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Reynolds SD, Franklin CE, Norman BM, Richardson AJ, Everett JD, Schoeman DS, White CR, Lawson CL, Pierce SJ, Rohner CA, Bach SS, Comezzi FG, Diamant S, Jaidah MY, Robinson DP, Dwyer RG. Effects of climate warming on energetics and habitat of the world's largest marine ectotherm. THE SCIENCE OF THE TOTAL ENVIRONMENT 2024; 951:175832. [PMID: 39197762 DOI: 10.1016/j.scitotenv.2024.175832] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 02/15/2024] [Revised: 08/23/2024] [Accepted: 08/25/2024] [Indexed: 09/01/2024]
Abstract
Responses of organisms to climate warming are variable and complex. Effects on species distributions are already evident and mean global surface ocean temperatures are likely to warm by up to 4.1 °C by 2100, substantially impacting the physiology and distributions of ectotherms. The largest marine ectotherm, the whale shark Rhincodon typus, broadly prefers sea surface temperatures (SST) ranging from 23 to 30 °C. Whole-species distribution models have projected a poleward range shift under future scenarios of climate change, but these models do not consider intraspecific variation or phenotypic plasticity in thermal limits when modelling species responses, and the impact of climate warming on the energetic requirements of whale sharks is unknown. Using a dataset of 111 whale shark movement tracks from aggregation sites in five countries across the Indian Ocean and the latest Earth-system modelling produced from Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 6 for the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, we examined how SST and total zooplankton biomass, their main food source, may change in the future, and what this means for the energetic balance and extent of suitable habitat for whale sharks. Earth System Models, under three Shared Socioeconomic Pathways (SSPs; SSP1-2.6, SSP3-7.0 and SSP5-8.5), project that by 2100 mean SST in four regions where whale shark aggregations are found will increase by up to 4.9 °C relative to the present, while zooplankton biomass will decrease. This reduction in zooplankton is projected to be accompanied by an increase in the energetic requirements of whale sharks because warmer water temperatures will increase their metabolic rate. We found marked differences in projected changes in the extent of suitable habitat when comparing a whole-species distribution model to one including regional variation. This suggests that the conventional approach of combining data from different regions within a species' distribution could underestimate the amount of local adaptation in populations, although parameterising local models could also suffer from having insufficient data and lead to model mis-specification or highly uncertain estimates. Our study highlights the need for further research into whale shark thermal tolerances and energetics, the complexities involved in projecting species responses to climate change, and the potential importance of considering intraspecific variation when building species distribution models.
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Affiliation(s)
- Samantha D Reynolds
- School of the Environment, The University of Queensland, Brisbane, QLD, Australia; ECOCEAN Inc., 162/3 Powell Rd, Coogee, WA, Australia; Harry Butler Institute, Murdoch University, Murdoch, WA, Australia.
| | - Craig E Franklin
- School of the Environment, The University of Queensland, Brisbane, QLD, Australia
| | - Bradley M Norman
- ECOCEAN Inc., 162/3 Powell Rd, Coogee, WA, Australia; Harry Butler Institute, Murdoch University, Murdoch, WA, Australia
| | - Anthony J Richardson
- School of the Environment, The University of Queensland, Brisbane, QLD, Australia; Centre for Biodiversity and Conservation Science (CBCS), The University of Queensland, Brisbane, QLD, Australia; CSIRO Environment, Queensland Biosciences Precinct, St Lucia, QLD, AUSTRALIA
| | - Jason D Everett
- School of the Environment, The University of Queensland, Brisbane, QLD, Australia; CSIRO Environment, Queensland Biosciences Precinct, St Lucia, QLD, AUSTRALIA; Centre for Marine Science and Innovation, University of New South Wales, Sydney, NSW, Australia
| | - David S Schoeman
- Ocean Futures Research Cluster, School of Science, Technology, and Engineering, University of the Sunshine Coast, Maroochydore, QLD, Australia; Centre for African Conservation Ecology, Department of Zoology, Nelson Mandela University, Gqeberha, South Africa
| | - Craig R White
- School of Biological Sciences and Centre for Geometric Biology, Monash University, Clayton, VIC, Australia
| | - Christopher L Lawson
- School of the Environment, The University of Queensland, Brisbane, QLD, Australia
| | - Simon J Pierce
- Marine Megafauna Foundation, West Palm Beach, FL, USA; School of Science, Technology and Engineering, The University of the Sunshine Coast, Sippy Downs, QLD, Australia
| | | | - Steffen S Bach
- Ramboll, Copenhagen, Denmark; Qatar Whale Shark Research Project, Doha, Qatar
| | - Francesco G Comezzi
- Department of Natural Resources and Environment Tasmania, Marine Resources, Hobart, Tasmania, Australia
| | - Stella Diamant
- Marine Megafauna Foundation, West Palm Beach, FL, USA; Madagascar Whale Shark Project, Nosy Be, Madagascar
| | | | - David P Robinson
- Qatar Whale Shark Research Project, Doha, Qatar; Sundive Research, Byron Bay, New South Wales, Australia
| | - Ross G Dwyer
- School of Science, Technology and Engineering, The University of the Sunshine Coast, Sippy Downs, QLD, Australia
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Lubitz N, Bradley M, Sheaves M, Hammerschlag N, Daly R, Barnett A. The role of context in elucidating drivers of animal movement. Ecol Evol 2022; 12:e9128. [PMID: 35898421 PMCID: PMC9309038 DOI: 10.1002/ece3.9128] [Citation(s) in RCA: 8] [Impact Index Per Article: 2.7] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 01/30/2022] [Revised: 05/10/2022] [Accepted: 07/01/2022] [Indexed: 11/26/2022] Open
Abstract
Despite its consequences for ecological processes and population dynamics, intra-specific variability is frequently overlooked in animal movement studies. Consequently, the necessary resolution to reveal drivers of individual movement decisions is often lost as animal movement data are aggregated to infer average or population patterns. Thus, an empirical understanding of why a given movement pattern occurs remains patchy for many taxa, especially in marine systems. Nonetheless, movement is often rationalized as being driven by basic life history requirements, such as acquiring energy (feeding), reproduction, predator-avoidance, and remaining in suitable environmental conditions. However, these life history requirements are central to every individual within a species and thus do not sufficiently account for the high intra-specific variability in movement behavior and hence fail to fully explain the occurrence of multiple movement strategies within a species. Animal movement appears highly context dependent as, for example, within the same location, the behavior of both resident and migratory individuals is driven by life history requirements, such as feeding or reproduction, however different movement strategies are utilized to fulfill them. A systematic taxa-wide approach that, instead of averaging population patterns, incorporates and utilizes intra-specific variability to enable predictions as to which movement patterns can be expected under a certain context, is needed. Here, we use intra-specific variability in elasmobranchs as a case study to introduce a stepwise approach for studying animal movement drivers that is based on a context-dependence framework. We examine relevant literature to illustrate how this context-focused approach can aid in reliably identifying drivers of a specific movement pattern. Ultimately, incorporating behavioral variability in the study of movement drivers can assist in making predictions about behavioral responses to environmental change, overcoming tagging biases, and establishing more efficient conservation measures.
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Affiliation(s)
- Nicolas Lubitz
- College of Science and EngineeringJames Cook UniversityTownsvilleQueenslandAustralia
| | - Michael Bradley
- Marine Data Technology HubCollege of Science and EngineeringJames Cook UniversityTownsvilleQueenslandAustralia
| | - Marcus Sheaves
- Marine Data Technology HubCollege of Science and EngineeringJames Cook UniversityTownsvilleQueenslandAustralia
| | - Neil Hammerschlag
- Rosenstiel School of Marine and Atmospheric ScienceUniversity of MiamiMiamiFloridaUSA
| | - Ryan Daly
- Oceanographic Research InstituteDurbanSouth Africa
- South African Institute for Aquatic Biodiversity (SAIAB)MakhandaSouth Africa
| | - Adam Barnett
- Marine Data Technology HubCollege of Science and EngineeringJames Cook UniversityTownsvilleQueenslandAustralia
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Harvey-Carroll J, Stewart JD, Carroll D, Mohamed B, Shameel I, Zareer IH, Araujo G, Rees R. The impact of injury on apparent survival of whale sharks (Rhincodon typus) in South Ari Atoll Marine Protected Area, Maldives. Sci Rep 2021; 11:937. [PMID: 33441580 PMCID: PMC7806644 DOI: 10.1038/s41598-020-79101-8] [Citation(s) in RCA: 7] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.8] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 07/06/2020] [Accepted: 12/04/2020] [Indexed: 01/29/2023] Open
Abstract
The whale shark (Rhincodon typus) is an endangered species with a declining global population. The South Ari Atoll Marine Protected Area (SAMPA), Maldives, is one of few locations globally where year-long residency of individuals occurs. This SAMPA aggregation appears to consist almost exclusively of immature males. Due to its year-round residency, this local aggregation is subjected to a high degree of tourism pressure. This ecotourism contributes to the high level of interest and protection offered to whale sharks by the local community. Unfortunately, if regulations are not followed or enforced, tourism can bring with it major stressors, such as accidental injuries. We used POPAN capture-mark-recapture models and lagged identification rate analysis to assess the effect of major injuries on whale shark residency within SAMPA. Injuries may be obtained outside SAMPA. We found individuals with major injuries had a higher apparent survival in the area than those without. Lagged identification rates also demonstrated that sharks with major injuries are more likely to return to the area. We suggest that major injuries result in sharks prolonging their time in the developmental habitat. These findings have implications for individual fitness and the population viability of this endangered species. We propose targeted conservation strategies be considered to protect sharks from further injury. Based on the presented spatio-temporal distributions of sharks, and current local knowledge of sighting patterns, speed limit zones and propeller-exclusion zones should be implemented and enforced. If carried out alongside tourist education, these measures will contribute to the protection of whale sharks within SAMPA and beyond. Furthermore, our results can aid research direction, alongside regulation and enforcement development, at similar sites worldwide.
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Affiliation(s)
- Jessica Harvey-Carroll
- Maldives Whale Shark Research Programme (MWSRP), South Ari Atoll, Maldives ,grid.11914.3c0000 0001 0721 1626School of Psychology and Neuroscience, University of St Andrews, St Andrews, UK
| | | | - Daire Carroll
- Maldives Whale Shark Research Programme (MWSRP), South Ari Atoll, Maldives ,grid.43641.340000 0001 1014 6626The James Hutton Institute, Dundee, UK ,grid.7372.10000 0000 8809 1613The University of Warwick, School of Life Science, Coventry, UK
| | - Basith Mohamed
- Maldives Whale Shark Research Programme (MWSRP), South Ari Atoll, Maldives
| | - Ibrahim Shameel
- Maldives Whale Shark Research Programme (MWSRP), South Ari Atoll, Maldives
| | | | - Gonzalo Araujo
- Large Marine Vertebrates Research Institute Philippines, Cagulada Compound, 6308 Jagna, Bohol Philippines
| | - Richard Rees
- Maldives Whale Shark Research Programme (MWSRP), South Ari Atoll, Maldives
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Valsecchi S, Lanfredi C, Azzellino A, Savini A, Bracchi VA, Marchese F, Hancock J, Rees R, Cánovas Pérez C. Analysis of the temporal and spatial variability of whale shark ( Rhincodon typus) aggregation in the South Ari Marine Protected Area, Maldives, Indian Ocean. THE EUROPEAN ZOOLOGICAL JOURNAL 2021. [DOI: 10.1080/24750263.2021.1922523] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 10/21/2022] Open
Affiliation(s)
- S. Valsecchi
- Department of Earth and Environmental Sciences (DISAT), University of Milano Bicocca, Milano, Italy
| | | | - A. Azzellino
- Milan DICA Civil and Environmental Engineering Department, Politecnico di Milano University of Technology, Milano, Italy
| | - A. Savini
- Department of Earth and Environmental Sciences (DISAT), University of Milano Bicocca, Milano, Italy
| | - V. A. Bracchi
- Department of Earth and Environmental Sciences (DISAT), University of Milano Bicocca, Milano, Italy
| | - F. Marchese
- Habitat and Benthic Biodiversity Laboratory, Red Sea Research Center, King Abdullah University of Science and Technology (KAUST), Thuwal, Saudi Arabia
| | - J. Hancock
- Maldives Whale Shark Research Programme (MWSRP), South Ari Atoll, Maldives
| | - R. Rees
- Maldives Whale Shark Research Programme (MWSRP), South Ari Atoll, Maldives
| | - C. Cánovas Pérez
- Maldives Whale Shark Research Programme (MWSRP), South Ari Atoll, Maldives
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Petatán-Ramírez D, Whitehead DA, Guerrero-Izquierdo T, Ojeda-Ruiz MA, Becerril-García EE. Habitat suitability of Rhincodon typus in three localities of the Gulf of California: Environmental drivers of seasonal aggregations. JOURNAL OF FISH BIOLOGY 2020; 97:1177-1186. [PMID: 32794219 DOI: 10.1111/jfb.14496] [Citation(s) in RCA: 1] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.2] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 05/21/2020] [Revised: 07/28/2020] [Accepted: 08/12/2020] [Indexed: 06/11/2023]
Abstract
The whale shark is an endangered species that usually feeds in coastal areas of highly productive seas such as the Gulf of California, Mexico. This study aims to describe the effect of sea surface temperature, chlorophyll a, bathymetry and slope on the habitat suitability of whale sharks in three important aggregation sites of the Gulf of California. A total of 2396 records of occurrence of whale sharks were obtained from international databases and scientific literature between 1996 and 2018. These records were used for the creation of a species distribution model using MaxEnt for each of the three aggregation sites. The concentration of chlorophyll a explained 71% of the habitat suitability, followed by bathymetry and slope with a combined 17%, and sea surface temperature constituting 10% of the model. Habitat suitability was related to areas where nontargeted fisheries may impact whale sharks through bycatch, entanglement and ship strikes. The implications for the conservation of whale sharks should be considered for management decisions in terms of marine protected areas, fishing refugees or bans, and other regulations regarding fisheries activities.
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Affiliation(s)
| | - Darren A Whitehead
- Instituto Politécnico Nacional, Centro Interdisciplinario de Ciencias Marinas, La Paz, Mexico
- Pelagios Kakunjá A.C., La Paz, Mexico
| | | | | | - Edgar E Becerril-García
- Instituto Politécnico Nacional, Centro Interdisciplinario de Ciencias Marinas, La Paz, Mexico
- Pelagios Kakunjá A.C., La Paz, Mexico
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Armstrong AJ, Armstrong AO, McGregor F, Richardson AJ, Bennett MB, Townsend KA, Hays GC, van Keulen M, Smith J, Dudgeon CL. Satellite Tagging and Photographic Identification Reveal Connectivity Between Two UNESCO World Heritage Areas for Reef Manta Rays. FRONTIERS IN MARINE SCIENCE 2020; 7. [PMID: 0 DOI: 10.3389/fmars.2020.00725] [Citation(s) in RCA: 4] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.8] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 05/23/2023]
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Development Trends and Frontiers of Ocean Big Data Research Based on CiteSpace. WATER 2020. [DOI: 10.3390/w12061560] [Citation(s) in RCA: 8] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.6] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 12/31/2022]
Abstract
Modern socio-economic development and climate prediction depend greatly on the application of ocean big data. With the accelerated development of ocean observation methods and the continuous improvement of the big data science, the challenges of multiple data sources and data diversity have emerged in the ocean field. As a result, the current data magnitude has reached the terabyte scale. Currently, the traditional theoretical foundation and technical methods have their inherent limitations and demerits that cannot satisfied the temporal and spatial attributes of the current ocean big data. Numerous scholars and countries were involved in ocean big data research. To explore the focus and current status, and determine the topics of research on bursts and acquisition of trend related to ocean big data, 400 articles between 1990 and 2019 were collected from the “Web of Science.” Combined with visualization software CiteSpace, bibliometrics method and literature combing technology, the pivotal literature related to ocean big data, including significant level countries, institutions, authors, journals and keywords were recognized. A synthetical analysis has revealed research hot spots and research frontiers. The purpose of this study is to provide researchers and practitioners in the field of ocean big data with the main research domains and research hotspots, and orientation for further research.
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Báez JC, Barbosa AM, Pascual P, Ramos ML, Abascal F. Ensemble modeling of the potential distribution of the whale shark in the Atlantic Ocean. Ecol Evol 2020; 10:175-184. [PMID: 31988721 PMCID: PMC6972796 DOI: 10.1002/ece3.5884] [Citation(s) in RCA: 7] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.4] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 07/24/2019] [Revised: 10/11/2019] [Accepted: 11/10/2019] [Indexed: 11/22/2022] Open
Abstract
The whale shark (Rhincodon typus) is an endangered marine fish species which can be adversely affected by the fishing activities of the industrial purse seine fleet targeting tropical tuna. Tuna tend to aggregate around all types of floating objects, including whale sharks. We analyzed and modeled the spatial distribution and environmental preferences of whale sharks based on the presence and absence data from fishing observations in the Atlantic Ocean. We used a thorough multialgorithm analysis, based on a new presence-absence dataset, and endeavored to follow the most recent recommendations on best practices in species distribution modeling. First, we selected a subset of relevant variables using a generalized linear model that addressed multicollinearity, statistical errors, and information criteria. We then used the selected variables to build a model ensemble including 19 different algorithms. After eliminating models with insufficient performance, we assessed the potential distribution of whale sharks using the mean of the predictions of the selected models. We also assessed the variance among the predictions of different algorithms, in order to identify areas with the highest model consensus. The results show that several coastal regions and warm shallow currents, such as the Gulf Stream and the Canary and Benguela currents, are the most suitable areas for whale sharks under current environmental conditions. Future environmental projections for the Atlantic Ocean suggest that some of the suitable regions will shift northward, but current concentration areas will continue to be suitable for whale shark, although with less productivity, which could have negative consequences for conservation of the species. We discuss the implications of these predictions for the conservation and management of this charismatic marine species.
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Affiliation(s)
- José C. Báez
- Instituto Español de OceanografíaCentro Oceanográfico de MálagaFuengirolaMálagaSpain
- Facultad de Ciencias de la SaludUniversidad Autónoma de ChileSantiago de ChileChile
| | - Ana Márcia Barbosa
- Faculdade de CiênciasCICGE ‐ Centro de Investigação em Ciências Geo‐EspaciaisObservatório Astronómico Prof. Manuel de BarrosUniversidade do PortoVila Nova de GaiaPortugal
| | - Pedro Pascual
- Instituto Español de OceanografíaCentro Oceanográfico de CanariasSanta Cruz de TenerifeSpain
| | - María Lourdes Ramos
- Instituto Español de OceanografíaCentro Oceanográfico de CanariasSanta Cruz de TenerifeSpain
| | - Francisco Abascal
- Instituto Español de OceanografíaCentro Oceanográfico de CanariasSanta Cruz de TenerifeSpain
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