Preoperative N-Terminal Pro-B-Type Natriuretic Peptide and Cardiovascular Events After Noncardiac Surgery: A Cohort Study

The Gathering Storm: The 2023 Rovenstine Lecture

Anesthesiologists are currently in demand and highly compensated. What appears to be a great success from our perspective is considered problematic from every other healthcare perspective. Consequently, there are powerful healthcare forces seeking to improve anesthesia access and reduce service cost. They will try to impose solutions that may radically change operative anesthesia. The Rovenstine lecture, delivered on World Anesthesia Day 2023, identified substantial challenges our specialty faces and discusses solutions that might be forced on us. It also presented opportunities in perioperative care.

Preoperative N-terminal pro-B-type natriuretic peptide and myocardial injury after stopping or continuing renin-angiotensin system inhibitors in noncardiac surgery: a prespecified analysis of a phase 2 randomised controlled multicentre trial

BACKGROUND

Patients with elevated preoperative plasma N-terminal pro-B-type natriuretic peptide (NT-proBNP >100 pg ml-1) experience more complications after noncardiac surgery. Individuals prescribed renin-angiotensin system (RAS) inhibitors for cardiometabolic disease are at particular risk of perioperative myocardial injury and complications. We hypothesised that stopping RAS inhibitors before surgery increases the risk of perioperative myocardial injury, depending on preoperative risk stratified by plasma NT-proBNP concentrations.

METHODS

In a preplanned analysis of a phase 2a trial in six UK centres, patients ≥60 yr old undergoing elective noncardiac surgery were randomly assigned either to stop or continue RAS inhibitors before surgery. The pharmacokinetic profile of individual RAS inhibitors determined for how long they were stopped before surgery. The primary outcome, masked to investigators, clinicians, and patients, was myocardial injury (plasma high-sensitivity troponin-T ≥15 ng L-1 or a ≥5 ng L-1 increase, when preoperative high-sensitivity troponin-T ≥15 ng L-1) within 48 h after surgery. The co-exposures of interest were preoperative plasma NT-proBNP (< or >100 pg ml -1) and stopping or continuing RAS inhibitors.

RESULTS

Of 241 participants, 101 (41.9%; mean age 71 [7] yr; 48% females) had preoperative NT-proBNP >100 pg ml -1 (median 339 [160-833] pg ml-1), of whom 9/101 (8.9%) had a formal diagnosis of cardiac failure. Myocardial injury occurred in 63/101 (62.4%) subjects with NT-proBNP >100 pg ml-1, compared with 45/140 (32.1%) subjects with NT-proBNP <100 pg ml -1 {odds ratio (OR) 3.50 (95% confidence interval [CI] 2.05-5.99); P<0.0001}. For subjects with preoperative NT-proBNP <100 pg ml-1, 30/75 (40%) who stopped RAS inhibitors had myocardial injury, compared with 15/65 (23.1%) who continued RAS inhibitors (OR for stopping 2.22 [95% CI 1.06-4.65]; P=0.03). For preoperative NT-proBNP >100 pg ml-1, myocardial injury rates were similar regardless of stopping (62.2%) or continuing (62.5%) RAS inhibitors (OR for stopping 0.98 [95% CI 0.44-2.22]).

CONCLUSIONS

Stopping renin-angiotensin system inhibitors in lower-risk patients (preoperative NT-proBNP <100 pg ml -1) increased the likelihood of myocardial injury before noncardiac surgery.

[Preoperative evaluation of adult patients before elective, non-cardiothoracic surgery : A joint recommendation of the German Society for Anesthesiology and Intensive Care Medicine, the German Society for Surgery and the German Society for Internal Medicine]

The 70 recommendations summarize the current status of preoperative risk evaluation of adult patients prior to elective non-cardiothoracic surgery. Based on the joint publications of the German scientific societies for anesthesiology and intensive care medicine (DGAI), surgery (DGCH), and internal medicine (DGIM), which were first published in 2010 and updated in 2017, as well as the European guideline on preoperative cardiac risk evaluation published in 2022, a comprehensive re-evaluation of the recommendation takes place, taking into account new findings, the current literature, and current guidelines of international professional societies. The revised multidisciplinary recommendation is intended to facilitate a structured and common approach to the preoperative evaluation of patients. The aim is to ensure individualized preparation for the patient prior to surgery and thus to increase patient safety. Taking into account intervention- and patient-specific factors, which are indispensable in the preoperative risk evaluation, the perioperative risk for the patient should be minimized and safety increased. The recommendations for action are summarized under "General Principles (A)," "Advanced Diagnostics (B)," and the "Preoperative Management of Continuous Medication (C)." For the first time, a rating of the individual measures with regard to their clinical relevance has been given in the present recommendation. A joint and transparent agreement is intended to ensure a high level of patient orientation while avoiding unnecessary preliminary examinations, to shorten preoperative examination procedures, and ultimately to save costs. The joint recommendation of DGAI, DGCH and DGIM reflects the current state of knowledge as well as the opinion of experts. The recommendation does not replace the individualized decision between patient and physician about the best preoperative strategy and treatment.

Preoperative routine measurement of NT-proBNP predicts postoperative morbidity after non-cardiac surgery with intermediate or high surgical risk: an observational study

BACKGROUND

Chronic heart failure (HF) is a common clinical condition associated with adverse outcomes in elderly patients undergoing non-cardiac surgery. This study aimed to estimate a clinically applicable NT-proBNP cut-off that predicts postoperative 30-day morbidity in a non-cardiac surgical cohort.

METHODS

One hundred ninety-nine consecutive patients older than 65 years undergoing elective non-cardiac surgery with intermediate or high surgical risk were analysed. Preoperative NT-proBNP was measured, and clinical events were assessed up to postoperative day 30. The primary endpoint was the composite morbidity endpoint (CME) consisting of rehospitalisation, acute decompensated heart failure (ADHF), acute kidney injury (AKI), and infection at postoperative day 30. Secondary endpoints included perioperative fluid balance and incidence, duration, and severity of perioperative hypotension.

RESULTS

NT-proBNP of 443 pg/ml had the highest accuracy in predicting the composite endpoint; a clinical cut-off of 450 pg/ml was implemented to compare clinical endpoints. Although 35.2% of patients had NT-proBNP above the threshold, only 10.6% had a known history of HF. The primary endpoint was the composite morbidity endpoint (CME) consisting of rehospitalisation, acute decompensated heart failure (ADHF), acute kidney injury (AKI), and infection. Event rates were significantly increased in patients with NT-proBNP > 450 pg/ml (70.7% vs. 32.4%, p < 0.001), which was due to the incidence of cardiac rehospitalisation (4.4% vs. 0%, p = 0.018), ADHF (20.1% vs. 4.0%, p < 0.001), AKI (39.8% vs. 8.3%, p < 0.001), and infection (46.3% vs. 24.4%, p < 0.01). Perioperative fluid balance and perioperative hypotension were comparable between groups. Preoperative NT-proBNP > 450 pg/ml was an independent predictor of the CME in a multivariable Cox regression model (hazard ratio 2.92 [1.72-4.94]).

CONCLUSIONS

Patients with NT-proBNP > 450 pg/ml exhibited profoundly increased postoperative morbidity. Further studies should focus on interdisciplinary approaches to improve outcomes through integrated interventions in the perioperative period.

TRIAL REGISTRATION

German Clinical Trials Register: DRKS00027871, 17/01/2022.

Individualized Perioperative Hemodynamic Management Using Hypotension Prediction Index Software and the Dynamics of Troponin and NTproBNP Concentration Changes in Patients Undergoing Oncological Abdominal Surgery

INTRODUCTION

Abdominal oncologic surgeries pose significant risks due to the complexity of the surgery and patients' often weakened health, multiple comorbidities, and increased perioperative hazards. Hypotension is a major risk factor for perioperative cardiovascular complications, necessitating individualized management in modern anesthesiology.

AIM

This study aimed to determine the dynamics of changes in troponin and NTproBNP levels during the first two postoperative days in patients undergoing major cancer abdominal surgery with advanced hemodynamic monitoring including The AcumenTM Hypotension Prediction Index software (HPI) (Edwards Lifesciences, Irvine, CA, USA) and their association with the occurrence of postoperative cardiovascular complications.

METHODS

A prospective study was conducted, including 50 patients scheduled for abdominal cancer surgery who, due to the overall risk of perioperative complications (ASA class 3 or 4), were monitored using the HPI software. Hypotension was qualified as at least one ≥ 1 min episode of a MAP < 65 mm Hg. Preoperatively and 24 and 48 h after the procedure, the levels of NTproBNP and troponin were measured, and an ECG was performed.

RESULTS

We analyzed data from 46 patients and found that 82% experienced at least one episode of low blood pressure (MAP < 65 mmHg). However, the quality indices of hypotension were low, with a median time-weighted average MAP < 65 mmHg of 0.085 (0.03-0.19) mmHg and a median of 2 (2-1.17) minutes spent below MAP < 65 mmHg. Although the incidence of perioperative myocardial injury was 10%, there was no evidence to suggest a relationship with hypotension. Acute kidney injury was seen in 23.9% of patients, and it was significantly associated with a number of episodes of MAP < 50 mmHg. Levels of NTproBNP were significantly higher on the first postoperative day compared to preoperative values (285.8 [IQR: 679.8] vs. 183.9 [IQR: 428.1] pg/mL, p < 0.001). However, they decreased on the second day (276.65 [IQR: 609.4] pg/mL, p = 0.154). The dynamics of NTproBNP were similar for patients with and without heart failure, although those with heart failure had significantly higher preoperative concentrations (435.9 [IQR: 711.15] vs. 87 [IQR: 232.2] pg/mL, p < 0.001). Patients undergoing laparoscopic surgery showed a statistically significant increase in NTproBNP.

CONCLUSIONS

This study suggests that advanced HPI monitoring in abdominal cancer surgery effectively minimizes intraoperative hypotension with no significant NTproBNP or troponin perioperative dynamics, irrespective of preoperative heart failure.

Development of a risk assessment model for cardiac injury in patients newly diagnosed with acute myeloid leukemia based on a multicenter, real-world analysis in China

BACKGROUND

Studies have revealed that acute myeloid leukemia (AML) patients are prone to combined cardiac injury. We aimed to identify hematological risk factors associated with cardiac injury in newly diagnosed AML patients before chemotherapy and develop a personalized predictive model.

METHODS

The population baseline, blood test, electrocardiogram, echocardiograph, and genetic and cytogenetic data were collected from newly diagnosed AML patients. The data were subdivided into training and validation cohorts. The independent risk factors were explored by univariate and multivariate logistic regression analysis respectively, and data dimension reduction and variable selection were performed using the least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) regression models. The nomogram was generated and the reliability and generalizability were verified by receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves, the area under the curve (AUC) and calibration curves in an external validation cohort.

RESULTS

Finally, 499 AML patients were included. After univariate logistic regression, LASSO regression and multivariate logistic regression analysis, abnormal NT-proBNP, NPM1 mutation, WBC, and RBC were independent risk factors for cardiac injury in AML patients (all P < 0.05). The nomogram was constructed based on the above four variables with high accuracy. The area under the curve was 0.742, 0.750, and 0.706 in the training, internal validation, and external validation cohort, respectively. The calibration curve indicated that the model has good testing capability. The Kaplan-Meier curve showed that the higher the risk of combined cardiac injury in AML patients, the lower their probability of survival.

CONCLUSIONS

This prediction nomogram identifies hematological risk factors associated with cardiac injury in newly diagnosed AML patients and can help hematologists identify the risk and provide precise treatment options.

Prediction, prognosis, and professionalism in perioperative medicine

Guidelines provide a framework to take better care of our patients. They are published by different professional groups and are based on all the research done for us by hardworking colleagues. Compiling a guideline is an enormous amount of work and is generally done with the utmost care. However, recommendations often require a subjective interpretation of published research, where personal and academic interests can influence the outcome. We discuss two recently published guidelines on perioperative cardiovascular assessment that led to different conclusions on some important areas of patient care.

ESAIC focused guideline for the use of cardiac biomarkers in perioperative risk evaluation

BACKGROUND

In recent years, there has been increasing focus on the use of cardiac biomarkers in patients undergoing noncardiac surgery.

AIMS

The aim of this focused guideline was to provide updated guidance regarding the pre-, post- and combined pre-and postoperative use of cardiac troponin and B-type natriuretic peptides in adult patients undergoing noncardiac surgery.

METHODS

The guidelines were prepared using Grading of Recommendations Assessment Development and Evaluation (GRADE) methodology. This included the definition of critical outcomes, a systematic literature search, appraisal of certainty of evidence, evaluation of biomarker measurement in terms of the balance of desirable and undesirable effects including clinical outcomes, resource use, health inequality, stakeholder acceptance, and implementation. The panel differentiated between three different scopes of applications: cardiac biomarkers as prognostic factors, as tools for risk prediction, and for biomarker-enhanced management strategies.

RESULTS

In a modified Delphi process, the task force defined 12 critical outcomes. The systematic literature search resulted in over 25,000 hits, of which 115 full-text articles formed the body of evidence for recommendations. The evidence appraisal indicated heterogeneity in the certainty of evidence across critical outcomes. Further, there was relevant gradient in the certainty of evidence across the three scopes of application. Recommendations were issued and if this was not possible due to limited evidence, clinical practice statements were produced.

CONCLUSION

The ESAIC focused guidelines provide guidance on the perioperative use of cardiac troponin and B-type natriuretic peptides in patients undergoing noncardiac surgery, for three different scopes of application.

Prediction of Acute Myocardial Injury in Noncardiac Surgery in Patients at Risk for Major Adverse Cardiovascular and Cerebrovascular Events: A Multivariable Risk Model

BACKGROUND

The best use of perioperative cardiac biomarkers assessment is still under discussion. Massive postoperative troponin surveillance can result in untenably high workloads and costs for health care systems and potentially harmful interventions for patients. In a cohort of patients at risk for major adverse cardiovascular and cerebrovascular events (MACCEs), we aimed to (1) determine whether preoperative biomarkers can identify patients at major risk for acute myocardial injury in noncardiac surgery, (2) develop a risk model for acute myocardial injury prediction, and (3) propose an algorithm to optimize postoperative troponin surveillance.

METHODS

Prospective, single-center cohort study enrolling consecutive adult patients (≥45 years) at risk for MACCE scheduled for intermediate-to-high-risk noncardiac surgery. Baseline high-sensitivity troponin T (hsTnT) and N-terminal fragment of pro-B-type natriuretic peptide (NT-proBNP), as well as hsTnT on the first 3 postoperative days were obtained. The main outcome was the occurrence of acute myocardial injury. Candidate predictors of acute myocardial injury were baseline concentrations of hsTnT ≥14 ng/L and NT-proBNP ≥300 pg/mL and preoperative and intraoperative variables. A multivariable risk model and a decision curve were constructed.

RESULTS

Of 732 patients, 42.1% had elevated hsTnT and 37.3% had elevated NT-proBNP levels at baseline. Acute myocardial injury occurred in 161 patients (22%). Elevated baseline hsTnT, found in 84% of patients with acute myocardial injury, was strongly associated with this outcome: odds ratio (OR), 12.08 (95% confidence interval [CI], 7.78-19.42). Logistic regression identified 6 other independent predictors for acute myocardial injury: age, sex, estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) <45 mL·min -1 ·1.73 m -2 , functional capacity <4 METs or unknown, NT-proBNP ≥300 pg/mL, and estimated intraoperative blood loss. The c -statistic for the risk model was 77% (95% CI, 0.73-0.81). The net benefit of the model began at a risk threshold of 7%.

CONCLUSIONS

Baseline determination of cardiac biomarkers in patients at risk for MACCE shortly before intermediate- or high-risk noncardiac surgery helps identify those with the highest risk for acute myocardial injury. A baseline hsTnT ≥14 ng/L indicates the need for postoperative troponin surveillance. In patients with baseline hsTnT <14 ng/L, our 6-predictor model will identify additional patients at risk for acute myocardial injury who may also benefit from postoperative surveillance.

Implementing screening for myocardial injury in non-cardiac surgery: perspectives of an ad-hoc interdisciplinary expert group

Objectives. Perioperative myocardial injury (PMI) is increasingly recognised as an important complication of non-cardiac surgery, with often clinically silent presentation, but detrimental prognosis. Active screening for PMI, involving the detection of dynamic and elevated levels of cardiac troponin, has recently been advocated by an increasing number of guidelines; however, active PMI screening has not been reflected in clinical practice. Design. As consensus on a common screening and management pathway is lacking, we synthesise the current evidence to provide suggestions on the selection of patients for screening, organisation of a screening program, and a potential management pathway, building upon a recently published perioperative screening algorithm. Results. Screening should be performed using high-sensitivity assays both preoperatively and postoperatively (postoperative Days 1 and 2) in patients at high-risk of experiencing perioperative complications. Conclusion. This expert opinion piece by an interdisciplinary group of predominantly Norwegian clinicians aims to assist healthcare professionals planning to implement guideline-recommended PMI screening at a local level in order to improve patient outcomes following non-cardiac surgery.

NT-proBNP or Self-Reported Functional Capacity in Estimating Risk of Cardiovascular Events After Noncardiac Surgery

Importance

Nearly 16 million surgical procedures are conducted in North America yearly, and postoperative cardiovascular events are frequent. Guidelines suggest functional capacity or B-type natriuretic peptides (BNP) to guide perioperative management. Data comparing the performance of these approaches are scarce.

Objective

To compare the addition of either N-terminal pro-BNP (NT-proBNP) or self-reported functional capacity to clinical scores to estimate the risk of major adverse cardiac events (MACE).

Design, Setting, and Participants

This cohort study included patients undergoing inpatient, elective, noncardiac surgery at 25 tertiary care hospitals in Europe between June 2017 and April 2020. Analysis was conducted in January 2023. Eligible patients were either aged 45 years or older with a Revised Cardiac Risk Index (RCRI) of 2 or higher or a National Surgical Quality Improvement Program, Risk Calculator for Myocardial Infarction and Cardiac (NSQIP MICA) above 1%, or they were aged 65 years or older and underwent intermediate or high-risk procedures.

Exposures

Preoperative NT-proBNP and the following self-reported measures of functional capacity were the exposures: (1) questionnaire-estimated metabolic equivalents (METs), (2) ability to climb 1 floor, and (3) level of regular physical activity.

Main Outcome and Measures

MACE was defined as a composite end point of in-hospital cardiovascular mortality, cardiac arrest, myocardial infarction, stroke, and congestive heart failure requiring transfer to a higher unit of care.

Results

A total of 3731 eligible patients undergoing noncardiac surgery were analyzed; 3597 patients had complete data (1258 women [35.0%]; 1463 (40.7%) aged 75 years or older; 86 [2.4%] experienced a MACE). Discrimination of NT-proBNP or functional capacity measures added to clinical scores did not significantly differ (Area under the receiver operating curve: RCRI, age, and 4MET, 0.704; 95% CI, 0.646-0.763; RCRI, age, and 4MET plus floor climbing, 0.702; 95% CI, 0.645-0.760; RCRI, age, and 4MET plus physical activity, 0.724; 95% CI, 0.672-0.775; RCRI, age, and 4MET plus NT-proBNP, 0.736; 95% CI, 0.682-0.790). Benefit analysis favored NT-proBNP at a threshold of 5% or below, ie, if true positives were valued 20 times or more compared with false positives. The findings were similar for NSQIP MICA as baseline clinical scores.

Conclusions and relevance

In this cohort study of nearly 3600 patients with elevated cardiovascular risk undergoing noncardiac surgery, there was no conclusive evidence of a difference between a NT-proBNP-based and a self-reported functional capacity-based estimate of MACE risk.

Trial Registration

ClinicalTrials.gov Identifier: NCT03016936.

Differences between patients in whom physicians agree versus disagree about the preoperative diagnosis of heart failure

STUDY OBJECTIVE

To quantify preoperative heart failure (HF) diagnostic agreement and identify characteristics of patients in whom physicians agreed versus disagreed about the diagnosis.

DESIGN

Observational cohort study.

SETTING

Patients undergoing major non-cardiac surgery at an academic center between 2015 and 2019.

PATIENTS

40,659 patients undergoing major non-cardiac surgery, among which a stratified subsample of 1018 patients with and without documented HF was reviewed.

INTERVENTIONS

Via a panel of physicians frequently managing patients with HF (cardiologists, cardiac anesthesiologists, intensivists), detailed chart reviews were performed (two per patient; median review time 32 min per reviewer per patient) to render adjudicated HF diagnoses.

MEASUREMENTS

Adjudicated diagnostic agreement measures (percent agreement, Krippendorf's alpha) and univariate comparisons (standardized differences) between patients in whom physicians agreed versus disagreed about the preoperative HF diagnosis.

MAIN RESULTS

Among patients with documented HF, physicians agreed about the diagnosis in 80.0% of cases (consensus positive), disagreed in 13.8% (disagreement), and refuted the diagnosis in 6.3% (consensus negative). Conversely, among patients without documented HF, physicians agreed about the diagnosis in 88.0% (consensus negative), disagreed in 8.4% (disagreement), and refuted the diagnosis in 3.6% (consensus positive). The estimated agreement for the 40,659 cases was 91.1% (95% CI 88.3%-93.9%); Krippendorff's alpha was 0.77 (0.75-0.80). Compared to patients in whom physicians agreed about a HF diagnosis, patients in whom physicians disagreed exhibited fewer guideline-defined HF diagnostic criteria.

CONCLUSIONS

Physicians usually agree about HF diagnoses adjudicated via chart review, although disagreement is not uncommon and may be partly explained by heterogeneous clinical presentations. Our findings inform preoperative screening processes by identifying patients whose characteristics contribute to physician disagreement via chart review. Clinical Trial Number / Registry URL: Not applicable.

Diagnostic and prognostic value of cardiac stress testing before major noncardiac surgery-A cohort study

OBJECTIVE

To assess the incremental contribution of preoperative stress test results toward a diagnosis of obstructive coronary artery disease (CAD), prediction of mortality, or prediction of perioperative myocardial infarction in patients considering noncardiac, nonophthalmologic surgery.

DESIGN, SETTING, PARTICIPANTS

A retrospective cohort study of visits to a preoperative risk assessment and optimization clinic in a large health system between 2008 and 2018.

MEASUREMENTS

To assess diagnostic information of preoperative stress testing, we used the Begg and Greenes method to calculate test characteristics adjusted for referral bias, with a gold standard of angiography. To assess prognostic information, we first created multiply-imputed logistic regression models to predict 90-day mortality and perioperative myocardial infarction (MI), starting with two tools commonly used to assess perioperative cardiac risk, Revised Cardiac Risk Index (RCRI) and Myocardial Infarction or Cardiac Arrest (MICA). We then added stress test results and compared the discrimination for models with and without stress test results.

MAIN RESULTS

Among 136,935 visits by patients without an existing diagnosis of CAD, the decision to obtain preoperative stress testing identified around 4.0% of likely new diagnoses. Stress testing increased the likelihood of CAD (likelihood ratio: 1.31), but for over 99% of patients, stress testing should not change a decision on whether to proceed to angiography. In 117,445 visits with subsequent noncardiac surgery, stress test results failed to improve predictions of either perioperative MI or 90-day mortality. Reweighting the models and adding hemoglobin improved the prediction of both outcomes.

CONCLUSIONS

Cardiac stress testing before noncardiac, nonophthalmologic surgery does not improve predictions of either perioperative mortality or myocardial infarction. Very few patients considering noncardiac, nonophthalmologic surgery have a pretest probability of CAD in a range where stress testing could usefully select patients for angiography. Better use of existing patient data could improve predictions of perioperative adverse events without additional patient testing.

Association between preoperative cardiac risk assessment and health care costs in major noncardiac surgery: a multicentre health economic analysis

PURPOSE

Patients with impaired functional capacity who undergo major surgery are at increased risk of postoperative morbidity including complications and increased length of stay. These outcomes have been associated with increased hospital and health system costs. We aimed to assess whether common preoperative risk indices are associated with postoperative cost.

METHODS

We conducted a health economic analysis focused on the subset of Measurement of Exercise Tolerance before Surgery (METS) study participants in Ontario, Canada. Participants were scheduled for major elective noncardiac surgery and underwent several preoperative assessments of cardiac risk, including physicians' subjective assessment, Duke Activity Status Index (DASI) questionnaire, peak oxygen consumption, and N-terminal pro-B-type natriuretic peptide concentration. Using linked health administrative data, postoperative costs were calculated for both one year and in-hospital. Using multiple regression models, we tested for association between the preoperative measures of cardiac risk and postoperative costs.

RESULTS

Our study included 487 patients (mean [standard deviation] age 68 [11] yr and 47.0% female) who underwent noncardiac surgery between 13 June 2013 and 8 March 2016. Overall, the median [interquartile range] cost incurred within one year postoperatively was CAD 27,587 [13,902-32,590], of which CAD 12,928 [10,253-12,810] were incurred in-hospital and CAD 14,497 [10,917-15,017] were incurred by 30 days. None of the four preoperative measures of cardiac risk assessment were associated with costs incurred in hospital or at one year postoperatively. This lack of strong association persisted in sensitivity analyses considering type of surgical procedure, burden of preoperative cost, and when costs were categorized as quantiles.

CONCLUSION

In patients undergoing major noncardiac surgery, common measures of functional capacity are not consistently associated with total postoperative cost. Until further data exist that differ from this analysis, clinicians and health care funders should not assume that preoperative measures of cardiac risk are associated with annual health care or hospital costs for such surgeries.

Pulmonary hypertension and associated outcomes in noncardiac surgery: A systematic review and meta-analysis

BACKGROUND

Some studies suggest that patients with pulmonary hypertension (PH) may be at higher risk of complications and death after noncardiac surgery. However, the magnitude of these associations is unclear.

OBJECTIVES

To determine the associations between PH and adverse outcomes after noncardiac surgery.

METHODS

We searched PUBMED and EMBASE for studies published from January 1970 to April 2022. We included studies that reported the association between PH and one or more outcomes of interest occurring after noncardiac surgery. Data were pooled using random-effects models and reported as summary odds ratios (ORs) with 95% confidence intervals (CIs).

RESULTS

Eighteen studies met eligibility criteria (n=18,214,760). PH was independently associated with mortality (adjusted odds ratio [OR] 2.09; 95% CI, 1.51-2.90; I²=98%; 8 studies). PH was associated with a higher unadjusted risk of deep venous thrombosis (OR 4.02; 95% CI, 2.14-7.54; I²=85%; 3 studies), pulmonary embolism (OR 4.16; 95% CI, 3.23-5.36; I²=69%; 7 studies), myocardial infarction (OR 1.49; 95% CI, 1.44-1.54; I²=0%; 5 studies), congestive heart failure or cardiogenic shock (OR 3.37; 95% CI, 1.73-6.60; I²=34%; 5 studies), length of hospital stay (mean difference 1.97 days; 95% CI, 0.81-3.12; I²=99%; 5 studies), and delayed extubation (OR 5.98; 95% CI, 1.70-21.02; I²=3%; 3 studies). PH was associated with lower unadjusted risk of postoperative stroke (OR 0.93; 95% CI, 0.88-0.98; I²=0%; 3 studies).

CONCLUSION

PH is a predictor of morbidity and mortality after noncardiac surgery. High quality studies are needed to determine effective strategies for reducing postoperative complications in this population.

Brain Natriuretic Peptide levels on hospital admission are a useful predictor of cardiac complications and mortality in geriatric patients with proximal femur fractures

Purpose

Proximal femur fractures in geriatric patients are associated with increased morbidity and mortality. This study investigates Brain Natriuretic Peptide immunoassay levels taken at the time of hospital admission in predicting cardiac complications and mortality in geriatric patients with a proximal femur fracture.

Methods

A single-site prospective cohort study at a large tertiary care, level 1 trauma centre was conducted on all consecutive geriatric patients aged greater than 60 years who sustained a proximal femur fracture. Investigators collected Brain Natriuretic Peptide levels from venous blood samples on admission to the Emergency Department. The main outcome measurements were inpatient cardiovascular complications, and all-cause mortality at 30-day, 90-day, one-year, and nine-years.

Results

Over a one-year period, 112 patients were enrolled. The average age was 82.7 years, and the average follow up was 6 years and 6 months (range, 2 days to 9 years). No patients were lost to follow up. There were 44 new or exacerbations of pre-existing cardiac complications requiring management recorded in 30 (26.8%) patients. Mortality at 30 days was 9.8%, 90 days was 16.1%, and one year was 24.1%, with deceased patients having a statistically significant elevated Brain Natriuretic Peptide immunoassay on hospital admission. The Kaplan-Meier graph demonstrated a trend towards increasing Brain Natriuretic Peptide and adverse survivorship risk. The Charlson Comorbidity Index was statistically significant in predicting overall survival probability.

Conclusion

Brain Natriuretic Peptide immunoassay on hospital admission may be utilised to identify patients at risk of cardiac complications and mortality to guide further investigations, operative planning, the consent process, and post-operative monitoring.

Preoperative cerebral oxygenation in high-risk noncardiac surgical patients: an observational study on postoperative mortality and complications

Near Infrared Spectroscopy (NIRS) has become widely accepted to evaluate regional cerebral oxygen saturation (rScO2), potentially acting as a surrogate parameter of reduced cerebral oxygen delivery or increased consumption. Low preoperative rScO2 is associated with increased postoperative complications after cardiac surgery. However, its universal potential in pre-anesthesia risk assessment remains unclear. Therefore, we investigated whether low preoperative rScO2 is indicative of postoperative complications and associated with poor outcomes in noncardiac surgical patients. We prospectively enrolled 130 patients undergoing high-risk noncardiac surgery. During pre-anesthesia evaluation, baseline rScO2 was recorded with and without oxygen supplementation. The primary endpoint was 30-day mortality, while secondary endpoints were postoperative myocardial injury, respiratory complications, and renal failure. We further evaluated the impact of body position and preoperative hemoglobin (Hb) concentration on rScO2. Of the initially enrolled 130 patients, 126 remained for final analysis. Six (4.76%) patients died within 30 postoperative days. 95 (75.4%) patients were admitted to the ICU. 32 (25.4%) patients suffered from major postoperative complications. There was no significant association between rScO2 and 30-day mortality or secondary endpoints. Oxygen supplementation induced a significant increase of rScO2. Furthermore, Hb concentration correlated with rScO2 values and body position affected rScO2. No significant association between rScO2 values and NYHA, LVEF, or MET classes were observed. Preoperative rScO2 is not associated with postoperative complications in patients undergoing high-risk noncardiac surgery. We speculate that the discriminatory power of NIRS is insufficient due to individual variability of rScO2 values and confounding factors.

Perioperative troponin surveillance in major noncardiac surgery: a narrative review

Myocardial injury is now an acknowledged complication in patients undergoing noncardiac surgery. Heterogeneity in the definitions of myocardial injury contributes to difficulty in evaluating the value of cardiac troponins (cTns) measurement in perioperative care. Pre-, post-, and peri-operatively increased cTns are encompassed by the umbrella term 'myocardial injury' and are likely to reflect different pathophysiological mechanisms. Increased cTns are independently associated with cardiovascular and non-cardiovascular complications, poor short-term and long-term cardiovascular outcomes, and increased mortality. Preoperative measurement of cTns aids preoperative risk stratification beyond the Revised Cardiac Risk Index. Systematic measurement detects acute perioperative increases and allows early identification of acute myocardial injury. Common definitions and standards for reporting are a prerequisite for designing impactful future trials and perioperative management strategies.

Preoperative clinical diagnostic accuracy of heart failure among patients undergoing major noncardiac surgery: a single-centre prospective observational analysis

Background

Reliable diagnosis of heart failure during preoperative evaluation is important for perioperative management and long-term care. We aimed to quantify preoperative heart failure diagnostic accuracy and explore characteristics of patients with heart failure misdiagnoses.

Methods

We performed an observational cohort study of adults undergoing major noncardiac surgery at an academic hospital between 2015 and 2019. A preoperative clinical diagnosis of heart failure was defined using keywords from the history and clinical examination or administrative documentation. Across stratified subsamples of cases with and without clinically diagnosed heart failure, health records were intensively reviewed by an expert panel to develop an adjudicated heart failure reference standard using diagnostic criteria congruent with consensus guidelines. We calculated agreement among experts, and analysed performance of clinically diagnosed heart failure compared with the adjudicated reference standard.

Results

Across 40 555 major noncardiac procedures, a stratified subsample of 511 patients was reviewed by the expert panel. The prevalence of heart failure was 9.1% based on clinically diagnosed compared with 13.3% (95% confidence interval [CI], 10.3-16.2%) estimated by the expert panel. Overall agreement and inter-rater reliability (kappa) among heart failure experts were 95% and 0.79, respectively. Based upon expert adjudication, heart failure was clinically diagnosed with an accuracy of 92.8% (90.6-95.1%), sensitivity 57.4% (53.1-61.7%), specificity 98.3% (97.1-99.4%), positive predictive value 83.5% (80.3-86.8%), and negative predictive value 93.8% (91.7-95.9%).

Conclusions

Limitations exist to the preoperative clinical diagnosis of heart failure, with nearly half of cases undiagnosed preoperatively. Considering the risks of undiagnosed heart failure, efforts to improve preoperative heart failure diagnoses are warranted.

Effect of intraoperative personalized goal-directed hemodynamic management on acute myocardial injury in high-risk patients having major abdominal surgery: a post-hoc secondary analysis of a randomized clinical trial

Acute myocardial injury is common after noncardiac surgery and associated with mortality. Impaired intraoperative cardiovascular dynamics are a risk factor for acute myocardial injury. Optimizing intraoperative cardiovascular dynamics may thus reduce acute myocardial injury. We aimed to investigate the effect of intraoperative personalized goal-directed hemodynamic management on the incidence of acute myocardial injury. We hypothesized that personalized goal-directed hemodynamic management reduces the incidence of acute myocardial injury compared to routine hemodynamic management in high-risk patients having major abdominal surgery. We performed a post-hoc secondary analysis of a randomized clinical trial including 180 high-risk major abdominal surgery patients that were randomized to personalized goal-directed hemodynamic management or routine hemodynamic management. We compared the incidences of acute myocardial injury-defined according to the Fourth Universal Definition of Myocardial Infarction (2018)-between patients randomized to personalized goal-directed hemodynamic management or routine hemodynamic management by calculating the relative and absolute risk reduction together with 95% Wald confidence intervals and P values. Acute myocardial injury occurred in 4 of 90 patients (4%) in the personalized goal-directed hemodynamic management group and in 12 of 90 patients (13%) in the routine hemodynamic management group (relative risk: 0.33, 95% confidence interval: 0.11 to 0.99, P = 0.036; absolute risk reduction: - 9%, 95% confidence interval: - 17% to - 0.68%, P = 0.034). In this post-hoc secondary analysis, intraoperative personalized goal-directed hemodynamic management reduced the incidence of acute myocardial injury compared to routine hemodynamic management in high-risk patients having major abdominal surgery. This needs to be confirmed in larger prospective trials.

Using preoperative N-terminal pro-B-type natriuretic peptide levels for predicting major adverse cardiovascular events and myocardial injury after noncardiac surgery in Chinese advanced-age patients

BACKGROUND

N-terminal pro-B-type natriuretic peptide (NT-proBNP) is often viewed as an indicator for heart failure. However, the prognostic association and the predictive utility of NT-proBNP for postoperative major adverse cardiovascular events (MACEs) and myocardial injury after noncardiac surgery (MINS) among older patients are unclear.

METHODS

In this study, we included 5033 patients aged 65 years or older who underwent noncardiac surgery with preoperative NT-proBNP recorded. Logistic regression was adopted to model the associations between preoperative NT-proBNP and the risk of MACEs and MINS. The receiver operating characteristic curve was used to determine the predictive value of NT-proBNP.

RESULTS

A total of 5033 patients were enrolled, 63 patients (1.25%) and 525 patients (10.43%) had incident postoperative MACEs and MINS, respectively. Analysis of the receiver operating characteristic curve indicated that the cutoff values of ln (NT-proBNP) for MACEs and MINS were 5.16 (174 pg/mL) and 5.30 (200 pg/mL), respectively. Adding preoperative ln (NT-proBNP) to the Revised Cardiac Risk Index score and the Cardiac and Stroke Risk Model boosted the area under the receiver operating characteristic curves from 0.682 to 0.726 and 0.787 to 0.804, respectively. The inclusion of preoperative NT-proBNP in the prediction models significantly increased the reclassification and discrimination.

CONCLUSIONS

Increased preoperative NT-proBNP was associated with a higher risk of postoperative MACEs and MINS. The inclusion of NT-proBNP enhances the predictive ability of the preexisting models.

Predicting Postoperative Troponin in Patients Undergoing Elective Hip or Knee Arthroplasty: A Comparison of Five Cardiac Risk Prediction Tools

Background

Elderly patients undergoing hip or knee arthroplasty are at a risk for myocardial injury after noncardiac surgery (MINS). We evaluated the ability of five common cardiac risk scores, alone or combined with baseline high-sensitivity cardiac troponin I (hs-cTnI), in predicting MINS and postoperative day 2 (POD2) hs-cTnI levels in patients undergoing elective total hip or knee arthroplasty.

Methods

This study is ancillary to the Genetics-InFormatics Trial (GIFT) of Warfarin Therapy to Prevent Deep Venous Thrombosis, which enrolled patients 65 years and older undergoing elective total hip or knee arthroplasty. The five cardiac risk scores evaluated were the atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease calculator (ASCVD), the Framingham risk score (FRS), the American College of Surgeon's National Surgical Quality Improvement Program (ACS-NSQIP) calculator, the revised cardiac risk index (RCRI), and the reconstructed RCRI (R-RCRI).

Results

None of the scores predicted MINS in women. Among men, the ASCVD (C-statistic of 0.66; p=0.04), ACS-NSQIP (C-statistic of 0.69; p=0.01), and RCRI (C-statistic of 0.64; p=0.04) predicted MINS. Among all patients, spearman correlations (r_s) of the risk scores with the POD2 hs-cTnI levels were 0.24, 0.20, 0.11, 0.11, and 0.08 for the ASCVD, Framingham, ACS-NSQIP, RCRI, and R-RCRI scores, respectively, with p values of <0.001, <0.001, <0.001, 0.006, and 0.025. Baseline hs-cTnI predicted MINS (C-statistics: 0.63 in women and 0.72 in men) and postoperative hs-cTnI (r_s = 0.51, p=0.001).

Conclusion

In elderly patients undergoing elective hip or knee arthroplasty, several of the scores modestly predicted MINS in men and correlated with POD2 hs-cTnI.

PRE-OPerative ECHOcardiograhy for prevention of cardiovascular events after non-cardiac surgery in intermediate- and high-risk patients: protocol for a low-interventional, mixed-cohort prospective study design (PREOP-ECHO)

Background

Cardiac evaluation using transthoracic echocardiography before noncardiac surgery is common in real-world practice. However, evidence supporting preoperative echocardiography is lacking. This study aims to evaluate the additional benefit of preoperative echocardiography in predicting postoperative cardiovascular events (CVE) in noncardiac surgery.

Methods

This study is designed as a multicenter, prospective study to assess the utility of preoperative echocardiography in patients undergoing intermediate- or high-risk noncardiac surgery. This trial comprises two studies: (1) a randomized controlled trial (RCT) for patients undergoing intermediate-risk surgery with fewer than three clinical risk factors from the revised cardiac risk index (intermediate-risk group) and (2) a prospective cohort study for patients undergoing intermediate-risk surgery with three or more clinical risk factors, or who undergo high-risk surgery regardless of the number of clinical risk factors (high-risk group). We hypothesize that the use of preoperative echocardiography will reduce postoperative CVEs in patients undergoing intermediate- to high-risk surgery through discovery of and further intervention for unexpected cardiac abnormalities before elective surgery. A total of 2330 and 2184 patients will be enrolled in the two studies. The primary endpoint is a composite of all-cause death; aborted sudden cardiac arrest; type I acute myocardial infarction; clinically diagnosed unstable angina; stress-induced cardiomyopathy; lethal arrhythmia, such as sustained ventricular tachycardia or ventricular fibrillation; and/or newly diagnosed or acutely decompensated heart failure within 30 days after surgery.

Discussion

This study will be the first large-scale prospective study examining the benefit of preoperative echocardiography in predicting postoperative CVE. The PREOP-ECHO trial will help doctors identify patients at risk of postoperative CVE using echocardiography and thereby reduce postoperative CVEs.

Trial registration

The Clinical Research Information Service KCT0006279 for RCT and KCT0006280 for prospective cohort study. Registered on June 21, 2021.

Understanding potential barriers and enablers to a perioperative early phase cell therapy trial

BACKGROUND AIMS

Early-phase cell therapy clinical trials depend on patient and physician involvement, yet barriers can impede their participation.

METHODS

To optimize engagement for a planned cell therapy trial to prevent perioperative cardiac complications, the authors conducted semi-structured interviews with at-risk patients and physicians who could potentially be involved in the study. The authors used the theoretical domains framework to systematically identify potential barriers and enablers.

RESULTS

Forty-one interviews were conducted to reach data saturation, and four overall potential barriers to participation (themes) were identified. Theme 1 emphasizes that patients and physicians need accessible information to better understand the benefits and risks of the novel therapy and trial procedures and to address misconceptions. Theme 2 underscores the need for clarity on whether the trial's primary purpose is safety or efficacy, as this may influence patient and physician decisions. Theme 3 recognizes the resource and logistic realities for patients (e.g., convenient follow-up appointments) and physicians (e.g., personnel to assist in trial procedures, competing priorities). Theme 4 describes the importance of social influences (e.g., physicians and family, peers/colleagues) that may affect decisions to participate and the importance of patient preferences (e.g., availability of physicians to discuss the trial, including caregivers in discussions).

CONCLUSIONS

Prospectively addressing these issues may help optimize feasibility prior to conducting an expensive, resource-intensive trial.

ASA Status, NPPA/NPPB Haplotype and Coronary Artery Disease Have an Impact on BNP/NT-proBNP Plasma Levels

Plasma concentrations of natriuretic peptides (NP) contribute to risk stratification and management of patients undergoing non-cardiac surgery. However, genetically determined variability in the levels of these biomarkers has been described previously. In the perioperative setting, genetic contribution to NP plasma level variability has not yet been determined. A cohort of 427 patients presenting for non-cardiac surgery was genotyped for single-nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) from the NPPA/NPPB locus. Haplotype population frequencies were estimated and adjusted haplotype trait associations for brain natriuretic peptide (BNP) and amino-terminal pro natriuretic peptide (NT-proBNP) were calculated. Five SNPs were included in the analysis. Compared to the reference haplotype TATAT (rs198358, rs5068, rs632793, rs198389, rs6676300), haplotype CACGC, with an estimated frequency of 4%, showed elevated BNP and NT-proBNP plasma concentrations by 44% and 94%, respectively. Haplotype CGCGC, with an estimated frequency of 9%, lowered NT-proBNP concentrations by 28%. ASA classification status III and IV, as well as coronary artery disease, were the strongest predictors of increased NP plasma levels. Inclusion of genetic information might improve perioperative risk stratification of patients based on adjusted thresholds of NP plasma levels.

Beyond the revised cardiac risk index: Validation of the hospital frailty risk score in non-cardiac surgery

Frailty is an established risk factor for adverse outcomes following non-cardiac surgery. The Hospital Frailty Risk Score (HFRS) is a recently described frailty assessment tool that harnesses administrative data and is composed of 109 International Classification of Disease variables. We aimed to examine the incremental prognostic utility of the HFRS in a generalizable surgical population. Using linked administrative databases, a retrospective cohort of patients admitted for non-cardiac surgery between October 1st, 2008 and September 30th, 2019 in Alberta, Canada was created. Our primary outcome was a composite of death, myocardial infarction or cardiac arrest at 30-days. Multivariable logistic regression was undertaken to assess the impact of HFRS on outcomes after adjusting for age, sex, components of the Charlson Comorbidity Index (CCI), Revised Cardiac Risk Index (RCRI) and peri-operative biomarkers. The final cohort consisted of 712,808 non-cardiac surgeries, of which 55·1% were female and the average age was 53·4 +/- 22·4 years. Using the HFRS, 86.3% were considered low risk, 10·7% were considered intermediate risk and 3·1% were considered high risk for frailty. Intermediate and high HFRS scores were associated with increased risk of the primary outcome with an adjusted odds ratio of 1·61 (95% CI 1·50-1.74) and 1·55 (95% CI 1·38-1·73). Intermediate and high HFRS were also associated with increased adjusted odds of prolonged hospital stay, in-hospital mortality, and 1-year mortality. The HFRS is a minimally onerous frailty assessment tool that can complement perioperative risk stratification in identifying patients at high risk of short- and long-term adverse events.

The comparative and added prognostic value of biomarkers to the Revised Cardiac Risk Index for preoperative prediction of major adverse cardiac events and all-cause mortality in patients who undergo noncardiac surgery

BACKGROUND

The Revised Cardiac Risk Index (RCRI) is a widely acknowledged prognostic model to estimate preoperatively the probability of developing in-hospital major adverse cardiac events (MACE) in patients undergoing noncardiac surgery. However, the RCRI does not always make accurate predictions, so various studies have investigated whether biomarkers added to or compared with the RCRI could improve this.

OBJECTIVES

Primary: To investigate the added predictive value of biomarkers to the RCRI to preoperatively predict in-hospital MACE and other adverse outcomes in patients undergoing noncardiac surgery. Secondary: To investigate the prognostic value of biomarkers compared to the RCRI to preoperatively predict in-hospital MACE and other adverse outcomes in patients undergoing noncardiac surgery. Tertiary: To investigate the prognostic value of other prediction models compared to the RCRI to preoperatively predict in-hospital MACE and other adverse outcomes in patients undergoing noncardiac surgery.

SEARCH METHODS

We searched MEDLINE and Embase from 1 January 1999 (the year that the RCRI was published) until 25 June 2020. We also searched ISI Web of Science and SCOPUS for articles referring to the original RCRI development study in that period.

SELECTION CRITERIA

We included studies among adults who underwent noncardiac surgery, reporting on (external) validation of the RCRI and: - the addition of biomarker(s) to the RCRI; or - the comparison of the predictive accuracy of biomarker(s) to the RCRI; or - the comparison of the predictive accuracy of the RCRI to other models. Besides MACE, all other adverse outcomes were considered for inclusion.

DATA COLLECTION AND ANALYSIS

We developed a data extraction form based on the CHARMS checklist. Independent pairs of authors screened references, extracted data and assessed risk of bias and concerns regarding applicability according to PROBAST. For biomarkers and prediction models that were added or compared to the RCRI in ≥ 3 different articles, we described study characteristics and findings in further detail. We did not apply GRADE as no guidance is available for prognostic model reviews.

MAIN RESULTS

We screened 3960 records and included 107 articles.   Over all objectives we rated risk of bias as high in ≥ 1 domain in 90% of included studies, particularly in the analysis domain. Statistical pooling or meta-analysis of reported results was impossible due to heterogeneity in various aspects: outcomes used, scale by which the biomarker was added/compared to the RCRI, prediction horizons and studied populations.  Added predictive value of biomarkers to the RCRI Fifty-one studies reported on the added value of biomarkers to the RCRI. Sixty-nine different predictors were identified derived from blood (29%), imaging (33%) or other sources (38%). Addition of NT-proBNP, troponin or their combination improved the RCRI for predicting MACE (median delta c-statistics: 0.08, 0.14 and 0.12 for NT-proBNP, troponin and their combination, respectively). The median total net reclassification index (NRI) was 0.16 and 0.74 after addition of troponin and NT-proBNP to the RCRI, respectively. Calibration was not reported. To predict myocardial infarction, the median delta c-statistic when NT-proBNP was added to the RCRI was 0.09, and 0.06 for prediction of all-cause mortality and MACE combined. For BNP and copeptin, data were not sufficient to provide results on their added predictive performance, for any of the outcomes. Comparison of the predictive value of biomarkers to the RCRI  Fifty-one studies assessed the predictive performance of biomarkers alone compared to the RCRI. We identified 60 unique predictors derived from blood (38%), imaging (30%) or other sources, such as the American Society of Anesthesiologists (ASA) classification (32%). Predictions were similar between the ASA classification and the RCRI for all studied outcomes. In studies different from those identified in objective 1, the median delta c-statistic was 0.15 and 0.12 in favour of  BNP and NT-proBNP alone, respectively, when compared to the RCRI, for the prediction of MACE. For C-reactive protein, the predictive performance was similar to the RCRI. For other biomarkers and outcomes, data were insufficient to provide summary results. One study reported on calibration and none on reclassification. Comparison of the predictive value of other prognostic models to the RCRI   Fifty-two articles compared the predictive ability of the RCRI to other prognostic models. Of these, 42% developed a new prediction model, 22% updated the RCRI, or another prediction model, and 37% validated an existing prediction model. None of the other prediction models showed better performance in predicting MACE than the RCRI. To predict myocardial infarction and cardiac arrest, ACS-NSQIP-MICA had a higher median delta c-statistic of 0.11 compared to the RCRI. To predict all-cause mortality, the median delta c-statistic was 0.15 higher in favour of ACS-NSQIP-SRS compared to the RCRI. Predictive performance was not better for CHADS₂, CHA₂DS₂-VASc, R₂CHADS₂, Goldman index, Detsky index or VSG-CRI compared to the RCRI for any of the outcomes. Calibration and reclassification were reported in only one and three studies, respectively.

AUTHORS' CONCLUSIONS

Studies included in this review suggest that the predictive performance of the RCRI in predicting MACE is improved when NT-proBNP, troponin or their combination are added. Other studies indicate that BNP and NT-proBNP, when used in isolation, may even have a higher discriminative performance than the RCRI. There was insufficient evidence of a difference between the predictive accuracy of the RCRI and other prediction models in predicting MACE. However, ACS-NSQIP-MICA and ACS-NSQIP-SRS outperformed the RCRI in predicting myocardial infarction and cardiac arrest combined, and all-cause mortality, respectively. Nevertheless, the results cannot be interpreted as conclusive due to high risks of bias in a majority of papers, and pooling was impossible due to heterogeneity in outcomes, prediction horizons, biomarkers and studied populations. Future research on the added prognostic value of biomarkers to existing prediction models should focus on biomarkers with good predictive accuracy in other settings (e.g. diagnosis of myocardial infarction) and identification of biomarkers from omics data. They should be compared to novel biomarkers with so far insufficient evidence compared to established ones, including NT-proBNP or troponins. Adherence to recent guidance for prediction model studies (e.g. TRIPOD; PROBAST) and use of standardised outcome definitions in primary studies is highly recommended to facilitate systematic review and meta-analyses in the future.

Myocardial perfusion imaging failed to improve patient risk classification compared to the revised cardiac risk index for early cardiac complications after major non-cardiac surgery

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVE

Cardiac evaluation is desirable before major non-cardiac surgery with myocardial perfusion imaging (MPI) frequently utilised for risk assessment. However, the prognostic utility of MPI above a simple clinical risk calculator, the Revised Cardiac Risk Index (RCRI), is unknown.

METHODS AND RESULTS

We conducted a retrospective cohort study of at-risk patients who underwent MPI before major non-cardiac surgery in a tertiary hospital, incorporating 635 surgical procedures in 629 patients from 2013 to 2019. Major adverse cardiac events (MACE) within 30 days of surgery, including any myocardial infarction, acute pulmonary oedema, ventricular arrhythmia or cardiac death, occurred in 47 (7.4%) cases. We analysed predictive value of MPI for MACE using multivariable logistic regression and categorical net reclassification index. MPI-identified medium or large-sized reversible perfusion defects (p=0.02, odds ratio 2.9 (95% confidence interval 1.1-7.1) and RCRI score two or more (p=0.03, odds ratio 2.3 (95% confidence interval 1.1-4.8) were significantly associated with MACE after adjusting for age, coronary revascularisation, surgical priority, need for general anaesthesia, left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF) and fixed perfusion defects. MPI risk factors (LVEF, reversible perfusion and fixed perfusion defects) did not improve risk classification above baseline risk factors (age, RCRI and surgical priority).

CONCLUSION

MPI risk factors are weak predictors for early cardiac complications after major non-cardiac surgery and failed to improve patient risk classification beyond essential assessment using age, RCRI and surgical priority. Clinicians should consider alternative risk assessment strategies because of MPI's poor prognostic utility and its associated time and financial costs. This article is protected by copyright. All rights reserved.

Risk assessment and risk stratification for perioperative complications and mitigation: Where should the focus be? How are we doing?

Various risk stratification tools are used to predict patients' risk of adverse outcomes. Most of these tools are based on type of surgery and patient comorbidities. Accuracy of risk prediction is improved when additional factors such as functional capacity are included. However, these tools are limited because data are obtained from specific patient populations, are simplified to aid ease of use, and do not account for improved treatment modalities that occur over time. Risk estimation allows for shared decision-making among the perioperative care team and the patient, for perioperative planning, and for opportunity for risk mitigation. Technological advancement in data collection will likely improve existing risk assessment and allow development of new options. Future research should focus on establishing and standardizing perioperative outcomes that include meaningful patient-centric considerations such as quality of life. We review available stratification tools and important risk assessment biomarkers that address the most common causes of adverse outcomes.

Myocardial injury after major noncardiac surgery: A secondary analysis of a randomized controlled trial

BACKGROUND

Myocardial injury after noncardiac surgery frequently occurs and may influence survival. The aims of this study were to examine the association between myocardial injury after noncardiac surgery and patient and procedural factors as well as its impact on postoperative clinical outcome.

METHODS

A retrospective analysis was conducted from data collected in adults enrolled in a randomized trial in elective major open abdominal surgery. Preoperative patient characteristics, intraoperative hemodynamic changes, and postoperative adverse events were analyzed, and Kaplan-Meier curves were built for postoperative survival probability. After adjustment for baseline patient and procedural characteristics, the effect of myocardial injury after noncardiac surgery on postoperative outcomes was analyzed in a propensity score matched cohort.

RESULTS

Among 394 patients, myocardial injury after noncardiac surgery was reported in 109 (27.7%) and was associated with a higher cardiovascular risk profile, prolonged surgery (333 ± 111 min vs 295 ± 134 min, P = .010), greater need for transfusions (41.3% vs 19.3%, P < .001), higher incidence of major adverse cardiac events (22.9% vs 6.7%, P < .001), pulmonary complications (31.2% vs 17.9%, P = .004) , acute kidney injury (30.3% vs 18.2%, P = .009), and systemic inflammatory syndrome (28.4% vs 13.0%, P < .001). After propensity score matching, the operative time and the need for blood transfusion remained higher among myocardial injury after noncardiac surgery patients who experienced more frequent major adverse cardiac events and acute kidney injury. In both the entire and matched cohorts, survival up to 30 months after surgery was determined mainly by the presence of cancer.

CONCLUSION

The burden of cardiovascular disease and operative stress surgery is predictive of myocardial injury after noncardiac surgery and, in turn, with a higher incidence of cardiac adverse events, whereas the presence of cancer is associated with poor survival in patients undergoing major open abdominal surgery. Further studies are needed to determine whether myocardial injury after noncardiac surgery can be prevented by better control of the patient's cardiovascular condition and implementation of less invasive of surgical procedures.

Cardiac risk assessment with the Revised Cardiac Risk Index index before elective non-cardiac surgery: A retrospective audit from an Australian tertiary hospital

Clinicians assessing cardiac risk as part of a comprehensive consultation before surgery can use an expanding set of tools, including predictive risk calculators, cardiac stress tests and measuring serum natriuretic peptides. The optimal assessment strategy is unclear, with conflicting international guidelines. We investigated the prognostic accuracy of the Revised Cardiac Risk Index for risk stratification and cardiac outcomes in patients undergoing elective non-cardiac surgery in a contemporary Australian cohort.

We audited the records for 1465 consecutive patients 45 years and older presenting to the perioperative clinic for elective non-cardiac surgery in our tertiary hospital. We calculated individual Revised Cardiac Risk Index scores and documented any use of preoperative cardiac tests. The primary outcome was any major adverse cardiac events within 30 days of surgery, including myocardial infarction, pulmonary oedema, complete heart block or cardiac death.

Myocardial perfusion imaging was the most common preoperative stress test (4.2%, 61/1465). There was no routine investigation of natriuretic peptide levels for cardiac risk assessment before surgery. Major adverse cardiac events occurred in 1.3% (18/1366) of patients who had surgery. The Revised Cardiac Risk Index score had modest prognostic accuracy for major cardiac complications, area under receiver operator curve 0.73, 95% confidence interval 0.60 to 0.86. Stratifying major adverse cardiac events by the Revised Cardiac Risk Index scores 0, 1, 2 and 3 or greater corresponded to event rates of 0.6% (4/683), 0.8% (4/488), 4.1% (6/145) and 8.0% (4/50), respectively.

The Revised Cardiac Risk Index had only modest predictive value in our single-centre experience. Patients with a revised cardiac risk index score of 2 or more had an elevated risk of early cardiac complications after elective non-cardiac surgery.

Diagnosis and Management of Patients With Myocardial Injury After Noncardiac Surgery: A Scientific Statement From the American Heart Association

Myocardial injury after noncardiac surgery is defined by elevated postoperative cardiac troponin concentrations that exceed the 99th percentile of the upper reference limit of the assay and are attributable to a presumed ischemic mechanism, with or without concomitant symptoms or signs. Myocardial injury after noncardiac surgery occurs in ≈20% of patients who have major inpatient surgery, and most are asymptomatic. Myocardial injury after noncardiac surgery is independently and strongly associated with both short-term and long-term mortality, even in the absence of clinical symptoms, electrocardiographic changes, or imaging evidence of myocardial ischemia consistent with myocardial infarction. Consequently, surveillance of myocardial injury after noncardiac surgery is warranted in patients at high risk for perioperative cardiovascular complications. This scientific statement provides diagnostic criteria and reviews the epidemiology, pathophysiology, and prognosis of myocardial injury after noncardiac surgery. This scientific statement also presents surveillance strategies and treatment approaches.

Prediction of acute kidney injury after cardiac surgery from preoperative N-terminal pro-B-type natriuretic peptide

BACKGROUND

Acute kidney injury (AKI) is common after cardiac surgery and is difficult to predict. N-terminal pro-B-type natriuretic peptide (NT-proBNP) is highly predictive for perioperative cardiovascular complications and may also predict renal injury. We therefore tested the hypothesis that preoperative NT-proBNP concentration is associated with renal injury after major cardiac surgery.

METHODS

We included 35 337 patients who had cardiac surgery and measurements of preoperative NT-proBNP and postoperative creatinine. The primary outcome was Kidney Disease: Improving Global Outcomes Stages 1-3 AKI. We also separately considered severe AKI, including Stage 2, Stage 3, and new-onset dialysis.

RESULTS

Postoperative AKI occurred in 11 999 (34.0%) patients. Stage 2 AKI occurred in 1200 (3.4%) patients, Stage 3 AKI in 474 (1.3%) patients, and new-onset dialysis was required in 241 (0.7%) patients. The NT-proBNP concentrations (considered continuously or in quartiles) were significantly correlated with any-stage AKI and severe AKI (all adjusted P<0.01). Including NT-proBNP significantly improved AKI prediction (net reclassification improvement: 0.24 [0.22-0.27]; P<0.001) beyond basic models derived from other baseline factors in the overall population. Reclassification was especially improved for higher grades of renal injury: 0.30 (0.25-0.36) for Stage 2, 0.46 (0.37-0.55) for Stage 3, and 0.47 (0.35-0.60) for dialysis.

CONCLUSIONS

Increased preoperative NT-proBNP concentrations were associated with postoperative AKI in patients having cardiac surgery. Including NT-proBNP substantially improves AKI predictions based on other preoperative factors.

Myocardial Injury after Non-cardiac Surgery - State of the Art

Aproximadamente 300 milhões de cirurgias não cardíacas são realizadas anualmente no mundo, e eventos cardiovasculares adversos são as principais causas de morbimortalidade no período perioperatório e pós-operatório. A lesão miocárdica após cirurgia não cardíaca (MINS, do inglês myocardial injury after non-cardiac surgery) é uma nova entidade clínica associada com desfechos cardiovasculares adversos. MINS é definida como uma lesão miocárdica que pode resultar em necrose secundária à isquemia, com elevação dos biomarcadores. A lesão tem importância prognóstica e ocorre em até 30 dias após a cirurgia não cardíaca. Os critérios diagnósticos para MINS são: níveis elevados de troponina durante ou em até 30 dias após a cirurgia não cardíaca, sem evidência de etiologia não isquêmica, sem que haja necessariamente sintomas isquêmicos ou achados eletrocardiográficos de isquemia. Recentemente, pacientes com maior risco para MINS têm sido identificados por variáveis clínicas e biomarcadores, bem como por protocolos de vigilância quanto ao monitoramento eletrocardiográfico e dosagem de troponina cardíaca. Pacientes idosos com doença aterosclerótica prévia necessitam medir troponina diariamente no período pós-operatório. O objetivo deste trabalho é descrever este novo problema de saúde pública, seu impacto clínico e a abordagem terapêutica contemporânea.

Utilizing the Most Accurate Preoperative Risk Calculator

The most commonly used preoperative assessment tools include the American College of Surgeons National Surgical Quality Improvement Program and the Revised Cardiac Risk Index. These tools seek to predict the risk of an individual experiencing postoperative complications, including but not limited to mortality, myocardial infarction, pneumonia, stroke, venous thromboembolism, and pneumonia. Many published studies have sought to objectively quantify the utility of the preoperative risk calculations by retrospectively compiling data for patients who underwent the same or comparable surgeries to compare actual complications to predicted complications. Therefore, we searched these studies to review the literature to draw more general conclusions and recommend which risk calculator is best for different types of surgeries.

Relative contribution of vitamin D deficiency to subclinical atherosclerosis in Indian context: Preliminary findings

Asian Indians have a genetic predisposition to atherothrombotic risk. common carotid intima-media thickness (CCIMT) measured by ultrasound is a quantitative marker for atherosclerotic burden and a derived variable, that is, "CCIMT statistical Z-score (Z-score)" is useful for better quantification. The association between vitamin D deficiency and atherosclerosis is inconclusive. Since, vitamin D deficiency is highly prevalent in India, there is a need to study its relative contribution to subclinical atherosclerotic burden.This prospective cross-sectional study (n = 117) in apparently healthy individuals aged 20 to 60 years sought to identify the determinants of CCIMT Z score with CCIMT measured by "echo-tracking" method. A multivariable linear regression analysis was done with CCIMT Z score as dependent variable and the following as independent variables: age, body mass index, waist-to-height ratio, total cholesterol to HDL ratio (TC-HDL ratio), serum vitamin D3 levels (ng/mL), sex, diabetes mellitus, current cigarette smoking status. A diagnostic prediction model was also developed with a threshold value of 1.96 for CCIMT Z score.The mean (SD) for calendar age (y) was 40 (8). There were 26 (22.22%) individuals in sample with CCIMT Z score ≥1.96 (advanced stage) of whom 14 (23.33%) were <40 y (n = 60). The mean score was 1.28 (90th percentile) in the entire sample. Vitamin D3 deficiency with a mean (SD) blood level (ng/mL) of 14.3 (6.4) was noted and prevalence of deficiency was 81%. The final model wasCCIMT Z-score = 0.80 +  (0.841 × current smoking = 1) + (0.156 × TC-HDL ratio) - (0.0263 × vitamin D3 blood level in ng/mL).The decreasing order of association is smoking, TC-HDL ratio, and vitamin D3. With the model, likelihood ratio (95% CIs) was better for positive test 3.5 (1.23-9.94) than that for a negative test 0.83 (0.66-1.02).Internal validation with Bootstrap resampling revealed stability of baseline diagnostic variables.There is substantial subclinical atherosclerotic burden in Indian setting with independent contribution by vitamin D deficiency. The model is valuable in "ruling-in" of the underlying advanced atherosclerosis. The study is limited by convenient sampling and lack of external validation of the model.

Adherence to the European Society of Cardiology/European Society of Anaesthesiology recommendations on preoperative cardiac testing and association with positive results and cardiac events: a cohort study

BACKGROUND

European Society of Cardiology/European Society of Anaesthesiology (ESC/ESA) guidelines inform cardiac workup before noncardiac surgery based on an algorithm. Our primary hypotheses were that there would be associations between (i) the groups stratified according to the algorithms and major adverse cardiac events (MACE), and (ii) over- and underuse of cardiac testing and MACE.

METHODS

This is a secondary analysis of a multicentre prospective cohort. Major adverse cardiac events were a composite of cardiac death, myocardial infarction, acute heart failure, and life-threatening arrhythmia at 30 days. For each cardiac test, pathological findings were defined a priori. We used multivariable logistic regression to measure associations.

RESULTS

We registered 359 MACE at 30 days amongst 6976 patients; classification in a higher-risk group using the ESC/ESA algorithm was associated with 30-day MACE; however, discrimination of the ESC/ESA algorithms for 30-day MACE was modest; area under the curve 0.64 (95% confidence interval: 0.61-0.67). After adjustment for sex, age, and ASA physical status, discrimination was 0.72 (0.70-0.75). Overuse or underuse of cardiac tests were not consistently associated with MACE. There was no independent association between test recommendation class and pathological findings (P=0.14 for stress imaging; P=0.35 for transthoracic echocardiography; P=0.52 for coronary angiography).

CONCLUSIONS

Discrimination for MACE using the ESC/ESA guidelines algorithms was limited. Overuse or underuse of cardiac tests was not consistently associated with cardiovascular events. The recommendation class of preoperative cardiac tests did not influence their yield.

CLINICAL TRIAL REGISTRATION

NCT02573532.

Prognostic Value of B-Type Natriuretic Peptide in Liver Transplant Patients: Implication in Posttransplant Mortality

BACKGROUND AND AIMS

Despite frequent cirrhotic cardiomyopathy or subclinical heart failure (HF), the prognostic value of peri-liver transplant (LT) B-type natriuretic peptide (BNP) has been poorly studied in advanced liver disease. We examined the association between BNP and mortality in a large cohort of LT patients and identified risk factors for peri-LT BNP increase.

APPROACH AND RESULTS

Using prospectively collected data from the Asan LT Registry between 2008 and 2019, 3,811 patients who measured serial pretransplant BNP (preBNP) and peak BNP levels within the first 3 posttransplant days (postBNP_POD3 ) were analyzed. Thirty-day all-cause mortality predicted by adding preBNP and/or postBNP_POD3 to the traditional Revised Cardiac Risk Index (RCRI) was evaluated. PreBNP > 400 pg/mL (known cutoff of acute HF) was found in 298 (7.8%); however, postBNP_POD3  > 400 pg/mL was identified in 961 (25.2%) patients, specifically in 40.4% (531/1,315) of those with a Model for End-Liver Disease score (MELDs) > 20. Strong predictors of postBNP_POD3  > 400 pg/mL were preBNP, hyponatremia, and MELDs, whereas those of preBNP > 400 pg/mL were MELDs, kidney failure, and respiratory failure. Among 100 (2.6%) post-LT patients who died within 30 days, patients with postBNP_POD3  ≤ 150 pg/mL (43.1%, reference group), 150-400 pg/mL (31.7%), 400-1,000 pg/mL (18.5%), 1,000-2,000 pg/mL (4.7%), and >2,000 pg/mL (2.0%) had 30-day mortalities of 0.9%, 2.2%, 4.0%, 7.7%, and 22.4%, respectively. Adding preBNP, postBNP_POD3 , and both BNP to RCRI improved net reclassification index to 22.5%, 29.5%, and 33.1% of 30-day mortality, respectively.

CONCLUSIONS

PostBNP_POD3  > 400 pg/mL after LT was markedly prevalent in advanced liver disease and mainly linked to elevated preBNP. Routine monitoring of peri-LT BNP provides incremental prognostic information; therefore, it could help risk stratification for mortality as a practical and useful biomarker in LT.

Expert consensus on peri-operative myocardial injury screening in noncardiac surgery: A literature review

Peri-operative myocardial injury, detected by dynamic and elevated cardiac troponin (cTn) concentrations, is a common complication of noncardiac surgery that is strongly associated with 30-day mortality. Although active screening for peri-operative myocardial injury has been suggested in recent guidelines, clinical implementation remains tentative due to a lack of examples on how to tackle such an interdisciplinary project at a local level. Moreover, consensus on which assay and cTn cut-off values should be used has not yet been reached, and guidance on whom to screen is lacking. In this article, we aim to summarise local examples of successfully implemented cTn screening practices and review the current literature in order to provide information and suggestions for patient selection, organisation of a screening programme, caveats and a potential management pathway.

Limited Predictive Role of the Revised Cardiac Risk Index in Kidney Transplant: Single Center Evaluation and Comparison With International Literature

Perioperative risk factors predicting major cardiovascular events (MACE) and the performance of the Revised Cardiac Risk Index (RCRI) in a retrospective cohort of 325 consecutive adult patients undergoing kidney transplant from deceased donor grafts were assessed. Primary outcome was a composite of MACE up to 30 days post-transplant. Incidence of MACE was 5.8% at 30 days. Overall proportion of patients with RCRI ≥ 4 was 5%, but was higher (28%) among those who developed MACE. Patients with RCRI ≥ 4 had lower survival free of MACE compared to those with RCRI < 4 (P <0.001); however, in multivariable analysis, RCRI was not a predictor of cardiovascular events. The RCRI demonstrated poor discrimination to predict MACE at 30 days [area under the curve 0.64 (95% CI 0.49-0.78)]. Revised Cardiac Risk Index was not associated with reduced MACE-free survival adjusted analysis and its predictive ability was poor.