Descriptive epidemiology of varicella based on national surveillance data before and after the introduction of routine varicella vaccination with two doses in Japan, 2000-2017

Nanopore sequencing in distinguishing between wild-type and vaccine strains of Varicella-Zoster virus

BACKGROUND

The introduction of varicella vaccines into routine pediatric immunization programs has led to a considerable reduction in varicella incidence. However, there have been reports of varicella, herpes zoster, and meningitis caused by the vaccine strain of varicella-zoster virus (VZV), raising concerns. Establishing the relationship between the wild-type and vaccine strains in VZV infections among previously vaccinated individuals is crucial. Differences in the single nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) among vaccine strains can be utilized to identify the strain. In this study, we employed nanopore sequencing to identify VZV strains and analyzed clinical samples.

METHODS

We retrospectively examined vesicle and cerebrospinal fluid samples from patients with VZV infections. One sample each of the wild-type and vaccine strains, previously identified using allelic discrimination real-time PCR and direct sequencing, served as controls. Ten samples with undetermined VZV strains were included. After DNA extraction, a long PCR targeting the VZV ORF62 region was executed. Nanopore sequencing identified SNPs, allowing discrimination between the vaccine and wild-type strains.

RESULTS

Nanopore sequencing confirmed SNPs at previously reported sites (105,705, 106,262, 107,136, and 107,252), aiding in distinguishing between wild-type and vaccine strains. Among the ten unknown samples, nine were characterized as wild strains and one as a vaccine strain. Even in samples with low VZV DNA levels, nanopore sequencing was effective in strain identification.

CONCLUSION

This study validates that nanopore sequencing is a reliable method for differentiating between the wild-type and vaccine strains of VZV. Its ability to produce long-read sequences is remarkable, allowing simultaneous confirmation of known SNPs and the detection of new mutations. Nanopore sequencing can serve as a valuable tool for the swift and precise identification of wild-type and vaccine strains and has potential applications in future VZV surveillance.

Epidemiological Characteristics of Varicella in Anhui Province, China, 2012-2021: Surveillance Study

BACKGROUND

Varicella is a mild, self-limited disease caused by varicella-zoster virus (VZV) infection. Recently, the disease burden of varicella has been gradually increasing in China; however, the epidemiological characteristics of varicella have not been reported for Anhui Province.

OBJECTIVE

The aim of this study was to analyze the epidemiology of varicella in Anhui from 2012 to 2021, which can provide a basis for the future study and formulation of varicella prevention and control policies in the province.

METHODS

Surveillance data were used to characterize the epidemiology of varicella in Anhui from 2012 to 2021 in terms of population, time, and space. Spatial autocorrelation of varicella was explored using the Moran index (Moran I). The Kulldorff space-time scan statistic was used to analyze the spatiotemporal aggregation of varicella.

RESULTS

A total of 276,115 cases of varicella were reported from 2012 to 2021 in Anhui, with an average annual incidence of 44.8 per 100,000, and the highest incidence was 81.2 per 100,000 in 2019. The male-to-female ratio of cases was approximately 1.26, which has been gradually decreasing in recent years. The population aged 5-14 years comprised the high-incidence group, although the incidence in the population 30 years and older has gradually increased. Students accounted for the majority of cases, and the proportion of cases in both home-reared children (aged 0-7 years who are not sent to nurseries, daycare centers, or school) and kindergarten children (aged 3-6 years) has changed slightly in recent years. There were two peaks of varicella incidence annually, except for 2020, and the incidence was typically higher in the winter peak than in summer. The incidence of varicella in southern Anhui was higher than that in northern Anhui. The average annual incidence at the county level ranged from 6.61 to 152.14 per 100,000, and the varicella epidemics in 2018-2021 were relatively severe. The spatial and temporal distribution of varicella in Anhui was not random, with a positive spatial autocorrelation found at the county level (Moran I=0.412). There were 11 districts or counties with high-high clusters, mainly distributed in the south of Anhui, and 3 districts or counties with high-low or low-high clusters. Space-time scan analysis identified five possible clusters of areas, and the most likely cluster was distributed in the southeastern region of Anhui.

CONCLUSIONS

This study comprehensively describes the epidemiology and changing trend of varicella in Anhui from 2012 to 2021. In the future, preventive and control measures should be strengthened for the key populations and regions of varicella.

Impacts of routine varicella vaccination program and COVID-19 pandemic on varicella and herpes zoster incidence and health resource use among children in Japan

PURPOSE

To determine the epidemiological trends in pediatric varicella and herpes zoster incidence and changes in healthcare resource use from 2005 to 2022 using a nationally representative database in Japan.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

We conducted a retrospective observational study consisting of 3.5 million children with 177 million person-months during 2005-2022 using Japan Medical Data Center (JMDC) claims database in Japan. We investigated trends in incidence rates of varicella and herpes zoster and changes in healthcare resource use (e.g., antiviral use, office visits, and healthcare costs) over 18 years. Interrupted time-series analyses were used to investigate the impact of the routine varicella vaccination program in 2014 and infection prevention measures against COVID-19 on incidence rates of varicella and herpes zoster and related healthcare utilization.

RESULTS

After the introduction of the routine immunization program in 2014, we observed level changes in incidence rates (45.6 % reduction [95 %CI, 32.9-56.0] of varicella cases, antiviral use (40.9 % reduction [95 %CI, 25.1-53.3]), and relevant healthcare costs (48.7 % reduction [95 %CI, 38.2-57.3]). Furthermore, infection prevention measures against COVID-19 were associated with additional level changes in varicella rates (57.2 % reduction [95 %CI, 44.5-67.1]), antiviral use (65.7 % reduction [59.7-70.8]), and healthcare costs (49.1 % [95 %CI, 32.7-61.6]). In contrast, the changes in incidence and healthcare costs for herpes zoster were relatively small, which showed 9.4 % elevated level change with a decreasing trend and 8.7 % reduced level change with a decreasing trend after the vaccine program and the COVID-19 pandemic. The cumulative incidence of herpes zoster in children born after 2014 was lower than that before 2014.

CONCLUSIONS

Varicella incidence and healthcare resource use were largely affected by the routine immunization program and infection prevention measures against COVID-19, while these impacts on herpes zoster were relatively small. Our study indicates that immunization and infection prevention measures largely changed pediatric infectious disease practices.

Trend in the Numbers of Hospitalized Patients With Varicella, Herpes Zoster, and Ischemic Stroke in Japanese Individuals <20 Years of Age Before and After Implementation of Universal Varicella Vaccination

Several studies have shown an association between varicella-zoster virus infection and ischemic stroke. We analyzed the trends in the numbers of patients with varicella, herpes zoster and ischemic stroke before and after the universal vaccination program using a Japanese database of hospitalized patients. The number of patients with varicella decreased but those of herpes zoster and ischemic stroke did not change.

A Review of Parental Vaccine Hesitancy for Human Papillomavirus in Japan

Globally, Japan has the lowest rate of vaccine confidence. The persistent parental vaccine hesitancy has been attributed to safety and efficacy concerns and is primarily driven by the negative experience with human papillomavirus (HPV) vaccines. This literature review aimed to identify factors associated with HPV vaccine uptake and potential strategies to reduce vaccine hesitancy among Japanese parents. Articles published in English or Japanese between January 1998 and October 2022 that examined Japanese parental factors for HPV vaccine uptake were identified from PubMed, Web of Science, and Ichushi-Web. In total, 17 articles met the inclusion criteria. Four key themes which affected HPV vaccine hesitancy and acceptance were identified: perceptions of risk and benefits, trust and recommendation, information and knowledge, and sociodemographic characteristics. While governmental and healthcare provider recommendations are important factors, efforts to improve parental confidence in the HPV vaccine are required. Future interventions to counteract HPV vaccine hesitancy should actively disseminate information on vaccine safety and effectiveness, along with information on the severity and susceptibility of HPV infection.

Rational Design of a Skin- and Neuro-Attenuated Live Varicella Vaccine: A Review and Future Perspectives

Primary varicella-zoster virus (VZV) infection causes varicella, which remains a prominent public health concern in children. Current varicella vaccines adopt the live-attenuated Oka strain, vOka, which retains the ability to infect neurons, establish latency and reactivate, leading to vaccine-associated zoster in some vaccinees. Therefore, it is necessary to develop a safer next-generation varicella vaccine to help reduce vaccine hesitancy. This paper reviews the discovery and identification of the skin- and neuro-tropic factor, the open reading frame 7 (ORF7) of VZV, as well as the development of a skin- and neuro-attenuated live varicella vaccine comprising an ORF7-deficient mutant, v7D. This work could provide insights into the research of novel virus vaccines based on functional genomics and reverse genetics.

Effect of Routine Varicella Immunization on the Epidemiology and Immunogenicity of Varicella and Shingles

Varicella-zoster virus (VZV) causes varicella as a primary infection and remains latent in the ganglia until it becomes reactivated to cause herpes zoster. Individuals with varicella develop adaptive humoral and cell-mediated immunity. Compromised cell-mediated immunity is thought to contribute to the development of herpes zoster. Recent evidence suggests that changes in the epidemiology of varicella have affected the epidemiology of herpes zoster. The incidence of herpes zoster is higher in older adults; thus, the herpes zoster vaccine is recommended for older adults. However, the incidence of herpes zoster is expected to rise among younger individuals; hence, vaccination with the varicella vaccine should also be considered in younger adults. In order to determine the need for vaccination in different populations, it is important to establish methods to accurately assess the activity of cell-mediated immunity and humoral immunity.

Varicella pneumonia in an immunocompetent, unvaccinated man: A case report

•

An immunocompetent 50-year-old man developed varicella after household exposure.

•

He had no history of previous varicella or vaccination against varicella.

•

He developed varicella pneumonia which responded to acyclovir.

•

The incidence of primary varicella in immunocompetent adults has increased.

•

There is a need to increase varicella vaccination coverage among adults.

Varicella is a common vaccine-preventable disease that typically affects children aged 2–8 years and usually has a benign outcome. However, varicella infection in adults may cause serious complications, including varicella pneumonia. We report a case of varicella pneumonia in an immunocompetent, unvaccinated man in Japan.

A 50-year-old Egyptian man who had been living in Japan for 20 years was brought to the hospital with a 3-day history of fever and a 2-day history of rash and dyspnea. Chest computed tomography revealed an 8-mm-long nodule with a halo in the right S3 segment and mild ground-glass opacities in both lungs. A final diagnosis was made based on identification of varicella-zoster virus via positive immunochromatographic test and polymerase chain reaction from a blister fluid. The patient's pneumonia had improved with acyclovir for 10 days.

In Japan routine varicella vaccination in childhood (at ages 12 and 18 months) was introduced in 2014. However, in Egypt, where the patient spent his childhood, varicella vaccine is still not designated as a routine vaccination. The introduction of universal varicella vaccination in more countries and an increase in vaccination coverage are essential to reduce the number of cases of varicella infection, including varicella pneumonia.

Development of a skin- and neuro-attenuated live vaccine for varicella

Varicella caused by the primary infection of varicella-zoster virus (VZV) exerts a considerable disease burden globally. Current varicella vaccines consisting of the live-attenuated vOka strain of VZV are generally safe and effective. However, vOka retains full neurovirulence and can establish latency and reactivate to cause herpes zoster in vaccine recipients, raising safety concerns. Here, we rationally design a live-attenuated varicella vaccine candidate, v7D. This virus replicates like wild-type virus in MRC-5 fibroblasts and human PBMCs, the carrier for VZV dissemination, but is severely impaired for infection of human skin and neuronal cells. Meanwhile, v7D shows immunogenicity comparable to vOka both in vitro and in multiple small animal species. Finally, v7D is proven well-tolerated and immunogenic in nonhuman primates. Our preclinical data suggest that v7D is a promising candidate as a safer live varicella vaccine with reduced risk of vaccine-related complications, and could inform the design of other herpes virus vaccines.

Current varicella vaccines retain neurovirulence and can establish latency and reactivate. Here, the authors present preclinical results of a rationally-designed, skin- and neuro-attenuated varicella vaccine candidate, v7D, showing its attenuation in human skin and neuronal cells and its immunogenicity in small animal models and nonhuman primates

Trends in voluntary vaccination coverage in a Japanese city

BACKGROUND

Large numbers of patients with diseases preventable by voluntary vaccines have been reported in Japan. However, it is difficult to analyze the impact of voluntary vaccination on disease prevention, as governments do not aggregate the number of recipients of vaccines that are not included in the national immunization program. This study investigated the association between the coverage rates of two voluntary vaccines (rotavirus and mumps vaccines) and the incidence of the diseases preventable by these vaccines.

METHODS

We performed a prospective questionnaire-based observational study to investigate the presumptive coverage rates of the rotavirus vaccine in infancy and the mumps vaccine at 1 year of age in Kitakyushu City from 2015 to 2018. The number of children admitted to a secondary medical institution for rotavirus-associated gastroenteritis and the incidence of mumps infection in sentinel medical institutions were also analyzed during the investigation period.

RESULTS

The rotavirus and mumps vaccine coverage rates since 2016 were 61-63% and late 28-30%, respectively (52.6% and 20.3% in 2015, respectively). The yearly number of children hospitalized for rotavirus-associated gastroenteritis from 2015 to 2018 declined by 41.4% compared with that during the pre-vaccination period (2009-2011). The incidence of mumps infection remained unchanged during the investigation period.

CONCLUSION

The coverage rates of two voluntary vaccines were not high enough to control the infections. The incorporation of voluntary vaccines into the routine immunization program should be considered as the one of the effective ways to increase vaccination coverage.

Epidemiological impact of universal varicella vaccination on consecutive emergency department visits for varicella and its economic impact among children in Kobe City, Japan

INTRODUCTION

Previous studies reported a dramatic decline in the incidence of varicella and varicella-related deaths after implementing universal varicella vaccination (VarV). Although previous studies reported the effectiveness and economic impact of VarV, they were unknown in the emergency department (ED) setting.

METHODS

To determine the effectiveness and economic impact of VarV in the ED, Kobe, Japan, we retrospectively reviewed the clinical database of consecutive patients younger than 16 years presenting to our primary ED from 2011 to 2019.

RESULTS

Of the 265,191 children presenting to our ED, 3,092 patients were clinically diagnosed with varicella. The number of patients with varicella was approximately 500 annually, before introducing the universal two-dose VarV for children aged 1 to <3 years in October 2014, in the Japanese national immunization program, and decreased to approximately 200 in 2019. The number of patients with varicella younger than 1 year (ineligible for the vaccination) also decreased. Regarding the economic impact, the medical cost in our ED reduced after the introduction of VarV was JPY 4.1 million (US$ 40,049) annually. From the central data, approximately 95% of children were vaccinated after October 2014; however, a relatively large percentage of infected unvaccinated children (59.0%) presented to ED in this study. After the implementation of the universal VarV, infection was mainly observed in older children (i.e., the unvaccinated generation).

CONCLUSIONS

Our data showed the effectiveness and economic impact of VarV in the ED setting. Additionally, our data suggested that the public vaccination program should include older unvaccinated children and other unvaccinated individuals.

Routine varicella vaccination program and hospitalization for herpes zoster in Japan

Whether reducing exposure to varicella by the implementation of the routine varicella vaccination program for children leads to increased incidence of herpes zoster (HZ) remains controversial. The aim of the present study was to identify the trend in the hospitalization associated with HZ before and after the introduction of routine varicella vaccination by using nationally representative data from an inpatient database in Japan. Data were obtained on the number of inpatients hospitalized for HZ from the "Survey on the effect of the introduction of Diagnosis Procedure Combination (DPC) database" and the total population in Japan from the Population Estimates created by the former Statistics Bureau between fiscal years 2013 and 2018. The data from the DPC hospitals only and all hospitals in the survey were analyzed separately. The trends in the annual incidence of HZ hospitalization were identified. The trends in the annual hospitalization for HZ per 100,000 persons were then analyzed by age group (0-20, 21-40, 41-60, 61-79, and ≥80 years of age). The annual number of hospitalizations for HZ was approximately 20,000 in the DPC hospitals and 25,000 in all hospitals, showing no upward trend. The age-specific annual hospitalization rate for HZ did not increase in all the age groups. As age increased, the hospitalization rate also increased. This study presents no upward trend in the hospitalizations for HZ after the implementation of the routine varicella vaccination program in Japan.

Varicella Admissions in Children and Adolescents in Portugal: 2000-2015

OBJECTIVES

Varicella is a common, usually benign, and autolimited disease in children but can lead to severe complications and hospitalization. With this study, we aim to analyze all varicella hospitalizations to provide epidemiological information to help outline preventive policies.

METHODS

We assessed all varicella hospitalizations in children aged 0 to 17 years, from 2000 to 2015, in mainland, public Portuguese hospitals using a Portuguese administrative database. Seasonality, geographic distribution, severity, complications, risk factors, use of diagnostic and treatment procedures and hospitalization costs were analyzed.

RESULTS

A total of 5120 hospitalizations were registered, with an annual rate of 17.3 hospitalizations per 100 000 inhabitants. A higher number of hospitalizations occurred during the summer period and in Southern regions. The median length of stay was of 4 days (interquartile range: 3.0-7.0). We found a high rate of severe complications, mostly dermatologic (19.6%), neurologic (6.0%), and respiratory (5.1%). Of the total number of patients, 0.8% were immunocompromised and 0.1% were pregnant. Total direct hospitalization costs during the 16-year period were estimated to be 7 110 719€ (8 603 970 USD), with a mean annual cost of 444 419.92€ (537 748.10 USD).

CONCULSIONS

This is the first national study in which useful epidemiological data to evaluate the burden and impact of varicella in Portugal is provided.

Immunogenicity and safety profiles of a new MAV/06 strain varicella vaccine in healthy children: A multinational, multicenter, randomized, double-blinded, active-controlled phase III study

Immunization is the most effective preventive strategy against varicella. While the Oka strain is commonly used for varicella vaccination worldwide, Korea widely uses the MAV/06 strain. A new live attenuated MAV/06 strain varicella vaccine (MG1111), which uses the new cell line Medical Research Council-5 for better viral propagation, was developed. MG1111 was approved by Korean health authorities. Here, we report the results of phase III, randomized, double-blind, multicenter study conducted in Korea and Thailand, which compared the immunogenicity and safety profiles of MG1111 versus the control vaccine, Varivax^TM. In total, 515 healthy children (12 month-12 years) were randomized 1:1 to receive either the MG1111 or control vaccine (MG1111: 258, Control: 257). The seroconversion rate (SCR) and geometric mean titer (GMT) were measured using the fluorescent antibody to membrane antigen (FAMA) test. The MG1111 group achieved a SCR of 97.9% (95% CI: 95.2-99.3) after vaccination. The lower limit of 95% CI for SCR difference (MG1111-Varivax^TM) was -4.0%, which was higher than the specified non-inferiority margin of -10%. Further, the GMT of the MG1111 increased from 2.0 to 74.2 (95% CI: 65.0-84.8) and the lower limits of the 95% CI for post-vaccination GMT ratios (MG1111/Varivax^TM) were 0.55 higher than the specified parameter of 0.5. Therefore, the MG1111 group was not statistically inferior to the control vaccine group in terms of SCR and GMT. Furthermore, the MG1111 and control vaccine groups were not significantly different in the percentage of participants showing adverse events-solicited, local, or systemic during 43-day period of observation and serious adverse events during 6 month of observation. The present results indicate that MG1111was not immunologically inferior to Varivax^TM, and safety profiles of MG1111 are similar to those of Varivax^TM.

Trend in varicella patients 4 years after implementation of universal two-dose varicella vaccination in Japan

OBJECTIVE

To elucidate the trend and clinical spectrum of virologically diagnosed varicella patients after implementation of universal vaccination as a national immunization program in Japan.

PATIENTS AND METHODS

Study subjects were patients suspected of varicella, less than 15 years of age, who visited 14 pediatric clinics in the Nagoya VZV Study Group from September 2015 to August 2019. Practitioners collected patient samples and information such as backgrounds, clinical symptoms, and previous immunization status. All patients were confirmed as having varicella based on molecular diagnostic assays.

RESULTS

Varicella zoster virus (VZV) DNA was detected in swab samples from 506 (83.1%) of the 609 suspected patients. The 455 varicella patients for whom vaccination status was available were divided into two groups: 180 universal vaccination targets and 275 non-targets. Numbers of monthly varicella patients decreased gradually during the observation period. In the 2016/17 season, the seasonal epidemic of varicella became undetectable in the universal vaccination target group, and starting in the 2017/18 season, it was obscured even in the non-target group. The median age of patients was significantly lower in the universal vaccination target group (3 years) than the non-target group (7 years) (P < 0.001). Vaccination status differed significantly between the two groups (P < 0.001). Most varicella patients were in the non-target group, especially those who had been vaccinated once (60.4%). Frequency of fever (P < 0.001) and number of skin rashes at the time of the first hospital visit (P = 0.001) were significantly higher in the non-target group.

CONCLUSIONS

Although the number of childhood varicella patients declined after implementation of national immunization with two doses of varicella vaccination, sporadic outbreaks still occurred, mainly in the non-universal vaccination target group. Insufficient vaccination of members of this group is likely to be a major reason for small local outbreaks.

Association between climatic factors and varicella incidence in Guangzhou, Southern China, 2006-2018

OBJECTIVE

To analyze the correlation between climatic factors and the incidence of varicella in Guangzhou, and improve the prevention measures about public health.

METHODS

Data for daily climatic variables and varicella incidence from 2006 to 2018 in Guangzhou were collected from the Guangzhou Meteorological Bureau and the National Notifiable Disease Report System. Distributed lag nonlinear models were applied to evaluate the association between climatic factors and varicella incidence.

RESULTS

The nonlinear effects of meteorological factors were observed. At lag day21，when the mean temperature was 31.8 °C, the relative risk was the highest as 1.11 (95% CI: 1.07-1.16). When the diurnal temperature range was 24.0 °C at lag day 20, the highest RR was 1.11 (95% CI: 1.05-1.17). For rainfall, the highest RR was 1.09 (95% CI: 1.01-1.19) at lag day 21，when the aggregate rainfall was 160 mm. When air pressure was 1028 hPa, the highest RR was 1.08 (95% CI: 1.04-1.13) at lag day 21. When wind speed was 0.7 m/s, the highest RR was 1.07 (95% CI: 1.04-1.11) at lag day 7. When the hours of sunshine were 9.0 h at lag day 21, the RR was highest as 1.04 (95% CI: 1.02-1.05). Aggregate rainfall, air pressure, and sunshine hours were positively correlated with the incidence of varicella, which was inconsistent with the wind velocity. Mean temperature showed a reverse U-shape curve relationship with varicella, while the diurnal temperature range showed a binomial distribution curve. The extreme effect of climatic factors on the varicella cases was statistically significant, apart from the extremely low effect of rainfall.

CONCLUSION

Our preliminary results offered fundamental knowledge which might be benefit to give an insight into epidemic trends of varicella and develop an early warning system. We could use our findings about influential factors to strengthen the intervention and prevention of varicella.

A case of maternal varicella: Expected role of primary care physicians in confirming immune status for varicella in women at childbearing age

At 19-week gestation, a 32-year-old Japanese woman presented with a 3-day history of fever and vesicular rashes on the skin and was diagnosed with varicella, which resolved after antiviral therapy. In the primary clinic, her immunity to rubella and measles, but not to varicella, was confirmed at preconception counseling. Maternal varicella infection can cause congenital varicella syndrome characterized by congenital malformations and neurological deficits. This case recommends that all women of childbearing age should be assessed for immunity to varicella before pregnancy and that primary care physicians should take initiatives for preventing maternal varicella.

Trends in varicella and mumps vaccination rates in children under 3 years of age in a tertiary children's hospital in Japan

BACKGROUND

In Japan, the voluntary vaccination rate is not known accurately. Although two doses of the measles and rubella vaccines have been part of the universal vaccine program since 2006, the varicella vaccine was added in October 2014 while the mumps vaccine still remains voluntary. The aim of this study was to evaluate trends in the live measles, rubella, varicella and mumps vaccination rates in Japan.

METHODS

This retrospective cohort study was conducted at Tokyo Metropolitan Children's Medical Center between October 2012 and December 2016. Patients aged 1-2 years who were admitted to the Department of General Pediatrics were enrolled. The trend in the vaccination rate against measles, rubella, varicella, and mumps was examined.

RESULTS

The measles and rubella vaccination rate was 80-90%. The varicella vaccination rate in the second quarter of 2012, the third quarter of 2014, and the fourth quarter of 2016 was 34.6%, 67.1%, and 80.7%, respectively. The mumps vaccination rate in the second quarter of 2012, the third quarter of 2014, and the fourth quarter of 2016 was 27.6%, 59.5%, and 61.8%, respectively.

CONCLUSIONS

The varicella and mumps vaccination rate improved until 2014 despite the fact that they were voluntary vaccinations. After varicella vaccination was added to the universal vaccination program, the varicella vaccination rate continued to improve. The mumps vaccination, which was not included, failed to improve, suggesting that the universal vaccination program contributed to increasing the uptake of the vaccines it includes.

Do varicella vaccination programs change the epidemiology of herpes zoster? A comprehensive review, with focus on the United States

Introduction: Policy-makers in many countries have been wary of introducing varicella vaccination programs because of concerns that reduced exposures to varicella-zoster virus could increase herpes zoster (HZ) incidence. The U.S. introduced varicella vaccination in 1996 and has empiric evidence regarding this concern. Areas covered: This comprehensive review provides background emphasizing the epidemiology of varicella and of HZ in the U.S. before and after the introduction of their respective vaccines. The epidemiology is complex, and interpretation is complicated by methodologic challenges, by unexplained increases in age-specific HZ incidence that preceded varicella vaccination, and by introduction of vaccines for prevention of HZ. Nonetheless, observations from studies using different platforms and designs have yielded consistent findings, suggesting they are robust. Expert opinion: There has been no evidence that the U.S. varicella vaccination program increased HZ incidence in the general adult population over baseline trends. Furthermore, HZ incidence in children is declining. The U.S. experience can inform the development of new generations of models to predict HZ trends. More importantly, it provides reassurance for countries considering varicella vaccination that an effective program can reduce varicella morbidity and mortality while reducing the likelihood of HZ among children, and potentially, over time, across the entire population.