Artificial intelligence in perioperative medicine - a narrative review

Development of machine learning models to predict perioperative blood transfusion in hip surgery

BACKGROUND

Allogeneic Blood transfusion is common in hip surgery but is associated with increased morbidity. Accurate prediction of transfusion risk is necessary for minimizing blood product waste and preoperative decision-making. The study aimed to develop machine learning models for predicting perioperative blood transfusion in hip surgery and identify significant risk factors.

METHODS

Data of patients undergoing hip surgery between January 2013 and October 2021 in the Peking Union Medical College Hospital were collected to train and test predictive models. The primary outcome was perioperative red blood cell (RBC) transfusion within 72 h of surgery. Fourteen machine learning algorithms were established to predict blood transfusion risk incorporating patient demographic characteristics, preoperative laboratory tests, and surgical information. Discrimination, calibration, and decision curve analysis were used to evaluate machine learning models. SHapley Additive exPlanations (SHAP) was performed to interpret models.

RESULTS

In this study, 2431 hip surgeries were included. The Ridge Classifier performed the best with an AUC = 0.85 (95% CI, 0.81 to 0.88) and a Brier score = 0.21. Patient-related risk factors included lower preoperative hemoglobin, American Society of Anesthesiologists (ASA) Physical Status > 2, anemia, lower preoperative fibrinogen, and lower preoperative albumin. Surgery-related risk factors included longer operation time, total hip arthroplasty, and autotransfusion.

CONCLUSIONS

The machine learning model developed in this study achieved high predictive performance using available variables for perioperative blood transfusion in hip surgery. The predictors identified could be helpful for risk stratification, preoperative optimization, and outcomes improvement.

Real-time machine learning model to predict short-term mortality in critically ill patients: development and international validation

BACKGROUND

A real-time model for predicting short-term mortality in critically ill patients is needed to identify patients at imminent risk. However, the performance of the model needs to be validated in various clinical settings and ethnicities before its clinical application. In this study, we aim to develop an ensemble machine learning model using routinely measured clinical variables at a single academic institution in South Korea.

METHODS

We developed an ensemble model using deep learning and light gradient boosting machine models. Internal validation was performed using the last two years of the internal cohort dataset, collected from a single academic hospital in South Korea between 2007 and 2021. External validation was performed using the full Medical Information Mart for Intensive Care (MIMIC), eICU-Collaborative Research Database (eICU-CRD), and Amsterdam University Medical Center database (AmsterdamUMCdb) data. The area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUROC) was calculated and compared to that for the National Early Warning Score (NEWS).

RESULTS

The developed model (iMORS) demonstrated high predictive performance with an internal AUROC of 0.964 (95% confidence interval [CI] 0.963-0.965) and external AUROCs of 0.890 (95% CI 0.889-0.891) for MIMIC, 0.886 (95% CI 0.885-0.887) for eICU-CRD, and 0.870 (95% CI 0.868-0.873) for AmsterdamUMCdb. The model outperformed the NEWS with higher AUROCs in the internal and external validation (0.866 for the internal, 0.746 for MIMIC, 0.798 for eICU-CRD, and 0.819 for AmsterdamUMCdb; p < 0.001).

CONCLUSIONS

Our real-time machine learning model to predict short-term mortality in critically ill patients showed excellent performance in both internal and external validations. This model could be a useful decision-support tool in the intensive care units to assist clinicians.

Open datasets in perioperative medicine: a narrative review

With the growing interest of researchers in machine learning and artificial intelligence (AI) based on large data, their roles in medical research have become increasingly prominent. Despite the proliferation of predictive models in perioperative medicine, external validation is lacking. Open datasets, defined as publicly available datasets for research, play a crucial role by providing high-quality data, facilitating collaboration, and allowing an objective evaluation of the developed models. Among the available datasets for surgical patients, VitalDB has been the most widely used, with the Medical Informatics Operating Room Vitals and Events Repository recently launched and the Informative Surgical Patient dataset for Innovative Research Environment expected to be released soon. For critically ill patients, the available resources include the Medical Information Mart for Intensive Care, the eICU Collaborative Research Database, the Amsterdam University Medical Centers Database, and the High time Resolution ICU Dataset, with the anticipated release of the Intensive Care Network with Million Patients' information for the AI Clinical decision support system Technology dataset. This review presents a detailed comparison of each to enrich our understanding of these open datasets for data science and AI research in perioperative medicine.

Artificial intelligence in surgery: the emergency surgeon's perspective (the ARIES project)

Artificial Intelligence (AI) has been developed and implemented in healthcare with the valuable potential to reduce health, social, and economic inequities, help actualize universal health coverage, and improve health outcomes on a global scale. The application of AI in emergency surgery settings could improve clinical practice and operating rooms management by promoting consistent, high-quality decision making while preserving the importance of bedside assessment and human intuition as well as respect for human rights and equitable surgical care, but ethical and legal issues are slowing down surgeons' enthusiasm. Emergency surgeons are aware that prioritizing education, increasing the availability of high AI technologies for emergency and trauma surgery, and funding to support research projects that use AI to provide decision support in the operating room are crucial to create an emergency "intelligent" surgery.

Artificial intelligence-driven prediction of multiple drug interactions

When a drug is administered to exert its efficacy, it will encounter multiple barriers and go through multiple interactions. Predicting the drug-related multiple interactions is critical for drug development and safety monitoring because it provides foundations for practical, safe compatibility and rational use of multiple drugs. With the progress of artificial intelligence (AI) technology, a variety of novel prediction methods for single interaction have emerged and shown great advantages compared to the traditional, expensive and time-consuming laboratory research. To promote the comprehensive and simultaneous predictions of multiple interactions, we systematically reviewed the application of AI in drug-drug, drug-food (excipients) and drug-microbiome interactions. We began by outlining the model methods, evaluation indicators, algorithms and databases commonly used to build models for three types of drug interactions. The models based on the metabolic enzyme P450, drug similarity and drug targets have empathized among the machine learning models of drug-drug interactions. In particular, we discussed the limitations of current approaches and identified potential areas for future research. It is anticipated the in-depth review will be helpful for the development of the next-generation of systematic prediction models for simultaneous multiple interactions.