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Ikram MA, Kieboom BCT, Brouwer WP, Brusselle G, Chaker L, Ghanbari M, Goedegebure A, Ikram MK, Kavousi M, de Knegt RJ, Luik AI, van Meurs J, Pardo LM, Rivadeneira F, van Rooij FJA, Vernooij MW, Voortman T, Terzikhan N. The Rotterdam Study. Design update and major findings between 2020 and 2024. Eur J Epidemiol 2024; 39:183-206. [PMID: 38324224 DOI: 10.1007/s10654-023-01094-1] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 07/21/2023] [Accepted: 12/14/2023] [Indexed: 02/08/2024]
Abstract
The Rotterdam Study is a population-based cohort study, started in 1990 in the district of Ommoord in the city of Rotterdam, the Netherlands, with the aim to describe the prevalence and incidence, unravel the etiology, and identify targets for prediction, prevention or intervention of multifactorial diseases in mid-life and elderly. The study currently includes 17,931 participants (overall response rate 65%), aged 40 years and over, who are examined in-person every 3 to 5 years in a dedicated research facility, and who are followed-up continuously through automated linkage with health care providers, both regionally and nationally. Research within the Rotterdam Study is carried out along two axes. First, research lines are oriented around diseases and clinical conditions, which are reflective of medical specializations. Second, cross-cutting research lines transverse these clinical demarcations allowing for inter- and multidisciplinary research. These research lines generally reflect subdomains within epidemiology. This paper describes recent methodological updates and main findings from each of these research lines. Also, future perspective for coming years highlighted.
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Affiliation(s)
- M Arfan Ikram
- Department of Epidemiology, Erasmus MC University Medical Center, Rotterdam, Netherlands.
| | - Brenda C T Kieboom
- Department of Epidemiology, Erasmus MC University Medical Center, Rotterdam, Netherlands
| | - Willem Pieter Brouwer
- Department of Hepatology, Erasmus MC University Medical Center, Rotterdam, Netherlands
| | - Guy Brusselle
- Department of Epidemiology, Erasmus MC University Medical Center, Rotterdam, Netherlands
- Department of Pulmonology, University Hospital Ghent, Ghent, Belgium
| | - Layal Chaker
- Department of Epidemiology, and Department of Internal Medicine, Erasmus MC University Medical Center, Rotterdam, Netherlands
| | - Mohsen Ghanbari
- Department of Epidemiology, Erasmus MC University Medical Center, Rotterdam, Netherlands
| | - André Goedegebure
- Department of Otorhinolaryngology and Head & Neck Surgery, Erasmus MC University Medical Center, Rotterdam, Netherlands
| | - M Kamran Ikram
- Department of Epidemiology, and Department of Neurology, Erasmus MC University Medical Center, Rotterdam, Netherlands
| | - Maryam Kavousi
- Department of Epidemiology, Erasmus MC University Medical Center, Rotterdam, Netherlands
| | - Rob J de Knegt
- Department of Hepatology, Erasmus MC University Medical Center, Rotterdam, Netherlands
| | - Annemarie I Luik
- Department of Epidemiology, Erasmus MC University Medical Center, Rotterdam, Netherlands
| | - Joyce van Meurs
- Department of Internal Medicine, Erasmus MC University Medical Center, Rotterdam, Netherlands
| | - Luba M Pardo
- Department of Dermatology, Erasmus MC University Medical Center, Rotterdam, Netherlands
| | - Fernando Rivadeneira
- Department of Medicine, and Department of Oral & Maxillofacial Surgery, Erasmus MC University Medical Center, Rotterdam, Netherlands
| | - Frank J A van Rooij
- Department of Epidemiology, Erasmus MC University Medical Center, Rotterdam, Netherlands
| | - Meike W Vernooij
- Department of Epidemiology, and Department of Radiology & Nuclear Medicine, Erasmus MC University Medical Center, Rotterdam, Netherlands
| | - Trudy Voortman
- Department of Epidemiology, Erasmus MC University Medical Center, Rotterdam, Netherlands
| | - Natalie Terzikhan
- Department of Epidemiology, Erasmus MC University Medical Center, Rotterdam, Netherlands
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González-Lleó AM, Sánchez-Hernández RM, Plana N, Ibarretxe D, Rehues P, Ribalta J, Llop D, Wägner AM, Masana L, Boronat M. Impact of PCSK9 inhibitors in glycaemic control and new-onset diabetes. Cardiovasc Diabetol 2024; 23:4. [PMID: 38172901 PMCID: PMC10765818 DOI: 10.1186/s12933-023-02077-y] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 10/05/2023] [Accepted: 11/27/2023] [Indexed: 01/05/2024] Open
Abstract
BACKGROUND The diabetogenic effect of statins has been well established by clinical trials, Mendelian randomisation studies and meta-analyses. According to large clinical trials, PCSK9 inhibitors (PCSK9i) have no deleterious impact on glucose metabolism. However, few real-life studies have yet evaluated the long-term effects of these drugs on glucose homeostasis and their impact on new-onset diabetes (NODM). METHODS We studied 218 patients treated with either alirocumab or evolocumab (70% with familial hypercholesterolemia) for at least three years (PCSK9iG). We studied the NODM rate in the nondiabetic group at baseline (168) and overall glucose metabolism control in the whole group. Incidental DM was compared with two groups. The first was a propensity score matching (PSM)-selected group (n = 168) from the database of patients attending the Reus lipid unit (Metbank, n = 745) who were not on PCSK9i (PSMG). The second was a subgroup with a similar age range (n = 563) of the Di@bet.es study (Spanish prospective study on diabetes development n = 5072) (D@G). The incidence was reported as the percentage of NODM cases per year. RESULTS The fasting glucose (FG) level of the subjects with normoglycaemia at baseline increased from 91 (86-95.5) to 93 (87-101) mg/dL (p = 0.014). There were 14 NODM cases in the PCSK9i group (2.6%/y), all among people with prediabetes at baseline. The incidence of NODM in PSMG and D@G was 1.8%/y (p = 0.69 compared with the PCSK9iG). The incidence among the subjects with prediabetes was 5.1%/y in the PCSK9iG, 4.8%/y in the PSMG and 3.9%/y in the D@G (p = 0.922 and p = 0.682, respectively). In the multivariate analysis, only the FG level was associated with the development of NODM in the PCSK9iG (OR 1.1; 95% CI: 1.0-1.3; p = 0.027). Neither FG nor A1c levels changed significantly in patients with DM at baseline. CONCLUSION A nonsignificant increase in NODM occurred in the PCSK9iG, particularly in patients with prediabetes, compared with the PSMG and D@G groups. Baseline FG levels were the main variable associated with the development of DM. In the subjects who had DM at baseline, glucose control did not change. The impact of PCSK9i on glucose metabolism should not be of concern when prescribing these therapies.
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Affiliation(s)
- Ana M González-Lleó
- Sección de Endocrinología y Nutrición. Complejo Hospitalario Universitario Insular Materno-Infantil de Gran Canaria (CHUIMI), Las Palmas de Gran Canaria, España.
- Instituto Universitario de Investigaciones Biomédicas y Sanitarias (IUIBS), Universidad de Las Palmas de Gran Canaria (ULPGC), Las Palmas de Gran Canaria, España.
| | - Rosa M Sánchez-Hernández
- Sección de Endocrinología y Nutrición. Complejo Hospitalario Universitario Insular Materno-Infantil de Gran Canaria (CHUIMI), Las Palmas de Gran Canaria, España
- Instituto Universitario de Investigaciones Biomédicas y Sanitarias (IUIBS), Universidad de Las Palmas de Gran Canaria (ULPGC), Las Palmas de Gran Canaria, España
| | - Núria Plana
- Universitat Rovira i Virgili. Unidad de Medicina Vascular y Metabolismo. Unitat de Recerca Lipids i Arteriosclerosi. Hospital Universitari Sant Joan, IISPV: CIBERDEM., Reus, España
| | - Daiana Ibarretxe
- Universitat Rovira i Virgili. Unidad de Medicina Vascular y Metabolismo. Unitat de Recerca Lipids i Arteriosclerosi. Hospital Universitari Sant Joan, IISPV: CIBERDEM., Reus, España
| | - Pere Rehues
- Universitat Rovira i Virgili. Unidad de Medicina Vascular y Metabolismo. Unitat de Recerca Lipids i Arteriosclerosi. Hospital Universitari Sant Joan, IISPV: CIBERDEM., Reus, España
| | - Josep Ribalta
- Universitat Rovira i Virgili. Unidad de Medicina Vascular y Metabolismo. Unitat de Recerca Lipids i Arteriosclerosi. Hospital Universitari Sant Joan, IISPV: CIBERDEM., Reus, España
| | - Dídac Llop
- Universitat Rovira i Virgili. Unidad de Medicina Vascular y Metabolismo. Unitat de Recerca Lipids i Arteriosclerosi. Hospital Universitari Sant Joan, IISPV: CIBERDEM., Reus, España
| | - Ana M Wägner
- Sección de Endocrinología y Nutrición. Complejo Hospitalario Universitario Insular Materno-Infantil de Gran Canaria (CHUIMI), Las Palmas de Gran Canaria, España
- Instituto Universitario de Investigaciones Biomédicas y Sanitarias (IUIBS), Universidad de Las Palmas de Gran Canaria (ULPGC), Las Palmas de Gran Canaria, España
| | - Lluís Masana
- Universitat Rovira i Virgili. Unidad de Medicina Vascular y Metabolismo. Unitat de Recerca Lipids i Arteriosclerosi. Hospital Universitari Sant Joan, IISPV: CIBERDEM., Reus, España
| | - Mauro Boronat
- Sección de Endocrinología y Nutrición. Complejo Hospitalario Universitario Insular Materno-Infantil de Gran Canaria (CHUIMI), Las Palmas de Gran Canaria, España
- Instituto Universitario de Investigaciones Biomédicas y Sanitarias (IUIBS), Universidad de Las Palmas de Gran Canaria (ULPGC), Las Palmas de Gran Canaria, España
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Zeng R, Cao X, Chen N, Pei L, Xu C, Wang C, Liu H, Deng W, Li Y. Application of glycemic qualification rate based on fingerstick glucose monitoring in women with gestational diabetes mellitus. J Matern Fetal Neonatal Med 2023; 36:2203797. [PMID: 37080918 DOI: 10.1080/14767058.2023.2203797] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 04/22/2023]
Abstract
OBJECTIVE To explore the appropriate application of glycemic qualification rate (GQR) calculated by fingerstick blood glucose (BG) monitoring for patients with gestational diabetes mellitus (GDM) by analyzing the relationship between BG control and adverse pregnancy outcomes. METHODS Fingerstick Blood Glucose data during the second and third trimester of singleton pregnant women diagnosed with GDM were collected. GQR which is defined as the percentage of fingerstick BG values reaching the targets of BG control in a period of time was calculated. Patients were divided into three groups according to tertiles (tertile 1, GQR <56.25%; tertile 2, GQR 56.25-75%; and tertile 3, GQR ≥75%). Pregnant outcomes were compared among the three groups. Univariate analysis and logistic regression were performed to analyze the potential relationship between GQR and pregnancy outcomes. Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves were calculated to determine the cutoff values. We also explored that whether twice or three times monitoring per day would be adequate for GQR calculation, so we brought in two or three glucose measuring times per day to explore the relationship between new GQR and adverse outcomes. RESULTS A total of 311 patients diagnosed with GDM were analyzed. In univariate analysis, the incidences of cesarean section of tertile 1-3 groups were 61.4%, 58.7%, and 44.9%, respectively (p < .05). The incidences of neonatal hypoglycemia of tertiles 1-3 groups were 19.8%, 18.6%, and 8.7% (p < .05). The difference of composite outcomes was statistically significant (p = .001). After adjustment, the patients with worse BG control (lower GQR) had higher risk of cesarean section (tertile 1 - aOR = 2.029, 1.128-3.648), neonatal hypoglycemia (tertile 1: aOR = 2.498, 1.082-5.766) as well as composite outcomes. The ROC curve of GQR indicated the predictive value for neonatal hypoglycemia (area under the ROC curve (AUC) 0.612 (0.532-0.692)) and neonatal composite outcomes (AUC 0.593 (0.528-0.657)) with optimal cutoff values of 81.1% and 73.5%, respectively. We also explored that whether twice or three times monitoring per day would be adequate for GQR calculation. The result showed that GQR only calculated by FBG + 2hPG after lunch (2h AL) per day also had well relationship with cesarean section (tertile 1: OR = 2.412, 1.322-4.398), neonatal hypoglycemia (tertile 1: aOR = 4.497, 1.607-12.586), and neonatal composite outcomes (tertile 1: aOR = 1.959, 95% confidence interval (CI): 1.114-3.444, p = .020). CONCLUSIONS The GQR calculated by the easily applicable fingerstick BG is related to occurrence of cesarean section and neonatal hypoglycemia in GDM women. GQR ≥ 80% is recommended for better pregnancy outcomes. As for the number of points monitoring per day, GQR calculated by FBG + 2h AL was an optimal option for better pregnancy outcomes if mothers needed to simplify the process of monitoring.
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Affiliation(s)
- Rui Zeng
- Department of Endocrinology, The First Affiliated Hospital, Sun Yat-sen University, Guangzhou, China
| | - Xiaopei Cao
- Department of Endocrinology, The First Affiliated Hospital, Sun Yat-sen University, Guangzhou, China
| | - Nan Chen
- Department of Endocrinology, The First Affiliated Hospital, Sun Yat-sen University, Guangzhou, China
| | - Ling Pei
- Department of Endocrinology, The First Affiliated Hospital, Sun Yat-sen University, Guangzhou, China
| | - Changliu Xu
- Department of Endocrinology, The First Affiliated Hospital, Sun Yat-sen University, Guangzhou, China
| | - Chenxue Wang
- Department of Endocrinology, The First Affiliated Hospital, Sun Yat-sen University, Guangzhou, China
| | - Huiling Liu
- Department of Endocrinology, The First Affiliated Hospital, Sun Yat-sen University, Guangzhou, China
| | - Wanping Deng
- Department of Endocrinology, The First Affiliated Hospital, Sun Yat-sen University, Guangzhou, China
| | - Yanbing Li
- Department of Endocrinology, The First Affiliated Hospital, Sun Yat-sen University, Guangzhou, China
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Yang G, Schooling CM. Genetically mimicked effects of ASGR1 inhibitors on all-cause mortality and health outcomes: a drug-target Mendelian randomization study and a phenome-wide association study. BMC Med 2023; 21:235. [PMID: 37400795 DOI: 10.1186/s12916-023-02903-w] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 03/04/2023] [Accepted: 05/19/2023] [Indexed: 07/05/2023] Open
Abstract
BACKGROUND Asialoglycoprotein receptor 1 (ASGR1) is emerging as a potential drug target to reduce low-density lipoprotein (LDL)-cholesterol and coronary artery disease (CAD) risk. Here, we investigated genetically mimicked ASGR1 inhibitors on all-cause mortality and any possible adverse effects. METHODS We conducted a drug-target Mendelian randomization study to assess genetically mimicked effects of ASGR1 inhibitors on all-cause mortality and 25 a priori outcomes relevant to lipid traits, CAD, and possible adverse effects, i.e. liver function, cholelithiasis, adiposity and type 2 diabetes. We also performed a phenome-wide association study of 1951 health-related phenotypes to identify any novel effects. Associations found were compared with those for currently used lipid modifiers, assessed using colocalization, and replicated where possible. RESULTS Genetically mimicked ASGR1 inhibitors were associated with a longer lifespan (3.31 years per standard deviation reduction in LDL-cholesterol, 95% confidence interval 1.01 to 5.62). Genetically mimicked ASGR1 inhibitors were inversely associated with apolipoprotein B (apoB), triglycerides (TG) and CAD risk. Genetically mimicked ASGR1 inhibitors were positively associated with alkaline phosphatase, gamma glutamyltransferase, erythrocyte traits, insulin-like growth factor 1 (IGF-1) and C-reactive protein (CRP), but were inversely associated with albumin and calcium. Genetically mimicked ASGR1 inhibitors were not associated with cholelithiasis, adiposity or type 2 diabetes. Associations with apoB and TG were stronger for ASGR1 inhibitors compared with currently used lipid modifiers, and most non-lipid effects were specific to ASGR1 inhibitors. The probabilities for colocalization were > 0.80 for most of these associations, but were 0.42 for lifespan and 0.30 for CAD. These associations were replicated using alternative genetic instruments and other publicly available genetic summary statistics. CONCLUSIONS Genetically mimicked ASGR1 inhibitors reduced all-cause mortality. Beyond lipid-lowering, genetically mimicked ASGR1 inhibitors increased liver enzymes, erythrocyte traits, IGF-1 and CRP, but decreased albumin and calcium.
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Affiliation(s)
- Guoyi Yang
- School of Public Health, Li Ka Shing Faculty of Medicine, The University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong, China.
| | - C Mary Schooling
- School of Public Health, Li Ka Shing Faculty of Medicine, The University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong, China
- Graduate School of Public Health and Health Policy, City University of New York, New York, USA
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Yuan S, Merino J, Larsson SC. Causal factors underlying diabetes risk informed by Mendelian randomisation analysis: evidence, opportunities and challenges. Diabetologia 2023; 66:800-812. [PMID: 36786839 PMCID: PMC10036461 DOI: 10.1007/s00125-023-05879-7] [Citation(s) in RCA: 8] [Impact Index Per Article: 8.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 10/05/2022] [Accepted: 01/04/2023] [Indexed: 02/15/2023]
Abstract
Diabetes and its complications cause a heavy disease burden globally. Identifying exposures, risk factors and molecular processes causally associated with the development of diabetes can provide important evidence bases for disease prevention and spur novel therapeutic strategies. Mendelian randomisation (MR), an epidemiological approach that uses genetic instruments to infer causal associations between an exposure and an outcome, can be leveraged to complement evidence from observational and clinical studies. This narrative review aims to summarise the evidence on potential causal risk factors for diabetes by integrating published MR studies on type 1 and 2 diabetes, and to reflect on future perspectives of MR studies on diabetes. Despite the genetic influence on type 1 diabetes, few MR studies have been conducted to identify causal exposures or molecular processes leading to increased disease risk. In type 2 diabetes, MR analyses support causal associations of somatic, mental and lifestyle factors with development of the disease. These studies have also identified biomarkers, some of them derived from the gut microbiota, and molecular processes leading to increased disease risk. These studies provide valuable data to better understand disease pathophysiology and explore potential therapeutic targets. Because genetic association studies have mostly been restricted to participants of European descent, multi-ancestry cohorts are needed to examine the role of different types of physical activity, dietary components, metabolites, protein biomarkers and gut microbiome in diabetes development.
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Affiliation(s)
- Shuai Yuan
- Unit of Cardiovascular and Nutritional Epidemiology, Institute of Environmental Medicine, Karolinska Institutet, Stockholm, Sweden
| | - Jordi Merino
- Diabetes Unit and Center for Genomic Medicine, Massachusetts General Hospital, Boston, MA, USA
- Programs in Metabolism and Medical and Population Genetics, Eli and Edythe L. Broad Institute of MIT and Harvard, Cambridge, MA, USA
- Department of Medicine, Harvard Medical School, Boston, MA, USA
- Novo Nordisk Foundation Center for Basic Metabolic Research, Faculty of Health and Medical Sciences, University of Copenhagen, Copenhagen, Denmark
| | - Susanna C Larsson
- Unit of Cardiovascular and Nutritional Epidemiology, Institute of Environmental Medicine, Karolinska Institutet, Stockholm, Sweden.
- Unit of Medical Epidemiology, Department of Surgical Sciences, Uppsala University, Uppsala, Sweden.
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Yang G, Schooling CM. Statins, Type 2 Diabetes, and Body Mass Index: A Univariable and Multivariable Mendelian Randomization Study. J Clin Endocrinol Metab 2023; 108:385-396. [PMID: 36184662 DOI: 10.1210/clinem/dgac562] [Citation(s) in RCA: 1] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 05/18/2022] [Revised: 09/22/2022] [Indexed: 01/20/2023]
Abstract
CONTEXT Statins and possibly other lipid modifiers increase type 2 diabetes risk and body mass index (BMI). However, to what extent BMI mediates the diabetogenic effects of lipid modifiers remains unclear. OBJECTIVE We used Mendelian randomization (MR) to investigate the effects of commonly used lipid modifiers on type 2 diabetes risk and glycemic traits, and any mediation by BMI. METHODS Using established genetic variants to mimic commonly used lipid modifiers (ie, statins, PCSK9 inhibitors, and ezetimibe), we assessed their associations with type 2 diabetes risk, glycated hemoglobin (HbA1c), fasting insulin, fasting glucose, and BMI in the largest relevant genome-wide association studies (GWAS) in people of European ancestry, and where possible, in East Asians. We used multivariable MR to examine the role of lipid modifiers independent of BMI. RESULTS Genetically mimicked effects of statins and ezetimibe, but not PCSK9 inhibitors were associated with higher risk of type 2 diabetes (odds ratio [OR] 1.74 [95% CI, 1.49 to 2.03]; 1.92 [1.22 to 3.02]; 1.06 [0.87 to 1.29] per SD reduction in low-density lipoprotein (LDL)-cholesterol). Of these lipid modifiers, only genetic mimics of statins were associated with higher BMI (0.33 SD [0.29 to 0.38] per SD reduction in LDL-cholesterol), which explained 54% of the total effect of statins on type 2 diabetes risk. CONCLUSION Higher BMI mediated more than half of the diabetogenic effects of statins, which did not extend to other commonly used lipid modifiers. Further investigations are needed to clarify drug-specific mechanisms underlying the effects of lipid modifiers on type 2 diabetes.
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Affiliation(s)
- Guoyi Yang
- School of Public Health, Li Ka Shing Faculty of Medicine, The University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong 999077, China
| | - C Mary Schooling
- School of Public Health, Li Ka Shing Faculty of Medicine, The University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong 999077, China
- Graduate School of Public Health and Health Policy, City University of New York, New York 10027, USA
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LDL-Cholesterin-Senker: Diabetogene Wirkung durch Fettleibigkeit? DIABETOL STOFFWECHS 2022. [DOI: 10.1055/a-1732-8674] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 10/18/2022]
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Ma Y, Zhou Z, Li X, Ding K, Xiao H, Wu Y, Wu T, Chen D. Linear and nonlinear analyses of the association between low-density lipoprotein cholesterol and diabetes: The spurious U-curve in observational study. Front Endocrinol (Lausanne) 2022; 13:1009095. [PMID: 36465637 PMCID: PMC9714469 DOI: 10.3389/fendo.2022.1009095] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 08/01/2022] [Accepted: 11/02/2022] [Indexed: 11/18/2022] Open
Abstract
OBJECTIVE Hyperlipidemia is traditionally considered a risk factor for diabetes. The effect of low-density lipoprotein cholesterol (LDL-C) is counterintuitive to diabetes. We sought to investigate the relationship between LDL-C and diabetes for better lipid management. METHODS We tested the shape of association between LDL-C and diabetes and created polygenic risk scores of LDL-C and generated linear Mendelian randomization (MR) estimates for the effect of LDL-C and diabetes. We evaluated for nonlinearity in the observational and genetic relationship between LDL-C and diabetes. RESULTS Traditional observational analysis suggested a complex non-linear association between LDL-C and diabetes while nonlinear MR analyses found no evidence for a non-linear association. Under the assumption of linear association, we found a consistently protective effect of LDL-C against diabetes among the females without lipid-lowering drugs use. The ORs were 0.84 (95% CI, 0.72-0.97, P=0.0168) in an observational analysis which was more prominent in MR analysis and suggested increasing the overall distribution of LDL-C in females led to an overall decrease in the risk of diabetes (P=0.0258). CONCLUSIONS We verified the liner protective effect of LDL-C against diabetes among the females without lipid-lowering drug use. Non-linear associations between LDL-C against diabetes in observational analysis are not causal.
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