Chemo-Immunotherapy Regimes for Recurrent or Metastatic Nasopharyngeal Carcinoma: A Network Meta-Analysis and Cost-Effectiveness Analysis

Development and validation of nomogram models for predicting immune-related adverse events in recurrent and metastatic nasopharyngeal carcinoma patients treated with PD-L1 inhibitors

Objective

To predict the incidence of immune-related Adverse Events (irAEs) in patients with recurrent or metastatic Nasopharyngeal Carcinoma (NPC) treated with Programmed Death-Ligand 1 (PD-L1) inhibitors, this study developed and validated nomogram models incorporating demographic, clinical, and biological variables.

Methods

Data from 153 NPC patients were analyzed, incorporating variables including age, sex, Body Mass Index (BMI), clinical stage, and biomarkers. Predictive models were constructed using multivariable logistic regression, Least Absolute Shrinkage and Selection Operator (LASSO) regression, and Ridge regression. The models' performance was evaluated using Receiver Operating Characteristic (ROC) curves, calibration curves, and Decision Curve Analysis (DCA). Internal validation was conducted through k-fold cross-validation.

Results

Independent predictors of irAEs included PD-L1, Free Thyroxine (FT4), Sodium (Na), and lymphocyte counts. Of the three models, the stepwise regression model performed best, with an area under the curve (AUC) of 0.78. Calibration curves showed a strong correlation between predicted and observed outcomes, and DCA demonstrated high clinical utility.

Conclusion

The nomogram models effectively predict irAEs in NPC patients treated with PD-L1 inhibitors. Early identification of patients with elevated PD-L1, abnormal FT4, Na, or irregular lymphocyte counts allows for closer monitoring and personalized treatment, potentially improving outcomes. Further research is required to confirm these findings across other cancer types and therapies.

Cost-effectiveness analysis of nimotuzumab combined with gemcitabine for K-Ras wild type locally advanced or metastatic pancreatic cancer in China

The phase III NOTABLE trial has revealed that nimotuzumab plus gemcitabine achieves greater clinical benefit in the first-line treating K-Ras wild type locally advanced (LA) or metastatic pancreatic cancer (mPC), compared to gemcitabine. Hence, herein, we examined the cost-efficiency of introducing nimotuzumab to gemcitabine, relative to gemcitabinealone, in first-line K-Ras wild type LA or mPC therapy from a Chinese payer perspective. We generated an exhaustive decision-analytical Markov model using three exclusive health states to incorporate both clinical and economic consequences of nimotuzumab plus gemcitabine versus gemcitabine alone as first-line therapy patients with K-Ras wild type LA or mPC. Using a 10-year lifetime horizon, we assessed the total medical expenditure, quality-adjusted life years (QALYs), and incremental cost‒effectiveness ratio (ICER) as the primary surrogate outcomes of our model. Sensitivity analyses were conducted via alteration of internally tweakable parameters, and further subgroup analyses were conducted as needed. The overall health surrogate outcomes were 2.94 QALYs ($215,799) among patients with nimotuzumab plus gemcitabine and 1.83 QALYs ($86,039) among patients with gemcitabine alone (ICER value, $117,263/QALY; Incremental net health benefit [INHB] value, - 2.46/QALY). Based on our sensitivity analysis, among all parameters, progression-free survival (PFS) utility was of utmost importance, and it exerted a considerable impact on our model. The ICER consistently well exceeded the willingness-to-pay (WTP) threshold and negative INHBs were observed across all patient subcategories with zero alteration recorded as cost-effective in the subgroup analyses. Nimotuzumab plus gemcitabine, relative to gemcitabine alone, is not a cost-effective first-line treatment among patients with K-Ras wild type LA or mPC at the current prices offered in China.

Chemoradiotherapy plus immunotherapy for locoregionally advanced nasopharyngeal carcinoma: A cost-effectiveness analysis

BACKGROUND

Research focused on the addition of immune checkpoint inhibitors (ICIs) to radiotherapeutic regimens in patients with cancer has become increasingly common, revealing promising improvements in efficacy outcomes. In patients with locoregionally advanced nasopharyngeal carcinoma (NPC), combining immunotherapy with chemoradiotherapy can facilitate the significant prolongation of survival, emphasizing the need for pharmacoeconomic studies focused on the clinical uptake of these innovative treatment regimens.

METHODS

A three-state Markov model was developed based on clinical data from the randomized phase 3 CONTINUUM trial and used to compare the cost-effectiveness of chemoradiotherapy plus sintilimab (sintilimab group) to chemoradiotherapy alone (standard group), analyzing outcomes including incremental cost-effectiveness ratio (ICER), incremental net monetary benefit (INMB), and incremental net-health benefit (INHB) values at a willingness-to-pay (WTP) threshold corresponding to three times the Chinese GDP per capita ($37 035 per quality-adjusted life year [QALY]).

RESULTS

The total costs for patients in the sintilimab and standard groups (QALYs [LYs]) were $92 116 (6.68 [10.03]) and $53 255 (3.75 [5.55]), respectively, for an ICER of $13 230/QALY ($8672/LY), an INMB of $70 021 with INHB of 1.89 QALYs. Using the selected WTP threshold. On the standard WTP threshold, the prevalence of sintilimab group as the primary treatment was 90.55% in China. The establishment of the model is stable.

CONCLUSIONS

Adding sintilimab to chemoradiotherapeutic regimens represents an innovative and cost-effective means for patients with locoregionally advanced NPC management in China.

TAS-102 with or without bevacizumab treatment for patients with metastatic colorectal cancer: a multi-country cost-effectiveness analysis

Background

TAS-102 (trifluridine/tipiracil) plus bevacizumab demonstrated a significant survival benefit in patients with refractory metastatic colorectal cancer (mCRC). Physicians and patients are uncertain whether this treatment option is clinically acceptable in different countries, underscoring the need for analyses of the cost-effectiveness of this regimen.

Objectives

To guide doctors and patients to choose TAS-102 plus bevacizumab or TAS-102 monotherapy in cancer treatment.

Design

The cost-effective analysis.

Methods

A comprehensive Markov model of the 10-year horizon for three health states was established using data from the SUNLIGHT trial to evaluate the cost and health effects of TAS-102 with or without bevacizumab at particular willingness-to-pay (WTP) thresholds, analyzing parameters including quality-adjusted life-years (QALYs), incremental cost-effectiveness ratios (ICERs), incremental net monetary benefit, as well as incremental net-health benefit (INHB). Sensitivity and subgroup analyses were additionally conducted.

Results

Treatment with TAS-102 plus bevacizumab versus TAS-102 monotherapy increased effectiveness (cost) by 0.39 ($151,474), 0.38 ($26,794), and 0.41 ($8596) QALYs, with an ICER of $388,171, $69,617, and $20,919 per QALY and an INHB of -0.62, -0.03, and 0.18 QALYs in the United States, United Kingdom, and China, respectively. The utility of progression-free survival was the most important factor in this model. At respective WTP thresholds of $150,000, $65,000, and $37,653 per QALY in the United States, United Kingdom, and China, the odds of TAS-102 plus bevacizumab being the dominant treatment were 0%, 49.6%, and 87.8%, respectively. In addition, mCRC patients with an Eastern Oncology Cooperative Group performance status ⩾ 1 may be the best candidates for treatment.

Conclusion

TAS-102 plus bevacizumab treatment represents a cost-effective third-line treatment for refractory mCRC from a Chinese payers' perspective, although the same was not true in the United States or United Kingdom at current drug prices.

PD-1 inhibitors combined with chemotherapy versus chemotherapy alone: efficacy and prognostic analysis in recurrent metastatic nasopharyngeal carcinoma

OBJECTIVE

To evaluate the prognostic value of combining PD-1 inhibitors (toripalimab or karelizumab) with chemotherapy for treating recurrent or metastatic nasopharyngeal carcinoma (R/M NPC).

METHODS

This study retrospectively analyzed 142 patients with R/M NPC diagnosed from January 2018 to January 2022. Patients were divided into PD-1 inhibitor combined with chemotherapy group (53 patients) and chemotherapy alone group (89 patients) according to the treatment regimen. Objective remission rate (ORR), progression-free survival (PFS), and treatment-related toxicity were evaluated in both groups.

RESULTS

The overall response rate (P=0.006) and objective remission rate (ORR) (P=0.002) were significantly higher in the combination chemotherapy group than in the chemotherapy-alone group. The incidences of hypothyroidism (P<0.001) and reactive capillary hyperplasia (P<0.001) were significantly higher in the combination chemotherapy group than in the chemotherapy-alone group. Cox regression analysis showed that treatment regimen (P<0.001), age (P<0.001), treatment duration (P=0.002), and number of treatment lines (P=0.034) were independent prognostic factors affecting patients' PFS. The prediction model constructed based on these prognostic factors had high accuracy in predicting 1-year and 2-year PFS (AUC 0.746 and 0.760, respectively).

CONCLUSION

PD-1 inhibitors in combination with chemotherapy significantly improved the ORR and median PFS of patients with R/M NPC, while maintaining a favorable safety profile. Treatment regimen, age, number of lines and cycle of therapy were important independent prognostic factors for improving PFS in patients.

Toripalimab plus chemotherapy in American patients with recurrent or metastatic nasopharyngeal carcinoma: A cost-effectiveness analysis

BACKGROUND

Toripalimab, combined with gemcitabine and cisplatin, has been approved as the first-line treatment for recurrent or metastatic nasopharyngeal carcinoma (RM-NPC), representing a significant milestone as the first FDA-approved innovative therapy for this condition. Despite this achievement, there's a lack of data on the cost-effectiveness of toripalimab for RM-NPC patients in the American context.

METHODS

To assess the cost-effectiveness of toripalimab plus chemotherapy versus chemotherapy alone, a 3-state partitioned survival model was constructed. The study involved participants with characteristics matching those in the JUPITER-02 trial. Cost and utility inputs were collected from literature. Main outcomes measured were quality-adjusted life year (QALY), and incremental cost-effectiveness ratio (ICER). Univariate and probabilistic sensitivity analyses, subgroup analyses, and scenario analyses were conducted to verify the robustness of results.

RESULTS

The study found that the toripalimab regimen resulted in 4.390 QALYs at a cost of $361,813, while the chemotherapy-only regimen yielded 1.685 QALYs at a cost of $161,632. This translates to an ICER of $74,004/QALY, below the willingness-to-pay threshold of $150,000/QALY. Sensitivity analyses indicated that utility values, discount rate, and the price of toripalimab significantly impact INMB. With an 87.10% probability of being cost-effective at a $150,000/QALY threshold, the probabilistic sensitivity analysis supports toripalimab plus chemotherapy as a viable option. Scenario analysis showed that toripalimab remains cost-effective unless its price increases by 125%. Additionally, a simulated 15-year study period increases the ICER to $88,026/QALY. Subgroup analysis revealed ICERs of $76,538/QALY for PD-L1 positive and $70,158/QALY for PD-L1 negative groups.

CONCLUSIONS

Toripalimab in combination with chemotherapy is likely to be a cost-effective alternative to standard chemotherapy for American patients with RM-NPC. This evidence can guide clinical and reimbursement decision-making in treating RM-NPC patients.

A cost-effectiveness analysis of the combination of serplulimab with chemotherapy for advanced esophageal squamous cell carcinoma: insights from the ASTRUM-007 trial

BACKGROUND

Combined serplulimab and chemotherapy demonstrated improved clinical survival outcomes in patients with advanced esophageal squamous cell carcinoma (ESCC) and PD-L1 combined positive scores (CPS) ≥ 1. The present study aimed to evaluate the economic viability of integrating serplulimab in combination with chemotherapy as a potential therapeutic approach for treating ESCC in China.

METHODS

A Markov model was constructed to evaluate the economic and health-related implications of combining serplulimab with chemotherapy. With the incremental cost-effectiveness ratio (ICER), costs and results in terms of health were estimated. For assessing parameter uncertainty, one-way and probabilistic sensitivity studies were carried out.

RESULTS

The combination of serplulimab and chemotherapy yielded incremental costs and QALYs of $3,163 and 0.14, $2,418 and 0.10, and $3,849 and 0.15, respectively, for the overall population as well as patients with PD-L1 CPS1-10 and PD-L1 CPS ≥ 10. This corresponds to ICER values per QALY of $23,657, $23,982, and $25,134. At the prespecified WTP limit, the probabilities of serplulimab with chemotherapy being the preferred intervention option were 74.4%, 61.3%, and 78.1% for the entire patient population, those with PD-L1 1 ≤ CPS < 10, and those with PD-L1 CPS ≥ 10, respectively. The stability of the presented model was confirmed through sensitivity studies.

CONCLUSIONS

In conclusion, the combination of Serplulimab and chemotherapy showed excellent cost-effectiveness compared to chemotherapy alone in treating PD-L1-positive patients with ESCC in China.

Cost-effectiveness of pembrolizumab versus chemotherapy in patients with platinum-pretreated, recurrent or metastatic nasopharyngeal cancer

BACKGROUND

Programmed cell death protein 1 (PD-1) monoclonal antibody, pembrolizumab, is a promising drug for platinum-pretreated, recurrent or metastatic nasopharyngeal cancer (NPC). We aimed to assess the cost-effectiveness of pembrolizumab compared with chemotherapy for Chinese patients in this NPC.

METHODS

The cost-effectiveness of pembrolizumab versus chemotherapy was evaluated using a partitioned survival model with a 5-year boundary. Efficacy and toxicity data were derived from the KEYNOTE-122 trials. Economic indicators including life-years (LYs), quality-adjusted life-years (QALYs), incremental cost-effectiveness ratio (ICER), and lifetime cost were used. One-way analysis and probabilistic sensitivity analysis (PSA) were performed to explore the uncertainties. Additionally, various scenario analyses, including different pembrolizumab price calculations and discount rates were performed.

RESULTS

Pembrolizumab or chemotherapy alone respectively yielded 2.82 QALYs (3.96 LYs) and 2.73 QALYs (3.93 LYs) with an ICER of $422,535 per QALYs ($1,232,547 per LYs). This model was primarily influenced by the price of pembrolizumab. Furthermore, PSA indicated that pembrolizumab had none probability of being cost-effective compared with chemotherapy at a willingness-to- pay (WTP) of $38223. Scenario analyses revealed that irrespective of any potential price reduction or adjustments in the discount rate, no discernible impact on the ultimate outcome was observed.

CONCLUSION

Pembrolizumab was less cost-effective for patients with platinum-pretreated, recurrent or metastatic NPC compared with chemotherapy in China.

Cost-effectiveness analysis of tislelizumab in combination with chemotherapy for the first-line treatment of patients with metastatic or recurrent nasopharyngeal carcinoma in China

BACKGROUND

The combination of tislelizumab and gemcitabine plus cisplatin (GP) in the first-line treatment of patients with recurrent or metastatic nasopharyngeal carcinoma (R/M NPC) has yielded significant results. However, it is not clear whether this treatment option is cost-effective in China. The purpose of this study is to evaluate the cost-effectiveness of tislelizumab plus GP for the first-line treatment of R/M NPC from the perspective of the Chinese healthcare system.

METHODS

A partitioned survival model with three discrete health states was constructed to evaluate the cost-effectiveness of tislelizumab plus GP versus GP in patients with R/M NPC. The target population enrolled in the RATIONALE-309 trial had previously not treated for R/M NPC. Drug costs were obtained from relevant databases, and the remaining cost and health utility data were collected from the literature. The main outcomes include the expected life years, quality-adjusted life years (QALYs), total cost, and incremental cost-benefit ratio (ICER).

RESULTS

The tislelizumab plus GP regimen produced an additional cost ($18392.76) and additional 1.57 QALYs compared with GP used alone. The ICER was $18392.75/QALYs. Sensitivity analysis showed that the analysis was robust and the utility of PD status was most sensitive to the model results. The possibility of tislelizumab plus GP being cost-effective at the willingness-to-pay (WTP) threshold of $37 653/QALY was 99.8%. Subgroup analysis showed that high PD-L1 expression had little impact on the ICER of this regimen.

CONCLUSION

In patients with R/M NPC, the regimen of tislelizumab plus GP, as the first-line treatment, is more cost-effective than the GP regimen in China.

Cost-effectiveness of camrelizumab combined with chemotherapy in the first-line treatment of recurrent or metastatic nasopharyngeal carcinoma in China

OBJECTIVE

This study aimed to investigate the cost-effectiveness of adding Chinese-developed anti-PD-1 antibody camrelizumab to first-line platinum-doublet chemotherapy in patients with recurrent or metastatic nasopharyngeal carcinoma (L/M NPC) from the perspective of Chinese healthcare system.

DESIGN

A Markov model consisting of four health states, progression-free survival, first progression survival, second progression survival and death, was built to simulate 3-week patient transitions over a 20-year horizon. A direct comparison between first-line camrelizumab in combination with gemcitabine plus cisplatin and gemcitabine plus cisplatin was performed by calculating transition probabilities from the CAPTAIN-1st trial. Costs and utilities were collected from the local public database and literature. One-way and probabilistic sensitivity analyses were employed to evaluate the robustness of the model.

SETTING

The Chinese healthcare system perspective.

PARTICIPANTS

A hypothetical cohort of Chinese patients with pathologically diagnosed L/M NPC who had an Eastern Cooperative Oncology Group performance status of 0 or 1.

INTERVENTIONS

First-line camrelizumab in combination with camrelizumab and gemcitabine plus cisplatin (CGP) versus gemcitabine plus cisplatin (GP).

PRIMARY OUTCOME MEASURE

Cost, quality-adjusted life-years (QALYs), incremental cost-effectiveness ratio (ICER).

RESULTS

The baseline analysis demonstrated that, compared with first-line GP, first-line CGP yields an effectiveness increase of 0.26 QALY, accompanied by an increment of US$6137.59 in healthcare cost. This results in an ICER of US$23 482.32/QALY. With the willingness-to-pay (WTP) threshold for a QALY set at US$37 654.50, first-line CGP proves to be cost-effective in 97.20% of the iterations. Deterministic sensitivity analyses indicated that the uncertainty in model parameters had no substantial effect on our results. Probability sensitivity analysis indicated that CGP was cost-effective at the assumed WTP threshold.

CONCLUSION

For Chinese patients with L/M NPC, adding Chinese-developed anti-PD-1 antibody camrelizumab to the first-line GP chemotherapy may be cost-effective.

Immune checkpoint inhibitors plus chemotherapy for HER2-negative advanced gastric/gastroesophageal junction cancer: a cost-effectiveness analysis

Background

Nivolumab plus chemotherapy (NC) was recently approved as the first-line intervention for human epidermal growth factor receptor 2-negative advanced gastric/gastroesophageal junction cancer (GC/GEJC). Moreover, in the latest KEYNOTE-859 (NCT03675737), pembrolizumab plus chemotherapy (PC) was demonstrated to produce remarkable patient survival outcomes.

Objectives

The clinicians and patients need to assess NC and PC preference for cancer drugs.

Design

The cost-effective analysis.

Methods

In an economic assessment of the United States, United Kingdom, and Chinese healthcare systems using a Markov model simulated patients with GC/GEJC, two treatment decision branches with three health states and a tracked time horizon of 15 years were developed. The overall cost and efficacy outcomes of first-line strategies PC and NC were evaluated at willingness-to-pay (WTP) thresholds of different national, including life-years (LYs), quality-adjusted life-years (QALYs), incremental cost-effectiveness ratios (ICERs), and incremental net-health benefit (INHB). Sensitivity and subgroup analyses were considered.

Results

Given a WTP threshold of $150,000, $60,161, and $37,653 per QALY in the United States, United Kingdom, and China, respectively, both PC and NC achieved QALYs of 1.67 and 1.65 (2.51 and 2.48 LYs), 1.65 and 1.63 (2.48 and 2.45 LYs), and 1.60 and 1.58 (2.40 and 2.37 LYs), with total costs of $242,444 and $232,617, $148,367 and $127,737, and $16,693 and $24,016, respectively. Based on our sensitivity analysis, the programmed death-1 inhibitors cost produced the largest impact on the outcome. In addition, the cost-effectiveness probabilities of PC were 38.3%, 4.1%, and 100% in the three aforementioned countries, respectively.

Conclusion

In the case of the Chinese payers' perspective, PC appeared more dominant as first-line therapy for advanced GC/GEJC patients, whereas NC was preferred in the United States and United Kingdom.

Cost-effectiveness analysis of first-line tislelizumab plus chemotherapy for recurrent or metastatic nasopharyngeal cancer

Introduction: The RATIONALE-309 trial confirmed the significant efficacy and safety of tislelizumab plus chemotherapy in patients with recurrent or metastatic nasopharyngeal carcinoma (R/M NPC). However, the economic benefits of this regimen are unclear. Therefore, this study aimed to evaluate the cost-effectiveness of adding tislelizumab to chemotherapy for R/M NPC from the perspective of the Chinese healthcare system. Methods: A Markov model was established to simulate the costs and outcomes of tislelizumab plus chemotherapy versus chemotherapy. The survival data came from the RATIONALE-309 trial. Only direct medical costs were considered, and utility values were referred to the literature. The incremental cost-effectiveness ratio (ICER) was used as the main outcome measure. Sensitivity analysis was performed to assess the effect of parameter uncertainty on the model. Additionally, subgroup analyses were performed. Results: The basic analysis showed that the cost of tislelizumab plus chemotherapy ($33,693) was $17,711 higher than that of chemotherapy ($15,982), but it also gained 1.05 QALYs more (2.72 QALYs vs. 1.67 QALYs), with an ICER of $16,859/QALY, which was lower than the willing-to-pay (WTP) of $36,289/QALY. The factors that most influenced the model were the utility of PD, the cost of tislelizumab, and the risk of platelet count decreased in tislelizumab plus chemotherapy group. The subgroup analysis also demonstrated that tislelizumab plus chemotherapy was cost-effective in the whole population regardless of EBV DNA level and PD-L1 expression level. Conclusion: Compared with chemotherapy alone, tislelizumab plus chemotherapy was cost-effective for the treatment of R/M NPC in China.

First-line immunotherapy combinations for recurrent or metastatic nasopharyngeal carcinoma: An updated network meta-analysis and cost-effectiveness analysis

OBJECTIVES

Recently updated results of randomized clinical trials (RCTs) have confirmed that toripalimab, camrelizumab, and tislelizumab plus chemotherapy (TOGP, CAGP, and TIGP) significantly prolonged survival compared to placebo plus chemotherapy (PLGP) in the first-line treatment for recurrent or metastatic nasopharyngeal carcinoma (R/M-NPC). However, the high cost of immunotherapies imposes a huge financial burden on patients and health care systems.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

RCTs estimating immunotherapies for R/M-NPC were searched. A Bayesian network meta-analysis (NMA) was carried out; the main outcomes were hazard ratios (HRs) of overall survival (OS) and progression-free survival (PFS). The cost and efficacy of four first-line therapies were evaluated using the Markov model. The main outcome in the cost-effectiveness analysis (CEA) was incremental cost-utility ratios (ICURs). The model robustness was assessed by one-way, three-way, and probabilistic sensitivity analyses.

RESULTS

Three RCTs (JUPITER-02, CAPTAIN-1st, and RATIONALE-309) involving 815 patients were included in the NMA. Compared with PLGP, chemo-immunotherapies have significantly longer PFS and OS. Compared to the PLGP group, TOGP, CAGP, and TIGP groups resulted in additional costs of $48 339, $22 900, and $23 162, with additional 1.89, 0.73, and 0.960 QALYs, respectively, leading to the ICURs of $25 576/QALY, $31 370/QALY, and $31 729/QALY. Pairwise comparisons showed TOGP was the most cost-effective option among chemo-immunotherapy groups.

CONCLUSION

From the Chinese payers' perspective, first-line immunotherapy combination therapies provided significant survival and cost-effectiveness superiority over chemotherapy alone for patients with R/M-NPC at the WTP of $38 029/QALY. Among the three chemo-immunotherapy groups, TOGP was the most cost-effective option.

Cost-effectiveness analysis of toripalimab plus chemotherapy as the first-line treatment in patients with advanced non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC) without EGFR or ALK driver mutations from the Chinese perspective

Objectives: The results of a CHOICE-1 study demonstrated the superior efficacy of toripalimab (anti-PD-1 antibody) plus chemotherapy for patients with advanced non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC), with a manageable safety profile. This study was performed to evaluate the economic value of this treatment for this patient population from the Chinese payer's perspective. Materials and methods: Basic data were derived from the CHOICE-1 study. Markov models were developed to simulate the process of advanced NSCLC, including the progression-free survival (PFS), progressive disease (PD), and death in intention-to-treat (ITT) populations, as well as patients with squamous or non-squamous NSCLC. The cost was obtained from the local institution, and the value of utilities referred to previous studies. Monte Carlo simulations were performed to depict the probabilistic scatter plots of the incremental cost-effectiveness ratio (ICER) and acceptability curves, aiming to address the uncertainty of model inputs. Results: Compared with standard chemotherapy, toripalimab plus chemotherapy yields an ICER of $21,563 per quality-adjusted life year (QALY) in the ITT population. For patients with squamous NSCLC, comparing the combined therapy with chemotherapy led to an ICER of $18,369 per QALY, while the ICER was $24,754 per QALY in patients with non-squamous NSCLC. With the threshold of willingness to pay we set ($37,653 per QALY), toripalimab plus chemotherapy was cost-effective in these patient populations. Conclusion: For patients with advanced NSCLC, toripalimab plus chemotherapy was an optimal choice as first-line treatment, regardless of histology.

Treatment of loco-regional recurrence of nasopharyngeal carcinoma in a non-endemic area: oncologic outcomes, morbidity, and proposal of a prognostic nomogram

Introduction

The study assessed outcomes and toxicities of different treatment modalities for local and/or regional recurrent nasopharyngeal carcinoma (NPC) in a non-endemic area.

Methods

Patients treated with curative intent for recurrent NPC with salvage surgery, photon-based radiotherapy, proton therapy (PT), with or without chemotherapy, at different Italian referral centers between 1998 and 2020 were included. Adverse events and complications were classified according to the Common Terminology Criteria for Adverse Events. Characteristics of the patients, tumors, treatments, and complications are presented along with uni- and multivariate analysis of prognostic factors. A survival predictive nomogram is also provided.

Results

A total of 140 patients treated from 1998 to 2020 were retrospectively assessed. Cases with lower age, comorbidity rate, stage, and shorter disease-free interval (DFI) preferentially underwent endoscopic surgery. More advanced cases underwent re-irradiation, fairly distributed between photon-based radiotherapy and PT. Age and DFI were independent factors influencing overall survival. No independent prognostic effect of treatment modality was observed. No significant difference in the morbidity profile of treatments was observed, with 40% of patients experiencing at least one adverse event classified as G3 or higher.

Conclusion

Recurrent NPC in a non-endemic area has dissimilar aspects compared to its endemic counterpart, suggesting the need for further studies that can guide the choice of the best treatment modality.

A cost-effectiveness analysis of first-line toripalimab plus chemotherapy in advanced nonsquamous non-small cell lung cancer in China

BACKGROUND

This study compares first-line toripalimab with chemotherapy for advanced nonsquamous non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC) from the perspective of the Chinese healthcare system.

RESEARCH DESIGN AND METHODS

A three-state Markov model was established to compare the quality-adjusted life years (QALYs) and incremental cost-effectiveness ratio (ICER) of first-line toripalimab plus chemotherapy versus chemotherapy. Clinical outcomes data were acquired from the CHOICE-01 clinical trials. Costs and utilities were gathered from regional databases or published publications. One-way sensitivity and probability sensitivity analyses were used to investigate the stability of the model parameters.

RESULTS

First-line toripalimab treatment for advanced nonsquamous NSCLC resulted in an incremental cost of $16,214.03 and added 0.77 QALYs compared to chemotherapy, which had an ICER of $21,057.18 per QALY gained. The ICER was substantially lower than the willingness to pay (WTP) threshold in China, which was $37,663.26 per QALY. The toripalimab cycle used was shown to have the greatest impact on the ICERs, according to sensitivity analysis, although none of the factors significantly affected the model's outcomes.

CONCLUSIONS

Toripalimab plus chemotherapy is likely to be a cost-effective option compared with chemotherapy alone for patients with advanced nonsquamous NSCLC from the perspective of the Chinese healthcare system.

Immunotherapy or targeted therapy as the first-line strategies for unresectable hepatocellular carcinoma: A network meta-analysis and cost-effectiveness analysis

Introduction

The existence of many phase III randomized controlled trials (RCTs) of first-line treatment for unresectable hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) puzzle doctors and patients in choosing the most effective treatment strategies. We aimed to assess the efficacy, safety, and cost-effectiveness of immunotherapy or targeted therapy as the first-line strategy for unresectable HCC.

Methods

The included clinical trials were retrieved from PubMed, Embase, the Cochrane library, and Web of Science databases, in which immunotherapy or targeted therapy was regarded as the first-line treatment for unresectable HCC, published in English between January 1, 2010, and September 20, 2022. We conducted a network meta-analysis (NMA) and cost-effectiveness analysis (CEA) from the Chinese payer's perspective. Overall survival (OS), progression-free survival (PFS), the ranks of different treatments using P-score, and adverse events (AEs) were evaluated by NMA. Total costs, life-years (LYs), quality-adjusted life-years (QALYs), and incremental cost-benefit ratio (ICER) were estimated from 15-year Markov models developed by CEA.

Results

We identified 2,825 records, including 11,796 patients, from 15 RCTs. The NMA revealed that sintilimab plus a bevacizumab biosimilar (HR, 0.57; 95% CI, 0.43 to 0.75; P = 0.96) and camrelizumab plus rivoceranib (HR, 0.56; 95% CI, 0.41 to 0.66; P = 0.94) could lead to great improvements in OS and PFS compared with sorafenib-related survival. The CEA indicated that tislelizumab increased by 0.220 QALYs (0.312 LYs) and decreased by $1,938 compared with sorafenib, which yielded ICERs of -$8,809/QALY (-$2,612/LY). Sensitivity analysis showed that the model was stable.

Conclusion

Sintilimab plus a bevacizumab biosimilar and camrelizumab plus rivoceranib significantly prolonged OS and PFS, respectively. Further considering the pharmacoeconomics factors, tislelizumab is the most cost-effective first-line treatment strategy for unresectable HCC in China.

Serplulimab plus chemotherapy as first-line treatment for extensive-stage small-cell lung cancer: A cost-effectiveness analysis

Introduction

The ASTRUM-005 trial (NCT04063163) revealed that combination serplulimab plus chemotherapy (etoposide and carboplatin [EC]) treatment was associated with survival advantages relative to chemotherapy alone in patients diagnosed with extensive-stage small-cell lung cancer (ES-SCLC). As these immuno-chemotherapeutic regimens are extremely expensive, however, it is critical that the relative cost-effectiveness of combination serplulimab and chemotherapy treatment as a first-line treatment for ES-SCLC patients be examined in detail.

Methods

The cost-effectiveness of combined serplulimab plus chemotherapeutic treatment was examined using a comprehensive Markov model with a 10-year boundary, enabling the calculation of overall cost, life years (LYs), quality-adjusted life-years (QALYs), and incremental cost-effectiveness ratio (ICER). Model instability was interrogated through one-way and probabilistic sensitivity analyses.

Results

Serplulimab plus chemotherapy or chemotherapy alone respectively yielded 1.217 QALYs (2.243 LYs) and 0.885 QALYs (1.661 LYs) with corresponding total costs of $11,202 and $7,194, with an ICER of $12,077 per QALY ($6,883 per LY). This model was most strongly influenced by the utility of progression-free survival. Probabilistic sensitivity analysis showed that serplulimab plus chemotherapy had a 91.6% probability of being cost-effective at a willingness-to-pay (WTP) of $37,653 per QALY (3 × capita gross domestic product of China in 2021). In subgroup analyses, this combination treatment regimen was found to be most cost-effective in patients who were former smokers, had an ECOG performance status of 0, and were diagnosed with brain metastases.

Conclusion

From a payer perspective in China, combination serplulimab plus chemotherapy treatment represents a cost-effective first-line intervention for ES-SCLC patients.

Adjunctive PD-1 inhibitor versus standard chemotherapy in recurrent or metastatic nasopharyngeal carcinoma: a systematic review and meta-analysis

Objective:

To investigate whether Adjunctive PD-1 inhibitors have improved clinical outcomes compared to chemotherapy alone in platinum-pretreated and platinum-naive recurrent or metastatic nasopharyngeal carcinoma (R/M NPCA).

Methods:

The study involved a literature search from PubMed, Cochrane CENTRAL, and Google Scholar for randomized clinical trials (RCTs) on the use of PD-1 inhibitors versus chemotherapy alone in patients with R/M NPCA. Bias was assessed using Cochrane collaboration’s risk of bias tool. Overall Survival (OS) was examined as the primary endpoint. Secondary endpoints were Progression-Free Survival (PFS), Objective Response Rate, Disease Control Rate (DCR), Duration of Response, and Serious/Grade ⩾3 Adverse Events. Outcomes were measured with either Mean Difference, Risk ratio (RR), or Hazard ratios (HRs) at 95% confidence interval.

Results:

Four RCTs were included in the meta-analysis and systematic review. OS for the monotherapy subgroup was a HR of 0.87 [0.67, 1.13] ( p = 0.30) while the combination subgroup had 0.64 [0.45, 0.90] ( p = 0.01). The monotherapy subgroup exhibited significantly worse outcomes in PFS (HR 1.31 [1.01, 1.68]) ( p = 0.04) and DCR (RR 1.52 [1.12, 2.05]) ( p = 0.007) but no significant difference in other outcomes. For combination therapy, a statistically significant benefit can be seen in all outcomes except DCR (RR 0.62 [0.38, 1.01]) ( p = 0.06) which was a non-significant benefit favoring PD-1 inhibitors.

Conclusion:

Combination PD-1 inhibitor + chemotherapy followed by maintenance PD-1 inhibitor therapy is superior to chemotherapy alone in the first-line treatment of R/M NPCA, implying a potential benefit with the use of PD-1 inhibitors + chemotherapy with maintenance PD-1 inhibitors as first-line in R/M NPCA compared to standard chemotherapy alone.