Ecosystem-Dependent Responses of Vegetation Coverage on the Tibetan Plateau to Climate Factors and Their Lag Periods

Temporal variation characteristics in the association between climate and vegetation in Northwest China

Northwest China has undergone notable alterations in climate and vegetation growth in recent decades. Nevertheless, uncertainties persist concerning the response of different vegetation types to climate change and the underlying mechanisms. This study utilized the Normalized Difference Vegetation Index (NDVI) and three sets of meteorological data to investigate the interannual variations in the association between vegetation and climate (specifically precipitation and temperature) from 1982 to 2015. Several conclusions were drawn. (1) RNDVI-GP (relationship between Growing Season NDVI and precipitation) decreased significantly across all vegetation, while RNDVI-GT (relationship between Growing Season NDVI and temperature) showed an insignificant increase. (2) Trends of RNDVI-GP and RNDVI-GT exhibited great variations across various types of vegetation, with forests displaying notable downward trends in both indices. The grassland exhibited a declining trend in RNDVI-GP but an insignificant increase in RNDVI-GT, while no significant temporal changes in RNDVI-GP or RNDVI-GT were observed in the barren land. (3) The fluctuations in RNDVI-GP and RNDVI-GT closely aligned with variations in drought conditions. Specifically, in regions characterized by VPD (vapor pressure deficit) trends less than 0.02 hpa/yr, which are predominantly grasslands, a rise in SWV (soil water volume) tended to cause a reduction in RNDVI-GP but an increase in RNDVI-GT. However, a more negative trend in SWV was associated with a more negative trend in both RNDVI-GP and RNDVI-GT when the VPD trend exceeded 0.02 hPa/yr, primarily in forests. Our results underscore the variability in the relationship between climate change and vegetation across different vegetation types, as well as the role of drought in modulating these associations.

NDVI-Based Greening of Alpine Steppe and Its Relationships with Climatic Change and Grazing Intensity in the Southwestern Tibetan Plateau

Alpine vegetation on the Southwestern Tibetan Plateau (SWTP) is sensitive and vulnerable to climate change and human activities. Climate warming and human actions (mainly ecological restoration, social-economic development, and grazing) have already caused the degradation of alpine grasslands on the Tibetan Plateau (TP) to some extent. However, it remains unclear how human activities (mainly grazing) have regulated vegetation variation under climate change and ecological restoration since 2000. This study used the normalized difference vegetation index (NDVI) and social statistic data to explore the spatiotemporal changes and the relationship between the NDVI and climatic change, human activities, and grazing intensity. The results revealed that the NDVI increased by 0.006/10a from 2000 to 2020. Significant greening, mainly distributed in Rikaze, with partial browning, has been found in the SWTP. The correlation analysis results showed that precipitation is the most critical factor affecting the spatial distribution of NDVI, and the NDVI is correlated positively with temperature and precipitation in most parts of the SWTP. We found that climate change and human activities co-affected the vegetation change in the SWTP, and human activities leading to vegetation greening since 2000. The NDVI and grazing intensity were mainly negatively correlated, and the grazing caused vegetation degradation to some extent. This study provides practical support for grassland use, grazing management, ecological restoration, and regional sustainable development for the TP and similar alpine areas.

Quantitative Analysis of Land Subsidence and Its Effect on Vegetation in Xishan Coalfield of Shanxi Province

It is of great significance for the monitoring and protection of the original ecological environment in coal mining areas to identify the ground subsidence and quantify its influence on the surface vegetation. The surface deformation and vegetation information were obtained by using spaceborne SAR and Landsat OLI images in the Xishan Coalfield. The relative change rate, coefficient of variation, and trend analysis methods were used to compare the vegetation growth trends in the subsidence center, subsidence edge, and non-subsidence zones; and the vegetation coverage was predicted by the pixel dichotomy and grey model from 2021 to 2025. The results indicated that the proportions of vegetation with high fluctuation and serious degradation were 6.60% and 5.64% in the subsidence center, and its NDVI values were about 10% lower than that in the subsidence edge and non-subsidence zones. In addition, vegetation coverage showed a wedge ascending trend from 2013 to 2020, and the prediction values of vegetation coverage obtained by GM (1,1) model also revealed this trend. The residuals of the predicted values were 0.047, 0.047, and 0.019 compared with the vegetation coverage in 2021, and the vegetation coverage was the lowest in the subsidence center, which was consistent with the law obtained by using NDVI. Research suggested that ground subsidence caused by mining activities had a certain impact on the surface vegetation in the mining areas; the closer to the subsidence center, the greater the fluctuation of NDVI, and the stronger the vegetation degradation trend; conversely, the smaller the fluctuation, and the more stable the vegetation growth.