Clinical Events and Renal Function in the First Year Predict Long-Term Kidney Transplant Survival

Risks of cardiovascular disease and cerebrovascular disease following kidney transplantation: A nationwide, population-based cohort study

Background: Kidney transplant recipients (KTRs) have an increased risk for cardiovascular disease (CVD) and cerebrovascular disease (CBD). This study investigated the risks of CVD and CBD following kidney transplantation. Materials and methods: This retrospective cohort study enrolled 3596 KTRs between 2003 and 2017. Propensity Score Matching (PSM) was performed to select patients without a kidney transplant, who were assigned to the control group. Each KTR was matched with five patients without a kidney transplant by sex, age, insured salary, urbanization level, Charlson comorbidity index (CCI), and year of inclusion in the study. A Cox proportional hazards model was employed to investigate the risks of incident CVD and CBD in KTRs after adjusting for relevant variables. Furthermore, we analyzed for CVD and CBD risk 6 months and 1, 3, and 5 years after transplantation. Results: Among KTRs, the CVD incidence rate per 1,000 person-years was 33.98, which was significantly higher than that among patients without a kidney transplant. After adjusting for confounding variables, KTRs had a significantly higher risk of CVD (adjusted hazard ratio [aHR], 1.74; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.58-1.93) than did patients without a kidney transplant. Regarding cumulative incidence, the risk of CVD increased over time. Among the four follow-up periods we assessed, the 5-year follow-up period had the highest CVD risk (aHR, 1.35; 95% CI, 1.17-1.56), followed by the 3-year follow-up period (aHR, 1.34; 95% CI, 1.13-1.59). KTRs also had a significantly higher risk of CBD (aHR, 1.43; 95% CI, 1.23-1.68) than did patients without a kidney transplant. Conclusion: CVD risk is higher among KTRs than among those without a kidney transplant, and this risk increases over time. CBD risk was also higher among KTRs. Large, randomized controlled prospective studies are needed to thoroughly evaluate the relationship between kidney transplantation and the risks of CVD and CBD.

Deceased donor urinary Dickkopf-3 associates with future allograft function following kidney transplantation

Predicting future kidney allograft function is challenging. Novel biomarkers, such as urinary Dickkopf-3 (uDKK3), may help guide donor selection and improve allograft outcomes. In this prospective multicenter pilot trial, we investigated whether donor uDKK3 reflects organ quality and is associated with future allograft function. We measured uDKK3/crea ratios (uDKK3/crea) from 95 deceased and 46 living kidney donors. Prenephrectomy uDKK3/crea levels were 100× higher in deceased than in living donors (9888 pg/mg vs 113 pg/mg; P < .001). Among deceased donor transplantations, recipients were stratified by their corresponding uDKK3/crea donor levels ranging below (group A, n = 68) or above (group B, n = 65) median. The primary end point of best estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) within the first 3 months after kidney transplantation was superior in group A (56.3 mL/min/1.73 m2) than that in group B (44.2 mL/min/1.73 m2; P = .0139). Second, the composite clinical end point consisting of death, allograft failure or eGFR decline >50% occurred less frequent in group A. By mixed linear regression modeling, donor uDKK3/crea remained an independent predictor of eGFR after transplantation, with a slope of -4.282 mL/min/1.73 m2 per logarithmic increase in donor uDKK3/crea. In summary, uDKK3 may serve as a noninvasive, donor-dependent biomarker for assessing organ quality and future allograft function.

The effect of intraoperative inosine infusion on transplant outcomes in deceased-donor kidney transplant recipients

OBJECTIVES

It is unknown when inosine was first employed as a renoprotective agent in the context of kidney transplantation procedures. However, there is no clinical evidence to support a protective role of inosine. The aim of this study was to investigate the effect of inosine on graft recovery.

PATIENTS AND METHODS

Data related to donors and recipients were retrieved from relevant records between 2015 and 2023. A total of 1138 kidney transplant cases were identified, including 1005 recipients who received a bolus of 1000 mg inosine and 133 recipients who did not receive inosine during transplantation surgery. The endpoints of the analysis included recipient recovery after transplantation as assessed by delayed graft function (DGF), peak estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) after transplantation, and unfavorable graft function recovery.

RESULTS

Given the high dimensionality of the donor and recipient variables, propensity score weighting analyses were conducted. No significant differences in the risk of DGF (OR = 0.80 [0.52, 1.22], p = 0.301), unfavorable graft function recovery (OR = 0.95 [0.61, 1.51], p = 0.842) or peak eGFR after transplantation (β = 1.61 [-4.33, 7.56], p = 0.594) were observed between the inosine and no-inosine groups via overlap weighting analysis.

CONCLUSIONS

Intraoperative infusion of 1000 mg of inosine has no effect on graft recovery after kidney transplantation. Therefore, the practice of using inosine during kidney transplantation surgery is not supported by evidence.

Longitudinal non-targeted metabolomic profiling of urine samples for monitoring of kidney transplantation patients

The assessment of kidney function within the first year following transplantation is crucial for predicting long-term graft survival. This study aimed to develop a robust and accurate model using metabolite profiles to predict early long-term outcomes in patient groups at the highest risk of early graft loss. A group of 61 kidney transplant recipients underwent thorough monitoring during a one-year follow-up period, which included a one-week hospital stay and follow-up assessments at three and six months. Based on their 12-month follow-up serum creatinine levels: Group 2 had levels exceeding 1.5 mg/dl, while Group 1 had levels below 1.5 mg/dl. Metabolites were detected by mass spectrometer and first pre-processed. Univariate and multivariate statistical analyses were employed to identify significant differences between the two groups. Nineteen metabolites were found to differ significantly in the 1st week, and seventeen metabolites in the 3rd month (adjusted p-value < 0.05, quality control (QC) < 30, a fold change (FC) > 1.1 or a FC < 0.91, Variable Influence on Projection (VIP) > 1). However, no significant differences were observed in the 6th month. These distinctive metabolites mainly belonged to lipid, fatty acid, and amino acid categories. Ten models were constructed using a backward conditional approach, with the best performance seen in model 5 for Group 2 at the 1st-week mark (AUC 0.900) and model 3 at the 3rd-month mark (AUC 0.924). In conclusion, the models developed in the early stages may offer potential benefits in the management of kidney transplant patients.

Exposure to renin-angiotensin system inhibitors before kidney transplantation is associated with a decreased risk of delayed graft function

Introduction

Animal models suggest a protective role of angiotensin-converting enzyme inhibitors (ACEi) and angiotensin-II receptor blockers (ARBs) in reducing renal and cardiac ischemia-reperfusion injury. Our aim was to determine the association between pre-transplant ACEi/ARBs use and the occurrence of delayed graft function (DGF) in patients who received a kidney transplantation from a deceased donor.

Methods

Consecutive recipients between 2008 and 2021 in 2 Canadian university-affiliated centers were included in this retrospective cohort study. The main outcome was the occurrence of DGF and the exposure was use of ACEi or ARBs at the time of admission for transplantation. Mixed models were fit.

Results

A total of 897 patients were included, of which 160 (18%) experienced DGF. At admission, 337 (38%) patients were exposed to ACEi/ARBs. In the multivariable analysis, pre-transplant ACEi/ARBs use was associated with a reduced risk of DGF (odds ratio: 0.60, 95% confidence interval: 0.40, 0.92). Other factors associated with DGF were recipient obesity, donor type, ethnicity, age, hypertension, and total ischemia time.

Discussion

Pre-transplant use of ACEi/ARBs is associated with a lower risk of DGF in early postoperative period, which may be due to a protective effect of these agents on renal ischemia-reperfusion injury.

High-dimensional analysis of NK cells in kidney transplantation uncovers subsets associated with antibody-independent graft dysfunction

Natural killer (NK) cells respond to diseased and allogeneic cells through NKG2A/HLA-E or killer cell immunoglobulin-like receptor (KIR)/HLA-ABC interactions. Correlations between HLA/KIR disparities and kidney transplant pathology suggest an antibody-independent pathogenic role for NK cells in transplantation, but the mechanisms remain unclear. Using CyTOF to characterize recipient peripheral NK cell phenotypes and function, we observed diverse NK cell subsets among participants who responded heterogeneously to allo-stimulators. NKG2A+KIR+ NK cells responded more vigorously than other subsets, and this heightened response persisted after kidney transplantation despite immunosuppression. In test and validation sets from 2 clinical trials, pretransplant donor-induced release of cytotoxicity mediator Ksp37 by NKG2A+ NK cells correlated with reduced long-term allograft function. Separate analyses showed that Ksp37 gene expression in allograft biopsies lacking histological rejection correlated with death-censored graft loss. Our findings support an antibody-independent role for NK cells in transplant injury and support further testing of pretransplant, donor-reactive, NK cell-produced Ksp37 as a risk-assessing, transplantation biomarker.

Living donors kidney transplantation and oxidative stress: Nitric oxide as a predictive marker of graft function

BACKGROUND

Glomerular filtration rate is the best indicator of renal function and a predictor of graft and patient survival after kidney transplantation.

METHODS

In a single-centre prospective analysis, we assessed the predictive performances of 4 oxidative stress biomarkers in estimating graft function at 6 months and 1 year after kidney transplantation from living donors. Blood samples were achieved on days (D-1, D1, D2, D3, D6 and D8), months (M1, M3 and M6) and after one year (1Y). For donors, a blood sample was collected on D-1. Malondialdehyde (MDA), nitric oxide (NO), glutathione s-transferase (GST), myeloperoxydase (MPO), and creatinine (Cr) were measured by spectrophotometric essays. The estimated glomerular filtration rate by the modification of diet in renal disease equation (MDRD-eGFR) was used to assess renal function in 32 consecutive donor-recipient pairs. Pearson's and Spearman's correlations have been applied to filter out variables and covariables that can be used to build predictive models of graft function at six months and one year. The predictive performances of NO and MPO were tested by multivariable stepwise linear regression to estimate glomerular filtration rate at six months.

RESULTS

Three models with the highest coefficients of determination stand out, combining the two variables nitric oxide at day 6 and an MDRD-eGFR variable at day 6 or MDRD-eGFR at day 21 or MDRD-eGFR at 3 months, associated for the first two models or not for the third model with donor age as a covariable (P = 0.000, r2 = 0.599, r2adj = 0.549; P = 0.000, r2 = 0.548, r2adj = 0.497; P = 0.000, r2 = 0.553, r2adj = 0.517 respectively).

CONCLUSION

Quantification of nitric oxide at day six could be useful in predicting graft function at six months in association with donor age and the estimated glomerular filtration rate in recipient at day 6, day 21 and 3 months after transplantation.

The reduced function allele SLCO1B1 c.521T>C is of no practical relevance for the renal graft function over the first post-transplant year in patients treated with mycophenolic acid

OBJECTIVE

It is unclear whether renal transplant recipients treated with mycophenolic acid (MPA) who carry the reduced-function allele at polymorphism SLCO1B1 c.521T>C differ from their wild-type peers regarding renal outcomes and tolerability. We aimed to estimate the effect of this polymorphism on the graft function (estimated glomerular filtration rate, eGFR) over the first 12 post-transplant months in patients on MPA-based maintenance immunosuppression.

METHODS

In a 12-month observational cohort study, consecutive adult patients were repeatedly assessed for eGFR. The SLCO1B1 c.521C>T variant allele carriers (exposed) and wild-type subjects (controls) were balanced on a range of demographic, medical, and genetic variables at baseline, and eGFR trajectory was estimated with further adjustment for time-varying covariates. A subset of patients were assessed for exposure to MPA 5-7 days after the transplantation.

RESULTS

The adjusted eGFR slopes from day 1 to day 28 (daily), and from day 28 to day 365 (monthly) were practically identical in exposed (n = 86) and control (n = 168) patients [geometric means ratios (GMR) = 0.99, 95% confidence interval (CI) = 0.92-1.06 and GMR = 0.98, 0.94-1.01, respectively]. The rates of adverse renal outcomes and possible MPA-related adverse effects were low, and similar in exposed and controls [rate ratios (RR) = 0.94, 0.49-1.84 and RR = 1.08, 0.74-1.58, respectively]. The pharmacokinetic analysis did not signal meaningful differences regarding exposure to MPA, overall (exposed n = 23, control n = 45), if cotreated with cyclosporine (n = 17 vs. n = 26) or with tacrolimus (n = 8 vs. n = 17).

CONCLUSIONS

In patients treated with MPA, variant allele SLCO1B1 c.521T>C appears of no practical relevance regarding the 12-month renal graft function, MPA safety and exposure to MPA at early steady-state.

Comparison of Kidney Graft Function and Survival in an Emulated Trial With Living Donors and Brain-Dead Donors

Living donation (LD) transplantation is the preferred treatment for kidney failure as compared to donation after brain death (DBD), but age may play a role. We compared the 1-year estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) after kidney transplantation for recipients of LD and DBD stratified by recipient and donor age between 2015 and 2018 in a matched cohort. The strength of the association between donation type and 1-year eGFR differed by recipient age (P interaction < 0.0001). For LD recipients aged 40-54 years versus same-aged DBD recipients, the adjusted odds ratio (aOR) for eGFR ≥60 mL/min/1.73 m2 was 1.48 (95% CI: 1.16-1.90). For DBD recipients aged ≥ 60 years, the aOR was 0.18 (95% CI: 0.12-0.29) versus DBD recipients aged 40-54 years but was 0.91 (95% CI: 0.67-1.24) versus LD recipients aged ≥60 years. In the matched cohort, 4-year graft and patient survival differed by donor age and type. As compared with DBD grafts, LD grafts increased the proportion of recipients with 1-year eGFR ≥60 mL/min/1.73 m2. Recipients aged ≥60 years benefited most from LD transplantation, even if the donor was aged ≥60 years. For younger recipients, large age differences between donor and recipient could also be addressed with a paired exchange program.

Inosine monophosphate dehydrogenase type 2 polymorphism IMPDH2 3757T>C (rs11706052) and 12-month evolution of the graft function in renal transplant recipients on mycophenolate-based immunosuppression

Variant allele at the inosine monophosphate dehydrogenase type 2 polymorphism IMPDH2 3757T>C has been associated with increased enzyme activity and reduced susceptibility to mycophenolic acid (MPA) in vitro. It has been suggested associated with an increased risk of acute rejection in renal transplant recipients on MPA-based immunosuppression, but not unambiguously. We assessed one-year evolution of the estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) in transplanted variant allele carriers and wild-type subjects, while controlling for a number of demographic, pharmacogenetic, (co)morbidity, and treatment baseline and time-varying covariates. The eGFR slopes to day 28 (GMR = 1.01, 95% CI 0.93-1.09), and between days 28 and 365 (GMR = 1.01, 95% CI 0.99-1.02) were practically identical in 52 variant carriers and 202 wild-type controls. The estimates (95%CIs) remained within the limits of ±20% difference even after adjustment for a strong hypothetical effect of unmeasured confounders. Polymorphism IMPDH2 3757T>C does not affect the renal graft function over the 1st year after transplantation.

Safety of fluconazole in kidney transplant recipients for prevention of coccidioidomycosis

Coccidioides is an endemic fungus that causes infections ranging from mild respiratory illness to life-threatening disease, and immunocompromised hosts such as solid organ transplant recipients are at higher risk for disseminated infection and mortality. Our center administers fluconazole prophylaxis to kidney transplant recipients residing in geographic areas with higher incidences of coccidioidomycosis. However, because drug-drug interactions occur between triazoles and immunosuppressants used in transplant medicine, we undertook a study to ascertain whether fluconazole prophylaxis was associated with any important safety outcomes in kidney transplant recipients. This retrospective study evaluated patients who had undergone kidney transplantation between 2016 and 2019. Data on patient demographics, transplant-related clinical information, use of fluconazole prophylaxis (200 mg daily for 6-12 months post-transplant), and patient outcomes were obtained. The primary outcome was mean estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) at 12 months, comparing those who received fluconazole prophylaxis to those who did not. Secondary outcomes included mean eGFR at 3 months, 6 months, and 9 months post-transplant, patient survival, biopsy-proven graft rejection, graft loss, or a new requirement for post-transplant dialysis, all within 12 months post-transplant. The mean eGFR at 12 months was similar between both groups, with 66.4 ml/min/1.73 m² in the fluconazole prophylaxis group vs. 64.3 ml/min/1.73 m² in the non-fluconazole prophylaxis group (P = 0.55). Secondary outcomes were similar across both groups. Multivariable linear regression found no significant association between fluconazole use and graft function. Fluconazole prophylaxis for prevention of coccidioidomycosis was not associated with adverse graft outcomes in kidney transplant recipients.

Prediction models for the recipients' ideal perioperative estimated glomerular filtration rates for predicting graft survival after adult living-donor kidney transplantation

Introduction

The impact of the perioperative estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) on graft survival in kidney transplant recipients is yet to be evaluated. In this study, we developed prediction models for the ideal perioperative eGFRs in recipients.

Methods

We evaluated the impact of perioperative predicted ideal and actual eGFRs on graft survival by including 1,174 consecutive adult patients who underwent living-donor kidney transplantation (LDKT) between January 2008 and December 2020. Prediction models for the ideal perioperative eGFR were developed for 676 recipients who were randomly assigned to the training and validation sets (ratio: 7:3). The prediction models for the ideal best eGFR within 3 weeks and those at 1, 2, and 3 weeks after LDKT in 474 recipients were developed using 10-fold validation and stepwise multiple regression model analyzes. The developed prediction models were validated in 202 recipients. Finally, the impact of perioperative predicted ideal eGFRs/actual eGFRs on graft survival was investigated using Fine-Gray regression analysis.

Results

The correlation coefficients of the predicted ideal best eGFR within 3 weeks and the predicted ideal eGFRs at 1, 2, and 3 weeks after LDKT were 0.651, 0.600, 0.598, and 0.617, respectively. Multivariate analyzes for graft loss demonstrated significant differences in the predicted ideal best eGFR/actual best eGFR within 3 weeks and the predicted ideal eGFRs/actual eGFRs at 1, 2, and 3 weeks after LDKT.

Discussion

The predicted ideal best eGFR/actual best eGFR within 3 weeks and the predicted ideal eGFRs/actual eGFRs at 1, 2, and 3 weeks after LDKT were independent prognostic factors for graft loss. Therefore, the perioperative predicted ideal eGFR/actual eGFR may be useful for predicting graft survival after adult LDKT.

A Composite End Point of Graft Status and eGFR at 1 Year to Improve the Scientific Registry of Transplant Recipients' Five-Tier Rating System

BACKGROUND

Performance of kidney transplant programs in the United States is monitored and publicly reported by the Scientific Registry of Transplant Recipients (SRTR). With relatively few allograft failure events per program and increasing homogeneity in program performance, quantifying meaningful differences in program competency based only on 1-year survival rates is challenging.

METHODS

We explored whether the traditional end point of allograft failure at 1 year can be improved by incorporating a measure of allograft function (i.e., eGFR) into a composite end point. We divided SRTR data from 2008 through 2018 into a training and validation set and recreated SRTR tiers, using the traditional and composite end points. The conditional 5-year deceased donor allograft survival and 5-year eGFR were then assessed using each approach.

RESULTS

Compared with the traditional end point, the composite end point of graft failure or eGFR <30 ml/min per 1.73 m² at 1-year post-transplant performed better in stratifying transplant programs based on long-term deceased donor graft survival. For tiers 1 through 5 respectively, the 5-year conditional graft survival was 72.9%, 74.8%, 75.4%, 77.0%, and 79.7% using the traditional end point and 71.1%, 74.4%, 76.9%, 77.0%, and 78.4% with the composite end point. Additionally, with the five-tier system derived from the composite end point, programs in tier 3, tier 4, and tier 5 had significantly higher mean eGFRs at 5 years compared with programs in tier 1. There were no significant eGFR differences among tiers derived from the traditional end point alone.

CONCLUSIONS

This proof-of-concept study suggests that a composite end point incorporating allograft function may improve the post-transplant component of the five-tier system by better differentiating between transplant programs with respect to long-term graft outcomes.