Development of paediatric non-stage prognosticator guidelines for population-based cancer registries and updates to the 2014 Toronto Paediatric Cancer Stage Guidelines

Incidence and survival for childhood cancer by endorsed non-stage prognostic indicators in Australia

BACKGROUND

An international expert panel recently recommended 15 'non-stage prognostic indicators' (NSPIs) across eight childhood cancers, classified as essential or additional, for collection in population-based cancer registries. We aimed to describe the incidence distribution and survival of each of these NSPIs.

PROCEDURES

Cases were extracted from the Australian Childhood Cancer Registry. The study cohort (n = 4187) comprised all children aged under 15 years diagnosed with an eligible cancer between 2010 and 2018, with follow-up until 31 December 2020. NSPI data were collected directly from each patient's medical records. Differences in 5-year relative survival were assessed using multivariable flexible parametric models, adjusted for sex and age group at diagnosis.

RESULTS

The availability of data varied, exceeding 85% for all essential NSPIs apart from histologic subtype for Wilms tumours (69%) and lineage for acute lymphoblastic leukaemia (78%). Information on additional NSPIs tended to be recorded less often, particularly cytogenetic subtype for non-alveolar rhabdomyosarcoma (28%) and astrocytoma (4%). Eight NSPIs exhibited a significant difference in survival, with the largest disparity occurring among children with astrocytoma according to tumour grade (5-year relative survival of 18% for grade IV disease compared with 99% for grade I disease; p < .001).

CONCLUSIONS

Our findings demonstrate that most of the recommended NSPIs can be retrieved from medical records in Australia in recent years, allowing the capability of assessing survival within patient subgroups of clinical interest. Reporting of NSPI data has the capability to inform local and global understanding of population-level disparities in childhood cancer survival.

Temporal changes in childhood cancer incidence and survival by stage at diagnosis in Australia, 2000-2017

BACKGROUND

The Toronto Paediatric Cancer Stage Guidelines are a compendium of staging systems developed to facilitate collection of consistent and comparable data on stage at diagnosis for childhood cancers by cancer registries.

MATERIAL AND METHODS

This retrospective, observational cohort study investigated changes in stage-specific incidence and survival for children diagnosed between 2000-2008 compared to 2009-2017 using the population-based Australian Childhood Cancer Registry. Information on mortality for each patient was available to 31st December 2020. Shifts in incidence by stage were evaluated using chi-square tests, and differences in stage-specific five-year observed survival for all causes of death over time were assessed using flexible parametric models.

RESULTS

Stage was assigned according to the Toronto Guidelines for 96% (n = 7944) of the total study cohort (n = 8292). Changes in the distribution of incidence by stage between the two diagnosis periods were observed for retinoblastoma, with stage 0 increasing from 26% to 37% of cases (p = 0.02), and hepatoblastoma, with metastatic disease increasing from 22% to 39% of cases (p = 0.04). There were large gains in stage-specific survival over time for stage IV rhabdomyosarcoma (five-year adjusted mortality hazard ratio for 2009-2017 compared to 2000-2008 of 0.38, 95% CI 0.19-0.77; p = 0.01), stage M3 for medulloblastoma (HR = 0.41, 95% CI 0.21-0.79; p = 0.01) and metastatic neuroblastoma excluding stage MS (HR = 0.61, 95% CI 0.44-0.84; p < 0.01).

CONCLUSION

These results indicate that improvements in childhood cancer survival in Australia are most likely due to refined management rather than changes in stage at diagnosis, particularly for metastatic solid tumours. Wide international uptake of the Toronto Guidelines will allow comprehensive evaluation of differences in survival between countries.

Cancer data quality and harmonization in Europe: the experience of the BENCHISTA Project - international benchmarking of childhood cancer survival by stage

Introduction

Variation in stage at diagnosis of childhood cancers (CC) may explain differences in survival rates observed across geographical regions. The BENCHISTA project aims to understand these differences and to encourage the application of the Toronto Staging Guidelines (TG) by Population-Based Cancer Registries (PBCRs) to the most common solid paediatric cancers.

Methods

PBCRs within and outside Europe were invited to participate and identify all cases of Neuroblastoma, Wilms Tumour, Medulloblastoma, Ewing Sarcoma, Rhabdomyosarcoma and Osteosarcoma diagnosed in a consecutive three-year period (2014-2017) and apply TG at diagnosis. Other non-stage prognostic factors, treatment, progression/recurrence, and cause of death information were collected as optional variables. A minimum of three-year follow-up was required. To standardise TG application by PBCRs, on-line workshops led by six tumour-specific clinical experts were held. To understand the role of data availability and quality, a survey focused on data collection/sharing processes and a quality assurance exercise were generated. To support data harmonization and query resolution a dedicated email and a question-and-answers bank were created.

Results

67 PBCRs from 28 countries participated and provided a maximally de-personalized, patient-level dataset. For 26 PBCRs, data format and ethical approval obtained by the two sponsoring institutions (UCL and INT) was sufficient for data sharing. 41 participating PBCRs required a Data Transfer Agreement (DTA) to comply with data protection regulations. Due to heterogeneity found in legal aspects, 18 months were spent on finalizing the DTA. The data collection survey was answered by 68 respondents from 63 PBCRs; 44% of them confirmed the ability to re-consult a clinician in cases where stage ascertainment was difficult/uncertain. Of the total participating PBCRs, 75% completed the staging quality assurance exercise, with a median correct answer proportion of 92% [range: 70% (rhabdomyosarcoma) to 100% (Wilms tumour)].

Conclusion

Differences in interpretation and processes required to harmonize general data protection regulations across countries were encountered causing delays in data transfer. Despite challenges, the BENCHISTA Project has established a large collaboration between PBCRs and clinicians to collect detailed and standardised TG at a population-level enhancing the understanding of the reasons for variation in overall survival rates for CC, stimulate research and improve national/regional child health plans.

Impact of age on survival according to molecular tumor findings in children and adolescents with soft-tissue and bone sarcoma: The BIOSCA project

BACKGROUND

Adolescents (15-19 years) with sarcoma are known to have significantly worse survival than children (0-14 years). One possible reason may be that the adolescent sarcomas exhibit specific biological characteristics resulting in differences in clinical presentation and treatment resistance behaviors. The BIOSCA project aims to further explore these age-related differences in survival accounting for molecular tumor characteristic in children and adolescents with sarcoma.

METHODS

A retrospective national population-based observational study with documented somatic genetic analyses was conducted between 2011 and 2016 of all patients aged from 0 to 17 years with a diagnosis of sarcoma using the National Registry of Childhood Cancers Database.

RESULTS

A total of 1637 children (0-9years: 40%), preadolescents (10-14years: 35%) and adolescents (15-17 years: 25%) with a diagnosis of bone (N = 845) or soft-tissue (N = 792) sarcoma were included. Adolescents had significantly worse outcome for undifferentiated small round cell sarcoma (USRCS), alveolar rhabdomyosarcoma (ARMS), and epithelioid sarcoma. Five-year overall survivals were worse among CIC-rearranged USRCS cases (47% [95%CI:21-69]) as compared to other USRCS, and PAX3::FOXO1 ARMS patients (44% [95%CI:32-55]) as compared to other ARMS. Adjusting for stage and genomic-profiling status, adolescents with USRCS were 1.6-fold more likely to die than children (P = 0.05), while the difference in survival between age of ARMS patients was weaken. Indeed, the prevalence of PAX3::FOXO1 increased significantly with age.

CONCLUSION

Age was an independent prognostic factor of outcome only in patients with USRCS, while the association between age and survival of patients with ARMS could be partly explained by differences in prevalence of PAX3::FOXO1.

Childhood cancer survival and avoided deaths in Australia, 1983-2016

BACKGROUND

Large improvements in childhood cancer survival have been reported over recent decades. Data from cancer registries have the advantage of providing a 'whole of population' approach to gauge the success of cancer control efforts.

OBJECTIVES

The aim of this study was to investigate recent survival estimates for children diagnosed with cancer Australia and to examine the extent of changes in survival over the last 35 years. For the first time, we also estimated the number of deaths among Australian children that were potentially avoided due to improvements in survival.

METHODS

A retrospective, population-based cohort study design was used. Case information was extracted from the Australian Childhood Cancer Registry for 1983-2016, with follow-up to 31 December 2017. Eligible children were aged 0-14 with a basis of diagnosis other than autopsy or death certificate only. Five-year relative survival was calculated using the semi-complete cohort method for three diagnosis periods (1983-1994, 1995-2006 and 2007-2016), and changes in survival over time were assessed via flexible parametric models. Avoided deaths within 5 years for those diagnosed between 1995 and 2016 were estimated under the assumption that survival rates remained the same as for 1983-1994.

RESULTS

Overall 5-year survival within the study cohort (n = 20,871) increased from 72.8% between 1983 and1994 to 86.1% between 2007 and 2016, equating to an adjusted excess mortality hazard ratio of 1.82 (95% confidence interval 1.67, 1.97). Most cancers showed improvements in survival; other gliomas, hepatoblastoma and osteosarcoma were exceptions. Among children diagnosed between 1995 and 2016, 38.7% of expected deaths within 5 years of diagnosis (n = 1537 of 3970) were avoided due to temporal improvements in survival.

CONCLUSIONS

Survival for childhood cancer has continued to improve over recent years, thanks mainly to ongoing progress in treatment development combined with improved supportive care. Providing innovative measures of survival, such as avoided deaths, may assist with understanding outcome data produced by cancer registries.

International benchmarking of childhood cancer survival by stage at diagnosis: The BENCHISTA project protocol

Background

Several studies have shown significant variation in overall survival rates from childhood cancer between countries, using population-based cancer registry (PBCR) data for all cancers combined and for many individual tumour types among children. Without accurate and comparable data on Tumour stage at diagnosis, it is difficult to define the reasons for these survival differences. This is because measurement systems designed for adult cancers do not apply to children’s cancers and cancer registries often hold limited information on paediatric tumour stage and the data sources used to define it.

Aims

The BENCHISTA project aims to test the application of the international consensus “Toronto Staging Guidelines” (TG) for paediatric tumours by European and non-European PBCRs for six common paediatric solid tumours so that reliable comparisons of stage at diagnosis and survival rates by stage can be made to understand any differences. A secondary aim is to test the data availability and completeness of collection of several ‘Toronto’ consensus non-stage prognostic factors, treatment types given, occurrence of relapse/progression and cause of death as a descriptive feasibility study.

Methods

PBCRs will use their permitted data access channels to apply the Toronto staging guidelines to all incident cases of six solid childhood cancers (medulloblastoma, osteosarcoma, Ewings sarcoma, rhabdomyosarcoma, neuroblastoma and Wilms tumour) diagnosed in a consecutive three-year period within 2014–2017 in their population. Each registry will provide a de-identified patient-level dataset including tumour stage at diagnosis, with only the contributing registry holding the information that would be needed to re-identify the patients. Where available to the registry, patient-level data on ‘Toronto’ non-stage prognostic factors, treatments given and clinical outcomes (relapse/progression/cause of death) will be included. More than 60 PBCRs have been involved in defining the patient-level dataset items and intend to participate by contributing their population-level data. Tumour-specific on-line training workshops with clinical experts are available to cancer registry staff to assist them in applying the Toronto staging guidelines in a consistent manner. There is also a project-specific help desk for discussion of difficult cases and promotion of the CanStaging online tools, developed through the International Association of Cancer Registries, to further ensure standardisation of data collection. Country-specific stage distribution and observed survival by stage at diagnosis will be calculated for each tumour type to compare survival between countries or large geographical regions.

Discussion

This study will be promote and enhance the collection of standardized staging data for childhood cancer by European and non-European population-based cancer registries. Therefore, this project can be seen as a feasibility project of widespread use of Toronto Staging at a population-level by cancer registries, specifying the data sources used and testing how well standardized the processes can be. Variation in tumour stage distribution could be due to real differences, to different diagnostic practices between countries and/or to variability in how cancer registries assign Toronto stage. This work also aims to strengthen working relationships between cancer registries, clinical services and cancer-specific clinical study groups, which is important for improving patient outcomes and stimulating research.

Incidence and survival of paediatric renal tumours in the Netherlands between 1990 and 2014

BACKGROUND

This population-based study is the first to provide a detailed analysis of trends in incidence and survival of children and adolescents diagnosed with renal malignancies in the Netherlands.

METHODS

Data on all renal malignancies diagnosed in paediatric patients (0-18 years) between 1990 and 2014 [N = 648, 92% Wilms tumour (WT)] were extracted from the Netherlands Cancer Registry. Five-year overall survival (OS) was estimated using the actuarial method. Time trends in incidence were assessed by calculating average annual percentage change. A parametric survival model was used to compare the multivariable-adjusted risk of dying from WT between two diagnostic periods.

RESULTS

The incidence was 8 per million person-years and was constant over time (average annual percentage change -0.8%, p = 0.29). Patients with WT had a favourable outcome in both time periods; 5-year OS was 88% in 1990-2001 and 91% in 2002-2014. Multivariable analysis showed that the risk of dying from WT was not significantly decreased in the latest period (hazard ratio, 95% CI: 0.7, 0.4-1.3). Five-year OS decreased with increasing disease stage, ranging from 95 to 100% for stage I-II and about 80% for stage III-IV to 74% for bilateral disease. Five-year OS were 81% for renal cell carcinoma, 77% for clear cell sarcoma of the kidney and 20% for malignant rhabdoid tumour of the kidney.

CONCLUSIONS

Incidence of paediatric renal malignancies in the Netherlands has been stable since the 1990s. Five-year OS of WT reached 91% and was similar to findings for other developed countries. Contrary to the excellent outcome for WT, the outcome of malignant rhabdoid tumour of the kidney remained inferior.

Risk factors and prognostic implications of diagnosis of cancer within 30 days after an emergency hospital admission (emergency presentation): an International Cancer Benchmarking Partnership (ICBP) population-based study

BACKGROUND

Greater understanding of international cancer survival differences is needed. We aimed to identify predictors and consequences of cancer diagnosis through emergency presentation in different international jurisdictions in six high-income countries.

METHODS

Using a federated analysis model, in this cross-sectional population-based study, we analysed cancer registration and linked hospital admissions data from 14 jurisdictions in six countries (Australia, Canada, Denmark, New Zealand, Norway, and the UK), including patients with primary diagnosis of invasive oesophageal, stomach, colon, rectal, liver, pancreatic, lung, or ovarian cancer during study periods from Jan 1, 2012, to Dec 31, 2017. Data were collected on cancer site, age group, sex, year of diagnosis, and stage at diagnosis. Emergency presentation was defined as diagnosis of cancer within 30 days after an emergency hospital admission. Using logistic regression, we examined variables associated with emergency presentation and associations between emergency presentation and short-term mortality. We meta-analysed estimates across jurisdictions and explored jurisdiction-level associations between cancer survival and the percentage of patients diagnosed as emergencies.

FINDINGS

In 857 068 patients across 14 jurisdictions, considering all of the eight cancer sites together, the percentage of diagnoses through emergency presentation ranged from 24·0% (9165 of 38 212 patients) to 42·5% (12 238 of 28 794 patients). There was consistently large variation in the percentage of emergency presentations by cancer site across jurisdictions. Pancreatic cancer diagnoses had the highest percentage of emergency presentations on average overall (46·1% [30 972 of 67 173 patients]), with the jurisdictional range being 34·1% (1083 of 3172 patients) to 60·4% (1317 of 2182 patients). Rectal cancer had the lowest percentage of emergency presentations on average overall (12·1% [10 051 of 83 325 patients]), with a jurisdictional range of 9·1% (403 of 4438 patients) to 19·8% (643 of 3247 patients). Across the jurisdictions, older age (ie, 75-84 years and 85 years or older, compared with younger patients) and advanced stage at diagnosis compared with non-advanced stage were consistently associated with increased emergency presentation risk, with the percentage of emergency presentations being highest in the oldest age group (85 years or older) for 110 (98%) of 112 jurisdiction-cancer site strata, and in the most advanced (distant spread) stage category for 98 (97%) of 101 jurisdiction-cancer site strata with available information. Across the jurisdictions, and despite heterogeneity in association size (I2=93%), emergency presenters consistently had substantially greater risk of 12-month mortality than non-emergency presenters (odds ratio >1·9 for 112 [100%] of 112 jurisdiction-cancer site strata, with the minimum lower bound of the related 95% CIs being 1·26). There were negative associations between jurisdiction-level percentage of emergency presentations and jurisdiction-level 1-year survival for colon, stomach, lung, liver, pancreatic, and ovarian cancer, with a 10% increase in percentage of emergency presentations in a jurisdiction being associated with a decrease in 1-year net survival of between 2·5% (95% CI 0·28-4·7) and 7·0% (1·2-13·0).

INTERPRETATION

Internationally, notable proportions of patients with cancer are diagnosed through emergency presentation. Specific types of cancer, older age, and advanced stage at diagnosis are consistently associated with an increased risk of emergency presentation, which strongly predicts worse prognosis and probably contributes to international differences in cancer survival. Monitoring emergency presentations, and identifying and acting on contributing behavioural and health-care factors, is a global priority for cancer control.

FUNDING

Canadian Partnership Against Cancer; Cancer Council Victoria; Cancer Institute New South Wales; Cancer Research UK; Danish Cancer Society; National Cancer Registry Ireland; The Cancer Society of New Zealand; National Health Service England; Norwegian Cancer Society; Public Health Agency Northern Ireland, on behalf of the Northern Ireland Cancer Registry; the Scottish Government; Western Australia Department of Health; and Wales Cancer Network.

Significant improvement in survival of advanced stage childhood and young adolescent cancer in the Netherlands since the 1990s

BACKGROUND

This is the first national study on trends in cancer survival and mortality for children and young adolescents in the Netherlands including unique information on stage at diagnosis.

METHODS

All neoplasms in patients <18 years, diagnosed between 1990 and 2015 (N = 14,060), were derived from the Netherlands Cancer Registry. Cohort and period survival analyses were used to estimate observed survival (OS). Time trends in OS and mortality rates were evaluated by parametric survival models and average annual percentage change, respectively.

RESULTS

Between 1990 and 2015, 5-year OS and 10-year OS of childhood and young adolescent cancer have improved significantly by 9 percent points, reaching 81% and 78%, respectively. Favourable trends in survival were observed for all age groups and most diagnostic (sub)groups, being particularly pronounced for advanced disease. Non-Hodgkin lymphomas Ann Arbor stage III, metastatic neuroblastomas (age ≥18 months) and Ewing bone sarcomas showed significant improvements in 5-year OS. Compared with 1990-99, the risk of dying within five years of diagnosis was decreased significantly during 2000-09 (hazard ratio [HR] = 0.8) and 2010-15 (HR = 0.6), after adjustment for age, gender and follow-up time. Nonetheless, the prognosis of young patients suffering from central nervous system tumours, neuroblastoma and osteosarcomas remained modest, with 5-year OS <70% and 10-year OS <65%. Childhood and young adolescent cancer mortality decreased by an average of 2.0% annually between 1990 and 2018.

CONCLUSIONS

Significant progress has been realised in the prognosis of childhood and young adolescent cancer in the Netherlands since the 1990s. Survival improvements were especially evident for patients with advanced stages and were also reflected in the declining mortality rates.