Identifying Knowledge Gaps through the Systematic Review of Temperature-Driven Variability in the Competence of Aedes aegypti and Ae. albopictus for Chikungunya Virus

Current and Future Spatial Distribution of the Aedes aegypti in Peru Based on Topoclimatic Analysis and Climate Change Scenarios

Dengue, a febrile disease that has caused epidemics and deaths in South America, especially Peru, is vectored by the Aedes aegypti mosquito. Despite the seriousness of dengue fever, and the expanding range of Ae. aegypti, future distributions of the vector and disease in the context of climate change have not yet been clearly determined. Expanding on previous findings, our study employed bioclimatic and topographic variables to model both the present and future distribution of the Ae. aegypti mosquito using the Maximum Entropy algorithm (MaxEnt). The results indicate that 10.23% (132,053.96 km2) and 23.65% (305,253.82 km2) of Peru's surface area possess regions with high and moderate distribution probabilities, respectively, predominantly located in the departments of San Martín, Piura, Loreto, Lambayeque, Cajamarca, Amazonas, and Cusco. Moreover, based on projected future climate scenarios, it is anticipated that areas with a high probability of Ae. aegypti distribution will undergo expansion; specifically, the extent of these areas is estimated to increase by 4.47% and 2.99% by the years 2070 and 2100, respectively, under SSP2-4.5 in the HadGEM-GC31-LL model. Given the increasing dengue epidemic in Peru in recent years, our study seeks to identify tools for effectively addressing this pressing public health concern. Consequently, this research serves as a foundational framework for assessing areas with the highest likelihood of Ae. aegypti distribution in response to projected climate change in the second half of the 21st century.

On the tracks of an uninvited guest, the Asian tiger mosquito, Aedes albopictus in Cyprus

BACKGROUND

Aedes albopictus, the Asian tiger mosquito, which is listed among the world's 100 most dangerous invasive species, is the main vector of chikungunya, dengue and Zika viruses. This mosquito species has rapidly dispersed and invaded much of the globe assisted by its life history traits and high propagule pressure driven by human activities. Aedes albopictus is currently widespread across mainland Europe and the Mediterranean region, including the islands. Cyprus remained free of Ae. albopictus until October 2022, when specimens were recorded for the first time in Limassol district, including the port area. Understanding the processes associated with the introduction, expansion and establishment of this vector in Cyprus is of primary importance to mitigate its dispersal on the island, and to implement control methods to prevent disease outbreaks. A genetic analysis of these invasive specimens collected in Limassol district and in areas from the Central Mediterranean was performed to obtain a genetic portrait of the demographic history of the invasive mosquitoes on Cyprus.

METHODS

We applied highly polymorphic simple sequence repeat (SSR) markers to the Ae. albopictus mosquitoes collected in Cyprus and to specimens from Italy, France, Switzerland, the Balkans, Greece and Turkey to construct an SSR individual genotype dataset that would enable the invasion pattern of Ae. albopictus in Cyprus to be traced. Bayesian clustering analyses using STRUCTURE and BayesAss version 3 were employed to derive information on the degree of ancestry among Cypriot and Mediterranean mosquitoes and on recent mosquito movements both within Cyprus and between Cyprus and the Central Mediterranean areas.

RESULTS

The Cypriot mosquitoes appear to be highly polymorphic with no signs of genetic drift due to recent founder effects. An ongoing mosquito dispersal within the Limassol district was detected, suggesting the presence of established, hidden adventive populations. These mosquitoes share a high degree of ancestry with those in the Balkans and parts of northern Italy that border the Adriatic Sea.

CONCLUSIONS

Considering the trade connections of Limassol port, Cyprus with the Balkans and the Adriatic Italian region, we hypothesise that these areas may be involved in the incursion of Ae. albopictus into Cyprus. As the Balkan and Italian mosquitoes display high competence for CHIKV, questions arise about possible arbovirus outbreaks in Cyprus and highlight the need to implement surveillance and control measures.

High vector competence for chikungunya virus but heavily reduced locomotor activity of Aedes albopictus from Germany at low temperatures

BACKGROUND

The incidence of human infections caused by arthropod-borne viruses, such as the chikungunya virus (CHIKV), has increased globally due to a number of factors, such as climate change and globalization. The exotic mosquito species Aedes albopictus is a significant vector for CHIKV, raising concerns about its transmission potential in temperate regions, including Central Europe. We have therefore investigated the vector competence of Ae. albopictus for CHIKV at constant and fluctuating temperatures between 15 °C and 24 °C to assess the transmission risk in Europe.

METHODS

Aedes albopictus mosquitoes were reared and artificially infected with CHIKV. Infection rates and transmission efficiencies (TEs) were determined after 14 days of incubation at constant and fluctuating (± 5 °C) mean temperatures of 15 °C, 18 °C, 21 °C and 24 °C. In addition, mosquito locomotor activity was measured under the same fluctuating temperature conditions. A risk map for CHIKV transmission in Europe was generated combining temperature data and the current distribution of Ae. albopictus.

RESULTS

CHIKV transmission was observed at all tested temperatures. The highest TEs were recorded at fluctuating temperatures of 18 °C (54.3%) and 21 °C (58.6%), while the lowest TE was observed at a constant temperature of 15 °C (5.6%). TEs at fluctuating temperatures of 15 °C and 24 °C were the same (32.5%). Mosquito activity showed a nocturnal unimodal activity pattern with a peak during the start of the scotophase (hour 20). The proportion of active mosquitoes per hour increased with temperature and was nearly zero at 15 °C. The risk map indicated that regions in Southern and Central Europe, including recently invaded areas north of the Alps, have temperatures theoretically allowing CHIKV transmission for at least some days per year.

CONCLUSIONS

While CHIKV can be transmitted by Ae. albopictus at 15 °C, the activity of this mosquito is strongly decreased at this temperature, likely reducing the transmission risk. These findings emphasize the importance of considering both vector competence and mosquito activity when assessing the risk of arbovirus transmission in temperate regions. Further studies are needed to validate these laboratory findings under field conditions.