Detrimental Impact of Chronic Obstructive Pulmonary Disease in Atrial Fibrillation: New Insights from Umbria Atrial Fibrillation Registry

A Predictive Nomogram of In-Hospital Mortality After 48 h for Atrial Fibrillation Patients in the Coronary Care Unit

BACKGROUND

Patients with atrial fibrillation (AF) suffer a higher risk of death, and it is necessary to develop prediction tools for mortality risk in critically ill patients with AF. This study aimed to develop a novel predictive nomogram of in-hospital mortality after 48 h in the coronary care unit (CCU) for patients with AF.

METHODS

We collected information on CCU patients with AF from the "Medical Information Mart for Intensive Care-III" database and developed a nomogram model for predicting the all-cause mortality risk after 48 h in the hospital. Key variables were selected by univariate logistic and least absolute shrinkage and selection operator regression. The independent predictors with p < 0.05 were screened out by multivariate logistic regression. A predictive nomogram was constructed using these independent predictors, and the model calibration and discrimination were evaluated.

RESULTS

This study finally enrolled 1248 CCU patients with AF, and the in-hospital mortality was 17% (209/1248). The predictive nomogram was constructed by 13 selected independent predictors, including age, smoking status, acute kidney injury, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease, ventricular arrhythmia, shock, urea, red cell distribution width, leucocytosis, continuous renal replacement therapy, continuous positive airway pressure, anticoagulation, and heart rate. The area under the curve of the nomogram was 0.803 (95% confidence interval 0.771-0.835). The nomogram was verified to have good accuracy and calibration.

CONCLUSIONS

This study developed a novel nomogram containing age, acute kidney injury, and heart rate that can be a good predictor of potential in-hospital mortality after 48 h in CCU patients with AF.

Cardioselective versus Non-Cardioselective Beta-Blockers and Outcomes in Patients with Atrial Fibrillation and Chronic Obstructive Pulmonary Disease

Background: Atrial fibrillation (AF) and chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) have been independently associated with increased mortality; however, there is no evidence regarding beta-blocker cardioselectivity and long-term outcomes in patients with AF and concurrent COPD. Methods: This post hoc analysis of the MISOAC-AF randomized trial (NCT02941978) included patients hospitalized with comorbid AF. At discharge, all patients were classified according to the presence of COPD; patients with COPD on beta-blockers were classified according to beta-blocker cardioselectivity. Adjusted hazard ratios (aHRs) were calculated by using multivariable Cox regression models. The primary outcome was all-cause mortality, and the secondary outcomes were cardiovascular mortality and hospitalizations. Results: Of 1103 patients with AF, 145 (13%) had comorbid COPD. Comorbid COPD was associated with an increased risk of all-cause (aHR, 1.33; 95% confidence interval (CI), 1.02 to 1.73) and cardiovascular mortality (aHR 1.47; 95% CI, 1.10 to 1.99), but not with increased risk of hospitalizations (aHR 1.10; 95% CI, 0.82 to 1.48). The use of cardioselective versus non-cardioselective beta-blockers was associated with similar all-cause mortality (aHR 1.10; 95% CI, 0.63 to 1.94), cardiovascular mortality (aHR 1.33; 95% CI, 0.71 to 2.51), and hospitalizations (aHR 1.65; 95% CI 0.80 to 3.38). Conclusions: In recently hospitalized patients with AF, the presence of COPD was independently associated with increased risk of all-cause and cardiovascular mortality. No difference between cardioselective and non-cardioselective beta-blockers, regarding clinical outcomes, was identified.

Impact of Chronic Obstructive Pulmonary Disease on Atrial Fibrillation Ablation Outcomes According to the National Readmission Database

Chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) is a risk factor for the development of atrial fibrillation (AF). There is a paucity of contemporary data studying the association between COPD and outcomes of AF ablation. The objective of this study was to investigate the impact of COPD on AF ablation outcomes using a large nationwide database. This study was a retrospective analysis of the National Readmission Database for the years 2016-2018 and included patients admitted with a diagnosis of AF who underwent catheter ablation. Admissions were stratified according to COPD diagnosis using International Classification of Diseases, 10th Revision, Clinical Modification codes. Multivariate, linear, Cox, and logistic regressions were performed to study the impact of COPD on AF ablation. A total of 18,224 admissions (mean age, 68 years; standard deviation, 10 years) were included, of whom 3,494 (19%) had a diagnosis of COPD. The COPD group was older (72 ± 8 vs. 67 ± 11 years, P < .001) and more likely to have congestive heart failure (73% vs. 44%, P < .001) and renal failure (31% vs. 17%, P < .001). COPD was associated with an increased risk of readmission (adjusted hazard ratio [aHR], 1.40; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.26-1.56; P < .001) and all-cause in-hospital mortality (adjusted odds ratio, 2.83; 95% CI, 1.74-4.60; P < .001). However, COPD was not associated with an increased risk of readmission due to recurrent AF (aHR, 0.97; 95% CI, 0.75-1.27; P = .844) or the need for re-ablation (aHR, 0.85; 95% CI, 0.44-1.65; P = .639), respectively. In conclusion, COPD was not associated with an increased risk of recurrent AF after ablation despite higher periprocedural risks. The present study contributes to a better understanding of this high-risk subgroup of patients undergoing AF ablation.

Prevalence, management and impact of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease in atrial fibrillation: a systematic review and meta-analysis of 4,200,000 patients

AIM

Prevalence of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) in atrial fibrillation (AF) patients is unclear, and its association with adverse outcomes is often overlooked. Our aim was to estimate the prevalence of COPD, its impact on clinical management and outcomes in patients with AF, and the impact of beta-blockers (BBs) on outcomes in patients with COPD.

METHODS AND RESULTS

A systematic review and meta-analysis was conducted according to international guidelines. All studies reporting the prevalence of COPD in AF patients were included. Data on comorbidities, BBs and oral anticoagulant prescription, and outcomes (all-cause death, cardiovascular (CV) death, ischaemic stroke, major bleeding) were compared according to COPD and BB status. Among 46 studies, pooled prevalence of COPD was 13% [95% confidence intervals (CI) 10-16%, 95% prediction interval 2-47%]. COPD was associated with higher prevalence of comorbidities, higher CHA2DS2-VASc score and lower BB prescription [odds ratio (OR) 0.77, 95% CI 0.61-0.98]. COPD was associated with higher risk of all-cause death (OR 2.22, 95% CI 1.93-2.55), CV death (OR 1.84, 95% CI 1.39-2.43), and major bleeding (OR 1.45, 95% CI 1.17-1.80); no significant differences in outcomes were observed according to BB use in AF patients with COPD.

CONCLUSION

COPD is common in AF, being found in 13% of patients, and is associated with increased burden of comorbidities, differential management, and worse outcomes, with more than a two-fold higher risk of all-cause death and increased risk of CV death and major bleeding. Therapy with BBs does not increase the risk of adverse outcomes in patients with AF and COPD.