosine sulfation, increased significantly in CKD patients. Statistically, O-sulfotyrosine and the coronary atherosclerosis severity SYNTAX score positively correlated. Mechanically, more sulfate-positive nucleated cells in peripheral blood and more abundant infiltration of sulfated macrophages in deteriorated vascular plaques in CKD ApoE null mice were noted. Knockout of TPST1 and TPST2 decreased atherosclerosis and peritoneal macrophage adherence and migration in CKD condition. The sulfation of the chemokine receptors, CCR2 and CCR5, was increased in PBMCs from CKD patients.

CONCLUSIONS

CKD is associated with increased sulfation status. Increased sulfation contributes to monocyte/macrophage activation and might be involved in CKD-related atherosclerosis. Inhibition of sulfation may suppress CKD-related atherosclerosis and is worthy of further study.

Predictive performance of the new race-free Chronic Kidney Disease Epidemiology Collaboration equations for kidney outcome in Korean patients with chronic kidney disease

BACKGROUND

The new Chronic Kidney Disease Epidemiology Collaboration (CKD-EPI) equations without a race coefficient have gained recognition across the United States. We aimed to test whether these new equations performed well in Korean patients with chronic kidney disease (CKD).

METHODS

This study included 2,149 patients with CKD G1-G5 without kidney replacement therapy from the Korean Cohort Study for Outcome in Patients with CKD (KNOW-CKD). The estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) was calculated using the new CKD-EPI equations with serum creatinine and cystatin C. The primary outcome was 5-year risk of kidney failure with replacement therapy (KFRT).

RESULTS

When we adopted the new creatinine equation [eGFRcr (NEW)], 81 patients (23.1%) with CKD G3a based on the current creatinine equation (eGFRcr) were reclassified as CKD G2. Accordingly, the number of patients with eGFR of <60 mL/min/1.73 m2 decreased from 1,393 (64.8%) to 1,312 (61.1%). The time-dependent area under the receiver operating characteristic curve for 5-year KFRT risk was comparable between the eGFRcr (NEW) (0.941; 95% confidence interval [CI], 0.922-0.960) and eGFRcr (0.941; 95% CI, 0.922-0.961). The eGFRcr (NEW) showed slightly better discrimination and reclassification than the eGFRcr. However, the new creatinine and cystatin C equation [eGFRcr-cys (NEW)] performed similarly to the current creatinine and cystatin C equation. Furthermore, eGFRcr-cys (NEW) did not show better performance for KFRT risk than eGFRcr (NEW).

CONCLUSION

Both the current and the new CKD-EPI equations showed excellent predictive performance for 5-year KFRT risk in Korean patients with CKD. These new equations need to be further tested for other clinical outcomes in Koreans.

Renal Survival of Chronic Kidney Disease Patients in a Tertiary Referral Hospital in Malaysia

Chronic kidney disease (CKD) represents a major public health issue, which then progresses to end-stage renal disease (ESRD) sooner or later. This retrospective cohort study aimed to determine the renal survival time of CKD patients. In total, 247 CKD patients in one of the tertiary referral hospitals in Malaysia between January 2005 and December 2015 were enrolled. All CKD patients were included if they were dependent on dialysis. Patients who were transferred out and those with incomplete records were excluded from the study. The renal survival time was calculated from the time of the first diagnosis of CKD to a confirmed ESRD diagnosis or the use of dialysis. In total, 193 (78.1%) CKD patients progressed to ESRD. The mean age of the ESRD patients was 53 years old. The majority of ESRD patients were male (57.0%) and of Malay ethnicity (89.6%). The most common comorbidities among ESRD patients were hypertension (92.2%) and diabetes mellitus (85.5%). The majority of patients were in Stage IV and V (97.9%). The overall renal survival time of CKD patients who develop ESRD was 26 months (95% confidence interval: 20.41, 31.59). Patients who smoked (P = 0.001), had hyperlipidemia (P <0.001) and consumed lipid-lowering agents (P = 0.004) had a significant P-value in the log-rank test. The progression of CKD from diagnosis to ESRD was within 2 years. Therefore, early recognition of CKD is important to improve patients' outcomes and prolong their renal survival time.

Understanding Similarities and Differences in CKD and Dialysis Care in Children and Adults

In lower-income settings there is often a dearth of resources and nephrologists, especially pediatric nephrologists, and individual physicians often find themselves caring for patients with chronic kidney diseases and end-stage kidney failure across the age spectrum. The management of such patients in high-income settings is relatively protocolized and permits high-volume services to run efficiently. The basic principles of managing chronic kidney disease and providing dialysis are similar for adults and children, however, given the differences in body size, causes of kidney failure, nutrition, and growth between children and adults with kidney diseases, nephrologists must understand the relevance of these differences, and have an approach to providing quality and safe dialysis to each group. Prevention, early diagnosis, and early intervention with simple therapeutic and lifestyle interventions are achievable goals to manage symptoms, complications, and reduce progression, or avoid kidney failure in children and adults. These strategies currently are easier to implement in higher-resource settings with robust health systems. In many low-resource settings, kidney diseases are only first diagnosed at end stage, and resources to pay out of pocket for appropriate care are lacking. Many barriers therefore exist in these settings, where specialist nephrology personnel may be least accessible. To improve management of patients at all ages, we highlight differences and similarities, and provide practical guidance on the management of children and adults with chronic kidney disease and kidney failure. It is important that children are managed with a view to optimizing growth and well-being and maximizing future options (eg, maintaining vein health and optimizing cardiovascular risk), and that adults are managed with attention paid to quality of life and optimization of physical health.

The Controversies of Coronary Artery Disease in End-Stage Kidney Disease Patients: A Narrative Review

Cardiovascular disease (CVD) accounts for more than 50% of deaths among patients with end-stage kidney disease (ESKD). Approximately 40-50% of ESKD patients have clinically significant coronary artery disease (CAD) due to atherosclerosis which accounts for a significant proportion of CVD risk. However, other CVD pathologies including myocardial fibrosis, vascular calcification and arterial stiffening play important contributory roles. The pathophysiology of CAD in ESKD is distinct from the general population. ESKD patients is typically have diffuse multi-vessel involvement with increased calcification that involves both intimal and medial layers of the arterial wall. There is a complex interplay between an increased burden of traditional Framingham risk factors and exposure to non-traditional risk factors including chronic inflammation and dialysis per se. Established treatments for CAD risk factors including cholesterol lowering with statin therapy have attenuated effects and ESKD patients also have worse outcomes after revascularisation. Recent trials such as the Canakinumab Anti-Inflammatory Thrombosis Outcomes Study (CANTOS) have established that direct modulation of inflammation improves CVD outcomes in the general population, which may prove to be a potential attractive therapeutic target in ESKD patients. Multiple retrospective observational studies comparing mortality outcomes between haemodialysis (HD) and peritoneal dialysis (PD) patients have been inconclusive. Randomised trials on this issue of clinical equipoise are clearly warranted but are unlikely to be feasible. Screening for stable CAD in asymptomatic ESKD patients remains a clinical dilemma which is unique to chronic dialysis patients being assessed for kidney transplantation. This has become particularly relevant in light of the recent ISCHEMIA-CKD trial which demonstrated no difference between optimal medical therapy and revascularisation upon CVD outcomes or mortality. The optimal strategy for screening is currently being investigated in the ongoing large international multi-centre CARSK trial. Here we discuss the pathophysiology, risk modification, treatment, screening and future directions of CAD in ESKD.

Comparison of Heart Autonomic Control between Hemodynamically Stable and Unstable Patients during Hemodialysis Sessions: A Bayesian Approach

Intradialytic hypotension is a common complication during hemodialysis sessions. The analysis of successive RR interval variability using nonlinear methods represents a promising tool for evaluating the cardiovascular response to acute volemic changes. Thus, the present study aims to compare the variability of successive RR intervals between hemodynamically stable (HS) and unstable (HU) patients during a hemodialysis session, through linear and nonlinear methods. Forty-six chronic kidney disease patients volunteered in this study. Successive RR intervals and blood pressures were recorded throughout the hemodialysis session. Hemodynamic stability was defined based on the delta of systolic blood pressure (higher SBP-lower SBP). The cutoff for hemodynamic stability was defined as 30 mm Hg, and patients were stratified as: HS ([n = 21]: ≤29.9 mm Hg) or HU ([n = 25]: ≥30 mm Hg). Linear methods (low-frequency [LFnu] and high-frequency [HFnu] spectra) and nonlinear methods (multiscale entropy [MSE] for Scales 1-20, and fuzzy entropy) were applied. The area under the MSE curve at Scales 1-5 (MSE_1-5), 6-20 (MSE_6-20), and 1-20 (MSE_1-20) were also used as nonlinear parameters. Frequentist and Bayesian inferences were applied to compare HS and HU patients. The HS patients exhibited a significantly higher LFnu and lower HFnu. For MSE parameters, Scales 3-20 were significantly higher, as well as MSE_1-5, MSE_6-20, and MSE_1-20 in HS, when compared to HU patients (p < 0.05). Regarding Bayesian inference, the spectral parameters demonstrated an anecdotal (65.9%) posterior probability favoring the alternative hypothesis, while MSE exhibited moderate to very strong probability (79.4 to 96.3%) at Scales 3-20, and MSE_1-5, MSE_6-20, and MSE_1-20. HS patients exhibited a higher heart-rate complexity than HU patients. In addition, the MSE demonstrated a greater potential than spectral methods to differentiate variability patterns in successive RR intervals.

Current progress in artificial intelligence-assisted medical image analysis for chronic kidney disease: A literature review

Chronic kidney disease (CKD) causes irreversible damage to kidney structure and function. Arising from various etiologies, risk factors for CKD include hypertension and diabetes. With a progressively increasing global prevalence, CKD is an important public health problem worldwide. Medical imaging has become an important diagnostic tool for CKD through the non-invasive identification of macroscopic renal structural abnormalities. Artificial intelligence (AI)-assisted medical imaging techniques aid clinicians in the analysis of characteristics that cannot be easily discriminated by the naked eye, providing valuable information for the identification and management of CKD. Recent studies have demonstrated the effectiveness of AI-assisted medical image analysis as a clinical support tool using radiomics- and deep learning-based AI algorithms for improving the early detection, pathological assessment, and prognostic evaluation of various forms of CKD, including autosomal dominant polycystic kidney disease. Herein, we provide an overview of the potential roles of AI-assisted medical image analysis for the diagnosis and management of CKD.

Focus on the Prevention of Acute Limb Ischemia: Centrality of the General Practitioner from the Point of View of the Internist

The thrombotic mechanism, being common to peripheral arterial disease (PAD), acute myocardial infarction (AMI), and stroke, is responsible for the highest number of deaths in the western world. However, while much has been done for the prevention, early diagnosis, therapy of AMI and stroke, the same cannot be said for PAD, which is a negative prognostic indicator for cardiovascular death. Acute limb ischemia (ALI) and chronic limb ischemia (CLI) are the most severe manifestations of PAD. They both are defined by the presence of PAD, rest pain, gangrene, or ulceration and we consider ALI if symptoms last less than 2 weeks and CLI if they last more than 2 weeks. The most frequent causes are certainly atherosclerotic and embolic mechanisms and, to a lesser extent, traumatic or surgical mechanisms. From a pathophysiological point of view, atherosclerotic, thromboembolic, inflammatory mechanisms are implicated. ALI is a medical emergency that puts both limb and the patient's life at risk. In patients over age 80 undergoing surgery, mortality remains high reaching approximately 40% as well as amputation approximately 11%. The purpose of this paper is to summarize the scientific evidence on the possibilities of primary and secondary prevention of ALI and to raise awareness among doctors involved in the management of ALI, in particular by describing the central role of the general practitioner.

Association between familial aggregation of chronic kidney disease and its incidence and progression

This study aimed to examine the association between familial aggregation of chronic kidney disease (CKD) and risk of CKD development and its progression. This nationwide family study comprised 881,453 cases with newly diagnosed CKD between 2004 and 2017 and 881,453 controls without CKD matched by age and sex, using data from the Korean National Health Insurance Service with linkage to the family tree database. The risks of CKD development and disease progression, defined as an incident end-stage renal disease (ESRD), were evaluated. The presence of any affected family member with CKD was associated with a significantly higher risk of CKD with adjusted ORs (95% CI) of 1.42 (1.38-1.45), 1.50 (1.46-1.55), 1.70 (1.64-1.77), and 1.30 (1.27-1.33) for individuals with affected parents, offspring, siblings, and spouses, respectively. In Cox models conducted on patients with predialysis CKD, risk of incident ESRD was significantly higher in those with affected family members with ESRD. The corresponding HRs (95% CI) were 1.10 (1.05-1.15), 1.38 (1.32-1.46), 1.57 (1.49-1.65), and 1.14 (1.08-1.19) for individuals listed above, respectively. Familial aggregation of CKD was strongly associated with a higher risk of CKD development and disease progression to ESRD.

Causal relationship between polycystic ovary syndrome and chronic kidney disease: A Mendelian randomization study

Objective

Polycystic ovary syndrome is one of the most common endocrine disorders among women of childbearing age. The relationship between polycystic ovary syndrome and chronic kidney disease remains unclear and controversial. In this study, we investigated the causal role of polycystic ovary syndrome in the development of chronic kidney disease using the two-sample Mendelian randomization method.

Methods

Public shared summary-level data was acquired from European-ancestry genome wide association studies. We finally obtained 12 single nucleotide polymorphisms as instrumental variables, which were associated with polycystic ovary syndrome in European at genome-wide significance (P < 5 × 10-8). Inverse-variance weighted method was employed in the Mendelian randomization analysis and multiple sensitivity analyses were implemented. Outcome data were obtained from the Open GWAS database.

Results

A positive causal association was observed between polycystic ovary syndrome and chronic kidney disease (odds ratio [OR]=1.180, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.038-1.342; P=0.010). Further analyses clarified that causal relationship exist between polycystic ovary syndrome and some serological indicators of chronic kidney disease (fibroblast growth factor 23: OR= 1.205, 95% CI: 1.031-1.409, P=0.019; creatinine: OR= 1.012, 95% CI: 1.001-1.023, P=0.035; cystatin C: OR= 1.024, 95% CI: 1.006-1.042, P=0.009). However, there was no causal association of polycystic ovary syndrome with other factors in the data sources we employed.

Conclusions

Our results indicate an important role of polycystic ovary syndrome in the development of chronic kidney disease. This study suggests that regular follow-up of renal function in patients with polycystic ovary syndrome is necessary for the early treatment of chronic kidney disease.

One Heartbeat Away from a Prediction Model for Cardiovascular Diseases in Patients with Chronic Kidney Disease: A Systematic Review

INTRODUCTION

Patients with chronic kidney disease (CKD) have a high risk of cardiovascular disease (CVD). Prediction models, combining clinical and laboratory characteristics, are commonly used to estimate an individual's CVD risk. However, these models are not specifically developed for patients with CKD and may therefore be less accurate. In this review, we aim to give an overview of CVD prognostic studies available, and their methodological quality, specifically for patients with CKD.

METHODS

MEDLINE was searched for papers reporting CVD prognostic studies in patients with CKD published between 2012 and 2021. Characteristics regarding patients, study design, outcome measurement, and prediction models were compared between included studies. The risk of bias of studies reporting on prognostic factors or the development/validation of a prediction model was assessed with, respectively, the QUIPS and PROBAST tool.

RESULTS

In total, 134 studies were included, of which 123 studies tested the incremental value of one or more predictors to existing models or common risk factors, while only 11 studies reported on the development or validation of a prediction model. Substantial heterogeneity in cohort and study characteristics, such as sample size, event rate, and definition of outcome measurements, was observed across studies. The most common predictors were age (87%), sex (75%), diabetes (70%), and estimated glomerular filtration rate (69%). Most of the studies on prognostic factors have methodological shortcomings, mostly due to a lack of reporting on clinical and methodological information. Of the 11 studies on prediction models, six developed and internally validated a model and four externally validated existing or developed models. Only one study on prognostic models showed a low risk of bias and high applicability.

CONCLUSION

A large quantity of prognostic studies has been published, yet their usefulness remains unclear due to incomplete presentation, and lack of external validation of prognostic models. Our review can be used to select the most appropriate prognostic model depending on the patient population, outcome, and risk of bias. Future collaborative efforts should aim at improving existing models by externally validating them, evaluating the addition of new predictors, and assessment of the clinical impact.

REGISTRATION

We have registered the protocol of our systematic review on PROSPERO (CRD42021228043).