Impact of COVID-19 on Hospital Admissions for COPD Exacerbation: Lessons for Future Care

Risk of acute exacerbation of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease after COVID-19 recovery: a nationwide population-based cohort study

BACKGROUND

Chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) is associated with severe Coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) outcomes. However, it is uncertain whether the risk of acute exacerbation of COPD (AECOPD) increases after recovering from COVID-19.

METHODS

This study included 2,118 individuals with COPD from the Korea National Health Insurance Service database who were also diagnosed with COVID-19. Matched controls were chosen using 1:1 propensity score (PS) matching. We compared the risk of AECOPD after COVID-19 recovery between the COVID-19 cohort and matched controls between October 8, 2020, and December 31, 2021, using PS-matched Cox proportional hazard regression models.

RESULTS

During a median follow-up of 62 days (interquartile range, 29-179 days), including a median of 14 days of recovery time after COVID-19, 68 people (5.6%) in the COVID-19 cohort and 50 (3.9%) in the matched control group experienced AECOPD. Compared to the matched controls, the COVID-19 cohort had a significantly higher risk of overall AECOPD (hazard ratio [HR] = 1.45, 95% confidence interval [CI] = 1.09-1.92). This increased risk was particularly evident for severe AECOPD among individuals who had severe COVID-19 within the first 30days post-recovery (aHR = 8.14, 95% CI = 3.32-19.97). When classified by COVID-19 severity, while severe COVID-19 significantly increased this risk (aHR = 2.97, 95% CI = 2.15-4.11), non-severe COVID did not significantly influence the risk of AECOPD, regardless of time duration or exacerbation severity.

CONCLUSION

Individuals with COPD who had severe COVID-19 have increased risk of AECOPD after COVID-19 recovery, especially within the first 30 days after COVID-19 recovery.

Indirect effects of the COVID-19 pandemic on healthcare contacts, quality of care, and social disparities across essential healthcare domains

BACKGROUND

The COVID-19 pandemic significantly affected global healthcare systems, revealing their resilience to crises. Despite this, national-level research on its impact across key healthcare domains-such as acute and chronic disease management, cancer screening and care, mental health, and palliative care-is scarce. This study examines the pandemic's impact on contacts, quality of care, and social disparity in these healthcare domains to guide better preparedness for future health emergencies.

METHODS

The study utilized data from the Danish National Clinical Quality Registries, covering January 2015 to June 2022, to create a nationwide cohort for comparing healthcare metrics across the pandemic's phases and the prepandemic period. Healthcare contacts were assessed through descriptive analyses, while the quality of care and social disparities were analysed using multivariable regression models, providing estimated prevalence ratios and 95% confidence intervals.

RESULTS

The first wave of the COVID-19 pandemic in Denmark led to community and healthcare lockdowns, which were associated with fewer hospital contacts and reduced participation in national cancer screening programs. However, a gradual recovery towards prepandemic levels was found, with the exceptions of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease contacts and colorectal cancer incidence. Overall, the quality of care across various healthcare domains in Denmark remained largely unchanged or improved slightly during the pandemic. However, social disparities in contacts were increased across all examined healthcare domains, with patients who were immigrants, living alone, had limited educational level or low income experiencing reduced contact compared to the prepandemic period.

CONCLUSIONS

Overall, the Danish healthcare system appeared to be resilient and largely unaffected throughout the pandemic, and the quality of care in several healthcare domains remained high. Nevertheless, the increasing social disparities in healthcare contacts during the pandemic demands attention. In preparing for future health crises, it is important to address and mitigate potential social inequalities, focusing on achieving equity in healthcare.

Effect of Carbocysteine on Exacerbations and Lung Function in Patients With Mild-to-Moderate Chronic Obstructive Pulmonary Disease: A Multicentre, Double-Blind, Randomized, Placebo-Controlled Trial

OBJECTIVES

Carbocysteine can reduce the frequency of acute exacerbations and improve respiratory symptoms to a certain extent in severe to very severe chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) patients. The objective of the study was to evaluate the efficacy of carbocysteine on the rate of exacerbations and pulmonary function for mild-to-moderate COPD patients.

METHODS

In this phase 4, multicenter, double-blind, randomized, placebo-controlled, parallel-group trial, we randomly assigned mild-to-moderate COPD patients in a 2:1 ratio to treatment with carbocysteine (500mg, thrice daily) or matched placebo for 12 months. Eligible participants were 40-80 years of age. The coprimary outcomes were the annual rate of exacerbations of COPD (mild, moderate or severe) during the 12-month trial period or the difference in the FEV1 before bronchodilator use at 12-month from baseline.

RESULTS

Owing to slower-than-anticipated recruitment caused by the COVID-19 pandemic, recruitment of an estimated sample size of 732 patients stopped after 539 patients. The sample size was indeed reached for the annual rate of exacerbations but not for pulmonary function. Among 539 patients, 362 were randomized to receive carbocysteine and 177 to receive matched placebo. There was no significant difference in the annual rate of exacerbations of COPD between carbocysteine group and placebo group (0.39 vs. 0.46 per patient year; relative risk [RR], 0.85; 95% confidence interval [CI], 0.64-1.13; P=0.273). Based on the available sample size, the difference in the change of FEV1 before bronchodilator use at 12 months between carbocysteine group and placebo group has not been observed (46±12 vs. 50±17ml; mean difference, 6 ml; 95% CI, -24 to 36; adjusted P=0.700).

CONCLUSIONS

Our findings suggested that carbocysteine might not significantly reduce the annual rate of total exacerbations in patients with mild-to-moderate COPD. The findings may have been compromised by an overestimation of the efficacy of carbocysteine on reducing exacerbations in mild-to-moderate COPD and potential confounding by baseline imbalances. The efficacy on lung function could not be adequately evaluated. Clinical trial registered with Chictr.org.cn (ChiCTR1800016712).

Effect of the Covid-19 pandemic on hospitalizations for non-Covid-19-pneumonia and exacerbations of chronic obstructive pulmonary diseases in Switzerland: comparison of national data between 2020/2021 and 2015-2019

BACKGROUND

Protective measures applied during the Covid-19 pandemic had a marked impact on the incidence of pneumonia. However, systematic data are lacking for hospitalizations for pneumonia and acute exacerbations of chronic obstructive lung diseases (AECOPD) not caused by SARS-CoV-2 in Switzerland. We aimed to compare the incidences of hospitalization for these entities between 2020/2021 and prepandemic years.

METHODS

This retrospective study examined all nationwide hospitalizations for non-Covid-19-pneumonia and AECOPD listed as primary diagnoses based on ICD-10 codes between 2015 and 2021 in a publicly available hospitalization database of the Swiss Federal Statistical Office. Hospitalizations for acute coronary syndrome (ACS) and stroke were used as controls. Changes of monthly incidences of hospitalizations, length of stay (LOS) and mortality were compared between 2020/2021 and the average of 2015-2019.

RESULTS

The incidences of hospitalizations for AECOPD and for pneumonia showed seasonal variations from 2015 to 2019 followed by significant and almost identical decreases in 2020/2021 (incidence rate ratio [IRR] 0.59, 95% CI: 0.45-0.77, p < 0.001, and IRR: 0.62, 95% CI: 0.52-0.74, p < 0.001, respectively). Hospital-mortality was slightly higher in 2020/2021 for AECOPD (2015-2019: 3.8%; 2020/2021: 4.2%, odds ratio [OR] 1.24, 95% CI: 1.07-1.44, p = 0.004) and for pneumonia (2015-2019: 4.5%, 2020/2021: 4.6%, odds ratio [OR] 1.17, 95% CI: 1.07-1.28, p < 0.001). Median LOS slightly decreased for AECOPD (2015-2019: 8 [IQR: 5-14] days; 2020/2021: 7 [IQR: 4-13] days, Wilcoxon test: p < 0.001) but slightly increased for pneumonia (2015-2019: 7 [IQR: 4-11] days; 2020/2021: 7 [IQR: 4-13] days, Wilcoxon test: p < 0.001). Throughout 2020/2021, there were no significant fluctuations observed in the incidences of ACS and stroke. (IRR: 0.98, 95% CI: 0.83-1.16, p = 0.810, IRR: 0.96, 95% CI: 0.81-1.14, p = 0.636, respectively).

CONCLUSION

The first two years of the Covid-19 pandemic showed a marked decrease in incidences in AECOPD and non-Covid-19 pneumonia hospitalizations in Switzerland. It is likely that this effect is associated with the society-based, at first vigorous, social distancing measures.

Effect of high-dose N-acetylcysteine on exacerbations and lung function in patients with mild-to-moderate COPD: a double-blind, parallel group, multicentre randomised clinical trial

Evidence for the treatment of patients with mild-to-moderate chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) is limited. The efficacy of N-acetylcysteine (an antioxidant and mucolytic agent) for patients with mild-to-moderate COPD is uncertain. In this multicentre, randomised, double-blind, placebo-controlled trial, we randomly assigned 968 patients with mild-to-moderate COPD to treatment with N-acetylcysteine (600 mg, twice daily) or matched placebo for two years. Eligible participants were 40-80 years of age and had mild-to-moderate COPD (forced expiratory volume in 1 second [FEV1] to forced vital capacity ratio <0.70 and an FEV1 ≥ 50% predicted value after bronchodilator use). The coprimary outcomes were the annual rate of total exacerbations and the between-group difference in the change from baseline to 24 months in FEV1 before bronchodilator use. COPD exacerbation was defined as the appearance or worsening of at least two major symptoms (cough, expectoration, purulent sputum, wheezing, or dyspnoea) persisting for at least 48 hours. Assessment of exacerbations was conducted every three months, and lung function was performed annually after enrolment. The difference between the N-acetylcysteine group and the placebo group in the annual rate of total exacerbation were not significant (0.65 vs. 0.72 per patient-year; relative risk [RR], 0.90; 95% confidence interval [CI], 0.80-1.02; P = 0.10). There was no significant difference in FEV1 before bronchodilator use at 24 months. Long-term treatment with high-dose N-acetylcysteine neither significantly reduced the annual rate of total exacerbations nor improved lung function in patients with mild-to-moderate COPD. Chinese Clinical Trial Registration: ChiCTR-IIR-17012604.

Factors affecting 12-month unplanned readmissions for chronic obstructive pulmonary disease patients: the effect of mental disorders in an Australian cohort

BACKGROUND

Many individuals with chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) experience frequent hospitalization and readmissions, which is burdensome on the health system. This study aims to investigate factors associated with unplanned readmissions and mortality following a COPD-related hospitalization over a 12-month period in Australia, focusing on mental disorders and accounting for the acute phase of the COVID-19 pandemic.

METHODS

A retrospective cohort study using linked hospitalization and mortality records identified individuals aged ≥40 years who had at least one hospital admission with a principal diagnosis of COPD between 2014 and 2020 in New South Wales, Australia. A semi-competing risk analysis was conducted to examine factors associated with unplanned readmission and mortality.

RESULTS

Adults with a mental disorder diagnosis, specifically anxiety, had a higher risk of 12-month unplanned readmission. Individuals with anxiety and dementia also had a higher risk of mortality pre- and post-unplanned readmission. Individuals who were admitted during the acute phase of the COVID-19 pandemic period had lower risk of unplanned readmission, but higher risk of mortality without unplanned readmission.

CONCLUSION

Interventions aimed at reducing admissions should consider adults living with mental disorders such as anxiety or dementia to improve healthcare delivery and health outcomes for individuals living with COPD.

Botanical formulation HX110B ameliorates PPE-induced emphysema in mice via regulation of PPAR/RXR signaling pathway

Chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD), an inflammatory lung disease, causes approximately 3 million deaths each year; however, its pathological mechanisms are not fully understood. In this study, we examined whether HX110B, a mixture of Taraxacum officinale, Dioscorea batatas, and Schizonepeta tenuifolia extracts, could suppress porcine pancreatic elastase (PPE)-induced emphysema in mice and its mechanism of action. The therapeutic efficacy of HX110B was tested using a PPE-induced emphysema mouse model and human bronchial epithelial cell line BEAS-2B. In vivo data showed that the alveolar wall and air space expansion damaged by PPE were improved by HX110B administration. HX110B also effectively suppresses the expression levels of pro-inflammatory mediators including IL-6, IL-1β, MIP-2, and iNOS, while stimulating the expression of lung protective factors such as IL-10, CC16, SP-D, and sRAGE. Moreover, HX110B improved the impaired OXPHOS subunit gene expression. In vitro analysis revealed that HX110B exerted its effects by activating the PPAR-RXR signaling pathways. Overall, our data demonstrated that HX110B could be a promising therapeutic option for COPD treatment.

Acute care pathway assessed through performance indicators during the COVID-19 pandemic in OECD countries (2020-2021): a scoping review

BACKGROUND

The COVID-19 pandemic severely impacted care for non-COVID patients. Performance indicators to monitor acute care, timely reported and internationally accepted, lacked during the pandemic in OECD countries. This study aims to summarize the performance indicators available in the literature to monitor changes in the quality of acute care in OECD countries during the first year and a half of the pandemic (2020-July 2021) and to assess their trends.

METHODS

Scoping review. Search in Embase and MEDLINE (07-07-2022). Acute care performance indicators and indicators related to acute general surgery were collected and collated following a care pathway approach. Indicators assessing identical clinical measures were grouped under a common indicator title. The trends from each group of indicators were collated (increase/decrease/stable).

RESULTS

A total of 152 studies were included. 2354 indicators regarding general acute care and 301 indicators related to acute general surgery were included. Indicators focusing on pre-hospital services reported a decreasing trend in the volume of patients: from 225 indicators, 110 (49%) reported a decrease. An increasing trend in pre-hospital treatment times was reported by most of the indicators (n = 41;70%) and a decreasing trend in survival rates of out-of-hospital cardiac arrest (n = 61;75%). Concerning care provided in the emergency department, most of the indicators (n = 752;71%) showed a decreasing trend in admissions across all levels of urgency. Concerning the mortality rate after admission, most of the indicators (n = 23;53%) reported an increasing trend. The subset of indicators assessing acute general surgery showed a decreasing trend in the volume of patients (n = 50;49%), stability in clinical severity at admission (n = 36;53%), and in the volume of surgeries (n = 14;47%). Most of the indicators (n = 28;65%) reported no change in treatment approach and stable mortality rate (n = 11,69%).

CONCLUSION

This review signals relevant disruptions across the acute care pathway. A subset of general surgery performance indicators showed stability in most of the phases of the care pathway. These results highlight the relevance of assessing this care pathway more regularly and systematically across different clinical entities to monitor disruptions and to improve the resilience of emergency services during a crisis.

Trends in outpatient and inpatient visits for separate ambulatory-care-sensitive conditions during the first year of the COVID-19 pandemic: a province-based study

Background

The COVID-19 pandemic led to global disruptions in non-urgent health services, affecting health outcomes of individuals with ambulatory-care-sensitive conditions (ACSCs).

Methods

We conducted a province-based study using Ontario health administrative data (Canada) to determine trends in outpatient visits and hospitalization rates (per 100,000 people) in the general adult population for seven ACSCs during the first pandemic year (March 2020-March 2021) compared to previous years (2016-2019), and how disruption in outpatient visits related to acute care use. ACSCs considered were chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD), asthma, angina, congestive heart failure (CHF), hypertension, diabetes, and epilepsy. We used time series auto-regressive integrated moving-average models to compare observed versus projected rates.

Results

Following an initial reduction (March-May 2020) in all types of visits, primary care outpatient visits (combined in-person and virtual) returned to pre-pandemic levels for asthma, angina, hypertension, and diabetes, remained below pre-pandemic levels for COPD, and rose above pre-pandemic levels for CHF (104.8 vs. 96.4, 95% CI: 89.4-104.0) and epilepsy (29.6 vs. 24.7, 95% CI: 22.1-27.5) by the end of the first pandemic year. Specialty visits returned to pre-pandemic levels for COPD, angina, CHF, hypertension, and diabetes, but remained above pre-pandemic levels for asthma (95.4 vs. 79.5, 95% CI: 70.7-89.5) and epilepsy (53.3 vs. 45.6, 95% CI: 41.2-50.5), by the end of the year. Virtual visit rates increased for all ACSCs. Among ACSCs, reductions in hospitalizations were most pronounced for COPD and asthma. CHF-related hospitalizations also decreased, albeit to a lesser extent. For angina, hypertension, diabetes, and epilepsy, hospitalization rates reduced initially, but returned to pre-pandemic levels by the end of the year.

Conclusion

This study demonstrated variation in outpatient visit trends for different ACSCs in the first pandemic year. No outpatient visit trends resulted in increased hospitalizations for any ACSC; however, reductions in rates of asthma, COPD, and CHF hospitalizations persisted.

Governmental Non-Pharmaceutical Interventions during the COVID-19 Pandemic and the COPD Exacerbation and Respiratory Infection Rate in Patients with Alpha-1 Antitrypsin Deficiency

During the COVID-19 pandemic the number of hospital admissions due to chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) exacerbations was significantly reduced. The reason for this decline is not fully understood. Governmental non-pharmaceutical interventions (NPI's), an increase in community treated exacerbations, or healthcare avoidance by patients, are potential reasons. For the current study, the impact of Dutch governmental NPI's on the COPD exacerbations and respiratory infections rate in patients with severe alpha-1 antitrypsin deficiency (AATD) was analyzed. The patients participated in the NCT04204252 study, a randomized controlled trial evaluating the efficacy and safety of inhaled alpha-1 antitrypsin. Data collected in the time-period from March 2020 until February 2022 was analyzed. In this period the Dutch government imposed variable NPI's to contain the spread of SARS-CoV-2. Patients were required to document their daily symptoms in an electronic diary. The strictness of the governmental NPI's was measured by the COVID-19 Stringency Index. 19 patients participated in this study during the analysis period. A total of 40 respiratory infections and COPD exacerbations occurred. The Spearman's correlation coefficient of the monthly average COVID-19 Stringency Index and respiratory infections and COPD exacerbations rate was -0.316 (p = 0.132). When months known for a low respiratory infection rate were excluded, the correlation coefficient was -0.625 (p = 0.010). This study showed a significant negative correlation between the COPD exacerbations and respiratory infection rate and the COVID-19 Stringency Index in patients with AATD related COPD in the autumn-winter months.

The impact of the SARS-CoV-2 pandemic on the demographic, clinical and social profiles of patients admitted to the Pneumology Department for a COPD exacerbation

INTRODUCTION

Although a reduction in admissions for pathologies other than SARS-CoV-2 has been reported during the pandemic, there are hardly any specific studies in relation to COPD. The objective of this study was to analyse differences in the profile of those admitted for AEPOC and their prognosis during this period.

METHODS

Prospective study (SocioEPOC validation cohort) conducted in two hospitals. Demographic, clinical and social characteristics were compared among patients admitted for an AECOPD before and after the declaration of the COVID-19 healthcare emergency. Mortality and the need for hospital care in the following 3 months were analysed.

RESULTS

340 patients (76.6% male, 72 years, FEV1 43.5%) were included, 174 in the post-pandemic phase. During pandemic, especially before population-level vaccination, admissions for AECOPD were in patients with more severe disease and with a higher level of eosinophils. No differences were found in social profile, except they had more informal caregivers. The mortality rate at 90 days was the same (9%), although those admitted during the pandemic came for more hospital visits in the following 3 months (53.8% vs. 42%; p = 0.003), with the pandemic phase being an independent predictor of this possibility (OR = 1.6.; 95% IC = 1.1-2.6).

CONCLUSIONS

In the first few months of the pandemic, the clinical profile of patients hospitalised for an AECOPD differed from that both prior to this period and during the latter months of the pandemic, with minimal changes at the social level. Although the mortality rate were similar, unscheduled hospital visits increased during the COVID-19 pandemic.

Acceptability, Appropriateness and Feasibility of a Nurse-Led Integrated Care Intervention for Patients with Severe Exacerbation of COPD from the Healthcare Professional's Perspective - A Mixed Method Study

Purpose

To improve inpatient care and self-management in patients with severe acute exacerbations of COPD, we implemented a nurse-led behavioral intervention. This study aimed to assess implementation outcomes from the perspective of the healthcare professionals (HCP) who delivered it.

Methods

Using an explanatory sequential mixed method approach, we conducted an online questionnaire and two small group interviews. We applied descriptive statistics for quantitative data, a framework analysis for qualitative data, and a mixed methods matrix to integrate the results.

Results

A total of 19 of 27 invited participants answered the online questionnaire; 9 of 19 participated in the group interviews. The intervention's overall acceptability, appropriateness, and feasibility was rated high to very high (median 5/5; 4/5 and 4/5). Enablers to implementation included general recognition of the need for specialized care, sufficient knowledge of the intervention by HCP, and strong interprofessional collaboration. Main barriers included the lack of resident physician's resources and difficulties in adaptability.

Conclusion

While the acceptance of the intervention was very high, the perceived appropriateness and feasibility were affected by its complexity. The availability of a knowledgeable interprofessional core team is a strategy that supports the implementation of complex interventions.

Respiratory Care Management of COPD Exacerbations

A COPD exacerbation is characterized by an increase in symptoms such as dyspnea, cough, and sputum production that worsens over a period of 2 weeks. Exacerbations are common. Respiratory therapists and physicians in an acute care setting often treat these patients. Targeted O2 therapy improves outcomes and should be titrated to an SpO2 of 88-92%. Arterial blood gases remain the standard approach to assessing gas exchange in patients with COPD exacerbation. The limitations of arterial blood gas surrogates (pulse oximetry, capnography, transcutaneous monitoring, peripheral venous blood gases) should be appreciated so that they can be used wisely. Inhaled short-acting bronchodilators can be provided by nebulizer (jet or mesh), pressurized metered-dose inhaler (pMDI), pMDI with spacer or valved holding chamber, soft mist inhaler, or dry powder inhaler. The available evidence for the use of heliox for COPD exacerbation is weak. Noninvasive ventilation (NIV) is standard therapy for patients who present with COPD exacerbation and is supported by clinical practice guidelines. Robust high-level evidence with patient important outcomes is lacking for the use of high-flow nasal cannula in patients with COPD exacerbation. Management of auto-PEEP is the priority in mechanically ventilated patients with COPD. This is achieved by reducing airway resistance and decreasing minute ventilation. Trigger asynchrony and cycle asynchrony are addressed to improve patient-ventilator interaction. Patients with COPD should be extubated to NIV. Additional high-level evidence is needed before widespread use of extracorporeal CO2 removal. Care coordination can improve the effectiveness of care for patients with COPD exacerbation. Evidence-based practices improve outcomes in patients with COPD exacerbation.

Emergency Urology procedures during the COVID-19 pandemic in the UK: A 3-month prospective study

OBJECTIVE

COVID-19 resulted in Regional tiered restrictions being introduced across the UK with subsequent implications for planned and emergency surgical care. Specific to Merseyside, Tier 4, Tier 2 and Tier 5 restrictions were introduced in late 2020 and early 2021. The purpose of this study was to examine the nature and workload of emergency urological procedures during three different national lockdown Tiers in the North West of England.

METHOD

A 3-month prospective study examining all emergency urological activity was conducted from November 2020 when Tier 4 restrictions were introduced and included Tier 2 restrictions in December and then concluded at the end of January 2021 when Tier 5 restrictions were in place. Data was obtained by identifying patients using the electronic theatre listing system.

RESULTS

A total of 71 emergency cases were performed (24 in November (Tier 4), 28 in December (Tier 2), 19 in January 2021 (Tier 5)) with 15 different types of procedures performed. The most frequently performed procedure was stent insertion (36), followed by scrotal exploration (10). The least commonly performed procedure was suprapubic catheter insertion under general anaesthesia (1). One patient required transfer to a different hospital. In total 6 calls were made by general surgery and 3 by gynaecology for urgent urological assistance in theatre. Three urology patients returned to the theatre as emergencies following elective procedures.

CONCLUSION

Unlike the Spring lockdown, acute urological presentations requiring operative intervention still presented daily. Of the 71 cases performed, most occurred in Tier 2. Stent insertion was the most commonly performed procedure, with the majority of the cases performed by registrars.

Trends in prevalence and the effects on hospital outcomes of dementia in patients hospitalized with acute COPD exacerbation

AIMS

To assess changes in prevalence and the effects on hospital outcomes of dementia among patients hospitalized with an acute exacerbation of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (AE-COPD); and to evaluate sex-differences, as well as the impact of COVID-19 pandemic in this relationship.

METHODS

We used a nationwide discharge database to select patients admitted with AE-COPD in Spain from 2011 to 2020. We identified those with any type of dementia, vascular dementia (VaD) or Alzheimer's disease (AD).

RESULTS

We identified 658,429 hospitalizations with AE-COPD (4.45% had any type of dementia, 0.79% VaD and 1.57% AD). The presence of any type of dementia remained stable from 2011 to 2015, and increased significantly between 2016 and 2020. For VaD, the time trend showed no change until 2020, when a significant increment was found. The probability of AD decreased significantly overtime. The in-hospital mortality (IHM) among patients with any type of dementia remained stable overtime until 2020, when it increased significantly. Older age, higher comorbidity, COVID-19, and use of mechanical ventilation were variables associated to IHM. Women had lower risk of dying in the hospital than men in all subgroups.

CONCLUSIONS

After a previous period of stability, the prevalence of any type of dementia increased over the last 5 years of the study, although we identified different trends depending on the specific cause of dementia. The IHM remained stable overtime until 2020, when it increased, probably related to the COVID-19 pandemic. It is remarkable the protective effect of female sex for IHM.

Phase III, two arm, multi-centre, open label, parallel-group randomised designed clinical investigation of the use of a personalised early warning decision support system to predict and prevent acute exacerbations of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease: 'Predict & Prevent AECOPD' - study protocol

INTRODUCTION

With 65 million cases globally, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) is the fourth leading cause of death and imposes a heavy burden on patients' lives and healthcare resources worldwide. Around half of all patients with COPD have frequent (≥2 per year) acute exacerbations of COPD (AECOPD). Rapid readmissions are also common. Exacerbations impact significantly on COPD outcomes, causing significant lung function decline. Prompt exacerbation management optimises recovery and delays the time to the next acute episode.

METHODS/ANALYSIS

The Predict & Prevent AECOPD trial is a phase III, two arm, multi-centre, open label, parallel-group individually randomised clinical trial investigating the use of a personalised early warning decision support system (COPDPredict) to predict and prevent AECOPD. We aim to recruit 384 participants and randomise each individual in a 1:1 ratio to either standard self-management plans with rescue medication (RM) (control arm) or COPDPredict with RM (intervention arm).The trial will inform the future standard of care regarding management of exacerbations in COPD patients. The main outcome measure is to provide further validation, as compared with usual care, for the clinical effectiveness of COPDPredict to help guide and support COPD patients and their respective clinical teams in identifying exacerbations early, with an aim to reduce the total number of AECOPD-induced hospital admissions in the 12 months following each patient's randomisation.

ETHICS AND DISSEMINATION

This study protocol is reported in accordance with the guidance set out in the Standard Protocol Items: Recommendations for Interventional Trials statement. Predict & Prevent AECOPD has obtained ethical approval in England (19/LO/1939). On completion of the trial and publication of results a lay findings summary will be disseminated to trial participants.

TRIAL REGISTRATION NUMBER

NCT04136418.

COVID-19 (Omicron strain) hospital admissions from a virtual ward - who required further care?

BACKGROUND

The COVID-19 virtual ward was created to provide care for people at home with COVID-19. Given this was a new model of care, little was known about the clinical characteristics and outcomes of patients requiring admission to hospital from the virtual ward platform. The aims were to characterise hospital admission volume, patient epidemiology, clinical characteristics, and outcome from a virtual ward in the setting of an Omicron (BA.1, BA.2) outbreak.

METHODS

A retrospective observational study was performed for all virtual ward patients admitted from 1st January 2022 to 25th March 2022 (over 16 years old). Epidemiological, clinical and laboratory data was reviewed on all patients who required hospital admission.

RESULTS

A total of 7021 patients were cared for on the virtual ward over the study period with 473 referred to hospital for assessment. Twenty-six (0.4%) patients were admitted to hospital during their care on the ward. Twenty-two (84.6%) admissions were COVID-19 related. Fifty three percent of the hospitalised patients were fully vaccinated and 11 had received prior therapeutics for COVID-19. Shortness of breath was the most common reason for escalation to hospital. Chest pain was the second most common reason and the most common diagnosis after investigation was non-cardiac chest pain.

CONCLUSIONS

Few patients required admission from the virtual ward in the setting of the Omicron variant (BA.1, BA.2) as a direct result of COVID-19 disease and virtual ward care. Shortness of breath and chest pain were the most common symptoms driving further clinical care.

Assessing the impact of COVID-19 measures on COPD management and patients: a simulation-based decision support tool for COPD services in the UK

OBJECTIVES

To develop a computer-based decision support tool (DST) for key decision makers to safely explore the impact on chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) care of service changes driven by restrictions to prevent the spread of COVID-19.

DESIGN

The DST is powered by discrete event simulation which captures the entire patient pathway. To estimate the number of COPD admissions under different scenario settings, a regression model was developed and embedded into the tool. The tool can generate a wide range of patient-related and service-related outputs. Thus, the likely impact of possible changes (eg, COVID-19 restrictions and pandemic scenarios) on patients with COPD and care can be estimated.

SETTING

COPD services (including outpatient and inpatient departments) at a major provider in central London.

RESULTS

Four different scenarios (reflecting the UK government's Plan A, Plan B and Plan C in addition to a benchmark scenario) were run for 1 year. 856, 616 and 484 face-to-face appointments (among 1226 clinic visits) are expected in Plans A, B and C, respectively. Clinic visit quality in Plan A is found to be marginally better than in Plans B and C. Under coronavirus restrictions, lung function tests decreased more than 80% in Plan C as compared with Plan A. Fewer COPD exacerbation-related admissions were seen (284.1 Plan C vs 395.1 in the benchmark) associated with stricter restrictions. Although the results indicate that fewer quality-adjusted life years (in terms of COPD management) would be lost during more severe restrictions, the wider impact on physical and mental health must also be established.

CONCLUSIONS

This DST will enable COPD services to examine how the latest developments in care delivery and management might impact their service during and beyond the COVID-19 pandemic, and in the event of future pandemics.

Hospital admissions and mortality for acute exacerbations of COPD during the COVID-19 pandemic: A nationwide study in France

Background

A global reduction in hospital admissions for acute exacerbations of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (AECOPD) was observed during the first months of the COVID-19 pandemic. Large-scale studies covering the entire pandemic period are lacking. We investigated hospitalizations for AECOPD and the associated in-hospital mortality at the national level in France during the first 2 years of the pandemic.

Methods

We used the French National Hospital Database to analyse the time trends in (1) monthly incidences of hospitalizations for AECOPD, considering intensive care unit (ICU) admission and COVID-19 diagnoses, and (2) the related in-hospital mortality, from January 2016 to November 2021. Pandemic years were compared with the pre-pandemic years using Poisson regressions.

Results

The database included 565,890 hospitalizations for AECOPD during the study period. The median age at admission was 74 years (interquartile range 65–83), and 37% of the stays concerned women. We found: (1) a dramatic and sustainable decline in hospitalizations for AECOPD over the pandemic period (from 8,899 to 6,032 monthly admissions, relative risk (RR) 0.65, 95% confidence interval (CI) 0.65–0.66), and (2) a concomitant increase in in-hospital mortality for AECOPD stays (from 6.2 to 7.6% per month, RR 1.24, 95% CI 1.21–1.27). The proportion of stays yielding ICU admission was similar in the pre-pandemic and pandemic years, 21.5 and 21.3%, respectively. In-hospital mortality increased to a greater extent for stays without ICU admission (RR 1.39, 95% CI 1.35–1.43) than for those with ICU admission (RR 1.09, 95% CI 1.05–1.13). Since January 2020, only 1.5% of stays were associated with a diagnosis of COVID-19, and their mortality rate was nearly three-times higher than those without COVID-19 (RR 2.66, 95% CI 2.41–2.93).

Conclusion

The decline in admissions for AECOPD during the pandemic could be attributed to a decrease in the incidence of exacerbations for COPD patients and/or to a possible shift from hospital to community care. The rise in in-hospital mortality is partially explained by COVID-19, and could be related to restricted access to ICUs for some patients and/or to greater proportions of severe cases among the patients hospitalized during the pandemic.