The Epidemiology of HIV in Oman, 1984-2018: A Nationwide Study from the Middle East

Exploring factors influencing acceptability of online capacity building platform for HIV and AIDS monitoring and evaluation in Ghana

Introduction: Ghana's multi-sectoral approach towards the management of HIV and AIDS has resulted in many community-level activities and programs aimed at stopping HIV infections and reducing the impact of HIV and AIDS. This study seeks to investigate whether Monitoring & Evaluation (M&E) officers in Ghana will be willing to join in an electronic learning platform which is web-based as a means of building M&E capacity. Methods: 123 out of 130 participants were involved in the study. Continuous and categorical variables were analysed using means and proportions. Structural equation Modelling technique was used to determine the factors associated with acceptability/intention to use. Results: The results showed that Attitude toward usage had a positive significant influence on acceptability/intention to use (AITU). In addition, experience with online learning and Internet discussion also had a positive influence on perceived usefulness and perceived ease of use respectively. The overall model shows 71% of variation of M&E officers' attitude toward usage on acceptability/intention to use online M&E platform as observed by the covariates in the model. Conclusions: Attitude toward usage was observed to be the strongest determinant of the AITU online HIV/AIDS M&E platform for monitoring and evaluation activities.

Treatment outcomes 12 months after antiretroviral therapy initiation in Oman: a nationwide study from the Middle East

ABSTRACTWe used routinely collected programme data on people living with HIV in Oman who started ART in 2014-2018 to assess retention on ART, viral suppression, attrition (mortality or loss to follow-up [LTFU]) and treatment failure (attrition or HIV viral load of > 1000 copies/mL) 12 months after antiretroviral therapy (ART) initiation. We identified 726 patients; 72% were male. Overall, 12 months retention on ART and viral suppression (intention-to-treat [ITT] analysis) were 85.7% and 74.5%, respectively. Attrition occurred in 14.3% (mortality of 7% and LTFU of 7.3%). Retention increased from 78.8% (93/118) to 90.6% (144/159) among patients who started ART in 2014 and 2018, respectively. Similarly, ITT and on-treatment analyses revealed that viral suppression 12 months after ART initiation increased from 57.6% (68/118) and 73.1% (68/93) among patients who initiated therapy in 2014-80.5% (128/159) and 88.8% (128/144) among patients started treatment in 2018, respectively. On multivariate analysis, older age, having "Other" as an HIV risk factor (compared to heterosexual) and receiving HIV care outside the capital Muscat independently predicted both attrition and treatment failure. Our findings have been useful in identifying factors at the individual and programme level that influenced the risk of attrition and treatment failure.

Predictors of late presentation and advanced HIV disease among people living with HIV in Oman (2000-2019)

Background

The aim of this study was to determine the proportions and predictors of late presentation (LP) and advanced HIV disease (AD) in Oman. LP and AD were defined as presenting with a baseline CD4 count of < 350 and < 200 cells/mm3, respectively.

Methods

We conducted a retrospective database analysis of the National HIV Surveillance System to identify Omani people (≥ 13 years old) who were diagnosed with HIV in the period between January 2000 and December 2019 and had a documented baseline CD4 cell count. We calculated the rates and trend over time of LP and AD. A logistic regression was carried out to determine the predictors of LP and AD.

Results

A total of 1418 patients, who were diagnosed with HIV in the period from January 2000 to December 2019, were included; 71% were male and 66% were heterosexuals. The median (IQR) age at diagnosis was 33 (25–39) years. Overall, 71% (95% CI: 68–73) and 46% (95% CI: 44–49) of patients had LP and AD at presentation, respectively. The LP percentage decreased from 76% in 2000–2004 to 69% in 2015–2019; AD percentage decreased from 57 to 46% over the same period. The proportions of men with LP and AD were higher than women (74% vs. 62 and 50% vs. 36%, respectively). The percentages of persons with LP among people aged 13–24, 25–49, and ≥ 50 years were 65, 71, and 84%, respectively. The proportions of persons with AD among people aged 13–24, 25–49, and ≥ 50 years were 39, 46, and 65%, respectively. Logistic regression showed that male sex, older age, having an “unknown” HIV risk factor, and living outside Muscat were independent predictors of AD. Male sex also independently predicted LP.

Conclusions

This analysis indicates that a significant proportion of new HIV cases in Oman continue to present late. This study identified patient subgroups at greatest risk of late HIV diagnosis such as men and older people. Targeted interventions and greater efforts to scale up HIV testing services in Oman are needed.

Supplementary Information

The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1186/s12889-021-12048-1.

Global Epidemiology of HIV/AIDS: A Resurgence in North America and Europe

We aimed to assess global trends in Human Immunodeficiency Virus (HIV)/Acquired Immune Deficiency Syndrome (AIDS) and evaluate progress toward eradication since the inception of the pandemic. Data were extracted from the Global Burden of Disease 2019 update and the UNAIDS Data 2019. The datasets included annual figures from 1990 to 2019 for HIV/AIDS in 204 countries and all world regions. We analyzed rates and trends for prevalence, incidence, mortality and disability adjusted life years. Analysis of age and gender distribution in different regions was used to assess demographic changes. Forecasting was used to estimate disease burden up to 2040. Although many countries have witnessed a decrease in the incidence, for Russia, Ukraine, Portugal, Brazil, Spain and the United States, the rates of new cases are rising since 2010. This trend is present even in age-standardized analysis, indicating a rise in excess of population growth. Over 0.5% of the world's population is infected. About 5000 new infections occur daily, of which 500 are children. Mortality rates are falling globally; currently at 11 deaths per 100,000 population, forecasted to decrease to 8.5 deaths by 2040. Prevalence continues to increase, with South Africa, Nigeria, Mozambique, India, Kenya and the United States having the highest burden. The total number as well as the rates of new HIV infections are rising every year in Europe, South America, North America and other regions over the last decade. Maternal-to-child transmission continues at high rates despite effective preventive regimens. There is an urgent need to develop programs to curb the rising incidence of HIV.

Disparities between HIV patient subgroups in Oman: An analysis of the 2019 cascade of care

BACKGROUND

The HIV cascade of care is a framework for monitoring HIV care, identifying gaps and informing appropriate interventions. This study aimed to describe the cascade of care in Oman in 2019 and highlight disparities at the sub-population level.

METHODS

We used the UNAIDS Spectrum modelling software to estimate the number of people living with HIV. A national HIV surveillance database was used to identify Omani people (≥13 years old) diagnosed with HIV from 1984 through December 2019. We calculated the cascade indicators as of 31 December 2019 stratified by sex, age, HIV risk factor, residence, and region of HIV care. We also performed multivariate logistic regression to determine the predictors of attrition at linkage, retention, on ART, and viral suppression.

RESULTS

As of December 2019, the estimated number of people living with HIV in Oman was 2440. Out of the estimated number of people living with HIV, 69% were diagnosed, 66% were linked to care, 61% were retained in care, 60% were on ART, and 55% were virally suppressed. Of the 1673 diagnosed individuals, 96% were linked to care, 88% were retained in care, 87% were on ART, and 81% were virally suppressed. People who received HIV care outside Muscat had the largest attrition (11% loss) in the transition from linkage (97%) to retention (86%). Similarly, people aged 13-24 years had the largest attrition (13% loss) from "on ART" (88%) to viral suppression (75%). Logistic regression showed that both not reporting a specific HIV risk factor and receipt of HIV care outside Muscat independently predicted attrition at each cascade stage from linkage to care through viral suppression.

CONCLUSIONS

Our findings identified substantial disparities across various subpopulations along the cascade of care in Oman. This analysis will be invaluable in informing future interventions targeting patient subgroups who are at the highest risk of attrition.

Retention in HIV care and factors associated with loss to follow-up in Oman: a countrywide study from the Middle East

We conducted a cross-sectional analysis to determine the rate of retention in HIV care and the factors associated with loss to follow-up (LTFU) among Omani adults living with HIV who were linked to care as of 31 December 2019. Patients (n = 1610) were identified from a central national HIV surveillance dataset. The majority (68.3%) of patients were male, and the median age was 39 years (IQR, 31-48 years). A total of 1480 patient (91.9%) were retained in care. On multivariate analysis, compared to those who received antiretroviral therapy (ART), patients who had never been on ART were 6.8 (95% CI: 3.05-15.16) times more likely to be lost to follow-up. Patients who had a latest HIV viral load (VL) of 200-999 copies/ml (adjusted odds ratio [aOR]: 4.92, 95% CI: 2.27-10.69) and ≥ 1000 copies/ml (aOR: 15.03, 95% CI: 8.31-27.19) compared to those who had a latest HIV VL of <200 copies/ml had higher odds of loss to follow-up. Moreover, patients who were divorced or widowed were 2.64 (95% CI: 1.14-6.07) times more likely to disengage from HIV services, compared to those who were married. These findings will be invaluable in developing targeted interventions that further improve patients' retention in HIV care in Oman.

The changing profile of paediatric HIV infection: An experience from the Middle East

OBJECTIVE

To describe the clinical and epidemiological profiles of HIV-infected Omani children before and after the implementation of the prevention of mother-to-child transmission of HIV (PMTCT) programme.

METHODS

A retrospective review of HIV-infected children seen at a national paediatric HIV unit between 1992 and 2015 was performed.

RESULTS

Ninety-one HIV-infected children were identified; 59 (65%) were ≤5 years of age at diagnosis, with 28 (47.5%) of these being <1 year old. The average annual incidence of infection per million children (≤14 years old) was 5.7, and the highest (11.6) was in 2010. At diagnosis, 48 (60%) patients had a CD4 count of ˂200cells/mm³. The median HIV viral load was 81600copies/ml at diagnosis and 5911copies/ml at 12 months after HIV treatment (p=0.015). The median CD4 count was 586cells/mm³ at diagnosis and 800cells/mm³ at 12 months after therapy (p=0.004). Compared to those diagnosed before 2009 (n=68), HIV-infected children diagnosed after 2009 (n=22) were more likely to be asymptomatic at the time of HIV diagnosis (23.5% (16/68) vs. 59.1% (13/22); p=0.002) and to have a favourable clinical outcome (42.6% (29/68) vs. 86.4% (19/22); p<0001).

CONCLUSIONS

The number of HIV-infected children in Oman has decreased substantially since the introduction of the PMTCT programme. Furthermore, the HIV-infected children diagnosed after 2009 had higher proportions of asymptomatic HIV infections at diagnosis and favourable clinical outcomes, in comparison to those diagnosed before 2009.