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Bonomo S, Marchetti P, Fasola S, Vesentini R, Marcon A, Ferrante G, Antonicelli L, Battaglia S, Bono R, Squillacioti G, Murgia N, Pirina P, Villani S, La Grutta S, Verlato G, Viegi G. Asthma incidence can be influenced by climate change in Italy: findings from the GEIRD study-a climatological and epidemiological assessment. Sci Rep 2023; 13:19047. [PMID: 37923929 PMCID: PMC10624678 DOI: 10.1038/s41598-023-46423-2] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 08/10/2023] [Accepted: 10/31/2023] [Indexed: 11/06/2023] Open
Abstract
An association between climatic conditions and asthma incidence has been widely assumed. However, it is unclear whether climatic variations have a fingerprint on asthma dynamics over long time intervals. The aim of this study is to detect a possible correlation of the Summer North Atlantic Oscillation (S-NAO) index and the self-calibrated palmer drought severity index (scPDSI) with asthma incidence over the period from 1957 to 2006 in Italy. To this aim, an analysis of non-stationary and non-linear signals was performed on the time series of the Italian databases on respiratory health (ISAYA and GEIRD) including 36,255 individuals overall, S-NAO, and scPDSI indices to search for characteristic periodicities. The ISAYA (Italian Study on Asthma in Young Adults) and GEIRD (Gene Environment Interactions in Respiratory Diseases) studies collected information on respiratory health in general population samples, born between 1925 and 1989 and aged 20-84 years at the time of the interview, from 13 Italian centres. We found that annual asthma total incidence shared the same periodicity throughout the 1957-2006 time interval. Asthma incidence turned out to be correlated with the dynamics of the scPDSI, modulated by the S-NAO, sharing the same averaged 6 year-periodicity. Since climate patterns appear to influence asthma incidence, future studies aimed at elucidating the complex relationships between climate and asthma incidence are warranted.
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Affiliation(s)
- S Bonomo
- CNR Institute of Environmental Geology and Geo-Engineering (CNR-IGAG), Montelibretti, Rome, Italy.
| | - P Marchetti
- Department of Diagnostics and Public Health, University of Verona, Verona, Italy
| | - S Fasola
- CNR Institute of Translational Pharmacology (CNR-IFT), Palermo, Italy
| | - R Vesentini
- Department of Diagnostics and Public Health, University of Verona, Verona, Italy
| | - A Marcon
- Department of Diagnostics and Public Health, University of Verona, Verona, Italy
| | - G Ferrante
- Department of Surgical Sciences, Dentistry, Gynecology and Pediatrics, University of Verona, Verona, Italy
| | | | - S Battaglia
- Dipartimento PROMISE, University of Palermo, Palermo, Italy
| | - R Bono
- Department of Public Health and Pediatrics, University of Turin, Turin, Italy
| | - G Squillacioti
- Department of Public Health and Pediatrics, University of Turin, Turin, Italy
| | - N Murgia
- Department of Environmental and Prevention Sciences, University of Ferrara, Ferrara, Italy
| | - P Pirina
- Respiratory Unit, Sassari University, Sassari, Italy
| | - S Villani
- Department of Public Health, Experimental and Forensic Medicine, University of Pavia, Pavia, Italy
| | - S La Grutta
- CNR Institute of Translational Pharmacology (CNR-IFT), Palermo, Italy
| | - G Verlato
- Department of Diagnostics and Public Health, University of Verona, Verona, Italy
| | - G Viegi
- CNR Institute of Clinical Physiology (CNR-IFC), Pisa, Italy
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3
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Agache I, Annesi‐Maesano I, Bonertz A, Branca F, Cant A, Fras Z, Ingenrieth F, Namazova‐Baranova L, Odemyr M, Spanevello A, Vieths S, Yorgancioglu A, Alvaro‐Lozano M, Barber Hernandez D, Chivato T, Del Giacco S, Diamant Z, Eguiluz‐Gracia I, Wijk RG, Gevaert P, Graessel A, Hellings P, Hoffmann‐Sommergruber K, Jutel M, Lau S, Lauerma A, Maria Olaguibel J, O'Mahony L, Ozdemir C, Palomares O, Pfaar O, Sastre J, Scadding G, Schmidt‐Weber C, Schmid‐Grendelmeier P, Shamji M, Skypala I, Spinola M, Spranger O, Torres M, Vereda A, Bonini S. Prioritizing research challenges and funding for allergy and asthma and the need for translational research-The European Strategic Forum on Allergic Diseases. Allergy 2019; 74:2064-2076. [PMID: 31070805 DOI: 10.1111/all.13856] [Citation(s) in RCA: 36] [Impact Index Per Article: 6.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 04/11/2019] [Revised: 05/02/2019] [Accepted: 05/05/2019] [Indexed: 02/07/2023]
Abstract
The European Academy of Allergy and Clinical Immunology (EAACI) organized the first European Strategic Forum on Allergic Diseases and Asthma. The main aim was to bring together all relevant stakeholders and decision-makers in the field of allergy, asthma and clinical Immunology around an open debate on contemporary challenges and potential solutions for the next decade. The Strategic Forum was an upscaling of the EAACI White Paper aiming to integrate the Academy's output with the perspective offered by EAACI's partners. This collaboration is fundamental for adapting and integrating allergy and asthma care into the context of real-world problems. The Strategic Forum on Allergic Diseases brought together all partners who have the drive and the influence to make positive change: national and international societies, patients' organizations, regulatory bodies and industry representatives. An open debate with a special focus on drug development and biomedical engineering, big data and information technology and allergic diseases and asthma in the context of environmental health concluded that connecting science with the transformation of care and a joint agreement between all partners on priorities and needs are essential to ensure a better management of allergic diseases and asthma in the advent of precision medicine together with global access to innovative and affordable diagnostics and therapeutics.
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Affiliation(s)
| | - Isabella Annesi‐Maesano
- Department of Epidemiology of Allergic and Respiratory Diseases Medical School Saint Antoine, IPLESP, INSERM and Sorbonne Université Paris France
| | - Andreas Bonertz
- Federal Agency for Vaccines and Biomedicines Paul‐Ehrlich‐Institut Langen Germany
| | - Francesco Branca
- Department of Nutrition for Health and Development Geneva Switzerland
- WHO/HQ Geneva Switzerland
| | - Andrew Cant
- University of Newcastle Upon Tyne Newcastle upon Tyne UK
- European Society for Immunodeficiencies Geneva Switzerland
| | - Zlatko Fras
- Division of Medicine University Medical Centre Ljubljana Ljubljana Slovenia
- Medical Faculty University of Ljubljana Ljubljana Slovenia
- UEMS ‐ Union Europeenne des Medecins Specialistes/European Union of Medical Specialists Brussels Belgium
| | | | - Leyla Namazova‐Baranova
- Department of Pediatrics Russian National Research Medical University of MoH RF Moscow Russia
- Department of Pediatrics Central Clinical Hospital of MoSHE (Ministry of Science and High Education) Moscow Russian Federation
| | - Mikaela Odemyr
- European Federation of Allergy and Airways Diseases Patients’ Associations (EFA) Brussels Belgium
| | - Antonio Spanevello
- Dipartimento di Medicina e Chirurgia, Malattie dell'Apparato Respiratorio Università degli Studi dell'Insubria Varese – Como Italy
- Dipartimento di Medicina e Riabilitazione Cardio Respiratoria, U.O. di Pneumologia Riabilitativa Istituti Clinici Scientifici Maugeri, IRCCS Tradate Tradate Italy
| | - Stefan Vieths
- Federal Agency for Vaccines and Biomedicines Paul‐Ehrlich‐Institut Langen Germany
| | - Arzu Yorgancioglu
- Department of Pulmonology Celal Bayar University School of Medicine Manisa Turkey
| | - Montserat Alvaro‐Lozano
- Pediatric Allergy and Clinical Immunology Department Hospital Sant Joan de Déu Barcelona Barcelona Spain
| | - Domingo Barber Hernandez
- Department of Basic Medical Sciences, School of Medicine Universidad CEU San Pablo Madrid Spain
- RETIC ARADYAL RD16/0006/0015, Instituto de Salud Carlos III Madrid Spain
| | - Tomás Chivato
- School of Medicine University CEU San Pablo Madrid Spain
| | - Stefano Del Giacco
- Department of Medical Sciences and Public Health University of Cagliari Cagliari Italy
| | - Zuzana Diamant
- Department of Respiratory Medicine & Allergology, Institute for Clinical Science, Skane University Hospital Lund University Lund Sweden
- Department of Respiratory Medicine, First Faculty of Medicine Charles University and Thomayer Hospital Prague Czech Republic
| | - Ibon Eguiluz‐Gracia
- Allergy Unit IBIMA, Regional University Hospital of Malaga, UMA Malaga Spain
- ARADyAL Network RD16/0006/0001, Carlos III Health Institute Madrid Spain
| | - Roy Gert Wijk
- Section of Allergology, Department of Internal Medicine Erasmus Medical Center Rotterdam the Netherlands
| | - Philippe Gevaert
- Department of Otorhinolaryngology‐Head and Neck Surgery, Upper Airways Research Laboratory Ghent University Ghent Belgium
| | - Anke Graessel
- Allergy Therapeutics Worthing UK
- Bencard Allergie GmbH Munich Germany
| | - Peter Hellings
- Department of Otorhinolaryngology‐Head and Neck Surgery, Upper Airways Research Laboratory Ghent University Ghent Belgium
- Department of Otorhinolaryngology‐Head and Neck Surgery UZ Leuven Leuven Belgium
- Department of Otorhinolaryngology Academic Medical Center Amsterdam The Netherlands
| | | | - Marek Jutel
- Department of Clinical Immunology Wroclaw Medical University Wroclaw Poland
- “ALL‐MED” Medical Research Institute Wroclaw Poland
| | - Susanne Lau
- Department for Pediatric Pneumology, Immunology and Intensive Care Charité Universität Medizin Berlin Germany
| | - Antti Lauerma
- Dermatology and Allergology Helsinki University Hospital and University of Helsinki Helsinki Finland
| | | | - Liam O'Mahony
- Departments of Medicine and Microbiology APC Microbiome Ireland, National University of Ireland Cork Ireland
| | - Cevdet Ozdemir
- Department of Pediatric Basic Sciences, Institute of Child Health Istanbul University Istanbul Turkey
- Department of Pediatrics, Division of Pediatric Allergy & Immunology, Istanbul Faculty of Medicine Istanbul University Istanbul Turkey
| | - Oscar Palomares
- Department of Biochemistry and Molecular Biology, School of Chemistry Complutense University of Madrid Madrid Spain
| | - Oliver Pfaar
- Department of Otorhinolaryngology, Head and Neck Surgery, Section of Rhinology and Allergy, University Hospital Marburg Philipps‐Universität Marburg Marburg Germany
| | - Joaquin Sastre
- Department of Allergy Fundación Jimenez Diaz Madrid Spain
- Department of Medicine, Instituto Carlos III CIBERES, Universidad Autónoma de Madrid Madrid Spain
| | | | - Carsten Schmidt‐Weber
- Zentrums Allergie & Umwelt (ZAUM) Technische Universität und Helmholtz Zentrum München Germany
| | - Peter Schmid‐Grendelmeier
- Allergy Unit, Department of Dermatology University Hospital of Zurich Zurich Switzerland
- Christine‐Kühne Center for Allergy Research and Education CK‐CARE Davos Davos Switzerland
| | - Mohamed Shamji
- Allergy & Clinical Immunology, Inflammation, Repair and Development, Imperial College, National Heart and Lung Institute Immunomodulation and Tolerance Group London UK
- Asthma UK Centre in Allergic Mechanisms of Asthma London UK
| | - Isabel Skypala
- Royal Brompton & Harefield NHS Foundation Trust London UK
- Imperial College London UK
| | | | - Otto Spranger
- Global Allergy and Asthma Patient Platform Vienna Austria
| | - Maria Torres
- Allergy Unit IBIMA, Regional University Hospital of Malaga, UMA Malaga Spain
- ARADyAL Network RD16/0006/0001, Carlos III Health Institute Madrid Spain
| | | | - Sergio Bonini
- Institute of Translational Pharmacology Italian National Research Council Rome Italy
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4
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Bousquet J, Pham-Thi N, Bedbrook A, Agache I, Annesi-Maesano I, Ansotegui I, Anto JM, Bachert C, Benveniste S, Bewick M, Billo N, Bosnic-Anticevich S, Bosse I, Brusselle G, Calderon MA, Canonica GW, Caraballo L, Cardona V, Carriazo AM, Cash E, Cecchi L, Chu DK, Colgan E, Costa E, Cruz AA, Czarlewski W, Durham S, Ebisawa M, Erhola M, Fauquert JL, Fokkens WJ, Fonseca JA, Guldemond N, Iinuma T, Illario M, Klimek L, Kuna P, Kvedariene V, Larenas-Linneman D, Laune D, Le LTT, Lourenço O, Malva JO, Marien G, Menditto E, Mullol J, Münter L, Okamoto Y, Onorato GL, Papadopoulos NG, Perala M, Pfaar O, Phillips A, Phillips J, Pinnock H, Portejoie F, Quinones-Delgado P, Rolland C, Rodts U, Samolinski B, Sanchez-Borges M, Schünemann HJ, Shamji M, Somekh D, Togias A, Toppila-Salmi S, Tsiligianni I, Usmani O, Walker S, Wallace D, Valiulis A, Van der Kleij R, Ventura MT, Williams S, Yorgancioglu A, Zuberbier T. Next-generation care pathways for allergic rhinitis and asthma multimorbidity: a model for multimorbid non-communicable diseases-Meeting Report (Part 2). J Thorac Dis 2019; 11:4072-4084. [PMID: 31656683 PMCID: PMC6790426 DOI: 10.21037/jtd.2019.09.38] [Citation(s) in RCA: 9] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.5] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 07/22/2019] [Accepted: 08/15/2019] [Indexed: 01/23/2023]
Affiliation(s)
- Jean Bousquet
- University Hospital Montpellier, Montpellier, France
- MACVIA-France, Fondation partenariale FMC VIA-LR, Montpellier, France
- INSERM U1168, VIMA, Ageing and Chronic Diseases Epidemiological and Public Health Approaches, Villejuif, France
- Université Versailles St-Quentin-en Yvelines, UMR-S 1168, Montigny le Bretonneux, France
- Euforea, Brussels, Belgium
- Charité, Universitätsmedizin Berlin, Humboldt-Universitätzu Berlin, Berlin, Germany
- Berlin Institute of Health, Comprehensive Allergy Center, Department of Dermatology and Allergy, Berlin, Germany
- EUFOREA, Brussels, Belgium
| | - Nhân Pham-Thi
- Allergy Department, Pasteur Institute, Paris, France
| | - Anna Bedbrook
- MACVIA-France, Fondation partenariale FMC VIA-LR, Montpellier, France
| | - Ioana Agache
- Faculty of Medicine, Transylvania University, Brasov, Romania
| | - Isabella Annesi-Maesano
- Epidemiology of Allergic and Respiratory Diseases, Department Institute Pierre Louis of Epidemiology and Public Health, INSERM and Sorbonne Universités, Medical School Saint Antoine, Paris, France
| | - Ignacio Ansotegui
- Department of Allergy and Immunology, Hospital Quirónsalud Bizkaia, Erandio, Spain
| | - Josep M. Anto
- ISGlobAL, Centre for Research in Environmental Epidemiology (CREAL), Barcelona, Spain
- Universitat Pompeu Fabra (UPF), Barcelona, Spain
- CIBER Epidemiología y Salud Pública (CIBERESP), Barcelona, Spain
| | - Claus Bachert
- Upper Airways Research Laboratory, ENT Department, Ghent University Hospital, Ghent, Belgium
| | - Samuel Benveniste
- National Center of Expertise in Cognitive Stimulation (CEN STIMCO), Broca Hospital, Paris, France
- Mines ParisTech CRI - PSL Research University, Fontainebleau, France
| | | | - Nils Billo
- Independent Consultant, Joensuu, Finland
| | - Sinthia Bosnic-Anticevich
- Woolcock Institute of Medical Research, University of Sydney and Woolcock Emphysema Centre and Sydney Local Health District, Glebe, NSW, Australia
| | | | - Guy Brusselle
- Department of Respiratory Medicine, Ghent University Hospital, Ghent, Belgium
| | | | - G. Walter Canonica
- Personalized Medicine Clinic Asthma & Allergy, Humanitas Clinical and Research Center IRCCS, Rozzano (MI), and Department of Biomedical Sciences, Humanitas University, Pieve Emanuele (MI), Italy
| | - Luis Caraballo
- Institute for Immunological Research, University of Cartagena, Campus de Zaragocilla, Edificio Biblioteca Primer piso, Cartagena, Colombia, and Foundation for the Development of Medical and Biological Sciences (Fundemeb), Cartagena, Colombia
| | - Victoria Cardona
- Allergy Section, Department of Internal Medicine, Hospital Vall d’Hebron & ARADyAL research network, Barcelona, Spain
| | | | - Eugene Cash
- College of Psychology, Nova Southeastern University and School-related Psychological Assessments and Clinical Interventions Clinic, Ft Lauderdale, Florida, USA
| | - Lorenzo Cecchi
- SOS Allergology and Clinical Immunology, USL Toscana Centro, Prato, Italy
| | - Derek K. Chu
- Department of Health Research Methods, Evidence, and Impact, Division of Immunology and Allergy, Department of Medicine, McMaster University, Hamilton, Ontario, Canada
| | - Elaine Colgan
- Department of Health, Social Services and Public Safety, Northern Ireland, Belfast, UK
| | - Elisio Costa
- UCIBIO, REQUIMTE, Faculty of Pharmacy, and Competence Center on Active and Healthy Ageing of University of Porto (AgeUPNetWork), University of Porto, Porto, Portugal
| | - Alvaro A. Cruz
- ProAR-Nucleo de Excelencia em Asma, Federal University of Bahia, Brasil and WHO GARD Executive Committee, Bahia, Brazil
| | | | - Stephen Durham
- Allergy and Clinical Immunology Section, National Heart and Lung Institute, Imperial College London, London, UK
| | - Motohiro Ebisawa
- Clinical Research Center for Allergy and Rheumatology, National Hospital Organization, Sagamihara National Hospital, Sagamihara, Japan
| | - Marina Erhola
- National Institute for Health and Welfare, Helsinki, Finland
| | - Jean-Luc Fauquert
- CHU Clermont-Ferrand, Unité d’Allergologie de l’Enfant, Pôle Pédiatrique, Hôpital Estaing, Clermont-Ferrand, France
| | - Wytske J. Fokkens
- EUFOREA, Brussels, Belgium
- Department of Otorhinolaryngology, Amsterdam University Medical Centres, AMC, Amsterdam, the Netherlands
| | - Joao A. Fonseca
- CINTESIS, Center for Research in Health Technology and Information Systems, Faculdade de Medicina da Universidade do Porto; and Medida, Lda Porto, Portugal
| | - Nick Guldemond
- Institute of Health Policy and Management iBMG, Erasmus University, Rotterdam, the Netherlands
| | - Tomohisa Iinuma
- Department of Otorhinolaryngology, Chiba University Hospital, Chiba, Japan
| | - Maddalena Illario
- Division for Health Innovation, Campania Region and Federico II University Hospital Naples (R&D and DISMET), Naples, Italy
| | - Ludger Klimek
- Center for Rhinology and Allergology, Wiesbaden, Germany
| | - Piotr Kuna
- Division of Internal Medicine, Asthma and Allergy, Barlicki University Hospital, Medical University of Lodz, Lodz, Poland
| | - Violeta Kvedariene
- Institute of Biomedical Sciences, Department of Pathology, Faculty of Medicine, Vilnius University, and Institute of Clinical Medicine, Clinic of Chest diseases and Allergology, Faculty of Medicine, Vilnius, Lithuania
| | - Désirée Larenas-Linneman
- Center of Excellence in Asthma and Allergy, Médica Sur Clinical Foundation and Hospital, México City, Mexico
| | | | - Lan T. T. Le
- University of Medicine and Pharmacy, Hochiminh City, Vietnam
| | - Olga Lourenço
- Faculty of Health Sciences and CICS-UBI, Health Sciences Research Centre, University of Beira Interior, Covilhã, Portugal
| | - Joao O. Malva
- Coimbra Institute for Clinical and Biomedical Research (iCBR), Faculty of Medicine, University of Coimbra, and Ageing@Coimbra EIP-AHA Reference Site, Coimbra, Portugal
| | | | - Enrica Menditto
- CIRFF, Center of Pharmacoeconomics, University of Naples Federico II, Naples, Italy
| | - Joaquim Mullol
- Rhinology Unit & Smell Clinic, ENT Department, Hospital Clínic; Clinical & Experimental Respiratory Immunoallergy, IDIBAPS, CIBERES, University of Barcelona, Barcelona, Spain
| | - Lars Münter
- Danish Committee for Health Education, Copenhagen East, Denmark
| | - Yoshitaka Okamoto
- Department of Otorhinolaryngology, Chiba University Hospital, Chiba, Japan
| | | | - Nikos G. Papadopoulos
- Division of Infection, Immunity & Respiratory Medicine, Royal Manchester Children’s Hospital, University of Manchester, Manchester, UK
- Allergy Department, 2nd Pediatric Clinic, Athens General Children’s Hospital “P&A Kyriakou”, University of Athens, Athens, Greece
| | - Maritta Perala
- University of Oulu, Faculty of Medicine, Oulun Yliopisto, Finland
| | - Oliver Pfaar
- Department of Otorhinolaryngology, Head and Neck Surgery, Section of Rhinology and Allergy, University Hospital Marburg, Phillipps-Universität Marburg, Germany
| | - Abigail Phillips
- Department of Health and Social Services, Welsh Government, Cardiff, UK
| | - Jim Phillips
- Director, Centre For Empowering Patients and Communities, Dublin, Ireland
| | - Hilary Pinnock
- Asthma UK Centre for Applied Research, The Usher Institute of Population Health Sciences and Informatics, The University of Edinburgh, Edinburgh, UK
| | | | - Pablo Quinones-Delgado
- Agency for Social Services and Dependency, Regional Government for Equality, Social Policies and Conciliation of Andalucia, Seville, Spain
| | | | | | - Boleslaw Samolinski
- Department of Prevention of Environmental Hazards and Allergology, Medical University of Warsaw, Warsaw, Poland
| | - Mario Sanchez-Borges
- Allergy and Clinical Immunology Department, Centro Medico-Docente La Trinidad, Caracas, Venezuela
| | | | - Mohamed Shamji
- Immunomodulation and Tolerance Group, Imperial College London, and Allergy and Clinical Immunology, Imperial College London, London, UK
| | - David Somekh
- European Health Futures Forum (EHFF), Dromahair, Ireland
| | - Alkis Togias
- Division of Allergy, Immunology, and Transplantation (DAIT), National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases, NIH, Bethesda, MD, USA
| | - Sanna Toppila-Salmi
- Skin and Allergy Hospital, Helsinki University Hospital and University of Helsinki, Helsinki, Finland
| | - Ioanna Tsiligianni
- Health Planning Unit, Department of Social Medicine, Faculty of Medicine, University of Crete, Crete, Greece and International Primary Care Respiratory Group IPCRG, Aberdeen, Scotland
| | - Omar Usmani
- National Heart and Lung Institute (NHLI), Imperial College London & Royal Brompton Hospital, Airways Disease Section, London, UK
| | | | - Dana Wallace
- Nova Southeastern University, Fort Lauderdale, Florida, USA
| | - Arunas Valiulis
- Vilnius University Faculty of Medicine, Institute of Clinical Medicine & Institute of Health Sciences, Vilnius, Lithuania
| | - Rianne Van der Kleij
- Department of Public Health and Primary Care, Leiden University Medical Center, Leiden, the Netherlands
| | - Maria Teresa Ventura
- University of Bari Medical School, Unit of Geriatric Immunoallergology, Bari, Italy
| | - Sian Williams
- International Primary Care Respiratory Group IPCRG, Aberdeen, Scotland
| | - Arzu Yorgancioglu
- Department of Pulmonary Diseases, Celal Bayar University, Faculty of Medicine, Manisa, Turkey
| | - Torsten Zuberbier
- Universitätsmedizin Berlin, Corporate Member of Freie Universität Berlin, Humboldt-Uniersität zu Berlin and Berlin Institute of Health, Comprehensive Allergy-Centre, Department of Dermatology and Allergy, Member of GA2LEN, Berlin, Germany
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5
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Bonomo S, Ferrante G, Palazzi E, Pelosi N, Lirer F, Viegi G, La Grutta S. Evidence for a link between the Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation and annual asthma mortality rates in the US. Sci Rep 2019; 9:11683. [PMID: 31406172 PMCID: PMC6690970 DOI: 10.1038/s41598-019-48178-1] [Citation(s) in RCA: 5] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.8] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 02/19/2019] [Accepted: 07/16/2019] [Indexed: 11/13/2022] Open
Abstract
An association between climatic conditions and asthma mortality has been widely assumed. However, it is unclear whether climatic variations have a fingerprint on asthma dynamics over long time intervals. The aim of this study is to detect a possible correlation between climatic indices, namely the Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation and Pacific Decadal Oscillation, and asthma mortality rates over the period from 1950 to 2015 in the contiguous US. To this aim, an analysis of non-stationary and non-linear signals was performed on time series of US annual asthma mortality rates, AMO and PDO indices to search for characteristic periodicities. Results revealed that asthma death rates evaluated for four different age groups (5-14 yr; 15-24 yr; 25-34 yr; 35-44 yr) share the same pattern of fluctuation throughout the 1950-2015 time interval, but different trends, i.e. a positive (negative) trend for the two youngest (oldest) categories. Annual asthma death rates turned out to be correlated with the dynamics of the AMO, and also modulated by the PDO, sharing the same averaged ∼44 year-periodicity. The results of the current study suggest that, since climate patterns have proved to influence asthma mortality rates, they could be advisable in future studies aimed at elucidating the complex relationships between climate and asthma mortality.
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Affiliation(s)
- Sergio Bonomo
- Istituto per la Ricerca e l'Innovazione Biomedica, National Research Council (CNR-IRIB), Via Ugo La Malfa 153, 90146, Palermo, Italy
- Institute for Marine Sciences, National Research Council (CNR-ISMAR), Calata Porta di Massa, 80133, Napoli, Italy
- National Institute of Geophysics and Volcanology (INGV), Via della Faggiola 32, 52126, Pisa, Italy
| | - Giuliana Ferrante
- Dipartimento di Scienze per la Promozione della Salute, Materno-Infantile, di Medicina Interna e Specialistica di Eccellenza "G. D'Alessandro", University of Palermo, Palermo, Italy.
| | - Elisa Palazzi
- Institute of Atmospheric Sciences and Climate, National Research Council (CNR-ISAC), Corso Fiume 4, I-10133, Torino, Italy
| | - Nicola Pelosi
- Institute for Marine Sciences, National Research Council (CNR-ISMAR), Calata Porta di Massa, 80133, Napoli, Italy
| | - Fabrizio Lirer
- Institute for Marine Sciences, National Research Council (CNR-ISMAR), Calata Porta di Massa, 80133, Napoli, Italy
| | - Giovanni Viegi
- Istituto per la Ricerca e l'Innovazione Biomedica, National Research Council (CNR-IRIB), Via Ugo La Malfa 153, 90146, Palermo, Italy
| | - Stefania La Grutta
- Istituto per la Ricerca e l'Innovazione Biomedica, National Research Council (CNR-IRIB), Via Ugo La Malfa 153, 90146, Palermo, Italy
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