Combination of S100B and procalcitonin improves prognostic performance compared to either alone in patients with cardiac arrest: A prospective observational study

Good outcome prediction after out-of-hospital cardiac arrest: A prospective multicenter observational study in Korea (the KORHN-PRO registry)

AIM

To assess the ability of clinical examination, biomarkers, electrophysiology and brain imaging, individually or in combination to predict good neurological outcomes at 6 months after CA.

METHODS

This was a retrospective analysis of the Korean Hypothermia Network Prospective Registry 1.0, which included adult out-of-hospital cardiac arrest (OHCA) patients (≥18 years). Good outcome predictors were defined as both pupillary light reflex (PLR) and corneal reflex (CR) at admission, Glasgow Coma Scale Motor score (GCS-M) >3 at admission, neuron-specific enolase (NSE) <17 µg/L at 24-72 h, a median nerve somatosensory evoked potential (SSEP) N20/P25 amplitude >4 µV, continuous background without discharges on electroencephalogram (EEG), and absence of anoxic injury on brain CT and diffusion-weighted imaging (DWI).

RESULTS

A total of 1327 subjects were included in the final analysis, and their median age was 59 years; among them, 412 subjects had a good neurological outcome at 6 months. GCS-M >3 at admission had the highest specificity of 96.7% (95% CI 95.3-97.8), and normal brain DWI had the highest sensitivity of 96.3% (95% CI 92.9-98.4). When the two predictors were combined, the sensitivities tended to decrease (ranging from 2.7-81.1%), and the specificities tended to increase, ranging from81.3-100%. Through the explorative variation of the 2021 European Resuscitation Council (ERC) and the European Society of Intensive Care Medicine (ESICM) prognostication strategy algorithms, good outcomes were predicted, with a specificity of 83.2% and a sensitivity of 83.5% in patients by the algorithm.

CONCLUSIONS

Clinical examination, biomarker, electrophysiology, and brain imaging predicted good outcomes at 6 months after CA. When the two predictors were combined, the specificity further improved. With the 2021 ERC/ESICM guidelines, the number of indeterminate patients and the uncertainty of prognostication can be reduced by using a good outcome prediction algorithm.

Comparison of Prognostic Performance between Procalcitonin and Procalcitonin-to-Albumin Ratio in Post Cardiac Arrest Syndrome

(1) Background: Post-cardiac arrest syndrome (PCAS) is a type of global ischemic reperfusion injury that occurs after the return of spontaneous circulation (ROSC). The procalcitonin to albumin ratio (PAR) has been studied as an independent prognostic factor of various diseases. There are no previous studies of PAR in patients with PCAS. We assessed if PAR is more effective than procalcitonin (PCT) in predicting prognosis for patients with PCAS. (2) Methods: This retrospective cohort study included a total of 187 patients with PCAS after non-traumatic out-of-hospital cardiac arrest (OHCA) between January 2016 and December 2020. Multivariate logistic regression analysis was conducted to assess the association between PAR and PCAS prognosis. The predictive performance of PAR was compared with PCT via the receiver-operating characteristic (ROC) analysis and DeLong test.; (3) Results: PAR at 24 and 48 h after hospital admission were independently associated with one-month neurological outcome (OR: 1.167, 95% CI: 1.023-1.330; OR: 1.077, 95% CI: 1.012-1.146, p < 0.05). By ROC analysis, PAR showed better performance over PCT at 48 h after admission in predicting one-month CPC (0.763 vs. 0.772, p = 0.010). (4) Conclusions: Our findings suggest that PAR at 48 h after admission is more effective in predicting a one-month neurological outcome than PCT at 48 h after admission in patients with PCAS after OHCA.

Guidelines for Neuroprognostication in Comatose Adult Survivors of Cardiac Arrest

BACKGROUND

Among cardiac arrest survivors, about half remain comatose 72 h following return of spontaneous circulation (ROSC). Prognostication of poor neurological outcome in this population may result in withdrawal of life-sustaining therapy and death. The objective of this article is to provide recommendations on the reliability of select clinical predictors that serve as the basis of neuroprognostication and provide guidance to clinicians counseling surrogates of comatose cardiac arrest survivors.

METHODS

A narrative systematic review was completed using Grading of Recommendations Assessment, Development and Evaluation (GRADE) methodology. Candidate predictors, which included clinical variables and prediction models, were selected based on clinical relevance and the presence of an appropriate body of evidence. The Population, Intervention, Comparator, Outcome, Timing, Setting (PICOTS) question was framed as follows: "When counseling surrogates of comatose adult survivors of cardiac arrest, should [predictor, with time of assessment if appropriate] be considered a reliable predictor of poor functional outcome assessed at 3 months or later?" Additional full-text screening criteria were used to exclude small and lower-quality studies. Following construction of the evidence profile and summary of findings, recommendations were based on four GRADE criteria: quality of evidence, balance of desirable and undesirable consequences, values and preferences, and resource use. In addition, good practice recommendations addressed essential principles of neuroprognostication that could not be framed in PICOTS format.

RESULTS

Eleven candidate clinical variables and three prediction models were selected based on clinical relevance and the presence of an appropriate body of literature. A total of 72 articles met our eligibility criteria to guide recommendations. Good practice recommendations include waiting 72 h following ROSC/rewarming prior to neuroprognostication, avoiding sedation or other confounders, the use of multimodal assessment, and an extended period of observation for awakening in patients with an indeterminate prognosis, if consistent with goals of care. The bilateral absence of pupillary light response > 72 h from ROSC and the bilateral absence of N20 response on somatosensory evoked potential testing were identified as reliable predictors. Computed tomography or magnetic resonance imaging of the brain > 48 h from ROSC and electroencephalography > 72 h from ROSC were identified as moderately reliable predictors.

CONCLUSIONS

These guidelines provide recommendations on the reliability of predictors of poor outcome in the context of counseling surrogates of comatose survivors of cardiac arrest and suggest broad principles of neuroprognostication. Few predictors were considered reliable or moderately reliable based on the available body of evidence.

Association Between Procalcitonin Level at 72 Hours After Cardiac Arrest and Neurological Outcomes in Cardiac Arrest Survivors

The association between procalcitonin (PCT) level measured 72 hours after cardiac arrest (CA) and neurological outcomes is unknown. We aimed to examine the association of serial PCT levels up to 72 hours with neurological outcomes in patients who underwent targeted temperature management (TTM) after CA. This retrospective observational study included adult comatose patients with CA undergoing TTM (33℃ for 24 hours) at the Chonnam National University Hospital in Gwangju, Korea, between January 2018 and December 2020. PCT levels were measured at admission and at 24, 48, and 72 hours after CA. The presence of early-onset infections (within 7 days after CA) was confirmed by reviewing clinical, radiological, and microbiological data. The primary outcome was poor neurological outcomes at 6 months and was defined by cerebral performance category 3-5. Among the CA survivors, 118 were included and 67 (56.8%) had poor neurological outcomes. The PCT level at 72 hours in the poor outcome group (3.01 [0.88-12.71]) was higher than that in good outcome group (0.56 [0.18-1.32]). The multivariate analysis revealed that the PCT level at 72 hours (adjusted odds ratio 1.241; 95% confidence interval, 1.059-1.455) was independently associated with poor neurological outcomes, showed good performance for poor outcomes (area under the receiver operating characteristic curve of 0.823), and was not associated with early-onset infections. The PCT level at 72 hours after CA can be helpful in predicting prognosis, and it did not correlate with early-onset infections in the study.

Neuron-Specific Enolase and S100B: The Earliest Predictors of Poor Outcome in Cardiac Arrest

Background: Proper prognostication is critical in clinical decision-making following out-of-hospital cardiac arrest (OHCA). However, only a few prognostic tools with reliable accuracy are available within the first 24 h after admission. Aim: To test the value of neuron-specific enolase (NSE) and S100B protein measurements at admission as early biomarkers of poor prognosis after OHCA. Methods: We enrolled 82 consecutive patients with OHCA who were unconscious when admitted. NSE and S100B levels were measured at admission, and routine blood tests were performed. Death and poor neurological status at discharge were considered as poor clinical outcomes. We evaluated the optimal cut-off levels for NSE and S100B using logistic regression and receiver operating characteristic (ROC) analyses. Results: High concentrations of both biomarkers at admission were significantly associated with an increased risk of poor clinical outcome (NSE: odds ratio [OR] 1.042 per 1 ng/dL, [1.007−1.079; p = 0.004]; S100B: OR 1.046 per 50 pg/mL [1.004−1.090; p < 0.001]). The dual-marker approach with cut-off values of ≥27.6 ng/mL and ≥696 ng/mL for NSE and S100B, respectively, identified patients with poor clinical outcomes with 100% specificity. Conclusions: The NSE and S100B-based dual-marker approach allowed for early discrimination of patients with poor clinical outcomes with 100% specificity. The proposed algorithm may shorten the time required to establish a poor prognosis and limit the volume of futile procedures performed.

Brain Injury Biomarkers for Predicting Outcome After Cardiac Arrest

This article is one of ten reviews selected from the Annual Update in Intensive Care and Emergency Medicine 2022. Other selected articles can be found online at https://www.biomedcentral.com/collections/annualupdate2022 . Further information about the Annual Update in Intensive Care and Emergency Medicine is available from https://link.springer.com/bookseries/8901 .

Prediction of good neurological outcome in comatose survivors of cardiac arrest: a systematic review

PURPOSE

To assess the ability of clinical examination, blood biomarkers, electrophysiology or neuroimaging assessed within 7 days from return of spontaneous circulation (ROSC) to predict good neurological outcome, defined as no, mild, or moderate disability (CPC 1-2 or mRS 0-3) at discharge from intensive care unit or later, in comatose adult survivors from cardiac arrest (CA).

METHODS

PubMed, EMBASE, Web of Science and the Cochrane Database of Systematic Reviews were searched. Sensitivity and specificity for good outcome were calculated for each predictor. The risk of bias was assessed using the QUIPS tool.

RESULTS

A total of 37 studies were included. Due to heterogeneities in recording times, predictor thresholds, and definition of some predictors, meta-analysis was not performed. A withdrawal or localisation motor response to pain immediately or at 72-96 h after ROSC, normal blood values of neuron-specific enolase (NSE) at 24 h-72 h after ROSC, a short-latency somatosensory evoked potentials (SSEPs) N20 wave amplitude > 4 µV or a continuous background without discharges on electroencephalogram (EEG) within 72 h from ROSC, and absent diffusion restriction in the cortex or deep grey matter on MRI on days 2-7 after ROSC predicted good neurological outcome with more than 80% specificity and a sensitivity above 40% in most studies. Most studies had moderate or high risk of bias.

CONCLUSIONS

In comatose cardiac arrest survivors, clinical, biomarker, electrophysiology, and imaging studies identified patients destined to a good neurological outcome with high specificity within the first week after cardiac arrest (CA).

Prognostic role of serum neutrophil gelatinase-associated lipocalin in cardiac arrest patients: A prospective observational study

Accurate neurological prognostication is of the utmost importance to avoid futile treatments in patients treated with targeted temperature management (TTM) after out-of-hospital cardiac arrest (OHCA). This study aimed to investigate the prognostic value of serum neutrophil gelatinase-associated lipocalin (NGAL) by comparing with neuron-specific enolase (NSE), which is currently recommended by international guidelines in patients treated with TTM after OHCA.The study included 85 comatose adult patients with OHCA who underwent TTM between May 2018 and December 2020. Serum NGAL and NSE were measured at 24-hour intervals until 72 hours after return of spontaneous circulation (ROSC). The primary outcome was their prognostic performance for poor neurological outcome at 3 months after OHCA.Forty-nine patients (57.6%) had a poor neurological outcome; NGAL levels at all time points measured were significantly higher in these patients than in those with a good outcome (P < .01). NGAL showed lower maximal sensitivity (95% confidence interval [CI]) under a false-positive rate of 0% for the primary outcome compared with NSE (18.2% [95% CI 8.2-32.7] vs 66.7% [95% CI 50.5-80.4]). The combination of NGAL with NSE at 48 h showed the highest sensitivity (69.1% [95% CI 52.9-82.4]) and had the highest area under the curve (0.91 [95% CI 0.81-0.96]) for a poor outcome. The prognostic performance of NGAL alone was inadequate at all time points. However, NGAL combined with NSE at 24 and 28 hours after ROSC showed improved sensitivity compared to NGAL alone.NGAL should be considered a supplementary biomarker in combination with NSE for prognostication in patients with OHCA treated with TTM.

Novel approaches to prediction in severe brain injury

PURPOSE OF REVIEW

Recovery after severe brain injury is variable and challenging to accurately predict at the individual patient level. This review highlights new developments in clinical prognostication with a special focus on the prediction of consciousness and increasing reliance on methods from data science.

RECENT FINDINGS

Recent research has leveraged serum biomarkers, quantitative electroencephalography, MRI, and physiological time-series to build models for recovery prediction. The analysis of high-resolution data and the integration of features from different modalities can be approached with efficient computational techniques.

SUMMARY

Advances in neurophysiology and neuroimaging, in combination with computational methods, represent a novel paradigm for prediction of consciousness and functional recovery after severe brain injury. Research is needed to produce reliable, patient-level predictions that could meaningfully impact clinical decision making.

Targeted temperature management and early neuro-prognostication after cardiac arrest

Targeted temperature management (TTM) is a recommended neuroprotective intervention for coma after out-of-hospital cardiac arrest (OHCA). However, controversies exist concerning the proper implementation and overall efficacy of post-CA TTM, particularly related to optimal timing and depth of TTM and cooling methods. A review of the literature finds that optimizing and individualizing TTM remains an open question requiring further clinical investigation. This paper will summarize the preclinical and clinical trial data to-date, current recommendations, and future directions of this therapy, including new cooling methods under investigation. For now, early induction, maintenance for at least 24 hours, and slow rewarming utilizing endovascular methods may be preferred. Moreover, timely and accurate neuro-prognostication is valuable for guiding ethical and cost-effective management of post-CA coma. Current evidence for early neuro-prognostication after TTM suggests that a combination of initial prediction models, biomarkers, neuroimaging, and electrophysiological methods is the optimal strategy in predicting neurological functional outcomes.

Comparison of Prognostic Performance between Neuron-Specific Enolase and S100 Calcium-Binding Protein B Obtained from the Cerebrospinal Fluid of Out-of-Hospital Cardiac Arrest Survivors Who Underwent Targeted Temperature Management

We compared the prognostic performances of serum neuron-specific enolase (sNSE), cerebrospinal fluid (CSF) NSE (cNSE), and CSF S100 calcium-binding protein B (cS100B) in out-of-hospital cardiac arrest (OHCA) survivors. This prospective observational study enrolled 45 patients. All samples were obtained immediately and at 24 h intervals until 72 h after the return of spontaneous circulation. The inter- and intragroup differences in biomarker levels, categorized by 3 month neurological outcome, were analyzed. The prognostic performances were evaluated with receiver operating characteristic curves. Twenty-two patients (48.9%) showed poor outcome. At all-time points, sNSE, cNSE, and cS100B were significantly higher in the poor outcome group than in the good outcome group. cNSE and cS100B significantly increased over time (baseline vs. 24, 48, and 72 h) in the poor outcome group than in the good outcome group. sNSE at 24, 48, and 72 h showed significantly lower sensitivity than cNSE or cS100B. The sensitivities associated with 0 false-positive rate (FPR) for cNSE and cS100B were 66.6% vs. 45.5% at baseline, 80.0% vs. 80.0% at 24 h, 84.2% vs. 94.7% at 48 h, and 88.2% (FPR, 5.0%) vs. 94.1% at 72 h. High cNSE and cS100B are strong predictors of poor neurological outcome in OHCA survivors. Multicenter prospective studies may determine the generalizability of these results.

European Resuscitation Council and European Society of Intensive Care Medicine guidelines 2021: post-resuscitation care

The European Resuscitation Council (ERC) and the European Society of Intensive Care Medicine (ESICM) have collaborated to produce these post-resuscitation care guidelines for adults, which are based on the 2020 International Consensus on Cardiopulmonary Resuscitation Science with Treatment Recommendations. The topics covered include the post-cardiac arrest syndrome, diagnosis of cause of cardiac arrest, control of oxygenation and ventilation, coronary reperfusion, haemodynamic monitoring and management, control of seizures, temperature control, general intensive care management, prognostication, long-term outcome, rehabilitation and organ donation.

European Resuscitation Council and European Society of Intensive Care Medicine Guidelines 2021: Post-resuscitation care

The European Resuscitation Council (ERC) and the European Society of Intensive Care Medicine (ESICM) have collaborated to produce these post-resuscitation care guidelines for adults, which are based on the 2020 International Consensus on Cardiopulmonary Resuscitation Science with Treatment Recommendations. The topics covered include the post-cardiac arrest syndrome, diagnosis of cause of cardiac arrest, control of oxygenation and ventilation, coronary reperfusion, haemodynamic monitoring and management, control of seizures, temperature control, general intensive care management, prognostication, long-term outcome, rehabilitation, and organ donation.

Adult Advanced Life Support: 2020 International Consensus on Cardiopulmonary Resuscitation and Emergency Cardiovascular Care Science with Treatment Recommendations

This 2020 International Consensus on Cardiopulmonary Resuscitation and Emergency Cardiovascular Care Science With Treatment Recommendations for advanced life support includes updates on multiple advanced life support topics addressed with 3 different types of reviews. Topics were prioritized on the basis of both recent interest within the resuscitation community and the amount of new evidence available since any previous review. Systematic reviews addressed higher-priority topics, and included double-sequential defibrillation, intravenous versus intraosseous route for drug administration during cardiac arrest, point-of-care echocardiography for intra-arrest prognostication, cardiac arrest caused by pulmonary embolism, postresuscitation oxygenation and ventilation, prophylactic antibiotics after resuscitation, postresuscitation seizure prophylaxis and treatment, and neuroprognostication. New or updated treatment recommendations on these topics are presented. Scoping reviews were conducted for anticipatory charging and monitoring of physiological parameters during cardiopulmonary resuscitation. Topics for which systematic reviews and new Consensuses on Science With Treatment Recommendations were completed since 2015 are also summarized here. All remaining topics reviewed were addressed with evidence updates to identify any new evidence and to help determine which topics should be the highest priority for systematic reviews in the next 1 to 2 years.

Adult Advanced Life Support: 2020 International Consensus on Cardiopulmonary Resuscitation and Emergency Cardiovascular Care Science With Treatment Recommendations

This 2020 International Consensus on Cardiopulmonary Resuscitation and Emergency Cardiovascular Care Science With Treatment Recommendations for advanced life support includes updates on multiple advanced life support topics addressed with 3 different types of reviews. Topics were prioritized on the basis of both recent interest within the resuscitation community and the amount of new evidence available since any previous review. Systematic reviews addressed higher-priority topics, and included double-sequential defibrillation, intravenous versus intraosseous route for drug administration during cardiac arrest, point-of-care echocardiography for intra-arrest prognostication, cardiac arrest caused by pulmonary embolism, postresuscitation oxygenation and ventilation, prophylactic antibiotics after resuscitation, postresuscitation seizure prophylaxis and treatment, and neuroprognostication. New or updated treatment recommendations on these topics are presented. Scoping reviews were conducted for anticipatory charging and monitoring of physiological parameters during cardiopulmonary resuscitation. Topics for which systematic reviews and new Consensuses on Science With Treatment Recommendations were completed since 2015 are also summarized here. All remaining topics reviewed were addressed with evidence updates to identify any new evidence and to help determine which topics should be the highest priority for systematic reviews in the next 1 to 2 years.

Prediction of poor neurological outcome in comatose survivors of cardiac arrest: a systematic review

Purpose

To assess the ability of clinical examination, blood biomarkers, electrophysiology, or neuroimaging assessed within 7 days from return of spontaneous circulation (ROSC) to predict poor neurological outcome, defined as death, vegetative state, or severe disability (CPC 3–5) at hospital discharge/1 month or later, in comatose adult survivors from cardiac arrest (CA).

Methods

PubMed, EMBASE, Web of Science, and the Cochrane Database of Systematic Reviews (January 2013–April 2020) were searched. Sensitivity and false-positive rate (FPR) for each predictor were calculated. Due to heterogeneities in recording times, predictor thresholds, and definition of some predictors, meta-analysis was not performed.

Results

Ninety-four studies (30,200 patients) were included. Bilaterally absent pupillary or corneal reflexes after day 4 from ROSC, high blood values of neuron-specific enolase from 24 h after ROSC, absent N20 waves of short-latency somatosensory-evoked potentials (SSEPs) or unequivocal seizures on electroencephalogram (EEG) from the day of ROSC, EEG background suppression or burst-suppression from 24 h after ROSC, diffuse cerebral oedema on brain CT from 2 h after ROSC, or reduced diffusion on brain MRI at 2–5 days after ROSC had 0% FPR for poor outcome in most studies. Risk of bias assessed using the QUIPS tool was high for all predictors.

Conclusion

In comatose resuscitated patients, clinical, biochemical, neurophysiological, and radiological tests have a potential to predict poor neurological outcome with no false-positive predictions within the first week after CA. Guidelines should consider the methodological concerns and limited sensitivity for individual modalities. (PROSPERO CRD42019141169)

Electronic supplementary material

The online version of this article (10.1007/s00134-020-06198-w) contains supplementary material, which is available to authorized users.

[Procalcitonin in the intensive care unit : Differential diagnostic and differential therapeutic possibilities]

Prokalzitonin (PCT) wird bei systemischen Inflammationszuständen IL6-, IL8- und TNF-α-vermittelt in multiplen Organen und Strukturen des Körpers gebildet. Dabei werden insbesondere bei der Sepsis deutlich erhöhte Werte gemessen. Die Höhe des PCT korreliert dabei gut mit der Krankheitsschwere, ein signifikanter Abfall unter Therapie mit der Prognose. In der differenzialdiagnostischen Abklärung kann die PCT-Bestimmung zwischen bakteriellen und viralen Infektionen unterscheiden. Nichtinfektiösbedingte inflammatorische Reaktionen können jedoch moderat erhöhte PCT-Werte zeigen. Cut-off-Werte sind abhängig von der renalen und hepatischen Funktion. Ein Therapiealgorithmus zur Antibiotikadauer mit PCT-Verlaufsbestimmungen kann den Antibiotikagebrauch reduzieren. In dieser Arbeit sollen die differenzialdiagnostischen und differenzialtherapeutischen Möglichkeiten einer Prokalzitoninbestimmung bei kritisch kranken Patienten erörtert werden.

Resuscitating the Globally Ischemic Brain: TTM and Beyond

Cardiac arrest (CA) afflicts ~ 550,000 people each year in the USA. A small fraction of CA sufferers survive with a majority of these survivors emerging in a comatose state. Many CA survivors suffer devastating global brain injury with some remaining indefinitely in a comatose state. The pathogenesis of global brain injury secondary to CA is complex. Mechanisms of CA-induced brain injury include ischemia, hypoxia, cytotoxicity, inflammation, and ultimately, irreversible neuronal damage. Due to this complexity, it is critical for clinicians to have access as early as possible to quantitative metrics for diagnosing injury severity, accurately predicting outcome, and informing patient care. Current recommendations involve using multiple modalities including clinical exam, electrophysiology, brain imaging, and molecular biomarkers. This multi-faceted approach is designed to improve prognostication to avoid "self-fulfilling" prophecy and early withdrawal of life-sustaining treatments. Incorporation of emerging dynamic monitoring tools such as diffuse optical technologies may provide improved diagnosis and early prognostication to better inform treatment. Currently, targeted temperature management (TTM) is the leading treatment, with the number of patients needed to treat being ~ 6 in order to improve outcome for one patient. Future avenues of treatment, which may potentially be combined with TTM, include pharmacotherapy, perfusion/oxygenation targets, and pre/postconditioning. In this review, we provide a bench to bedside approach to delineate the pathophysiology, prognostication methods, current targeted therapies, and future directions of research surrounding hypoxic-ischemic brain injury (HIBI) secondary to CA.