OUP accepted manuscript

COVID-19 and renal allograft rejection: insight from controlled and non-controlled studies

AIM

Kidney transplant recipients (KTRs), due to their immunosuppressed status, are potentially more susceptible to both the severe effects of COVID-19 and complications in their transplanted organ. The aim of this study is to investigate whether COVID-19 infection increases the risk of rejection in kidney transplant recipients (KTRs).

METHODS

This study involved a detailed literature review, conducted using PubMed, with the search being completed by September 7th, 2023. The search strategy incorporated a combination of relevant keywords: 'COVID', 'Renal', 'Kidney', 'Transplant', and 'Rejection'. The results from controlled and uncontrolled studies were separately collated and analyzed.

RESULTS

A total of 11 studies were identified, encompassing 1,179 patients. Among these, two controlled studies reported the incidence of rejection in KTRs infected with COVID-19. Pooling data from these studies revealed no significant statistical correlation between COVID-19 infection and biopsy-proven rejection (p = 0.26). In addition, nine non-controlled studies were found, with rejection incidences ranging from 0% to 66.7%. The majority of these studies (eight out of nine) had small sample sizes, ranging from 3 to 75 KTRs, while the largest included 372 KTRs. The combined rejection rate across these studies was calculated to be 11.8%.

CONCLUSION

In conclusion, the limited number of published controlled studies revealed no statistically significant association between COVID-19 infection and biopsy-proven rejection among KTRs. However, the broader analysis of non-controlled studies showed a variable rejection incidence with a pooled rejection rate of 11.8%. There is insufficient high-quality data to explore the association of COVID-19 infection and rejection.

Effect of COVID-19 on Kidney Graft Function One Year after Onset

Background and Objectives: Kidney transplant recipients (KTRs) are at a higher risk of severe COVID-19 development. The course of the infection may vary. Long-term consequences for graft function are still being studied. We investigate whether the clinical course of SARS-CoV-2 infection among KTRs had a long-term effect on graft function. Patients and method: 128 KTRs with confirmed SARS-CoV-2 infection were included in the study. They were divided into two groups: mild (without the need for oxygen therapy; n = 91) and severe (with the need for oxygen therapy; n = 21). Baseline characteristics and medical data, especially creatinine level, estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) CKD-EPI, and proteinuria, were analyzed. The main outcomes were the absolute and relative change in eGFR during the one-year follow-up after COVID-19. In the final models, sex, age, smoking, presence of diabetes mellitus (DM), and cardiovascular disease (CVD) were included. Results: KTRs with severe COVID-19 were older, more likely to smoke, and had DM and CVD more frequently. Our analysis reveals that COVID-19 severity was associated with a significantly more pronounced relative eGFR decline one year after recovery only in males [-13.94 (95% CI: -25.13 to -2.76, p = 0.015) percentage points]. One year after the disease onset, males with a severe course of the infection had a higher eGFR decline than those with a mild one. The COVID-19 severity did not affect eGFR loss in females. Conclusions: In KTRs suffering from COVID-19, deterioration of graft function was noticed. The eGFR decline was associated with disease severity and sex. It indicates a need for further research, observation, and preventive actions for KTRs, especially males.

Age, Sex and Previous Comorbidities as Risk Factors Not Associated with SARS-CoV-2 Infection for Long COVID-19: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis

Identification of predictors of long COVID-19 is essential for managing healthcare plans of patients. This systematic literature review and meta-analysis aimed to identify risk factors not associated with Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome Coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) infection, but rather potentially predictive of the development of long COVID-19. MEDLINE, CINAHL, PubMed, EMBASE, and Web of Science databases, as well as medRxiv and bioRxiv preprint servers were screened through 15 September 2022. Peer-reviewed studies or preprints evaluating potential pre-SARS-CoV-2 infection risk factors for the development of long-lasting symptoms were included. The methodological quality was assessed using the Quality in Prognosis Studies (QUIPSs) tool. Random-effects meta-analyses with calculation of odds ratio (OR) were performed in those risk factors where a homogenous long COVID-19 definition was used. From 1978 studies identified, 37 peer-reviewed studies and one preprint were included. Eighteen articles evaluated age, sixteen articles evaluated sex, and twelve evaluated medical comorbidities as risk factors of long COVID-19. Overall, single studies reported that old age seems to be associated with long COVID-19 symptoms (n = 18); however, the meta-analysis did not reveal an association between old age and long COVID-19 (n = 3; OR 0.86, 95% CI 0.73 to 1.03, p = 0.17). Similarly, single studies revealed that female sex was associated with long COVID-19 symptoms (n = 16); which was confirmed in the meta-analysis (n = 7; OR 1.48, 95% CI 1.17 to 1.86, p = 0.01). Finally, medical comorbidities such as pulmonary disease (n = 4), diabetes (n = 1), obesity (n = 6), and organ transplantation (n = 1) were also identified as potential risk factors for long COVID-19. The risk of bias of most studies (71%, n = 27/38) was moderate or high. In conclusion, pooled evidence did not support an association between advancing age and long COVID-19 but supported that female sex is a risk factor for long COVID-19. Long COVID-19 was also associated with some previous medical comorbidities.