Distinct Molecular Signatures of Clinical Clusters in People With Type 2 Diabetes: An IMI-RHAPSODY Study

Trajectories of clinical characteristics, complications and treatment choices in data-driven subgroups of type 2 diabetes

AIMS/HYPOTHESIS

This study aimed to explore the added value of subgroups that categorise individuals with type 2 diabetes by k-means clustering for two primary care registries (the Netherlands and Scotland), inspired by Ahlqvist's novel diabetes subgroups and previously analysed by Slieker et al. METHODS: We used two Dutch and Scottish diabetes cohorts (N=3054 and 6145; median follow-up=11.2 and 12.3 years, respectively) and defined five subgroups by k-means clustering with age at baseline, BMI, HbA1c, HDL-cholesterol and C-peptide. We investigated differences between subgroups by trajectories of risk factor values (random intercept models), time to diabetes-related complications (logrank tests and Cox models) and medication patterns (multinomial logistic models). We also compared directly using the clustering indicators as predictors of progression vs the k-means discrete subgroups. Cluster consistency over follow-up was assessed.

RESULTS

Subgroups' risk factors were significantly different, and these differences remained generally consistent over follow-up. Among all subgroups, individuals with severe insulin resistance faced a significantly higher risk of myocardial infarction both before (HR 1.65; 95% CI 1.40, 1.94) and after adjusting for age effect (HR 1.72; 95% CI 1.46, 2.02) compared with mild diabetes with high HDL-cholesterol. Individuals with severe insulin-deficient diabetes were most intensively treated, with more than 25% prescribed insulin at 10 years of diagnosis. For severe insulin-deficient diabetes relative to mild diabetes, the relative risks for using insulin relative to no common treatment would be expected to increase by a factor of 3.07 (95% CI 2.73, 3.44), holding other factors constant. Clustering indicators were better predictors of progression variation relative to subgroups, but prediction accuracy may improve after combining both. Clusters were consistent over 8 years with an accuracy ranging from 59% to 72%.

CONCLUSIONS/INTERPRETATION

Data-driven subgroup allocations were generally consistent over follow-up and captured significant differences in risk factor trajectories, medication patterns and complication risks. Subgroups serve better as a complement rather than as a basis for compressing clustering indicators.

Small RNA sequencing reveals snoRNAs and piRNA-019825 as novel players in diabetic kidney disease

INTRODUCTION

Micro- and macrovascular complications are common among persons with type 2 diabetes. Recently there has been growing interest to investigate the potential of circulating small non-coding RNAs (sncRNAs) as contributors to the development of diabetic complications. In this study we investigate to what extent circulating sncRNAs levels associate with prevalent diabetic kidney disease (DKD) in persons with type 2 diabetes.

METHODS

Plasma sncRNAs levels were determined using small RNA-seq, allowing detection of miRNAs, snoRNAs, piRNAs, tRNA fragments, and various other sncRNA classes. We tested for differentially expressed sncRNAs in persons with type 2 diabetes, with DKD (n = 69) or without DKD (n = 405). In secondary analyses, we also tested the association with eGFR, albuminuria (UACR), and the plasma proteome.

RESULTS

In total seven sncRNAs were negatively associated with prevalent DKD (all PFDR ≤ 0.05). Including one microRNA (miR-143-5p), five snoRNAs (U8, SNORD118, SNORD24, SNORD107, SNORD87) and a piRNA (piR-019825 | DQ597218). Proteomic analyses showed that the seven sncRNAs, and especially the piRNA piR-019825, were associated with plasma levels of 24 proteins of which several have known associations with kidney function including TNF sR-I (TNFRFS1A), DAN (NBL1) and cystatin C (CST3).

CONCLUSION

We have identified novel small non-coding RNAs, primarily from classes other than microRNAs, that are associated with diabetic kidney disease. Our results show that the involvement of small non-coding RNAs in DKD goes beyond the already known microRNAs and also involves other classes of sncRNA, in particular snoRNAs and the piRNA piR-019825, that have never been studied before in relation to kidney function.

Harnessing the power of proteomics in precision diabetes medicine

Precision diabetes medicine (PDM) aims to reduce errors in prevention programmes, diagnosis thresholds, prognosis prediction and treatment strategies. However, its advancement and implementation are difficult due to the heterogeneity of complex molecular processes and environmental exposures that influence an individual's disease trajectory. To address this challenge, it is imperative to develop robust screening methods for all areas of PDM. Innovative proteomic technologies, alongside genomics, have proven effective in precision cancer medicine and are showing promise in diabetes research for potential translation. This narrative review highlights how proteomics is well-positioned to help improve PDM. Specifically, a critical assessment of widely adopted affinity-based proteomic technologies in large-scale clinical studies and evidence of the benefits and feasibility of using MS-based plasma proteomics is presented. We also present a case for the use of proteomics to identify predictive protein panels for type 2 diabetes subtyping and the development of clinical prediction models for prevention, diagnosis, prognosis and treatment strategies. Lastly, we discuss the importance of plasma and tissue proteomics and its integration with genomics (proteogenomics) for identifying unique type 2 diabetes intra- and inter-subtype aetiology. We conclude with a call for action formed on advancing proteomics technologies, benchmarking their performance and standardisation across sites, with an emphasis on data sharing and the inclusion of diverse ancestries in large cohort studies. These efforts should foster collaboration with key stakeholders and align with ongoing academic programmes such as the Precision Medicine in Diabetes Initiative consortium.

CRISPR Screening Uncovers a Long-Range Enhancer for ONECUT1 in Pancreatic Differentiation and Links a Diabetes Risk Variant

Functional enhancer annotation is a valuable first step for understanding tissue-specific transcriptional regulation and prioritizing disease-associated non-coding variants for investigation. However, unbiased enhancer discovery in physiologically relevant contexts remains a major challenge. To discover regulatory elements pertinent to diabetes, we conducted a CRISPR interference (CRISPRi) screen in the human pluripotent stem cell (hPSC) pancreatic differentiation system. Among the enhancers uncovered, we focused on a long-range enhancer ∼664 kb from the ONECUT1 promoter, as coding mutations in ONECUT1 cause pancreatic hypoplasia and neonatal diabetes. Homozygous enhancer deletion in hPSCs was associated with a near-complete loss of ONECUT1 gene expression and compromised pancreatic differentiation. This enhancer contains a confidently fine-mapped type 2 diabetes (T2D) associated variant (rs528350911) which disrupts a GATA motif. Introduction of the risk variant into hPSCs revealed substantially reduced binding of key pancreatic transcription factors (GATA4, GATA6 and FOXA2) on the edited allele, accompanied by a slight reduction of ONECUT1 transcription, supporting a causal role for this risk variant in metabolic disease. This work expands our knowledge about transcriptional regulation in pancreatic development through the characterization of a long-range enhancer and highlights the utility of enhancer discovery in disease-relevant settings for understanding monogenic and complex disease.

Genetic Risk Scores Identify People at High Risk of Developing Diabetic Kidney Disease: A Systematic Review

CONTEXT

Diabetic kidney disease (DKD) is the leading cause of end-stage renal disease. Measures to prevent and treat DKD require better identification of patients most at risk. In this systematic review, we summarize the existing evidence of genetic risk scores (GRSs) and their utility for predicting DKD in people with type 1 or type 2 diabetes.

EVIDENCE ACQUISITION

We searched MEDLINE, Embase, Web of Science, and Cochrane Reviews in June 2022 to identify all existing and relevant literature. Main data items sought were study design, sample size, population, single nucleotide polymorphisms of interest, DKD-related outcomes, and relevant summary measures of result. The Critical Appraisal Skills Programme checklist was used to evaluate the methodological quality of studies.

EVIDENCE SYNTHESIS

We identified 400 citations of which 15 are included in this review. Overall, 7 studies had positive results, 5 had mixed results, and 3 had negative results. Most studies with the strongest methodological quality (n = 9) reported statistically significant and favourable findings of a GRS's association with at least 1 measure of DKD.

CONCLUSION

This systematic review presents evidence of the utility of GRSs to identify people with diabetes that are at high risk of developing DKD. In practice, a robust GRS could be used at the first clinical encounter with a person living with diabetes in order to stratify their risk of complications. Further prospective research is needed.

Multi-omics subgroups associated with glycaemic deterioration in type 2 diabetes: an IMI-RHAPSODY Study

Introduction

Type 2 diabetes (T2D) onset, progression and outcomes differ substantially between individuals. Multi-omics analyses may allow a deeper understanding of these differences and ultimately facilitate personalised treatments. Here, in an unsupervised "bottom-up" approach, we attempt to group T2D patients based solely on -omics data generated from plasma.

Methods

Circulating plasma lipidomic and proteomic data from two independent clinical cohorts, Hoorn Diabetes Care System (DCS) and Genetics of Diabetes Audit and Research in Tayside Scotland (GoDARTS), were analysed using Similarity Network Fusion. The resulting patient network was analysed with Logistic and Cox regression modelling to explore relationships between plasma -omic profiles and clinical characteristics.

Results

From a total of 1,134 subjects in the two cohorts, levels of 180 circulating plasma lipids and 1195 proteins were used to separate patients into two subgroups. These differed in terms of glycaemic deterioration (Hazard Ratio=0.56;0.73), insulin sensitivity and secretion (C-peptide, p=3.7e-11;2.5e-06, DCS and GoDARTS, respectively; Homeostatic model assessment 2 (HOMA2)-B; -IR; -S, p=0.0008;4.2e-11;1.1e-09, only in DCS). The main molecular signatures separating the two groups included triacylglycerols, sphingomyelin, testican-1 and interleukin 18 receptor.

Conclusions

Using an unsupervised network-based fusion method on plasma lipidomics and proteomics data from two independent cohorts, we were able to identify two subgroups of T2D patients differing in terms of disease severity. The molecular signatures identified within these subgroups provide insights into disease mechanisms and possibly new prognostic markers for T2D.

A Federated Database for Obesity Research: An IMI-SOPHIA Study

Obesity is considered by many as a lifestyle choice rather than a chronic progressive disease. The Innovative Medicines Initiative (IMI) SOPHIA (Stratification of Obesity Phenotypes to Optimize Future Obesity Therapy) project is part of a momentum shift aiming to provide better tools for the stratification of people with obesity according to disease risk and treatment response. One of the challenges to achieving these goals is that many clinical cohorts are siloed, limiting the potential of combined data for biomarker discovery. In SOPHIA, we have addressed this challenge by setting up a federated database building on open-source DataSHIELD technology. The database currently federates 16 cohorts that are accessible via a central gateway. The database is multi-modal, including research studies, clinical trials, and routine health data, and is accessed using the R statistical programming environment where statistical and machine learning analyses can be performed at a distance without any disclosure of patient-level data. We demonstrate the use of the database by providing a proof-of-concept analysis, performing a federated linear model of BMI and systolic blood pressure, pooling all data from 16 studies virtually without any analyst seeing individual patient-level data. This analysis provided similar point estimates compared to a meta-analysis of the 16 individual studies. Our approach provides a benchmark for reproducible, safe federated analyses across multiple study types provided by multiple stakeholders.

Inter-organ crosstalk during development and progression of type 2 diabetes mellitus

Type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM) is characterized by tissue-specific insulin resistance and pancreatic β-cell dysfunction, which result from the interplay of local abnormalities within different tissues and systemic dysregulation of tissue crosstalk. The main local mechanisms comprise metabolic (lipid) signalling, altered mitochondrial metabolism with oxidative stress, endoplasmic reticulum stress and local inflammation. While the role of endocrine dysregulation in T2DM pathogenesis is well established, other forms of inter-organ crosstalk deserve closer investigation to better understand the multifactorial transition from normoglycaemia to hyperglycaemia. This narrative Review addresses the impact of certain tissue-specific messenger systems, such as metabolites, peptides and proteins and microRNAs, their secretion patterns and possible alternative transport mechanisms, such as extracellular vesicles (exosomes). The focus is on the effects of these messengers on distant organs during the development of T2DM and progression to its complications. Starting from the adipose tissue as a major organ relevant to T2DM pathophysiology, the discussion is expanded to other key tissues, such as skeletal muscle, liver, the endocrine pancreas and the intestine. Subsequently, this Review also sheds light on the potential of multimarker panels derived from these biomarkers and related multi-omics for the prediction of risk and progression of T2DM, novel diabetes mellitus subtypes and/or endotypes and T2DM-related complications.

Sexual Function and Satisfaction in the Context of Obesity

PURPOSE OF REVIEW

Sexual dysfunction is commonly associated with overweight/obesity, but the underlying physiological and psychosocial mechanisms are not fully understood. This review contextualizes the obesity-sexual (dys)function relationship, describes recent insights from the medical and social science literature, and suggests opportunities for continued research.

RECENT FINDINGS

Although sexual dysfunction has been historically evaluated as a consequence/outcome of obesity, it is increasingly considered as a harbinger of future metabolic comorbidities, including type 2 diabetes and cardiovascular disease. Body image dissatisfaction is a consistent predictor for lower sexual satisfaction across BMI categories, likely mediated by cognitive distraction during partnered sex. To fully capture the relationship between obesity and sexual dysfunction, multidisciplinary research approaches are warranted. While clinically significant weight loss tends to improve sexual functioning for women and men, higher body image satisfaction may independently promote sexual function and satisfaction without concomitant weight loss.

Precision subclassification of type 2 diabetes: a systematic review

BACKGROUND

Heterogeneity in type 2 diabetes presentation and progression suggests that precision medicine interventions could improve clinical outcomes. We undertook a systematic review to determine whether strategies to subclassify type 2 diabetes were associated with high quality evidence, reproducible results and improved outcomes for patients.

METHODS

We searched PubMed and Embase for publications that used 'simple subclassification' approaches using simple categorisation of clinical characteristics, or 'complex subclassification' approaches which used machine learning or 'omics approaches in people with established type 2 diabetes. We excluded other diabetes subtypes and those predicting incident type 2 diabetes. We assessed quality, reproducibility and clinical relevance of extracted full-text articles and qualitatively synthesised a summary of subclassification approaches.

RESULTS

Here we show data from 51 studies that demonstrate many simple stratification approaches, but none have been replicated and many are not associated with meaningful clinical outcomes. Complex stratification was reviewed in 62 studies and produced reproducible subtypes of type 2 diabetes that are associated with outcomes. Both approaches require a higher grade of evidence but support the premise that type 2 diabetes can be subclassified into clinically meaningful subtypes.

CONCLUSION

Critical next steps toward clinical implementation are to test whether subtypes exist in more diverse ancestries and whether tailoring interventions to subtypes will improve outcomes.

Metabolomics and lipidomics strategies in modern drug discovery and development

Metabolomics and lipidomics have an increasingly pivotal role in drug discovery and development. In the context of drug discovery, monitoring changes in the levels or composition of metabolites and lipids relative to genetic variations yields functional insights, bolstering human genetics and (meta)genomic methodologies. This approach also sheds light on potential novel targets for therapeutic intervention. In the context of drug development, metabolite and lipid biomarkers contribute to enhanced success rates, promising a transformative impact on precision medicine. In this review, we deviate from analytical chemist-focused perspectives, offering an overview tailored to drug discovery. We provide introductory insight into state-of-the-art mass spectrometry (MS)-based metabolomics and lipidomics techniques utilized in drug discovery and development, drawing from the collective expertise of our research teams. We comprehensively outline the application of metabolomics and lipidomics in advancing drug discovery and development, spanning fundamental research, target identification, mechanisms of action, and the exploration of biomarkers.

Automated detection of genetic relatedness from fundus photographs using Siamese Neural Networks

Heritability of common eye diseases and ocular traits are relatively high. Here, we develop an automated algorithm to detect genetic relatedness from color fundus photographs (FPs). We estimated the degree of shared ancestry amongst individuals in the UK Biobank using KING software. A convolutional Siamese neural network-based algorithm was trained to output a measure of genetic relatedness using 7224 pairs (3612 related and 3612 unrelated) of FPs. The model achieved high performance for prediction of genetic relatedness; when computed Euclidean distances were used to determine probability of relatedness, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUROC) for identifying related FPs reached 0.926. We performed external validation of our model using FPs from the LIFE-Adult study and achieved an AUROC of 0.69. An occlusion map indicates that the optic nerve and its surrounding area may be the most predictive of genetic relatedness. We demonstrate that genetic relatedness can be captured from FP features. This approach may be used to uncover novel biomarkers for common ocular diseases.

Identification of biomarkers for glycaemic deterioration in type 2 diabetes

We identify biomarkers for disease progression in three type 2 diabetes cohorts encompassing 2,973 individuals across three molecular classes, metabolites, lipids and proteins. Homocitrulline, isoleucine and 2-aminoadipic acid, eight triacylglycerol species, and lowered sphingomyelin 42:2;2 levels are predictive of faster progression towards insulin requirement. Of ~1,300 proteins examined in two cohorts, levels of GDF15/MIC-1, IL-18Ra, CRELD1, NogoR, FAS, and ENPP7 are associated with faster progression, whilst SMAC/DIABLO, SPOCK1 and HEMK2 predict lower progression rates. In an external replication, proteins and lipids are associated with diabetes incidence and prevalence. NogoR/RTN4R injection improved glucose tolerance in high fat-fed male mice but impaired it in male db/db mice. High NogoR levels led to islet cell apoptosis, and IL-18R antagonised inflammatory IL-18 signalling towards nuclear factor kappa-B in vitro. This comprehensive, multi-disciplinary approach thus identifies biomarkers with potential prognostic utility, provides evidence for possible disease mechanisms, and identifies potential therapeutic avenues to slow diabetes progression.

Systematic review of precision subclassification of type 2 diabetes

Heterogeneity in type 2 diabetes presentation, progression and treatment has the potential for precision medicine interventions that can enhance care and outcomes for affected individuals. We undertook a systematic review to ascertain whether strategies to subclassify type 2 diabetes are associated with improved clinical outcomes, show reproducibility and have high quality evidence. We reviewed publications that deployed 'simple subclassification' using clinical features, biomarkers, imaging or other routinely available parameters or 'complex subclassification' approaches that used machine learning and/or genomic data. We found that simple stratification approaches, for example, stratification based on age, body mass index or lipid profiles, had been widely used, but no strategy had been replicated and many lacked association with meaningful outcomes. Complex stratification using clustering of simple clinical data with and without genetic data did show reproducible subtypes of diabetes that had been associated with outcomes such as cardiovascular disease and/or mortality. Both approaches require a higher grade of evidence but support the premise that type 2 diabetes can be subclassified into meaningful groups. More studies are needed to test these subclassifications in more diverse ancestries and prove that they are amenable to interventions.

Identifying blood biomarkers for type 2 diabetes subtyping: a report from the ORIGIN trial

AIMS/HYPOTHESIS

Individuals with diabetes can be clustered into five subtypes using up to six routinely measured clinical variables. We hypothesised that circulating protein levels might be used to distinguish between these subtypes. We recently used five of these six variables to categorise 7017 participants from the Outcome Reduction with an Initial Glargine Intervention (ORIGIN) trial into these subtypes: severe autoimmune diabetes (SAID, n=241), severe insulin-deficient diabetes (SIDD, n=1594), severe insulin-resistant diabetes (SIRD, n=914), mild obesity-related diabetes (MOD, n=1595) and mild age-related diabetes (MARD, n=2673).

METHODS

Forward-selection logistic regression models were used to identify a subset of 233 cardiometabolic protein biomarkers that were independent determinants of one subtype vs the others. We then assessed the performance of adding identified biomarkers (one after one, from the most discriminant to the least) to predict each subtype vs the others using area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC ROC). Models were adjusted for age, sex, ethnicity, C-peptide level, diabetes duration and glucose-lowering medication usage at blood collection.

RESULTS

A total of 25 biomarkers were independent determinants of subtypes, including 13 for SIDD, 2 for SIRD, 7 for MOD and 11 for MARD (all p<4.3 × 10^-5). The performance of the biomarker sets (comprising 1 to 25 biomarkers), assessed through the AUC ROC, ranged from 0.611 to 0.734, 0.723 to 0.861, 0.672 to 0.742, and 0.651 to 0.751, for SIDD, SIRD, MOD and MARD, respectively. No biomarkers other than GAD antibodies were determinants of SAID.

CONCLUSIONS/INTERPRETATION

We identified 25 serum biomarkers, as independent determinants of type 2 diabetes subtypes, that could be combined into a diagnostic test for subtyping.

TRIAL REGISTRATION

ORIGIN trial, ClinicalTrials.gov NCT00069784.

Altered blood gene expression in the obesity-related type 2 diabetes cluster may be causally involved in lipid metabolism: a Mendelian randomisation study

AIMS/HYPOTHESIS

The aim of this study was to identify differentially expressed long non-coding RNAs (lncRNAs) and mRNAs in whole blood of people with type 2 diabetes across five different clusters: severe insulin-deficient diabetes (SIDD), severe insulin-resistant diabetes (SIRD), mild obesity-related diabetes (MOD), mild diabetes (MD) and mild diabetes with high HDL-cholesterol (MDH). This was to increase our understanding of different molecular mechanisms underlying the five putative clusters of type 2 diabetes.

METHODS

Participants in the Hoorn Diabetes Care System (DCS) cohort were clustered based on age, BMI, HbA_1c, C-peptide and HDL-cholesterol. Whole blood RNA-seq was used to identify differentially expressed lncRNAs and mRNAs in a cluster compared with all others. Differentially expressed genes were validated in the Innovative Medicines Initiative DIabetes REsearCh on patient straTification (IMI DIRECT) study. Expression quantitative trait loci (eQTLs) for differentially expressed RNAs were obtained from a publicly available dataset. To estimate the causal effects of RNAs on traits, a two-sample Mendelian randomisation analysis was performed using public genome-wide association study (GWAS) data.

RESULTS

Eleven lncRNAs and 175 mRNAs were differentially expressed in the MOD cluster, the lncRNA AL354696.2 was upregulated in the SIDD cluster and GPR15 mRNA was downregulated in the MDH cluster. mRNAs and lncRNAs that were differentially expressed in the MOD cluster were correlated among each other. Six lncRNAs and 120 mRNAs validated in the IMI DIRECT study. Using two-sample Mendelian randomisation, we found 52 mRNAs to have a causal effect on anthropometric traits (n=23) and lipid metabolism traits (n=10). GPR146 showed a causal effect on plasma HDL-cholesterol levels (p = 2×10^-15), without evidence for reverse causality.

CONCLUSIONS/INTERPRETATION

Multiple lncRNAs and mRNAs were found to be differentially expressed among clusters and particularly in the MOD cluster. mRNAs in the MOD cluster showed a possible causal effect on anthropometric traits, lipid metabolism traits and blood cell fractions. Together, our results show that individuals in the MOD cluster show aberrant RNA expression of genes that have a suggested causal role on multiple diabetes-relevant traits.

Precision Medicine in Diabetes

Tailoring treatment or management to groups of individuals based on specific clinical, molecular, and genomic features is the concept of precision medicine. Diabetes is highly heterogenous with respect to clinical manifestations, disease progression, development of complications, and drug response. The current practice for drug treatment is largely based on evidence from clinical trials that report average effects. However, around half of patients with type 2 diabetes do not achieve glycaemic targets despite having a high level of adherence and there are substantial differences in the incidence of adverse outcomes. Therefore, there is a need to identify predictive markers that can inform differential drug responses at the point of prescribing. Recent advances in molecular genetics and increased availability of real-world and randomised trial data have started to increase our understanding of disease heterogeneity and its impact on potential treatments for specific groups. Leveraging information from simple clinical features (age, sex, BMI, ethnicity, and co-prescribed medications) and genomic markers has a potential to identify sub-groups who are likely to benefit from a given drug with minimal adverse effects. In this chapter, we will discuss the state of current evidence in the discovery of clinical and genetic markers that have the potential to optimise drug treatment in type 2 diabetes.

Clinical variable-based cluster analysis identifies novel subgroups with a distinct genetic signature, lipidomic pattern and cardio-renal risks in Asian patients with recent-onset type 2 diabetes

AIMS/HYPOTHESIS

We sought to subtype South East Asian patients with type 2 diabetes by de novo cluster analysis on clinical variables, and to determine whether the novel subgroups carry distinct genetic and lipidomic features as well as differential cardio-renal risks.

METHODS

Analysis by k-means algorithm was performed in 687 participants with recent-onset diabetes in Singapore. Genetic risk for beta cell dysfunction was assessed by polygenic risk score. We used a discovery-validation approach for the lipidomics study. Risks for cardio-renal complications were studied by survival analysis.

RESULTS

Cluster analysis identified three novel diabetic subgroups, i.e. mild obesity-related diabetes (MOD, 45%), mild age-related diabetes with insulin insufficiency (MARD-II, 36%) and severe insulin-resistant diabetes with relative insulin insufficiency (SIRD-RII, 19%). Compared with the MOD subgroup, MARD-II had a higher polygenic risk score for beta cell dysfunction. The SIRD-RII subgroup had higher levels of sphingolipids (ceramides and sphingomyelins) and glycerophospholipids (phosphatidylethanolamine and phosphatidylcholine), whereas the MARD-II subgroup had lower levels of sphingolipids and glycerophospholipids but higher levels of lysophosphatidylcholines. Over a median of 7.3 years follow-up, the SIRD-RII subgroup had the highest risks for incident heart failure and progressive kidney disease, while the MARD-II subgroup had moderately elevated risk for kidney disease progression.

CONCLUSIONS/INTERPRETATION

Cluster analysis on clinical variables identified novel subgroups with distinct genetic, lipidomic signatures and varying cardio-renal risks in South East Asian participants with type 2 diabetes. Our study suggests that this easily actionable approach may be adapted in other ethnic populations to stratify the heterogeneous type 2 diabetes population for precision medicine.

Identification of Novel Metabolic Subtypes Using Multi-Trait Limited Mixed Regression in the Chinese Population

The aggregation and interaction of metabolic risk factors leads to highly heterogeneous pathogeneses, manifestations, and outcomes, hindering risk stratification and targeted management. To deconstruct the heterogeneity, we used baseline data from phase II of the Fangshan Family-Based Ischemic Stroke Study (FISSIC), and a total of 4632 participants were included. A total of 732 individuals who did not have any component of metabolic syndrome (MetS) were set as a reference group, while 3900 individuals with metabolic abnormalities were clustered into subtypes using multi-trait limited mixed regression (MFMR). Four metabolic subtypes were identified with the dominant characteristics of abdominal obesity, hypertension, hyperglycemia, and dyslipidemia. Multivariate logistic regression showed that the hyperglycemia-dominant subtype had the highest coronary heart disease (CHD) risk (OR: 6.440, 95% CI: 3.177-13.977) and that the dyslipidemia-dominant subtype had the highest stroke risk (OR: 2.450, 95% CI: 1.250-5.265). Exome-wide association studies (EWASs) identified eight SNPs related to the dyslipidemia-dominant subtype with genome-wide significance, which were located in the genes APOA5, BUD13, ZNF259, and WNT4. Functional analysis revealed an enrichment of top genes in metabolism-related biological pathways and expression in the heart, brain, arteries, and kidneys. Our findings provide directions for future attempts at risk stratification and evidence-based management in populations with metabolic abnormalities from a systematic perspective.

Metabolic and proteomic signatures of type 2 diabetes subtypes in an Arab population

Type 2 diabetes (T2D) has a heterogeneous etiology influencing its progression, treatment, and complications. A data driven cluster analysis in European individuals with T2D previously identified four subtypes: severe insulin deficient (SIDD), severe insulin resistant (SIRD), mild obesity-related (MOD), and mild age-related (MARD) diabetes. Here, the clustering approach was applied to individuals with T2D from the Qatar Biobank and validated in an independent set. Cluster-specific signatures of circulating metabolites and proteins were established, revealing subtype-specific molecular mechanisms, including activation of the complement system with features of autoimmune diabetes and reduced 1,5-anhydroglucitol in SIDD, impaired insulin signaling in SIRD, and elevated leptin and fatty acid binding protein levels in MOD. The MARD cluster was the healthiest with metabolomic and proteomic profiles most similar to the controls. We have translated the T2D subtypes to an Arab population and identified distinct molecular signatures to further our understanding of the etiology of these subtypes.

A novel diabetes typology: towards precision diabetology from pathogenesis to treatment

The current classification of diabetes, based on hyperglycaemia, islet-directed antibodies and some insufficiently defined clinical features, does not reflect differences in aetiological mechanisms and in the clinical course of people with diabetes. This review discusses evidence from recent studies addressing the complexity of diabetes by proposing novel subgroups (subtypes) of diabetes. The most widely replicated and validated approach identified, in addition to severe autoimmune diabetes, four subgroups designated severe insulin-deficient diabetes, severe insulin-resistant diabetes, mild obesity-related diabetes and mild age-related diabetes subgroups. These subgroups display distinct patterns of clinical features, disease progression and onset of comorbidities and complications, with severe insulin-resistant diabetes showing the highest risk for cardiovascular, kidney and fatty liver diseases. While it has been suggested that people in these subgroups would benefit from stratified treatments, RCTs are required to assess the clinical utility of any reclassification effort. Several methodological and practical issues also need further study: the statistical approach used to define subgroups and derive recommendations for diabetes care; the stability of subgroups over time; the optimal dataset (e.g. phenotypic vs genotypic) for reclassification; the transethnic generalisability of findings; and the applicability in clinical routine care. Despite these open questions, the concept of a new classification of diabetes has already allowed researchers to gain more insight into the colourful picture of diabetes and has stimulated progress in this field so that precision diabetology may become reality in the future.

A roadmap to achieve pharmacological precision medicine in diabetes

Current pharmacological treatment of diabetes is largely algorithmic. Other than for cardiovascular disease or renal disease, where sodium-glucose cotransporter 2 inhibitors and/or glucagon-like peptide-1 receptor agonists are indicated, the choice of treatment is based upon overall risks of harm or side effect and cost, and not on probable benefit. Here we argue that a more precise approach to treatment choice is necessary to maximise benefit and minimise harm from existing diabetes therapies. We propose a roadmap to achieve precision medicine as standard of care, to discuss current progress in relation to monogenic diabetes and type 2 diabetes, and to determine what additional work is required. The first step is to identify robust and reliable genetic predictors of response, recognising that genotype is static over time and provides the skeleton upon which modifiers such as clinical phenotype and metabolic biomarkers can be overlaid. The second step is to identify these metabolic biomarkers (e.g. beta cell function, insulin sensitivity, BMI, liver fat, metabolite profile), which capture the metabolic state at the point of prescribing and may have a large impact on drug response. Third, we need to show that predictions that utilise these genetic and metabolic biomarkers improve therapeutic outcomes for patients, and fourth, that this is cost-effective. Finally, these biomarkers and prediction models need to be embedded in clinical care systems to enable effective and equitable clinical implementation. Whilst this roadmap is largely complete for monogenic diabetes, we still have considerable work to do to implement this for type 2 diabetes. Increasing collaborations, including with industry, and access to clinical trial data should enable progress to implementation of precision treatment in type 2 diabetes in the near future.

Novel Subgroups of Type 2 Diabetes Display Different Epigenetic Patterns That Associate With Future Diabetic Complications

OBJECTIVE

Type 2 diabetes (T2D) was recently reclassified into severe insulin-deficient diabetes (SIDD), severe insulin-resistant diabetes (SIRD), mild obesity-related diabetes (MOD), and mild age-related diabetes (MARD), which have different risk of complications. We explored whether DNA methylation differs between these subgroups and whether subgroup-unique methylation risk scores (MRSs) predict diabetic complications.

RESEARCH DESIGN AND METHODS

Genome-wide DNA methylation was analyzed in blood from subjects with newly diagnosed T2D in discovery and replication cohorts. Subgroup-unique MRSs were built, including top subgroup-unique DNA methylation sites. Regression models examined whether MRSs associated with subgroups and future complications.

RESULTS

We found epigenetic differences between the T2D subgroups. Subgroup-unique MRSs were significantly different in those patients allocated to each respective subgroup compared with the combined group of all other subgroups. These associations were validated in an independent replication cohort, showing that subgroup-unique MRSs associate with individual subgroups (odds ratios 1.6-6.1 per 1-SD increase, P < 0.01). Subgroup-unique MRSs were also associated with future complications. Higher MOD-MRS was associated with lower risk of cardiovascular (hazard ratio [HR] 0.65, P = 0.001) and renal (HR 0.50, P < 0.001) disease, whereas higher SIRD-MRS and MARD-MRS were associated with an increased risk of these complications (HR 1.4-1.9 per 1-SD increase, P < 0.01). Of 95 methylation sites included in subgroup-unique MRSs, 39 were annotated to genes previously linked to diabetes-related traits, including TXNIP and ELOVL2. Methylation in the blood of 18 subgroup-unique sites mirrors epigenetic patterns in tissues relevant for T2D, muscle and adipose tissue.

CONCLUSIONS

We identified differential epigenetic patterns between T2D subgroups that associated with future diabetic complications. These data support a reclassification of diabetes and the need for precision medicine in T2D subgroups.

Prevalence Trends of Diabetes Subgroups in the United States: A Data-driven Analysis Spanning Three Decades From NHANES (1988-2018)

CONTEXT

Data-driven diabetes subgroups were proposed as an alternative to address diabetes heterogeneity. However, changes in trends for these subgroups have not been reported.

OBJECTIVE

Here, we analyzed trends of diabetes subgroups, stratified by sex, race, education level, age categories, and time since diabetes diagnosis in the United States.

METHODS

We used data from consecutive NHANES cycles spanning the 1988-2018 period. Diabetes subgroups (mild obesity-related [MOD], severe insulin-deficient [SIDD], severe insulin-resistant [SIRD], and mild age-related diabetes [MARD]) were classified using validated self-normalizing neural networks. Severe autoimmune diabetes (SAID) was assessed for NHANES-III. Prevalence was estimated using examination sample weights considering bicyclic changes (BCs) to evaluate trends and changes over time.

RESULTS

Diabetes prevalence in the United States increased from 7.5% (95% CI 7.1-7.9) in 1988-1989 to 13.9% (95% CI 13.4-14.4) in 2016-2018 (BC 1.09%, 95% CI 0.98-1.31, P < .001). Non-Hispanic Black people had the highest prevalence. Overall, MOD, MARD, and SIDD had an increase during the studied period. Particularly, non-Hispanic Black people had sharp increases in MARD and SIDD, Mexican Americans in SIDD, and non-Hispanic White people in MARD. Males, subjects with secondary/high school, and adults aged 40-64 years had the highest increase in MOD prevalence. Trends in diabetes subgroups sustained after stratifying time since diabetes diagnosis.

CONCLUSION

Prevalence of diabetes and its subgroups in the United States has increased from 1988 to 2018. These trends were different across sex, ethnicities, education, and age categories, indicating significant heterogeneity in diabetes within the US obesity burden, population aging, socioeconomic disparities, and lifestyle aspects could be implicated in the increasing trends of diabetes in the United States.