Detection of asymptomatic recurrence following curative surgery improves survival in patients with gastric cancer: A systematic review and meta-analysis

Machine Learning Prediction of Early Recurrence in Gastric Cancer: A Nationwide Real-World Study

BACKGROUND

Patients with gastric cancer (GC) who experience early recurrence (ER) within 2 years postoperatively have poor prognoses. This study aimed to analyze and predict ER after curative surgery for patients with GC using machine learning (ML) methods.

PATIENTS AND METHODS

This multicenter population-based cohort study included data from ten large tertiary regional medical centers in China. The clinical, pathological, and laboratory parameters were retrospectively collected from the records of 11,615 patients. The patients were randomly divided into training (70%) and test (30%) cohorts. A total of ten ML models were developed and validated to predict the ER. Model performance was evaluated using area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC), calibration plots, and Brier score (BS). SHapley Additive exPlanations (SHAP) was used to rank the input features and interpret predictions.

RESULTS

ER was reported in 1794 patients (15%) during follow-up. The stacking ensemble model achieved AUCs of 1.0 and 0.8 in the training and testing cohorts, respectively, with a BS of 0.113. SHAP dependency plots revealed that tumor staging, elevated tumor marker levels, lymphovascular invasion, perineural invasion, and tumor size > 5 cm were associated with higher ER risk. The impact of age and the number of lymph nodes harvested on ER risk exhibited a "U-shaped distribution." Additionally, an online prediction tool based on the best model was developed to facilitate clinical applications.

CONCLUSIONS

We developed a robust clinical model for predicting the risk of ER after surgery for GC, which may aid in individualized clinical decision-making.

Association between CONUT scores and survival outcomes in patients with non-small cell lung cancer: meta-analysis from 4973 Asian cases

Background

The controlling nutritional status (CONUT) score is associated with cancer prognosis. However, a consensus on its prognostic value in patients with non-small cell lung cancer(NSCLC) is lacking. The present study aims to investigate the relationship between the CONUT score and prognostic and clinicopathological features of NSCLC.

Methods

The PubMed, Embase, Web of Science and Cochrane Library were searched up to July 2024. Two researchers used the Newcastle Ottawa Scale (NOS) score to evaluate the quality of the included studies and extracted data. The primary and secondary outcomes were overall survival (OS) and disease-free survival (DFS), and the hazard ratio (HR) and 95% confidence interval (CI) were pooled for meta-analysis. The pooled odds ratio (OR) and 95% CI were used to estimate the correlation between the CONUT score and clinical characteristics. Subgroup analysis and sensitivity analysis were performed during the pooled analysis.Funnel plots as well as Begg's and Egger's tests were used to assess publication bias.

Results

Fifteen high-quality studies with 4973 patients were included. The results indicated that a high CONUT score was associated with poor OS (HR = 1.84, 95%CI: 1.55-2.18; P < 0.0001) and DFS (HR=2.40, 95%CI: 1.73-3.34; P < 0.0001).In addition, a high CONUT score was significantly related to male, advanced age, high CEA, and later TNM stage.

Conclusion

The results of our meta-analysis suggest that a high CONUT score predicts a poor prognosis of NSCLC patients. In clinical practice, the CONUT score could act as an valuable tool to predict clinical outcomes in patients with NSCLC.

Systematic Review Registration

https://inplasy.com, identifier INPLASY202408280100.

Prognostic value of the pretreatment Naples prognostic score in patients with colorectal cancer: a systematic review and meta-analysis

Background

The prognostic significance of the Naples prognostic score (NPS) in colorectal cancer remains uncertain. This study aims to investigate the correlation between the pretreatment NPS and long-term oncological outcomes in patients with colorectal cancer.

Methods

A comprehensive literature search of electronic databases, including PubMed, Embase, and Web of Science, was conducted up to July 1st, 2024. The primary outcomes assessed were survival outcomes. Subgroup analysis and sensitivity analysis were performed during the pooled analysis.

Results

Eight studies including 2571 patients were included. The pooled results indicated that patients in the high NPS group exhibited significantly worse overall survival (HR= 2.08 95%CI: 1.74-2.48; P<0.01; I2 = 0%) and disease-free survival (HR=2.03; 95%CI: 1.49-2.77; P<0.01; I2 = 30%). Notably, the prognostic significance of NPS on both overall survival and disease-free survival was consistent across different geographical regions, tumor stages, and primary treatments examined in this study. Furthermore, sensitivity analyses confirmed the robustness of these combined results.

Conclusion

The pretreatment NPS could serve as a valuable biomarker for predicting long-term oncological outcomes in patients diagnosed with colorectal cancer.

Laparoscopic versus open gastrectomy for nonmetastatic T4a gastric cancer: a meta-analysis of reconstructed individual participant data from propensity score-matched studies

BACKGROUND

​The applicability of laparoscopy to nonmetastatic T4a patients with gastric cancer remains unclear due to the lack of high-quality evidence. The purpose of this study was to compare the survival rates of laparoscopic gastrectomy (LG) versus open gastrectomy (OG) for these patients through a meta-analysis of reconstructed individual participant data from propensity score-matched studies.

METHODS

PubMed, Embase, Web of Science, Cochrane library and CNKI were examined for relevant studies without language restrictions through July 25, 2023. Individual participant data on overall survival (OS) and disease-free survival (DFS) were extracted from the published Kaplan-Meier survival curves. One-stage and two-stage meta-analyses were performed. In addition, data regarding surgical outcomes and recurrence patterns were also collected, which were meta-analyzed using traditional aggregated data.

RESULTS

Six studies comprising 1860 patients were included for analysis. In the one-stage meta-analyses, the results demonstrated that LG was associated with a significantly better DFS (Random-effects model: P = 0.027; Restricted mean survival time [RMST] up to 5 years: P = 0.033) and a comparable OS (Random-effects model: P = 0.135; RMST up to 5 years: P = 0.053) than OG for T4a gastric cancer patients. Two-stage meta-analyses resulted in similar results, with a 13% reduced hazard of cancer-related death (P = 0.04) and 10% reduced hazard of overall mortality (P = 0.11) in the LG group. For secondary outcomes, the pooled results showed an association of LG with less estimated blood loss, faster postoperative recovery and more retrieved lymph nodes.

CONCLUSION

Laparoscopic surgery for patients with nonmetastatic T4a disease is associated with a potential survival benefit and improved surgical outcomes.

The Impact of Sedation on Cardio-Cerebrovascular Adverse Events after Surveillance Esophagogastroduodenoscopy in Patients with Gastric Cancer: A Nationwide Population-Based Cohort Study

Background/Aims

The impact of sedation on cardio-cerebrovascular (CCV) adverse events after esophagogastroduodenoscopy (EGD) in patients with gastric cancer (GC) is unclear. We investigated the incidence rate and impact of sedation on CCV adverse events after surveillance EGD in patients with GC.

Methods

We performed a nationwide population-based cohort study using the Health Insurance Review and Assessment Service databases from January 1, 2018, to December 31, 2020. Using a propensity score-matched analysis, patients with GC were divided into two groups: sedative agent users and nonusers for surveillance EGD. We compared the occurrence of CCV adverse events within 14 days between the two groups.

Results

Of the 103,463 patients with GC, newly diagnosed CCV adverse events occurred in 2.57% of patients within 14 days after surveillance EGD. Sedative agents were used in 41.3% of the patients during EGD. The incidence rates of CCV adverse events with and without sedation were 173.6/10,000 and 315.4/10,000, respectively. Between sedative agent users and nonusers based on propensity score matching (28,008 pairs), there were no significant differences in the occurrence of 14-day CCV, cardiac, cerebral, and other vascular adverse events (2.28% vs 2.22%, p=0.69; 1.44% vs 1.31%, p=0.23; 0.74% vs 0.84%, p=0.20; 0.10% vs 0.07%, p=0.25, respectively).

Conclusions

Sedation during surveillance EGD was not associated with CCV adverse events in patients with GC. Therefore, the use of sedative agents may be considered in patients with GC during surveillance EGD without excessive concerns about CCV adverse events.

Prognostic significance of the Gustave Roussy immune (GRIm) score in cancer patients: a meta-analysis

BACKGROUND

The prognostic value of the Gustave Roussy immune (GRIm) score in cancer patients has been widely reported but remains inconsistent. The aim of this study is to systematically investigate the relationship between the GRIm score and survival outcomes in cancer patients.

METHODS

Relevant literature was identified using electronic databases including Web of Science, PubMed, and Embase from the inception to March 2023. The primary endpoints were long-term oncological outcomes. Subgroup analysis and sensitivity analysis were conducted during the meta-analysis.

RESULTS

Fifteen studies (20 cohorts) including 4997 cancer patients were enrolled. The combined results revealed that patients in the high GRIm group had a deteriorated overall survival (HR = 2.07 95%CI: 1.73-2.48; p < 0.0001; I2 = 62%) and progression-free survival (HR = 1.42; 95%CI: 1.22-1.66; p < 0.0001; I2 = 36%). The prognostic values of GRIm on overall survival and progression-free survival were observed across various tumour types and tumour stages. Sensitivity analysis supported the stability and reliability of the above results.

CONCLUSION

Our evidence suggested that the GRIm score could be a valuable prognostic marker in cancer patients, which can be used by clinicians to stratify patients and formulate individualized treatment plans.

Prognostic significance of the pretreatment pan-immune-inflammation value in cancer patients: an updated meta-analysis of 30 studies

Background

The pan-immune-inflammation value (PIV) has been reported as a promising prognostic biomarker in multiple cancers but still remains inconclusive. The objective of this study is to systematically investigate the association of the pretreatment PIV with survival outcomes in cancer patients, based on available literature.

Methods

Online databases including PubMed, Embase and the Web of Science were thoroughly searched for studies evaluating the prognostic role of the pretreatment PIV in cancers from the inception to June 2023. Hazard ratios (HRs) with 95% confidence intervals (CIs) were always assessed using a random-effects model. Statistical analyses were performed using Stata 12.0.

Results

Thirty studies were finally included after comprehensively study searching. In total, 8,799 cancer patients were enrolled in this meta-analysis. The pooled results demonstrated that patients in the high PIV group had a significantly poorer overall survival (HR = 2.07; 95%CI: 1.77-2.41; I2 = 73.0%) and progression-free survival (HR = 1.83; 95%CI: 1.37-2.45; I2 = 98.2%) than patients in the low PIV group. The prognostic significance of the PIV score on overall survival and progression-free survival was observed across various geographical regions, tumor stages and treatment strategies. Sensitivity analyses supported the stability of the above combined results.

Conclusion

This meta-analysis demonstrated that the pretreatment PIV could be a non-invasive and efficacious prognostic biomarker for cancer patients.

Prognostic significance of the systemic inflammation response index in gastrointestinal malignancy patients: a pooled analysis of 10,091 participants

Background: We performed a meta-analysis to investigate the association of the systemic inflammation response index (SIRI) with long-term survival outcomes in patients with gastrointestinal malignancy. Methods: PubMed, Web of Science and Embase were searched for relevant studies evaluating the prognostic significance of the SIRI in gastrointestinal malignancies until May 2023. Results: 30 studies with 10,091 patients were included. The pooled results identified that patients in the high SIRI group had a worse overall survival and disease-free survival, which was observed across various tumor types, tumor stages and primary treatments. Conclusion: An elevated SIRI is negatively associated with worse survival outcomes of gastrointestinal malignancy patients and can be used as a risk stratification index for gastrointestinal malignancies.

Clinical significance of the advanced lung cancer inflammation index in gastrointestinal cancer patients: a systematic review and meta-analysis

Background

The advanced lung cancer inflammation index (ALI) has been identified as a scientific and clinical priority in multiple malignancies. The aim of this study is to investigate the value of the ALI before treatment in evaluating postoperative complications (POCs) and survival outcomes in patients with gastrointestinal (GI) cancer.

Methods

Electronic databases including PubMed, Embase and Web of Science were comprehensively reviewed up to June 2022. The endpoints were POCs and survival outcomes. Subgroup analyses and sensitivity analyses were also performed.

Results

Eleven studies including 4417 participants were included. A significant heterogeneity in the ALI cut-off value among studies was observed. Patients in the low ALI group showed increased incidence of POCs (OR=2.02; 95%CI:1.60-2.57; P<0.001; I² = 0%). In addition, a low ALI was also significantly associated with worse overall survival (HR=1.96; 95%CI: 1.58-2.43; P<0.001; I² = 64%), which remained consistent in all subgroups based on country, sample size, tumor site, tumor stage, selection method and Newcastle Ottawa Scale score. Moreover, patients in the low ALI group had an obviously decreased disease-free survival compared to these in the high ALI group (HR=1.47; 95%CI: 1.28-1.68; P<0.001; I² = 0%).

Conclusion

Based on existing evidence, the ALI could act as a valuable predictor of POCs and long-term outcomes in patients with GI cancer. However, the heterogeneity in the ALI cut-off value among studies should be considered when interpreting these findings.

Reciprocal Regulation of Cancer-Associated Fibroblasts and Tumor Microenvironment in Gastrointestinal Cancer: Implications for Cancer Dormancy

Gastrointestinal (GI) cancers remain a major cause of cancer-related deaths worldwide. Despite the progress made in current treatments, patients with GI cancers still have high recurrence rates after initial treatment. Cancer dormancy, which involves the entry and escape of cancer cells from dormancy, is linked to treatment resistance, metastasis, and disease relapse. Recently, the role of the tumor microenvironment (TME) in disease progression and treatment has received increasing attention. The crosstalk between cancer-associated fibroblasts (CAF)-secreted cytokines/chemokines and other TME components, for example, extracellular matrix remodeling and immunomodulatory functions, play crucial roles in tumorigenesis. While there is limited direct evidence of a relationship between CAFs and cancer cell dormancy, this review explores the potential of CAF-secreted cytokines/chemokines to either promote cancer cell dormancy or awaken dormant cancer cells under different conditions, and the therapeutic strategies that may be applicable. By understanding the interactions between cytokines/chemokines released by CAFs and the TME, and their impact on the entry/escape of cancer dormancy, researchers may develop new strategies to reduce the risk of therapeutic relapse in patients with GI cancers.

Clinical significance of the controlling nutritional status (CONUT) score in gastric cancer patients: A meta-analysis of 9,764 participants

Background

The clinical value of the controlling nutritional status (CONUT) score has been widely reported in multiple malignancies. The aim of this study is to investigate the association between the CONUT score and clinical outcomes in patients with gastric cancer.

Methods

A comprehensive literature search of electronic databases including PubMed, Embase, and Web of Science was performed up to December 2022. The primary endpoints were survival outcomes and postoperative complications. Subgroup analysis and sensitivity analysis were performed during the pooled analysis.

Results

Nineteen studies including 9,764 patients were included. The pooled results indicated that patients in the high CONUT group had a worse overall survival (HR = 1.70 95%CI: 1.54-1.87; P < 0.0001; I ² = 33%) and recurrence-free survival (HR = 1.57; 95%CI: 1.36-1.82; P < 0.0001; I ² = 30%), and a higher risk of complications (OR = 1.96; 95%CI: 1.50-2.57; P < 0.0001; I ² = 69%). In addition, a high CONUT score was significantly associated with larger tumor size, higher percentage of microvascular invasion, later TNM stage and fewer patients receiving adjuvant chemotherapy, but not with tumor differentiation.

Conclusion

Based on existing evidence, the CONUT score could act as a valuable biomarker to predict clinical outcomes in patients with gastric cancer. Clinicians could use this useful indicator to stratify patients and formulate individual treatment plans.