Neuroprognostication: a conceptual framework

Characterizing coma in large vessel occlusion stroke

BACKGROUND

Coma is an unresponsive state of disordered consciousness characterized by impaired arousal and awareness. The epidemiology and pathophysiology of coma in ischemic stroke has been underexplored. We sought to characterize the incidence and clinical features of coma as a presentation of large vessel occlusion (LVO) stroke.

METHODS

Individuals who presented with LVO were retrospectively identified from July 2018 to December 2020. Coma was defined as an unresponsive state of impaired arousal and awareness, operationalized as a score of 3 on NIHSS item 1a.

RESULTS

28/637 (4.4%) patients with LVO stroke were identified as presenting with coma. The median NIHSS was 32 (IQR 29-34) for those with coma versus 11 (5-18) for those without (p < 0.0001). In coma, occlusion locations included basilar (13), vertebral (2), internal carotid (5), and middle cerebral (9) arteries. 8/28 were treated with endovascular thrombectomy (EVT), and 20/28 died during the admission. 65% of patients not treated with EVT had delayed presentations or large established infarcts. In models accounting for pre-stroke mRS, basilar occlusion location, intravenous thrombolysis, and EVT, coma independently increased the odds of transitioning to comfort care during admission (aOR 6.75; 95% CI 2.87,15.84; p < 0.001) and decreased the odds of 90-day mRS 0-2 (aOR 0.12; 95% CI 0.03,0.55; p = 0.007).

CONCLUSIONS

It is not uncommon for patients with LVO to present with coma, and delayed recognition of LVO can lead to poor outcomes, emphasizing the need for maintaining a high index of suspicion. While more commonly thought to result from posterior LVO, coma in our cohort was similarly likely to result from anterior LVO. Efforts to improve early diagnosis and care of patients with LVO presenting with coma are crucial.

Increased Adrenocorticotropic Hormone Levels Predict Recovery of Consciousness in Patients With Disorders of Consciousness

The potential influence of pituitary-related hormones (including both pituitary gland and target gland hormones) on functional recovery after traumatic brain injury has been observed. However, the relationship between these hormones and the recovery of consciousness in patients with disorders of consciousness (DOC) remains unclear. In this retrospective and observational study, 208 patients with DOC were recruited. According to the Glasgow Outcome Scale (GOS) scores after 6 months, patients with DOC were categorized into two subgroups: a favorable prognosis subgroup (n = 38) comprising those who regained consciousness (GOS score ≥3), and a poor prognosis subgroup (n = 156) comprising those who remained in DOC (GOS score <3). Comparative analyses of pituitary-related hormone levels between the two subgroups were conducted. Further, a binary logistic regression analysis was conducted to assess the predictive value of pituitary-related hormones for the patients' prognosis. The favorable prognosis subgroup showed a significant increase in adrenocorticotropic hormone (ACTH) levels (p = 0.036). Moreover, higher ACTH levels and shorter days since injury were significantly associated with a better prognosis, with odds ratios (ORs) of 0.928 (95% confidence interval [CI] = 0.873-0.985, p = 0.014) and 1.015 (95% CI = 1.005-1.026, p = 0.005), respectively. A subsequent receiver operating characteristic (ROC) analysis demonstrated the potential to predict patients' prognosis with an area under the curve value of 0.78, an overall accuracy of 75.5%, a sensitivity of 77.5%, and a specificity of 66.7%. Our findings indicate that ACTH levels could serve as a clinically valuable and convenient predictor for patients' prognosis.

Serum metabolism alteration behind different etiology, diagnosis, and prognosis of disorders of consciousness

BACKGROUND

Patients with disorders of consciousness (DoC) exhibit varied revival outcomes based on different etiologies and diagnoses, the mechanisms of which remain largely unknown. The fluctuating clinical presentations in DoC pose challenges in accurately assessing consciousness levels and prognoses, often leading to misdiagnoses. There is an urgent need for a deeper understanding of the physiological changes in DoC and the development of objective diagnostic and prognostic biomarkers to improve treatment guidance.

METHODS

To explore biomarkers and understand the biological processes, we conducted a comprehensive untargeted metabolomic analysis on serum samples from 48 patients with DoC. Patients were categorized based on etiology (TBI vs. non-TBI), CRS-R scores, and prognosis. Advanced analytical techniques, including PCA and OPLS-DA models, were employed to identify differential metabolites.

RESULTS

Our analysis revealed a distinct separation in metabolomic profiles among the different groups. The primary differential metabolites distinguishing patients with varying etiologies were predominantly phospholipids, with a notable decrease in glycerophospholipids observed in the TBI group. Patients with higher CRS-R scores exhibited a pattern of impaired carbohydrate metabolism coupled with enhanced lipid metabolism. Notably, serum concentrations of both LysoPE and PE were reduced in patients with improved outcomes, suggesting their potential as prognostic biomarkers.

CONCLUSIONS

Our study underscores the critical role of phospholipid metabolism in the brain's metabolic alterations in patients with DoC. It identifies key biomarkers for diagnosis and prognosis, offering insights that could lead to novel therapeutic targets. These findings highlight the value of metabolomic profiling in understanding and potentially treating DoC.

Accuracy of Early Neuroprognostication in Pediatric Severe Traumatic Brain Injury

BACKGROUND

Children with severe traumatic brain injury (sTBI) are at risk for neurological sequelae impacting function. Clinicians are tasked with neuroprognostication to assist in decision-making. We describe a single-center study assessing clinicians' neuroprognostication accuracy.

METHODS

Clinicians of various specialties caring for children with sTBI were asked to predict their patients' functioning three to six months postinjury. Clinicians were asked to participate in the study if their patient had survived but not returned to baseline between day 4 and 7 postinjury. The outcome tool utilized was the functional status scale (FSS), ranging from 6 to 30 (best-worst function). Predicted scores were compared with actual scores three to six months postinjury. Lin concordance correlation coefficients were used to estimate agreement between predicted and actual FSS. Outcome was dichotomized as good (FSS 6 to 8) or poor (FSS ≥9). Positive and negative predictive values for poor outcome were calculated. Pessimistic prognostic prediction was defined as predicted worse outcome by ≥3 FSS points. Demographic and clinical variables were collected.

RESULTS

A total of 107 surveys were collected on 24 patients. Two children died. Fifteen children had complete (FSS = 6) or near-complete (FSS = 7) recovery. Mean predicted and actual FSS scores were 10.8 (S.D. 5.6) and 8.6 (S.D. 4.1), respectively. Predicted FSS scores were higher than actual scores (P < 0.001). Eight children had collective pessimistic prognostic prediction.

CONCLUSIONS

Clinicians predicted worse functional outcomes, despite high percentage of patients with near-normal function at follow-up clinic. Certain patient and provider factors were noted to impact accuracy and need to be studied in larger cohorts.

Coma Prognostication After Acute Brain Injury: A Review

Importance

Among the most impactful neurologic assessments is that of neuroprognostication, defined here as the prediction of neurologic recovery from disorders of consciousness caused by severe, acute brain injury. Across a range of brain injury etiologies, these determinations often dictate whether life-sustaining treatment is continued or withdrawn; thus, they have major implications for morbidity, mortality, and health care costs. Neuroprognostication relies on a diverse array of tests, including behavioral, radiologic, physiological, and serologic markers, that evaluate the brain's functional and structural integrity.

Observations

Prognostic markers, such as the neurologic examination, electroencephalography, and conventional computed tomography and magnetic resonance imaging (MRI), have been foundational in assessing a patient's current level of consciousness and capacity for recovery. Emerging techniques, such as functional MRI, diffusion MRI, and advanced forms of electroencephalography, provide new ways of evaluating the brain, leading to evolving schemes for characterizing neurologic function and novel methods for predicting recovery.

Conclusions and Relevance

Neuroprognostic markers are rapidly evolving as new ways of assessing the brain's structural and functional integrity after brain injury are discovered. Many of these techniques remain in development, and further research is needed to optimize their prognostic utility. However, even as such efforts are underway, a series of promising findings coupled with the imperfect predictive value of conventional prognostic markers and the high stakes of these assessments have prompted clinical guidelines to endorse emerging techniques for neuroprognostication. Thus, clinicians have been thrust into an uncertain predicament in which emerging techniques are not yet perfected but too promising to ignore. This review illustrates the current, and likely future, landscapes of prognostic markers. No matter how much prognostic markers evolve and improve, these assessments must be approached with humility and individualized to reflect each patient's values.

Disorders of Consciousness Rehabilitation: Ethical Dimensions and Epistemic Dilemmas

Patients with disorders of consciousness who survive to discharge following severe acute brain injury may face profoundly complex medical, ethical, and psychosocial challenges during their courses of recovery and rehabilitation. Although issues encountered in caring for such patients during acute hospitalization have received substantial attention, ethical challenges that may arise in subacute and chronic phases have been underexplored. Shedding light on these issues, this article explores the landscape of normative issues in the course of treating and facilitating access to care for persons with disorders of consciousness during rehabilitation and examines potential implications for patients, clinicians, family members, and society.

Neuroimaging in Disorders of Consciousness and Recovery

There is a clinical need for more accurate diagnosis and prognostication in patients with disorders of consciousness (DoC). There are several neuroimaging modalities that enable detailed, quantitative assessment of structural and functional brain injury, with demonstrated diagnostic and prognostic value. Additionally, longitudinal neuroimaging studies have hinted at quantifiable structural and functional neuroimaging biomarkers of recovery, with potential implications for the management of DoC.

Disclosing Results of Tests for Covert Consciousness: A Framework for Ethical Translation

The advent of neurotechnologies including advanced functional magnetic resonance imaging and electroencephalography to detect states of awareness not detectable by traditional bedside neurobehavioral techniques (i.e., covert consciousness) promises to transform neuroscience research and clinical practice for patients with brain injury. As these interventions progress from research tools into actionable, guideline-endorsed clinical tests, ethical guidance for clinicians on how to responsibly communicate the sensitive results they yield is crucial yet remains underdeveloped. Drawing on insights from empirical and theoretical neuroethics research and our clinical experience with advanced neurotechnologies to detect consciousness in behaviorally unresponsive patients, we critically evaluate ethical promises and perils associated with disclosing the results of clinical covert consciousness assessments and describe a semistructured approach to responsible data sharing to mitigate potential risks.

Ethical Considerations in Neuroprognostication Following Acute Brain Injury

Neuroprognostication following acute brain injury (ABI) is a complex process that involves integrating vast amounts of information to predict a patient's likely trajectory of neurologic recovery. In this setting, critically evaluating salient ethical questions is imperative, and the implications often inform high-stakes conversations about the continuation, limitation, or withdrawal of life-sustaining therapy. While neuroprognostication is central to these clinical "life-or-death" decisions, the ethical underpinnings of neuroprognostication itself have been underexplored for patients with ABI. In this article, we discuss the ethical challenges of individualized neuroprognostication including parsing and communicating its inherent uncertainty to surrogate decision-makers. We also explore the population-based ethical considerations that arise in the context of heterogenous prognostication practices. Finally, we examine the emergence of artificial intelligence-aided neuroprognostication, proposing an ethical framework relevant to both modern and longstanding prognostic tools.

Cognitive Biases and Shared Decision Making in Acute Brain Injury

Many patients hospitalized after severe acute brain injury are comatose and require life-sustaining therapies. Some of these patients make favorable recoveries with continued intensive care, while others do not. In addition to providing medical care, clinicians must guide surrogate decision makers through high-stakes, emotionally charged decisions about whether to continue life-sustaining therapies. These consultations require clinicians first to assess a patient's likelihood of recovery given continued life-sustaining therapies (i.e., prognosticate), then to communicate that prediction to surrogates, and, finally, to elicit and interpret the patient's preferences. At each step, both clinicians and surrogates are vulnerable to flawed decision making. Clinicians can be imprecise, biased, and overconfident when prognosticating after brain injury. Surrogates can misperceive the choice and misunderstand or misrepresent a patient's wishes, which may never have been communicated clearly. These biases can undermine the ability to reach choices congruent with patients' preferences through shared decision making (SDM). Decision science has extensively studied these biases. In this article, we apply that research to improving SDM for patients who are comatose after acute brain injury. After introducing SDM and the medical context, we describe principal decision science results as they relate to neurologic prognostication and end-of-life decisions, by both clinicians and surrogates. Based on research regarding general processes that can produce imprecise, biased, and overconfident prognoses, we propose interventions that could improve SDM, supporting clinicians and surrogates in making these challenging decisions.

Prognostication in Prolonged and Chronic Disorders of Consciousness

Patients with prolonged disorders of consciousness (DOCs) longer than 28 days may continue to make significant gains and achieve functional recovery. Occasionally, this recovery trajectory may extend past 3 (for nontraumatic etiologies) and 12 months (for traumatic etiologies) into the chronic period. Prognosis is influenced by several factors including state of DOC, etiology, and demographics. There are several testing modalities that may aid prognostication under active investigation including electroencephalography, functional and anatomic magnetic resonance imaging, and event-related potentials. At this time, only one treatment (amantadine) has been routinely recommended to improve functional recovery in prolonged DOC. Given that some patients with prolonged or chronic DOC have the potential to recover both consciousness and functional status, it is important for neurologists experienced in prognostication to remain involved in their care.

Early Shared Decision-Making for Older Adults with Traumatic Brain Injury: Using Time-Limited Trials and Understanding Their Limitations

Older adults account for a disproportionate share of the morbidity and mortality after traumatic brain injury (TBI). Predicting functional and cognitive outcomes for individual older adults after TBI is challenging in the acute phase of injury. Given that neurologic recovery is possible and uncertain, life-sustaining therapy may be pursued initially, even if for some, there is a risk of survival to an undesired level of disability or dependence. Experts recommend early conversations about goals of care after TBI, but evidence-based guidelines for these discussions or for the optimal method for communicating prognosis are limited. The time-limited trial (TLT) model may be an effective strategy for managing prognostic uncertainty after TBI. TLTs can provide a framework for early management: specific treatments or procedures are used for a defined period of time while monitoring for an agreed-upon outcome. Outcome measures, including signs of worsening and improvement, are defined at the outset of the trial. In this Viewpoint article, we discuss the use of TLTs for older adults with TBI, their potential benefits, and current challenges to their application. Three main barriers limit the implementation of TLTs in these scenarios: inadequate models for prognostication; cognitive biases faced by clinicians and surrogate decision-makers, which may contribute to prognostic discordance; and ambiguity regarding appropriate endpoints for the TLT. Further study is needed to understand clinician behaviors and surrogate preferences for prognostic communication and how to optimally integrate TLTs into the care of older adults with TBI.

Measuring Consciousness in the Intensive Care Unit

Early reemergence of consciousness predicts long-term functional recovery for patients with severe brain injury. However, tools to reliably detect consciousness in the intensive care unit are lacking. Transcranial magnetic stimulation electroencephalography has the potential to detect consciousness in the intensive care unit, predict recovery, and prevent premature withdrawal of life-sustaining therapy.

Neurologic Complications of Cardiac and Pulmonary Disease

OBJECTIVE

The heart and lungs work as a functional unit through a complex interplay. The cardiorespiratory system is responsible for the delivery of oxygen and energy substrates to the brain. Therefore, diseases of the heart and lungs can lead to various neurologic illnesses. This article reviews various cardiac and pulmonary pathologies that can lead to neurologic injury and discusses the relevant pathophysiologic mechanisms.

LATEST DEVELOPMENTS

We have lived through unprecedented times over the past 3 years with the emergence and rapid spread of the COVID-19 pandemic. Given the effects of COVID-19 on the lungs and heart, an increased incidence of hypoxic-ischemic brain injury and stroke associated with cardiorespiratory pathologies has been observed. Newer evidence has questioned the benefit of induced hypothermia in patients with out-of-hospital cardiac arrest. Further, global collaborative initiatives such as the Curing Coma Campaign are underway with the goal of improving the care of patients with coma and disorders of consciousness, including those resulting from cardiac and pulmonary pathologies.

ESSENTIAL POINTS

The neurologic complications of cardiorespiratory disorders are common and present in various forms such as stroke or hypoxic and anoxic injury related to cardiac or respiratory failure. With the emergence of the COVID-19 pandemic, neurologic complications have increased in recent years. Given the intimate and interdependent dynamics of the heart, lungs, and brain, it is crucial for neurologists to be aware of the interplay between these organs.

Decision-Making and Ethical Considerations of Tracheostomy and Chronic Mechanical Ventilation in Children with Acute Neurological Injury

The decisions around whether or not to provide tracheostomy and chronic mechanical ventilation to children with acute neurologic injury are difficult for medical providers and surrogate decision makers. Consideration of the 4 primary principles of medical ethics-autonomy, beneficence, non-maleficence, and justice-can provide a framework from which constructive discussions can form. Determination of the goals of care is a good first step in navigating these complex decisions. A shared decision model should be used, including education of decision-makers by medical providers and appropriate recommendations based on the stated goals of care. In this paper, 2 illustrative cases are discussed highlighting the utility of this decision-making framework.

Relationship between consciousness level and perfusion computed tomography in patients with prolonged disorders of consciousness

PURPOSE

We assessed the relationship between consciousness level and values of cerebral blood flow (CBF), cerebral blood volume (CBV), mean transit time (MTT), and time to peak (TTP) obtained by whole-brain perfusion computed tomography (pCT) in patients with prolonged disorders of consciousness (pDOC).

METHODS

This study included 29 patients in vegetative state (VS), 34 with minimally consciousness state minus (MCS-), and 13 with minimally consciousness state plus (MCS+). All patients were evaluated using the Coma Recovery Scale-Revised (CRS-R), the Glasgow Coma Scale (GCS), and the Full Outline of UnResponsiveness (FOUR). The values of CBF, CBV, MTT, and TTP were obtained from patients who underwent pCT. Differences in CBF, CBV, MTT, and TTP were compared between the three types of pDOC. Correlations between the CRS-R, GCS, and FOUR scores and the pCT results were analyzed.

RESULTS

Among the three groups, patients in VS showed a significantly decreased CBF in the bilateral frontal lobe, thalamus, temporal lobe, occipital lobe, brainstem, and damaged part. CBV was significantly reduced in patients with VS in the bilateral frontal lobe, thalamus, temporal lobe, brainstem, and damaged part. The total CRS-R, GCS, and FOUR scores were positively correlated with CBF, CBV, and TTP in almost all regions of interest.

CONCLUSION

Reductions in CBF and CBV calculated with pCT are associated with impaired consciousness and perfusion CT could be a promising tool in evaluating the conscious level in patients with pDOC.

Severe Acquired Brain Injury: Prognostic Factors of Discharge Outcome in Older Adults

Severe Acquired Brain Injury (sABI) is a leading cause of disability and requires intensive rehabilitation treatment. Discharge from the rehabilitation ward is a key moment in patient management. Delays in patient discharge can adversely affect hospital productivity and increase healthcare costs. The discharge should be structured from the hospital admission toward the most appropriate environment. The purpose of our study is to investigate early predictors of outcome for discharge in older adults with sABI. A retrospective study was performed on 22 patients who were admitted to an intensive neurorehabilitation unit between June 2019 and December 2021. Patients were divided into two outcome categories, good outcome (GO) or poor outcome (PO), based on discharge destination, and the possible prognostic factors were analyzed at one and two months after admission. Among the factors analyzed, changes in the Disability Rating Scale (DRS) and Level of Cognitive Functioning (LCF) at the first and second month of hospitalization were predictive of GO at discharge (DRS, p = 0.025; LCF, p = 0.011). The presence of percutaneous endoscopic gastrostomy at two months after admission was also significantly associated with PO (p = 0.038). High Body Mass Index (BMI) and the presence of sepsis at one month after admission were possible predictors of PO (BMI p = 0.048; sepsis p = 0.014). An analysis of dynamic predictors could be useful to guarantee an early evaluation of hospital discharge in frail patients with sABI.