Predictors and outcomes of histological remission in ulcerative colitis treated to endoscopic healing

Development and validation of a novel criterion of histologic healing in ulcerative colitis defined by inflammatory cell enumeration in lamina propria mucosae: A multicenter retrospective cohort in China

BACKGROUND

Histological healing is closely associated with improved long-term clinical outcomes and lowered relapses in patients with ulcerative colitis (UC). Here, we developed a novel diagnostic criterion for assessing histological healing in UC patients.

METHODS

We conducted a retrospective cohort study in UC patients, whose treatment was iteratively optimized to achieve mucosal healing at Shanghai Tenth People's Hospital of Tongji University from January 2017 to May 2022. We identified an inflammatory cell enumeration index (ICEI) for assessing histological healing based on the proportions of eosinophils, CD177+ neutrophils, and CD40L+ T cells in the colonic lamina propria under high power field (HPF), and the outcomes (risks of symptomatic relapses) of achieving histological remission vs. persistent histological inflammation using Kaplan-Meier curves. Intrareader reliability and inter-reader reliability were evaluated by each reader. The relationships to the changes in the Nancy index and the Geboes score were also assessed for responsiveness. The ICEI was further validated in a new cohort of UC patients from other nine university hospitals.

RESULTS

We developed an ICEI for clinical diagnosis of histological healing, i.e., Y = 1.701X1 + 0.758X2 + 1.347X3 - 7.745 (X1, X2, and X3 represent the proportions of CD177+ neutrophils, eosinophils, and CD40L+ T cells, respectively, in the colonic lamina propria under HPF). The receiver operating characteristics curve (ROC) analysis revealed that Y <-0.391 was the cutoff value for the diagnosis of histological healing and that an area under the curve (AUC) was 0.942 (95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.905-0.979) with a sensitivity of 92.5% and a specificity of 83.6% (P <0.001). The intraclass correlation coefficient (ICC) for the intrareader reliability was 0.855 (95% CI: 0.781-0.909), and ICEI had good inter-reader reliability of 0.832 (95% CI: 0.748-0.894). During an 18-month follow-up, patients with histological healing had a substantially better outcome compared with those with unachieved histological healing (P <0.001) using ICEI. During a 12-month follow-up from other nine hospitals, patients with histological healing also had a lower risk of relapse than patients with unachieved histological healing.

CONCLUSIONS

ICEI can be used to predict histological healing and identify patients with a risk of relapse 12 months and 18 months after clinical therapy. Therefore, ICEI provides a promising, simplified approach to monitor histological healing and to predict the prognosis of UC.

REGISTRATION

Chinese Clinical Trial Registry, No. ChiCTR2300077792.

Efficacy and safety of mirikizumab as induction and maintenance therapy for Japanese patients with moderately to severely active ulcerative colitis: a subgroup analysis of the global phase 3 LUCENT-1 and LUCENT-2 studies

BACKGROUND/AIMS

Mirikizumab is a p19-directed anti-interleukin-23 antibody with potential efficacy against ulcerative colitis (UC). We evaluated the efficacy and safety of mirikizumab in a Japanese subpopulation with moderately to severely active UC from the LUCENT-1 and LUCENT-2 studies.

METHODS

LUCENT-1 and LUCENT-2 were phase 3, randomized, double-blind, placebo-controlled trials of mirikizumab therapy in adults with moderately to severely active UC. LUCENT-1 was a 12-week induction trial where patients were randomized 3:1 to receive intravenous mirikizumab 300 mg or placebo every 4 weeks (Q4W). Patients achieving a clinical response with mirikizumab following the induction study were re-randomized 2:1 to double-blind treatment with either mirikizumab 200 mg or placebo subcutaneously Q4W during the 40-week maintenance study. The primary outcomes were clinical remission at week 12 of LUCENT-1 and week 40 of LUCENT-2.

RESULTS

A total of 137 patients enrolled in Japan were randomized to mirikizumab (n = 102) or placebo (n = 35). Compared with placebo, patients who received mirikizumab showed numerically higher clinical remission at week 12 of induction (32.4% [n = 33] vs. 2.9% [n = 1]) and at week 40 of maintenance (48.9% [n = 23] vs. 28.0% [n = 7]). A greater number of patients achieved key secondary endpoints in the mirikizumab group compared with placebo. The frequency of treatment-emergent adverse events was similar across mirikizumab and placebo groups. Efficacy and safety results observed in the Japanese subpopulation were generally consistent with those in the overall population.

CONCLUSIONS

Mirikizumab induction and maintenance treatments were effective in Japanese patients with moderately to severely active UC. No new safety concerns were identified.

Predictors and Etiologies of Clinical Relapse Among Patients With Ulcerative Colitis in Deep Remission

GOAL

The objective of this study was to evaluate for potential predictors and etiologies of clinical relapse among patients with ulcerative colitis in deep remission.

BACKGROUND

Patients displaying deep (endoscopic and histologic) remission have a decreased cumulative risk of relapse in ulcerative colitis of <10% per year, but predictors and etiologies of relapse in this population are poorly understood.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

We performed a retrospective cohort study utilizing electronic medical records at Tufts Medical Center to identify patients in deep remission, classified as having both endoscopic remission (Mayo Endoscopic Score of 0 or 1) and histologic remission (Simplified Geboes Score 0.2). We evaluated the cumulative risk of clinical relapse following attainment of deep remission and examined predictors and etiologies of relapse.

RESULTS

Among 139 patients with ulcerative colitis in deep remission, the cumulative risk of relapse was <10% and <20% at 1 and 2 years. Patients with complete normalization of mucosa (Geboes=0) and normalization of C-reactive protein (<7.48 mg/dL) at the time of remission were associated with a lower risk of relapse. Discontinuation of therapy was the most commonly identified etiology of relapse.

CONCLUSIONS

Patients in deep remission have a 1-year risk of clinical relapse of <10%, with those demonstrating a non-normalized mucosa or elevated C-reactive protein predictive of persistent relapse risk. Discontinuation of therapy or minor histologic changes may drive relapse among those in deep remission.

Histologic assessments in ulcerative colitis: the evidence behind a new endpoint in clinical trials

INTRODUCTION

Treatment goals for ulcerative colitis (UC) are evolving from the achievement of clinical remission to more rigorous goals defined by endoscopic and histologic healing. Achievement of deeper remission targets aims to reduce the risk of colectomy, hospitalizations, and colorectal cancer.

AREAS COVERED

This review covers histologic assessments, histologic remission as a clinical trial endpoint, and the association between histologic disease activity and clinical outcomes. Future directions are also discussed, including the use of advanced imaging and artificial intelligence technologies, as well as potential future treatment targets beyond histologic remission.

EXPERT OPINION

Histologic assessments are used for their sensitivity in measuring mucosal inflammatory changes in UC. Due to correlation with disease activity, histologic assessments may support clinical decision-making regarding treatment decisions as such assessments can be associated with rates of clinical relapse, hospitalization, colectomy, and neoplasia. While histologic remission is limited by varying definitions and multiple histologic indices, work is ongoing to create a consensus on the use of histologic assessments in clinical trials. As research advances, aspirational targets beyond histologic remission, such as molecular healing and disease clearance, are being explored.

Efficacy and Safety of Advanced Oral Small Molecules for Inflammatory Bowel Disease: Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis

BACKGROUND AND AIMS

Oral small-molecule drugs [SMDs] are expanding the therapeutic landscape for inflammatory bowel disease [IBD]. This systematic review and meta-analysis summarizes the efficacy and safety of JAK inhibitor [JAKi] and sphingosine-1-phosphate [S1P] receptor modulator treatments for ulcerative colitis [UC] and Crohn's disease [CD].

METHODS

MEDLINE, Embase, and CENTRAL were searched from inception to May 30, 2022. Randomized controlled trials [RCTs] of JAKi and S1P receptor modulators in adults with UC or CD were eligible. Clinical, endoscopic, histological, and safety data were pooled and analysed using a random-effects model.

RESULTS

Thirty-five RCTs [26 UC, nine CD] were included. In UC, JAKi therapy was associated with induction of clinical (risk ratio [RR] 3.16, 95% confidence interval [CI] 2.03-4.92; I2 = 65%) and endoscopic [RR 3.99, 95% CI 2.36-6.75; I2 = 36%] remission compared to placebo. Upadacitinib was associated with histological response [RR 2.63, 95% CI 1.97-3.53]. S1P modulator therapy was associated with induction of clinical [RR 2.52, 95% CI 1.88-3.39; I2 = 1%] and endoscopic [RR 2.39, 95% CI 1.07-5.33; I2 = 0%] remission relative to placebo. Ozanimod was superior to placebo for inducing histological remission in UC [RR 2.20, 95% CI 1.43-3.37; I2 = 0%], while etrasimod was not [RR 2.36, 95% CI 0.71-7.88; I2 = 0%]. In CD, JAKi therapy was superior to placebo for induction of clinical remission [RR 1.53, 95% CI 1.19-1.98; I2 = 31%], and endoscopic remission [RR 4.78, 95% CI 1.63-14.06; I2 = 43%] compared to placebo. The risk of serious infections was similar for oral SMDs and placebo.

CONCLUSION

JAKi and S1P receptor modulator therapies are effective in IBD for inducing clinical and endoscopic remission and, in some circumstances, histological response.

Beyond complete endoscopic healing: Goblet appearance using an endocytoscope to predict future sustained clinical remission in ulcerative colitis

OBJECTIVES

Complete endoscopic healing, defined as Mayo endoscopic score (MES) = 0, is an optimal target in the treatment of ulcerative colitis (UC). However, some patients with MES = 0 show clinical relapse within 12 months. Histologic goblet mucin depletion has emerged as a predictor of clinical relapse in patients with MES = 0. We observed goblet depletion in vivo using an endocytoscope, and analyzed the association between goblet appearance and future prognosis in UC patients.

METHODS

In this retrospective cohort study, all enrolled UC patients had MES = 0 and confirmed clinical remission between October 2016 and March 2020. We classified the patients into two groups according to the goblet appearance status: preserved-goblet and depleted-goblet groups. We followed the patients until March 2021 and evaluated the difference in cumulative clinical relapse rates between the two groups.

RESULTS

We identified 125 patients with MES = 0 as the study subjects. Five patients were subsequently excluded. Thus, we analyzed the data for 120 patients, of whom 39 were classified as the preserved-goblet group and 81 as the depleted-goblet group. The patients were followed-up for a median of 549 days. During follow-up, the depleted-goblet group had a significantly higher cumulative clinical relapse rate than the preserved-goblet group (19% [15/81] vs. 5% [2/39], respectively; P = 0.02).

CONCLUSIONS

Observing goblet appearance in vivo allowed us to better predict the future prognosis of UC patients with MES = 0. This approach may assist clinicians with onsite decision-making regarding treatment interventions without a biopsy.

Appendiceal Orifice Inflammation Is Associated with Lower Rate of Complete Endoscopic Remission in Patients with Ulcerative Colitis

Appendiceal orifice inflammation (AOI) is commonly considered a skip lesion in ulcerative colitis (UC). However, the clinical significance of AOI in UC patients remains controversial. This study aimed to evaluate the clinical feature and long-term outcomes of AOI by comparing UC patients with and without AOI. This study was conducted as a retrospective design of patients who were newly diagnosed or referred within 3 months after diagnosis at Seoul St. Mary's Hospital from 1 January 2001 to 31 December 2020. All patients underwent index and follow-up colonoscopies. The long-term outcomes involved achieving complete endoscopic remission (ER), use of biologics, hospitalization, and proximal disease extension. Complete ER was defined as Mayo endoscopic subscore 0. In total, 318 UC patients were included, of which 140 had AOI. The baseline characteristics were not significantly different between AOI and non-AOI groups. The cumulative risk of complete ER was a significant difference between AOI and non-AOI groups (p = 0.041). The other cumulative risks of disease outcomes were not significantly different between AOI and non-AOI groups (use of biologics, p = 0.542; hospitalization, p = 0.795; proximal disease extension, p = 0.403). The multivariate Cox regression analysis also revealed that AOI was the significant factor of complete ER (hazard ratio, 0.656; 95% confidence interval, 0.462-0.932; p = 0.019) in UC patients. AOI shows a significant association with lower rate of complete ER in UC patients. Therefore, a meticulous treatment strategy may be recommended to achieve complete ER in UC patients with AOI.

Spatial Evolution of Histologic and Endoscopic Healing in the Left and Right Colon in Patients With Ulcerative Colitis

BACKGROUND AND AIMS

Despite increasing interest in histologic remission as a treatment target in ulcerative colitis (UC), the accuracy of histologic findings in left colon in detecting pancolonic histologic remission is unknown.

METHODS

In a retrospective cohort study of patients with endoscopically active pancolitis undergoing treat-to-target interventions, we evaluated the diagnostic accuracy of left-sided (distal to splenic flexure) histologic and endoscopic findings on colonoscopy for detecting histologic and endoscopic healing elsewhere in the colon.

RESULTS

Of 86 patients with moderate to severely active pancolitis who underwent 2 consecutive colonoscopies during treat-to-target interventions, 38% and 51% achieved histologic and endoscopic remission, respectively. Substantial agreement (kappa, 0.67; 95% confidence interval (CI), 0.51-0.83) was observed in histologic findings between left and right colon on follow-up colonoscopy. Histologic, and endoscopic, findings in left colon showed excellent accuracy in detecting pancolonic histologic remission (area under the curve (AUC), 0.96 [95% CI, 0.93-1.0]; misclassification rate, 5.9%), histologic normalization (AUC, 1.0, 0%), endoscopic improvement (AUC, 0.95 [0.96-1.0], 3.5%) and endoscopic remission (AUC, 0.98 [0.96-1.00], 5.8%), respectively.

CONCLUSIONS

In patients with active pancolitis undergoing treat-to-target interventions, histologic and endoscopic findings in the left colon on colonoscopy have excellent accuracy for detecting pancolonic histologic remission, histologic normalization, endoscopic improvement, and endoscopic remission. Flexible sigmoidoscopy may suffice for monitoring histologic and endoscopic activity in patients with pancolitis.

Endoscopic remission assessed with PICaSSO virtual electronic chromendoscopy accurately predicts clinical outcomes in ulcerative colitis

BACKGROUND AND AIMS

A composite endoscopic-histologic remission is increasingly explored as an important endpoint in ulcerative colitis (UC). We investigated combined endoscopic-histologic remission for predicting clinical outcomes at 12 months compared with endoscopic remission alone using the high definition virtual chromoendoscopy (VCE) Paddington International virtual ChromoendoScopy ScOre (PICaSSO) and histology scores.

METHODS

Ulcerative colitis patients, prospectively enrolled from 11 international centres, underwent VCE with targeted biopsies and followed up for 12 months. Endoscopic activity was assessed by Mayo Endoscopic Score (MES), Ulcerative Colitis Endoscopic Index Severity (UCEIS) followed by VCE-PICaSSO. Robarts Histopathological Index|Robarts Histological index≤3 without neutrophils in mucosa, and Nancy Histological index (NHI)≤ 1 were used to define histologic remission. Combined endoscopic-histologic remission was compared with endoscopic remission alone by Cox proportional hazards model and by two- and three-proportion analysis using pre-specified clinical outcomes.

RESULTS

307 patients were recruited and 302 analysed. There was no difference in survival without specified clinical outcomes between PICaSSO defined endoscopic remission alone and endoscopic plus histologic remission in the rectum (HR 0.42, 95%CI 0.16-1.11 and HR 1.03, 95%CI 0.42-2.52 for Robarts Histological index and NHI respectively) at 12 months. There was however a significant survival advantage without specified clinical outcome events for UCEIS combined with histology compared with UCEIS alone (HR 0.30, 95%CI 0.12-0.75, p = 0.02) at 12 months (but not combined with NHI). For MES there was no advantage for predicting specified clinical outcomes at 12 months for endoscopy alone versus endoscopy plus histology, but there were differences in two and three proportion analysis at 6 months.

CONCLUSION

Endoscopic remission by VCE-PICaSSO alone was similar to combined endoscopic and histologic remission for predicting specified clinical outcomes at 12 months. Larger studies with specific therapeutic interventions are required to further confirm the findings.

Comparing the clinical application values of the Degree of Ulcerative Colitis Burden of Luminal Inflammation (DUBLIN) score and Ulcerative Colitis Endoscopic Index of Severity (UCEIS) in patients with ulcerative colitis

Background

The significance of endoscopic evaluation in the diagnosis and management of ulcerative colitis (UC) has been widely recognized. Over the years, scholars have established several endoscopic scores. Herein, we assessed the clinical application value of the Mayo Endoscopic Subscore (Mayo ES), the Degree of Ulcerative Colitis Burden of Luminal Inflammation (DUBLIN) score, and the Ulcerative Colitis Endoscopic Index of Severity (UCEIS) score in UC patients, by comparing their correlation with disease activity and their predictive potential for treatment response and clinical outcomes.

Methods

UC patients hospitalized from September 2015 to September 2019 were retrospectively analysed. We employed Spearman's rank correlation coefficient to assess the linear association of the assessed endoscopic scores with the clinical parameters. The receiver-operating characteristic curve was applied to evaluate the predictive capabilities of the endoscopic scores for treatment escalation and 1-year readmission.

Results

A total of 178 patients were enrolled; most of them (82%) suffered moderate or severe colitis. Among them, 48 (27%) patients received treatment escalation and 59 (33%) were readmitted within 1 year. The DUBLIN and UCEIS scores demonstrated higher correlations with clinical parameters than the Mayo ES. The DUBLIN scores significantly differed between patients with mild, moderate, and severe colitis (all P < 0.001). The UCEIS scores demonstrated the best predictabilities for treatment escalation and 1-year readmission with an area under the curve of 0.88 and 0.75, respectively. Compared to the UCEIS and DUBLIN scores, the predictive capabilities of the Mayo ES for treatment escalation (both P < 0.001) and 1-year readmission (P < 0.001 and P = 0.002, respectively) were lower. The UCEIS scores exhibited a significant difference between the steroid-responsive group and the steroid-dependent or steroid-refractory group (both P < 0.001), while no significant differences in the Mayo ES and DUBLIN scores were found among the three groups (both P > 0.05).

Conclusion

This study demonstrates that both the DUBLIN and UCEIS scores outperform the Mayo ES in assessing disease severity and predicting treatment response and clinical outcomes in UC patients.

Treatment Targets in Ulcerative Colitis: Is It Time for All In, including Histology?

The main therapeutic goal of ulcerative colitis (UC) is to induce and maintain remission to prevent long-term disease progression. Treat-to-target strategies, first introduced by the STRIDE consensus and updated in 2021, have shifted focus from symptomatic control toward more stringent objective endpoints. Today, patient monitoring should be based on a combination of biomarkers and clinical scores, while patient-reported outcomes could be used as short-term targets in monitoring disease activity and therapeutic response. In addition, endoscopic healing was the preferred long-term goal in UC. A Mayo endoscopic score (MES) ≤ 1 can be recommended as a minimum target. However, recent evidence suggests that more stringent endoscopic goals (MES of 0) are associated with superior outcomes. Recently, emerging data support that histological remission (HR) is a superior prognostic factor to endoscopic healing in predicting long-term remission. Despite not yet being recommended as a target, HR may become an important potential therapeutic goal in UC. However, it remains questionable if histological healing should be used as a routine assessment in addition to clinical, biomarker, and endoscopic targets in all patients. Therefore, in this review, our aim was to discuss the current evidence for the different treatment targets and their value in everyday clinical practice.

Analysis of Endoscopic Evaluation Reliability for Ulcerative Colitis in Histological Remission

The Mayo endoscopic subscore (MES) is a major endoscopic scoring system used to assign a status of mucosal inflammation and disease activity to patients with ulcerative colitis (UC). Using interobserver reliability (IOR), this study clarified the difficulties for endoscopic observers imposed by MES parameters used for the endoscopic evaluation of UC in histological remission. First, 42 endoscopists of four observer groups examined each MES parameter, which were evaluated from endoscopically obtained images of 100 cases as Grade 0 or 1 of the Nancy histological index of histopathological inflammation. Then, IOR was assessed using multiple κ statistics for each finding of MES. The results showed that IOR among all the observers was slight or fair for all the parameters, indicating a low IOR. The experts of the UC practice group had "moderate" or higher IOR for seven of the nine parameters, whereas "slight" or "fair" results were found for all parameters by the trainee group. The IOR for each MES parameter was calculated separately for the observer groups. All the groups showed "slight" or "fair" for "Erythema" and "Decreased vascular pattern". Large differences between the endoscopists were found in the IOR for the MES parameters in UC in histological remission. Even among UC practice experts, the IOR was low for "Erythema" and "Decreased vascular pattern".

Risk of Relapse in Patients With Ulcerative Colitis With Persistent Endoscopic Healing: A Durable Treatment Endpoint

BACKGROUND

Deep remission in patients with UC has relied on initial achievement of biochemical, endoscopic, and/or histological remission. We evaluated persistent symptomatic remission and endoscopic healing (EH: Mayo endoscopy score [MES] 0 or 1) on consecutive endoscopic examinations as a durable treatment endpoint.

METHODS

In a retrospective cohort study, we estimated and compared cumulative risk of clinical relapse in patients with persistent EH, with and without persistent histological remission and depth of EH, among adults with active UC treated-to-target of symptomatic remission and EH who achieved and maintained symptomatic remission and EH over two serial endoscopic assessments. We also explored risk of relapse in patients with persistent EH whose therapy was de-escalated.

RESULTS

Of 270 patients who initially achieved EH with treatment-to-target, 89 maintained symptomatic remission and EH on follow-up endoscopy [interval between EH1 and EH2, 16 months]. On follow-up after EH2 [median, 19 months], 1-year cumulative risk of relapse in patients with persistent EH was 11.5%, and with persistent histological remission was 9.5%. Seventeen patients with persistent EH, who underwent de-escalation of therapy, did not have an increased risk of relapse as compared with patients who continued index therapy [5.3% vs 14%, p = 0.16].

CONCLUSIONS

Patients with active UC treated-to-target of clinical remission, who achieve and maintain symptomatic remission and EH over consecutive endoscopies, have a low risk of relapse, particularly in a subset of patients who simultaneously achieve histological remission. Persistent EH should be examined as a treatment endpoint suggestive of deep remission.