Sample attrition rate of a community study: An analysis of Lucknow urban and rural elderly follow-up over a period of 9 years

Predictors of Maintained Transitions Between Robustness and Prefrailty in Community-Dwelling Older Spaniards

OBJECTIVES

We aimed to explore predictors of sustained transitions (those that are maintained for an extra follow-up) between robustness and prefrailty in both directions.

DESIGN

Longitudinal population-based cohort.

SETTING AND PARTICIPANTS

Community-dwelling Spaniards 65 years or older from the Toledo Study of Healthy Ageing.

METHODS

The Fried's frailty phenotype was measured over 3 waves (2006-2009, 2011-2013, and 2014-2017). Multiple logistic regressions compared individuals following the pattern robust-prefrail-prefrail with those who remained robust across waves, and those following the pattern prefrail-robust-robust with those who remained prefrail, for sociodemographic, clinical, life-habits, dependency for activities of daily living, upper and lower extremities' strength variables. The Fried's items of those who remained prefrail and those who became robust were compared.

RESULTS

Mean age was 72.3 years (95% CI: 71.8-72.8) and 57.9% (52.7%-63.0%) were women. After multivariate adjustment, predictors (apart from age) of the sustained transition robustness-prefrailty were as follows: number of drugs taken (odds ratio: 1.37; 95% CI: 1.14-1.65), not declaring the amount of alcohol consumed (8.32; 1.78-38.88), and grip strength (0.92 per kg; 0.86-0.99). Predictors of the sustained transition prefrailty-robustness were as follows: drinking alcohol (0.2; 0.05-0.83), uricemia (0.67; 0.49-0.93), number of chair stands in 30 seconds (1.14; 1.01-1.28), and grip strength (1.12; 1.05-1.2). Low grip strength was associated with a lower probability of regaining robustness.

CONCLUSIONS AND IMPLICATIONS

Prediction of sustained transitions between the first stages of frailty development can be achieved with a reduced number of variables and noting whether the Fried's item leading to a diagnosis of prefrailty is low grip strength. Our results suggest the need to intensify interventions on deprescription, quitting alcohol, and strengthening of upper and lower limbs.

Identification of Mortality Risks in the Advancement of Old Age: Application of Proportional Hazard Models Based on the Stepwise Variable Selection and the Bayesian Model Averaging Approach

Identifying factors that affect mortality requires a robust statistical approach. This study’s objective is to assess an optimal set of variables that are independently associated with the mortality risk of 433 older comorbid adults that have been discharged from the geriatric ward. We used both the stepwise backward variable selection and the iterative Bayesian model averaging (BMA) approaches to the Cox proportional hazards models. Potential predictors of the mortality rate were based on a broad range of clinical data; functional and laboratory tests, including geriatric nutritional risk index (GNRI); lymphocyte count; vitamin D, and the age-weighted Charlson comorbidity index. The results of the multivariable analysis identified seven explanatory variables that are independently associated with the length of survival. The mortality rate was higher in males than in females; it increased with the comorbidity level and C-reactive proteins plasma level but was negatively affected by a person’s mobility, GNRI and lymphocyte count, as well as the vitamin D plasma level.