Implications of Alternative Hepatorenal Prognostic Scoring Systems in Acute Heart Failure (from DOSE-AHF and ROSE-AHF)

Implication of modified MELD scores for postdischarge prognosis in hospitalized patients with heart failure

We evaluated whether modified Model for End-Stage Liver Disease (MELD) scores are useful for predicting the postdischarge prognosis in hospitalized patients with heart failure (HF) who are discharged alive. The MELD-XI and MELD-Na scores were calculated at discharge for a total of 1156 patients in the HIJ-HF II study. We also studied 3 groups on the basis of the left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF): the HFrEF (LVEF < 40%), HFmrEF (LVEF 40-49%) and HFpEF (LVEF ≥ 50%) groups. The primary outcome was all-cause mortality, and the secondary outcome was rehospitalization due to worsening HF. The median MELD-XI and MELD-Na scores were 12 and 14, respectively. After a median follow-up of 19 months, there were significantly higher rates of all-cause mortality in patients with MELD-XI scores ≥ 12 than in those with MELD-XI scores < 12; there were also higher rates of all-cause mortality in patients with MELD-Na scores ≥ 14 than in those with MELD-Na scores < 14 (both log-rank p < 0.001). The cumulative incidence function based on a competing risks model showed a higher rate of rehospitalization due to worsening HF in patients with MELD-XI scores ≥ 12 than in those with MELD-XI scores < 12 and a higher rate of rehospitalization due to worsening HF in those with MELD-Na scores ≥ 14 than in those with MELD-Na scores < 14 (both Gray's test p < 0.001). The adjusted hazard ratios (HRs) of all-cause mortality for patients with MELD-XI scores ≥ 12 and those with MELD-Na scores ≥ 14 were 2.07 [95% confidence interval (CI) 1.25-3.44] and 2.79 [95% CI 1.63-4.79], respectively, in the HFrEF group; however, the HRs were not significant in the HFmrEF or HFpEF groups. Thus, MELD-XI and MELD-Na scores may be useful for predicting prognosis in hospitalized HF patients who are discharged alive, especially for those in the HFrEF group.

Prognostic impact of the coexistence of hepato-renal dysfunction and frailty in patients with heart failure

BACKGROUND

Complex multi-organ interactions such as coexistence of hepato-renal dysfunction in heart failure (HF) adversely affects patient prognosis. However, the association between liver/kidney dysfunction and frailty and effects of their coexistence on HF prognosis remain unclear.

METHODS

This retrospective cohort study included 922 patients with HF (median age, 72 years; interquartile range: 62-79 years). All patients underwent hepato-renal function testing using the model for end-stage liver disease, excluding international normalized ratio (MELD-XI) score and frailty score. Frailty was measured using a composite of four markers: handgrip strength, gait speed, serum albumin, and activities of daily living status, combined into a total frailty score (range 0-12). Patients were assigned to a frailty score <5 (without frailty) or ≥5 (frailty) group. The multivariable logistic regression model was used to analyze the association between MELD-XI score and frailty; the prognostic value of high MELD-XI score and frailty coexistence was investigated. The endpoint was all-cause mortality.

RESULTS

After adjusting for covariates and dividing by the median MELD-XI score, the high MELD-XI score group [odds ratio: 1.663, 95 % confidence interval (CI): 1.200-2.304, p = 0.002] was significantly associated with frailty, compared with the low MELD-XI score group. One hundred and fifty deaths occurred during follow-up (median, 2.13 years; interquartile range, 0.93-4.09 years). Patients in the high MELD-XI score/frailty group had a significantly higher mortality risk, even after adjusting for HF severity (hazard ratio: 4.326, 95 % CI: 2.527-7.403, p < 0.001).

CONCLUSIONS

Hepato-renal dysfunction is associated with frailty in patients with HF, which affects patient prognosis.

BRIEF SUMMARY

This study showed that hepato-renal dysfunction in patients with HF, as assessed by the model for end-stage liver disease excluding international normalized ratio (MELD-XI) score, is associated with frailty, even after adjusting for factors involved in the frailty or severity of HF. Additionally, high MELD-XI score combined with frailty is associated with a poorer prognosis. These results suggest that hepato-renal dysfunction and frailty can be used for risk stratification in patients with HF.

Prognostic impact of albumin-bilirubin score on the prediction of in-hospital mortality in patients with heart failure: a retrospective cohort study

OBJECTIVES

Liver dysfunction is prevalent in patients with heart failure (HF) and can lead to poor prognosis. The albumin-bilirubin (ALBI) score is considered as an effective and convenient scoring system for assessing liver function. We analysed the correlation between ALBI and in-hospital mortality in patients with HF.

DESIGN

A retrospective cohort study.

SETTING AND PARTICIPANTS

A total of 9749 patients with HF (from January 2013 to December 2018) was enrolled and retrospectively analysed.

MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES

The main outcome is in-hospital mortality.

RESULTS

ALBI score was calculated using the formula (log₁₀ bilirubin [umol/L] * 0.66) + (albumin [g/L] * -0.085), and analysed as a continuous variable as well as according to three categories. Following adjustment for multivariate analysis, patients which occurred in-hospital death was remarkably elevated in tertile 3 group (ALBI ≥2.27) (OR 1.671, 95% CI 1.228 to 2.274, p=0.001), relative to the other two groups (tertile 1: ≤2.59; tertile 2: -2.59 to -2.27). Considering ALBI score as a continuous variable, the in-hospital mortality among patients with HF increased by 8.2% for every 0.1-point increase in ALBI score (OR 1.082; 95% CI 1.052 to 1.114; p<0.001). The ALBI score for predicting in-hospital mortality under C-statistic was 0.650 (95% CI 0.641 to 0.660, p<0.001) and the cut-off value of ALBI score was -2.32 with a specificity of 0.630 and a sensitivity of 0.632. Moreover, ALBI score can enhance the predictive potential of NT-pro-BNP (NT-pro-BNP +ALBI vs NT-pro-BNP: C-statistic: z=1.990, p=0.0467; net reclassification improvement=0.4012, p<0.001; integrated discrimination improvement=0.0082, p<0.001).

CONCLUSIONS

In patients with HF, the ALBI score was an independent prognosticator of in-hospital mortality. The predictive significance of NT-proBNP +ALBI score was superior to NT-proBNP, and ALBI score can enhance the predictive potential of NT-proBNP.

Thinking fast and slow: Lactate and MELD-XI (Model for End-Stage Liver Disease Excluding INR) are useful for estimating mortality after cardiopulmonary resuscitation

BACKGROUND

Intensivists keep getting challenged with prognostication after cardiopulmonary resuscitation (CPR). The model for end-stage liver disease, excluding INR (MELD-XI) score has proven valuable for assessing illness severity. Serum lactate is a readily available and established indicator of general stress and tissue hypoxia. We aimed to evaluate the prognostic value of MELD-XI combined with serum lactate in patients after CPR.

METHODS

A retrospective analysis on 106 patients after CPR was performed. Multivariable Cox regression was performed to evaluate associations with 30-day mortality and neurological outcome by means of Cerebral Performance Category (CPC). An optimal cut-off was calculated by means of the Youden index. Patients were then divided into subgroups based on the optimal cut-offs for MELD-XI and serum lactate.

RESULTS

MELD-XI and lactate were independently associated with mortality. The respective cut-offs were MELD-XI >12 and lactate ≥2.5 mmol/L. Patients were split into three groups: lactate <2.5 mmol/L and MELD-XI ≤12 (low-risk; n=32), lactate ≥2.5 mmol/L or MELD-XI >12 (medium-risk; n=39), and lactate ≥ 2.5mmol/L and MELD-XI >12 (high-risk; n=33). The mortality rates were 6%, 26% and 61% in the low, medium and high-risk group. This combined model yielded in the highest predictive abilities (AUC 0.78 95%CI 0.68-0.85; p=0.03 vs. AUC 0.66 for SOFA score). Worse neurological outcome (CPC 3 or 4) was more common in the medium and high-risk group (6.25%, 10.3% and 9.1%).

CONCLUSIONS

The combination of MELD-XI and lactate concentration at ICU admission was superior to the more complex SOFA score for prediction of mortality after CPR.

Prognostic value of the modified model for end-stage liver disease (MELD) score including albumin in acute heart failure

Background

Liver and renal function evaluated by the model for end-stage liver disease (MELD) score, the MELD excluding the international normalized ratio (MELD_XI) score and the MELD including sodium (MELD_sodium) score have been considered predictors of adverse events for patients with acute heart failure (AHF). However, the prognostic value of the MELD including albumin (MELD_albumin) score in patients with AHF has not been assessed.

Methods

A total of 466 patients with AHF were prospectively evaluated. We compared the accuracy of the 4 MELD score formulas using the time-dependent receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve and corresponding areas under the curve (AUC).

Results

During a median follow-up period of 34 months, 196 deaths occurred. In the fully adjusted Cox regression model, standardized hazard ratios with 95% confidence interval expressing the risk of all-cause mortality were 1.22 (1.06–1.40), 1.20 (1.04–1.39), 1.23 (1.06–1.42) and 1.21 (1.05–1.41) for MELD, MELD_XI, MELD_sodium and MELD_albumin scores, respectively. The MELD_albumin score showed the best prognostic accuracy (AUC = 0.658) for the prediction of long-term all-cause mortality, followed by the MELD_sodium score (AUC = 0.590), the MELD score (AUC = 0.580), and the MELD_XI score (AUC = 0.544); the MELD_albumin score performs significantly more accurate than MELD and MELD_XI score for predicting the risk of all-cause mortality. Considering reclassification, MELD_albumin score increased the net reclassification improvement over and beyond MELD (13.1%, P = 0.003), MELD_XI (14.8%, P = 0.002), and MELD_sodium (11.9%, P = 0.006) scores for all-cause mortality.

Conclusions

The MELD_albumin score increases risk stratification of all-cause mortality over and beyond the MELD score and the other modified MELD scores in patients with acute heart failure.

Prognostic Value of N-Terminal Pro-B-Type Natriuretic Peptide and Glomerular Filtration Rate in Patients With Acute Heart Failure

Aims: To investigate the relationship between N-terminal pro-B-type natriuretic peptide (NT-proBNP), Glomerular Filtration Rate (GFR), and outcomes in patients hospitalized with acute heart failure (AHF). Methods: The trial was registered at http://www.chictr.org/cn/. (ChiCTR - ONC - 12001944). A total of 493 patients hospitalized for AHF in cardiology department of the First Affiliated Hospital of Nanjing Medical University from March 2012 to October 2016 were enrolled into registry. The end event was the occurrence of all-cause death within an 18-month follow-up. The data collected from the participants in admission were used to calculate the GFR by chronic kidney disease epidemiology collaboration equation (CKD-EPI) and performed the according statistical analysis. Results: There were 74 participants (13.8%) dropped out and 91 (21.7%) passed away within the 18-month follow up. Comparison of clinical indicators between survival and death group were analyzed for the long-term prognosis of patients with AHF. In the single factor analysis, both NT-proBNP and GFR were statistically significant (P < 0.001). Combined NT-proBNP and GFR in multi-factor COX regression analysis showed significant predictive value (P < 0.001). In receiver operator characteristics (ROC) analyses, the area under the curves (AUC) for NT-proBNP was 0.648 [95%CI: 0.598-0.695, P < 0.001] and for GFR was 0.677 [95%CI: 0.627-0.723, P < 0.001]. According to the Youden index, the best prediction point of NT-proBNP was 2,137 pg/ml and GFR was 61.7 ml/(min·1.73 m2). After using the Binary Logistic Regression to combine the two indicators, the AUC was 0.711, which was significantly compared to the AUC of either single factor. The sensitivity of the combined indicators were 0.535, the specificity were 0.853. According to the cut-off point, these two indexes were separated into four groups for further analysis by Kaplan-Meier survival curve comparison (log-rank test), which showed that patients in the group with higher NT-proBNP and lower GFR had the worst prognosis. Conclusions: In patients with NT-proBNP > 2,137 pg/ml and GFR < 61.7 ml/(min·1.73 m2), the risk of death was significantly higher. The combination of GFR and NT-proBNP improved the predictive value for the long-term prognosis of AHF patients.

Clinical and Prognostic Values of ALBI Score in Patients With Acute Heart Failure

BACKGROUND

Although liver dysfunction is one of the common complications in patients with acute heart failure (AHF), no integrated marker has been defined. The albumin-bilirubin (ALBI) score has recently been proposed as a novel, clinically-applicable scoring system for liver dysfunction. We investigated the utility of the ALBI score in patients with AHF compared to that for a preexisting liver dysfunction score, the Model of End-Stage Liver Disease Excluding prothrombin time (MELD XI) score.

METHODS

We evaluated ALBI and MELD XI scores in 1,190 AHF patients enrolled in the prospective, multicentre Registry Focused on Very Early Presentation and Treatment in Emergency Department of Acute Heart Failure study. The associations between the two scores and the clinical profile and prognostic predictive ability for 1-year mortality were evaluated.

RESULTS

The mean MELD XI and ALBI scores were 13.4±4.8 and -2.25±0.48, respectively. A higher ALBI score, but not higher MELD XI score, was associated with findings of fluid overload. After adjusting for pre-existing prognostic factors, the ALBI score (HR 2.11, 95% CI: 1.60-2.79, p<0.001), but not the MELD XI score (HR 1.02, 95% CI: 0.99-1.06, p=0.242), was associated with 1-year mortality. Likewise, area under the receiver-operator-characteristic curves for 1-year mortality significantly increased when the ALBI score (0.71 vs. 0.74, p=0.020), but not the MELD XI score (0.71 vs. 0.72, p=0.448), was added to the pre-existing risk factors.

CONCLUSIONS

The ALBI score is potentially a suitable liver dysfunction marker that incorporates information on fluid overload and prognosis in patients with AHF. These results provide new insights into heart-liver interactions in AHF patients.

Liver disease and heart failure

INTRODUCTION

Several systemic conditions, inflammatory disease, infections and alcoholism, may affect both the heart and the liver. Common conditions, such as the non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD), may increase the risk of cardiac dysfunction. Patients with acute decompensated HF (ADHF) may develop acute ischemic hepatitis and, chronic HF patients may develop congestive hepatopathy (CH).

EVIDENCE ACQUISITION

Laboratory anomalies of hepatic function may predict the outcome of patients with advanced HF and the evaluation of both cardiac and hepatic function is very important in the management of these patients. In clinically apparent ischemic hepatitis more than 90% of patients have some right-sided HF. There are systemic disorders characterized by the accumulation of metals or by metabolism defects that may affect primarily the liver but also the heart leading to symptomatic hypertrophic cardiomyopathy (HCM).

EVIDENCE SYNTHESIS

Abnormal LFTs indicate the mechanism of liver injury: liver congestion or liver ischemia. In AHF, it's important an adequate evaluation of heart and liver function in order to choose the treatment in order to ensure stable hemodynamic as well as optimal liver function.

CONCLUSIONS

Measurements of LFTs should be recommended in the early phase of ADHF management. Physicians with interest in HF should be trained in the evaluation of LFTs. It's very important for cardiologists to know the systemic diseases affecting both heart and liver and the first imaging or laboratory findings useful for a diagnosis. it is very important for internists, nephrologists, cardiologists, primary physicians and any physicians with interest in treating HF to recognize such signs and symptoms belong to rare diseases and liver diseases that could be mistaken for HF.

Heart Failure and Liver Disease: Cardiohepatic Interactions

Heart failure (HF) and liver disease often co-exist. This is because systemic disorders and diseases affect both organs (alcohol abuse, drugs, inflammation, autoimmunity, infections) and because of complex cardiohepatic interactions. The latter, which are the focus of this review, include the development of acute cardiogenic liver injury and congestive hepatopathy in HF as well as cardiac dysfunction and failure in the setting of liver cirrhosis, nonalcoholic fatty liver disease, and sequelae following liver transplantation. The emerging role of altered liver X receptor signaling in the pathogenesis of HF comorbidities as well as of the intestinal microbiome and its metabolites in HF and liver disease are fruitful areas for future research.