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Gao MZ, Omer TM, Miller KM, Simpson MC, Bukatko AR, Gedion K, Adjei Boakye E, Kost KM, Dickinson JA, Varvares MA, Osazuwa-Peters N. Thyroid Cancer Incidence and Trends in United States and Canadian Pediatric, Adolescent, and Young Adults. Cancers (Basel) 2025; 17:1429. [PMID: 40361355 PMCID: PMC12070991 DOI: 10.3390/cancers17091429] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 02/06/2025] [Revised: 04/17/2025] [Accepted: 04/18/2025] [Indexed: 05/15/2025] Open
Abstract
BACKGROUND/OBJECTIVES Thyroid cancer incidence has risen in both the United States and Canada, despite differing healthcare systems. While overdiagnosis likely partly explains this trend in adults, its impact on younger populations is unclear. We used the North American Association of Central Cancer Registries, which included 133,808 thyroid cancer cases from the United States and Canada, to assess incidence trends among pediatric, adolescent, and young adult (PAYA) populations. METHODS Age-adjusted incidence rates (AAIR) per 100,000 person-years (PY) were compared using rate ratios (RR), stratified by sex, age, race/ethnicity (United States only), and histology. Joinpoint regression estimated annual percentage changes (APC) and average APCs (AAPC) in AAIRs. From 1995 to 2014, thyroid cancer incidence increased by 137%. Significant increases occurred across all age groups (0-14, 15-24, 25-34, 35-39 years). The rate increase was highest for papillary thyroid cancer (AAPC = 5.50, 95% CI 5.06, 5.94), and among individuals aged 35-39 years (AAPC = 5.99, 95% CI 4.84, 7.15). Of racial/ethnic groups in the United States, non-Hispanic White individuals had the highest AAIR (6.22 per 100,000 PY). Mortality has changed minimally. CONCLUSIONS Over the past two decades, thyroid cancer incidence has increased in individuals under 40. While evidence suggests that overdiagnosis primarily accounts for this trend, other contributing factors cannot be ruled out. Further research and surveillance of the drivers of increased incidence are critical.
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Affiliation(s)
- May Z. Gao
- Duke University School of Medicine, Durham, NC 27710, USA; (M.Z.G.); (T.M.O.)
| | - Tariq M. Omer
- Duke University School of Medicine, Durham, NC 27710, USA; (M.Z.G.); (T.M.O.)
| | - Katherine M. Miller
- Department of Pediatric Otolaryngology, Head and Neck Institute, Cleveland Clinic Foundation, Cleveland, OH 44195, USA;
| | - Matthew C. Simpson
- Department of Otolaryngology–Head and Neck Surgery, Saint Louis University School of Medicine, St. Louis, MO 63104, USA; (M.C.S.); (A.R.B.)
| | - Aleksandr R. Bukatko
- Department of Otolaryngology–Head and Neck Surgery, Saint Louis University School of Medicine, St. Louis, MO 63104, USA; (M.C.S.); (A.R.B.)
| | - Kalipa Gedion
- Duke Global Health Institute, Durham, NC 27710, USA;
| | - Eric Adjei Boakye
- Department of Public Health Sciences, Henry Ford Health System, Detroit, MI 48202, USA;
- Department of Otolaryngology–Head and Neck Surgery, Henry Ford Health System, Detroit, MI 48202, USA
- Henry Ford Health + Michigan State University Health Sciences, Detroit, MI 48202, USA
- Department of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, Michigan State University College of Human Medicine, East Lansing, MI 48824, USA
| | - Karen M. Kost
- Department of Otolaryngology–Head and Neck Surgery, McGill University, Montreal, QC H3A 0G4, Canada;
| | - James A. Dickinson
- Departments of Family Medicine and Community Health Sciences, Cumming School of Medicine, University of Calgary, Calgary, AB T2N 4N1, Canada;
| | - Mark A. Varvares
- Department of Otolaryngology, Massachusetts Eye and Ear Infirmary, Harvard Medical School, Boston, MA 02114, USA;
| | - Nosayaba Osazuwa-Peters
- Duke Global Health Institute, Durham, NC 27710, USA;
- Department of Head and Neck Surgery & Communication Sciences, Duke University School of Medicine, Durham, NC 27710, USA
- Department of Population Health Sciences, Duke University School of Medicine, Durham, NC 27710, USA
- Cancer Risk, Detection, and Interception Program, Duke Cancer Institute, Durham, NC 27710, USA
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Chen J, Wang C, Shao B. Global, regional, and national thyroid cancer age-period-cohort modeling and Bayesian predictive modeling studies: A systematic analysis of the global burden of disease study 2019. Heliyon 2023; 9:e22490. [PMID: 38045179 PMCID: PMC10689957 DOI: 10.1016/j.heliyon.2023.e22490] [Citation(s) in RCA: 6] [Impact Index Per Article: 3.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 06/01/2023] [Revised: 11/13/2023] [Accepted: 11/14/2023] [Indexed: 12/05/2023] Open
Abstract
Objective To analyze the changing trend of the global burden of thyroid cancer (TC) and its associated risk factors using data from the Global Burden of Disease study 2019 (GBD 2019). Methods This study utilized the GBD 2019 database to analyze the burden trend of TC in various regions and countries from 1990 to 2019, while also examining the age-period-cohort (APC) effect. Additionally, the study used Bayesian age-period-cohort (BAPC) and predictive models to forecast TC incidence up until 2030. Results According to data from 2019, there were 233,846.64 (95 % UI 211,636.89-252,806.55) cases of TC worldwide. The burden of TC varies among regions and countries, with higher incidence rates observed in moderate and above SDI regions. Age and gender also play a role, with incidence rates peaking in the >95 age group for men and the 70-74 age group for women. Additionally, women have a higher incidence than men. The APC model revealed that the impact of age was most significant among individuals aged 95 years and older, while it was lowest among those aged 0-14 years. Additionally, the period effect showed a relatively low risk of morbidity with a Period RR < 0 during 1990-2004 and a high relative risk of morbidity with a Period RR > 0 during 2005-2019. Furthermore, the cohort effect demonstrated that the relative risk of developing the disease was lower before 1950 and higher after 1950. Predicted values show an increasing trend in thyroid incidence over the next 30 years. Conclusions The findings of this study highlight the continued significance of thyroid cancer as a global public health issue. It is crucial to develop targeted interventions that address the specific risk factors associated with thyroid cancer. Furthermore, health policies should be customized and adapted to the unique needs of different regions and populations.
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Affiliation(s)
- Jingjing Chen
- Hospital Office, Shandong Second Provincial General Hospital, Jinan, 250000, China
| | - Chong Wang
- Department of Laboratory Medicine, Qingdao Municipal Hospital, Qingdao, 266000, China
| | - Beibei Shao
- Department of Clinical Laboratory Medicine, The First Affiliated Hospital of Shandong First Medical University & Shandong Provincial Qianfoshan Hospital, Jinan, 250000, China
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Boukheris H, Brakni L, Fihri Boubezari R, Bettayeb A, Bachir Bouaidjra N, Bensetti Houari A, Mohamed Brahim F, Simerabet A, Achour Z, Attar S, Saim H, Berber N. [Evaluation of thyroid cancer data completeness and quality at a population-based cancer registry, Algeria]. Bull Cancer 2023; 110:873-882. [PMID: 36949001 DOI: 10.1016/j.bulcan.2023.02.020] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 10/14/2022] [Revised: 02/14/2023] [Accepted: 02/25/2023] [Indexed: 03/24/2023]
Abstract
BACKGROUND Over the last three decades the incidence of thyroid cancer (TC) has increased in many regions of the world, however little is known about TC incidence and trends in Algeria. MATERIAL AND METHODS Using data from the Oran cancer registry (OCR) we assessed TC incidence and trends in Oran for the period 1996-2013 with the historical data method. The incidence curves were unstable and did not show any clear trend. Therefore, we actively collected data on TC for the period 1996-2013 using the multisource approach and the independent case ascertainment method. RESULTS Analysis of actively collected and validated data showed a significant increase in the incidence of TC. We compared the two databases to identify differences. There were 558 TC cases during the period 1996-2013 in the OCR, while our active data collection enabled us to find 1,391 TC cases during the same period. The completeness rate in the OCR was 40.1%. These differences were due to our approach that consisted in the inclusion of a greater number of health facilities and laboratories (44 versus 23 in the OCR), and the active data collection in the nuclear medicine facility of the University Hospital of Tlemcen that we undertook. CONCLUSIONS The application of the recommendations of the International Agency for Research on Cancer (IARC) to enhance data completeness and quality, and an active collection of TC data in the nuclear medicine facility of the University Hospital of Tlemcen should make the OCR an essential tool for decision-making in public health and for directing health policy towards health priorities.
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Affiliation(s)
- Houda Boukheris
- Université Abderrahmane Mira de Bejaia, Faculté de médecine; CHU de Bejaia, service d'épidémiologie et médecine préventive.
| | - Lila Brakni
- Université d'Alger, Faculté de médecine; Hôpital Central de l'Armée, service d'endocrinologie et maladies métaboliques
| | - Reda Fihri Boubezari
- Université Abderrahmane Mira de Bejaia, Faculté de médecine; CHU de Bejaia, service des urgences
| | | | | | - Amina Bensetti Houari
- Université d'Oran, Faculté de médecine; CHU d'Oran, service de chirurgie générale adulte
| | - Farouk Mohamed Brahim
- Université d'Oran, Faculté de médecine; CHU d'Oran, service de chirurgie générale adulte
| | - Azeddine Simerabet
- Université d'Oran, Faculté de médecine; CHU d'Oran, service de chirurgie thoracique
| | - Zineb Achour
- CHU de Tlemcen, service d'épidémiologie et médecine préventive
| | - Sara Attar
- CHU de Tlemcen, service d'épidémiologie et médecine préventive
| | - Hafida Saim
- CHU de Tlemcen, service d'épidémiologie et médecine préventive
| | - Necib Berber
- CHU De Tlemcen, service de médecine nucléaire; Université de Tlemcen, Faculté de Médecine, Tlemcen, Algérie
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Elhassan MMA, Gismalla MDA, Mohamed SAH, Faggad A. Clinicopathological profile and management of thyroid carcinoma: a Sub-Saharan country experience. Thyroid Res 2023; 16:35. [PMID: 37626413 PMCID: PMC10463320 DOI: 10.1186/s13044-023-00173-5] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 12/11/2022] [Accepted: 07/18/2023] [Indexed: 08/27/2023] Open
Abstract
BACKGROUND In Sudan, there is limited knowledge on the epidemiology, clinical characteristics and pathological patterns of thyroid cancer. To address this shortcoming, we studied the clinical, pathological and treatment patterns of thyroid cancer at the National Cancer Institute ‒ University of Gezira (NCI-UG), Sudan. METHODS We performed a retrospective health facility-based study of patients with thyroid cancer who were treated at NCI-UG from January 2009 to December 2017. RESULTS A total of 139 patients with thyroid cancer were identified during the study period. Tumors were more common among women (69%). Goiter was the main presenting symptom (85%). The most common type of thyroid cancer was follicular carcinoma (41%), followed by papillary carcinoma (24%), then anaplastic carcinoma (20%). The mean age of the women was 56.3 years (SD ± 14.7), compared to 52.5 years (SD ± 16.6) for the men. The frequencies of stage I, II, III, and IV were 17%, 22%, 16%, and 45%, respectively. Different types of thyroidectomies were performed in 79% of the cases, lobectomy in 4%, and no surgery in 17%. Only 28% of the cases received radioactive iodine. Palliative chemotherapy and radiotherapy were prescribed to 17% and 37% of the cases, respectively. CONCLUSION Thyroid cancer is more prevalent among women and most patients present at later stages. The dominance of follicular type suggests that the majority of this population is iodine-deficient.
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Affiliation(s)
| | | | | | - Areeg Faggad
- Department of Molecular Biology, National Cancer Institute - University of Gezira, Wad Medani, Sudan
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