1
|
Alskaf E, Frey SM, Scannell CM, Suinesiaputra A, Vilic D, Dinu V, Masci PG, Perera D, Young A, Chiribiri A. Machine learning outcome prediction using stress perfusion cardiac magnetic resonance reports and natural language processing of electronic health records. INFORMATICS IN MEDICINE UNLOCKED 2024; 44:101418. [PMID: 38173908 PMCID: PMC7615463 DOI: 10.1016/j.imu.2023.101418] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Key Words] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 01/05/2024] Open
Affiliation(s)
- Ebraham Alskaf
- School of Biomedical Engineering & Imaging Sciences, King’s College London, United Kingdom
| | - Simon M. Frey
- School of Biomedical Engineering & Imaging Sciences, King’s College London, United Kingdom
- Department of Cardiology, University Hospital Basel, Basel, Switzerland
| | - Cian M. Scannell
- School of Biomedical Engineering & Imaging Sciences, King’s College London, United Kingdom
- Department of Biomedical Engineering, Eindhoven University of Technology, Eindhoven, Netherlands
| | - Avan Suinesiaputra
- School of Biomedical Engineering & Imaging Sciences, King’s College London, United Kingdom
| | | | - Vlad Dinu
- King’s College London, United Kingdom
| | - Pier Giorgio Masci
- School of Biomedical Engineering & Imaging Sciences, King’s College London, United Kingdom
| | - Divaka Perera
- School of Biomedical Engineering & Imaging Sciences, King’s College London, United Kingdom
| | - Alistair Young
- School of Biomedical Engineering & Imaging Sciences, King’s College London, United Kingdom
| | - Amedeo Chiribiri
- School of Biomedical Engineering & Imaging Sciences, King’s College London, United Kingdom
| |
Collapse
|
2
|
Wu H, Wang M, Wu J, Francis F, Chang YH, Shavick A, Dong H, Poon MTC, Fitzpatrick N, Levine AP, Slater LT, Handy A, Karwath A, Gkoutos GV, Chelala C, Shah AD, Stewart R, Collier N, Alex B, Whiteley W, Sudlow C, Roberts A, Dobson RJB. A survey on clinical natural language processing in the United Kingdom from 2007 to 2022. NPJ Digit Med 2022; 5:186. [PMID: 36544046 PMCID: PMC9770568 DOI: 10.1038/s41746-022-00730-6] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 06/20/2022] [Accepted: 11/29/2022] [Indexed: 12/24/2022] Open
Abstract
Much of the knowledge and information needed for enabling high-quality clinical research is stored in free-text format. Natural language processing (NLP) has been used to extract information from these sources at scale for several decades. This paper aims to present a comprehensive review of clinical NLP for the past 15 years in the UK to identify the community, depict its evolution, analyse methodologies and applications, and identify the main barriers. We collect a dataset of clinical NLP projects (n = 94; £ = 41.97 m) funded by UK funders or the European Union's funding programmes. Additionally, we extract details on 9 funders, 137 organisations, 139 persons and 431 research papers. Networks are created from timestamped data interlinking all entities, and network analysis is subsequently applied to generate insights. 431 publications are identified as part of a literature review, of which 107 are eligible for final analysis. Results show, not surprisingly, clinical NLP in the UK has increased substantially in the last 15 years: the total budget in the period of 2019-2022 was 80 times that of 2007-2010. However, the effort is required to deepen areas such as disease (sub-)phenotyping and broaden application domains. There is also a need to improve links between academia and industry and enable deployments in real-world settings for the realisation of clinical NLP's great potential in care delivery. The major barriers include research and development access to hospital data, lack of capable computational resources in the right places, the scarcity of labelled data and barriers to sharing of pretrained models.
Collapse
Affiliation(s)
- Honghan Wu
- Institute of Health Informatics, University College London, London, UK.
| | - Minhong Wang
- Institute of Health Informatics, University College London, London, UK
| | - Jinge Wu
- Institute of Health Informatics, University College London, London, UK
- Usher Institute, University of Edinburgh, Edinburgh, UK
| | - Farah Francis
- Usher Institute, University of Edinburgh, Edinburgh, UK
| | - Yun-Hsuan Chang
- Institute of Health Informatics, University College London, London, UK
| | - Alex Shavick
- Research Department of Pathology, UCL Cancer Institute, University College London, London, UK
| | - Hang Dong
- Usher Institute, University of Edinburgh, Edinburgh, UK
- Department of Computer Science, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK
| | | | | | - Adam P Levine
- Research Department of Pathology, UCL Cancer Institute, University College London, London, UK
| | - Luke T Slater
- Institute of Cancer and Genomics, University of Birmingham, Birmingham, UK
| | - Alex Handy
- Institute of Health Informatics, University College London, London, UK
- University College London Hospitals NHS Trust, London, UK
| | - Andreas Karwath
- Institute of Cancer and Genomics, University of Birmingham, Birmingham, UK
| | - Georgios V Gkoutos
- Institute of Cancer and Genomics, University of Birmingham, Birmingham, UK
| | - Claude Chelala
- Centre for Tumour Biology, Barts Cancer Institute, Queen Mary University of London, London, UK
| | - Anoop Dinesh Shah
- Institute of Health Informatics, University College London, London, UK
| | - Robert Stewart
- Department of Psychological Medicine, Institute of Psychiatry, Psychology and Neuroscience (IoPPN), King's College London, London, UK
- South London and Maudsley NHS Foundation Trust, London, UK
| | - Nigel Collier
- Theoretical and Applied Linguistics, Faculty of Modern & Medieval Languages & Linguistics, University of Cambridge, Cambridge, UK
| | - Beatrice Alex
- Edinburgh Futures Institute, University of Edinburgh, Edinburgh, UK
| | | | - Cathie Sudlow
- Usher Institute, University of Edinburgh, Edinburgh, UK
| | - Angus Roberts
- Department of Biostatistics & Health Informatics, King's College London, London, UK
| | - Richard J B Dobson
- Institute of Health Informatics, University College London, London, UK
- Department of Biostatistics & Health Informatics, King's College London, London, UK
| |
Collapse
|
3
|
Fusar-Poli P, Manchia M, Koutsouleris N, Leslie D, Woopen C, Calkins ME, Dunn M, Tourneau CL, Mannikko M, Mollema T, Oliver D, Rietschel M, Reininghaus EZ, Squassina A, Valmaggia L, Kessing LV, Vieta E, Correll CU, Arango C, Andreassen OA. Ethical considerations for precision psychiatry: A roadmap for research and clinical practice. Eur Neuropsychopharmacol 2022; 63:17-34. [PMID: 36041245 DOI: 10.1016/j.euroneuro.2022.08.001] [Citation(s) in RCA: 28] [Impact Index Per Article: 14.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 04/13/2022] [Revised: 07/04/2022] [Accepted: 08/05/2022] [Indexed: 12/14/2022]
Abstract
Precision psychiatry is an emerging field with transformative opportunities for mental health. However, the use of clinical prediction models carries unprecedented ethical challenges, which must be addressed before accessing the potential benefits of precision psychiatry. This critical review covers multidisciplinary areas, including psychiatry, ethics, statistics and machine-learning, healthcare and academia, as well as input from people with lived experience of mental disorders, their family, and carers. We aimed to identify core ethical considerations for precision psychiatry and mitigate concerns by designing a roadmap for research and clinical practice. We identified priorities: learning from somatic medicine; identifying precision psychiatry use cases; enhancing transparency and generalizability; fostering implementation; promoting mental health literacy; communicating risk estimates; data protection and privacy; and fostering the equitable distribution of mental health care. We hope this blueprint will advance research and practice and enable people with mental health problems to benefit from precision psychiatry.
Collapse
Affiliation(s)
- Paolo Fusar-Poli
- Early Psychosis: Interventions and Clinical-Detection (EPIC) Lab, Department of Psychosis Studies, Institute of Psychiatry, Psychology & Neuroscience, King's College London, London, UK; South London and Maudsley NHS Foundation Trust, London, UK; Department of Brain and Behavioral Sciences, University of Pavia, Pavia, Italy.
| | - Mirko Manchia
- Section of Psychiatry, Department of Medical Sciences and Public Health, University of Cagliari, Cagliari, Italy; Unit of Clinical Psychiatry, University Hospital Agency of Cagliari, Cagliari, Italy; Department of Pharmacology, Dalhousie University, Halifax, Nova Scotia, Canada
| | | | | | | | - Monica E Calkins
- Neurodevelopment and Psychosis Section and Lifespan Brain Institute of Penn/CHOP, Department of Psychiatry, Perelman School of Medicine, University of Pennsylvania, USA
| | - Michael Dunn
- Centre for Biomedical Ethics, Yong Loo Lin School of Medicine, National University of Singapore
| | - Christophe Le Tourneau
- Institut Curie, Department of Drug Development and Innovation (D3i), INSERM U900 Research unit, Paris-Saclay University, France
| | - Miia Mannikko
- European Federation of Associations of Families of People with Mental Illness (EUFAMI), Leuven, Belgium
| | - Tineke Mollema
- Global Alliance of Mental Illness Advocacy Networks-Europe (GAMIAN), Brussels, Belgium
| | - Dominic Oliver
- Early Psychosis: Interventions and Clinical-Detection (EPIC) Lab, Department of Psychosis Studies, Institute of Psychiatry, Psychology & Neuroscience, King's College London, London, UK
| | - Marcella Rietschel
- Department of Genetic Epidemiology in Psychiatry, Central Institute of Mental Health, Medical Faculty Mannheim, Heidelberg University, Mannheim, Germany
| | - Eva Z Reininghaus
- Department of Psychiatry and Psychotherapeutic Medicine, Medical University of Graz, Graz, Austria
| | - Alessio Squassina
- Section of Neuroscience and Clinical Pharmacology, Department of Biomedical Sciences, University of Cagliari, Italy
| | - Lucia Valmaggia
- South London and Maudsley NHS Foundation Trust, London, UK; Department of Psychology, Institute of Psychiatry, Psychology and Neuroscience, King's College London, London, UK; Department of Psychiatry, KU Leuven, Belgium
| | - Lars Vedel Kessing
- Copenhagen Affective disorder Research Center (CADIC), Psychiatric Center Copenhagen, Denmark; Department of clinical Medicine, University of Copenhagen, Denmark
| | - Eduard Vieta
- Hospital Clinic, Institute of Neuroscience, University of Barcelona, IDIBAPS, CIBERSAM, Barcelona, Catalonia, Spain
| | - Christoph U Correll
- The Zucker Hillside Hospital, Department of Psychiatry, Northwell Health, Glen Oaks, NY, USA; Department of Psychiatry and Molecular Medicine, Donald and Barbara Zucker School of Medicine at Hofstra/Northwell, Hempstead, NY, USA; Center for Psychiatric Neuroscience; The Feinstein Institutes for Medical Research, Manhasset, NY, USA; Department of Child and Adolescent Psychiatry, Charité Universitätsmedizin, Berlin, Germany
| | - Celso Arango
- Department of Child and Adolescent Psychiatry, Institute of Psychiatry and Mental Health, Hospital General Universitario Gregorio Marañón, Gregorio Marañón; Health Research Institute (IiGSM), School of Medicine, Universidad Complutense de Madrid; Biomedical Research Center for Mental Health (CIBERSAM), Madrid, Spain
| | - Ole A Andreassen
- NORMENT, Institute of Clinical Medicine, University of Oslo and Division of Mental Health and Addiction, Oslo University Hospital, Oslo, Norway
| | | |
Collapse
|
4
|
Meehan AJ, Lewis SJ, Fazel S, Fusar-Poli P, Steyerberg EW, Stahl D, Danese A. Clinical prediction models in psychiatry: a systematic review of two decades of progress and challenges. Mol Psychiatry 2022; 27:2700-2708. [PMID: 35365801 PMCID: PMC9156409 DOI: 10.1038/s41380-022-01528-4] [Citation(s) in RCA: 35] [Impact Index Per Article: 17.5] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 07/23/2021] [Revised: 03/03/2022] [Accepted: 03/14/2022] [Indexed: 12/13/2022]
Abstract
Recent years have seen the rapid proliferation of clinical prediction models aiming to support risk stratification and individualized care within psychiatry. Despite growing interest, attempts to synthesize current evidence in the nascent field of precision psychiatry have remained scarce. This systematic review therefore sought to summarize progress towards clinical implementation of prediction modeling for psychiatric outcomes. We searched MEDLINE, PubMed, Embase, and PsychINFO databases from inception to September 30, 2020, for English-language articles that developed and/or validated multivariable models to predict (at an individual level) onset, course, or treatment response for non-organic psychiatric disorders (PROSPERO: CRD42020216530). Individual prediction models were evaluated based on three key criteria: (i) mitigation of bias and overfitting; (ii) generalizability, and (iii) clinical utility. The Prediction model Risk Of Bias ASsessment Tool (PROBAST) was used to formally appraise each study's risk of bias. 228 studies detailing 308 prediction models were ultimately eligible for inclusion. 94.5% of developed prediction models were deemed to be at high risk of bias, largely due to inadequate or inappropriate analytic decisions. Insufficient internal validation efforts (within the development sample) were also observed, while only one-fifth of models underwent external validation in an independent sample. Finally, our search identified just one published model whose potential utility in clinical practice was formally assessed. Our findings illustrated significant growth in precision psychiatry with promising progress towards real-world application. Nevertheless, these efforts have been inhibited by a preponderance of bias and overfitting, while the generalizability and clinical utility of many published models has yet to be formally established. Through improved methodological rigor during initial development, robust evaluations of reproducibility via independent validation, and evidence-based implementation frameworks, future research has the potential to generate risk prediction tools capable of enhancing clinical decision-making in psychiatric care.
Collapse
Affiliation(s)
- Alan J Meehan
- Department of Psychology, Institute of Psychiatry, Psychology & Neuroscience, King's College London, London, UK
- Social, Genetic and Developmental Psychiatry Centre, Institute of Psychiatry, Psychology & Neuroscience, King's College London, London, UK
- Yale Child Study Center, Yale School of Medicine, New Haven, CT, 06520, USA
| | - Stephanie J Lewis
- Department of Child and Adolescent Psychiatry, Institute of Psychiatry, Psychology & Neuroscience, King's College London, London, UK
| | - Seena Fazel
- Department of Psychiatry, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK
| | - Paolo Fusar-Poli
- Early Psychosis: Interventions and Clinical-detection (EPIC) Lab, Department of Psychosis Studies, Institute of Psychiatry, Psychology & Neuroscience, King's College London, London, UK
- OASIS Service, South London and Maudsley NHS Foundation Trust, London, UK
- Department of Brain and Behavioral Sciences, University of Pavia, Pavia, Italy
- National Institute for Health Research, Maudsley Biomedical Research Centre, South London and Maudsley NHS Foundation Trust, London, UK
| | - Ewout W Steyerberg
- Department of Biomedical Data Sciences, Leiden University Medical Centre, Leiden, The Netherlands
- Department of Public Health, Erasmus MC, Rotterdam, The Netherlands
| | - Daniel Stahl
- Department of Biostatistics and Health Informatics, Institute of Psychiatry, Psychology & Neuroscience, King's College London, London, UK
| | - Andrea Danese
- Social, Genetic and Developmental Psychiatry Centre, Institute of Psychiatry, Psychology & Neuroscience, King's College London, London, UK.
- Department of Child and Adolescent Psychiatry, Institute of Psychiatry, Psychology & Neuroscience, King's College London, London, UK.
- National and Specialist CAMHS Clinic for Trauma, Anxiety, and Depression, South London and Maudsley NHS Foundation Trust, London, UK.
| |
Collapse
|
5
|
Banerjee S, Alsop P, Jones L, Cardinal RN. Patient and public involvement to build trust in artificial intelligence: A framework, tools, and case studies. PATTERNS 2022; 3:100506. [PMID: 35755870 PMCID: PMC9214308 DOI: 10.1016/j.patter.2022.100506] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 12/01/2022]
Abstract
Artificial intelligence (AI) is increasingly taking on a greater role in healthcare. However, hype and negative news reports about AI abound. Integrating patient and public involvement (PPI) in healthcare AI projects may help in adoption and acceptance of these technologies. We argue that AI algorithms should also be co-designed with patients and healthcare workers. We specifically suggest (1) including patients with lived experience of the disease, and (2) creating a research advisory group (RAG) and using these group meetings to walk patients through the process of AI model building, starting with simple (e.g., linear) models. We present a framework, case studies, best practices, and tools for applying participative data science to healthcare, enabling data scientists, clinicians, and patients to work together. The strategy of co-designing with patients can help set more realistic expectations for all stakeholders, since conventional narratives of AI revolve around dystopia or limitless optimism. Hype and negative news reports about artificial intelligence (AI) abound. Involving patients in healthcare AI projects may help in adoption and acceptance of these technologies. We argue that AI algorithms should be co-designed with patients and healthcare workers. We show examples of how to involve patients in AI research and how patients can build trust in algorithms. We share some best practices, case studies, a framework, and computational tools. Avenues for future work include guidelines for patient and public involvement in AI healthcare research for funding bodies and regulatory agencies. An understanding of what AI can and cannot do, and a realistic appraisal of risks and benefits, may help in adoption and democratize access to AI for healthcare.
Collapse
|
6
|
Bove R, Schleimer E, Sukhanov P, Gilson M, Law SM, Barnecut A, Miller BL, Hauser SL, Sanders SJ, Rankin KP. Building a Precision Medicine Delivery Platform for Clinics: The University of California, San Francisco, BRIDGE Experience. J Med Internet Res 2022; 24:e34560. [PMID: 35166689 PMCID: PMC8889486 DOI: 10.2196/34560] [Citation(s) in RCA: 3] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.5] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 10/29/2021] [Revised: 12/17/2021] [Accepted: 12/22/2021] [Indexed: 11/24/2022] Open
Abstract
Despite an ever-expanding number of analytics with the potential to impact clinical care, the field currently lacks point-of-care technological tools that allow clinicians to efficiently select disease-relevant data about their patients, algorithmically derive clinical indices (eg, risk scores), and view these data in straightforward graphical formats to inform real-time clinical decisions. Thus far, solutions to this problem have relied on either bottom-up approaches that are limited to a single clinic or generic top-down approaches that do not address clinical users’ specific setting-relevant or disease-relevant needs. As a road map for developing similar platforms, we describe our experience with building a custom but institution-wide platform that enables economies of time, cost, and expertise. The BRIDGE platform was designed to be modular and scalable and was customized to data types relevant to given clinical contexts within a major university medical center. The development process occurred by using a series of human-centered design phases with extensive, consistent stakeholder input. This institution-wide approach yielded a unified, carefully regulated, cross-specialty clinical research platform that can be launched during a patient’s electronic health record encounter. The platform pulls clinical data from the electronic health record (Epic; Epic Systems) as well as other clinical and research sources in real time; analyzes the combined data to derive clinical indices; and displays them in simple, clinician-designed visual formats specific to each disorder and clinic. By integrating an application into the clinical workflow and allowing clinicians to access data sources that would otherwise be cumbersome to assemble, view, and manipulate, institution-wide platforms represent an alternative approach to achieving the vision of true personalized medicine.
Collapse
Affiliation(s)
- Riley Bove
- UCSF Weill Institute for Neurosciences, University of California, San Francisco, San Francisco, CA, United States
| | - Erica Schleimer
- UCSF Weill Institute for Neurosciences, University of California, San Francisco, San Francisco, CA, United States
| | - Paul Sukhanov
- UCSF Weill Institute for Neurosciences, University of California, San Francisco, San Francisco, CA, United States
| | - Michael Gilson
- UCSF Weill Institute for Neurosciences, University of California, San Francisco, San Francisco, CA, United States
| | - Sindy M Law
- UCSF Weill Institute for Neurosciences, University of California, San Francisco, San Francisco, CA, United States
| | - Andrew Barnecut
- UCSF Weill Institute for Neurosciences, University of California, San Francisco, San Francisco, CA, United States
| | - Bruce L Miller
- UCSF Weill Institute for Neurosciences, University of California, San Francisco, San Francisco, CA, United States
| | - Stephen L Hauser
- UCSF Weill Institute for Neurosciences, University of California, San Francisco, San Francisco, CA, United States
| | - Stephan J Sanders
- UCSF Weill Institute for Neurosciences, University of California, San Francisco, San Francisco, CA, United States
| | - Katherine P Rankin
- UCSF Weill Institute for Neurosciences, University of California, San Francisco, San Francisco, CA, United States
| |
Collapse
|
7
|
Fusar-Poli P, Salazar de Pablo G, Rajkumar RP, López-Díaz Á, Malhotra S, Heckers S, Lawrie SM, Pillmann F. Diagnosis, prognosis, and treatment of brief psychotic episodes: a review and research agenda. Lancet Psychiatry 2022; 9:72-83. [PMID: 34856200 DOI: 10.1016/s2215-0366(21)00121-8] [Citation(s) in RCA: 20] [Impact Index Per Article: 10.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 07/03/2020] [Revised: 03/01/2021] [Accepted: 03/18/2021] [Indexed: 12/25/2022]
Abstract
Brief psychotic episodes represent an intriguing paradox in clinical psychiatry because they elude the standard knowledge that applies to the persisting psychotic disorders such as schizophrenia. This Review describes key diagnostic considerations such as conceptual foundations, current psychiatric classification versus research-based operationalisations, epidemiology, and sociocultural variations; prognostic aspects including the risk of psychosis recurrence, types of psychotic recurrences, other clinical outcomes, prognostic factors; and therapeutic issues such as treatment guidelines and unmet need of care. The advances and challenges associated with the scientific evidence are used to set a research agenda in this area. We conclude that brief psychotic episodes can be reconceptualised within a clinical staging model to promote innovative translational research and improve our understanding and treatment of psychotic disorders.
Collapse
Affiliation(s)
- Paolo Fusar-Poli
- Early Psychosis: Interventions and Clinical-detection Lab, Department of Psychosis Studies, Institute of Psychiatry, Psychology & Neuroscience, King's College London, London, UK; OASIS Service, South London and Maudsley NHS Foundation Trust, London, UK; Department of Brain and Behavioral Sciences, University of Pavia, Pavia, Italy.
| | - Gonzalo Salazar de Pablo
- Early Psychosis: Interventions and Clinical-detection Lab, Department of Psychosis Studies, Institute of Psychiatry, Psychology & Neuroscience, King's College London, London, UK; Child and Adolescent Mental Health Services, South London and Maudsley NHS Foundation Trust, London, UK; Institute of Psychiatry and Mental Health, Department of Child and Adolescent Psychiatry, Hospital General Universitario Gregorio Marañón School of Medicine, Universidad Complutense, Instituto de Investigación Sanitaria Gregorio Marañón, CIBERSAM, Madrid, Spain
| | - Ravi Philip Rajkumar
- Department of Psychiatry, Jawaharlal Institute of Postgraduate Medical Education and Research, Pondicherry, India
| | - Álvaro López-Díaz
- University Hospital Virgen Macarena, Seville, Spain; Institute of Biomedicine of Seville, Seville, Spain
| | | | - Stephan Heckers
- Department of Psychiatry and Behavioral Sciences, Vanderbilt University Medical Center, Nashville, TN, USA
| | | | - Frank Pillmann
- WO Center of Psychiatry, Halle, Germany; Martin Luther University, Halle-Wittenberg, Germany
| |
Collapse
|
8
|
A class-contrastive human-interpretable machine learning approach to predict mortality in severe mental illness. NPJ SCHIZOPHRENIA 2021; 7:60. [PMID: 34880262 PMCID: PMC8654849 DOI: 10.1038/s41537-021-00191-y] [Citation(s) in RCA: 1] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 04/19/2021] [Accepted: 11/10/2021] [Indexed: 12/01/2022]
Abstract
Machine learning (ML), one aspect of artificial intelligence (AI), involves computer algorithms that train themselves. They have been widely applied in the healthcare domain. However, many trained ML algorithms operate as ‘black boxes’, producing a prediction from input data without a clear explanation of their workings. Non-transparent predictions are of limited utility in many clinical domains, where decisions must be justifiable. Here, we apply class-contrastive counterfactual reasoning to ML to demonstrate how specific changes in inputs lead to different predictions of mortality in people with severe mental illness (SMI), a major public health challenge. We produce predictions accompanied by visual and textual explanations as to how the prediction would have differed given specific changes to the input. We apply it to routinely collected data from a mental health secondary care provider in patients with schizophrenia. Using a data structuring framework informed by clinical knowledge, we captured information on physical health, mental health, and social predisposing factors. We then trained an ML algorithm and other statistical learning techniques to predict the risk of death. The ML algorithm predicted mortality with an area under receiver operating characteristic curve (AUROC) of 0.80 (95% confidence intervals [0.78, 0.82]). We used class-contrastive analysis to produce explanations for the model predictions. We outline the scenarios in which class-contrastive analysis is likely to be successful in producing explanations for model predictions. Our aim is not to advocate for a particular model but show an application of the class-contrastive analysis technique to electronic healthcare record data for a disease of public health significance. In patients with schizophrenia, our work suggests that use or prescription of medications like antidepressants was associated with lower risk of death. Abuse of alcohol/drugs and a diagnosis of delirium were associated with higher risk of death. Our ML models highlight the role of co-morbidities in determining mortality in patients with schizophrenia and the need to manage co-morbidities in these patients. We hope that some of these bio-social factors can be targeted therapeutically by either patient-level or service-level interventions. Our approach combines clinical knowledge, health data, and statistical learning, to make predictions interpretable to clinicians using class-contrastive reasoning. This is a step towards interpretable AI in the management of patients with schizophrenia and potentially other diseases.
Collapse
|
9
|
Irving J, Patel R, Oliver D, Colling C, Pritchard M, Broadbent M, Baldwin H, Stahl D, Stewart R, Fusar-Poli P. Using Natural Language Processing on Electronic Health Records to Enhance Detection and Prediction of Psychosis Risk. Schizophr Bull 2021; 47:405-414. [PMID: 33025017 PMCID: PMC7965059 DOI: 10.1093/schbul/sbaa126] [Citation(s) in RCA: 30] [Impact Index Per Article: 10.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 12/12/2022]
Abstract
BACKGROUND Using novel data mining methods such as natural language processing (NLP) on electronic health records (EHRs) for screening and detecting individuals at risk for psychosis. METHOD The study included all patients receiving a first index diagnosis of nonorganic and nonpsychotic mental disorder within the South London and Maudsley (SLaM) NHS Foundation Trust between January 1, 2008, and July 28, 2018. Least Absolute Shrinkage and Selection Operator (LASSO)-regularized Cox regression was used to refine and externally validate a refined version of a five-item individualized, transdiagnostic, clinically based risk calculator previously developed (Harrell's C = 0.79) and piloted for implementation. The refined version included 14 additional NLP-predictors: tearfulness, poor appetite, weight loss, insomnia, cannabis, cocaine, guilt, irritability, delusions, hopelessness, disturbed sleep, poor insight, agitation, and paranoia. RESULTS A total of 92 151 patients with a first index diagnosis of nonorganic and nonpsychotic mental disorder within the SLaM Trust were included in the derivation (n = 28 297) or external validation (n = 63 854) data sets. Mean age was 33.6 years, 50.7% were women, and 67.0% were of white race/ethnicity. Mean follow-up was 1590 days. The overall 6-year risk of psychosis in secondary mental health care was 3.4 (95% CI, 3.3-3.6). External validation indicated strong performance on unseen data (Harrell's C 0.85, 95% CI 0.84-0.86), an increase of 0.06 from the original model. CONCLUSIONS Using NLP on EHRs can considerably enhance the prognostic accuracy of psychosis risk calculators. This can help identify patients at risk of psychosis who require assessment and specialized care, facilitating earlier detection and potentially improving patient outcomes.
Collapse
Affiliation(s)
- Jessica Irving
- Early Psychosis: Interventions and Clinical-Detection (EPIC) Lab, Department of Psychosis Studies, Institute of Psychiatry, Psychology & Neuroscience, King’s College London, London, UK
| | - Rashmi Patel
- Early Psychosis: Interventions and Clinical-Detection (EPIC) Lab, Department of Psychosis Studies, Institute of Psychiatry, Psychology & Neuroscience, King’s College London, London, UK
| | - Dominic Oliver
- Early Psychosis: Interventions and Clinical-Detection (EPIC) Lab, Department of Psychosis Studies, Institute of Psychiatry, Psychology & Neuroscience, King’s College London, London, UK
| | - Craig Colling
- South London and Maudsley NHS Foundation Trust, London, UK
| | - Megan Pritchard
- South London and Maudsley NHS Foundation Trust, London, UK
- Department of Psychological Medicine, Institute of Psychiatry, Psychology & Neuroscience, King’s College London, London, UK
| | | | - Helen Baldwin
- Early Psychosis: Interventions and Clinical-Detection (EPIC) Lab, Department of Psychosis Studies, Institute of Psychiatry, Psychology & Neuroscience, King’s College London, London, UK
- South London and Maudsley NHS Foundation Trust, London, UK
| | - Daniel Stahl
- Department of Biostatistics & Health Informatics, Institute of Psychiatry, Psychology & Neuroscience, King’s College London, London, UK
| | - Robert Stewart
- South London and Maudsley NHS Foundation Trust, London, UK
- Department of Psychological Medicine, Institute of Psychiatry, Psychology & Neuroscience, King’s College London, London, UK
| | - Paolo Fusar-Poli
- Early Psychosis: Interventions and Clinical-Detection (EPIC) Lab, Department of Psychosis Studies, Institute of Psychiatry, Psychology & Neuroscience, King’s College London, London, UK
- South London and Maudsley NHS Foundation Trust, London, UK
- Department of Brain and Behavioral Sciences, University of Pavia, Pavia, Italy
| |
Collapse
|
10
|
Salazar de Pablo G, Estradé A, Cutroni M, Andlauer O, Fusar-Poli P. Establishing a clinical service to prevent psychosis: What, how and when? Systematic review. Transl Psychiatry 2021; 11:43. [PMID: 33441556 PMCID: PMC7807021 DOI: 10.1038/s41398-020-01165-x] [Citation(s) in RCA: 43] [Impact Index Per Article: 14.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 07/11/2020] [Revised: 11/27/2020] [Accepted: 12/03/2020] [Indexed: 01/29/2023] Open
Abstract
The first rate-limiting step to successfully translate prevention of psychosis in to clinical practice is to establish specialised Clinical High Risk for Psychosis (CHR-P) services. This study systematises the knowledge regarding CHR-P services and provides guidelines for translational implementation. We conducted a PRISMA/MOOSE-compliant (PROSPERO-CRD42020163640) systematic review of Web of Science to identify studies until 4/05/2020 reporting on CHR-P service configuration, outreach strategy and referrals, service user characteristics, interventions, and outcomes. Fifty-six studies (1998-2020) were included, encompassing 51 distinct CHR-P services across 15 countries and a catchment area of 17,252,666 people. Most services (80.4%) consisted of integrated multidisciplinary teams taking care of CHR-P and other patients. Outreach encompassed active (up to 97.6%) or passive (up to 63.4%) approaches: referrals came mostly (90%) from healthcare agencies. CHR-P individuals were more frequently males (57.2%). Most (70.6%) services accepted individuals aged 12-35 years, typically assessed with the CAARMS/SIPS (83.7%). Baseline comorbid mental conditions were reported in two-third (69.5%) of cases, and unemployment in one third (36.6%). Most services provided up to 2-years (72.4%), of clinical monitoring (100%), psychoeducation (81.1%), psychosocial support (73%), family interventions (73%), individual (67.6%) and group (18.9%) psychotherapy, physical health interventions (37.8%), antipsychotics (87.1%), antidepressants (74.2%), anxiolytics (51.6%), and mood stabilisers (38.7%). Outcomes were more frequently ascertained clinically (93.0%) and included: persistence of symptoms/comorbidities (67.4%), transition to psychosis (53.5%), and functional status (48.8%). We provide ten practical recommendations for implementation of CHR-P services. Health service knowledge summarised by the current study will facilitate translational efforts for implementation of CHR-P services worldwide.
Collapse
Affiliation(s)
- Gonzalo Salazar de Pablo
- Early Psychosis: Interventions and Clinical-detection (EPIC) Lab, Department of Psychosis Studies, Institute of Psychiatry, Psychology & Neuroscience, King's College London, London, UK
- Institute of Psychiatry and Mental Health, Department of Child and Adolescent Psychiatry, Hospital General Universitario Gregorio Marañón School of Medicine, Universidad Complutense, Instituto de Investigación Sanitaria Gregorio Marañón (IiSGM), CIBERSAM, Madrid, Spain
| | - Andrés Estradé
- Early Psychosis: Interventions and Clinical-detection (EPIC) Lab, Department of Psychosis Studies, Institute of Psychiatry, Psychology & Neuroscience, King's College London, London, UK
- Department of Clinical and Health Psychology, Catholic University, Montevideo, Uruguay
| | - Marcello Cutroni
- Department of Brain and Behavioral Sciences, University of Pavia, Pavia, Italy
| | - Olivier Andlauer
- Heads UP Service, East London NHS Foundation Trust, London, UK
- Centre for Psychiatry, Wolfson Institute of Preventive Medicine, Barts and the London School of Medicine and Dentistry, Queen Mary University of London, London, UK
| | - Paolo Fusar-Poli
- Early Psychosis: Interventions and Clinical-detection (EPIC) Lab, Department of Psychosis Studies, Institute of Psychiatry, Psychology & Neuroscience, King's College London, London, UK.
- Department of Brain and Behavioral Sciences, University of Pavia, Pavia, Italy.
- National Institute for Health Research, Maudsley Biomedical Research Centre, South London and Maudsley NHS Foundation Trust, London, UK.
- OASIS Service, South London and Maudsley NHS Foundation Trust, London, UK.
| |
Collapse
|
11
|
Mueller C, John C, Perera G, Aarsland D, Ballard C, Stewart R. Antipsychotic use in dementia: the relationship between neuropsychiatric symptom profiles and adverse outcomes. Eur J Epidemiol 2021; 36:89-101. [PMID: 32415541 PMCID: PMC7847435 DOI: 10.1007/s10654-020-00643-2] [Citation(s) in RCA: 19] [Impact Index Per Article: 6.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 01/28/2019] [Accepted: 05/02/2020] [Indexed: 12/29/2022]
Abstract
Antipsychotic treatments are associated with safety concerns in people with dementia. The authors aimed to investigate whether risk of adverse outcomes related to antipsychotic prescribing differed according to major neuropsychiatric syndromes-specifically psychosis, agitation, or a combination. A cohort of 10,106 patients with a diagnosis of dementia was assembled from a large dementia care database in South East London. Neuropsychiatric symptoms closest to first dementia diagnosis were determined according to the Health of the Nation Outcome Scales' mental and behavioural problem scores and the sample was divided into four groups: 'agitation and psychosis', 'agitation, but no psychosis', 'psychosis, but no agitation', and 'neither psychosis nor agitation'. Antipsychotic prescription in a one-year window around first dementia diagnosis was ascertained as exposure variable through natural language processing from free text. Cox regression models were used to analyse associations of antipsychotic prescription with all-cause and stroke-specific mortality, emergency hospitalisation and hospitalised stroke adjusting for sixteen potential confounders including demographics, cognition, functioning, as well as physical and mental health. Only in the group 'psychosis, but no agitation' (n = 579), 30% of whom were prescribed an antipsychotic, a significant antipsychotic-associated increased risk of hospitalised stroke was present after adjustment (adjusted hazard ratio (HR) 2.16; 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.09-4.25). An increased antipsychotic-related all-cause (adjusted HR 1.14; 95% CI 1.04-1.24) and stroke-specific mortality risk (adjusted HR 1.28; 95% CI 1.01-1.63) was detected in the whole sample, but no interaction between the strata and antipsychotic-related mortality. In conclusion, the adverse effects of antipsychotics in dementia are complex. Stroke risk may be highest when used in patients presenting with psychosis without agitation, indicating the need for novel interventions for this group.
Collapse
Affiliation(s)
- Christoph Mueller
- King's College London, Institute of Psychiatry, Psychology and Neuroscience, De Crespigny Park, London, UK.
- South London and Maudsley NHS Foundation Trust, London, UK.
| | - Christeena John
- King's College London, Institute of Psychiatry, Psychology and Neuroscience, De Crespigny Park, London, UK
| | - Gayan Perera
- King's College London, Institute of Psychiatry, Psychology and Neuroscience, De Crespigny Park, London, UK
| | - Dag Aarsland
- King's College London, Institute of Psychiatry, Psychology and Neuroscience, De Crespigny Park, London, UK
- Stavanger University Hospital, Centre for Age-Related Disease, Stavanger, Norway
| | - Clive Ballard
- King's College London, Institute of Psychiatry, Psychology and Neuroscience, De Crespigny Park, London, UK
- University of Exeter Medical School, Exeter, UK
| | - Robert Stewart
- King's College London, Institute of Psychiatry, Psychology and Neuroscience, De Crespigny Park, London, UK
- South London and Maudsley NHS Foundation Trust, London, UK
| |
Collapse
|
12
|
Oliver D, Spada G, Colling C, Broadbent M, Baldwin H, Patel R, Stewart R, Stahl D, Dobson R, McGuire P, Fusar-Poli P. Real-world implementation of precision psychiatry: Transdiagnostic risk calculator for the automatic detection of individuals at-risk of psychosis. Schizophr Res 2021; 227:52-60. [PMID: 32571619 PMCID: PMC7875179 DOI: 10.1016/j.schres.2020.05.007] [Citation(s) in RCA: 23] [Impact Index Per Article: 7.7] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 04/01/2020] [Revised: 05/01/2020] [Accepted: 05/04/2020] [Indexed: 12/31/2022]
Abstract
BACKGROUND Risk estimation models integrated into Electronic Health Records (EHRs) can deliver innovative approaches in psychiatry, but clinicians' endorsement and their real-world usability are unknown. This study aimed to investigate the real-world feasibility of implementing an individualised, transdiagnostic risk calculator to automatically screen EHRs and detect individuals at-risk for psychosis. METHODS Feasibility implementation study encompassing an in-vitro phase (March 2018 to May 2018) and in-vivo phase (May 2018 to April 2019). The in-vitro phase addressed implementation barriers and embedded the risk calculator (predictors: age, gender, ethnicity, index cluster diagnosis, age*gender) into the local EHR. The in-vivo phase investigated the real-world feasibility of screening individuals accessing secondary mental healthcare at the South London and Maudsley NHS Trust. The primary outcome was adherence of clinicians to automatic EHR screening, defined by the proportion of clinicians who responded to alerts from the risk calculator, over those contacted. RESULTS In-vitro phase: implementation barriers were identified/overcome with clinician and service user engagement, and the calculator was successfully integrated into the local EHR through the CogStack platform. In-vivo phase: 3722 individuals were automatically screened and 115 were detected. Clinician adherence was 74% without outreach and 85% with outreach. One-third of clinicians responded to the first email (37.1%) or phone calls (33.7%). Among those detected, cumulative risk of developing psychosis was 12% at six-month follow-up. CONCLUSION This is the first implementation study suggesting that combining precision psychiatry and EHR methods to improve detection of individuals with emerging psychosis is feasible. Future psychiatric implementation research is urgently needed.
Collapse
Affiliation(s)
- Dominic Oliver
- Early Psychosis: Interventions and Clinical-detection (EPIC) Lab, Department of Psychosis Studies, Institute of Psychiatry, Psychology & Neuroscience, King's College London, London, United Kingdom
| | - Giulia Spada
- Early Psychosis: Interventions and Clinical-detection (EPIC) Lab, Department of Psychosis Studies, Institute of Psychiatry, Psychology & Neuroscience, King's College London, London, United Kingdom
| | - Craig Colling
- National Institute for Health Research, Maudesley Biomedical Research Centre, South London and Maudsley National Health Service (NHS) Foundation Trust, London, United Kingdom
| | - Matthew Broadbent
- National Institute for Health Research, Maudesley Biomedical Research Centre, South London and Maudsley National Health Service (NHS) Foundation Trust, London, United Kingdom
| | - Helen Baldwin
- Early Psychosis: Interventions and Clinical-detection (EPIC) Lab, Department of Psychosis Studies, Institute of Psychiatry, Psychology & Neuroscience, King's College London, London, United Kingdom,National Institute for Health Research, Maudesley Biomedical Research Centre, South London and Maudsley National Health Service (NHS) Foundation Trust, London, United Kingdom
| | - Rashmi Patel
- Department of Psychosis Studies, Institute of Psychiatry, Psychology & Neuroscience, King's College London, London, United Kingdom
| | - Robert Stewart
- Institute of Psychiatry, Psychology and Neuroscience, King's College London, London, United Kingdom,South London and Maudsley Foundation Trust, London, United Kingdom
| | - Daniel Stahl
- Department of Biostatistics, Institute of Psychiatry, Psychology and Neuroscience, King's College London, United Kingdom
| | - Richard Dobson
- National Institute for Health Research, Maudesley Biomedical Research Centre, South London and Maudsley National Health Service (NHS) Foundation Trust, London, United Kingdom,Institute of Psychiatry, Psychology and Neuroscience, King's College London, London, United Kingdom,Institute of Health Informatics Research, University College London, London, United Kingdom,Health Data Research UK London, University College London, London, United Kingdom
| | - Philip McGuire
- Department of Psychosis Studies, Institute of Psychiatry, Psychology & Neuroscience, King's College London, London, United Kingdom,OASIS Service, South London and Maudsley National Health Service (NHS) Foundation Trust, London, United Kingdom
| | - Paolo Fusar-Poli
- Early Psychosis: Interventions and Clinical-detection (EPIC) Lab, Department of Psychosis Studies, Institute of Psychiatry, Psychology & Neuroscience, King's College London, London, United Kingdom; National Institute for Health Research, Maudesley Biomedical Research Centre, South London and Maudsley National Health Service (NHS) Foundation Trust, London, United Kingdom; OASIS Service, South London and Maudsley National Health Service (NHS) Foundation Trust, London, United Kingdom; Department of Brain and Behavioral Sciences, University of Pavia, Pavia, Italy.
| |
Collapse
|
13
|
Salazar de Pablo G, Studerus E, Vaquerizo-Serrano J, Irving J, Catalan A, Oliver D, Baldwin H, Danese A, Fazel S, Steyerberg EW, Stahl D, Fusar-Poli P. Implementing Precision Psychiatry: A Systematic Review of Individualized Prediction Models for Clinical Practice. Schizophr Bull 2020; 47:284-297. [PMID: 32914178 PMCID: PMC7965077 DOI: 10.1093/schbul/sbaa120] [Citation(s) in RCA: 86] [Impact Index Per Article: 21.5] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 12/27/2022]
Abstract
BACKGROUND The impact of precision psychiatry for clinical practice has not been systematically appraised. This study aims to provide a comprehensive review of validated prediction models to estimate the individual risk of being affected with a condition (diagnostic), developing outcomes (prognostic), or responding to treatments (predictive) in mental disorders. METHODS PRISMA/RIGHT/CHARMS-compliant systematic review of the Web of Science, Cochrane Central Register of Reviews, and Ovid/PsycINFO databases from inception until July 21, 2019 (PROSPERO CRD42019155713) to identify diagnostic/prognostic/predictive prediction studies that reported individualized estimates in psychiatry and that were internally or externally validated or implemented. Random effect meta-regression analyses addressed the impact of several factors on the accuracy of prediction models. FINDINGS Literature search identified 584 prediction modeling studies, of which 89 were included. 10.4% of the total studies included prediction models internally validated (n = 61), 4.6% models externally validated (n = 27), and 0.2% (n = 1) models considered for implementation. Across validated prediction modeling studies (n = 88), 18.2% were diagnostic, 68.2% prognostic, and 13.6% predictive. The most frequently investigated condition was psychosis (36.4%), and the most frequently employed predictors clinical (69.5%). Unimodal compared to multimodal models (β = .29, P = .03) and diagnostic compared to prognostic (β = .84, p < .0001) and predictive (β = .87, P = .002) models were associated with increased accuracy. INTERPRETATION To date, several validated prediction models are available to support the diagnosis and prognosis of psychiatric conditions, in particular, psychosis, or to predict treatment response. Advancements of knowledge are limited by the lack of implementation research in real-world clinical practice. A new generation of implementation research is required to address this translational gap.
Collapse
Affiliation(s)
- Gonzalo Salazar de Pablo
- Early Psychosis: Interventions and Clinical-detection Lab, Department of Psychosis Studies, Institute of Psychiatry, Psychology and Neuroscience, King’s College London, 16 De Crespigny Park, London, UK,Institute of Psychiatry and Mental Health, Department of Child and Adolescent Psychiatry, Hospital General Universitario Gregorio Marañón School of Medicine, Universidad Complutense, Instituto de Investigación Sanitaria Gregorio Marañón, CIBERSAM, Madrid, Spain,Department of Child and Adolescent Psychiatry, Institute of Psychiatry, Psychology and Neuroscience, King’s College London, London, UK
| | - Erich Studerus
- Division of Personality and Developmental Psychology, Department of Psychology, University of Basel, Basel, Switzerland
| | - Julio Vaquerizo-Serrano
- Early Psychosis: Interventions and Clinical-detection Lab, Department of Psychosis Studies, Institute of Psychiatry, Psychology and Neuroscience, King’s College London, 16 De Crespigny Park, London, UK,Institute of Psychiatry and Mental Health, Department of Child and Adolescent Psychiatry, Hospital General Universitario Gregorio Marañón School of Medicine, Universidad Complutense, Instituto de Investigación Sanitaria Gregorio Marañón, CIBERSAM, Madrid, Spain,Department of Child and Adolescent Psychiatry, Institute of Psychiatry, Psychology and Neuroscience, King’s College London, London, UK
| | - Jessica Irving
- Early Psychosis: Interventions and Clinical-detection Lab, Department of Psychosis Studies, Institute of Psychiatry, Psychology and Neuroscience, King’s College London, 16 De Crespigny Park, London, UK
| | - Ana Catalan
- Early Psychosis: Interventions and Clinical-detection Lab, Department of Psychosis Studies, Institute of Psychiatry, Psychology and Neuroscience, King’s College London, 16 De Crespigny Park, London, UK,Department of Psychiatry, Basurto University Hospital, Bilbao, Spain,Mental Health Group, BioCruces Health Research Institute, Bizkaia, Spain,Neuroscience Department, University of the Basque Country UPV/EHU, Leioa, Spain
| | - Dominic Oliver
- Early Psychosis: Interventions and Clinical-detection Lab, Department of Psychosis Studies, Institute of Psychiatry, Psychology and Neuroscience, King’s College London, 16 De Crespigny Park, London, UK
| | - Helen Baldwin
- Early Psychosis: Interventions and Clinical-detection Lab, Department of Psychosis Studies, Institute of Psychiatry, Psychology and Neuroscience, King’s College London, 16 De Crespigny Park, London, UK
| | - Andrea Danese
- Department of Child and Adolescent Psychiatry, Institute of Psychiatry, Psychology and Neuroscience, King’s College London, London, UK,Social, Genetic and Developmental Psychiatry Centre, King’s College London, London, UK,National and Specialist CAMHS Clinic for Trauma, Anxiety, and Depression, South London and Maudsley NHS Foundation Trust, London, UK
| | - Seena Fazel
- Department of Psychiatry, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK
| | - Ewout W Steyerberg
- Department of Biomedical Data Sciences, Leiden University Medical Centre, Leiden, the Netherlands,Department of Public Health, Erasmus MC, Rotterdam, the Netherlands
| | - Daniel Stahl
- Biostatistics Department, Institute of Psychiatry, Psychology and Neuroscience, King’s College London, London, UK
| | - Paolo Fusar-Poli
- Early Psychosis: Interventions and Clinical-detection Lab, Department of Psychosis Studies, Institute of Psychiatry, Psychology and Neuroscience, King’s College London, 16 De Crespigny Park, London, UK,OASIS Service, South London and Maudsley NHS Foundation Trust, London, UK,Department of Brain and Behavioral Sciences, University of Pavia, Pavia, Italy,National Institute for Health Research, Maudsley Biomedical Research Centre, South London and Maudsley NHS Foundation Trust, London, UK,To whom correspondence should be addressed; tel: +44-0-20-7848-0900, fax:+44-0-20-7848-0976, e-mail:
| |
Collapse
|